Testimony: Circuit Breakers
TESTIMONY OF
ARTHUR LEVITT, CHAIRMAN,
U.S. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
CONCERNING CIRCUIT BREAKERS
BEFORE THE SUBCOMMITTEE ON SECURITIES
OF THE SENATE COMMITTEE ON BANKING, HOUSING AND URBAN AFFAIRS
JANUARY 29, 1998
Chairman Gramm, Senator Dodd, and Members of the Subcommittee:
Thank you for the opportunity to discuss circuit breakers today. We
appreciate the keen interest that Congress takes in our nation’s capital
markets, which are indisputably the best in the world. We at the
Commission work every day to protect the integrity of those markets and
investors in those markets. One of the most important features of U.S.
financial markets is that they function efficiently and freely, even in
times of extreme stress.
A decade ago, the securities and futures markets, in response to the
most severe market drop in the history of our financial markets, introduced
circuit breakers -- coordinated, cross-market trading halts intended to
give investors and the markets a “breather” during the maelstrom of a steep
market drop.<(1)> Circuit breakers were intended to help avoid panic
<(1)> Attached as Appendix A is a summary of the significant
measures that can be taken to protect the markets in
the event of severe declines. The Commission has
authority to take a variety of measures in response to
(continued...)
======END OF PAGE 1======
and systemic breakdown, but only when the stress of a truly severe market
drop prevented the financial markets from operating in a fair, orderly and
efficient manner.
The Commission believes that markets function best when they are
unencumbered by artificial constraints like circuit breakers. The strength
of a free market is the underpinning of our financial system and, in fact,
our economy. Simply put, markets operate best when they are open. That is
not to say that there can be no justification for circuit breakers. On
those rare, very rare, occasions when there may be systemic overload, it
may be necessary to provide a short pause for participants to reassess
market conditions.
The circuit breakers have been triggered once -- during the market
events of October 27, 1997. The drop that day, however, did not represent
the type of extraordinary decline that circuit breakers were meant to
brake. When the circuit breakers were triggered, the markets were working
efficiently, and there was no threat of an imminent market breakdown.
Shortly thereafter, representatives of the securities and futures markets,
the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) and the Commission met to
discuss experiences with the triggering of circuit breakers on October 27.
A quick consensus was reached to raise the levels at which the circuit
breakers are triggered to better reflect a severe market decline, given the
increase in market levels since 1988. Commission staff also coordinated
<(1)>(...continued)
extreme market volatility and other emergency
circumstances.
======END OF PAGE 2======
several meetings and telephone calls with the self-regulatory organizations
(“SROs”) and the CFTC to discuss additional modifications to the circuit
breaker rules.
Today’s hearing is timely because the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”)
is about to bring to its Board significant proposed changes to the
operation of its current circuit breaker rules. The Commission recognizes
that the NYSE, as well as the other securities and futures SROs, need to
take swift, coordinated action to ensure that circuit breaker rules more
effectively serve their purpose -- to give investors and the markets an
opportunity to regroup when the markets experience rapid declines.
I. Overview
Consistent with our commitment to free and open financial markets, the
Commission resists any effort to impede the markets’ efficient operation.
The Commission prefers that the securities markets operate without
unnecessary restraints. For this reason, the Commission believes that
mechanisms like circuit breakers, that impede the natural functioning of
markets, should only be imposed in the most extreme circumstances. For
circuit breakers to be of any value, they should be used only on those rare
occasions when the market decline is of historic proportions and, as a
result, the markets and supporting technology are headed for disarray.
-- Circuit breakers should be triggered only in extraordinary
circumstances. Circuit breakers were meant, from their inception, to be
triggered only in truly extraordinary circumstances -- i.e., a severe
======END OF PAGE 3======
market decline when the prices have dropped so dramatically that liquidity
and credit dry up, and when prices threaten to cascade in a panic-driven
spiral.
As long as the markets are closed or have the potential to close
early, there is uncertainty. Uncertainty for individual investors leads to
confusion. They cannot rely on the market being open until 4:00 p.m. in
deciding when to place their orders on a day when the market is falling.
Uncertainty for mutual funds, which cannot calculate daily net asset value
without a market from which to price, is also of concern. The absence of
net asset values also could undermine general investor confidence in our
nation’s financial markets. This underscores the importance of thinking
very hard before concluding that markets should close early for the day.
-- The current circuit breaker trigger points should be raised.
There is general consensus that the current levels for the circuit breakers
should be raised. Without such a change, circuit breakers threaten to
interfere with the exceptional resilience of the U.S. financial markets.
The Commission is very interested in proposals to change the limits from a
fixed point amount to a point amount based upon a percentage drop in the
Dow Jones Industrial Average (“DJIA”)<(2)> and to reevaluate these
limits periodically. The exchanges currently are discussing whether to
raise circuit breaker triggers to 10 percent for the first halt and 20
<(2)> “Dow Jones Industrial Average” is a service mark of Dow
Jones & Company, Inc. These percentages would be
converted at the end of each year into point totals
based on market closing prices over a fixed period.
======END OF PAGE 4======
percent for the second halt. If circuit breakers had been in place at
these levels since 1915 (when the DJIA was created), they would have been
triggered by only two market events -- the “crash” of October 1929 and the
“break” of October 1987 (as shown in the bar graph at Appendix
B).<(3)> These two occurrences involved the type of truly
extraordinary circumstances that were meant to trigger circuit breakers.
-- The markets should have an orderly close every day. Our nation’s
financial markets have on many occasions reaffirmed their preeminence by
weathering, among other things, wars, natural disasters, and severe market
drops, without closing. With this in mind, we are discussing with the
markets and the CFTC if and how to resume trading after the triggering of a
20 percent circuit breaker. The Commission would prefer some attempt to
reopen markets closed by circuit breakers, even if the circuit breakers are
triggered late in the trading day. Individual investors have come to rely
on the markets being open until 4:00 p.m., and make their investment
decisions on that basis. If an early close prevents investors from making
their trades, they may begin to lose confidence in the U.S. markets. It
appears, however, that the securities, options and futures exchanges
believe that after a drop of 20 percent, reopening in an orderly fashion
would be difficult. This point is still under discussion and should be
resolved shortly. On the other hand, if a 10 percent circuit breaker were
triggered, the Commission would expect the markets to reopen in an orderly
<(3)> Although the graph at Appendix B shows three separate
days on which the circuit breakers would have been
triggered, the crash of 1929 occurred over two days,
October 28 and October 29, 1929.
======END OF PAGE 5======
manner and, if possible, to resume trading until the regular end of the
trading day, when closing prices could be established.
-- The international financial markets look to the U.S. financial
markets. The world today looks to our nation’s financial markets for
leadership. Closing these markets at any time, even for a limited period,
risks creating an unfounded impression that the U.S. financial markets
cannot function. For this reason, it is that much more important that
circuit breakers, which are designed to provide only a “pause” in trading,
be triggered only in extraordinary circumstances.
-- Advances in technology will require us to revisit periodically the
circuit breaker rules. Technological advances enable our nation’s
financial markets to handle record volume trading days -- a billion shares
have traded hands over the NYSE in one day without a glitch. Technological
advances also assist in the wide dissemination of market information, so
more investors can make informed decisions. Technological advances are
changing the financial markets. The financial markets cannot reap the
rewards of these technological advances and be held back by static circuit
breaker rules, however. Thus, the Commission will continue to encourage
the exchanges to revisit periodically their circuit breaker rules and to
make the changes necessary to keep our nation’s capital markets the most
efficient, most liquid, and most diverse in the world.
II. Background
======END OF PAGE 6======
Circuit breakers were developed by the securities and stock index
futures markets in response to recommendations made by the President’s
Working Group on Financial Markets (“Working Group”) to address the market
break of October 1987, when the DJIA lost 508 points (almost 23 percent of
its value).<(4)> Securities, options and futures exchanges adopted
the Working Group’s recommendation and created circuit breaker programs.
The Commission initially approved the programs of the securities exchanges
on a pilot basis in 1988.<(5)>
<(4)> The Working Group is comprised of representatives from
the Commission, the CFTC, the Treasury and the Federal
Reserve Board. In 1988, the Working Group recommended
coordinated trading halts and reopenings during large,
rapid market declines. This group suggested specific
circuit breaker trigger levels of approximately 12
percent and 20 percent of the DJIA, and recommended
quarterly review of the levels to determine if they
needed to be altered to reflect changes in the DJIA.
See Working Group on Financial Markets, Interim Report
of the Working Group on Financial Markets, May 16,
1988, at Appendix A.
After the October 1987 market break, President Reagan
appointed a task force to review the events of the market
break. The task force recommended the implementation of
circuit breakers to coordinate the reactions of the stock,
futures, and options markets during times of market stress.
See Presidential Task Force on Market Mechanisms, Report of
the Presidential Task Force on Market Mechanisms, Jan. 1988,
at 66 (“Brady Report”). Like the Commission and the Working
Group, the task force concluded that coherent, coordinated
circuit breaker mechanisms were preferable to “circuit
breakers of chaos and system failure.” Brady Report at 66.
<(5)> The original pilot programs have been renewed and
modified a number of times since 1988. See Exchange
Act Release No. 26198 (Oct. 19, 1988), 53 Fed. Reg.
41637 (Oct. 24, 1988); Exchange Act Release No. 37457
(July 19, 1996), 61 Fed. Reg. 39176 (July 26, 1996);
Exchange Act Release No. 38221 (Jan. 31, 1997), 62 Fed.
Reg. 5871 (Feb. 7, 1997).
(continued...)
======END OF PAGE 7======
In approving the circuit breaker pilot, the Commission hoped that the
existence of circuit breakers would provide the markets with a chance to
“pause” during a severe decline along the lines of October 1987, affording
market participants and regulators time to assess market conditions and
potential systemic stress.<(6)> At that time, then-Commission
Chairman David Ruder testified that circuit breakers were a way to “calm
the fear and panic that occurs when there are steep declines in the stock
markets.”<(7)> The Commission believed that the purpose of the
circuit breakers was not to prevent the markets from adjusting prices.
Rather, it was to restore an equilibrium between buyers and sellers, to
provide the opportunity for increased information flow, and to create a
<(5)>(...continued)
The options, futures and other securities exchanges have
adopted rules that are consistent with the circuit breaker
rules of the NYSE. The National Association of Securities
Dealers (“NASD”) will halt trading on the Nasdaq Stock
Market and trading in the over-the-counter market when the
circuit breakers are triggered. Thus, when the NYSE circuit
breakers are triggered, all the domestic financial markets
effectively are closed.
<(6)> Exchange Act Release No. 26198 (Oct. 19, 1988), 53 Fed.
Reg. 41637 (Oct. 24, 1988); Testimony of David S.
Ruder, Chairman, U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, Concerning the Working Group on Financial
Markets, Before the Subcomm. on Telecommunications and
Finance of the House Comm. on Energy and Commerce (May
19, 1988).
<(7)> Statement of David S. Ruder, Chairman, U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission, Concerning the Working Group
on Financial Markets, Before the Senate Comm. on
Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs (May 24, 1988).
======END OF PAGE 8======
better opportunity for market participants to assess information during
times of extreme market movements.<(8)>
On October 19, 1988, the DJIA was at 2137. Under the pilot programs
approved at that time, a circuit breaker would have halted trading for one
hour when the DJIA dropped 250 points (approximately 12 percent) from the
previous day s close. Trading would have stopped for two hours when the
DJIA reached 400 points (approximately 19 percent) below the previous day s
close. These were extremely steep declines, based on the DJIA at that
time.
Since then, however, the dramatic rise in the DJIA has created the
possibility that existing circuit breakers will trigger during less than
extraordinary market declines. For this reason, in 1995 and 1996, the
Commission and its staff urged the SROs to raise these levels as quickly as
possible.<(9)> The SROs agreed to increase the triggers for the
<(8)> Exchange Act Release No. 26198 (Oct. 19, 1988), 53 Fed.
Reg. 41637 (Oct. 24, 1988); see also Statement of David
S. Ruder, Chairman, U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, Concerning the Working Group on Financial
Markets, Before the Subcomm. on Telecommunications and
Finance of the House Comm. on Energy and Commerce (May
19, 1988).
<(9)> See Exchange Act Release No. 38221 (Jan. 31, 1997), 62
Fed. Reg. 5871 (Feb. 7, 1997); Exchange Act Release No.
37890 (Oct. 29, 1996), 61 Fed. Reg. 56983 (Nov. 5,
1996); see also, Greg Ip, “The 1987 Market Peak and
Crash; Ten Years After: Safeguards Make Crisis Less
Likely,” Wall St. J., Aug. 25, 1997, at C1; Patrick
McGeehan, “Big Board Plan: No Shut Down Until 350
Points,” Wall St. J., Dec. 6, 1996, at C1; Patrick
McGeehan, “SEC, Big Board Reconsider ‘Circuit Breakers’
That Almost Shut Down Trading Last Friday,” Wall St.
J., Mar. 15, 1996, at C1.
======END OF PAGE 9======
circuit breakers from 250 points to 350 points and from 400 points to 550
points, representing a 5.4 percent and 8.5 percent decline, respectively,
in the DJIA at that time. The Commission approved these new triggers
because they were a 40 percent increase over the outdated 1988 triggers,
but they remain significantly lower on a percentage basis than the circuit
breakers approved in 1988.<(10)>
Circuit breakers were triggered for the first time on October 27,
1997. The first halt came at 2:36 p.m. and the second halt came at 3:30
p.m., closing the markets for the day. In total, however, the markets fell
only a little more than 7 percent that day. There was general agreement
that such a drop did not represent the type of extraordinary decline that
circuit breakers were meant to brake.<(11)>
III. Circuit Breaker Trigger Levels
<(10)> Exchange Act Release No. 38221 (Jan. 31, 1997), 62 Fed.
Reg. 5871 (Feb. 7, 1997). The Commission also stated
that, while the new triggers were more appropriate, the
exchanges should continue to monitor and reevaluate the
criteria for determining when a market event was severe
enough to warrant a circuit breaker.
<(11)> Since October 27, 1997, a debate has emerged as to
whether the circuit breakers acted as a magnet drawing
the markets down toward the second trigger and
therefore toward the closing of the markets for the
day, or whether they acted as a stabilizing force in
preventing a true market meltdown. See, e.g., Greg Ip
and Michael Schroeder, “Trade Halt Questioned by
Levitt: First-Ever Use Cited By Some for Turmoil,” Wall
St. J., Oct. 30, 1997, at C1; Greg Ip, “Bloody Monday:
Stocks Plummet 7% as Pros Seek Cover to Protect 1997
Gains,” Wall St. J., Oct. 28, 1997, at A1.
======END OF PAGE 10======
The market experience on October 27, 1997 has reinforced concerns that
the present circuit breaker triggers are much too low as a result of the
exceptional increase in market levels since 1988.<(12)> The
Commission as a general matter does not favor market closings. The
Commission has always believed that as long as the markets are functioning
efficiently, they should remain open.<(13)> Unfortunately, however,
the circuit breakers in place today will trigger on days with less than
extraordinary trading, when markets are actually functioning efficiently,
such as October 27, 1997.<(14)> Hence, many of the SROs are
considering readjusting circuit breaker triggers to reflect a 10 percent
and 20 percent fall of the DJIA, similar to the circuit breakers originally
approved in 1988.
<(12)> As previously noted, when established, the 250 point
circuit breakers would be triggered by a 12 percent
drop in the DJIA. By July 1996, a 250 point drop in
the DJIA was only a 4.5 percent fall. By January 1997,
250 points was 3.7 percent of the DJIA.
<(13)> See, e.g., Greg Ip and Michael Schroeder, “Trade Halt
Questioned by Levitt: First-Ever Use Cited by Some for
Turmoil,” Wall St. J., Oct. 30, 1997, at C1; Statement
of David S. Ruder, Chairman, U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission, Concerning Responses to the
October Market Break, Before the House Comm. on
Agriculture (June 14, 1988); Statement of David S.
Ruder, Chairman, U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, Concerning the Working Group on Financial
Markets, Before the Subcomm. on Telecommunications and
Finance of the House Comm. on Energy and Commerce (May
19, 1988).
<(14)> The Commission staff currently is reviewing the events
of October 27, 1997. The staff will consider, among
other things, the trading halts that occurred when the
circuit breakers were triggered. Because this review
has not been completed, we cannot report to you at this
time on the staff’s findings.
======END OF PAGE 11======
Why move to circuit breaker triggers of 10 and 20 percent? First, a
move to a percentage-based calculation allows circuit breaker triggers to
be reset each year to correspond with changes in the markets. In addition,
10 and 20 percent movements on a single day in a financial market of any
size are very rare and dramatic. This corresponds to our view that circuit
breakers should be triggered only in extraordinary circumstances.
The Commission believes that, even if adjusted, the circuit breaker
triggers should be reevaluated periodically. As described earlier, the
securities, options and futures markets are very different from those
existing in 1987. For instance, on the day after the October 1987 market
break, 608 million shares traded hands on the NYSE. That volume, a record
at that point, stretched the capacity of information, trading and
settlement systems. In contrast, on the day following the October 27, 1997
market decline, the volume on the NYSE had doubled from October 1987, to
1.2 billion shares, and the systems were not even close to being stretched,
because of the existence of technology and technological capacity undreamt
of in 1987. In the future, economic developments, as well as new
technologies, are certain to evolve that will permit the markets to grow
and absorb even higher levels of activity. For these reasons, it is
important to reevaluate circuit breakers, their operation, and their
trigger levels periodically to ensure that they are triggered only when
necessary.
The Commission appreciates the recent efforts of the securities,
options and futures markets to reach consensus on circuit breaker trigger
======END OF PAGE 12======
levels. We understand that next week the NYSE Board will consider
fundamental changes to the NYSE circuit breaker rules to reflect a move to
percentage-based circuit breakers.<(15)>
If, however, at its February 5 meeting, the NYSE Board does not
approve substantial increases in trigger levels, the Commission will
consult with the CFTC to determine if regulatory measures are needed to
raise circuit breaker trigger levels to resemble their original
design.<(16)>
IV. The Final Hour of Trading
<(15)> Although the NYSE Board is expected to act on February
5, 1998 to approve readjustment of circuit breakers,
these changes will have to be coordinated with other
securities and futures markets. Given the publication,
comment and approval requirements, coordination in this
effort will be paramount.
Because the current circuit breaker rules expire on January
31, 1998, earlier this week the Commission approved an
extension for those rules until the sooner of April 30, 1998
or Commission and CFTC approval of new triggers. During
this extension, minor adjustments will be made to prevent an
unnecessary market closing due to relatively low circuit
breaker triggers. Specifically, if the 350-point trigger is
hit on or after 3:00 p.m., it is not implemented and the
markets continue trading. If the 550-point trigger is hit
between 2:00 p.m. and 2:59 p.m., it will last only 30
minutes, rather than 60 minutes.
<(16)> In addition to cross-market trading halt circuit
breakers, several other initiatives were developed
since 1988 to address significant market movements,
including the 50-point program trading collars imposed
by the NYSE under its Rule 80A, as summarized in
Appendix A. The Commission believes that these
initiatives also are ripe for review, and has discussed
them in meetings with the SROs and the CFTC.
======END OF PAGE 13======
The application of circuit breakers during the last hour of the
trading day raises several issues -- (1) should circuit breakers ever be
triggered during the last hour of trading? (2) should the markets reopen if
circuit breakers are triggered during the last hour of trading, and if so,
is there a minimum time needed for markets to be open before closing for
the day? (3) could the markets reopen in an orderly fashion after a drop of
20 percent?
Since 1934, Congress has charged the Commission with the
responsibility to promote the operation of fair and orderly markets. Those
who favor suspending circuit breakers during the last hour of trading argue
that an orderly close to the trading day is essential to allow completion
of routine market activities in a fair way. For example, if circuit
breakers close the markets before 4:00 p.m., participants in the options
and futures markets may be left without the ability to complete certain
transactions and strategies, leaving them vulnerable to significant
losses.<(17)> On the other hand, the use of circuit breakers towards
the end of a day with a significant drop could serve to stop the markets
from spiralling out of control as they move towards 4:00 p.m. Both sides
argue in favor of fair and orderly markets.
<(17)> For instance, market participants may be unable to
unwind arbitrage positions. While their futures or
options position may have expired, the early closing
due to circuit breakers could preclude the unwinding of
the stock leg of a position. This could be
particularly troublesome on an expiration Friday.
======END OF PAGE 14======
Individual investors have come to rely on the markets being open until
4:00 p.m., and make their investment decisions on that basis. When an
early close prevents investors from making their trades, resulting in
investment decisions becoming colored by uncertainty, there is likely to
follow erosion of investor confidence in the markets. Another concern is
the uncertainty created for mutual funds in the event of an early close due
to a triggered circuit breaker. Mutual funds cannot calculate daily net
asset value without a market close from which to price. The absence of net
asset values for mutual funds also could undermine general investor
confidence in the financial markets.<(18)> This underscores the
importance of thinking very hard before concluding that markets should
close early for the day.
If there is a day when the 20 percent circuit breaker is triggered,
financial markets will be experiencing a drop of historic proportion. The
Commission recognizes that it may be difficult, if not impossible, to
reopen the markets late in the day after a decline of 20 percent.
Moreover, if a drop of 20 percent occurred, significant credit concerns
could arise that would thwart the possibility of an orderly reopening. On
the other hand, the longer the financial markets are closed, the greater
the possibility that reopening will be difficult.
<(18)> See Letter from Matthew P. Fink, Pres., Investment Co.
Inst., to Arthur Levitt, Chairman, Securities and
Exchange Commission, Jan. 27, 1998 (“[C]losing the
markets early could be harmful to the over 60 million
mutual fund shareholders who have come to expect that
the markets will close at 4:00 p.m., and that orders
placed up until that time will get that day’s net asset
value.”).
======END OF PAGE 15======
These are all important concerns. The exact details of early closings
are being discussed by the SROs and CFTC and Commission staff at this time.
V. International Financial Markets Look to U.S. Markets
The world’s financial markets look to the United States for leadership
that comes from the strength of our nation’s markets. Consequently,
decisions concerning U.S. markets are not made in a vacuum. One of our
markets’ greatest strengths is that they operate unencumbered by artificial
constraints -- they are free markets. Therefore, it is important to keep
in mind how the world’s financial markets will react if and when circuit
breakers are triggered. A mechanism intended to avoid panic and systemic
breakdown cannot be allowed to create the mistaken impression that the U.S.
financial markets no longer can function effectively. It is extremely
important, therefore, that circuit breaker rules be revised in such a way
that any closing of U.S. financial markets is limited to the period
necessary for regulators and market participants to assess market position
and systemic stress. This will reassure global markets that the U.S.
financial markets remain strong.
======END OF PAGE 16======
VI. Advances in Technology
The premier status of our nation’s financial markets today has been
made possible in part by advances in market technology over the past ten
years. This technology is another reason that circuit breakers must be
adjusted. The markets ten years ago could not absorb half of the volume
routinely handled by the markets today; the ability to clear and settle
trades has become sophisticated in ways unimaginable ten years ago.
Although circuit breaker triggers may move to 10 and 20 percent, future
technologies are likely to further enhance the capacities of the financial
markets. This may permit these markets to perform in an orderly fashion,
with even greater volume and speed, and may at some point permit circuit
breaker triggers to be set even higher.
Technology enables the financial markets to process record numbers of
transactions, to access massive amounts of information and to develop
investment strategies that cross exchange boundaries. Technology also is
making the financial markets more global. With this progress, circuit
breakers, and other rules governing the markets, should continue to serve
their intended purposes, and not “throw sand in the gears” of otherwise
efficiently functioning markets.
VII. Conclusion
As the markets continue to grow and change, the regulatory community
must regularly review the protective measures that can be imposed when
faced with potentially destabilizing market events. Any mechanism
======END OF PAGE 17======
available must be scrutinized to determine whether it will achieve its
intended goal with minimal market disruption. The Commission believes that
the current initiatives to modify the circuit breaker rules are an
essential part of this process, and looks forward to working with you, our
fellow regulators and representatives of the financial markets to produce
the most effective, least intrusive, circuit breaker programs possible.
======END OF PAGE 18======
Last Reviewed or Updated: Oct. 27, 1997