Page 1 THE UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION MEETING OF THE FIXED INCOME MARKET STRUCTURE ADVISORY COMMITTEE Monday, November 4, 2019 9:00 a.m. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission 200 Vesey Street New York, New York 10281 Multipurpose Room Page 2 Page 4 1 PARTICIPANTS: 1 PARTICIPANTS(CONT.) 2 2 3 JOHN ROESER, Associate Director, Trading & Markets 3 RACHEL WILSON, S.V.P., Finance, Iron Mountain 4 DAVID SHILLMAN, Associate Director, Trading & Markets 4 MIHIR WORAH, Chief Investment Officer Asset Allocation & 5 LIZZIE BAIRD, Deputy Director, Trading & Markets 5 Real Return and Managing Director, PIMCO 6 BRETT REDFEARN, Director, Trading & Markets 6 7 MICHAEL HEANEY, Committee Chairman 7 8 JAY CLAYTON, Chairman 8 9 ROBERT JACKSON, Commissioner 9 10 ELAD L. ROISMAN, Commissioner 10 11 REBECCA OLSEN, Director, Office of Municipal Securities 11 12 ABBY KIM, Financial Economist, DERA 12 13 JESSICA KANE, Director, Office of Credit Ratings 13 14 DAN ALLEN, President, Partner, and Senior Portfolio 14 15 Manager, Anchorage Capital Group, LLC 15 16 16 17 MATT ANDRESEN, CEO and Co-founder, Headlands 17 18 Technologies 18 19 JOHN BAGLEY, Chief Market Structure Officer, Municipal 19 20 Securities Rulemaking Board 20 21 21 22 GIEDRE BALL, Debt Program Manager, Metropolitan 22 23 Washington Airports Authority 23 24 HORACE CARTER, Head of Trading, Fixed-Income Capital 24 25 Markets, Raymond James 25 Page 3 Page 5 1 PARTICIPANTS(CONT): 1 C O N T E N T S 2 2 PAGE 3 GILBERT GARCIA, Managing Partner, Garcia Hamilton & 3 Welcome and Opening Remarks 6 4 Associates 4 5 TOM GIRA, E.V.P., Market Regulation and Transparency 5 Presentation on Structured Disclosures by 21 6 Services, FINRA 6 Municipal Issuers 7 LARRY HARRIS, Fred V. Keenan Chair and Professor of 7 8 Finance, USC Marshall School of Business 8 Presentation on Alternative Compensation Models 72 9 SCOTT KROHN, Treasurer, Verizon 9 for Credit Rating Agencies 10 ANANTH MADHAVEN, Managing Director, Global Head of 10 11 Research for EIF and Index Investing Blackrock 11 Updates from the Technology and Electronic 146 12 LYNN MARTIN, President and COO, ICE Data Services 12 Trading Subcommittee and the Corporate Bond 13 AMY McGARRITY, Chief Investment Officer, Colorado Public 13 Transparency Subcommittee 14 Employees' Retirement Association 14 15 RICH McVEY, Chairman and CEO, MarketAxess 15 Presentation on Fixed-Income Construction 151 16 LEE OLESKY, CEO, Tradeweb Markets 16 17 SUZANNE SHANK, Chair, CEO and Co-Founder, Siebert 17 Presentation on Interdealer Government 200 18 Cisneros Shank & Co. LLC 18 Securities Trading Platforms 19 SONALI THEISEN, Head of Fixed-Income Market Structure, 19 20 Bank of America, Merrill Lynch 20 LIBOR Transition Update and SOFR Volatility 265 21 LARRY TABB, Founder and Research Chairman, TABB Group 21 22 Kuman Venkataraman, Collins Chair and Professor of 22 Adjournment 312 23 Finance, SMJ Cox School of Business 23 24 ELISSE WALTER, Former Chair, SEC 24 25 25 2 (Pages 2 to 5) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 6 P R O C E E D I N G S CHAIRMAN HEANEY: Good morning, all. I believe we have a forum. So, I'll call the meeting to order. I thank you all for joining us today at the SEC fixed-income Market Structured Advisory Committee here in the SEC's Regional Office in New York. I also want to welcome Giedre Ball from the Metropolitan Washington Airports Authority and Lee Olesky from Tradeweb Markets for their first FIMSAC meeting as new committee members and we look forward to working with you in the future. I'd also like to say good morning to Larry Tabb. He may be joining in a little while. I'll begin by welcoming Chairman Clayton and ask him to make his opening statement. MR. CLAYTON: Thank you, Michael. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for being here. Welcome to New York. And, Giedre, welcome. It's funny that you're from Washington and our first meeting we have in New York. Today's agenda is full of importance. We've assembled expert panels on; One, structured disclosures by municipal issuers; Two, rating agency compensation models; Three, index construction; 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1213 14 15 16 1718 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 8 equivalent of roughly 45 percent of the market cap of our U.S. public companies. Recent growth in these fixed-income markets have been significant and reflects a shift in our credit markets to debt held by banks, the debt held outside of banks, including in funds. Non financial corporate debt is at its highest level in history. Approximately, 47 percent of new debts of U.S. GDP up from about 40 percent in 2010. Municipal debt issuance had record years in 2016 and 2017. So, in short, our fixed-income capital markets have at least most problems as they ever have had in our markets. That's domestic and internationally. This is really important stuff and it's only getting increasingly so. So now, three items on my mind that I hope you'll consider with the panelists today. First, index construction. Let me ask you, do investors and those who advise investors understand how indices are constructed. First from an technical perspective, weightings, adjustments and the like. Second, from a market exposure perspective, what opportunities and risks do these indices incorporate. And, third, as a subset of Page 7 Page 9 1 Four, government securities trading platforms; and, 1 those risks, and what are the key value judgments 2 Five, the LIBOR transition. We'll also hear updates 2 the index provider has made, to include or exclude 3 from our Technology and Electronic Trading 3 certain type of companies and other values. 4 Subcommittee and the Corporate Bond Transparency 4 I have some concerns in this regard 5 Subcommittee. 5 and I've had many discussions with investors where 6 I want to tell you all that I could 6 they expressed their concerns about particular risks 7 not be more pleased with the work of the committee 7 and choices. Yet, it appears those concerns do not 8 over the last few years. You've brought diversity 8 apply or are not well understood when they invest 9 of expertise and perspective which has enhanced our 9 through something. Also, with the proliferation of 10 understanding of the fixed-income markets and I 10 passive investing of fixations, what happens when 11 assure you informed policy positions. 11 markets turn downward instead of upward. Two 12 Now, I want to make a broad comment 12 questions on that. 13 which again demonstrates the importance of your work 13 Second, with regard to rating agency 14 and then comment briefly on three of the agenda 14 compensation models, this is not a new issue, but it 15 items. 15 is an important issue and, as always, the landscape 16 The fixed-income capital markets are 16 is changing. We need to continually review whether 17 playing an increasingly important role in our 17 market participants who are substantially influenced 18 economy on both an absolute and relative basis. 18 that are replied upon by investors are appropriately 19 This should not surprise us. It is the logical and 19 disclosing, monitoring and managing their conflicts. 20 predictable result of monetary and regulatory policy 20 While they play different roles and have different 21 decisions. 21 compensation models and are regulated differently, 22 A few metrics. In the United States 22 we need to continually monitor the activities of 23 outstanding non financial corporate debt stands at 23 rating agencies, securities analysts, investment 24 almost $10 trillion. Municipal debt is almost four 24 advisors, proxy advisory businesses, brokers, 25 trillion. Together, these markets are the 25 particularly retail brokers, and accountants. None 3 (Pages 6 to 9) 1 2 3 4 56 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 10 of their interests are fully in line with -- fully aligned with the interests of investors and our regulation and oversight. And, in particular, our disclosure needs to recognize this duality. With regard to credit agencies a broad question, and I recognize that this is not a new question, is, are there alternative compensation models that will better align the incentives of rating agencies to those of investors. Finally, LIBOR. As I have noted for some time now, depending on the position presents risks that market participants working with central banks and regulatory authorities need to address. I applaud the work to date, including identifying SOFR as a potential replacement for LIBOR, as well as, efforts to include transition language in loans, bonds and products that use LIBOR as a benchmark. That said much, much, much, or as my son would say, four months, dad, more work needs to be done for the transition to avoid substantial frictions. Including frictions that will harm our investors directly through higher costs and indirectly as a result of uncertain agendas. With this context I'll ask today's panel to comment on a broad issue that has been 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 12 today's panel to help me with that challenge. With those remarks, thank you very much. Michael, back to you. MR. HEANEY: Thank you, Chairman Clayton. Also joining us on the phone today is Commissioner Jackson. Commissioner, would you like to make your opening remarks? COMMISSIONER JACKSON: I would. Thank you very much for the opportunity. I'm --I'm terribly sorry to be unable to join you today, but I appreciate very much the chance to --to share a few opening thoughts. And I want to begin by saying how strongly I agree with everything the chairman's just said, but in particular, his gratitude for all of you for joining us at today's meeting and for doing this very important work. You know, since my very first day on the SEC, my first day on the job, my first task on the job was to attend my very first FIMSAC meeting, I have been consistently impressed with the exceptional work of this committee. I'm greatful to each one of you for your service to the Commission 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 11 currently in my mind. Now, I'm going to speak very generally. There are people here that are much more expert about this than I am, but I want to learn more on this issue. And I know it's more complex in practice. LIBOR-based securities and products generally reflect recent markets; a risk free rate, a bank funding spread over the risk free rate and an additional fixed spread to or from the lender to the borrower or customer. The current LIBOR benchmark incorporates both the first and second component, the risk free rate and the bank funding spread rate over that risk free rate. Although each of these components fluctuates with market conditions, they are combined when we say the word LIBOR. The SOFR benchmark in contrast incorporates just the first component, the fluctuating risk free rate, but not the second component, the fluctuating bank funding spread over the risk free rate. As a result a loan, bond or product that is comprised of the SOFR rate and an additional fixed spread would not be expected to fully incorporate that floating bank rate spread, that second component. This difference in approach appears to me to make like-for-like mapping from a LIBOR product to a SOFR product challenging. I ask 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 13 and the nation's investors. And as we meet for the last time this year, I look forward to hearing from the committee on today's discussions, especially about credit ratings and financial benchmarks. I also wanted to share two thoughts of my own as the committee continues its important work next year and, once again, express my appreciation to Chairman Clayton for his leadership in extending the committee's work for next year to address these, among other, important issues. First, I want to highlight your work on an issue you raised in your previous meeting, the potentially abusive use of last looks or pennying in bond auctions. Now, you all know far better than I that auctions play an important role in centralizing liquidity. And, of course, a last look can be a way for dealers to avoid adverse selection, that is, losing money on bad trades. But we all know there's no free lunch in finance. If dealers are systematically abusing last looks to obtain free price discovery, well, then that comes at the cost of fair competition and market efficiency. As in other markets where we've worked on similar problems I wanted to call on my colleagues at FINRA and the SEC to consider 4 (Pages 10 to 13) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 14 collecting data from trading venues to study this issue and, if they contend this is warranting, consider rule making in the area. Second, I want to encourage thoughtful discussion about one of today's agenda items, alternative compensation arrangements for credit rating agencies. We all know that incentives play a powerful role in shaping our markets and I for one am concerned that credit rating agencies lack the necessary incentives to produce reliable, unbiased ratings for systematically important markets. Now, as the chairman explained, I thought rather eloquently, these are complicated issues, and you know far more about it than I do, but it is notable that despite legislative and regulatory attempts to introduce transparency, oversight and competition to these markets, we're now --we now risk repeating the tragic history of rating shopping. I very much look forward to hearing from the committee on alternative ways we can think about this problem, alternative frameworks we can bring to the credit rating process and how we can produce the transparent and reliable ratings that American investors deserve. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 16 Trading and Markets is Lizzie Baird, one of our -one of our deputy directors. To Lizzie's right are Dave Shillman and John Roeser, Associate Directors in the Office of Market Supervision in Trading and Markets. Down on my left are Rebecca Olsen, Director of the Office of Municipal Securities, Abby Kim from the Division of Economic and Risk Analysis, and Jessica Kane, Director of the Office of Credit Ratings. I'd also like to thank Mark Berger and his team here in the New York Regional Office for being such gracious hosts for us here at --at NYRO. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you all that the views expressed here are just those of the speaker and do not necessarily reflect those of the Commission, the staff or any other commissioners. With that, as we approach this two-year anniversary of the committee I want to just start by thanking all of the FIMSAC members for the hard work and dedication that you've all brought to the discussions that we've had. It really has been impressive and extremely productive, the number of recommendations and the number of thoughtful 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 15 Thanks again to each one of you for your continued engagement throughout this year. Look, we know how very busy every professional in that room is and we are very grateful for the time that you spend to provide us with what I assure you is crucial advice on how to move these markets forward. I very much look forward to today's conversations and thank you for the opportunity to be apart of them. CHAIRMAN HEANEY: Thank you, Commissioner Jackson. Commissioner Purse and Commissioner Elad Roisman will be joining us later in the day and we look forward to their participation. Next I'll turn it over to Brett Redfearn, Director of the Division of Trading and Markets and the Committee's designated federal officer for opening comments. MR. REDFEARN: Thank you, Michael. And I'd like to welcome everybody here today to our FIMSAC meeting. Thank you. Let me briefly introduce my colleagues here. So, to my right, from the Division of 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1617 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 17 meetings that we've had here today. Over the past two years we've held eight public meetings, made ten recommendations to the Commission. These recommendations range from improving transparency and promoting liquidity for institutional and retail investors in the corporate bond market to rethinking the way we regulate electronic trading and promoting better investor education concerning fixed-income products, among other things. And it's clear as evidenced by today's agenda that you continue to tackle important challenges that have no easy answer. Indeed, today's agenda may reflect the most diverse and numerous set of issues that this committee has considered at any meeting thusfar. I thank you all for your continued willingness to take on such challenging issues and to candidly share your insights with us. I also want to take a moment to comment on the importance of public engagement and to commend this committee on its level of inclusiveness. Throughout your tenure you've recognized that market participants beyond those recognized -- represented on the FIMSAC have important insights on a range of topics you access 5 (Pages 14 to 17) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 18 and that their views inform your own collective thoughts. We can see that engagement -engagement can inform the many subcommittee meetings and we see this in the subcommittee meeting minutes reflecting participation by non-FIMSAC members and from the publicly accessible panels such as today's that you host at your quarterly meetings. And a big thank you to our panelists today also for their participation. As always, interested parties may continue to submit comments on the work of the committee via the FIMSAC website page and the committee's deliberations and topics under discussions, preliminary recommendations and all recommendations approved by the committee are made available to the public on the FIMSAC's web page. I look forward to today's discussions and thank you again to all the FIMSAC members and today's panelists for devoting your time to this committee's important work. Back to you, Michael. CHAIRMAN HEANEY: Thank you, Brett. So, we have a full day, as has been mentioned, a five-panel discussions. This morning 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 20 past two years and FIMSAC has made great strides in adopting measures which have helped to improve market liquidity through our recommendations in large part, but also through the outside panel work. I look forward to our third and final year as we continue down this path of exploring potential new recommendations and monitoring current ones. And again, I'd like to also thank our panelists for their participation today. With that, let's dive right into our first panel, but before we begin, two housekeeping items. I will reiterate, as I always do, please with your name tags if you could put it up so we can hear from all FIMSAC members. And, secondly, I'm being asked to ask the panelists and FIMSAC members to leave the volume button unchanged. It will be moderated, I guess, in the back with just on and off, but no volume adjustments, please. So, with that, our first panel will be discussing structured formats to provide disclosure in municipal markets. Let me introduce our moderator, Lynn Martin, who will be moderating this panel as Chair of FIMSAC's Municipal Securities Transparencies Subcommittee. Lynn, I'll turn it over to you. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 19 the Municipal Transparency Subcommitte will host a panel regarding the utility of structured disclosure by municipal issuers and the Credit --Credit Rating Subcommittee will host a panel focusing on a range of alternative compensation models that have been discussed in the past concerning credit ratings. You'll also hear an update from Rick McVey and Mihir Worah on the ongoing work of technology in e-trading and corporate bond transparency subcommittees respectively. After lunch the ETF and Bond Fund Subcommittee will host a panel on the role of fixed-income construction and Brett will be moderating a panel concerning inter-dealer government securities market. We'll end the day with a panel moderated by Lizzie Baird on the status of the current LIBOR transition project as Chairman -excuse me, as Chairman Clayton eluded to, and a discussion of the recent volatility within the repo market. Today's agenda is a great example of the wide range of issues we have tackled over the last two years. I want to join Brett in thanking you all for your active engagement on this committee. I will say, this has been an exciting 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 21 MS. MARTIN: Thank you, Michael. Chair Clayton, Commissioner Jackson, SEC staff and fellow FIMSAC members, thank you for giving us the opportunity to talk to you about this topic today. I'd like to thank my esteemed panelists for joining us today. On the panel we have Duffy Blackburn, an auditor from Will County, Illinois, Lisa Washburn, Managing Director from MMA, Campbell Pryde, President and CEO of XBRL US, Mark Kim, Executive Vice President and COO of MSRB, and Michael Willis, Assistant Director, Office of Structured Disclosure from DORA at the SEC. Thank you all. I'm looking forward to a wide discussion on the topic of structured disclosures in the muni market. This topic has been raised at multiple FIMSAC subcommittees actually. Not just at the Municipal Transparency Subcommitte, but also more recently as part of the Credit Rating Subcommittee work. The way we think of this issue is really whether the implementation of technology, or some form of standardization of reporting, could help with the issue of timeliness of disclosures. 6 (Pages 18 to 21) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 22 Particularly the financial disclosures which we've discussed at various FIMSAC meetings. We've seen the positive impact that standardization of protocols and common technology has had on the corporate bond market with the implementation of the XBRL protocol performed easily accessible and queriable database within EDGAR for the corporate side of the business. And one of the things we're wondering is whether a similar standard could be applied to muni markets. Again, with the idea of standardization and increased transparency. With that, I'd like to proceed with today's discussion around the topic. My first question's going to be directed towards Duffy and Lisa. For a typical muni bond offering, what is the nature of the basic financial disclosures made available to the market, particularly on an ongoing basis? DIRECTOR REDFEARN: Lynn, might I just ask for just one second, I know a lot of the microphones were on when we came in here, but I would just suggest that if you're not speaking to just hit the green light and turn the microphones off for those of you not speaking. Thank you. The feedback down there can be bad. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 24 provided is the audited financial statements well after the close of the fiscal year. And sometimes audited financial statements don't even come out every year. Sectors that typically have a narrower investor base or those that operate in a more profit-like environment tend to provide more regular financial information. So, for example, hospitals as a sector generally provide much more regular interim financial information to the public --investment public. Do you want me to go over to the critiques or -MS. MARTIN: Let's --let's move to --to Duffy for his prospective as well. And then --and then maybe the two of you can go back and forth between various critiques you may have. MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. You have the current system or the current system of this basic element of disclosure, has it run its course? And at Will County we've issued an XBRL report. And how have we done this and how would anybody else do this. And the basic question I usually get from -at the local level, after I wipe away the --the novelty of XBRL or space-age benefits of structured 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 23 MS. WASHBURN: Thank you all. And thank you for having me here today. In terms of market disclosure, the tolerables, quality, frequency and accessibility to --to information varies across sectors and issuers and information is typically added to YES at the time a bond is issued. The official statement typically provides a copy of the most recent audit and other updated financial and important nonfinancial information. Issuers that have missed filings or that are slow to file will typically catch up at this point, but after issuance the information flow is generally less robust and does run the gamut from thorough to lacking. There are some issuers that provide the full compliment of ongoing financial information. So, things like budget comparison, cash flows, interim financials, operating statistics. For example, the Commonwealth of Massachusetts has a website linked to EMMA that provides comprehensive monthly financial information, but there are many governments, particularly those that are infrequent issuers or those that are smaller in size for which disclosure is only provided --the only disclosure that's 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 25 data, is usually, aren't you already doing this or why aren't we already doing this. And when we compile our CAFR, our basic financial report, after six months we have a 30-day extension for the CAFR, the GFOA, 210 days from EMMA to put in the --the official statement. We do have 120 days to get in our state disclosure, the AFR. Most of the timeliness critiques do definitely pop up. And --so, just being here is -thank you for inviting me to be here. Thank you, Lynn. Thank you, FIMSAC. I've actually followed you and many of your organizations through the development and work on XBRL. And --and --so, I have had a long-term goal of producing an XBRL statement at the local level. So, I appreciate your invitation to speak. And hopefully we can get into some of the critiques, and again, have a lively discussion on if this is doable and feasible for the market. MS. MARTIN: So, Duffy, I'm going to come back to you to go --delve more into the XBRL and your experience with the XBRL implementation and use and things of that nature, but first I want to go to Mark. 7 (Pages 22 to 25) Page 26 Page 28 1 Mark, how are these disclosures, 1 Then finally, turning to continuing 2 XBRL, not XBRL, displayed on the EMMA system and 2 disclosures, which is really I think the subject of 3 distributed to --to customers on the EMMA system. 3 today's conversation, these continuing disclosures 4 MR. KIM: Sure. And thank you for 4 are made under the Anti-Fraud Provisions of the 5 the opportunity to participate on the panel. 5 Federal Securities Law. And in particular through 6 I thought it would be helpful to 6 SEC Rule 15c2-12. At a very high level, this rule 7 maybe take a step back and talk about the universe 7 requires underwriters to take reasonable diligence 8 of disclosures that the MSRB makes transparent to 8 to insure that issuers have entered into what's 9 the market. 9 known as a continuing disclosure agreement, or CDA, 10 We do serve as the sole designated 10 with the holders of its bonds. The actual 11 repository of municipal market disclosures. And 11 provisions of the CDA vary from issuer to issuer. 12 really, at the highest level I would say that there 12 Neither the SEC nor the MSRB has the 13 are three different types of disclosure information 13 regulatory authority to dictate or to mandate what 14 that we make transparent to the market. The first 14 the timing of those disclosures or the content of 15 is primary market disclosures, the second would be 15 those disclosures must be. However, generally 16 secondary market disclosures and then the third 16 speaking, the CDAs cover two different types of 17 would be continuing disclosures. And it's really 17 continuing disclosures. The first is material event 18 that last type of disclosures that's the focus of 18 notices. And then, the second are annual financial 19 this panel, but I think it would be helpful just as 19 information or operating data. 20 context and background to just touch very briefly on 20 So, very briefly, the material event 21 the first two as well. 21 notices touch on credit worthiness of an issuer. 22 Primary market disclosures are made 22 The SEC has identified 16 material events that must 23 pursuant to MSRB Rule G32. This rule requires 23 be disclosed. These events cover issues such as the 24 underwriters in primary offerings to submit a final 24 false delinquencies, bankruptcies and most recently, 25 official statement, which is really the analogous to 25 any material financial obligation undertaken by the Page 27 Page 29 1 the prospectus in the corporate markets, to the MSRB 1 issuer such as a bank loan. 2 within seven business days of the underwriting of 2 These material event notices must be 3 the securities. The MSRB then makes this disclosure 3 filed within ten business days to the MSRB. And the 4 data available to the public at no cost through its 4 MSRB then makes that --those event notices 5 EMMA website. This data -- primary market 5 transparent to the public for free at no cost. 6 disclosure data comes to the MSRB in largely 6 Those event notices come to the MSRB as unstructured 7 unstructured format. 7 data, typically in PDF format. 8 Secondary market disclosures are made 8 And then finally, and this is really 9 pursuant to MSRB Rule G14 which covers trade 9 I think the area where XBRL conversations are having 10 reporting. Under this rule dealers are required to 10 is the second type of continuing disclosure that 11 report any trade in a municipal security to the MSRB 11 issuers provide to the market are annual financial 12 within 15 minutes of the time of trade. The MSRB 12 information or operating --operating data which 13 then makes that trade data transparent to the 13 really speaks to the financial condition --the 14 market, again, through EMMA to the public at no 14 ongoing financial condition of the issuer. 15 cost. 15 I would note that issuers are not 16 It typically takes the MSRB on a 16 required to audit their financials. Most do, but 17 normal trading day -- last Friday for instance, it 17 they're not required to do so. And for the issuers 18 took the MSRB approximately 14 seconds to do 18 that do audit their financials, they're also not 19 end-to-end processing of that trade information. 19 required to prepare their financial statements in 20 Most dealers submit the trade information to the 20 accordance with GAAP, or Generally Accepted 21 MSRB sooner than the 15-minute time requirement. 21 Accounting Principles. So, there are non GAAP 22 So, in terms of timeliness, that secondary market 22 financials that are presented to the market and 23 trade information is typically going to the market 23 unaudited financials that are presented to the 24 within 15 minutes of the time of trade. That data 24 market. 25 is fully structured. 25 It is importantly up to the 8 (Pages 26 to 29) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 1213 14 15 16 1718 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 30 individual issuer to establish the time frame in which it will present its annual financial information or operating data to the market. Again, neither the SEC nor the MSRB has the regulatory authority to determine what that time frame or what the content of those financial disclosures are. When we receive the annual financial information or operating data it comes to the MSRB in unstructured format. So, hopefully that gives an overview of -MS. MARTIN: Yeah, and I think it very eloquently points out some of the challenges, particularly when it comes to financial disclosures, which is what the -- the market appears to be most acutely aware of. I'm going to pivot now to Campbell and Michael. As I said, in my opening remarks, and as you've heard from the panelists so far, EDGAR and the corporate bond market has been sort of a model that has been used leveraging technology, allowing customers to have the data in queriable format, improving disclosure information. Could either of you comment on what the process was to implement 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 32 number in the paper financial it changes it in the underlying financial format. So, that --that --when that data hits the SEC there are a number of people who are, basically, reading an SEC feed. A large number of hedge funds are pulling that data in and --and, basically, as they're pulling that data in -typically, today most of that is being done by large institutional investors. It probably represents we've estimated about 70 percent of assets under management --under management of the funds are pulling that data in. We, for example, we take that data -we make that --pull that data into databases that we then distribute to people who are interested in looking at the data, make the data available for free for people as well. And so, we get --you know, we're roughly getting a million hits a month I think it is on the data. And that's just people who are just generally interested in understanding that information. Most of those companies --most of those people either do it for their own personal investment choices or then you've got mid market players who want to start then distributing data as well. Sort of, small start ups. So, the cost for 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 31 XBRL in that market. And, more specifically, talk about how customers actually use the data today, what you've observed since the transition of the corporate bond market to this format. MR. PRYDE: I'll let Mike cover the process of implementing it. And I'll --and I'll just talk about just in terms of how people using that data today. So, just if you're not familiar with how the process works, basically, all public companies report to the Commission in a electronic format and the report in an XBRL format. That includes today the financial statement information, also footnote information. It does not include NDA disclosures. That information covers both quarterly and annual financial statement information. That --that information --once the company files with the SEC, they've got to file both their XBRL filing and their internal financial statement filing. However, in the last year that has changed and that's a phase in process at the moment. They are filing something called in line XBRL which basically means, it's just one document. You just have a --a filing that comes in, the number that's reported is the same. You change the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 33 someone into that marketplace is very, very small and makes it much, much easier. And most of the benefit there is, you know, traditionally people would read --you know, get a paper financial, they've got to read through that data. They've got to pull it. Most of it -as you know, most of these documents are similar to the CAFR and to the extent they're very large documents. They over hundreds of pages long. It's very hard for people to read through those. So, one of the things that's happening in the marketplace is people can just extract the data they want from those reports. They can bring it instantly into practical representations. And so, you know, one of the things that, you know, we're trying to promote and a lot of other people in the marketplace are promoting is really making that data accessible to investors through seeing it looking on a smart phone, looking on a website, see it in a graphic representation. I think that it's unrealistic today to expect anyone who's going to be investing in the future, certainly under 40, to be looking at pulling these documents down and reading them. That they can get that information on a smart phone just 9 (Pages 30 to 33) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 34 makes --it just makes this more where it gets that information out. And having that data in an electronic format, you have to do that. I don't think, you know, distributing these massive documents to people is not a smart way to distribute information to investors. So, I'll leave it to Mike, you can talk about the process. MR. WILLIS: Sure. I'll --I'll cover two processes. One we see from reporting and also how we implemented it initially. So, the evidence sort of is sitting right in front of us with this machine readable tag here. So, I use the bar code as the analogy in that it helps information be delivered in a much more timely manner, at a lower cost, it gives the consumers much more diversity in products and they have a lower cost. So, it actually works for the entire supply chain of the standardization play. So, there's no winner or losers. There's actually a way to make the entire supply chain work more efficiently. Any of us that have been in grocery store, we see that today in spades, but it didn't happen overnight. So, the way the SEC program was 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 36 decision making process. A large Fortune 500 company did that. They wrote an article on it called, Driving Fashion Decisions which sort of makes the point. That appeared in the Journal of Accountancy. In terms of how the data gets used from an analyst, it is more timely depending on how the process worked, but it also allows them to identify company-specific disclosures. So, if it's not in the taxonomy, they create an extension which is a company-specific idea which actually turns out to be very useful for an analyst to be able to delineate what's unique about this company. That's very useful. It also can identify disclosures by topic. So, rather than looking for something by words, we can now look by concept which is a very powerful idea, almost a magic trick. The words may not appear in the report, but the topic is there. So now we can find them. Additionally, it allows you to --to really dig into the report and find things regardless of where they're located. It's --on an individual report you can do that, but you can also do that in the aggregate. Now, a lot of 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 35 implemented is there was a voluntary program for a number of years, three or four years, and then, the taxonomy was actually developed by the expert, Mr. Campbell, and his team. That got transitioned over to FASB. They maintain that taxonomy today. It goes through a public review process and it's approved by the Commission on an annual basis. And there's other taxonomies that are used by registrants for publishing. If we go back to the bar code for a second. Back when I had dark hair, that was implemented and it was implemented by inventory clerks in the grocery stores putting the bar codes on the products when they stocked the shelves. So, we quickly see that added cost, but they figured it out, they pushed it back to the producers, the manufacturers. What we see in the corporate space is sort of the same thing. They finish their financial statements and then they put the tags on it. So, it's sort of like how the bar code was first implemented. There are some companies who are beginning to push that back against their operating systems which really generates a lot of internal transparency which kind of flows into their own 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 37 municipalities are very unique in how they operate. And so, that's where you kind of want to dig in. This doesn't change the model. Just like the bar code didn't change my grandmother's recipe on pecan pie, but it did definitely lower the cost for getting those ingredients. The --the recipe is equivalent to the analyst's model. So, this just allows them to be delivered and the analyst still does their thing. And I think that's the key process as a way to make the information more efficient, lower cost and more specific and granular so that the analyst can actually determine what's standardized and what might be entity specific. MS. MARTIN: One of the --one of the challenges that folks have pointed out because this standard has been proposed in the muni markets is administrative burden and additional costs that could be imposed on the industry. Do you have a sense as to how that was received, at least on the corporate side, or at least the magnitude? Either Mike or Campbell. And then, Lisa, I'm going to pivot to you to ask, you know, what are the drawbacks of using some form of standard. 10 (Pages 34 to 37) 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 21 22 2324 25 Page 38 MR. WILLIS: So, in the initial movement, the estimate, it was around $25,000.00 as the estimate. Recent surveys of the smaller companies have indicated that number is closer to 2,500. So, that's a ten-fold decrease. As I mentioned earlier, we're still seeing many companies, just like the grocery stores, it's sort of an after fact. I think as the supply chain matures we may see the flip side of that. So, just as an example, in my prior life I was able to architect a -- an audit platform that actually used XBRL from the ledgers and sub ledgers across an entire sector. Within two years we applied that to 5,000 clients and we were able to automate over 40 percent of the audit procedures. That's not about cost increase. That's about cost decrease. I think it's more than just report preparation. That actually begins, just like the bar code, have a very positive cost impact on everybody, but it depends on the implementation. That's the key point. MR. PRYDE: And Mike and I can talk about this a lot. This initiation with the SEC program we saw an approach of what we called a bulk 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 40 In other markets such as --if you look in the markets like the UK, every single company has to follow an XBRL format. If you're a doctor or you're an accountant and you've got a small business you have to report on an XBRL --your XBRL financials to both the tax department, in the UK Customs House. They make that voluntary. You can file either in paper or an XBRL format. However, if you file paper-based format you've got to mail in your financial statements. And I think, like, 90 percent of participants choose to file it in XBRL format. And the reason -' cause it's cheaper than the postage. The reason for that is because all of the accounting systems and everything else has been changed to, basically, support XBRL so that that data can be filed. So, really it's an infrastructure issue and infrastructure changes. And then you can get much, much more efficiency over the long term. I think where we're at today, most of this financial reporting got to a point where it's kind of a dead end. You --you can't get that cost down. It's a lot of work. You've got to take all of the data from the financial systems. You've got to pull that data down, get it in, put it in, format Page 39 Page 41 1 point. So, what this means is, I've got all of my 1 it, get it into a paper format where it looks good 2 data in an electronic format sitting in my sub 2 and then get it out. That's not necessarily what 3 systems. I put it into paper and then I put it back 3 the market wants. And at the same time, this is 4 into an electronic format again. I send it --then 4 kind of a dead end in terms of getting efficiency in 5 I send it out to the financial markets, all right. 5 process. 6 So, today we have the same thing. 6 MR. BLACKBURN: If I can add -7 The data is in electronic format, putting it into a 7 MS. MARTIN: Yeah. I actually was 8 paper like CAFR, send that paper based format out to 8 going to go to you Duffy before I go to Lisa. 9 the financial markets. They take it, they put it 9 So, Duffy, you --you did this 10 back into the electronic format. So, they put it 10 without a mandate. You thought it was the right 11 down, back up. 11 thing to do, as you mentioned in your --in your -12 So, this bulk point approach where 12 in your opening remarks. Has how has the experience 13 you're taking the paper and putting it into an 13 been moving your financial statements at least to 14 electronic format, it's inherently not an efficient 14 this format? Have there been costs? What lead you 15 thing to do. You should be taking the data straight 15 to make that decision? 16 out of your financial systems. And there is a 16 MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. Yeah. As we 17 transitional period to do that. 17 believe, Will County is the --as we believe, is the 18 So, you will see now with most market 18 first CAFR to be produced in a smaller format. Just 19 participants and the SEC program they've moved 19 a few data points along the larger CAFR that we 20 towards that. There's still people doing bulk point 20 produce. And as Campbell and Mike said, we actually 21 approaches. A lot of providers in the marketplace 21 take our --as a side note to technology and local 22 provide that very cheaply. I think the cheapest 22 government, we take Advantis 400 system, IBM, put 23 I've seen is like $250.00 to do it, but that's for a 23 it --take it out with Sequel, put it into Excel. 24 very, very small company and wouldn't apply to most 24 Then, manipulate that through the functions of -25 large --large municipal security issuers. 25 just database functions with Excel. And then, take 11 (Pages 38 to 41) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 42 that and ship it into a 346-page document that is just --it's not being used as we understand from the market, from the people that it should impact, from the users of our financial data. And then, we then send it in PDF format to EMMA, to the --the investors. And they then also apparently don't appreciate that format as well. And it feels like it just seems glaring that local governments, local units, are doing a lot of work and wasting a lot of cost and burden to do so. If we're going to take just the 850 different data points that we have tagged in our CAFR and put it into XBRL it seems that's a much better use of local units' time and effort. We went through a survey and a cost estimate with the Center for Governmental Studies at Northern Illinois University. So, they helped us just define and just, sort of, review what we had done. And --and we put together a CAFR that's 40 to 80 hours worth of prep time and review time. And it's about five to $10,000.00 worth of cost to us. Where if we had been, sort of, you know, a smaller subset of data that has more impact and use at the beginning, and this is assuming that in lieu of an AFR that goes to our state and to GFOA and to the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 44 make available? Was that something that -MR. BLACKBURN: It was based on --it was based on right now --yes. This is then --this is to determine what's being tagged. Ultimately is with the people tasked with this for the national CAFR taxonomy. So, we started with just four basic financials. With GASBE there's two different financials. There's modified accrual. So, we did basic four financials, the statement of net position, revenues, the balance sheet and then, also pensions. And then --but if there is an issue, if analysis and data shows issues or reveals issues with assets, tagging information could be applied to some capital assets that we're investing based on type or age of those assets. But again, it's going back to whoever is tasked with putting together this taxonomy. MS. MARTIN: Lisa? MS. WASHBURN: Sure. So, nothing against structured data as a concept, right, but in a municipal market we have a lot of hurdles that -some could be maybe surmountable, but others that maybe not be that could limit the utility of structured data reporting for the investor community 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 43 official statement that Mark Kim had brought up, it's 100 --it's 1,000 to $1,200.00. The savings is --it's clear that we would save money. If we are producing at a local --at a municipal unit something that actually has more impact that would be much better. As far as the three different --the three different reports that we actually have to make, each one of them have costs. So, the CAFR has costs. That's the prescribed by --just by -prescribed by GFOA. Then we have the state. And then we have the EMMA that is also then rendered by our financial advisor on retainer that they send to the EMMA. So, all together it's about $20,000.00 we believe. Where if we just had a smaller subset. There's also the assumption that with all of this, the 346 pages of --of financial disclosure, we wouldn't attempt or we should not attempt to at first tag every point. The --the Iris --the Iris Technologies who is one of the producers of XBRL for the SEC public companies, they had said that it would cost maybe five to $7,000.00, but that's considering 21,000 points of data. MS. MARTIN: How did you decide what points of data you thought would be appropriate to 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 45 beyond just really making it an easier way to populate our spreadsheets. U.S. local governments are difficult to standardized. So, governments that are called the same things don't necessarily have the same responsibilities, revenues or reporting conventions. So, for example, you've got New York City, Boston, they operate their school districts. Chicago has a separate entity that does that. In Maryland counties do the same thing that cities do elsewhere, right. So, they have a lot more of the responsibilities and revenues. Governments account for things --the same items differently, right. So, Hugh did some research on cities and pointed out that in Florida different cities reported the same item differently. So, the states share --I'm sorry, the local --the local government sale of --share of state sales taxes, some reported that as own source revenues. Whereas, others reported it as having received it from the state. It's been mentioned before that governments use different accounting standards that range from cash accounting up through full accrual. So, you've got very different reporting structures. 12 (Pages 42 to 45) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 46 And then also, the self --the ability to self-report and create these unique taggings, unique fields, is also likely to inhibit how reliable the structured data can be. Without oversight and quality --the quality and comparability of the data is likely to deteriorate from whatever point it starts at. Even in the regulated corporate market there have been some reported concerns about the accuracy and consistent use of the developed taxonomy. And, you know, many analysts are going to want to review the source documents anyway. They'll want to appreciate what's in the notes and other elements that can't be captured in just providing a subset of data points. You know, in --in thinking about how structured data may be able to be used more readily, it may be better suited for a state by state enactment of structured data where you can have fully customized data for the particular state based on what their governments do and how their governments account for things if you can get the state to agree to standardize that, but across states it gets very, very difficult. MS. MARTIN: Thanks. So, clearly 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 48 it --it delays getting financial information out there, that would be problematic for investors. And if we're talking about, you know, structured data being --improving the --the availability of data by, like, five days, I'm not sure that getting a financial, you know, on day 205 after the end of the fiscal year is any better than getting it 210 days after the fiscal year. And some of the issues that have been discussed about why it's difficult to get financial information have to do with costs, resource constraints, the availability of auditors that do governmental accounting. You know, they're just, there are many more issues that are out there that --oh, and the complexity of component units of government having to do their audits first and then report in to other governments in order for audits to be finished. So, if we can't get at kind of the whole, I don't know whether the right word is supply chain here, and figure out how to get more frequent or more --more timely information. I think really the issue for investors is getting more frequent information. And that's really our first cause of action is to try to get interim financial 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 47 there's a lot of challenges with implementing any sort of standard in the market. MS. WASHBURN: Can I add one more thing? MS. MARTIN: Absolutely. MS. WASHBURN: Okay. You know, I think that one of the biggest issues for investors is timeliness of data. MS. MARTIN: Yeah. And that's really what has lead us to --to assume this panel is --is the challenge around timeliness of financial disclosures that --that you've all pointed out. MS. WASHBURN: Right. And, you know, it --it doesn't seem to me that the --there can be efficiencies with structured data, but the --but structured data doesn't get at the heart of why it takes so long to get a government financial audit out. And so, I think what we --you know, in looking at structured data, if it didn't delay from the time period and you could --you could overcome all of the hurdles I've talked about with governments, if it didn't delay the time getting information out to the public then I think that investors would be --you know, would either be indifferent to happy, right. But to the extent that 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 49 disclosures versus just getting what we get today in a structured format. MS. MARTIN: Okay. So, I'm going to turn it to Mark and Mike just on the back of some of Lisa's comments. Do you think there is applicability for a standard like XBRL in the muni market or should the focus really be on what can be done to improve the timeliness of financial disclosures in any event? MR. KIM: So, I think Lisa raises a really good point that the XBRL question doesn't really get to the heart of the timeliness question. I think what XBRL does do is get to the content question of trying to make financial disclosures more comparable and more standardized and more uniform. And --and that is a value to this market. The timeliness question is, I think, a separate one that isn't addressed directly by the XBRL questions. MR. WILLIS: That may be more of what's required by the different people who are dictating the timeline, but certainly the examples I gave earlier and just the idea of the bar code as the analogy. Now, with the bar code, fulfillment 13 (Pages 46 to 49) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 50 is now an automated basis. So, that's a whole different game than before we had the bar code. So, that's what the supply chain actually standard does, it enables that, but it also depends on again where it's implemented. If it's bolt on problem it's not --you have a much more efficient idea. So, I think something that Duffy said earlier was that he's actually mapping this against his operating system. That's not his financial system. That's a different idea. So, I think there's something there to think about. It's more granular data not summarized like we see it today in a report. There's something there to maybe investigate and to really think about what information is useful to the analyst community, how can they get it in a more timely manner, maybe even a more frequent manner. But certainly back to the bar code, one of the things it enabled was more frequent fulfillment. MS. WASHBURN: Just to kind of chime in. I think one of the --the key differences is that, you know, when we're talking about corporations, right, they're motivated by different --different elements that maybe a government --than a government is, right. So, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 52 not seem that it's satisfying the market's wish. And that's much different than the SEC. And as far as, like, the incentives at the --the local government level or state or local, there is a different --a different goal. And there's sort of a tertiary goal in this and it's just transparency in the, you know, democracy and transparency for citizens and more granular level of details within operations of how many roads and how many curbs and how many law enforcement and all of that that also can be included within a taxonomy that can offer some benefits. But as far as the --the goals and the objectives of a local --local government, there is a different reward system. And it's funny that the GFOA has always been giving awards to people. The CAFR award which is also, you know, synonymous with CAFR itself, but they give local governments awards. I think politicians or local units of government they like recognition. They like --they like these things that they get. And if you're going to incentivize local governments to do such, I think it has to be --I don't mean to be crude about this. You have to sort of, like, give them an 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 51 that's not to say there isn't value in getting them to prepare their financials more quickly and all of that, but governments are doing a whole host of different --different things, right. They're -they're running water systems. They're providing just garbage pick up. They're --they're doing a whole host of basic services and providing public safety within a community --wellness and public safety in a community. You know, I don't know that they're necessarily staffed with full financial departments across the board. Maybe Duffy's area is, but you know, there are many, many governments that have part-time financial areas that, you know, trying to get the efficiencies and dedicating more resources to it just might be ahead of left. MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. There's a large spectrum of well-staffed units and well-skilled units and well-sized units. The sophisticated issuer is much different than somebody in a rural setting. Most of the metropolitan units of government are able to take on this and definitely solve the content issue. As far as timeliness though, it's -the 210 days as a deadline is --is not --it does 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 1112 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 2223 24 25 Page 53 award, right. They put it up on their wall and they take pictures and -- and they show them -- they get to be in the paper. And if you could maybe --you know, since EMMA is the -- the repository, if they can offer just voluntary, like, hey, I got the early -- the early filer award or if you're going to satisfy XBRL, give them the XBRL award. It sounds crude, but I think that's a -- a good, good way. MR. PRYDE: Just a general comment on -- on standardization. I think, you know, all these issues are completely and aptly valid. However, to --to solve a lot of those problems, it's not going to go away if you do something. And if you look at it -and Mike talks about the supply chain. If you looked at New York in the '70s, there were a lot of wharfs here, that was totally revolutionized by standardization, right, through something like the shipping container. You know, now we can get goods from China or wherever, you know, in we're talking days or weeks versus months. So, the standardization of data or standardization of anything gives a lot of incentive for people to move towards that cause it's going to drop costs over time. So, you know, this is a 14 (Pages 50 to 53) 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2021 22 23 24 25 Page 54 complicated problem. EMMA, you know, the MSRB council has a problem, FIMSAC council has a problem, individual states have to get on board. It's a --it's a more of -- but you need to have a stake in the ground which people can start to move towards. Without having anything to move towards you're not going to get any change. Now -- and that change is going to take --it's not going to be a week, it's not going to be a year, it's not going to be two years, it's not going to be ten years probably, but to solve a lot of these problems you can achieve a lot of things through automating it. But to be able to automate any of this stuff, all of this stuff I'm hearing, it's very manually created it. Everyone's -- a very manual process. So -- but starting to set the framework for standardization is going to pay off benefits years from now. And I don't think everyone should be looking, hey, we're going to move to XBRL and we're going to have all these financial reports in years times and everything is going to be great. That's not the fact. States have to be convinced, everyone else. So -- but that process needs to start 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 56 MS. WALTER: Excuse me, my short arm doesn't reach the button. I agree with much of what has been said, but --and I leave it to David in particular to correct me if I'm wrong, but my recollection is that there isn't anything in the securities laws that prohibits the Commission from setting disclosure standards with respect to municipal issuers. The power of members is widely misunderstood to prohibit that. It doesn't. It prohibits the Commission and the MSRB from requiring filing. So, it is --now, maybe it would get struck down by the courts, but the Commission I think could step up and do rule some making. And I'm not suggesting a Reg SK, but something at a higher level to sort of walk people towards standardization, which is incredibly helpful for investors, and at the same time push for legislation that would provide explicit authority. And I think one of the keys will be, I think the stake in the ground, even if it's some time out, is good. You could stage this. So, you first put in place requirements for the regulatory or legislative which is perhaps at the state level 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 55 somewhere. And I think it's, you know, just make sure everyone realizes that it's going to be --you know, it's got to be --you've got to do something. MS. MARTIN: So, Mark and Mike, from your perspective, and I think you eloquently pointed out that there isn't a filing deadline for --for states associated with their financial disclosures every year. What --whose mandate is it ultimately to compel the states, aside from Duffy's idea of giving a best in class trophy, what else can be done to get municipalities to file on a more timely basis? MR. KIM: So, this is probably not going to be a very popular answer, but Congress has the authority. MS. MARTIN: Okay. MR. KIM: But absent congressional action, the second best solution is voluntary adoption by the municipality. MS. MARTIN: Okay. Michael, maybe we can open it up for broader FIMSAC committee questions. MR. HEANEY: I'm happy to at this point. Elisse. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 57 and then sort of move down in terms of what resources different municipal issuers have. I think one thing that is key particularly with respect to moving forward without legislation, but both is that investors really need to speak up very loudly about the fact that this really needs to happen because when we sit around tables like this, and I've done it for many years now, everybody kind of nods their head, yes, that's a really good idea, but in --in broader terms people aren't really pushing for it. So, I think that's something we should consider sort of on dual fronts. MR. HEANEY: So, let me if, I can, go to Rebecca to respond to that. And, Elisse, I will agree, there's a lot of head nodding, with myself included, going on with this. And if retail doesn't stand up and --and ask for it, I would hope that this group stands up for them. That's the one comment I would make before I pass to Rebecca. MS. OLSEN: So, I'll just say I agree with Elisse, but I --I would note even though the --you know, the tower amendment doesn't preclude the Commission from promulgating disclosure standards, there's also no expressed authority for 15 (Pages 54 to 57) Page 58 Page 60 1 us to do so. 1 MS. WASHBURN: I think what Elisse 2 Where we have done rule making in the 2 says is absolutely correct in terms of access to 3 past, which is primarily Exchange Act Rule 15c2-12, 3 additional information. Since it --it may be 4 is based very much on our anti-fraud authority. So, 4 difficult to get to the timeliness issue for 5 in thinking about this and --and things we can -5 structured data, but the thing that we really need 6 we can do, we definitely have to ground it in 6 is more frequent information in order to make sound 7 anti-fraud which is why I think, you know, many of 7 investment decisions. And if information is 8 the recommendations the Commission made in its 2012 8 being --being compiled at municipality level, 9 report, the municipal securities going to the 9 whether that be quarterly financials, 10 disclosure side did ask Congress for more authority. 10 budget-to-actual statements, cash flows, making that 11 Otherwise, we are very much left with relying on the 11 information available to analysts will go a long way 12 anti-fraud. 12 to bridge the gap in terms of the --the time lag in 13 In terms of kind of format of 13 getting the audits. 14 submitting financial disclosures, you know, the 14 MR. HEANEY: Amy. 15 architecture set up by Rule 15c2-12 does a couple of 15 MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. Thanks to 16 things. First of all, it designates the MSRB as the 16 all of you for participating in today's council. 17 single and central repository for where you have to 17 It's been very helpful. 18 submit your disclosure. And it also gives to the 18 My question is directed at Duffy, and 19 MSRB authority for prescribing the electronic 19 maybe at Lisa as well. And I think we've talked 20 format, as well as, any identifying information that 20 about this on the subcommittee a lot, and maybe even 21 has to be included in that filing. So, back when 21 at this FIMSAC meeting in the past, but, Duffy, have 22 that rule making was done, the MSRB did a rule 22 you had any feedback from investors on your 23 making and they --you know, they put down that it 23 implementation of XBRL? And, is there any change at 24 has to be sent in in Word searchable PDF. 24 all in your cost of capital? Are there market-based 25 So, you know, could something in that 25 incentives aside from the best-in-class trophy that 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 59 way be done in the future. You know, it would have to, you know, very much ground it in the authority we have or --or the MSRB and its authority as set up under the architecture or the rule, but it's -you know, it's certainly something we could think about. MS. WALTER: I don't want to hog the microphone, but let me just make one final point, and that is that I think the municipal issuers need to key in more closely to two facts. One, their constituents are frequently their investors. So, to say they're looking after their constituents more than their investors can be a funny game, but secondly, also many municipal issuers put out information more frequently than annually with respect to budget and the like. And in terms of anti-fraud authority the things that you're not saying may get you into a box. So, I think municipal issuers should be encourged to realize that this can be a win for them as well because they are vulnerable given the fact that they do make disclosures and that people want those disclosures. MR. HEANEY: Thank you, Elisse. Would you like to respond? 1 2 3 45 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1415 16 1718 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 61 we could potentially look to encourage or incentivize other municipalities to adopt this type of disclosure.? And then, secondarily, I think either of you, or both of you, or maybe all of you are active in GFOA. And to the extent that this cannot or there is some resistence to mandating it at a regularly level, is the GFOA and their standards, do they have the ability to have, like, extra credit GFOA standards wherein there could be some sort of award? Because that does motivate. I mean, we have on our wall lots of plaques for our CAFR and they are -- we are proud of it. So, I'm just curious as to your thoughts of other ways to implement some positive change here. MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. And other than Will County I think the -- the XBRL issuers are vacant. So, we actually have not heard anything back from any investors. We would love to hear -get some at-away for that. But we look towards a long time horizon. So, if this is 2019, we plan to retire our current bonds right now in 2050. So, we do see schedules that show that timeline. So, we're aware of a longer timeline. And if it takes us that 16 (Pages 58 to 61) 1 2 34 5 6 7 89 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324 25 Page 62 long or if it's 2100, we're planning to, you know, move into the future going forward. So, I would like to see -- I would like to see if we are pushing better data, more quickly, maybe unaudited and more timely, that that would give us some sort of reduction in cost of capital. That would be a -- a goal. MS. WASHBURN: So, I would say this, it's very difficult in today's environment to kind of say that there would be a cost of capital advantage for just about anything, right. I mean, supply and demand is just completely imbalanced, but that said, I think that where there could be a benefit down the road is in the providing of this interim financial data more quickly. I think that that's where you'll have investors make distinctions. If they're getting regular updated information from an investor --I'm sorry, from an issuer, that will -- and they're not from another issuer, they'll make the decision to go with the issuer that is providing the updated information. And that should increase the demand for those bonds. So, I think it really has to do with the providing of the information. Not necessarily the method in which you get the structured 1 2 3 4 567 8 9 10 11 12 1314 15 1617 18 19 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 64 would expect after voluntary issuance they -- they would be able to supply more data. And more data is probably, and rightfully so, will be -- will be requested. MR. HEANEY: Larry. MR. TABB: Might I suggest that we think creatively about the -- that we think creatively about the leverage that the government can exercise to -- to get the type of disclosure that would be beneficial, not only to the markets, but most especially to the citizens of all of these different entities. I have two suggestions, but I also want to ask you guys to think of other places where we might look. So, the strongest leverage that the federal government can exercise in municipal finance is held by IRS. Is it possible that IRS might determine within its authority that it needs to review the regular financials to insure that -- that issues remain tax exempt. If that's the case, perhaps a cooperative gesture or a inquiry to IRS might improve things. Another place where we might look is if the municipalities need anything from the SEC, do 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 63 disclosures or the method you get the disclosures. The other thing too that I think is somewhat inhibiting is that --I think, Duffy, you said you --you do a portion of your CAFR gets tagged. And from an investor's standpoint, right, we have to look at --at all of the notes and everything else that's in the CAFR to really fully appreciate what's going on in the government. So, if we're not getting information about a large contingent obligation, about a bank loan that's got a bullet maturity or covenants that, if breached, are going to result in the acceleration. Those are really critical elements to the credit quality that can't be found in just a subset of data. MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. Currently we have the --the process that we take our --our annual financial figures, those are actually tagged into a Word document. Again, just a side note on our technology, we just --we do have those numbers tagged so that all those figures that then end up in the paper document, the Word document, that then is exported to PDF are tagged. And once we feel more comfortable and others feel more versed and comfortable with the thought of data tagging, I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 65 we --do we have to review the original filings? If so --before they --before they can move forward. If so, why don't we create two lines, one line for those --for filings coming from states that are fast in their reporting and another line from the states that are slow. Now, I focus on the states and not on the entities because ultimately we could get a lot of power by pushing the states to do what we want them to get --to have the states push upon the -the different entities. This is especially important because many of these smaller entities mainly come to the market every 20 years and they figure, well, why bother with any of this until we have to come to the market. But if one of those entities is slowing down the rest of the state then it's very likely that the state will wisen up to it and start acting in --in the common interest. So, those are two suggestions, but perhaps all of you and others at the table can think of other levers besides perhaps those that we see in the powers that --and --and as a practical matter move forward without further congressional input. MR. WILLIS: I have a thought on the other agencies, specifically the IRS. 17 (Pages 62 to 65) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 66 The corporate filers, the structured data that comes in, it comes in as a filing. Every quarter we take those filings and strip them all down just to the data and we publish it as a data set. And those data sets are among the most popular downloads on the SEC's website every quarter, but they're also of interest to other agencies. Specifically, the IRS, census, Bureau of Economic Affairs, fed, et cetera. And the reason is because they're very granular. More granular than what's in the tax returns. So, they're using them for fraud assessments, looking at accruals, all that kind of thing, which sounds a lot like some of the things that Lisa is interested in in terms of that granular data on a specific debt instrument or a contingent liability. That's the kind of thing that's in those structured reports. MR. TABB: So, that would be another example, and the SEC's resources are limited and certainly we should be allocating those resources to maximize your agenda. Perhaps it's the case that -that those disclosures which ought to be timely will --the SEC first devotes resources to those people who are making it easy for us to do it. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 68 MR. BLACKBURN: Yes. We produce a GFOA CAFR in that expectation currently. MS. BALL: Okay. Speaking of costs, you spoke about implementation costs. What are the ongoing costs every year? Like, once you build taxonomy, do you --is that a one time thing or do you constantly need to do something every year? MR. BLACKBURN: Yeah. The current tagging and formatting would have a cost, but it would be greatly reduced afterwards. Just like any formatting of a large financial document. So, we're hoping that once we have in place now the only thing we have to do is just update the figures as --and then, just like any chart of accounts within an organization, maybe once, twice, three times a year new accounts are added in in a block. So, if --if we're tagging less numbers and less figures than that, we're expecting not much, you know, ongoing continuing costs. MS. BALL: Is this done internally or via some software or externally? MR. BLACKBURN: It would be --right now we are using just Excel. And some of it is, sort of, the spoke work that we have to do because Page 67 Page 69 1 MR. HEANEY: Thank you. Let me go to 1 we are the --the only person doing this with just 2 Giedre because we have about four or five minutes 2 Excel, but other applications are --and products 3 left. 3 and solutions are on --out there in the 4 MS. BALL: Okay. So, I want to talk 4 marketplace. 5 a bit about costs. 5 We've just signed a contract for a 6 What I'm hearing is that the costs 6 new ERP situation with Microsoft, the Dynamics 365, 7 are going to be bourne by the issuer, but the 7 which has and offers --throughout Europe they've 8 benefits are going to be reaped by investors because 8 implemented XBRL taxonomy and schema and everything 9 if you are not a large frequent issuer, what is the 9 that would just automatically come from our chart of 10 benefit really to you, right? 10 accounts and be placed right into the instance 11 Second thing, timeliness. That does 11 document. 12 not help with timeliness. That actually does the 12 MS. BALL: Mr. Willis, is that what 13 opposite to timeliness. Issuers are dealing with 13 you were talking about, the operating system, right? 14 multiple complex components, right. They are also 14 MR. WILLIS: Yes. 15 dealing with different GASBE amendments and -- like 15 MS. BALL: Okay, thank you. 16 latest one, GASBE 87. And then you add another 16 MR. HEANEY: Thank you. I'll go to 17 requirement that's going to require their resources 17 Suzanne and then John, please. 18 and time, tagging, creating taxonomy, that's going 18 MS. SHANK: Yes. Most of my comments 19 to affect the timeliness even more. 19 and questions have been already asked or stated, but 20 So, Duffy, question to you. Are you 20 I wanted to just mention that we have approximately 21 a frequent large issuer? 21 50,000 municipal issuers and this is not going to be 22 MR. BLACKBURN: Yes. 22 helpful to investors if the vast majority of them or 23 MS. BALL: Okay. So, you expect the 23 all of them do not, you know, participate. And, you 24 benefits of XBRL reporting to be -- come through the 24 know, with all the things that Lisa and others have 25 bonds transactions, right? 25 stated, that is just a mammoth, mammoth undertaking. 18 (Pages 66 to 69) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 70 We're either just going to be providing outside consultants, you know, new business lines so they can make more money on the heels of taxpayers. And so, I think we should just, you know, be cautioned that we are accomplishing something that is industry-wide, issuer-wide, that would have low impact for investors. MR. HEANEY: Thank you, Suzanne. John. MR. BAGLEY: Lisa, I wanted to ask you, do you think the market's ever really differentiated for issuers that provide interim financials? Understand, supply and demand right now, but if you look back over the last 10 or 15 years, the ones that were better, were they rewarded by a cheaper cost of funding for similar credit -MS. WASHBURN: It's really hard to tell, right, because you have different tax structures. You've got different --different times that people are coming to market. So, it's really hard to tease that out, but I do know that, at least anecdotally, there are people that say --investors that will say, given the --the choice between two issuers, the one that provides the regular, more timely information, and one that hasn't reported, 1 23 4 5 6 7 89 1011 121314 15 16 17 18 192021 22 23 24 25Page 72 governmental institutions. MR. HEANEY: Let me take this opportunity now to thank the panelists for your time for participating with us. This was incredibly insightful. So, you've given a lot to the subcommittee to think about and FIMSAC as a whole for sure. So, we appreciate your time. Lynn, thank you for moderating such a great panel. We'll take a quick, five-minute break next and get ready for the next panel. (Brief recess taken.) MR. HEANEY: So, our second panel will focus on alternative models for compensating credit rating agencies that were outlined in the GAO report in 2012. Amy McGarrity, Chair of the Credit Rating Subcommittee will be moderating this panel. And I will now turn it over to Amy. MS. McGARRITY: Thanks, Michael. Since the last FIMASC meeting on July 29th, the Credit Rating Subcommittee hosted numerous calls related to the topics of conflicts of interest and our SRO competition, use of ratings by investors and alternative payment models. A topic that has come up on various Page 71 Page 73 1 they won't --you know, if the audit is, you know, a 1 calls is the use of credit ratings by index 2 year-and-a-half late, they won't buy that particular 2 providers and other investor guidelines that might 3 bond and they'll buy the other bond. So, they're 3 produce the level of competition amongst NRSROs. 4 making distinctions particularly in the secondary 4 The subcommittee discussed this topic and believe it 5 market. 5 is a relevant one worthy of further discussion. 6 MR. BAGLEY: And one other question 6 All of the subcommittee members of 7 related to Suzanne's. With this marketplace, right, 7 the ETF and bond fund subcommittee are also on this 8 it's tough to say that a small school district would 8 credit rating subcommittee. And, as such, we 9 benefit from this. Is there any value to looking at 9 recognize that we also heard that topic in some of 10 it from, how much bond you issue and, you know, 10 their work. In fact, that subcommittee will be 11 should over a certain size matter? So, if you are 11 hosting a panel discussion on that topic later 12 this kind issuer and you're coming to market five 12 today. 13 times a year and you issue billions of dollars, that 13 We have learned a lot over the months 14 would cover most of the --at issuance the par 14 and have honed our research on the alternate payment 15 amount. Maybe it wouldn't --it would only cover a 15 models. While the subcommittee has not coalesced 16 small fraction of the issuers, but we know that if 16 around a particular model, or even whether a 17 you get through, what, two or 300 issuers, in terms 17 recommendation should be considered, we feel the 18 of what's issued, that's going to be a huge chunk of 18 FIMASC members will benefit from a base setting on 19 it. 19 work that has already been done in this area. To 20 MS. WASHBURN: And the problem with 20 that end, today we will have the opportunity to hear 21 disclosure really is with not the two to 300, right. 21 from people who have either proposed alternate 22 It's more prevalent among the smaller. So, really 22 models or who are actively involved in SEC's work 23 the --the issue with timeliness and accessibility 23 studying alternate models detailed in their 2012 24 to information exists much more --it's much more of 24 report to Congress on assigned credit ratings which 25 a problem below the states and the large 25 Michael forwarded to you in our pre-reading. 19 (Pages 70 to 73) Page 74 Page 76 1 While today's panelists do not 1 number of investment banks in the ranges of premium 2 represent all of the seven models outlined, you will 2 deal flow to the rating agencies. Also, the 3 get a sense of some of the ideas that were discussed 3 arranger itself could be a rated entity. So, it 4 and how their thinking has evolved or not since that 4 could seek to curry favor with the rating agency 5 time. The objective of today's discussion is to 5 that's issuing ratings on it. 6 present some of these ideas to the FIMSAC. 6 The report also describes the other 7 With that, let me introduce our 7 conflict which is the other model, the subscriber 8 panel. 8 paid and investor paid model. And here it was noted 9 Today we will hear from Neil Barren, 9 that investors may want a particular type of rating. 10 Consultant, Mahesh Kotecha, Structured Credit 10 So, if they need a particular type of rating to -11 International Corp., Jeffrey Manns, George 11 to get -- meet an investment guideline or they might 12 Washington University Law School, David Raboy, 12 want a high rating or they might want a low rating 13 Professor and Randall Roy with the SEC. 13 based on whatever their investment position was. 14 I have asked each of the panelists to 14 Perhaps shorting the company or they might have a 15 limit their introductory remarks to five minutes, 15 CDS. 16 with the exception of Mr. Roy. 16 Also, with the investor pay or 17 Mr. Roy, I'll turn it over to you to 17 subscriber pay model, there's no public scrutiny of 18 kick us off. 18 the ratings. So, you have to pay to get the 19 MR. ROY: Thank you, Amy. 19 ratings. Where on the issuer pay side, the ratings 20 So, among many things that the 20 are made publicly available to the extent that 21 Dodd-Frank Act asked the Commission to do one was to 21 public scrutiny is viewed as a check on confidence. 22 do a study and report to Congress on the feasibility 22 So, turning to the CRA board. What 23 of what I'm going to refer to as the CRA board 23 this was was, there was an amendment to the 24 model, which I'll describe in a minute, and other 24 Dodd-Frank Act which I believe passed in the Senate, 25 alternative means of compensating NRSROs for 25 but ultimately didn't make it into the -- the final Page 75 Page 77 1 structured finance rating. So, the focus was 1 statute and it would have set up what I'm calling 2 obviously coming out of the 2008 crisis structured 2 the CRA board. 3 finance. 3 The SEC was asked to view that 4 Around that time the GAO also did two 4 amendment and opine on the --or give, you know, 5 reports that were helpful to the SEC's work, one in 5 some views on the --the feasibility of it. So, 6 2010 and one in 2012. Among other things those 6 what that amendment would have required is that the 7 reports identified other alternative compensation 7 SEC establish a credit rating agency board which 8 models, some of which we'll hear from the other 8 would have been an SRO. In terms of the composition 9 panelists, and also it set forth the framework for 9 of the board, a majority of the members would have 10 evaluating a model, an alternate compensation model. 10 to represent investors. At least one member would 11 The SEC requested comments on these 11 have to represent an issuer, one member a credit 12 issue and received 32 comment letters from NRSROs, 12 rating agency, and there needed to be an independent 13 academics, market participants. SEC staff 13 member as well. 14 interviewed some of the model authors and also 14 The function of the board would be to 15 looked at relevant literature. The staff issued a 15 assign structured finance ratings to qualified 16 report in 2012 that the Commission approved for 16 NRSROs. So, from the pool of NRSROs, those entities 17 release to Congress. The report dealt with a number 17 that sought to get ratings assignments from the 18 of issues in structured finance, but I am going to 18 board would need to apply to the board and the court 19 focus on obviously the conflicts and then, the 19 would determine whether they were qualified in one 20 alternative models. 20 or more ratings of structured finance to get 21 So, the conflicts identified in the 21 assignments from the board. Issuers would be 22 report appears to be the issuer paid conflict. I 22 prohibited from getting a rating from an NRSRO or a 23 think that's well understood by everybody. It was 23 credit rating agency without first going to the 24 noted in the report it might be more acute in the 24 board and having the initial rating assigned through 25 structured finance area where you have a limited 25 the board process. 20 (Pages 74 to 77) Page 78 Page 80 1 The CRA board would select a 1 to fund the -- the board and its activities. 2 qualified NRSRO to do a rating. There was a number 2 Also, in terms of the selection 3 of selection methods that it could use. It could 3 process, the random selection process was -- was -4 use a lottery. It could use a random selection 4 was thought it could potentially be unworkable in 5 process or a --a rotating process or it could make 5 the sense that you might be assigning ratings to 6 selections based on performance. Qualified NRSROs 6 entities that aren't -- don't have the capacity or 7 would be --would set the fees for the assigned 7 the expertise to do the work. 8 ratings that they got, but the board could step in 8 Switching to a performance based 9 and set fees by rules. For example, if it thought 9 selection process, there were concerns raised that 10 that the NRSROs were setting up reasonable fees. 10 that could cause the rating agencies to be overly 11 The CRA board would have to evaluate 11 conservative and to avoid downgrades and cause them 12 each qualified NRSRO annually. That evaluation 12 to hesitate to use downgrades. The complexity of 13 would be based on an exam of the qualified NRSRO and 13 developing a performance metric also was met. 14 the performance of the qualified NRSRO's rating. 14 Particularly when you think of the different types 15 The CRA board finally would be funded by fees on 15 of ratings out there. Some -- some rating agencies 16 qualified NRSROs and by credit rating agencies that 16 may seek to have ratings that are stable through 17 applied to become qualified NRSROs. 17 economic cycles. Others may want ratings that are 18 Once an issuer got a rating through 18 more sensitive to market factors and, therefore, 19 the board process, it was free to go and get a 19 more volatile. 20 second or third rating from the NRSRO of its choice. 20 Also, some rating agencies take into 21 The report went on to identify potential benefits, 21 account loss given default and others don't. So, 22 as well as, potential concerns that commenters and 22 having a performance metric that would take into 23 others raised with respect to this model. 23 account all those different methodologies has made 24 First, in terms of benefits. 24 this quite a difficult process. 25 Obviously it could mitigate the issuer pay conflict 25 Also, there was a concern that a Page 79 Page 81 1 by removing the issuer from selecting the NRSRO. It 1 performance based metric could cause the rating 2 could reward qualified NRSROs for good performance 2 agencies to alter their methodologies to sort of fit 3 by being assigned more ratings if performance was 3 within that metric leading to homogenous ratings or 4 the metric in which assignments were made. It could 4 speculative results. 5 provide smaller NRSROs with an opportunity to 5 Also, finally with performance was a 6 compete and develop track records in the structured 6 view that it could be contrary to the statute which 7 finance area. Also, it was thought that having a 7 prohibits the Commission from regulating the 8 majority of investors on the board would focus it on 8 substance of ratings or the methodologies by which 9 accurate ratings. 9 NRSROs do ratings. They sort of cater their rating 10 Potential concerns raised were that 10 methodologies to this performance spectrum. 11 it may ultimately not mitigate the issuer paid 11 Other concern was that it would 12 conflict because after getting the initial rating 12 replace the issuer pay conflict with a different 13 through the board process they could go out and get 13 conflict. So, the CRA board members potentially 14 the rating from the NRSRO of their choice. Also, 14 could desire specific rating outcomes or the credit 15 there was a concern that NRSROs may not even 15 rating agencies themselves, given the government 16 participate. So, if nobody applied to become a 16 involvement in this board, might give favorable 17 qualified NRSRO the board would have nobody to 17 ratings to the government. 18 assign to or, you know, you would have a couple of 18 Finally, it was noted that the CRA 19 rating agencies that applied and they might not be 19 board and the government involvement could be 20 able to handle the volume of deals that come through 20 countered to the goal of reducing reliance on credit 21 and create a bottleneck. 21 ratings. In other words, if investors and others 22 It also was viewed as potentially 22 thought that the activities of the board and the 23 costly. And there was a question of --of, would 23 government involvement in the board created a 24 there be enough qualified NRSROs. And even if every 24 premature of these ratings that could cause more 25 NRSRO applied, would they be enough in terms of fees 25 over reliance than undue reliance when there was a 21 (Pages 78 to 81) 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17181920 21 22 2324 25 Page 82 shift at that point of reducing investor reliance. Quickly, the report also looked at the other models and identified potential benefits and potential concerns. On the benefits side, obviously mitigating the issuer pay conflict, the potential to improve ratings quality, promote competition and increase investor choice. Some of the models you hear are designed to do all of that, but there was also concerns that, again, they may not ultimately mitigate the issuer pay conflict. They may replace that conflict with other conflicts. Some of the models have a presumption that investors are less conflicted than issuers. That may be the case, but certainly investors may desire them, as noted early, specific types of rating. Feasibility and complexity were also raised as issues. And with that, I'll turn it over. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you, Mr. Raboy. So, now let's go through some of the models themselves. I said earlier, we don't have all seven here, but we have a solid representation of those that were presented at that time. Mr. Barron, let's start with you. And if you could, please limit your initial comments to under five minutes, I would appreciate it. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 84 because they felt, the ones that I talked to --and let me just say parenthetically right now that there's much less of a need for it now than there was when I was working on it which was back in 2009, 2010. So, it will be harder to coral fixed-income investors to get involved. I have some suggestions though, but all of them felt it would be good for their relationships at that point with their constituents, whether retirees or whether mutual fund shareholders. Their investments would be limited to seven to $8 million each and their returns would also be limited. So, their profit motive would be --would be actually gone. The idea would be for them to --to serve on the board and control the --the internal governments, including the three, in my opinion, governments failures that contributed so heavily to the financial crisis. One was internal compensation structures that were skewed towards the raters and away from those whose job it was to challenge the ratings. The allowance of rating shopping, competing for issuer fees --for --for issuers by lowering rating standards. And I want to say, I started representing Standard & Poor's in 1968 and --and 1234 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 14 15 1617 18 19 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 83 MR. BARRON: I'll try hard. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. MR. BARRON: I start off with just the proposition that you can -- you can legislate behavior that is inconsistent with human incentives and motivations, but it's more effective to have the right motivation and the right incentive to start with. So, that's the basis of what I'm suggesting. The model that -- that I'm suggesting preserves the issuer pay model, but in my view, it minimizes and maybe even eliminates the conflict. The --it's also a private sector solution that doesn't require any legislation, regulation or government involvement in it once it's up and running, okay. The idea would be that -- that you'd have an investor run rating agency. I call it an IROR, which would be owned and the board would be populated by six to eight of the largest income investors that we have that are invested in the structured markets. I have met with seven or eight of them earlier and I'll tell you what the outcome of that was. These fixed-income investors would be motivated by accuracy over revenue production 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 85 then went to Fitch and left there in 1998. So, you can't blame me for anything, but in my view, one of the things that happened was the culture evolved and it lost track of the importance of --and the impact of ratings on our financial systems, on our economy and also on the ratings business. The --the fixed-income investors on the board would control internal governance that would have nothing to do with rating methodologies. They would not be privy to those. Nothing to do with rating outcomes. It would not be privy to any nonpublic information that is being received by the analysts. They would be insulated. Unlike some of the other --or at least one of the other models, their --their --they would be very limited to the information that they got and what their job was. Compensation I think is a big one. For example, and just an example, bonuses could be paid over a five-year period. And if a rating --if a --let's just say a triple A rating went into default, a committee would take a look at the analysis and determine whether there was a problem with the analysis, whether it was deficient. And if it were, part of the bonus would be lost. And also, salary increases would --would not be made. But 22 (Pages 82 to 85) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 86 paying bonuses over five years, by the way, also happens to be a --a pretty good retention policy. And the analysts that were responsible for challenging rating methodology would be paid at least as much as the analysts that generate the rating. The one way it would minimize rating shopping is that because --this is the market. Seven or eight of the largest institutional investors, at least then, and probably now, constitute a significant part of the structured finance market. So, they are saying, right, to issuers and bankers, you know, get our ratings. And if they got IORA's rating, and I've spoken to bankers --investment bankers about this, they would perceive a basis point benefit and that would be a very strong motivation. They would --the ratings would enjoy a very high degree of credibility because of who's managing all the governance internally. And I think they would reinstate a lot of those culture --you know, things that the culture lost over the years that allowed the behavior witnessed the Department of Justice complain against S&P. And just take a look at what happened there. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 88 Tennessee Valley of Florida. From there, investment banking, MBIA, which you've heard of, and then financial advisory firm which I thought I would be out of business in two years. We are in number 21-year this year. So, we advise on ratings. We indulge in rating shopping of course. That is permitted currently, but we do it with some degree of integrity we think. So, the rating model we proposed, it was written up in four --three or four articles between 2010 and 2012. And it was summarized quite well by --by the SEC, their report. Ronald Roy sent me a memo in 2012 which summarizes it pretty well. I'm going to read a couple of paragraphs on that to summarize on it and then comment on it briefly. The basic model is --the problem is that you get paid as a rating agency by the issuer and the issuer can say, I'm not going to you, I'm going to somebody else or the banker can say the same. So, there is this issue of whether it skews the ratings. We break that by having a rating fund --U.S. rating fund which will pay the rating agencies, not the issuer, not the banker. That is Page 87 Page 89 1 MS. McGARRITY: Mr. Barron, if you 1 simply put, our model. 2 could just wrap. 2 So, how does the fund get the money? 3 MR. BARRON: Pardon me? 3 MSRB, which you know, collects money with statutory 4 MS. McGARRITY: Can you wrap up your 4 authority from a secondary market trade in municipal 5 comments. 5 bond markets and from primary issuance. A small or 6 MR. BARRON: I'll wrap it up right 6 larger trade --term. We would propose that the 7 now, right. 7 same thing be done in the public markets, including 8 I think --I think it has the 8 144As and commercial paper to the extent it's asset 9 advantage of not having government involvement and 9 backed. And this collection of money could be 10 risking moral hazard. And I would say it --and 10 placed in a fund, a U.S. rating fund. And then that 11 also I would just repeat that it requires no new 11 would pay the ratings, the first two or three, 12 regulation or legislation or government involvement 12 that's two. I'll come back to how many ratings. 13 in the selection of ratings. 13 And --and, therefore, you wouldn't need for the 14 MS. McGARRITY: Great. Thanks very 14 first couple of ratings to go to the rating agency 15 much for that. 15 and say, what's your fee. Instead, the fund would 16 Mr. Kotecha, could you please 16 pay for it. 17 elaborate on your proposal as well. 17 So, you break completely the link 18 MR. KOTECHA: Thank you very much. 18 between the issuer and the --the rating agency or 19 My background, I've held five 19 the banker and the rating agency with regard to the 20 corporate positions. The most important and 20 conflict. Conflict over for those two things. 21 interesting, at least to me, was Standard & Poor's. 21 How many ratings? First, we propose 22 I was there for nearly a decade running 22 there should be a queue of qualified rating agencies 23 international ratings, public sector, all ratings 23 which would rotate randomly --not randomly, but on 24 outside the U.S. And actually, I also got some U.S. 24 a rotating queue. And when the name comes up of a 25 agencies and things that didn't quite fit like 25 rating agency fora new issue it would be assigned to 23 (Pages 86 to 89) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 90 the first two that come up. They would not have the option to say no. Otherwise, I mean, if they were not qualified they would not be on the queue. So, if they're qualified they must do it. They must accept the fees they've agreed to with the fund. The fund will pay them. So, there will be no link between the commercial side of the rating agency which would talk to the fund and the markets which are getting the ratings and a little side of the rating agency. That breaks the conflict. Now, there are lots of complexities and we can talk about the complexities, but this is fundamental. It is surgically eliminating the conflict. It means that the funding for the fund would come from the secondary market operations and the primary market issuance, meaning, both the issuer and the investor are paying. The investment banker knows --I mean, MSRB knows what the trades are, what the issue is. They charge this already. It's not --it's not a miracle. They do it today. So, it would simply be using --using that mechanism and just leveraging it up. So, mechanically in terms of implementation it's been proven. It exists. It's 1 2 3 45 6 78 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2122 23 24 25 Page 92 move on, one aspect of your model I don't know that you talked about. Isn't that the assignment would eventually be based on ratings performance. MR. KOTECHA: It could, but ratings performance measurement is not -- it sounds simple, but it's not. And it takes a long time. So, yes, it should be adjusted initially based on performance, but if you look at -- I think what was said earlier, some rating agencies prefer to have ratings through the cycle, stable ratings. Others might try to reflect ratings that change fairly regularly based on sort of cyclical changes that take place in the market, in the performance of the collapse or what have you. And so, you have to find a way that is empirically correct, but also based on consensus, methodological view and measured by an independent party. We have allowed for that to happen, but this should be done five- to ten-year cycles. Not everyday because performance can sway. I think more importantly, market does feed back to the -- to general -- to participants what's going on. You can -- there have been three articles in the Wall Street Journal about -- about high ratings by one party or the other. You can Page 91 Page 93 1 just scaling it up. 1 quickly pick up and then check it out. So, if there 2 Second, in terms of governance, there 2 is something going on like that you can put a stop 3 would have to be a board for the fund because now it 3 to it. You can put corrective measures in place. 4 has money. It would be a board which would have 4 You can call people in and ask them to explain. 5 representatives of the industry, a banker, an 5 So, I think that kind of thing should 6 issuer, a rating agency, but the rating agency would 6 be done, but performance measurement, while it 7 not chair it. Never. It would be chaired by some 7 sounds wonderful, it is not so easy. 8 third-party government officials. 8 MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. 9 The priority of the fund could 9 Mr. Manns. 10 include reviewing the fees. They'll see everybody's 10 MR. MANNS: Great. Thank you very 11 fees. They might see that one is charging X, 11 much. 12 another is 10 X. That would --that would cause a 12 I want to start with a global point 13 flag to be raised and they could discussed the mater 13 which is really two things. One, the issuer pay 14 and potentially issue guidance on what to do, but 14 model. The issuer pay model we have is 15 this could be dynamically done. 15 fundamentally broken. Empirically what many 16 And --and finally, this should be 16 academics have shown, we have a systematically 17 done in coordination with consultation with the 17 inflated ratings system that exists. And the second 18 international regulators because the markets, if you 18 point is, we have an oligopoly, it's the elephant in 19 protect the markets here in the U.S., they'll have 19 the room, of three leading rating agencies that 20 global impact as you've seen already with the 5G. 20 dominated the market ten years ago and they almost 21 So, that's basically the proposal. 21 consistently dominate the market now. Also, we have 22 Lots of implementation issues, but it surgically 22 seven other nominal participants, but they compose a 23 removes the conflict. That's the --that's the 23 very small segment of the market. 24 conclusion I have. Thank you. 24 The real question is, how do you 25 MS. McGARRITY: Mr. Kotecha, before I 25 change the oligopolistic domination? How do you 24 (Pages 90 to 93) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 94 change the conflict of interest that comes from the issuer pay system? The second point would simply be this, there's a mandate from Congress to go about and have a pilot program in structured finance. That mandate was out nine years ago. It's shocking to me that nine years after the Dodd-Frank Act nothing really has happened in regards to that. That would be --my recommendation forward would be, every single proposal entails trade offs. I propose the trade offs. It has limitations. Every proposal Randall indicated has it, but in the face of a massive oligopoly and in the face of a systematic conflict of interest created by the do not bite the hand that feeds system of issuer pays, there's a case that's being made for a pilot program to do something different. My proposal is straightforward. It consists of either having a user fee imposed on investors or having a ratings tax that would go about and fund a CRA board or an independent commission to go and select and compensate rating agencies. That part is simple. What's the challenge? How do you select the rating agencies? How do you compensate them? And that's the other 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 96 based government contract model would effectively allow a board to choose higher cost raters to go about and participate in at least parts of the structured finance rating market. The second aspect of it is the challenge that Mahesh and Randall both referred to, which is, you need to have some performance based dimension either in the selection or in the compensation of rating agencies. That is another very big problem. I think there's a problem with virtually every model. It's, what metric do we choose? If we choose a given metric, do we have herding affects of rating agencies simply gaming to test of whether they'll be compensated or however they're going to be selected, but that being said, any serious proposal has to go about and try to address that particular issue. Last issue to talk about would be the issue of expert liability. One of the other most shocking aspects to Dodd-Frank is how the leading rating agencies in blatant defiance of the law refuse to go about and will be subjected to Section 11 liability of experts. And the SEC effectively caved in for fear of going about and disrupting the market. I think that's something that has to be 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 95 big elephant. My proposal would call for having a cost based government contract model. And the basic logic of it is this, is if we have a competition based off of price we'll end up with ratings that have even less informational value than the ratings that we have because obviously folks would go about and bid and try to pledge to have transparent methodologies that are very high on qualitative or quantitive dimensions, but very thin on actual scrutiny and due diligence. And so, from that perspective the argument would be, have rating agencies go about and lay out in greater detail what their methodologies are, what due diligence steps they're going to be doing about it, taking what type and extent of exposures they're going to go about and scrutinize in order to go about and justify the rating. What's the thinking? It may be, frankly, ratings are too cheap and that helps to explain why their informational value is so thin. It may be better to go about and have a spectrum of competition where smaller players, such as Egan Jones, can compete even if their cost structure is higher. And so, going about and allowing a cost 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 97 remedied. My proposal is to go about and have a more narrow scope of expert liability. Namely, having a due diligence certification duty imposed on rating agencies where they go about and have to certify that they have gone about and engaged in due diligence and they're exposed to gross negligence or recklessness liability to --either to the SEC or to private litigants, namely, the creditors committee representing investors with a cap damages system. So, the big elephant in the room in terms of going about and having full blown Section 11 expert liability is the amount of liability exposure the rating agencies might face. If you encapsulate damages tied to the fees for the ratings that rating agencies are issuing you can go about and have a much more manageable burden that could be addressed through an SEC adjudicative process. So, in that sense, you don't open up the door to a massive blow of plaintiff lawyers going about trying to cash in and holding rating agencies extensively accountable. Instead, you can focus on giving the SEC, the Office of Credit Rating Agencies or going about empowering investors to go and scrutinize what rating agencies are doing to the 25 (Pages 94 to 97) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 98 extent to which they're grossly negligent, have some real financial consequences as opposed to an annual report that goes about and documents what rating agencies have done wrong. Money matters, and in that sense, having financial accountability should be part of any meaningful model. Thank you. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you, Mr. Manns. Mr. Raboy. MR. RABOY: Thank you. The model that I came up with in 2009 was toxic, very umbratic and since that time I've really been thinking about the component and the problems with implementation. The components are, basically, the same thing that everybody's talking about, eliminating conflicts of interest and incentivizing CRAs to give better ratings. Some of the proposals I've seen out there I don't think do the job. And I'd be happy to get you to that in the question and answer, but I completely agree with Jeffrey, the elephant in the room is oligopoly. We have a small number of rating agencies. Indeed, probably a small number of structured finance issuers. What that means is that the game is really a game theory model where people 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 100 has arisen is in the legislation there's the right of refusal by CRAs. And I understand why that's out there. It's to allow new entrants. It's to allow people to build up. The problems are that during the period where there is no --where there is a right of refusal that's incredibly easy to gain the system. So, if you want to institute a model where you have new entrants then you have to think back to the huge barriers of entry, the huge intellectual and physical capital requirement. So, if you look at a new entry trying to take on those costs, they won't do that unless there's some type of guaranteed revenue stream. And who's going to guarantee that. Otherwise, those sum costs will never be recovered. Finally is the --the fee structure itself. Whether we have a government body or an SRO administering fees, how is that done. Do we really want issuer --or CRAs to have to come up with some functional model like we do for transfer pricing where they list all of the components of their costs in order to justify them. I mean, that has a potential for dating. It also is incredibly complex. Finally, I think there needs to be 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 99 interact, where there's informational symmetries, there's problems between who's to benefit and who's to suffer. And everything kind of has to be analyzed within that structure because there's any number of ways that CRAs could still take advantage of the system. The body itself in my model was an SRO basically. If you have too much government participation you do have a moral hazard finding. You know, just like flood insurance. You get flood insurance, people build by the river. It's the same type of thing where there would be the implementor of government participation which would almost give a sanctity or guarantee to ratings which could cause some problems. I still believe that some type of random type of assignment is --is necessary. If you have a queuing system that's very easy to gain. The --you can --you can figure out what's going on. If you have a rotation, that's even worse. An issuer can just wait 'til their best bud comes on and then get the issuer there. They can sort of predict it. So, I think some type of random system is necessary, but that is all in the details. I think one of the big problems that 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 13 14 15 1617 18 19 20 21 22 2324 25 Page 101 signaling mechanisms. And I don't know the legalities of these things. I mean, one of the proposals that I've seen in the research is disclosure of the resources committed to ratings which signals investors as to the quality of the ratings and also the reputation of the CRA. The other is disclosure is fees. So you can see what's going on, but essentially, we have a very long way to go even to implement the concept that I came up with and it's --it's documented. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. And I sure can appreciate the daunting task in front of us all, but thank you for -- for that sentiment. And again, thanks for all of your views on these very interesting topics. Mr. Barron, I'd like to direct a question to you. Based on what you talked about earlier, one of the challenges I think of your model is that six to eight large fixed-income investors would need to be willing to invest money to -- to start the IORA. This would also cost investors time, money and other resources. Do you have any thoughts about how they could become interested, why they would want to participate in -- in this model? 26 (Pages 98 to 101) 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1112 13 14 15 16 1718 19 20 2122 23 24 25 Page 102 MR. BARRON: Well, as I said before, they would want to participate much less now than in the teeth of the crisis. However if they did feel that it would send a good signal to their constituents, number one, and back then I had the chairman, chairwoman at the time's, support for this. And the SEC was at that point considering talking to a number of fixed-income investors and maybe exercising some moral suasion and trying to encourage them to get on board. They -- I met or had calls with seven to eight of them. None of them said yes. None of them said no. And I never got to senior management because the chairperson of the commission was -- was then replaced and lost that support. What would have happened, I can't tell you. I did go to Congress. I did go to Treasury. And the response was good. Especially the fact that it didn't require more legislation or regulation. So, my answer -- my answer to your question is, they would have to feel strongly enough that they're sending the right message to their constituents, sending a good message to their constituents, about them taking action which would 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 104 responsibility to make any investment decisions there. And this is what we had at Fitch. The --the --the --the people who were working for and were on the board for the major owner of Fitch agreed in writing that they had no responsibility to purvey or use information from Fitch for the benefit of the employer. And the employer itself would agree in writing that -that --to the same thing, that they would not try to obtain any information or any benefit from the fact that their employee --that his employee was on the board. It worked. I was on the board of Fitch and I think --I think could work. It minimized the conflict which, by the way, is a little bit different from the concept where you have --I think it was IOCRA was one --one of the suggestions where the board has institutional investors on it, but at the same time has a lot more to do with the governance of the organization, including involvement in --in --in ratings criteria, et cetera, so. MS. McGARRITY: Okay, thank you. Mr. Manns, my next question is for you. You talked a little bit about how your model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 103 prevent 2007, 2008 from ever happening again. If you believe that it will never happen again it's less necessary, but, you know, over --over time greed evolves. So, that's my --my answer. MS. McGARRITY: Okay. Do you think that there --do you think there might be a potential for a different conflict of interest with your model. For example, could there be an instance where investors could seek to delay or avoid downgrading a troubled security to avoid its sale on a mark to market on their books? MR. BARRON: No question. Their -their --you know, investors, institutions with capital requirements or who want to sell bonds would want higher ratings. Those who want to buy bonds would want lower ratings, but there's significant conflict mitigation which we --I was vice chairman and general counsel at Fitch. I set up in 1998 which we instituted at Fitch, right, 'cause the two thirds owner of Fitch was heavily involved in the bond markets. Bob Van Kampen at the time. The fixed-income investors would have no participation in criteria development or rating outcomes. And the --the IORA would --would choose employees of --of fixed-income investors who had no 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 105 would create additional accountability and then you specifically mentioned there spoke liability. Are there other accountability mechanisms associated with your model that we should learn about? MR. MANNS: Sure. So, I think that the one --as I mentioned, one of the glaring failures of the SEC, and again, I apologize to our hosts because the SEC is our host, one of the most glaring failures was the failure of an expert liability under Section 11. So, that opened the door to meaningful financial accountability at the rating agencies. What's the big picture issue. When you step back we had a couple of extraordinary settlements involving S&P and Moody's. And so, what has happened is extraordinary circumstances there will be a financial settlement. What doesn't exist are settlements in ordinary circumstances when rating agencies are falling short. Instead, for the most part they get chastised at the annual report from the Office of Credit Rating Agencies. It would be valuable to have some meaningful mechanism for ongoing financial liability. And so, that's why my suggestion of going about having a due diligence certification 27 (Pages 102 to 105) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 106 duty and having gross negligence liability to investors is one mechanism for that. Another mechanism would be opening up a broader swap that a financial accountability to the Office of Credit Rating Agencies. In other words, having more explicit accountability naming the individual rating agencies that have been falling --have fallen short, naming the amount financial accountability that comes from them having falling short. MS. McGARRITY: Understood. Thank you. Has your thinking evolved at all from your original pitch in 2009? MR. MANNS: Sure. So, I think, if anything, the --the big lesson of rating agency reform was how hard reform actually is in practice. And so, to be quite honest, I think it's --when we look at what's happened with the rating agency accountability, there was a flurry of activity during the wake of the financial crisis and the implementation of the Dodd-Frank Act. And then, since then there hasn't been a lot of action in terms of rating agency reform or accountability. Frankly, I'm waiting for the next recession or financial crisis to hit because what ultimately -1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 108 cost of securitization for issuers, investors and underlying borrowers? MR. KOTECHA: Not materially. They would be free to --they would be assigned a couple of rating agencies from the --the U.S. rating fund, but they could also, as they currently do, ask for a third rating or a fourth that they themselves select. Rating fees tend to be in the basis points ranging from three to five, sometimes more. So, if you get two or three they add up to not -not too much. Maybe 15 basis points for three at worst. Some of the more complicated ratings, commercial real estate securitizations, for example, they are more expensive. But, generally speaking, the cost is not a huge factor in the --in the cost of issuance. It's higher when interest rates are lower, as they are now, as a --as a portion of the total cost of issuance, but you save it in the spread that you pay. So, the cost is easy to measure, but the benefit --I heard the earlier panel, the benefits are not always precisely measurable, but they are there. If you look historically at --at Page 107 Page 109 1 when you do look back in time, recessions are 1 ratings based pricing there are distinct reports you 2 cyclical. We don't know when the next one's going 2 can see that suggest 25 basis points pick up for a 3 to happen. We can predict with a fair amount of 3 notch or something that like. The more, the lower 4 certainty that rating agencies would have 4 the ratings. 5 underestimated the risk in terms of debt issuances. 5 So, you would make it back up. It's 6 And at least part of the blame is going to rest on 6 easy to measure the cost, but it is actually quite 7 their shoulders. 7 significant to have better ratings. And, therefore, 8 And so, I think the dialogue today 8 tighter spreads in fact. And then, if you did 9 and the dialogue going forward really is looking to 9 choose to have an additional rating it's because you 10 the next recession or financial crisis that happens. 10 think that it's going to save you money and you can 11 And at that time some of the particular failures, 11 actually choose not to take an extra rating. So, I 12 such as the failure to implement a pilot problem for 12 think that the cost factor is --is exaggerated. 13 the selection of structured finance ratings, or the 13 I would also say one other thing is 14 failure to implement expert liability under Section 14 exaggerated is the notion that every model has a 15 11, or the failure to hold rating agencies 15 conflict. I hear that from rating agencies all the 16 accountable under the -- under Regulation FD. All 16 time. Oh, everything is a conflict. Not so. In 17 of those issues will be back on the radar screen 17 our --in our rating proposal we have taken the 18 again. And so, in that sense it's valuable to talk 18 conflict out, period. Because the issuer will not 19 about those issues now with an eye to two or three 19 be the party paying and the investment banker will 20 years from now when reckoning eventually will come. 20 not be the party paying. That's a complete break of 21 MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. 21 the conflict. 22 Mr. Kotecha, I have a couple of 22 So --and I think on the oligopoly 23 questions for you. If, per your model, issuers want 23 issue, the industry is an oligopoly. It will remain 24 to or have to get a rating from a second or third 24 an oligopoly because how many doctors do you want to 25 rating agency, wouldn't this increase the overall 25 see for --for cancer? You want to see one, maybe 28 (Pages 106 to 109) 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2021 2223 24 25 Page 110 two, maybe three. After that, the value addition kind of tails off. So, I think that in the hamburger business if you have Blimpe's and -- and McDonald's and Burker King, quality improves and prices go down. In the ratings business, quality goes down and pricing may or may not go up or down because of competitive edge sometimes is easy -- easy criteria. MS. McGARRITY: So, one of the benefits I think of the continuous queue model or even the random selection model is potentially increased competition wherein new entrants can get into the queue based on their own expertise, et cetera. But I wonder if -- if there could be an instance where investors, based on their investment guidelines or their benchmarks, would be required to have ratings from one of the top NRSROs and -- and, thus, that would impede their ability to purchase these types of securities. Have you had any push back on your model regarding that topic? MR. KOTECHA: We discussed that and that's why I've maintained our system will not replace the existing issuer pay model in totally. It will replace it for the most part. It will 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 112 ratings of mortgage-backed securities --let me go back. I represented the Reagan Administration in drafting and enabling legislation for the former S&P up until 1989 in all their deals and then went to Fitch. And I said before, I left there in '98. And for --for many years, 20 years, ratings of mortgage-backed securities, or ratings generally I would say, performed well. The outcomes were those outcomes predicted by the ratings almost in all circumstances, right. I --I --I agree with Mahesh when he says that the result of competition can be more rating shopping. Putting words in your mouth, I understand that. And --and --and the reason I say that was --is, of course, a very blatant example -one very blatant example. I --if Fitch had not been successful, okay, Fitch passed S&P and Moody's in mortgage-backed securities in 1993, okay. Had they not been successful, and this is a big statement, I don't think the crisis would have ever happened. And the reason for that is, they started taking market share away from Moody's and S&P. And how did Moody's and S&P compete? By lowering enhancement Page 111 Page 113 1 maintain pressure from an independent, un-conflicted 1 levels. 2 model, but it will allow those who wish to, to pay 2 MR. KOTECHA: So, it was your fault 3 for the big three if they wish because investors saw 3 after all. 4 it wild. 4 MR. BARRON: No, I said I left in 5 So, it is a force to retain pressure 5 '98. I don't think an oligopoly or a monopoly is 6 on the --on the rating fund based allocation of 6 good under general circumstances in any sense, but 7 ratings and to allow freedom to --to --to have the 7 the increase in competition I think over time, you 8 dominant market participants, in some respect, 8 know, the taste of the 2008 crisis is still in our 9 continue to some extent for some period of time that 9 mouths. And bad mortgages, I think the option arms 10 dominance would be the independent choice outside 10 and negative amortization loans and no-doc loans are 11 the rating model because you're not going to change 11 substantially gone. So --but over time things are 12 this overnight. The big ones have 80 percent, 12 going to start to --human nature is that things are 13 90 percent market shares. The little guys are 13 going to start to creep back in --back into the 14 struggling in their own issues. And for them to get 14 system. 15 higher you will see that there will be incentives 15 So, I don't have a solution to the 16 for them to go to easy ratings. You don't want more 16 fact that the rating business is dominated by a few, 17 competition because more competition goes to easy 17 but I will say that opening it up to competition, 18 ratings. That is the fact of life. 18 ultimately, I think poorer ratings are going to 19 MS. McGARRITY: Mr. Barron, did you 19 return. 20 have a comment? 20 MS. McGARRITY: Mr. Raboy? 21 MR. BARRON: Yeah. I think I've 21 MR. RABOY: I don't think we can 22 known you, what, for 30, 40 years now and this is 22 dismiss the oligopoly aspect that easily. Yes, it's 23 the first time I've agreed with him about something. 23 true that when Fitch entered it created a certain 24 MR. KOTECHA: We're making progress. 24 situation, but the gaming is in the oligopoly. I'm 25 MR. BARRON: Right. And that is that 25 not sure new entrants is not a bad thing. 29 (Pages 110 to 113) 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 212223 24 25Page 114 You have a problem, when a new entrant comes in, how do they gain business? How do they get market share? Probably through reputation -- building reputation and associated costs of rating. If -- if you don't have reputation you can conflate a rating as high as you want the market will discount you. But then you get into a classical prisoners dilemma situation where a new entrant comes in, competes on the basis of quality. Others try to follow suit, but eventually they get to the point of passive collusion where implicitly, not explicitly, signals are being sent and ratings quality can go down and inflation can go up over time to get to a new equillibrum. The only way to guard against that is somehow to encourage new entrants so you get beyond three and there's an incentive for others. MS. McGARRITY: Speaking of quality and competing on the basis of quality, I wanted to explore that a little bit with you some more. Is it possible that some ratings -MR. TABB: Hey, this is Larry Tabb. I can't hear people, but I have a comment. So, let me know when I can jump in. MS. McGARRITY: Okay. I just have 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 116 you. And it's not really based on alternate models. It's rather, I think, to inform us. Is there any more information that NRSROs should be required to disclose that could be helpful for investors to assess NRSRO performance? MR. KOTECHA: Yes, I think so. I think that, you know, the issue of expected losses of the LGD --the LGD was mentioned and Moody's was also expected loss, S&P would be for the first dollar loss in the definition, but in very practical terms, you can guess the basics of both. And Moody's publishes these. And I think all agencies should publish statistics against a standard that should be set by the SEC hiring somebody to set those standards. I think that should be done because there is inconsistency in the data. There's inconsistency in reporting that makes it difficult to compare rating agency statistics partly because the --the grades themselves are slightly different at the bottom end. So, I think somebody who independently looks at this could say, look, if you were to do these three things, then --then all of the data coming in could be compared through and to a part and you can get a general rating default 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 115 one more question and then --and then I'll try to -MR. HEANEY: We have plenty of time for questions after. MS. McGARRITY: Okay, thank you. Would it be difficult for a board or other assigning entity to determine the metrics for past performance ratings and ratings accuracy in order to determine future assignments do you think? MR. RABOY: Yes. It would be very difficult. And that's kind of above my pay grade, but I do know that there's a lot of academic research that's been done by statisticians, decision theorists, that sort of thing, where they have done a lot of work on establishing benchmarks, various staffing techniques, where agreement on metrics would certainly have to occur. And then, through some sampling technique which would be necessary because you can't review everything, compare it to those benchmarks. So, I do think that there is progress on that front. Probably more progress than on the other areas. MS. McGARRITY: Okay. Before I turn it over for the broader FIMASC and SEC questions, I just wanted to ask one --one question to all of 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 117 matrix that goes back, aggregates everybody's data one by one, agency by agency. There is a system called Gems which is a system for multilateral develop banks. I do a lot of multilateral development bank advisory work. They have collected this under the leadership of BIB or IFC, I forget, or both. There are about dozen of them. They collect data from all of the multilateral development banks that lend to third world countries and they --they have project finance ratings, both defaults and --and LGDs. And they have a standardized method for doing so. So, I think if you could provide a standardized method that --that the agencies must use. And then, have independent party collect the data and collate it and put it together so there's an aggregate and --and it is aggregated default study that comes with a vetted, consistent and -and accepted method for measuring details, the defaults settings, that would be very valuable. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. Does anyone else have any comments that you'd like to share. Mr. Raboy? MR. RABOY: Again, what I'm interested in is the signaling elements of that 30 (Pages 114 to 117) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 118 investors themselves have information because all they can view currently is default rates. So, they don't have information to judge. If somehow rating agencies were required to disclose the resources they put into a different rating or the fees themselves, or maybe both, then that information could be digested by the investors in addition to rates and provide more information to investors. MR. BARRON: I would say broad disclosure of the compensation structures within the rating agency itself and how different --not individual analysts, but classes of analysts, whether they're measured by how much revenue they bring in or by the performance of their rating, how the --their compensation of those classes of analysts are set. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. Mr. Manns. MR. MANNS: And I --I agree with my fellow commentators comments. The one additional element I might add is this, there's an awful lot of opaqueness when it comes to the qualitative factors that go into the rating agency methodologies. And so, from that perspective having greater, more detailed disclosures as to how the qualitative 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 120 points in a matrix to find a rating and you can go through like a mouse to find where the rating is and it's impossible to find it. So, transparency pressures from the regulators have lead to lack of transparency in fact in many cases. It should be changed. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. Michael, should we open it up to the broader FIMSAC? MR. HEANEY: Sure. Amy, thank you. And I want to thank the panelists. This has been incredibly interesting. I'm going to kick off with just two quick questions. Then, I'll go to Larry and then we'll go --on the phone and then we'll go around the table. Altering comp schemes, many mentioned it, the banking industry obviously did it after '08, '09, there were a lot of complaints and agitations and objections, but the fact of the matter is the different pay structure probably enhanced the safety and security of the industry. Are there any negatives as you see it changing the compensation models within the rating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 119 dimensions are indeed measured factored in would be very valuable to have. Especially when you're making comparisons in the industry or across industries. MR. KOTECHA: May I just add to that. I think that Dodd --the SEC is the host, but --and I think you've done a great job, but --and I don't mean this to be disrespectful at all, but Dodd-Frank which required I think in some provisions for methodologies to be independently verified, if I recall right, has made life more opaque frankly. I do advisory work day in and day out. The criteria have become mechanically transparent, but in fact, more opaque. So, the greater transparency that is sought in certain segments has made it more like what I call a useful tranche in Boston Museum of Science there is a machine in the atrium --there used to be a machine in the entrance which had 1,000 moving parts that just ran and did all kinds of stuff. And nothing came off of it. You could see everything moving, but no --no --no sense came out of it. I think it's become --you --you have mechanical rules, matrices, 140 different 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 121 agencies understanding at least all of us and yourselves included, just what an important part they play in efficient markets now. Any negatives that you see that we should be aware of when you think about changing the compensation structure? MR. KOTECHA: Yes. MR. RABOY: Not necessarily negatives, but be very aware of the incentive natures that are going on here. Economic referred to is a principal agent problem. So, the agent is the pension fund. They're the ones who rely on this. If you have a compensation system, say, that's based on volume of ratings, these two don't align. So, whatever you do with the compensation system it has to be with an eye towards aligning the wishes and desires of both parties. MR. KOTECHA: Just quick, three points. One, the industry is global. When you preserve it here it effects what happens outside the U.S. You've seen that with '17 G5. So, whatever you do, please consult with your European regulators, Japanese regulators and others. Bring them on board so there's a buy in and --and input two ways. That's one. Two, if you start with structured 31 (Pages 118 to 121) Page 122 Page 124 1 finance, be aware that it will interrupt the non 1 institutional investors or some of the largest 2 structured finance market. So, you need to have a 2 institutional investors on the board, you know, 3 migration thought process that is clear cut and that 3 saying to issuers, come and get our rating. 4 is --that is implementable. And, third, I would 4 Remember they're --they're buyers. It's --they're 5 add a principal. GAO did seven principles for 5 buyers. And so, that's going to be a real pull. 6 evaluation. I would add one more. Tested against 6 And not only that, the fact that 7 minimal invasiveness because the industry, as you 7 their incentives are not profit motive incentives, 8 said, has performed generally well. It screwed up 8 but more accuracy given, you know, dealing with the 9 in some ways big time. 9 conflicts. Like I said before, right, I think that 10 MR. BARRON: Big time. 10 will be a base point for other rating agencies or a 11 MR. KOTECHA: Big time, thanks to 11 reference point for other rating agencies and make 12 this man here in part. 12 them more careful with their internal compensation 13 So, we need to fix the problem, 13 structures. 14 but --but --but we need to allow the industry to 14 So, I don't --I don't think you -15 function. I think it is a natural oligopoly. 15 you're going to need any --they're going to need 16 MR. HEANEY: Thank you. 16 any help once they get started. 17 Second really quick question. We've 17 MR. HEANEY: Thank you. 18 talked a lot about the structured finance market 18 Larry Tabb, we'll turn to you for a 19 generally as to how this is applicable. Any 19 question on the phone. 20 negatives, just to roll it out broadly? I mean, the 20 MR. TABB: Yeah, thanks. 21 plain vanilla ratings market has many of the same 21 First of all, when --when folks 22 underlying issues that structured finance does. It 22 speak, can they speak in the microphone because some 23 seems to me it would be fairly simple to make this 23 people come through clearly and other people -24 change more broadly. 24 like, other people I can barely here. 25 MR. MANNS: So --so, I think there's 25 This --this comment may be a little 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 123 a virtue to having a pilot program in order to understand all of the complexities that come with it and the potential spill over effects. And especially --and so, I think I respectfully disagree with my colleagues about the rating agency industry being a natural oligopoly, but instead, the logic it would be with the pilot program, you provide an outlet for smaller rating agencies to show that they can viably compete with high quality ratings and establish a track record. Without a track record, there's no way that they can compete with the three leading rating agencies that dominate 95 percent of the market. So, in that sense having it start off as a pilot program it helps to give some oxygen to the smaller rating agencies. It would also provide a context to understand, are there secondary effects that we aren't anticipating that could be significant. MR. RABOY: I agree with that. MR. BARRON: I think that if you started a brand new rating agency that met the requirements of IORA, of an investor owned rating agency, I don't think that we need any help. I think that the fact that you have the largest 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1314 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25Page 125 bit mute and I'm not sure depending upon some of the comments, but a couple of people ago there was someone talking about the issue of competition creating, in effect, a pressure to reduce ratings around, you know -- you know, reduce the quality of ratings. And when I think about competition in -in the rating -- in any type of market base, that somewhat tells me that folks don't necessarily need accurate ratings in the investment process. Because if people really needed an accurate rating in the investment process to get competition to increase ratings rather than decrease the quality of ratings. So, I'm not sure whether this is a comment or a question or whatever, but how do we get, you know, the need, you know, for better quality ratings into the investment process so the competition comes more from, you know, raising the quality of -- of ratings rather than issuer -- you know, or what seems to be the -- the business model associated with getting more raters or more issuers rating products with an incentive to in affect, you know, entice them with lower quality ratings. I'm not sure what the answer to that is, but at least that's from my external two cents. MR. MANNS: So, I think one way to 32 (Pages 122 to 125) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 126 try to tackle this is a theme that's come up in many of the models which is having performance based selection or compensation with a three-, five-or ten-year look back. And the logic of that being, what's missing in the current system is any incentive to necessarily go and elevate the quality of ratings over time. And that's just a critique of the fact that in an oligopoly there's going to be stickiness of reputation. There will be some accountability, but limited accountability. And under most of the models we've talked about, there at least is the consideration of trying to go and factor in performance. It's a contestable issue as to what metrics to use, but certainly would go about and advance your underlying concern. MR. KOTECHA: Yeah. I have to say as an ex-rating agency analyst, I remember somebody working for me who said, Mahesh, I love working here because I can say what is the truth. This is I think the creed of the rating analyst. Analysts like to know what is real. They like to call a shot as they see it and they get supported largely for doing so. So, I think that --that --that what 1 2 3 4 56 7 8 9 10 11 12 1314 15 16 17 1819 20 21 2223 24 25 Page 128 whole idea that people don't want to pay for accurate information, you know, there's -- there must be some other issue here. It just doesn't make a whole lot of sense, at least to me. MR. HEANEY: I just want to make one comment on the back of Mahesh's comment. And the subcommittee would have heard this, but we had a representative from one of the large rating agencies who worked there and made, basically, the same question, and Amy correct me if I'm wrong, that the business side of it basically choked off the independence of the analysts themselves. And so, I just throw that out there anecdotally for the rest of, you know, FIMSAC to hear it. He was unable to make it here at this meeting, but perhaps he'll be at a future one, but he reiterated that exact point. MR. RABOY: That's not just theoretical or anecdotal. There's a lot of research that establishes that that the analytical side was basically cut out of the system. MR. BARRON: You know, when we first got to Fitch we had periodic lectures from the analysts that explained the impact of ratings on our financial system, on our economy, on investors. And 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 127 happened or that the business side got hold of the --the golden goose. The analytical side remains very committed to quality. And I think some of the reforms that you're talking about regarding compensation, disclosure, some of the things that have been done, Chinese walls between the business side and the analytical side, they've helped, but I think overall, the --the agencies have done remarkable job because the default studies shows great correlation between defaults and ratings -low ratings. So, I would say that the industry is such that you cannot promote higher quality when somebody has to pay for it. You go to me and say, I want a rating. And I say, I'm going to give you a low rating because you're --I'm tough, but I want you to pay for me. The guy will go to the next guy. I mean, it's a natural situation. Nobody is going to pay for it. MR. TABB: Let me jump in here real quick. You know, Lynn's whole business in terms of her market data business really revolves around providing quick accurate data. So --so, you know --and her data is integral to valuation and integral to the pricing of everything. So, this 1 2 3 45 67 8 9 10 11 12 13 1415 1617 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 129 they took it seriously. And I -- and I -- this is amazing. This is the second time I'm agreeing with him in 40 years. MR. KOTECHA: It's beginning to be dangerous. MR. BARRON: But the business side as you said did take over. And I think it might be a good idea to require rating agencies to make their analysts aware using 2008 as an example of what can happen in our country for bad ratings. There should be another obligation to lecture analysts so that rating agencies can avoid the systemic risk that they did not avoid in 2006, 7, 8, whenever it was. MR. HEANEY: Let me go to Rachel, please. MS. WILSON: So, a lot of discussion around moving from the oligopoly essentially to assigning readings and getting a more broader group involved in that process and talking a lot about quality though and the need -- there's been kind of some conflicting thoughts from the panel around fewer is better and quality is better with fewer. And then, this idea of competition. We did have one of our panelists say that a pilot would be a way to check if you're compromising quality relative to 33 (Pages 126 to 129) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 130 having that develop over time. However, as an issuer, do you want to be the one in that pilot? You know, no, okay. That's their answer. No, I do not want to be the one in that pilot. And, you know, the other thought of, well, another approach is you can more gradually get there by saying, you know, it's almost like a bo/go model, you get one assigned to you, you can go buy your other one. One free, the other, go buy. Does that though then really break the conflict issue or have you just created more complexity. So, I just wanted to throw that back because I think the concept is very appealing intellectually and you all did start your talks, all of you said, pragmatically and practically implementing though is another matter. So, I want to get us back to that with some final thoughts. Thank you. MR. MANNS: So, if I may just kind of address your second point. I think the --the model of allowing issuers to go and get whatever ratings they want, there could be no limitation on that. And so, in the sense that's implicit in any approach we're 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 132 Standard & Poor's to go about and provide ratings in addition to whatever the pilot program produces. MR. RABOY: I agree with all of that. I don't think it's a natural oligopoly. I think it is an oligopoly, but that isn't necessarily there for future. Reputation matters. If any of these systems are going to work it has to be the case that reputation affords profit. And the pilot program has an incentive for people to participate because that does enhance reputation for trading. And unless you --if you have successfully broken the conflict, then reputation matters. And that matters very much to new entrants because that's the way competition occurs. MR. KOTECHA: May I suggest a couple of quick ways to --to start our little experiment. You could say, pick an asset class which is not the biggest, not the smaller, and say, we're going to start there. It could be CRE, CMBS or VWAP, RMBS, just pick some class and you could try. So, that's one possibility. Another, the issue is oligopoly. If you have five, that's still an oligopoly. And I think you might end up with five. KBRA is making progress. Morningstar is making progress. If you 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 131 going to have. And in that sense, it would raise the cost for whoever in is the pilot pool. They might not be overly excited about that for sure, but we then have an attractive problem otherwise, which is, assuming my --the folks on my left, though they may be on my right depending on how you put them on the political spectrum, but the folks on the left basically say it's a natural oligopoly and it becomes a talkology, which is, three rating agencies control 95 percent of the market 10 years ago, they still do, they still will. And it's --the logic is, well, they've made some mistakes along the way. This is the simply the natural order of things. Without some type of pilot program initiative, we can't really have any kind of real world market test. We won't be able to have enough data out there to go about and show whether, given the proper incentives, abolishing the issuer pay conflict of interest, could we have viable competition that elevates the quality of ratings. And I think that's kind of the catch 22. And so, in that sense you're right, it effectively would be a tax on the folks that are going to be subject of the pilot problem, but they can still go about and get Moody's, Fitch or 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 133 five, is it still not an oligopoly? It is still an oligopoly. So, I think the --the point is that how many opinions do you need that you're about to die of cancer? You need maybe two or three. After that you say, hey, I've had enough. I go for the treatment. So, I think it's a natural oligopoly because the opinions that are credible are going to be limited and their value diminishes with more opinions. MR. BARRON: You know, one thing, again drawing off the experience of Fitch that will help new rating agencies, when we first took over Fitch, Standard & Poors and Moody's had spent hardly any time going out to investors and talking to them. We went out --I personally probably went out and met with 60, 70, maybe 80 different institutional investors. And what we did was we explained our model. We explained our analysis. We explained compensation structures internally, how they worked. And many of the institutional investors at that time --this was, again, in '89, you know, didn't really understand how mortgage-backed securities worked. And we --we explained it and showed our criteria and why we think our ratings are going to 34 (Pages 130 to 133) Page 134 Page 136 1 be accurate. 1 Model' applied from equities into debt. Basically, 2 Having done that, they started 2 you say that if you have, you know, equity prices go 3 calling up the bankers and saying, we like Fitch. 3 up then your balance sheet is more able to pay for 4 We want to get some Fitch ratings. So, even though 4 debt. 5 I have said that, you know, competition begets lower 5 And then from there you -- you do 6 standards, generally speaking, I think that if 6 mathematics, fancy mathematics, and take the market 7 you're going to have a pilot program, any new and 7 prices of your stocks and come up with a default -8 upcoming rating agency has to have a lot of contact. 8 default rate. What happens with those models is 9 And it's not like panelists. It's not like, you 9 that they are much more timely. Every time the 10 know, lecturing. It's really one-on-one with 10 market jumps up and down, the default rate goes up 11 investors to educate them about what they're doing. 11 and down. So, they -- the apply two errors. 12 MR. KOTECHA: Let me adjust one 12 They've cried wolf and the wolf doesn't come. So, 13 footnote and I'll shut up. 30 seconds. 13 type one they predict better, but they also predict 14 There was an agency called Duff and 14 things that don't happen. So, that's the problem 15 Phelps. I called them easy ratings. They made a 15 with rapid changes in ratings. It's more timely, 16 reputation as a small potatoes entity in utilities. 16 more accurate, but frankly, it's noise. 17 They become very, very successful by going, like you 17 MR. HEANEY: Tom Gira. 18 did, Neil, talking to investors, doing excellent 18 MR. GIRA: I just want to go back to 19 reports and their reputation in utilities lead them 19 the oligopoly issue for a second. 20 to other sectors. 20 This is more for Professor Manns, but 21 The moment they begin a cafeteria 21 I have issues here that others might have on this. 22 rating agency, not a uni --not a mono-line rating 22 You made the good point I think about raising the 23 agency, they lost it because they then --they 23 accountability standard -- the reasonable 24 became easy ratings because they couldn't get the 24 accountability standards. And I think that makes a 25 business. And then, NAIC said, one NRSRO rating 25 lot of sense, but do you have any concerns though Page 135 Page 137 1 and, boom, if it's investment grade, you can buy. 1 that by doing that it could entrench the oligopoly 2 So, they --that become their model to a 200 million 2 or --or make it --make the white elephant even 3 IPO and a life on the beach. 3 bigger and how would --how would you sort or 4 MR. HEANEY: Thank you. Lynn. 4 respond to that. 5 MS. MARTIN: Yeah. As Larry 5 MR. MANNS: Sure. No, I think 6 mentioned, I --I do run a database and my database 6 that --that is a significant issue. I think the 7 is an operated rating agency. 7 idea of trying to cap the damages to a multiple of 8 I guess one thing that I heard from 8 fees would be the design that would go about making 9 the different proposals --or one thing that I think 9 a potential liability exposure manageable for even 10 was missing from the different proposal is, a way to 10 smaller entities because I think the underlying 11 really democratize this is to leverage observable 11 concern about expert liability under Section 11 was 12 data. And that's typically what we do in --in my 12 just, as we know from Rule 10b 5 and Section 11 13 business and we don't really have a subjective 13 assumes the expert liability to be monstrous and 14 nature. 14 that --that truly could be debilitating to smaller 15 Is there observable information that 15 rating agencies in terms of competition. 16 perhaps could democratize this process and level the 16 If you have an SEC adjudicative 17 playing field as opposed to the subjectivity? 17 process where you try to go and limit the expense of 18 Because I think that's what you all are really 18 the adjudicative process itself and cap the damages, 19 getting at, the issue is the conflict between who is 19 then I think it would be something that would be 20 paying for subjectivity. 20 more manageable for smaller entities to do. 21 MR. KOTECHA: There is a rating 21 MR. HEANEY: Sonali. 22 agency kind of a model, KMV, comma, Corp. Those are 22 MS. THEISEN: I have a quick question 23 the two that are market driven data base ratings. 23 around the pilot --the proposed pilot program. 24 There is a mathematical, you know, kind of 24 So, Rachel's questions centered I 25 discipline that can lead from the Black-scholes 25 think a little bit around, you know, incentivizing 35 (Pages 134 to 137) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1314 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 138 issuers to participate, etc. What about on the rating agency side. So, let's just say that you could construct a pilot. I would assume that there will be, you know, many newcomers that want to earn their stripes through this process. So -- so, how would you go about selecting -- I mean, if you have too many -- obviously, if you have too many people in that pool, you're not going to get enough kind of information to compare them. That's -- that's apples to apples. So, how would you propose going about constructing the selection process for the -for the newcomer rating agencies themselves? MR. MANNS: I think as a starting point for all of the models, as I would understand it is, being an NRSRO. In other words, going through it being certified with that status to be the starting point you then would be able to go participate in the pilot program. Currently I believe there are 10 NRSROs that exist. Obviously, if the pilot program existed and were -- had a longer time horizon, more entities would go and try to get status, but it's not an easy --it's not a rubber stamped process to become an NRSRO. So, effectively what that is is the SEC setting minimal standards. You have the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 140 MR. HEANEY: Larry. MR. HARRIS: I'm going to make some general observations about this area and then conclude with a suggestion for yet another model that we haven't discussed before. So, we're meeting today on this issue and have met before over the years because there's a need for reliable, unbiased, informative research that's easy to digest and doesn't facilitate manipulative behaviors. I think that's the definition of our objective here. And we know with respect to credit rating agencies that there are two big economic problems that make this very difficult. The first one is the free writer problem. Everybody would like somebody else to pay for it. This one actually has a simple, well-known solution. There's a free writer problem, basically, you compel everybody to pay for it one way or the other. And then the question is, how do you manage that money. But the much more difficult problem is the fact that the product is extremely difficult to evaluate. Defaults just don't happen very often. And in evaluating the product by whether your ratings change when everybody else's ratings change is not Page 139 Page 141 1 credibility to go about issuing credit rating 1 the right way to do it. That's self-referential. 2 agency. So, I think in that sense, that would be a 2 And this is a fundamental problem. It's hard to get 3 meaningful barrier and would be a meaningful 3 around. 4 preliminary step for anyone who would take the 4 So, we could imagine -- we could 5 ratings seriously. 5 imagine that one solution to the problem, and it 6 MS. THEISEN: So, would you believe 6 actually already exists, one solution to the problem 7 that all 10 of those NRSROs if a pilot conducted is 7 is to create an information market where people can 8 that --is that too many or do you think that's 8 bet on -- essentially on ratings or on quality of 9 manageable? 9 information. So, if you think that the rating is 10 MR. MANNS: I think part of it would 10 too low, you can buy it and sort of push it up. If 11 really turn on what segment in the marketplace 11 you think the rating is too high then you can sell 12 you're going to have the pilot program in. And not 12 it. That's actually a description of the credit 13 all 10 of those NRSROs are participating all 13 default swap market, okay. 14 segments in the market, at least currently. They 14 So, with that observation, let me 15 may have reasons to go about and shift their focus 15 note that there are three places where we discovered 16 to be able to participate in the pilot study, but I 16 information about the value of fixed-income 17 think the underlying issue simply is not a matter of 17 securities. We have the credit rating agencies, and 18 three, five or ten. It's a matter of trying to 18 we're all quite familiar with it, we've spent a lot 19 provide enough oxygen in the air for folks who are 19 of time talking about that. We have the markets for 20 offering credible ratings to be able to go and 20 those securities where people who have opinions who 21 participate in the process. And the only way you 21 will buy or sell based on the price. And then, of 22 build credibility is by having enough business that 22 course, the credit default swap market where it's 23 you can empirically test in retrospect how credible 23 essentially the same thing, but where there's less 24 your ratings were. 24 capital required. 25 MS. THEISEN: Thank you. 25 So, the suggestion is is that - 36 (Pages 138 to 141) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1415 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2425Page 142 well, first, the next observation is that the latter two markets, the markets for information, where people are trading the securities or they're trading the swaps, those are places where people put their money on the line when they're forming an opinion, which is really disappointing. It -- it keeps them from lying. You lie and you take a position in your -- in your -- in your statement, if you're wrong, you're going to lose a lot. So -- and of course the academic evidence suggests that those markets actually produce better information. Though the information tends to be a little bit more volatile. Here's the suggestion, we presently have a regulatory framework, the NRSRO framework, that's designed to deal with the problems as we recognize them in the existing credit rating agency world. And that world is a world in which you have a bunch of analysts who collect fundamental information. They go talk to managers. They get paid this way or that way. They process it and produce ratings. As Lynn mentioned and Mr. Kotecha -- did I pronounce it correctly? MR. KOTECHA: Correct. MR. HARRIS: Yeah, elaborated, we 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 1415 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 144 derivative fourth actually, source of information that might be -- might be pretty useful. And we solve the volatility problem by recognizing that to the extent that there's negative zero correlation in ratings you can smooth that out. And if there's not than you just accept that the world changes and changes are what you want to see. And so, you have the volatility. So, I guess the question that comes out of this is, is there a strong reason to suspect that such a proposal like this would generate -- it certainly would generate its own problems. The question is, what would those problems be. MR. KOTECHA: Yeah, I'm not sure I would support a rating agency that's just based on CDS spreads or other market spread. Because I think the issue is, you pointed out, the volatility is too high. I actually advised on a transaction where CDS spreads that would be used in order to impute credit -- credit risk in a CDO and it just -- the CDS spreads not only have credit risk, they have liquidity risk and they have other factors that come in. So, they are rather volatile because many other facts are reflected in there than simply 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 143 know that it's possible to transform price information into easy-to-digest statements about -about the future default, but --but we don't have a way of sort of overseeing people who make those statements. And it might be sensible to have such a thing. So, the suggestion is is that perhaps we should have a --another designation that the SEC recognizes which is parallel to the NS --the NRSRO designation that applies only to those entities that are taking price information and translating it to --into easily to --easy-to-digest information. The translation is not easy because it may involve a Black-scholes Model' or other models. It's going to involve financial engineering or the understanding of the characteristics, but it's based fundamentally only on --on the price information and the quality of the translation. And the regulator, whoever it may be, maybe the SEC or some board or something like that, simply says that you're qualified to do this if we give you this designation because we know that you understand the --the financial engineering well enough to create a --a reasonable statement. And then we would allow those entities to compete as a third or sort of a 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 145 credit. And separating them out is a complicated job and the volatility is a big, big job. So -- and you don't need a license for that. The market is quite broad. People can use it and they can -- they can short a security that they think is, you know -you know, just going to go down in the future. So, I don't think you need that today to -- to have a newly designated rating agency for that. MR. HARRIS: So, volatility is something that I've studied a lot. There are two types of volatility. There is volatility that comes from fundamentals and though we don't like, we're probably best off seeing it. And the other volatility comes from bouncing back and forth. Things go up and then they bounce back down and so forth. That volatility is called negative zero correlation or associated with negative zero correlation. Financial engineers understand how to separate the two types of volatility. And the way to deal with the negative zero correlation is simply to smooth it out. And so, there are financial engineering techniques that could deal with that issue. And so again, the question is, what other problems might we see from -- I don't want to 37 (Pages 142 to 145) Page 146 Page 148 1 dominate this -1 The first --the first is normal bonds are trading 2 CHAIRMAN HEANEY: Unfortunately, I'm 2 in terms of portfolios as a basket. So, often 3 going to have to just cut this off. We're ten 3 these --these trades are won or lost in terms of 4 minutes over as it is, but I appreciate it. 4 the best price in the basket, but it may or may not 5 A big thanks to the panelists. 5 have the best price on the individual components in 6 Fantastic. This is a heavy topic obviously for the 6 the basket, the winning trade. So, to put a flag to 7 subcommittee and for FIMSAC as a whole, but this has 7 identify the trade before. 8 been eye opening. I appreciate it. 8 The other one of course is corporate 9 And thank you, Amy, for moderating. 9 bonds often trade in terms of spreads and the 10 (Applause.) 10 discrepancy as spreadable treasuries to be marked at 11 CHAIRMAN HEANEY: So, we are going to 11 a certain time. And between the time of the 12 move right away into the --the two updates. Rick 12 trade --between the time the trade was negotiated 13 McVey first who chairs the Technology and Electronic 13 and the time the trade was executed spreads moved, 14 Trading Subcommittee will give a brief update on 14 prices moved as a better way to better capture 15 what that subcommittee is thinking and working on. 15 spread trades that are negotiated one time and 16 And then, we'll move to Mihir to do the same. 16 executed at another time. 17 MR. McVEY: Thanks, Michael. 17 And the third one is to try and 18 The Technology and E-Trading 18 capture and trace riskless trades and mark ups, 19 Subcommittee continued its ongoing support for 19 whether it be the Commission or another flag talking 20 previous FIMASC recommendations on pennying at a new 20 about when a broker-dealer buys a bond and turns 21 issue corporate bond reference database. On the 21 around --turns around and sells it instantly 22 corporate bond new issue reference database market 22 without taking risks. So, that's --that's in terms 23 participants have had ample opportunity to provide 23 of what we're looking at for modifying TRACE 24 comments and FINRA continued to refine their 24 reporting. 25 proposal. 25 The second issue we worked on was Page 147 Page 149 1 In addition, the committee has 1 revisiting the --the block trade proposal. As many 2 entertained a number of new topics without any firm 2 of you might recall, one of the first proposals that 3 conclusions to date. Including, critical market 3 came out of FIMASC or our subcommittee is modifying 4 infrastructure, accessibility and pricing models, 4 the dissemination rules for large block trades and 5 cyber security education and best practices, 5 to see if that improves liquidity and execution 6 especially targeted for municipal bond issuers, the 6 costs for large blocks. 7 use of composite pricing services for portfolio and 7 So, FINRA put out a proposal. It's 8 package trades and potential improvements to TRACE 8 been out for comment. And the reason we decided as 9 reporting for these trades when conducted on 9 a subcommittee to revisit this is we've had the 10 electronic trading venues. 10 comments out there. We've got the FINRA proposal. 11 And, finally, we have had recent 11 We've had input from other market participants and 12 interest from asset managers to consider a 12 we've seen the comments that people have officially 13 recommendation to modernize SEC regulations for 13 put forth to FINRA. And we thought as a 14 internal cross trades utilizing independent pricing 14 subcommittee maybe we should revisit this and see if 15 services on electronic trading venues. The 15 we can come up with a consensus to try and move this 16 committee hopes to reach consensus on one or more of 16 issue forward. 17 these topics in the coming quarters. 17 Both of these in hindsight, maybe if 18 MR. WORAH: So, an update from the 18 we focused on one rather than two issues, we'd have 19 Corporate Bond Transparency Subcommitte. 19 a recommendation today, but where we are, we've made 20 So, over the last seven months we've 20 progress on both of these issues, but no 21 been working on two parallel topics. The first one 21 recommendation today. 22 relates to, is there a way to modernize the data 22 So, that's an update from us. 23 collected by TRACE either in terms of more fields or 23 MR. REDFEARN: Okay, thank you very 24 flags to better reflect the way bonds trade today. 24 much. 25 And this -- this breaks down into three categories. 25 I think we are going to break for 38 (Pages 146 to 149) Page 150 Page 152 1 lunch. For those of you who are visitors here, you 1 remarks, you know, on each person. 2 should know that there is a cafeteria one flight 2 So, starting alphabetically, we have 3 down from this. I think it's the -- the American 3 Bill Ahmuty from State Street Global Advisors, Steve 4 Express cafeteria, whatever, or you can obviously go 4 Berkley from Bloomberg Index Services, Phil Galdi 5 out to Brookfield Place. 5 from ICE Data Indices, Anish Karyat from Citadel 6 And for those of you on the panel I 6 Securities and Dan Li from the Federal Reserve 7 think we have a -- or the committee we have a -7 Board. 8 right down the hall we have a room. 8 So, with that, let me turn it over to 9 CHAIRMAN HEANEY: 409 they're saying. 9 our panel for remarks. Maybe we'll begin with Steve 10 MR. REDFEARN: And then we will -- we 10 and -- and Phil and -- from the index provider 11 will assemble back here at 12 -- I think we're on 11 viewpoint. And then, proceed to hear from Bill 12 for 12:40. 12 about the, you know, indices from an issuer 13 (Lunch recess taken.) 13 perspective. And then to Dan Li from the Federal 14 A F T E R N O O N S E S S I O N 14 Reserve on -- on kind of her perspectives from the 15 CHAIRMAN HEANEY: Okay. Welcome 15 market side and then close out with Anish from 16 back. Before we move back to the next subcommittee 16 Citadel about the trading of -- of bonds around bond 17 I'd like to introduce Ronald Tidal from the Division 17 and reconstitution events. 18 of Economic Risk Analysis. He will be joining us 18 Okay. So, with that, let me turn it 19 for the afternoon session. Welcome. 19 over to our distinguished panel. Thank you. 20 Our first panel this afternoon will 20 MR. BERKLEY: All right. Thank you. 21 address matters related to index construction and 21 Well, I'll be the canary here. 22 reputation methods and disclosures and the daily 22 Good morning. I'm Steve Berkley, CEO 23 pricing of induces. 23 for BISSELL which is Bloomberg's Index Service 24 With that, let me turn it over to 24 business and I'm happy to be here. 25 Ananth the chair of the ETF and the Bond Fund 25 I look at today's meeting as a way to Page 151 Page 153 1 Subcommittee who will be moderating the panel. 1 educate people on how fixed-income indices are 2 MR. MADHAVEN: Great. Thank you very 2 constructed and the differences between bond and 3 much, Michael. And thank you for our panelists 3 equity benchmarks. 4 for -- for coming today to inform us about index 4 Bloomberg Indices have been published 5 construction within fixed-income. 5 since 1973, albeit, under the organizational names 6 Before I introduce the panel, just I 6 of Kuhn Loeb, Lehman Brothers and Barclays. And if 7 wanted to go back to Chairman Clayton's remarks this 7 you leave here with one memory I hope it is the 8 morning when we kicked off the agenda. In terms of 8 knowledge that the fixed-income indices are rules 9 index construction, Chairman Clayton highlighted 9 based --thank you. Thank you. 10 three areas for focus. One had to do with technical 10 If you leave here with one memory I 11 issues such as the weighting schemes that are 11 hope it is the knowledge that fixed indices are 12 applied within index construction. The second had 12 rules based and transparent. A little feedback. 13 to do with market exposures, some of the risks and 13 That means there are no subjective 14 opportunities provided by indexation within 14 decisions made as to which bonds are added or 15 fixed-income where it's still MASINT. And then, the 15 dropped from the index. There are no committee 16 third, which I thought was a very interesting remark 16 decisions upon which the world waits. Just like the 17 was the question about value judgments on what 17 boardgames we all played as kids, the rules are on 18 should be included and what should be excluded out 18 the back of the box. 19 of bond indices. 19 So, what are these rules. Like most 20 So, these are very large questions. 20 fixed-income indices, including those of other index 21 I think we have a number of very technical questions 21 providers, they are a set of criteria that must be 22 as well about this. And we have a -- a all star 22 met. A key example includes a size constraint. For 23 panel here to answer some of those questions. Let 23 example, the U.S. aggregate index, all corporate 24 me introduce them briefly and then I'm going to turn 24 bonds must have at least 300 million paramount 25 it over to our panel to make some introductory 25 outstanding. All securities for this index must 39 (Pages 150 to 153) 1 2 34 5 6 78 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1718 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 154 also be rated investment grade. We use Moody's, S&P and Fitch in this algorithm. In the case of split ratings we'll use the middle of the three as the determining factor. If only two agencies rate the security, we use the lower of the two. We also have exclusion rules. For example, private placements are not eligible to be included in the U.S. Act, neither are floating rate securities. These rules can and have changed over the years. We've addressed -- we've added asset classes such as U.S. MSBS, ABS and CMBS. We've added a rating agency as Fitch was not initially part of the ratings prior to. We've raised the amount outstanding constraint as well over the years to reflect changing issuance patterns. The point being that markets evolve and the indices evolve a long with them. Philosophically, the indices are designed to represent and measure the marketplace. There are a number of key differences between equity and fixed-income indices. People are always questioning the higher turnover in bond benchmarks. There's a really simple answer. Bonds are born and bonds die at issuance and maturity respectively. It is the 1 2 3 4 5 6 78 9 1011 1213 1415 16 17 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25Page 156 all the 11,000 bonds in the U.S. So, managers typically use a sampling approach where they match the risk characteristics of their chosen benchmarks. These risks factors include things such as duration and exposures along the curve, sector weights, quality distribution, among others. I think I'm out of time. So, I'm going to stop there and I'll turn it over to my colleague Phil. MR. GALDI: Thanks. I'm Phil Galdi at ICE Data Indices which covers fixed-income -CHAIRMAN HEANEY: I'm sorry. Can the panelists just all put their green lights on. MR. GALDI: Fixed-income, equity and commodity indices. Prior to that I was running the index business at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch for over 30 years which was then acquired by ICE two years ago. With the significant growth in fixed-income UTFs that we've seen over the past few years it's important that the indices that support these products be well understood. Over the years many changes have taken place in index construction, but basic principles are the same. First, as Steve explained, the Page 155 Page 157 1 circle of fixed-income life, so to speak, but --but 1 universe of outstanding bonds is filtered using an 2 equities live forever. 2 objective set of criteria relating to terms and 3 Most bonds are issued in the two-to 3 conditions such as maturity and issue size and other 4 30-year range, but some stocks have existed for 4 factors such as credit rating and sector 5 decades longer than that. So, it's easy to see why 5 classifications. Second, there's a process for 6 equity index constituents appear more stable. 6 determining the weight of each security in the 7 A second big difference between the 7 index. 8 two asset classes is how they're traded. Stocks 8 Together these two process comprise 9 trade on exchanges while bonds are largely OTC. 9 the index skewed rules. We make these rules 10 This results in a complication regarding pricing. 10 publicly available on an unrestricted basis in 11 Investors may disagree on the value of Apple stock, 11 accordance with the IOSCO Principles for Financial 12 but there is no uncertainty as to its price. You 12 Benchmarks. Having determined the index 13 can find it throughout the day on TV and the 13 composition, constituents are priced daily and index 14 internet. 14 results are compiled in accordance with their 15 Bond pricing is a bit more difficult 15 published methodologies. 16 because there are many inputs and observations that 16 Finally, the indices are broadly 17 go into establishing an end-of-day price. These 17 disseminated with index values and statistics 18 include TRACE feeds, bid and offer lists, issue of 18 available on an unrestricted basis. And in 19 curves, models, et cetera. 19 addition, for indices used by the ETFs, constituent 20 The last thing I want to comment on 20 holdings are also made available to the general 21 in my opening statement are the differences in 21 public. 22 techniques used by passive equity and fixed-income 22 Most bonds don't trade every day and 23 investors. Equity managers can actually buy all the 23 as a result in most cases we are using what's 24 constituents of their benchmarks to minimize or 24 referred to as evaluated prices that we license from 25 eliminate tracking error, but it's impossible to buy 25 our affiliate ICE Data pricing reference data. They 40 (Pages 154 to 157) Page 158 Page 160 1 also use these same prices and license them to the 1 Securities cease to exist and need to be replaced by 2 funds to start their NAVs. 2 new issuance, but it does raise a question regarding 3 The rules for the earliest 3 the removal of bonds that have less than a year to 4 fixed-income indices were developed back in the '70s 4 maturity. That rule may be fine for active managers 5 and, basically, tried to emulate the investment 5 who use the indices, but it's less than ideal for 6 arena for the typical ERISA portfolio. The thinking 6 passive fixed-income managers who would generally 7 at the time was that the investments were allocated 7 prefer to avoid selling bonds before they are 8 to three main asset classes; stocks, bonds and cash. 8 redeemed. 9 To draw a line in demarcation between bonds and 9 As a result, the rules of many of the 10 cash, most bond indices adopted a one-year minimum 10 indices that we license to ETF issuers do not 11 maturity requirement and bonds were removed once 11 include a one-year minimum maturity requirement and 12 they fell within a year of their final maturity. 12 they do hold their bonds to maturity. Some indices 13 I'll come back to that point in a minute. 13 used by ETFs would naturally have higher turnover 14 Most ERISA portfolios have 14 because they are trying to capture specific 15 restrictions on credit ratings. So, the indices 15 investment opportunities such as our fallen angle 16 were limited to investment grade rated bonds. High 16 index. That index will have higher turnover of 17 yield indices didn't enter the scene until the '80s. 17 about ten percent of the year relative to the high 18 Rather than relying on a single 18 grade index that I described, but that's due in part 19 rating agency, ICE Indices used an average of 19 to the migration of issuers below and then back 20 Moody's, S&P and Fitch as explained in our published 20 above the investment grade line. 21 rules. Our method may differ slightly from others 21 Some believe that this segment of the 22 for determining whether a bond is investment grade 22 market is attractive from a relative value 23 or not, but the resulting differences are relatively 23 perspective and they are willing to accept more 24 minor. 24 turnover in order to capture that investment 25 The indices have a minimum issue size 25 opportunity. Page 159 Page 161 1 criteria to avoid selection of less liquid bonds 1 Another consideration for indices 2 while still capturing the majority of the market. 2 used by ETFs is diversification. I initially stated 3 The earliest bond indices were cap 3 that most of the well-known fixed-income indices are 4 weighted which means that each constituent was 4 market cap weighted, but that can result in issuer 5 weighted relative to its outstanding issue size. 5 concentrations that do not meet continuous listing 6 That holds true today for many, but not all indices. 6 requirements for fixed-income ETFs and their 7 For most bond indices, the selection of weighting is 7 underlying indices. 8 securities, which is referred to as the index 8 As a result, we construct many 9 rebalancing, occurs monthly. That's different than 9 indices that are constrained to meet or exceed the 10 equity indices which occur much less frequently. 10 continuous listing requirements rather than simply 11 You might conclude that bond indices 11 defer to market value. 12 therefore have a necessarily high turnover, but the 12 To sum up, we have thousands of bond 13 more frequent rebalancing is necessary due to the 13 indices and they are used for many purposes from 14 fact that the bonds mature or get called and 14 performance benchmarking for active funds to the 15 mortgages have principal payments. 15 underlying for passive ETFs. Not every index is 16 Over the last ten years our U.S. 16 ideal for every one of these purposes, but when it 17 broad hybrid index has seen on average about 20 17 comes to passive ETF community, we and others have 18 years annual turnover. Over half of that is 18 the market data methodology and technology to 19 removable bonds that had been redeemed and no longer 19 construct indices that meet their needs. And we 20 exist. And most of the remainder are bonds that 20 provide full transparency to investors in those ETFs 21 fall under a year to maturity. Only about five 21 as to the rules and methodologies used to compile 22 percent of the turnover is attributed to other 22 the underlying index and its owners. Thank you. 23 factors such as rating changes. 23 MR. MADHAVEN: Thank you very much. 24 So, as you can see, the majority of 24 We'll continue with Bill from State Street. 25 the turnover in bond index is --is unavoidable. 25 MR. AHMUTY: Thank you very much. 41 (Pages 158 to 161) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 162 Bill Ahmuty from State Street Global Advisors. I'm here representing the SPDR fixed-income ETF business. This is an overall business for the SPDRs is $670 billion in assets under management and the fixed-income business in the U.S. is over $72 billion in fixed-income ETF in either assets we're managing as a direct manager or by employing sub-advisors. For the purposes of this session my comments are going to be focused on fixed-income ETFs managed in-house at State Street Global Advisors which are primarily index strategies and represent roughly $57 billion in fixed-income assets. It's important to note that the portfolio managers who oversee the SPDR fixed-income ETFs are part of the broader SSGA fixed-income beta team which managers over $400 billion in fixed-income assets. This allows the team to leverage the tools and techniques across various portfolios regardless of the wrapper. The purpose of providing the panel with some of these details is to provide context in terms of our capabilities in fixed-income indexation. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 164 the opportunity cost of not owning a position versus owning a position. As it relates to fund disclosures and transparency, all of our ETFs provide daily holdings on our website and other third-party sites along with the index holdings of the said benchmark index on our website. As markets continue to evolve we look for consistency in index and pricing methodology and increased transparency in the marketplace. Thank you. MR. MEDHAVEN: Thank you. Let's turn to Dan Li. MS. LI: Hi, I'm Dan Li from the Federal Reserve Board. I want to thank the FIMSAC committee and to Ananth and Kumar for inviting me to this panel. Before I start, I'd like to make a disclaimer that the views here are my personal ones and do not --does not represent that of the Federal Reserve Board. Some of my recent research have been focusing on the role of institutional investors in the OTC bond market. In one of my published paper, I and co-authors found that corporate bond funds tend to buy and sell bonds in a correlated fashion 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 163 Our goal as an index manager is to provide the returns of the investors of the benchmarked index in a manner that is consistent with the overall risk profile and stated benchmark. Broadly speaking, our approach is to replicate the risk profile of this index which, if managed effectively, will ultimately deliver these return streams. Due to the OTC nature of fixed-income markets, full replication on a CUSIP by CUSIP basis as a technique is neither practical nor prudent. Replicating and index strategy from the bottom up on a CUSIP by CUSIP beta level. Typically it results in the manager being a price taker in the market and can result in high costs to the fund. In addition, in certain indices where the CUSIP count may be in the thousands, full replication by CUSIP count would become too onerous and costly. We aim to replicate the risk profile of the fund using stratified sampling not full replication on a bottom up CUSIP by CUSIP basis. The key risks we look to identify in managing the portfolios are credit spreads, ratings and sector exposures. In measuring costs we look at the implicit cost of the bid/ask spread, as well as, 1 2 3 45 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 1718 19 20 2122 23 24 25 Page 165 which we call herding. We found that when they herd to sell corporate bonds price get temporarily depressed and may take a few quarters to revert. In two other working papers of mine we find that when mutual funds are forced to liquidate corporate bonds due to investor redemptions, so-called fire sales, they exert price pressures and may even cause second round affect where -- where the returns of the funds owning the same bonds will suffer triggering outflows from them as well. And, in a nutshell, bond funds investment strategy have important financial stability implications. And this could be particularly true when more funds own similar bonds. Something that the growing prevalence of passive investment strategy could only exacerbate. Research about benchmarks or indexing has been active in the equity space, but relatively sparse for fixed-income. And this might be a result of data availability, which I will get to later. Generally speaking, it is widely documented that when stocks go in and out of an index, especially the widely followed index such as the S&P 500, there are large price movement and trading activities associated with such events. 42 (Pages 162 to 165) Page 166 Page 168 1 In the fixed-income space, one recent 1 U.S. bond index fund universe around 100 different 2 paper by Dick Nelson and Rossy documented that when 2 indices are used, which sounds pretty competitive. 3 bonds drop out of the Barclays corporate bond index 3 However, 98 percent of the assets under management 4 due to either rating changes or nearing maturity, 4 of tech to indices under the Bloomberg markets 5 there is elevated demand for immediate execution by 5 franchise. 6 mutual funds which requires dealer to use their 6 In the bond ETF universe over 300 7 balance sheet to accommodate. Increasing share of 7 different indices are being referenced, but the top 8 bonds held by mutual funds and the post crisis 8 three franchise, the Bloomberg Barclays, ICE and 9 regulatory regime may have contributed to an 9 J.P. Morgan indices account for more than 90 percent 10 increase in the price of immediacy charged by 10 of the assets under management. 11 dealers. Since mutual fund behavior may interact 11 In the non index bond mutual fund 12 with the post crisis regulatory environment for 12 space over half of the assets under management has a 13 banks understanding the impact of indexing is 13 reference benchmark listed. There are over 1,000 14 particularly important now. 14 different indices or sub indices referenced with 15 In reviewing the literature and 15 many of the indices referenced by only one fund. 16 research on this topic, a few unique features caught 16 This echos the finding by Robertson at Toronto 17 of the bond indices caught my attention. Relative 17 University who looks at the stock mutual fund 18 to the most popular indices in the stock market, 18 universe and finds similar kind of diversity in the 19 bond indices tend to have high turnover as the other 19 universe of indices. Some of these single user 20 panelists have mentioned and as bond get issued and 20 indices seem to be created by the fund or the fund 21 new bonds draw closer to maturity they will have to 21 family themselves. Such practice of 22 turn over. Bond index constitution typically 22 self-referencing might be more cost effective for 23 happens at month end. One potential problem with 23 investors, but could lead to comparability issues or 24 this is that when month end coincides with quarter 24 governance issues. 25 end or year end it is precisely when major dealers 25 I want to finish by making some Page 167 Page 169 1 tend to view elevated balance sheet pressure and 1 policy recommendations to the FIMSAC committee, 2 cost of trade could be higher. 2 again, from the point of view of a researcher. 3 Unlike some indices bond indices have 3 Research on the topic of bond indices 4 mutual rating created and maintained by dealer firms 4 are relative sparse likely due to the lack of the 5 and the old ones are the Lehmans and Merrills and 5 quality of data available to researchers. In 6 the JP Morgans were the big ones. This makes sense 6 particular, data on index constituent history -7 as dealer have a competitive advantage in providing 7 constituent price history, these are hard for 8 pricing for the index constituents particularly for 8 researchers to access. Understandably, index data 9 OTC traded illiquid bonds. 9 is a large revenue source for the index creators and 10 This trend is slowly changing though. 10 their continued incentive to provide such a valuable 11 In the past decade we saw part of --we saw the 11 service should be considered. However, to the 12 Lehan Barclay franchise being purchased by Bloomberg 12 extent that historical lacked data can be shared 13 and the Merrill indices being purchased by ICE. As 13 with the research community, it will be a bit 14 trade reporting become more ubiquitous we're seeing 14 impetus for innovation and intellectual development 15 large data vendors or trading platform owners 15 in this area. 16 becoming more competitive in this space. This could 16 Another related point is about 17 be potentially beneficial as the index prices will 17 transparency for investor protection. It would be 18 rely less on one dealer's quote. However, this 18 great to have a one-stop-shop where investors can 19 could make index further away from regulators reach. 19 search for the index information for each fund and 20 Uncompetitive sales practices of bumping could also 20 where they can easily find out for each index what's 21 potentially make the cost of requiring information 21 the criteria for index inclusion and exclusion and 22 on these indices prohibited. 22 how many other funds reference the same index. 23 The bond index landscape is 23 Which firm maintains or owns the index that the fund 24 surprisingly diverse, yet, highly concentrated. 24 or ETF is tracking? Any potential conflict of 25 According to data pulled from Morningstar in the 25 interest? And, furthermore, what are the 43 (Pages 166 to 169) 1 23 4 5 6 7 8 910 11 12131415 16 17 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 170 constituents for these index? Why is this important? Because as I was doing the research I found out that, to my surprise, the Bloomberg Barclays green bond index constituents are issued primarily by banks. And this -- this is easy of you to see a list, but it might not be that obvious to the investor just looking at the name. So, that's just some of my recommendations. And I look forward to further discussions. MR. MADHAVEN: Thank you, Dan. Anish, over to you. MR. KARYAT: Hi. Anish Karyat from Citadel Securities. I joined the firm about a year ago. Prior to that I was at Jane Street. My role is to run our fixed-income ETF business. And the context here is along the lines of ETF market. As a brief overview, the ETFs are, basically, a basket or portfolio of bonds. They have features of both closed end funds and open end funds. Close end funds, they trade on exchange throughout the day, there's plenty of transparency and like close and open end funds, as investor demand for a given ETF changes over time, funds can 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 172 price the ETF, the other big factor that we constantly calculate in terms of providing liquidity to is the actual creation of redemption mechanism. Given the new ETF rule most retails are now on a level playing field. So, being able to do custom creation redemptions is an extremely critical part of it. While an ETF might track an index of thousands of bonds, the actual redemption -creation redemption can be achieved using a much smaller subset of bonds which significantly reduces the cost of providing liquidity on ETFs. With regards to this panel and some of the concerns that are being addressed, while I think a clear understanding of the index methodology and constituents is important, as the ETF market may burst, being able to accurately calculate the ETF fund holdings on a daily basis is critical. And by in large, most ETF issuers do provide a sufficient details data to help us supply funds accurately, but there has been a lot of push from various issuers to give us a lot more clarity on the holdings to reduce the noise when it comes to striking it down which I think will help the market a lot. With regards to the index rebalancing discussion we're having, my priority will be that at Page 171 Page 173 1 issue or redeem shares to meet those demands. 1 least given ETFs creation redemption mechanism, as 2 Unlike, open end funds though, the 2 funds managers they're able to add the index into 3 creation redemption process for almost all of the 3 ETF creations and at least in the redemptions and 4 fixed-income ETFs there's an incline transfer of 4 using the primary market creation redemption 5 bonds in exchange for ETF shares. We as market 5 activity get those transactions done. So, 6 makers to make realtime markets, whether it's 6 therefore, minimizing the cost of --transaction 7 systematically on exchange, or on our view 7 cost of the bond itself. So, I'll be curious to see 8 platforms, we put a lot of effort into building 8 in these studies we do if there is a difference 9 realtime pricing models for the underlying 9 between mutual funds and ETF as far as tracking goes 10 securities. And to that extent we use various data 10 from rebalances. 11 sources including broad-based market predictors like 11 And, finally, and as a last comment, 12 futures, equities, EDX, bond quotes, but by far the 12 in terms of exposures to investors, some of the 13 most valuable data source we've come across is 13 biggest ETFs that hold corporate bonds have a lot 14 actual transaction details on --on the underlying 14 more liquidity than the online bonds would imply, 15 bonds. 15 but I think investors should be made aware of the 16 As you know, only a small percentage 16 fact that in fact they are trading --they are 17 of the corporate bond universe trades on any given 17 investing in securities that do have low liquidity. 18 day, but those retails are extremely important in 18 So, while during times of stress and consistent 19 being able to calibrate the prices of ETFs. And 19 outflows in the market, the cost of getting out of 20 particularly given that less than five percent of 20 those ETF --ETF positions in fact could approach 21 the corporate bond market actually trades on any 21 the cost of trading the underlying passive ETFs. 22 given day, being able to model various bonds 22 MR. MADHAVEN: Okay, terrific. 23 extremely critical based on the trade details we get 23 So, I have a few questions for the 24 on other bonds. 24 panel before we turn it over to the broader FIMASC. 25 Besides being able to accurately 25 And my fellow subcommittee members, you know, feel 44 (Pages 170 to 173) Page 174 Page 176 1 free to join in. And it's Kumar and others. I know 1 what they pay attention to. And that will include 2 you have some questions, so. 2 all the new issuance, bonds that are dropping out, 3 But let me --let me just begin 3 et cetera. So, come the end of the month it becomes 4 actually, you know, maybe with --going back to the 4 the established returns universe for the following 5 start with --with Phil and Steve. You know, in Dan 5 year. 6 Li's remarks she made some --several comments about 6 MR. MADHAVEN: Okay. 7 herding, about the possibility that concentration 7 MR. BERKLEY: So, that's -- that's, 8 among indices means that, you know, passive 8 basically, how it works. And -- and managers will 9 investors or their managers are reacting in the same 9 use this projected universe. They'll look for 10 way in the same bonds. I mean, I'd love your 10 characteristics in their portfolios that need to be 11 comments on --on that line of, you know. 11 adjusted. As I mentioned earlier, the different 12 MR. GALDI: To the degree that there 12 risk factors, do they need to extend duration, do 13 is herding triggered by a rebalancing, bear in mind 13 they need to purchase more corporate-specific with 14 that the people who are going to specifically trade 14 the space of corporate issuance, things like that. 15 those securities on the date of the rebalancing in 15 MR. MADHAVEN: Great, thanks. Okay, 16 the amount of the rebalancing are just the passive 16 Bill. 17 investors. Active managers will trade around those 17 MR. AHMUTY: Sure just a comment on 18 events. Some of them have already sold out those 18 this. 19 bonds well in advance of --of the downgrade or the 19 Phil made a comment, with respect to 20 upgrade that may have caused the move in or out of 20 rebalancing and the passive funds, as an ETF manager 21 an index. 21 we -- we don't always -- we don't necessarily 22 Considering that then take account of 22 rebalance our funds the way an equity fund would be 23 the fact that the fixed-income markets passive 23 managed, meaning, at a certain date and time looking 24 investing is a drop in the bucket. It's well under 24 to execute the buys and sells that we need to do. 25 two percent of total assets. So, to the degree that 25 Again, we're looking to track the overall risk Page 175 Page 177 1 the rebalancing is going to affect the overall 1 characteristics in the fund. So, we do look at the 2 market pricing, that's not likely given that 2 overall equity of bonds that are entering or exiting 3 context. 3 the index. And there may be times where based on 4 MR. MADHAVEN: Great. Steve. 4 our sense of what may be moving certain --certain 5 MR. BERKLEY: Yeah. I agree with -5 securities, we may enter that rebalanced position a 6 with Phil's comments. We don't have the situation 6 few days before the month end, right at month end or 7 like we do in equity space. When folks do their 7 after month ends. So, we do maintain some 8 re-balancings they typically have cash that's come 8 flexibility within the guidelines of managing the 9 in from --from payments and principal payments. 9 ETF. 10 They start formulating their rebalancing trades as 10 So, I just want to make that point 11 the month goes on. When you look at the 11 clear that we are not just going in there at month 12 construction of fixed-income indices there's really 12 end and looking to rebalance those at a specific 13 two indices that people have to look at. There's 13 time. 14 the returns universe, which is a static set of 14 MR. MADHAVEN: Great, thanks. 15 securities that's established at the end of a month. 15 Important qualification. 16 It's held constant throughout the month. And then 16 Anish, quick question for you about 17 you have a new index from a returns perspective the 17 this rebalancing activity. From your perspective of 18 following month, but you also have --investors are 18 market maker, do you see unusual patterns in 19 also interested in what we call the projected 19 liquidity of pricing of constituent bonds that are 20 universe, right, which is really deciding --so, for 20 being added to or deleted from indices. And how do 21 example, we --we just published the end of October 21 you, as a market maker, position around those kinds 22 index which will be used for November. 22 of events. 23 Now that we're in November people are 23 MR. KARYAT: Sure. So --so, we're 24 really starting to formulate their rebalancing for 24 focused obviously on the ETFs space and a lot of the 25 December, right. And this projected universe is 25 times what we do see is some of the bonds that are 45 (Pages 174 to 177) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 178 potentially overweight are more concentrated on the redemption baskets and vice versa on the creation side. So, we're actively trading those bonds on the back of creation redemptions and helping translate that into the rebalancing of the system. So, you know, as market makers we're cognizant of potential rebalances. And to the extent the margin will have positions in bonds that could go into creations, we are optimistic about how we source those bonds and go into those details. MR. MADHAVEN: Okay, great. I don't know, Michael, if you want to allow time for robust discussions. So should we open it up to the broader FIMSAC. MR. HEANEY: Happy to do so. Kumar. MR. VENKATARAMAN: Thanks everyone for your very thoughtful comments. I had a question on the daily pricing of the bond indices. And in this context of --I want to just read a short summary from 2003 report by the International Organization of Securities Commission which listed up some challenges in pricing benchmarks in the financial markets. And these are relevant for the bond market indexes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 180 of the sources for all of the different indices that we produce. And they produce the majority of our fixed-income pricing. They in turn have published disclosures on their methodologies and procedures for coming up with their evaluating prices. They are receiving input information from many sources. Not just actual trades, but also dealer quotes and other information take accountable of that in developing the pricing for a security on a given date. Also, as a security that has not been trading recently does trade, that gives them feedback into how the model works so that they can continually fine tune and calibrate the models. MR. BERKLEY: What I also want to point out to folks is that it's hard to manipulate a bond index because of pricing. And the reason is that there's thousands and thousands of constituents, right. And so even if one bond was off, that bond only has a very small weight in terms of the overall index, right. I think that's an important point. The second thing I want to raise is that the prices that go into the indices are available to thousands of eyes, right. So --so, people can see, for example, in the Bloomberg Page 179 Page 181 1 because many bonds, as has been pointed out, do not 1 terminal what the constituents to the indices are 2 trade on daily basis. 2 and what the prices are that are being used, right. 3 So, the data that can be used for 3 And so, if there are any anomalies it's open for 4 price and index in the benchmark comes from many 4 everybody to --to see. 5 sources. Observable transactions, as somebody just 5 And --and there are in bond space 6 pointed out, only about five percent of the bonds 6 as --as our colleagues at ICE would know, there are 7 trade. So, you don't observe these transactions for 7 challenges to prices that come across, you know, the 8 a very high number of the bonds. Then you have 8 desks from time to time, right. And so, this is an 9 executable bids and offers. And then you have some 9 open --you know, it's an open system where people 10 sort of imputed price based on expert judgment of a 10 can actually see the valuations and question them, 11 panel of participants or some, sort of, model based 11 right. And it's --it's not an exchange. As I 12 price. 12 mentioned earlier, it's --you know, there's a 13 So my question is, when --when it 13 little bit of calculations and perspective that go 14 comes to the daily pricing of the bond index, is 14 into establishing a price for an individual 15 that sufficient these disclosures that are being 15 security. 16 provided on what these different sources are for the 16 MR. VENKATARAMAN: I have a follow-up 17 different types of bond indexes that are being 17 question. 18 offered to the market and how does this change over 18 So, on --on a daily basis in terms 19 time for a bond index. So, for example, as you hit 19 of the disclosures, do you --do you provide 20 periods of market stress, the quality of information 20 information on what the composition is of these 21 may change quite a bit. So, could you --could you 21 sources. You say five percent of it came from 22 comment on that. 22 transactions and, you know, the remaining 25 percent 23 MR. GALDI: In our case as we said, 23 came from codes and remaining came from some sort of 24 we obtain our pricing from our affiliate and ICE 24 model based pricing. Is there disclosure on that. 25 Data Services and we make transparent what are all 25 MR. AHMUTY: Again, we're the index 46 (Pages 178 to 181) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 182 providers, right. I think the important thing here is that if there are questions around the specific techniques that the pricing businesses run, I think those questions should really be directed toward them. MR. GALDI: And I would add to that that's an important point to raise that there is a wall of separation between pricing services at our respective organizations and the index businesses. And indices are not the only users of these prices. When Steve referred to thousands of eyes, those aren't just the people who are looking at the indices, but all of the many users of pricing information, be it for portfolio valuation and accounting, risk management departments, trading desks who are putting this information into their models. So, all of those end users are leveraging the same price that, yes, also gets used by the index. And they are communicating back to the pricing sources when they see something that doesn't look right. MR. HEANEY: Rick. MR. McVEY: Thank you. This is probably for Anish and Bill primarily, but there have been some important changes in the index and 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 184 in the expected creations or redemptions or the inventory of bonds that we carry in being proactive in responding to our queues that sort of match our positions. And so, we would love to see a lot more transparency and a lot more proliferation of wall to wall trading. On the data side, again, knowing about actual --not just trading volume, but also activity --potential activity in bonds is extremely useful in helping us calibrate overall liquidity metrics for trading bonds. MR. AHMUTY: And so, from the ETF issuer we certainly have seen broker-dealers using ETFs and ETF to help manager positions in their balance sheets. That is something that really is continuing to help. It does two things I think. One, it allows the dealers to make sure that the ETFs are staying at a tight spread to their NAV. So, we've seen that reduce over time. That's the price relative to the net asset value. In addition that, that process also allows these dealers to use a create redeem mechanism --to use a create redeem mechanism within the ETF to help provide liquidity in underlying bonds. So, we see this as something that does help 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 183 ETF markets over the last several years. Major dealers are using ETF shares interchangeably with underlying bonds for risk transfer, but the market has embraced all-to-all trading which allow relative value our players to participate accurately throughout the day on both sides of the market. And both Bloomberg and ICE are --are now conducting analytical work to improve the create/redeem process in an attempt to standardize that. My question is, collectively do you think that's improved the risk profile of the ETF and index space in a way that will minimize basis risk and is there a better liquidity model now to avoid the herd mentality when funds are getting out of the same positions. MR. KARYAT: I can start. So, from an ETF market maker perspective having access to liquidity on bond trading is essential. And with the proliferation of all the electronic trading menus, we are able to source liquidity in much more effective ways than just bilaterally with dealers. Dealers are a very important source of liquidity for us. At the same time, we can be a lot more opportunistic about sourcing bonds whether it's 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 185 the ETF market become more efficient. MR.KARYAT: And along those lines one more comment. I think the creation redemption mechanism being customized there's a lot of effort being put in, quote, by Bloomberg and ICE and they show this directly into making that work flow a lot more standardized which helps reduce some of the friction and sort of operational issues that could come about from the creation redemption process. I think that's a good step forward in terms of making the process more effective. MR. HEANEY: Amy. MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. This question is directed I think at Phil, but if anyone else has any thoughts on it, please feel free to chime in. So, we debated on whose subcommittee should host this panel. I chair the Credit Ratings Committee and so this question is more credit ratings oriented, but you indicated that you take an average credit rating to determine inclusion in your indexes. A lot of work has gone into post Dodd-Frank reform, removing references to credit 47 (Pages 182 to 185) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 186 ratings in federal regulation. And so, some of the perspective we've gotten from a lot of our calls as a subcommittee over the past months is that there remains references to credit ratings in indexes as well as investor guidelines. And to the extent that exists, I'm just kind of wondering what your thoughts are on new players as NRSROs or smaller NRSROs and their ability to be used --their ratings being able to be used in your indexes going forward or is there like a period of time in which they need to be covering a name, et cetera. Just curious as to how you determine that. And in addition, if you could talk about when an issuer is downgraded and potentially falls into the fallen angel indices how that works. MR. GALDI: Sure. And, first of all, there is a cause and effect relationship between the indices and the investment policy guidelines. It's the policy guidelines that typically drive the index rules. You know, I described at the beginning the fact that the very first indices were investment grade rated. Why? Because they were trying to support ERISA funds that typically had investment grade rating criteria for the portfolio managers. And you want the index and the portfolio manager 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 188 through. So, the important thing is when a downgrade occurs that hits that projected universe that I talked about earlier right away. So, folks know that, okay, this is security is downgraded, no longer meets the index rules and will be dropping out of the index come the end of the month. So, people don't have to wait until the end of the month to get this information. They'll see it as soon as --as soon as it's being captured by --by the benchmarks. As far as the smaller rating agencies go, we have included, for example, in our Canadian index DBRS, right. That's an important provider up in --up in Canada, but I think what --what really is important is that the index shouldn't be driving the business for these smaller rating agencies. If --if they're doing their job and they have enough coverage, our investors will tell us, you know, please add them to --you know, to the calculus. That's how Fitch evolved to be included into the benchmarks, you know, a long time ago, right. So --so, the process is really open to feedback from --from investors. We take all of Page 187 Page 189 1 guidelines to be similar so that they have a --a 1 that feedback when we change these index rules, as I 2 fair benchmark. 2 mentioned earlier, and then we --you know, we make 3 So, that is the reason why we have so 3 announcements and we make these announcements as to 4 many different cuts. And it's not just investment 4 the index rules changes with an unscheduled press 5 grade high yield. There --there is many different 5 release. So, that all market participants have 6 slices of the --the index world that we create 6 access to the information at the same time. That's 7 based off ratings. 7 typically how it works. 8 As far as how the process works, we 8 MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. 9 look at the average rating once a month and current 9 MR. GALDI: If I could just add to 10 with the rebalancing cycle. We look at the average 10 Steve's point, that's an important part of this 11 rating for the security and compare it to the rules 11 whole process is rule changes. There is a process 12 for all of the potential indexes that it might be a 12 and a process that's spelled out in the IOSTA 13 part of. If it was in an index, but no longer meets 13 principles for what one does before changing the 14 the rating criteria for that index then it gets 14 rules. You go through a consultation process. 15 removed at that next rebalancing. If it was not 15 So, we have annually a public survey 16 previously in an index, for example, securities 16 where we spell out all the different potential rule 17 rated below investment grade, but it gets upgraded 17 changes under consideration. It's an open survey 18 during the middle of the month, at the end of the 18 for the entire public to respond to. We collect 19 month if it now carries investment grade rating we 19 that feedback and we consider changes in index rules 20 take it out of the high yield index and put it into 20 based on that feedback from the public. And then, 21 the higher grade index. 21 having considered that we then make the 22 Does that answer your question? 22 announcements as --as Steve said as to which 23 MS. McGARRITY: Yes, thank you. 23 changes, if any, will get effected for a goodwill 24 MR. BERKLEY: And what Phil describes 24 counsel. 25 is --is the same process that --that we go 25 MS. McGARRITY: Thank you. 48 (Pages 186 to 189) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 190 MR. HEANEY: Other questions? Sorry. MR. VENKATARAMAN: This is a question for --for Bill. So, my understanding is that even if we take a bond index that is widely followed and you look at the range of strategies that different funds use, there's quite a bit of variation. You have some funds that hold maybe 20 percent of the bonds and largely use --have a heavy reliance on a model and a sampling strategy that is of other funds which have a very high number of bonds and which are primarily holding index. So, my question is, are the fund disclosures that we have today with respect to how some of these passive funds are tracking the index, is that sufficient? To the extent that there is quite a bit of variation in the reliance on a model, should there be more information that is provided? Are there some metrics that can be provided to bond investors so that they have a better idea of the extent of model risk that may be implicit in --for the particular mutual fund or the ETF? Thank you. MR. AHMUTY: Sure. Thank you. So, I'm going to address this question from the perspective of an ETF issuer. And 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 192 again, there are some significant guidelines where we're not going to deviate from that, you know, too --too widely. And again, 20 percent that you stated, is not something that we'd ever do. I don't think many, and I don't want to speak for other people, but it seems like unlikely that other index managers would be representing index with 20 percent. MS. LI: I thought what Kumar said is that 20 percent of the constituents of the indexes in your portfolio. I guess you're referring to 40 percent of your portfolio is in the index. Is there a difference between these two ratios. MR. AHMUTY: Well, let's take a step back here. So, if we have our fixed-income ETFs we're tracking a Bloomberg Barclays investment created index, right. At any one point in time we're required to have 80 percent of our fund constituents that are of the index. MS. LI: 80 percent? MR. AHMUTY: Yeah, but --but practically speaking, it's probably going to be closer to 90 to 95 percent of the constituents in our fund that are in the index. Page 191 Page 193 1 these are '40 Act funds and the guidelines of these 1 MR. HEANEY: Any other questions? 2 funds state that the index --the constituents of 2 I'm sorry. 3 the fund --80 percent of the constituents need to 3 MS. LI: Can I ask a question to the 4 represent that of the index. 4 panel? 5 So, you made a comment early in your 5 So, for -- for a mutual fund or ETF 6 statement here saying that the funds were holding 6 which is represented by Bill, how do you decide on 7 maybe 20 percent of the bonds in the index. So, 7 which index you will be benchmarking against as you 8 that's not --that would not qualify in our process, 8 start a new fund or ETF? Or -- and when do you 9 right. So, we're going to look to hold --by the -9 decide you want to switch or does it ever change. 10 by the guidelines of the '40 Act a minimum of 80 10 MR. AHMUTY: Sure. 11 percent. 11 Well, a lot of what we decide to do 12 Now, philosophically at State Street, 12 on the ETF side is client driven. We also evaluate 13 for example, if you look at our ETFs on our index 13 what's out there in the market in terms of the 14 funds and what we're holding, at any one point in 14 products that everyone sees that are already out 15 time we may have 90 to 95 percent of the index 15 there. Do we want to be the third to market or the 16 constituents in our funds. So, while we don't look 16 fifth to market in the same ETF that's tracking a 17 at it from a bottom up CUSIP by CUSIP level, we do 17 similar index. So, there's a lot of things that go 18 look to represent the overall characteristics of the 18 into the consideration. 19 fund. So, it's really a question of how we get to 19 Primarily we're talking to clients to 20 that the 90 to 95 percent. 20 see what they need and what they want. We want to 21 And so, the bond that's falling in or 21 make sure that when we do choose the overall 22 coming out we may not trade it that day, but that is 22 strategy we're using indices that have guidelines 23 ultimately we want to make sure we're delivering 23 that provide for liquidity. So, we're not going to 24 those returns. So, every ETF issuer does have a 24 have an index where the -- the liquidity threshold 25 slightly different process on how to do this, but 25 is maybe 50 -- you know, 50 million in par 49 (Pages 190 to 193) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 194 outstanding. We're going to look to set those levels at a --at a level where we think we can have an index that can be created and redeemed, provide enough liquidity. So, there are a number of considerations that go into. You know, it's changed quite a bit over the past couple of years. And if you look at the statistics from ETF issuers, there's probably a lot of less issuance in the fixed-income space than there has been. And a lot of it is, we're looking to see what our clients want. MS. LI: Does the cost of the -getting the index ever come into play in deciding what index to track? MR. AHMUTY: Does the cost of --of the index, like our licensing. MS. LI: Right, licensing revenue. MR. AHMUTY: That would be an input, but it's not going to be driver. MS. LI: Okay. MR. BERKLEY: I'm just going to pile on here and talk about customizations because even though there's --there is a number of indices that the world uses, we publish over 100,000 of them in the fixed-income space everyday, right. People -1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2021 222324 25 Page 196 described, if you have a large issuer that's falling out of the investment grade index moving into the high yield index, that's like a bear showing up on your doorstep. And so, issuers --I'm sorry, investors may say, okay, I want to cap the weight of any particular issuer in my index to two percent or some number that -- that they think is appropriate so as not to create exceptional risk due to -- you know, due to large issuers being involved. So, that's -- that's an important point when -- when it comes to indexing. And I know my -- you know, our -- my colleague Phil puts together custom indices as well, right. This is -this is kind of how we work. And to Bill's point, we can -- we can take these custom indices and create products around them for -- for investors. Sometimes the custom indices are a type of strategy that -- that people believe will outperform the standard benchmarks. I'll leave it at that. MR. HEANEY: All right. There's a quick question then we're right on schedule. MR. HARRIS: It is. Bill, can you describe how the deposit redemption portfolios differ from the investment portfolio and whether you might expect Page 195 Page 197 1 we're seeing a trend toward customized benchmarks 1 variation in the event of a substantial market 2 where people create their own criteria. We then 2 crisis. 3 take that criteria and put together a benchmark and 3 MR. AHMUTY: Sure. 4 back test it for them and then publish it moving 4 So, I'll walk through the creation 5 forward as if it was one of our standard indices. 5 redemption and how it can be impacted by substantial 6 When you look at customized indices 6 volatility in the market. 7 there's really three categories, if I --if I may, 7 MR. HARRIS: So, the creation 8 that we kind of look at. One is a constraint index. 8 redemption portfolios that the authorized 9 So, for example, let's say you like the U.S. Agg you 9 participants deliver or -- or receive different from 10 don't really want to own triple B securities in your 10 the actual portfolio if only for the discreteness of 11 index. We can constrain the index further and say, 11 bonds, all right. So, are you asking for the entire 12 okay, U.S. Agg triple Bs, that's one example. 12 portfolio -- the entire list or is a fraction of the 13 A second is --is what we call 13 list. If it's a fraction of the list, how might 14 composites and this is where we allow investors to 14 that vary in volatile periods. 15 establish a benchmark with the weights that they 15 MR. AHMUTY: Sure. So, a couple of 16 determined for their needs, right. So, for example, 16 things here. And we -- we have a couple of options 17 you may want to overweight the corporate sector in a 17 when participants are creating and redeeming and 18 benchmark and underweight the others. So, you may 18 that has evolved over time as well. 19 say, 50 percent corporate bonds, 50 percent U.S. Agg 19 I would say that, you know, if we 20 X corporate bonds, right. So, you can --you can 20 think about a plain vanilla IQ fund or one of our 21 play with the weights a little --excuse me, a 21 high yield funds, we will -- there are two real 22 little bit. 22 methods; one is that we will submit a -- we'll 23 And the third major type of custom 23 publish a list out to the street that will be a 24 index is what we call capped indices, right. So in 24 subset of the overall portfolio. So, let's say that 25 the case of fallen angles, which --which Phil 25 the portfolio has 900 CUSIPs in it, we may publish 50 (Pages 194 to 197) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 198 to the authorized participants a list of three to 400, right, that represent the overall risk characteristics of the fund and ask the participants to deliver in either that fullest or a subset of that list. Again, everything that comes into our fund would represent the overall risk characteristics of the fund. And everything that goes out would be similar. That process has evolved and while we still do that, what we're seeing now more and more, are what I would call the bespoke created redeems where folks such as Anish and firms like that would come to us and say, here's what we can deliver into, here's what we don't. So, this puts the optionality I guess you would call it on the ETF issuer and say yes or no to certain individual securities. At the end of the day though we're going to make sure that whatever we take in from the street is going to represent that fund and if you -you know, if you're looking for a number of securities that we would accept, that's going to change. It's going to deviate depending on the size of the creation unit, the volatility in the marketplace. There are a number of factors that we consider when thinking about the number of actual 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 200 number of units. Passed that they are going to reissue new baskets that other markets can use. MR. HEANEY: Great, thank you. Thank you for moderating this thoughtful panel. And to the panelists, thank you. Incredibly informative and we appreciate you sharing your perspectives. Thank you very much. (Applause.) MR. HEANEY: Okay. We'll take a short, five-minute break and start again at 1:45. (Brief recess taken.) MR. HEANEY: Okay. Good afternoon, everybody. And thank you --thank you for your continued participation and engagement. We have another panel getting ready to start on the Interest-dealer Government Securities Trading Platforms panel. MR. REDFEARN: Okay. Good afternoon, everybody. And thank you --thank you for your continued participation and engagement. We have another panel getting ready to start on the Interest-dealer Government Securities Trading Platforms panel. So, this committee's focus today has been largely on corporate bond and municipal 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 199 securities that we take in. When it comes to, you know, volatile markets we also want to consider the overall flow directionally, what we're seeing in the markets, that will also be an input. So, if one market maker is coming in and saying we will --can deliver you these bonds for creation, we may take that in part and parcel with what other folks are looking to deliver to us, but overall each person needs to represent the risk characteristics to the fund. So we wouldn't say, okay, from this bank we'll take energy bonds. From this bank we'll take financials. So, every bank or dealer is going to have to give us that representation. MR. KARYAT: Only one other comment I would make is all the different issuers have slightly different variations along the same lines, but to the extent it is one of those days when there is excessive redemptions, the issuers are also managing to the fact as one participant remains, to the extent it makes some issuers --some issues underweight, those bonds are no longer available for further redemptions from other market participants. So, generally speaking, most of these baskets or custom baskets are good to a certain 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 201 securities market, but this is also a very good forum for us to have a public discussion of government securities markets issues including the U.S. treasury market structure. So, since October 15th, 2014 flash rally in the treasury market, the SEC, along with the U.S. Treasury Department, Board of Governors, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the CFTC have participated in a collaborative process, including the official and private sectors, to assess and monitor the current U.S. treasury market structure. The most recent event in that collaborative process was the fifth annual U.S. Treasury market conference which was held on September 23rd at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. At that conference, Commissioner Elad Roisman stressed the need to keep pace with changes in this market. And in so doing, he recognized some of the parallels between segments of the treasury market and our equities markets and emphasized the importance of investor protection and market stability. Today's panel will have an opportunity to focus on the inter-dealer market for 51 (Pages 198 to 201) Page 202 Page 204 1 treasury securities. The market is comprised of 1 So, among our panelists we have Ted 2 institutional market participants trading through 2 Bragg, head of U.S. fixed-income at Nasdaq Fixed 3 electronic inter-dealer platforms and voice or 3 Income, Dan Cleaves, CEO of BrokerTec North America, 4 manual inter-dealer brokers with the electronic 4 Shawn Bernardo, senior managing director for rates 5 platform participating primarily trading on-the-run 5 at TP ICAP Americas, Deirdre Dunn, co-head of global 6 treasury securities and manual or voice IBDs, more 6 rates at Citigroup, Nate Kalich at Ronin Capital and 7 often, specializing in off-the-run treasury 7 Ryan Sheftel head of FIC at GTS. 8 securities. As was recognized in the joint staff 8 So, to begin I'd like to turn it over 9 report on the events of October 15th, 2014, the 9 to our panelists for a brief introduction and ask 10 electronic inter-dealer platform segment of this 10 each of them to quickly describe or briefly describe 11 market has become highly automated. 11 your firms, your roles at your firms and how your 12 Based on data released by the 12 firms engage in the inter-dealer market for treasury 13 Treasury Department and discussed by Deputy Treasury 13 securities. 14 Secretary Justin Muzinich at the recent conference, 14 So, Ted, why don't we starred with 15 between September 2018 and August 2019 volume in 15 you. 16 nominal coupons in inter-dealer venues, which 16 MR. BRAGG: Hi. Thanks, Brett. And 17 includes both electronic platform and manual or vice 17 good afternoon, everybody. 18 IBDs, represent between 55 to 60 percent of the 18 My name is Ted Bragg and as 19 total volume on average of nominal treasury coupons. 19 mentioned, I run fixed-income for Nasdaq. Nasdaq as 20 And according to data published by the staff of the 20 you know is known for our exchanges and clearing 21 Federal Reserve Bank of New York late last year 21 houses. Twenty that Nasdaq run and --and one of 22 electronic inter-dealer platforms represented 22 those, Nasdaq Fixed Income, is part of that. 23 approximately 40 percent of the total volume of 23 Another 70 that we run for other brokers, markets 24 treasury coupons traded between August 1st, 2017 and 24 and regulators around the global. 25 July 2018. 25 I'm also the CEO of Execution Access 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 203 In addition, principal trading firms, or PTFs, represent a significant portion of the electronic platform volume. The same treasury department analysis showed that between April and August 2019 PTF share hoovered around 60 percent of the volume on electronic inter-dealer broker platforms. Note to this day that it is limited to electronic platforms where the majority of principal trading firms trading occurs. So, there's a few key areas that will be in focus for our conversation today. We're going to look generally at the U.S. treasury market structure. We're going to be looking at operational transparency. And also, risk controls and system integrity as an issue. We've assembled a panel of market participants ranging with a range of perspectives on the inter-dealer market for governments securities. And we'll have an opportunity to hear from both inter-dealer trading platforms and users of those platforms. So, before I introduce the panel -the panelists, I also just wanted to welcome Commissioner Pierce who has joined us for this afternoon's conversation as well. So, welcome Commissioner. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 205 which is a FINRA registered broker-dealer and affiliate of Nasdaq which runs fixed-income ATS, Nasdaq Fixed Income. The platform itself offers electronic trading for U.S. treasuries, predominantly on-the-runs, both the capabilities to trade off-the-runs and U.S. T-bills. The protocol represents essential in an order book, matching orders on a price time priority basis 23 hours a day, five days a week. As a representative of this panel and Nasdaq I look forward to discussing the benefits of possible modernization, greater transparency and efficiencies which could be accomplished in the treasury market provided it's done on a level playing field and doesn't overlay rules or procedures that might apply to U.S. treasuries. MR. REDFEARN: Dan. MR. CLEAVES: Thank you. Dan Cleaves, CEO of BrokerTec. I've been with the firm since 2001. One of the original hires there and did a lot of work getting the platform up and going, taking 13 years of voice brokering experience and applying that to building out electronic trading platform. So, I did a lot of 52 (Pages 202 to 205) Page 206 Page 208 1 design there. 1 a treasury department --department which is more of 2 BrokerTec was acquire by ICAP back in 2 an investor in treasuries as well. 3 2003 where we were brokering at the time the entire 3 MR. REDFEARN: Thank you. 4 career of benchmarks and all the off-the-runs. Then 4 Nate. 5 we joined forces with Shawn's company at ICAP and 5 MR. KALICH: Nate Kalich, Ronin 6 created a hybrid model where a lot of the active 6 Capital. I appreciate the opportunity to speak here 7 trading benchmarks traded on --on the BrokerTec 7 before the Commission and --and obviously FIMSAC. 8 system and what was the OM and then evolved into the 8 I have been at Ronin Capital for 20 9 Nasdaq trading system which is a very robust 9 years and been electronically trading for 20 years. 10 platform. 10 The E-Speed BrokerTec and obviously at various other 11 And then we had a --a hybrid 11 inter-dealer brokers over that period of time. 12 offering where you can pick up the phone and talk to 12 Ronin's a proprietary trading firm 13 the broker for trading off-the-runs or you could 13 and we're based in Chicago. And what that means is 14 trade them on a point-and-click via a screen into 14 that we don't have any customers. So, we --we 15 the same pool of liquidity. Pretty powerful 15 would be classified as being, you know, a PTF, 16 combination there. 16 principal trading firm, but I'd say that we're, you 17 Recently in --things have gone on we 17 know, different than a lot of principal trading 18 have split from the voice broken group and created a 18 firms. And there's a lot of variety and broadness 19 company called NEX. NEX operated autonomously for a 19 with principal trading firms. 20 year-and-a-half and then subsequently was purchased 20 We're a registered broker-dealer. 21 and acquired by the CME. So, as of November 2018 we 21 We've been members of FICC since 2005 and we engage 22 are now part of the CME. And we have plans to move 22 in --in relative value and basis trading and also 23 our technology off of the Nasdaq, which is the new 23 participate in treasury options. And we're here, of 24 system right now the Nasdaq GENI-Ant system which 24 course, because we actively participate in the 25 has been excellent for us, and we're moving on to 25 inter-dealer market. 1 2 3 4 5 678 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16171819 2021 22 23 24 25 Page 207 the CME Globex platform which is the same platform for the futures and options. A separate instance, but that will be taking place in a large migration process project that will culminate with the movement over on Q4 of 2020. MR. REDFEARN: Shawn. MR. BERNARDO: Shawn Bernardo from TP ICAP. TP ICAP is one of the world's leading IBDs. We broker products across the entire globe in rates, FX, equities, commodities and credit. We also have an industry-leading data and analytics group. We currently operate two sets globally for all of the regulated products of the company. And the reason I'm here today is we run one of the largest liquidity pools for off-the-run traders. MR. REDFEARN: Thank you. Deirdre. MS. DUNN: Yes. So, Deirdre Dunn with Citi. Thank you so much for having us. So, Citi is, as probably all of you are familiar, is your traditional broker-dealer activities. It was my background and what I am responsible for. And so, we engage in market making for clients globally across the board in treasuries and many other products. Citi of course as well has 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 209 MR. REDFEARN: Thank you. Ryan. MR. SHEFTEL: Hello. My name is Ryan Sheftel. I'm with GTS. I'm a partner and head of our fixed-income business there. First, thank you very much for the opportunity to speak today. A little bit about GTS. So, we are a quantitative and technology driven capital markets trading firm. We would also qualify as a PTF based on the description of that. And, you know, our business is, you know, a variety of different business lines, but one of which in our core is we're a committed liquidity providing market maker across a variety of different products and geographies. And that gets us engaged in a large number of different venues, platforms, ATSs, et cetera, across the broad spectrum of security types. Obviously, including U.S. treasury markets, which is why we're here today. And, lastly, I think one of the unique things about us as well is we are one of the largest DMN, formerly specialists firms down on the New York Stock Exchange. So, we have a lot of experience with operating in different trading platforms that have a variety of different 53 (Pages 206 to 209) Page 210 Page 212 1 regulatory constructs. 1 wasn't the fastest system out there. So, we 2 MR. REDFEARN: Great, thank you very 2 evolved. In 2007, 2008 we introduced a colo 3 much. 3 facility so that people could house their strategies 4 So, I think we're going to start with 4 closer to our matching edge and --and provided 5 Dan and Ted talking just a little bit about the 5 cross connects into that. 6 evolution of sort of the electronic platforms and 6 In 2012, we --we moved to what was 7 how they've evolved. And, you know, so just some 7 called the GENI-Ant system where we took round trips 8 thoughts in terms of the technology and, you know, 8 times that were at about three milliseconds down to 9 how you look at the interaction of those -- those 9 close to 100 microseconds. Followed that up with 10 markets and market participants these days. 10 market data distribution using --using the ITCH 11 So, Dan, do you want to start. 11 protocol which was mark standard, but very quick. 12 MR. CLEAVES: Sure. Thank you. 12 And then followed that up with OUCH which was the 13 So, as I referred to earlier, you 13 order entry protocol which gave round trip times 14 know, a number of years on the -- on the broker 14 significant lowering of latency. 15 floor, right, screaming and yelling making sure that 15 Bottom line is --is what you have 16 everything matched up at the end of the day. I 16 to --what you have to think about is, how do you 17 started in 1987, had the privilege of writing hand 17 provide, whether it's a manual trader who's still 18 tickets in October of '87, for those of you that 18 pointing and clicking who's providing a very 19 remember, it was a pretty typical day. Things are a 19 valuable natural interest in the marketplace, or 20 lot more efficient now. What we did is we automated 20 your most sophisticated low latency trader to 21 a lot of the matching that was done by the voice 21 deterministic trading environment and a level 22 brokers at the shop that I was a broker at. And, 22 playing field. 23 essentially what evolved is they moved that 23 The manual trader who's pointing and 24 technology out from the brokers and put it on the -24 clicking trying to buy ten-year notes isn't 25 on the desks of the -- of the traders. 25 necessarily going to compete against somebody 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 211 The --the benchmarks were actually transacted in the open outcry as well. Now, if you tried to --to broker benchmarks it would be very difficult, right. There's active fast moving. So, that technology moved out to the traders. Eventually it evolved and I think a lot of it had to do with the migration out of the pits in Chicago where people traded more automated fashion both cash and futures. It created more automated trading. When BrokerTec was founded a lot of it was around the API and trading on the API as opposed to just a point and click. And about 2004, 2005 I'd say the percentage of --and really saw climate change in the percentage of activity that was done, not only in market making, but also in the volume grew substantially as you had a lot of the sophisticated participants join the market, not with customers, but coming in making markets or running strategies against other asset classes or other products and trading aggressively or as in the market making capacity. It really changed the complex. It made us think about the systems that we had. As I said, we started off with the -the Nasdaq click system, which is very robust, but 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 213 that's --that's co-located and --and running round tripe times in the micro seconds, but they're trading against those market makers who are providing very important liquidity who, when the market's busy, and we saw this on October 15th, 2014, I know it's been a big discussion for many years now, when we traded all the price points up and we traded all the price points down in that point-and-a-half move we never gapped. I've got the data to show. I've met with treasury and --and fed and CFTC and even the Bank of England wanted to know about what happened on that day and we went through. The system performed as expected, but bottom line is bringing everybody together and providing deterministic trading for everybody is important. Getting back to benchmark treasuries. They have evolved and the way they trade now is very different. Shawn will talk about off-the-runs. As I said, we assist in their market in terms of providing distribution and an electronic means for trading it, but it is a very different market. Knowing --you know, being on the phones it's -it's institutional driven and it's --it's supply and demand. It's not liquid and --at times it's 54 (Pages 210 to 213) 1 2 34 5 6 78 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 214 not liquid and it doesn't trade by the second or the microsecond. MR. REDFEARN: So, Ted, could you pick up on that. And, in particular, this sort of changing nature of the market participant that you see in the marketplace as well. MR. BRAGG: Sure. Absolutely. And -- and to compliment what Dan said, you know, it was probably 20 years ago that eSpeed, so that's what Nasdaq called it, Nasdaq Fixed Income six years ago and -- and BrokerTec were created. And it was really to move the market from a tranche model, a hybrid model, the voice into electronic. And now where we've gotten to is probably 95 percent of our clients, as Dan mentioned, are connected via colo or via an internet service provider. So, an ISP. Only five percent of our clients are actually using GUI. Then there's the -- a clear demarcation line between where the liquidity providers to end clients, the D to C, the dealer to client model, internalizes their order flow, trades with their client. Then, possibly now trades with single streams and bilateral streams. And once they can't accomplish all of liquidity limit, the reason they convince our limit order books is purely that, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 216 trade on a daily basis. So, given that it doesn't necessarily lend itself to that API driven high frequency type trading that happens in the on-the-run market. So, it is a slightly different market. I would say, currently 65 percent of the business that we do is still voice. Our clients do have the ability to trade in a hybrid fashion. They have on the front end in front of them. And that we provide to them to disseminate prices and it allows them to execute if they so choose or they could come in via a broker and we can execute the orders on their behalf, but we have --we do provide all of the execution protocols that you would expect, meaning, auction platforms and executing in the --in the swap box. MR. REDFEARN: Okay. Thanks. So, Deirdre, as a primary dealer and a significant participant in --in these markets, can you just describe how Citigroup trades in the inter-dealer market, including the types of trading venues or streaming or other technologies that you're engaging with. MS. DUNN: Sure. So, as mentioned, Citi is a primary 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 215 for liquidity. And that's really a dealer to dealer model. It's the banks and now it's the PTFs. So, it's who's the market maker. PTF has become in some ways a large market maker for the bank who's getting the additional liquidity that they couldn't get from an internalization or direct connects. And all of that is done through, in our sense, again, it's Nasdaq market data coming out, which is called ITCH, order entry OUCH, then FICC. So, it's very much a technological solution to --to service the whole rates and fixed-income complex. MR. REDFEARN: So, Shawn, could you just provide a little contrast with how this works in the off-the-run market and some of the distinctions you would see there. MR. BERNARDO: Sure. In on-the-runs the liquidity's consolidated to six or seven issues. And in off-the-runs it trades slightly differently. They're not trading --one, they're not trading outright, they're trading in a swap box. So, each position is hedged when it trades, but the liquidity itself, as Dan said, is episodic. It's not constant and you're not talking about six instruments. You could be talking about hundreds of instruments that 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 217 dealer and primarily is an intermediary to clients. And so, we tend to participate in the inter-dealer market as a hedge to our principal risk position which tends to be driven by either one of those activities. I would say that our participation in the inter-dealer market can be driven both by products --product risk specific to treasuries, but could be other products, could be on-the-run, could be similar things. We will always look to use the various product suite that is available in order to minimize footprint because we have found that enhanced technology that we're all here today discussing that has enabled everyone to transmit and process data faster has lead to much broader information dissemination and tends to impact -trade impact tends to be felt across a broader suite of products and it's spread to others much faster than it used to. In terms of how we engage, I would say that can be through both passive and aggressive orders through auctions and through sweeps. It can be in any of the platforms that we've talked about so far today. Also, we have --we trade with clients via voice, via single dealer platforms which 55 (Pages 214 to 217) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 218 at Citi is called Velocity which is pretty standard across the street. And they're, you know, the multi-dealer platforms. So, I would say we participate in both from a streaming and an RFU capacity responding to clients. MR. REDFEARN: Thank you. So, Ryan, I'm going to turn to you for a second. Can you just describe, do you see yourselves primarily as a liquidity provider or, you know, a liquidity taker in the marketplace? And can you tell us just a little bit about your trading activities and the sorts of platforms that you engaged with when you're trading. Is it --is it mostly these platforms or how do you see the --sort of the spectrum there. MR. SHEFTEL: Sure. Thanks. So, to answer your first question, you know, our activity in the treasury market is primarily as a liquidity providing market maker. In terms of the platforms that we transact on and the nature of our --our trading obviously in the treasury market activity is 100 percent automated and technology driven. And for that we participate on a --on a wide variety of platforms, both ones that are represented here, as well as some of the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 220 electronic platforms. And we participate in treasury auctions. So, we essentially do everything that you could possibly do, whether it's with a person directly or electronically. I think I'd like to make a point that the inter-dealer platforms in general are great for price discovery, as well as, providing liquidity. And that's an important concept. And I'd say in particular, the central limit order book model is great because it does that and it allows you to access anonymously. And it provides fair access because it is anonymous. So, you know, I think that in general that's --that's a great model. But, you know, the electronic trading in general has brought, you know, tremendous sufficiencies to the trading market. In terms of risks I think that, you know, one of the risks is fragmentation. So, in other words, price discovery is more complete clearly when you can go to one venue. When you have to go to multiple venues it's more complicated. If you have to go to many, many different venues and, in fact, access bilateral skew streams or a few models, etc., you can see how it gets a little bit more complicated. And, you know, in the treasury 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 219 newer ones that aren't here today. Probably the one style of platform that we are not actively participating are, you know, the traditionally colloquially termed RFQ platforms. Outside of that, generally the platforms that allowed for fully automated pricing transacting between parties like ourselves, dealers, banks other PTFs, those are the platforms that we're actively involved in. MR. REDFEARN: And, Nate, same question. Just, you know, if there's any way you would differentiate sort of what you're doing. MR. KALICH: Yeah. I'd say that we --we participate on all the platform in addition to non platforms. So, electronic ranging from BrokerTec, you know, Nasdaq, to, you know, Shawn, ICAP. And in addition, we participate in our queue markets where I'd say we'd be characterized more as a liquidity taker because we're asking for quotes and --and quotes come back, but we --we provide liquidity obviously on --on a lot of the electronic platforms where you're able to do both, provide liquidity and take liquidity. We trade over the phone. We --we trade with ICAP as an example over the phone, as well as, on their 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 221 market I would say it is --it is important to determine what the price of the ten-year is. I would say in general though that it's probably not important to determine the price of the tenure to the nanosecond. So, I think that's --that's kind of where we've gotten a lot of efficiencies out of electronic trading over the years, but I think now it's gotten to the point where it's somewhat marginal. So, anyway, I think at the end of day what we're --what we're most focused on is liquidity, price discovery and fair access. MR. REDFEARN: And so, Deirdre, just a quick follow-up, I want to follow-up with you and both Ryan. Simply on the issue of the amount of electronic trading that is now occurring in the treasury marketplace and the on-the-runs, are there any other risks that you see that have emerged that --that come with this evolution. MS. DUNN: Yes. That's a very big question. I would say there --yeah. I think it has introduced a lot more technological dependence. I think concentration and venue risk I think can be something that the market has been concerned about. I think transparency --some of this we may get to 56 (Pages 218 to 221) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 222 later, but I think transparency around how orders are routed, how matching logic works, how, right, there isn't necessarily transparency across all of those different concepts, or at least not to the same level to every market participant. There are times where we have only found out --out about a change to matching logic because it changed the way that we need to, like, physically connect or send the messages, right. In other words, we would have no idea. So, I think there's some concerns around that. Also, you know, as part of the treasury market practices group we spend a lot of time on clearing and settlement over the past number of years. And Ryan was involved in this as well, published a 60-odd page white paper on it for anyone interested in some light reading on the way home. But I would say there we've identified as well a number of different models whereby market participants are connecting without as robust an understanding of what happens after the fact to get from trade time to settlement time which introduced a whole host of other risks for the market. MR. SHEFTEL: Yeah. I think what it comes to risk --so, I've been involved in the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 224 You know, it's very different when you can, you know, manage risk generally on the end of day cycle or you can sort of trust that a human is part of every trade, you know. The kind that you would want to have involved in that trade is very different than if you go more automated and now trades are occurring without human intervention at every level. It sort of shifts the nature of the -you know, what capabilities you have to have to understand that risk. So, to sum it up, I think that for any market going through the transition it's a question of, you know, what are the capabilities of the firms that are involved and what are the capabilities of the individuals in that line of command to truly understand the risks and manage them properly. MR. REDFEARN: So, I want to switch for a second to the topic of just systems operation and operational transparency and go back to Dan and Ted for a second and just talk about --so, in terms of how your systems operate, in terms of, you know, the information that's made available. So, what is provided to customers? Are they operations manual? Is it on your website? Is it public? Like, how 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 223 fixed-income markets for almost 25 years now. I started in '95. So, I've had the luxury of seeing whether it was futures or FX or equities, you know, a variety of different products and markets go through this transition. I think the one common theme I kind of think of through all of those is that really the --the sort of nature and capabilities of both firms and individuals that it takes to properly risk manage a voice business and an electronic business are very, very difference. Rather they're very different and often they're not embodied in the same people or the same firms. And so, I think that often times the risks are --during these transitional periods are, do the firms respect that, do they understand that and are the right people in charge of the right points of the process, you know. What I mean by that is, you know, it's very easy --you know, a lot of vendors create a lot of tools to make electronic trading capable, which is great, but the question is is, you know, whose hand do they land in. Do the people utilizing these tools truly have the understanding, the internal risk management processes to understand what that's all about. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 225 would you describe the way that the --the way the systems operates is sort of made clear to your customers and then more broadly. MR. CLEAVES: So, from a --from a BrokerTec perspective, any new trader that comes on, whether it's a manual trader or an API trader, it goes through a rigorous on-boarding process where we review the worthiness of them to be on the platform and the --and the credit worthiness and any number of other factors. We find out how they want to integrate with us, whether they want to be a manual trader, whether they want to trade via an ISD, whether they want to trade in --in the colo, etc. Any new manual trader will go through rigorous training with our salespeople who will be on the floor who work with them in the front end configuring all the --the checks and balances and the limits on the system. They'll find out what type of trader they are, what their risk tolerance is, et cetera. And they'll set up their screen, show them the pages that they want to see, the instruments that they want to see and make sure that they are ready to be able to transact in the live marketplace. Similarly, the same thing goes for 57 (Pages 222 to 225) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 226 any new type of API trader. They will get on-boarding docks. They'll get sample code. They will have to pass a conformance test to make sure that their algorithm or strategy works against our marketplace in a test environment as they would expect it and, quite frankly, as we would expect it. You want to make sure that there's no disruption to the marketplace. So, we're pretty clear in terms of how we operate the market. We're pretty straightforward. It's FIFO. We do still have the workup on the benchmark treasuries which we'll be retiring when we move to Globex, but that's really from a visual. So, really from the most part, it's simple logic. The order types are limited. It's pretty straightforward. So, there's not --from a benchmark treasury perspective there's not a lot of sophisticated order routing or order matching. It's --it's as simple and straight forward as we would like it to be. MR. REDFEARN: Ted. MR. BRAGG: So, not dissimilar from what Dan said. It's --it's a simple professional market. To your question about how we provide that to our client, it's behind the log in, right. So, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 228 with our clients. The testing will be done months in advance. As --as Dan said, it's all done in a testing environment after hours. It's proven and then rolled out to the customer base, but they're well aware of what the enhancements are, how it's going to operate and it is fair and open access. It's the same --same exact protocols for everybody. MR. REDFEARN: So, we'll get to this in a minute. And we talked before about how, you know, in the U.S. equity markets we've gone through a lot of different issues in terms of transparency. So, for example, we have our Reg ATS, our Reg ATSN now for --for alternative trading systems where there are significant disclosure requirements that are put in there. And so, there are these questions as out markets become --as markets evolve and they become more electronic, just in terms of the level of detail that is provided out to market participants, it is a question. So, Deirdre, you mentioned a minute ago that there are some things that might be meaningful to you. Do you have any additional thoughts as to, you know, the sorts of things that you think might be very useful to have, you know, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 227 there's say --there's a secure portal for our customer base, but then behind that log in whether they get access to --they get an operation or --or subscriber manual. It includes our own NSJ policy. It includes access rules. It includes our risk controls, order types, displays, trading suspensions if we were to have them. There's an electronic trading agreement with our client and that's just basic on-boarding of broker-dealer KYC. And again, an explanation of those rules and then walk through the connectivity. And the rules I suggestion are --are fairly simple because the product is fairly simple. There's not 50 different order types. There's not a whole bunch of different order routing requirements. Nor is there multiple APIs. It's --we kind of lay that out in a straightforward question. MR. REDFEARN: Shawn, same question. MR. BERNARDO: It's --it's essentially the same for us as well. There are protocols for trading offering treasuries. They are not publicly available, but they are available to all of our clients. Protocols are straightforward. From a tech perspective any new release or enhancements that do go out we work hand in hand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 229 in --either in a public document or some other format that makes very clear the nature of how orders interact or how disputes are resolved or, you know, how fees are working or anything like that in terms of just another level of transparency. MS. DUNN: So, I think, you know, the treasury market is obviously quite unique in what it's servicing and what the purpose is. And so, I think it's important when considering any additional regulation to make sure that it's not burdensome without some counter balancing material benefit. What I would say in reference to my comments earlier around the information disclosure that as a user of various platforms, no one specifically, I think one of the things that we're always trying to evaluate is, what is going to be the footprint or the impact to the market of action. And so, understanding at times, you know, methodologies around ties, you know, whether there is any benefit for speed to the microsecond as we're talking about or not and different order types and how those do get routed in the matching engine and when there are changes to that. All of that information helps to evaluate that and I think also as the end user how or where you would want to 58 (Pages 226 to 229) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 230 engage in order to minimize your footprint on the market, you know, for the benefit of your client. So, I think that's sort of the primary focus I would say from my end. And I think that it --the state that we're in right now is satisfactory, but sometimes you have to do a little bit of extra homework to get the answers to all of those questions. MR. REDFEARN: Thank you. Nate, same --same question. MR. KALICH: Yeah. I mean, I'd say the first of all, the market is very different from the equity market. I think they hinted to the fact that the order types are much simpler. It's much simpler. It's not as complex. I'd say historically, again, we've been trading electronically on some of these platforms for over 20 years, we've had very few problems. They're very open. They do a good job of transmitting information. I'd say if I was to mention one area that I think, you know, more transparency would be helpful would be where fees are concerned. A lot of the fees are discussed, you know, in a bespoke manner and you don't actually know where you stand. 1 2 3 45 6 7 8 9 10 11 1213 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25Page 232 funding the nation's debt. So, having the most confidence around that market is sort of some ways more important than any other market. Inside of that conversation, I would agree. I think when it comes to the -- you know, the platforms have a very strong incentive to have us be safe and prudent participants on their market and do do an excellent job of providing us with all the information required whether it's testing, notification, et cetera, so that we could be, you know, very -- a safe participant. You know, I think as Nate mentioned though, when it comes to knowing whether or not we are competitive or how our business model looks, you know, where there maybe there isn't that necessary, you know, obvious line of interest, you know, there would be useful to have some additional information because I think, you know, to answer your question, part of is that we don't know what we don't know. We don't know what might be happening and it's not been disclosed to us. So, it's difficult to know whether it's important or not. And I think just in some ways knowing that information and putting it to bed one way or the other would be helpful. Secondly, I'm very sympathetic --I 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 231 And so --and that I think kind of plays in a little bit --it's not the same thing as Fair Acts, but you can imagine if you're paying significantly higher fees than others that that obviously affects you negatively. But I would just say, you know, in --in general, you know, I think the markets function, you know, pretty well and they've done a pretty good job of --of communicating over the years. MR. REDFEARN: Any thoughts on that one, Ryan? MR. SHEFTEL: Sure. I mean, just to add, obviously, you know, we are always supportive of, you know, a very thoughtful and prudent regulation. We think they've consistently shown to improve markets and really boost investor confidence which I think at the end of the day is one of the most important things for any market to have, you know, investors that are confident and know what they're getting into when they transact with the market. When we talk about the treasury market obviously, you know, as the lynchpin --you know, it is the lynchpin of the entire fixed-income market. In addition to it's important to obviously 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 233 mean, we're all here very active, professional participants on these markets. You know, I'm sympathetic that there are lots and lots of other participants in the treasury market that cannot dedicate, you know, individuals to be solely focused on this. And for them to know, you know, what is the access criteria, where can they transact, where are they not allowed to transact, are they getting a fair deal, you know, to those participants I think it's probably almost in some ways even more important than us so that they feel confident they're getting a fair shake. MR. REDFEARN: Right. That is -that is an issue that did come with --you know, we've learned a lot of things from the evolution of the equities market into a much more electronic space. And one thing that we did realize at times were that those people who, to your user term, did the digging and made the calls and talked to the operations people and so on and so forth, were indeed in cases getting information that was --was above and beyond what others might have gotten. And that that had some implication in terms of their engagement in the marketplace. And so, that was one of the reasons why some of these rules evolved the 59 (Pages 230 to 233) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 234 way they did. So, basically, in this context --so, Reg ATS, basically, these amendments were adopted in July 2017 for the equities markets, for MMS securities, to enhance operational transparency at ATS as trade exchange listed stock. So, MMS stock and ATS is now must publicly disclose detailed information about how they operate, including order types, priority and execution rules, market day-to-day use, connectivity fees, as well as, the nature of their subscribers and their relationship to the ATS with its affiliates. These disclosures are designed to help subscribers to understand how their orders will be handled and executed on the ATS and allow them to evaluate the ATS as a potential designation for their orders. So, look, we understand that, you know, all regulation needs to be thoughtful and prudent and there --there are pros and cons on all of this to the extent we've been down this road or we've contemplated this, but I guess the question that I have is, given the importance of electronic trading venues now, is there some baseline level of transparency or disclosure that might be prudent at 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 236 doesn't need to be shown to everyone. MR. CLEAVES: I would just echo what Ted is saying. I mean, we're not --we don't have interconnected markets, right. We're run independently and --and actually, compete against each other and try to be as fair and open with our customers as possible. And --and we provide all of the information whether you're a manual trader or whether you're an API trader. And there's --you know, it's very clear when we --when we on-board you we tell you, this is --this is the basic market data product, here's your --here's your premium market data product. And everybody has access to it and there's really --there's nothing that we're doing --you know, we are a broker-dealer, but we're not trading. We don't have affiliates that we give extra priority to everybody. It's --it's a single threading matching engine. When it hits, it matches and then data comes out. And everybody has access to the same amount of data. We're also the --the pricing source of T-500. So, there's on a daily basis about 25,000 people that watch our prices and I think there's close to 50,000 subscribers that watch that page on 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 235 this point in time for certain venues in --in the marketplace. And, if so, what type of information did you think that might be. So, I'm just going to open that one up and maybe if you guys on this side want to chime in and let me know your thoughts first. MR. BRAGG: Just to start, you know, I would suggest, it's a bit different than the equity market to what you described because it's a professional choice to come and --and trade treasuries at Nasdaq Fixed Income as an access point to get liquidity. There is no broker-dealer at Nasdaq that trades. We don't make any routing decision. It's a simple limit order book. And, as I mentioned earlier, there's no multiple ways to connect and have a different response on the platform. There's no NMS, there's no NBBO to consider. It's really a --a smaller institutional space as opposed to a retail marketplace with some investor protection components to that. So, we believe we're fairly transparent to all of our clients or we are very transparent to all of our clients on a limit order book from what we produce for them, but not --that 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 237 a semi-regular basis. So, I would agree with Ted. MR. REDFEARN: Anybody else want to chime in on that one. MR. BERNARDO: It would be the same in the off-the-run markets as well. The guidelines is posted. Everything is posted. It is an open marketplace. Everyone is clear and transparent on how we operate, the rules of engagement. So, it's very, very clear to all of our participants. MR. SHEFTEL: I'll chime in. You know, I think our view is that, you know, thoughtful regulations that have really gone through a lot of cycles and other markets make a lot of sense to bring over to the treasury market. You know, I think the reason for that is that, you know, even though the treasury market as we've discussed in these, quote, unquote, inter-dealer platforms might only be professionals who can spend the time and effort digging. They still provide the baseboard as we've discussed. I mean, they are the liquidity source. Kind of a go-to price formation liquidity platforms for the treasury market and, thus, by extension pretty much the entire fixed-income market. So, even I think participants that 60 (Pages 234 to 237) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 238 aren't actively involved participants on these exchanges have vested interests that they are --you know, that they are fair and that they are being operated efficiently. And that there's proper disclosures so that they can feel confident that if they are, you know, trading in corporate bond someone is telling them the reference price of the treasury for that corporate bond that they can have complete confidence in that reference price. So, I think anything that creates, you know, greater investor confidence throughout the entire sphere of participants, not just in treasuries, but in the fixed-income market at large is a sort of positive good for the entire marketplace we need to take into account. And, you know, we are respectful that no regulation is free. They all bring some incremental costs, but I think the key is really is that incremental costs provide a benefit to the entire fixed-income market, not necessarily to the direct participants doing each trade. So from that perspective, you know, we are supportive of taking lessons learned from other markets. You know, one of the benefits of the treasury market being sort of late to this 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 240 market or things like that kind of I think can be individual and not --you know, not as well known. MR. KALICH: I think I'll just say real quick that I think the market is actually pretty simple and it's different from the --the equity market that way. And I do --I do not think that there's a large number of potential market participants that are not participating in the market because they don't feel they function as well. So, I worry about, you know, kind of changes in regulation maybe going the other way and potentially diminishing liquidity. I actually think the market functions pretty well right now. And of course there are some, you know, corner areas, but I don't think that it needs to be significantly changed. It's competitive. It's simple. I think it's been functioning really well for --you know, for 20 something years I've been involved trading electronically. MR. REDFEARN: Yeah. But it's always interesting when you ask a bunch of market participants if they want more regulation. So, it's not something that everybody always just jumps at the chance to chime in on that. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 239 conversation is that where there's a lot of lessons learned elsewhere. And if, you know, thoughtful regulation has been implemented elsewhere and it showed to provide the benefit of increased participation or just increased confidence in the market, we should really take that into account and see how we can bring that over to the treasury market. MS. DUNN: And so, I would just --I would say as well, I'm not --I think the level of information is inconsistent and maybe not as fully transparent. And while I think many of these platforms are not directly interconnected, the fact is that people trade across them electronically as if they are. So, I think where you can access liquidity is built into a lot of the algo development that exists currently. So, it's hard to think of them as not somewhat interconnected even if it's the second order affect, but I would say things like how ties are broken, to the extent that they are, you know, whether there are penalties around misbehavior or we have found sometimes that the ability to find spot errors may be different or what is the protocol for breaking trades that happen off 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 241 So, there are these concerns, right, that --the digging and the asymmetries, right. To the extent that there were market participants who don't have the people or the staff conceivably to be making those calls, to find out the details that come from those direct engagements. And it is the kind of thing that we're just, we are sensitive to. So, I want to switch onto the other issue of sort of operational risk, right. So, again, you know, there is such a significant --it's such an important market and there's such a significant amount of liquidity that's trading on, you know, electronic platforms as well as, you know, off-the-run market work that, you know, we have concerns about sort of what are the risks, what are the operational risks in the marketplace. And so, this comes back to the --the other issue that we've dealt with in the U.S. equity markets with our --so, we have our Reg SCI, system and compliance and integrity. It's a rule that was put in place after there was a period of time in the equities markets where we saw a lot of --you know, we saw a lot of glitches there for a while, right. This were, this was down for three hours and that was down for two hours and this was, you know. And 61 (Pages 238 to 241) 1 2 3 4 56 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 1516 17 1819 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 242 there were operational issues on very important markets. And so, obviously there's some similar concern if we have such an -- such an important set of venues in the -- in the U.S. treasury market. So, we -- we try to think about the way in which operational risk is also managed. And so, maybe -- maybe I'll --I'll start with, you know, with you guys as well, Shawn, Ted and Dan. Just your thoughts in terms of, you know, what do you have in place to sort of insure against system issues and operational risks in the marketplace. If there's a problem, are there checks in place where it might stop the trader if they're -- if something is going on. Please give me a few thoughts for what's in place for managing some of these operational risks. MR. BERNARDO: So, from an off-the-run perspective we're not under the same rules of engagement as Dan and Ted because we don't have that API type trading. We don't have that high frequency type trading in -- in the overall trading. So, a fair amount of the business, as I said, about 65 percent of it is done via voice. So, we wouldn't run into an issue as far as algo going crazy doing a 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 244 might want to have from when they might want to trade again. And then, to evaluate when we have those changes in increments and changes in trades, is it something we need to look at from an execution quality perspective. Those are set by Nasdaq though. So, we now have to work with our clients to make sure that they know what the settings are just because you do get a lot of requests from a lot of our broker-dealers and banks to audit those settings and possibly test those settings as well. I don't think you're asking about the kind of technological SCI -MR. REDFEARN: So just to follow-up on that last point. So, if somebody breaches one of those limits then what happens? MR. BRAGG: So, if it's credit, hard stop. Risk limits, hard stop. If it's increment it can be --depending on how they wanted it set a hard stop or a speed bump. Speed bump is the wrong word. An, Are you sure message. Yeah, are you sure message, would you like to trade there from -from --from where the market has moved to, but we --we don't normally dictate where that --where that price formation would be. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 243 million trades and you accumulating a massive position. That's not going to happen in the off-the-run space knock on wood. But you do have --if --if we were to go down or the systems were to go down, we obviously have disaster recovery sights where it's a --a hot standby and it rolls over. Fortunately, at TP ICAP we also have two brands. So, we have a Tullett Prebon brand that does off-the-run treasuries and we have an ICAP brand. So, it's a bit interchangeable. It's the same product, same group, doing essentially the same thing. So, we're in a --in a relatively good position from that perspective if there were to be an issue. MR. REDFEARN: Got it. Ted. MR. BRAGG: So, operationally I think you mean more like the 15c3-5 controls, risk and credit limits and --and clearly we work with our clients and set those pre-trade risk limits, credit limits, that we review with clients as well. We look at minimum size, maximum sizes, changes in increments, meaning, how far the markets move from the last price and what type of buffer that client 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 245 MR. BERNARDO: That also goes down to the trader level, correct? MR. BRAGG: Correct. To each individual --so, the firm will set an aggregate level --thanks, Shawn. We'll have an aggregate level and roll it down. MR. BERNARDO: So, you'll have an individual trader that sits there that has access to his front end. He has his own limits just as long as they're not going to exceed the firm's limits because Teddy probably works with somebody else. Or the desk manager or somebody in risk says, set the firm level at this and no one can exceed that. So there are, without answering for you, limits in place, checks and balances. MR. CLEAVES: Similarly, we've got controls on each and every user in terms of long/short, deviation, duplicative orders. So, if somebody's it hitting a button too many times or somebody's hitting the keyboard by mistake. And similar to an API that might be entering the same order over and over again there's this there's a threshold quote to fill ratios, et cetera. You know, and all --everything that we do is around protecting the system, the integrity of the system. 62 (Pages 242 to 245) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 246 We've got a market control, market support team that will monitor, both from a manual perspective and from an automated prospective. Alarms will go off if there's an off market price. Alarm will go off if there's an off market trade. We do have an error trade policy that everybody knows and it's pretty clear what will happen. If it's within a certain band it would be a good trade and we'll do our best --best efforts to try to rectify that trade. If it's outside the trade will be automatically broken. We'll make that decision and communicate that as quick as possible, but it does need to be brought to our attention within a time frame as well. So, that's in terms of protecting the --the traders. Then you're talking a little bit about the systems as well, right. So, as --as I said before, we used the Nasdaq GENI-Ant system which is a, you know, really super robust and is being used globally to run major exchanges. I think the Australian exchange and the Singapore exchange and it's a great system. It goes through serious, serious QA before it ever reaches us. Then it goes through a UAT process with our team. Then it actually hits 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25Page 248 And if you do have an issue, I think we've all learned, we've all been in the market for a long time, it's how you respond to that, right. It's, how do you communicate it to your customers? How do you make sure that there's no nobody at risk, there's no trade at risk, there's no open position that -- that somebody doesn't know about that carries over to the next day or -- or the next hour even. So, that's something that you can do. And people often when they go down they will want to bring a system back quickly, right. People will come in and say, we need to get back on line, but that's -- that's the worst mistake you can make. Trying to come back too fast and not making sure that you fully understand the problem. Bringing it back on with the integrity, making sure that, you know, your sequence number on your trades all matched up because it could throw off somebody's STP. It's very important that you go through all of that -- all of that process to make sure you bring it back and the system behaves as possible. Because if you go down a second time in that same day you lose the confidence of your confidence and the industry as a whole. MR. REDFEARN: So, I mean, obviously 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 247 our salespeople, if you can believe that. They're actually some of the toughest testers out there in terms of making sure that it works exactly the way we want. We are in the Equinix Status Center. We have two matching engines. And then we have a -we have a fail over site as well. When we move to Globex we'll actually have a fail over site in Aurora out in Chicago. So, we'll have two robust environments for a total of, you know, I believe four matching engines total. So, we take uptime very seriously. I know that it's something that was on the agenda here. As I said, we monitor our system. We also have the back up of the Nasdaq team that are on call 24 hours a day to handle any type of issue that may come up and help us rectify. Our track record is -is very solid because we don't take our position in the marketplace, which is fairly large, lightly. Not only from a transactional perspective, but as you guys referenced earlier, you know, we are the market data and the --and the benchmark that everybody uses. Not only to trade U.S. treasuries, but to trade other products. So uptime is --uptime is critical. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 249 U.S. treasury market, very big market, very important market. Significantly less regulated, I would say, than what we have right now in the --in the U.S. equity markets on a couple of these fronts. The --the context as well here. So, in the U.S. equities markets we have Reg SCI. As I had mentioned, it was adopted in 2014 to help insure the integrity and resilience of the technology of key markets and market utilities including significant ATS. So, I think ATS is one. Once it's over one percent notional they then become SCI entities. In general, Reg SCI requires the covered entities establish written policies and procedures designed to insure their systems have levels of capacity, integrity, resiliency, availability and security to adequately maintain operational capability; and, two, then to notify the Commission and market participants of system outages, intrusions and compliance issues and take appropriate corrective action. That was again, put in place after there were a number of issues and anecdotally it looks like it's been helped. So, I guess maybe I'll turn it to the folks on the other end now. Maybe starting with 63 (Pages 246 to 249) 1 2 3 4 5 67 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 1617 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 250 you, Deirdre. Just in terms of, you know, what are the concerns -- so, sometimes systems do go down and when they go down, how does that affect the price formation in the marketplace or how you see your engagement in the treasury market. MS. DUNN: Yeah. So, I think it is important to note that, you know, it is expected to have occasional disruption due to technology. That's not, you know, a totally unexpected thing. And I think the market for short periods of time and especially with multiple venues can figure out how to accommodate and adjust. And, frankly, the outages that we've seen this year, you have seen some resilience from the market in terms of still being able to transact and settle without an issue. I think market participants should have contingency plans in place, you know, as users of the technology to, you know, just prevent dependence. I think it gets a little trickier when you have a heavy concentration in one specific venue or heavy dependence of the market in one specific place. That said I think that you'd rather have multiple places via compensation, not via regulation, right, because you just want to have a competitive and a strong -- strong platform not 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 252 MR. KALICH: I mean, I'll say that, you know, in general I think the --the market is pretty robust. You know, I expect --I fully expect systems to go down, trading venues to --to have hiccups once and a while and --but I think the treasury market is pretty resilient. I mean, at the end of the day there's lots of different ways that you can trade in a treasury bond. I'll contrast that with, you know, if the CME were to go down, for example, you could only trade treasury futures at the CME. So, that's kind of a different level of problem. So, you know, I -I think --I think in general that --you know, I'm not necessarily encouraging fragmentation because there's problems with price discovery with markets being fragmented, but it does have sort of a side benefit of kind of creating some resiliency. So, if BrokerTec were to go down you could still trade at a number of venues. And so, it's not as if the market goes dark. You know, and I will say that, you know, as a person that was trading on September 11th and saw, you know, the east wing, basically, go down and go dark, the market is a lot more resilient today just in terms of --of what they're actually Page 251 Page 253 1 something that's necessarily mandated just given the 1 doing to ensure that they don't go down and there's 2 level of service and everything else that needs to 2 healthy competition. 3 be provided. 3 And I think ultimately at the end of 4 Overall I would say, you know, from 4 the day the treasury market is important. And if 5 our perspective we have many ways to make markets 5 you can establish, you know, the price, some way, 6 for our customers and don't depend on any one 6 somehow I think that, again, the market is helpful, 7 individual platform, nor do we depend on any one 7 so. 8 individual platform for our price formation. It is 8 MR. SHEFTEL: Again, you know, just 9 easier and more transparent when all of the price 9 echoing a lot of the other comments. Obviously 10 formation platforms are working and visible to 10 anti-fragile market structure is the key. I think 11 everyone who wants access to them. 11 we do have that in a lot of ways which is great. 12 When there is a hiccup, whether it's 12 You know, to answer your direct 13 using, you know, futures or other platforms or 13 question of, has there been, you know, Reg SCI as 14 different ways of communicating with clients, we are 14 proven --again, if it's proven effective and 15 able to adjust. Obviously, the longer that it goes 15 beneficial in other markets, and I believe this is 16 on I think the more disruptive overall to the 16 one instance where there's complete alignment of 17 market. 17 interest across the table here where everybody wants 18 MR. REDFEARN: So, I guess, you know, 18 a robust, workable anti-fragile system, obviously 19 for Ryan and maybe Nate as well the question is, 19 within the construct of understanding that there is 20 again, should significant electronic trading 20 no such thing 100 percent uptime. 21 platforms be subject to any of these baseline 21 And to the extent there are, you 22 standards of operational integrity. 22 know, regulations in other markets that maybe, you 23 Do you have any thoughts on that, 23 know, we encourage competition, but I think one of 24 whether or not that would be helpful here or --or 24 the keys will be --or one of the benefits will 25 not. 25 potentially bring in a regulation like Reg SCI is 64 (Pages 250 to 253) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 254 making sure that new participants who look to get into this market do not use regulatory arbitrage or a race to the bottom as their means to be, say, a lower cost provider or something. So, yes, the participants on this table, probably not, but for the ability to make sure that new entrants are also held to the same high standards I think would be important and beneficial. MR. HEANEY: Why don't we open to FIMSAC questions right now. We'll go a few minutes. I'll start with Larry. MR. HARRIS: Thank you. We've talked a lot about regulatory issues. One that we missed though is the discussion about surveillance for an identification of bad actors. So, I want to ask first, Ryan, are you finding that you're occasionally losing, just before large events that affect the treasury market, whether they're domestic events or foreign events. And then more generally, I'd like to ask the managers of these various entities that are matching things together, what are the capacity for doing the forensic research that's necessary to identify when, say, perhaps foreigners are intervening in our 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 256 80 percent of our volume. We have another total of 115 clients that are again, professionals. We know who they are and all those goes through that SMARTS application. There's no other orders that get routed in in an exchange model. MR. BRAGG: We do use a SMART system and it's proven to be very effective looking for spoofing, layering, any type of behavior that's potentially disruptive to the marketplace. In addition to that, as I mentioned, we have market support, market control who are individuals using automated tools or even manual tools. They will interject themselves into the marketplace. They'll suspend a user, they'll suspend a firm, they'll suspend an instrument if they think there's a problem, whether something going on in order to maintain integrity. MR. HEANEY: Let me go to Rick. MR. McVEY: Thanks, Michael. So, I'm going to reframe a question perhaps in a little bit more palpable way and redirect it to the reality that all of you are regulated. You're just regulated today primarily as broker-dealers by FINRA. And you may be aware that one of the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 255 markets in ways that are inappropriate. Perhaps even simply identifying spoofing issues. MR. SHEFTEL: So you asked me. I guess I'll ask answer. No. We've seen nothing in particular that makes us lose any confidence in these markets or believe that there is, you know, an individual or group of bad actors. We certainly have not seen that. We don't expect our models to stand through time. We're constantly evaluating them, exploring and looking at data. It's what we do, but I can't say today that we've seen anything today that raises concern beyond just the typical, this is a highly competitive marketplace with a wide dispersed variety of participants and markets change all the time and you have to, you know, adapt and keep up with it. MR. KALICH: And then from a platform perspective, and not to speak for Dan, but Nasdaq has a product called SMARTS. And Dan's platform uses it as well. It's actually how we surveil the market to look for spoofing and many other bad actor characteristics. And it's an over-the-counter market. So, from a bad actor, foreign interactions to market, we've --we have 20 clients that are over 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 257 recommendations we passed at the FIMSAC committee to the SEC was that we strongly encouraged them to create a working group with FINRA and MSRB to create a consistent set of regulations that was efficiently applied across the entire industry. So, we've got single dealer platforms, we've got inter-dealer platforms, we've have multi-dealer RFQ platforms generally regulated by FINRA. We have retail cross patching systems that are active in government bond trading that are primarily regulated by SATS. In the case of munis, which we went through, MSRB is involved as well. And we also through that journey identified systems that are operating in U.S. fixed-income markets electronically without any regulation at all. So, I'm just curious if you --if you think about that question a little bit differently and you view FINRA as the logical ongoing regulator, would you too encourage the SEC and ATS staff in particular to coordinate their efforts with FINRA so that we can get an effective and consistently applied regulatory framework for government bond trading. MR. CLEAVES: BrokerTec in addition to being a --a broker-dealer is also a non exempt agency ATS. So, we go through, we file the Form 65 (Pages 254 to 257) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 258 ATS, we comply with the ATS exam rule, we comply with the ATS record keeping rule, the ATS confidentiality rule. So, different than a treasury-only platform due to the fact that we trade government Canada bonds as well. So, we are not in that exempt ATS. So, we're already adhering to a slightly higher standard already. MR. BRAGG: And --and, Rick, to your question, Nasdaq NFI is actually a registered ATS. So, we are complying with the rules and filing as we make changes. But to your point, I don't think that it's a level playing field. And I think there might be other platforms that are not. And we'd be if the regulations were to continue to be placed on our platforms and the alternative liquidity sources could --could gain business around that which is what I think I said earlier. The regulation, including SBCI, comprised as well the answer would be yes, but as long as it didn't create some type of unfair advantage or unlevel playing field which would negatively affect our business. MR. SHEFTEL: I have one point which is, I think, to your point. You know, we use a lot of terms, like, IDER and those are really more just colloquialisms about how these platforms started, 12 3 4 5 6 7 89 10 11 12 1314 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25Page 260 And, while there is an enormous amount of trading in on-the-run securities, that is a fraction in terms of the number of CUSIPs that are based off of this, both whether it's the entire rest of the treasury market, you know, which helps to fund obviously the country or credit markets or anything else. So, I think, you know, one thing is these products as a reference point and the scope of impact of any market structure change is that much more material. So, I think that should just be, you know, in consideration as working groups are formed. MR. KALICH: And I would just say, you know, just to add on the flip side it's important to just make sure that -- that there aren't various entry created. I think at the end of the day we want the treasury market to be very healthy and liquidity is what makes the market healthy. And so, just, you know, to be careful to not, you know, basically, entrench existing participants and create potent barriers for entry. I think that's particularly important in the treasury market particularly because again, it is a professional market. MR. HEANEY: So we've run over a bit. Page 259 Page 261 1 you know, 29 years ago. And the RFQ platforms offer 1 Let's just take one -2 streaming and a variety of different protocols. So, 2 MR. TABB: This is Larry Tabb. 3 I think, you know, kind of echo that, I think the 3 MR. HEANEY: Go ahead, Larry. 4 key is that, you know, any new regulatory regime 4 MR. TABB: Now, talking about open 5 should cast a wide net to make sure that there's not 5 access that historically there are indices in 6 that kind of, you know, regulatory arbitrage 6 over-the-counter markets where you know if IADs open 7 occurring where a platform could just hang up its 7 up access to various participants, the more 8 shingle with a different name and have an unlevel 8 participants they get put in the penalty box from -9 playing field. So, I think the key is to, you know, 9 from some other bigger dealers; A, does that still 10 not get too hung up on the titles of these platforms 10 go on; and, B, should this committee be thinking 11 and just say, you know, are you a venue that allows 11 about some sort of open access rules around that. 12 electronic trading of treasuries or other 12 And that could also mean clearing issues as well. 13 fixed-income products. If yes, then, you know, you 13 Getting access to the FICC and GFCC or something 14 should be in the scope. 14 like that. 15 MS. DUNN: So, I would add as well, I 15 MR. BRAGG: I'll start and then I'll 16 mean, the way people are phrasing these questions, 16 turn over to you, Shawn. 17 they're very hard to say no too, right. I think we 17 The days of putting people in the box 18 tend to agree we want high integrity in the 18 really are over. Everybody needs access to the 19 marketplace. 19 platforms, right. You've got need for access to 20 I would just -- any exploration that 20 liquidity and pricing, et cetera. And --and for 21 does happen on a working committee or whatever else, 21 somebody to turn themselves off to a platform right 22 I think it's very important to focus on the fact 22 now would probably do more damage to their franchise 23 that the U.S. treasury market is very different than 23 than --than help. You know, back in the days where 24 many of the other markets where these things already 24 it was, you know, trader/broker relationship putting 25 exist. 25 them in the box, it was his livelihood that was at 66 (Pages 258 to 261) Page 262 Page 264 1 risk. 1 it by accident to stop somebody from trading because 2 We -- we at BrokerTec, I don't want 2 they've gone over their limit. Not because it was 3 to speak for Shawn and Ted, but we make the decision 3 some functionality to how our matching engine worked 4 on who we have on our platform autonomously. 4 and the price con priority. And --and our view or 5 There's nobody that impacts that. What we do is we 5 Nasdaq's view of our current matching engine in the 6 look for the best ecology that we can -- that we can 6 marketplace is --is a very transparent one. Not to 7 generate. And it's a combination of banks, 7 advantage any participant in that regard. 8 professional traders with a couple systematic hedge 8 MR. HEANEY: I want to --I want to 9 funds and -- and your PTFs on the platform. 9 thank Brett and I want to thank the panelists for 10 We're not in the business to, you 10 taking the time to come and present in front of us. 11 know, disenfranchise our major liquidity providers 11 It was very insightful and we appreciate it. Thank 12 and providers of natural interest into our streams. 12 you very much. 13 It's not our objective, but ultimately we're making 13 (Applause.) 14 that decision and we're making that decision because 14 MR. HEANEY: We've got a short 15 we want to keep the balance in the marketplace. 15 five-minute break and the we have our last panel for 16 The B to C market is -- is very 16 the day. 17 strong right now. It's providing great liquidity to 17 (Brief recess taken.) 18 their customers and I don't think there's really any 18 MR. HEANEY: Okay. Today's final 19 need to nix that right now. It's not our objective. 19 panel will focus on the update on the status of 20 MR. BERNARDO: I would reiterate what 20 LIBOR transition efforts and the recent events in 21 Dan just said. I do -- if they're speaking about 21 the repo markets and the volatility of SOFR. 22 certain firms, asset managers or different types of 22 Lizzie Baird, Deputy Director in the 23 firms that have access to our -- to our marketplace, 23 Division of Trading and Markets at the SEC, will 24 I think those clients are served very, very well by 24 serve as the moderator and I'll pass it over to 25 Deirdre and the other banks out there, but if they 25 Lizzie. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 263 wanted access, you know, it would absolutely be considered on an open access basis. MR. BRAGG: Just --just to compliment the one part of Larry's question though. I know TMPG did a lot of work on what can we do with FICC, the risk that the platforms are underwriting so that are a non broker-dealer, professional trading firm, as large a market maker as they are, FICC made changes two years ago on those recommendations and nothing happened. And I still think that's as --if I have to evaluate a client and I --and if Nasdaq dials down the risk of that client, does it --do I just lose market share while not everyone else takes the same view at that time. MR. HEANEY: Sonali for one final question. Sorry, we're running well over. MS. THEISEN: Thank you. I'm just curious, I think one of the panelists mentioned a word in passing, and also just because it's a topic that's been contemplated in other asset classes, what is the view of any of the panelists around speed bumps and whether they have a place in the treasury market and whether they would and what are the pros and cons. MR. BRAGG: So, I said it and I said 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 265 MS. BAIRD: Thanks, Michael. So, as many of you may remember at the FIMSAC's April meeting we heard from a panel consisting of issuers, investors and a bank dealer on the ongoing work to prepare for the transition from U.S. dollar LIBOR to SOFR. As with today's panel, many of our April panelists serve as members of the Alternative Reference Rates Committee, or the ARRC, which is the group tasked by the Federal Reserve with, among other things, developing an implementation plan for the transition away from U.S. dollar LIBOR to a more robust reference rate. Our final panel today will provide us with an update on those transition efforts. And -and if you remember back in July of this year the staffs from the SEC's Division of Corporate Finance, Investment Management, Trading and Markets and the Office of Chief Accountant issued a statement encouraging market participants to identify and manage their risks associated with the impending end of LIBOR which I think is now 790 days away, do I have that right? The statement also included guidance to assist in this effort. The LIBOR transition efforts have recently received a great deal of attention from the 67 (Pages 262 to 265) 1 2 3 4 5 6 78 9 10 11 1213 14 15161718 19 20 21 22 23 2425 Page 266 financial trusts due to the volatility experienced by the repo markets in September and the resulting impact on SOFR. That volatility was so remarkable that it precipitated action by the fed brining liquidity to the repo market each day that week and on an ongoing basis. In updating us on the market's progress in transitioning away from LIBOR to SOFR our panel will also discuss this recent volatility in repo and how it's impacted the transition efforts, if at all. To begin with, I'll ask each of the panelists to briefly introduce themselves and describe their role at their respective firms. Debbie, let's start with you. MS. CUNNINGHAM: Sure. I'm Debbie Cunningham, Chief Investment Officer of the Global Liquidity Markets at Federated Investors. Federated is a -- an asset management firm based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. About 520 billion in assets under management. About 370 billion of that is in the liquidity markets. So, much very much involved in the LIBOR aspects. 270 billion or so of our assets in liquidity products are in 2a-7 products. So, ones 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 268 the impacts that we have with respect to our models, with respect to our applications and other systems, as well as, exposure that we have through, excuse me, our contracts. And so, my job is to manage a small team that insures to the greatest extent possible that we have an informed group of people in the lines of business and other functions that are executing consistently and with the correct facts on LIBOR transition. MS. BAIRD: And you're also with the ARRC, right? MR. GRABENSTEIN: I am. I represent Wells on the ARRC. MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Tom Pluta. MR. PLUTA: Tom Pluta, J.P. Morgan. I've been at the firm 24 years in a variety of trading and trading management roles across rates, effects and emerging markets. I'm currently the global head of linear rates trading for developed markets. And I'm also the business lead for the corporate investment bank for the LIBOR transition program and on our firm-wide committee as well. Similar to what Brian described, we 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 267 that are overseen from an SEC perspective and then the other 100 billion or so is non 2a-7 actuary or separate accounts, other types of short-term fixed-income securities markets. We're large users of LIBOR-based floating rate notes in all of our products. And, as such, this is a central aspect to, basically, everyday life with the issuers that we're -MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Brian. MR. GRABENSTEIN: Yeah. I'm Brian Grabenstein. I'm head of LIBOR transition at Wells Fargo. I've with the firm for 17 years in a variety of roles that weren't so much project or program or transition management, more front office, investing roles primarily. We set up our LIBOR transition office back in February of 2018. Since that we've inventoried our exposure across the firm which entails something along the order of half a trillion of on-balance assets, in excess of 100 billion of liabilities. We have significant off-balance sheet exposure in terms of servicing trustee activities, as well as, contingent exposure related to advisory activities. That doesn't begin to describe some of 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 269 set up a very broad and all-encompassing LIBOR reform effort across all parts of the business back in 2018. MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Sam. MR. PRIYADARSHI: Good afternoon and thank you for the opportunity to speak to the SEC and to the FIMSAC. My name is Sam Priyadarshi and I'm global head of portfolio risk management and --for those that don't know Vanguard, it's a large asset management globally managing 5.6 trillion and we offer 300 funds to 30 million investors globally. I'm on Vanguard's LIBOR steering committee which is responsible for the transition from LIBOR. I also serve on the CFPC's market advisory committee and on MRACs interest rate benchmark subcommittee and its market structure subcommittee. MS. BAIRD: Tom Wipf. MR. WIPF: Tom Wipf, I'm the Vice Chairman of Institutional Securities at Morgan Stanley and --and co-lead of our LIBOR transition efforts at the firm which is a firm-wide imitative to insure across all of our businesses that we've 68 (Pages 266 to 269) 1 2 3 4 5 678 9 10 11 121314 15 16 17 18 19 20 212223 24 25Page 270 got readiness with a key focus from my side of that on the client outreach and education. Away from that, I'm -- since May I've been chairing the ARRC. I am on the board of ISDA and I'm chairing the interest rate subcommittee of the MRAC at CFCT. MS. BAIRD: Great thank you. Tom Pluta, let's go right to the recent repo market events. As head of a rates business that includes an active repo trading desk could you share with us your thoughts on the drivers of these recent events. MR. PLUTA: Sure. So, the backdrop in September was that coming out of the QE era the fed had been actively and predictably reducing its balance sheet, and with that, excess reserves in the system were also declining. And we always knew that there would be a point with the decline in excess reserves that the supply and demand to the funding markets would come out of balance. The unfortunate -MR. TABB: I'm sorry to interrupt, but could you please speak into the microphone, I really want to hear this. MR. PLUTA: So, coming out of the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 272 The --the GC markets are trading where you would expect back in the normal range. SOFR is setting back in the range that you would expect and it's all good. Additionally, on October 15th the fed began purchasing 60 billion a month of T-bills which will gradually raise the reserves in the system back up again. So, certainly, the measure --this combination of actions has certainly had the desired results and brought the system back into balance. MS. BAIRD: Tom Wipf, do you have any thoughts about the potential effects of this volatility on SOFR's suitability as a replacement for U.S. dollar LIBOR. MR. WIPF: Well, certainly it wasn't the best day we had on the SOFR PR department, but I would say what it did really do, you know, when you think about this, certainly it had brought people to the table really understanding the differences between SOFR and LIBOR. So, there was a lot of work heading into this, but really if you think about the ARRC's role here, the ARRC was tasked with creating a referenced rate that was based on market transactions. And so, when we think about the Page 271 Page 273 1 fed's QE era they'd been reducing their balance 1 underlying repo market, we've got well over $1 2 sheet and excess reserves in the system had been 2 trillion a day that's calculated against SOFR. It 3 declining. And we knew that we would hit a point 3 certainly -- you know, it was -- when we think about 4 where supply and demand would for the funding 4 what took place, it certainly has focused people on 5 markets would be out of balance. 5 the negatives, but the fact remains that looking for 6 The problem that occurred on 6 a market rate that has underlying transactions was 7 September 16th was it sort of happened all at once 7 our goal. We've achieved that. And I think this -8 and we had a perfect storm where -- it was a 8 this sort of activity that we've seen in the past 9 corporate tax day which generally removes about 100 9 few weeks is not going to define SOFR. 10 billion from the system. And there was also a --a 10 SOFR is a strong rate. It's a repo 11 settlement of 54 billion of treasury coupon 11 rate based on again, over $1 trillion in 12 securities. So, that reduction took us out of 12 transactions. So, it certainly brought attention to 13 balance all at once and repo rates spiked that day. 13 it. I think the one point that we tried to make, I 14 The -- the fed did respond quickly 14 think pretty clearly, once we sort of, you know, 15 though. Within a couple of days they came in with 15 unpacked the whole thing was that the fact remains 16 the TOMOs, temporary open market operations, where 16 that people are not going to use one-day SOFR as 17 initially they were offering overnight lending into 17 they set their coupons. They're going to use an 18 the market to put the system back into balance and 18 averaging of these rates. And when on a comparative 19 then additionally added the term rates of the 19 basis, including the five-and-a-quarter rate that we 20 two-week repos. 20 saw, you're -- basically, the change in three-month 21 So, now we have about 70 billion of 21 SOFR on a compounded basis was two basis points. 22 demand for overnight repos every day and there's 22 The change in three-month labor was four basis 23 about 150 billion of the two-week funding in the 23 points. 24 market from the fed. So, that's about 220 billion 24 So, when we really kind of put it all 25 in the system has brought it back into balance. 25 together and think about how people will use SOFR it 69 (Pages 270 to 273) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 274 seemed to be just something that, you know, that was going --it wasn't great for in terms of getting people on it. Again, people who didn't like SOFR to begin with aren't going to like it anymore. Nonetheless, the fact remains that we have --we've sort of put together a rate that people can use. And, in fact, today the fed sent out a consultation which will be a way to create SOFR averaging and indexes that people can use as well. So, when we think about how --how people will use this rate, for the most part they're going to use averages, compounded in advance or arrears. So, when you really look through all the information, again, it was a --a bump in the road, but certainly not anything that we see as --as an impactful in the long run. MS. BAIRD: Tom, sticking with you for a minute. At the April FIMASC meeting you provided an overview of the work that the ARRC had been doing and the implementation plans from transitioning away from LIBOR. Can you provide us an update on some of the recent progress made referred to the transition. MR. WIPF: Sure. And in fact, away 1 2 3 4 5 67 8 9 10 1112 13 14 15 16 17 1819 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 276 regulatory accounting implications and now having answers to those questions really opens a key door. So, there's been serious hurdles removed I think, you know, by the official sector and beyond that really open up the door for people to transition. Additionally, obviously the SEC's guidance back in July was extremely helpful and we found that that created a lot of energy from more buy side clients who really wanted to know more about this topic on the back of that. Away from that, we also see, you know, potentially some further guidance from IOSCO on, basically, advising market participants that the best way out of a hole is to stop digging. So, start using SOFR when and where you can. We've got over 300 billion in floating rate note issuance using SOFR over the last year. We have heard from the treasury bond committee that the treasury -- that they've advised the treasury to take a look at potentially issuing a SOFR floater from treasury. And I think really where we're getting to right now is, with the barriers being removed and a little bit more liquidity building, and the last piece of the puzzle, which we'll see in the second half of next 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 275 from what the AARC has been doing which, you know, we've got our consultation out on adjustable rate mortgages, we've closed off most of our --most of the fallback language that we had to put in place, new cash products. So, those are all available to the market. But away from that really over the last six months there's been, you know, I think very significant developments even outside that, the official sector or the quasi official sector. We've seen --when we sort of lay out what's taken place, over the last several months we've seen regulatory accounting and tax news that is very positive. So, in terms of the --what the IRS has come out with, their first round of guidance, which is all in draft form, says that you can convert a trade from LIBOR to SOFR and not have a tax event. From --from a FASB perspective, same outcome. And I think from a regulatory and margin perspective we've seen some drafts that sort of get us there. So, when we were speaking to clients say even six months ago, the question we would have had is, well, if we're going to want to convert trades from LIBOR to SOFR, what are the tax 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 277 year, is where the CCPs are going to change the discounting from fed funds to SOFR. And that's going to have a big impact on sending SOFR liquidity into the system and could be a real catalyst for getting people to get moving. So, if there's enough liquidity and there's no barriers to conversion and that really speaks to the derivatives market, which is an enormous piece of the puzzle, and clients have the ability to actually transact, you know, you can almost see forward to a point where it's just easier to sort of restructure than it is to actually put all of these fallbacks in place and deal with the operational risk that we're going to have at the end and actually really implementing those fallbacks. So, I's say some, you know, really positive developments. You know, the ARRC is again, has --has all of our language out. This consultation today on the --on how to use SOFR averaging and how it can be helpful to people who can use this either in advance or arrears. The fed being able to hopefully the first half of the next year publish those averages on a screen people. It will be IOSCO compliant that people can use. And we have heard much, much more about that topic from non 70 (Pages 274 to 277) Page 278 Page 280 1 financial corporates and others who don't 1 come in two different manners, monthly contracts for 2 necessarily, you know, need a rate that's, you know, 2 the nearest seven months and quarterly contracts for 3 minute-by-minute. They could just take a rate 3 the nearest 20 quarterly months. And volume in SOFR 4 that's an average of the last month or two. Also, 4 futures has been growing expedientially. 5 have a mortgage market plans to approach this as 5 As of August month end the average 6 well. 6 daily volume in SOFR futures on both these exchanges 7 So, I think from what we've seen, 7 was over $132 billion. And the total outstanding 8 it's actually been just a series of events that, you 8 open interest was a little over $1 trillion. 9 know, on --on their face may seem small, but when 9 Similarly, SOFR interest rates cleared swaps have 10 you add them all up, there's a lot that you've built 10 reached over 586 billion in outstanding notional 11 up over the last six months. And I think it's 11 created and over 210 billion outstanding notional 12 shifting us as we head to the two-year point on 12 cleared across NCH and CME. 13 this, you know, I think it will focus people on 13 However, average daily volume and 14 execution and I think we're firmly in at three out 14 open interest in SOFR futures and outstanding 15 of three right now. 15 notional SOFR swaps are still several magnitudes 16 MS. BAIRD: When did you see the CCPs 16 smaller than their LIBOR counterparts. Average 17 are going to switch from fed funds to SOFR. 17 daily volume in Euro dollar futures is over $1 18 MR. WIPF: The most recent one, 18 trillion and open interest is over 34 trillion. 19 they're both out in draft forms, is in October -19 The outstanding notional in interest 20 October 2020. There was a couple of debates about 20 rates swaps index to LIBOR is over $81 trillion. So 21 different dates and different methodologies which 21 my expectation is that the big bank for SOFR is 22 still haven't been resolved. And we did on our part 22 starting in the third quarter of 2020, October as 23 committee at CFTC invite them to present their 23 Tom mentioned when CME and LCH will switch the 24 models. They have both have kind of different 24 discounting of swaps --cleared swaps from effective 25 models, but they have agreed on a similar date. 25 ten points rate to SOFR discount rate. It will 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 279 Obviously, there's not so much they can do together with any trust concerns. So, I think we're trying to see if there's a role for the CFTC to play to create space where they can actually in fact maybe --maybe synchronize their models. On having to present the risk back, one has an auction method and one just hands you the risk back. So, there's a few different ways to get there. We think they will get there, but we think they will get there. And that will actually be really, really critical to the --to the liquidity into the SOFR market. MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Sam, one of the issues that market participants have asked us about a lot is the development of a SOFR turn structure. Based on your experience in the derivatives markets, we'd be interested in your views on the development of the SOFR like futures markets and how these markets are developing and how they're going to help with the development of term rates for SOFR. MR. PRIYADARSHI: Yes. So, SOFR features straight on the ICE and the CME and they 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 281 necessitate swap dealers to hedge their discounting risk using SOFR futures and SOFR swaps. And this may be the inflection point as Tom mentioned in the build up of liquidity in SOFR futures and SOFR swaps and the potential decline in LIBOR swaps. On the second part of the question, the development of return SOFR is important for the --our fallback provisions for cash products like floating rate notes, business and consumer loans, adjustable rate mortgages and securitization that is currently tied to LIBOR all for new issuance of SOFR. So, SOFR is an overnight rate based on volume weighted median of transactions in the repo market. Unfortunately, term lending volume on transactions in the repo market are not significant. To have an IOSCO compliant benchmark turns SOFR rate has to be computed from silver futures and SOFR IOS funds. So, fed's staff has proposed a methodology to compute a forward path for overnight SOFR from futures pricing allowing the average rate to jump down from the CME meeting dates. This methodology assumes that the overnight SOFR rate is 71 (Pages 278 to 281) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 282 constant until the MC meeting dates. And a forward looking compounded SOFR rate can be in for --once the forward SOFR rates are computed. So, two questions arise. One is the volatility of the term SOFR and the other is the correlation of the term rate with real SOFR. On both these metrics the proposed methodology does well. As Tom mentioned, the volatility in the SOFR market is actually dampened if you take the compounding both MX over a period of three months. So, that dampens just one single day volatility. And indeed the --the term SOFR does has to realize the SOFR historically speaking. Governor Rand Paul, from the Federal Reserve Band and currently the chairman of the Financial Stability Board, has recently proposed that the fed consider abolishing the compounded SOFR that the market participants can use. And he called this safer, sharpe for secured average financing rate. One can safely assume that pun was intended. MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Debbie, recently market participants have questioned using SOFR as a reference rate for certain products because it lacks a credit component. Can you provide us your views of the 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 284 free securities versus the securities with a credit component associated with them. And, for that reason when we owned securities at that time that had LIBOR as their basis, our securities as they were resetting off of this very much higher index at that point was --was resetting higher as well. So, we felt less compelled from a needs perspective to want to sell them into the marketplace. We felt we were maybe not being as compensated as we would be if they were new issued securities, but, you know, there were 12-month security and they were six months into it, what we thought was adequate compensation was coming simply from the rise in the --in the benchmark or the reference rate at that point. So, SOFR will act in exactly the opposite -MS. BAIRD: Right. MS. CUNNINGHAM: --direction. And based on the fact that it's overnight, doesn't have a term, it's collateralized not, you know, unsecured and it's collateralized with treasury securities, the risk free rate, we expect that SOFR will act much --much the opposite as I said during that periods of credit stress. Page 283 Page 285 1 adoption of a reference rate that is secured rather 1 And as risk free securities the 2 than one that has a credit component. 2 yields that we'll see on this bench market 3 MS. CUNNINGHAM: Sure. It's 3 essentially are probably likely to decline during 4 definitely less than ideal and it has a lot to do 4 that time period because their flight to quality 5 with what we've gotten used to in the context of 5 securities. They're going to be more in demand, in 6 having LIBOR as our reference rate for many decades 6 desire, in a higher risk marketplace. 7 at this point. LIBOR as we all know is based on 7 So, as owners of the floating rate 8 banks and those banks definitely have a credit 8 issues that have that as a benchmark, we're now 9 component to them. 9 being compensated less during periods of stress 10 And as such, during periods of stress 10 based on what was historically being compensated for 11 in the marketplace, the interest rate that we would 11 more. 12 receive from LIBOR-based floating rate securities 12 And -- and so, as a liquidity fund 13 was higher. And it, thus, compensated us for owning 13 manager, I would be more compelled to -- to try to 14 and continuing to owning those securities and --and 14 likely sell these securities in periods of stress 15 trying to make up for the additional risks that were 15 which, you know, maybe I'd get a higher price for 16 inherent in the marketplace at that particular point 16 them because they are more desired at that point in 17 in time. 17 time, but quite frankly, I'm probably less -- less 18 It was --it was probably most noted 18 compelled to actually own them in the first place 19 in the 2007, 2008 time period during the financial 19 without some sort of additional spread involved all 20 crisis when one-and three-month LIBOR which are the 20 the time based on, you know, basically, what might 21 most popular for benchmarks for index resets in 21 be instead of what has been. 22 floating rate securities in the --the marketplace, 22 And -- and, you know, therefore, I -23 rose anywhere from 150 to 300 basis points during 23 even if I do buy them, I'm probably more compelled 24 that time frame above what would be basically the 24 to buy shorter maturities where there's less risk of 25 similar tenor treasury securities. So, the risk 25 immediate change in the market condition. So, less 72 (Pages 282 to 285) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 286 than ideal without a credit component associated with it. MS. BAIRD: That makes sense. Brian, would you share with us some of the steps that the ARRC has taken with respect to fallback language for floating rate notes and --and tell us how successful in your view the industry has been in assessing the risks to cash products that reference LIBOR now. MR. GRABENSTEIN: Sure. Well, with respect to fallback language maybe I'll take a step back just to make sure we're all on the same page with --with respect to what we mean by fallbacks. So, fall back language is the contractural provisions that are available in most LIBOR based contracts that say what is to be done if LIBOR doesn't exist, right. Now, historically, fallback language was written with the assumption that maybe you wouldn't have LIBOR for a day or a couple of days. It wasn't written again historically with the possibility that LIBOR might go away entirely, right. So, if you will, legacy fallback language that's in trillions of contracts would be very problematic if LIBOR were to go away tomorrow, 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 89 10 11 12 1314 15 16 17 18 19 20 2122 23 24 25 Page 288 publicly issued securities. And this is a little bit dated, but it looks like certainly a plurality. Something on the order of three quarters or more of the newly issued floating rate notes are using either almost verbatim ARRC language or something very close to it. We don't see the same level of uptake in some of the other asset classes. MS. BAIRD: Debbie, we've seen different countries pursue different approaches to transition away from their currency based LIBOR. What are your thoughts on the global approach to managing the -- the transitions from LIBOR. MS. CUNNINGHAM: Well, currently the LIBOR panel banks provide indices for five different currencies across seven different maturities. And all five of these indices are, basically, the same with maybe a few different banks, but the components are, basically, representing credit spreads for what are high quality bank liquidity in those marketplaces. So, whether I'm investing my dollar denominated products here in the United States, our U.K. denominated products -- or our sterling denominated products in the U.K., euro denominated Luxenberg, yen denominated in Japan, essentially 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 287 right. So, one of the major bodies of work that the ARRC undertook beginning in 2018 and it took the better part of 15 months was for cash products to look at developing and endorsing and issuing to the market better, more robust fallbacks. And they did that across floating rate notes, syndicated loans, bilateral business loans and securitizations including CLOs. And as Tom eluded to earlier, we are almost through the process -finished with the process to endorse fallback language for residential adjustable rate mortgages. I should finally add that ISDA has been undertaking a similar work stream for the better part of three years now with respect to derivatives. So, with respect to floating rate notes specifically, we endorsed the language in April of this year --the ARRC endorsed the language in April of this year. It was the product of a -of a consultation process and it aligns at a very high level with all of the other cash products as well as what we expect ISDA to land on. Covenant review has done some --some research on adoption of the fallback language in 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 289 we've got the same thing when we're buying an IBOR based index. It's high quality bank lending spreads in the marketplace. As we move forward, what the U.S. has chosen from a SOFR perspective as we mentioned is an overnight rate that is secured by treasury collateral. So it's, basically, risk free in the context of, you know, the --the reference process. The U.K. has actually chosen SONIA which is Sterling Overnight --the Sterling Overnight Index Average which, basically, tracks the rate of actual overnight funding on all the deals that are offered in the wholesale market in the U.K. So, it is not collateralized and it has a credit component. Although that credit component is only on an overnight basis. The ECP has recommended ESTR which is the euro short-term rate and that's its recommendation for its replacement for euro IBOR. ESTR is based on transaction data collected as part of their daily money market statistical reporting from the 52 largest euro area banks. And as such, it also includes some sort of a credit component for spread, as well as, some term associated with it. And again, no collateralization. 73 (Pages 286 to 289) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 290 So, what you have is a mixed bag. And because of these different choices there's, basically, going forward what we would consider to be a lack of continuity across these major global financial regions in the world. And, therefore, the financing that happens out of Europe, the financing that happens out of Tokyo, the financing that happens out of New York and how they are funded and what the indices look like are going to be likely different. And --and, therefore, structured differently which ultimately, in our minds, leads to what we think is probably less efficiency from a structuring perspective, less efficiency for global issuers who may in fact have securities issued in all of those markets and what essentially probably leads to less liquidity for market participants in these markets. MS. BAIRD: Okay. Let's close with a discussion of market preparedness. I'd like to ask each one of you to share your views on --on the progress made by the industry in transitioning from LIBOR and talk about what further steps you think remain both in the short-term and the long-term. So, Tom Wipf, if you can start us off. 1 2 34 5 6 7 8 9 1011 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 1920 21 22 23 24 25 Page 292 fallbacks we would have had significant disputes litigation and worse. So, the fact is that when we think about this is the 19 panel banks that actually agreed to stay on to the end of 2021, that the FCA as the regulator of LIBOR, and these are Andrew Bailey's comments from the FCA, which is, when a bank or banks leave he's required by law to declare this rate representative or not representative. If he were to declare it not representative that triggers all sorts of things in Europe and U.K. and other places in the world. So, the idea I think that people have really come around to with those explanations which is, wait a minute, this isn't something where someone just waves a wand and extends the deadline. This in fact has a lot of different component pieces that are not necessarily under anyone's complete control. So, the idea would be that, you know, preparing for this becomes -- you know, it becomes really important. And I think as we talked about the fallbacks and protocols and the things that people need to do, that's actually happening. We're seeing it in new issue. I think the use of fallbacks is going very, very well. I think people Page 291 Page 293 1 MR. WIPF: Sure. Thank you. 1 going straight to SOFR. We'll be seeing some 2 I think when we think about the sort 2 developments. 3 of the end of LIBOR and the preparations that have 3 And I think what has happened is 4 to be in place and the tools available to smooth 4 there's been a change in sort of tone in terms of 5 those outcomes, I think the important consideration 5 what the deadline is and things like term and credit 6 I have to say over the last six to twelve months 6 are not necessarily going to be there when we reach 7 people are in the market have really come to accept 7 this deadline. And people in the market are now 8 that the end of LIBOR is at the end of 2020. And 8 beginning to think about what they can do. 9 that really came as a series of statements from the 9 For instance, regional banks struggle 10 official sector. Certainly, most recently, 10 with the lack of return piece in terms of just a 11 President John Williams of the Euro fed talked about 11 lending versus a cost of funds. Many are talking 12 death, taxes and the end of LIBOR are the three 12 about putting floors in and creating different ways 13 certainties in life. 13 from keeping that spread from collapsing. They can 14 And I think there's also a lot of -14 at least attach floors and things like that. And I 15 it took a long time because of just the long-dated 15 think what we've seen at the ARRC is, you know, we 16 nature as we approach two years, people will get 16 set out to create something that was based on the 17 there, but the fact is that, you know, the idea 17 criteria durable and it was --and it was defined by 18 isn't that the FCA is trying to shoot LIBOR. Nor is 18 transactions. 19 the official sector. 19 Neither the ARRC, nor any --any 20 The fact is that the 19 panel banks 20 private institution out there, has been able to 21 back in 2014 many were being to leave the panel in a 21 actually find enough underlying credit transactions 22 less than orderly way. So, the end of LIBOR could 22 to meet the standard scope guidelines. So, the fact 23 have come with five or ten big banks leaving and 23 remains is that without that we look at something 24 creating an enormous amount of chaos. And as Brian 24 that would be reliant on submissions which feels a 25 mentions, on the fallbacks, you know, without those 25 whole like LIBOR and if we think about what was 74 (Pages 290 to 293) 1 2 3 45 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 1415 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 2324 25 Page 294 really at the heart of the LIBOR scandals, it was about that bank credit piece -- that sort of shared bank credit piece. Within three pieces we have, we have issuer credit and we have this little slice which is -- which is this assumed bank credit rate. So, without that I think what people are beginning to see in the market is they have to actually think about different ways to approach this. And knowing that, you know, certainly in terms of term I think if we get the big bang, we start seeing liquidity, there may be enough transactions to create an IOSCO compliant term and that could happen. That's obviously contingent and the market has to kind of put the liquidity there for that to happen, but if that doesn't happen then people will be very reliant on averaging of SOFR both compounded in advance and arrears. If we think about the markets, the derivatives markets, the floating rate note market, that's all workable because that's fairly consistent with the conventions that we have today. So, I think where we are right now in terms of progress is with -- with the things that we laid out earlier in terms of the help we're getting 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 296 and advance and average in arrears. So, there's been a little bit more of a reckoning. I certainly think that again, we've heard from the official sector, the guidance we've received from the SEC has brought people to the table. And I think in terms of awareness, plans, I'd say, every large organization has a LIBOR transition program in place. And I think medium firms as well. Everyone we visit has people responsible for this. And every client that we see is concerned about it. So, I'd say where we are right now there's a hug focus, a lot of programs in place, a lot to do and certainly a lot more to do as we approach the next two years. MS. BAIRD: Sam, what you have you seen. MR. PRIYADARSHI: I think the industry is making decent progress along the transition plan. A lot of market participants are coming --still coming to the realization that LIBOR fixation is a given and a certainty. A critical step in the transition will be the big bang for SOFR discounting in third quarter of 2010 and will cause the markets to proactively manage the new value 1 2 3 4 5 6 78 9 10 11 12 13 14 1516 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 295 in terms of the transition that we have people in the market who I think really believe in this deadline as they begin to understand exactly how LIBOR ends. Now I think we just have to understand what tools will be available by then and what tools aren't going to be available by then. And by no means is the ARRC trying to dispute, you know, any -- if anyone can figure out a credit spread, we haven't and we have a pretty big group of people, about 800 people in the market are involved with the ARRC. The current administrator of LIBOR has not been able to find one. Nonetheless, if there's a way to create something like that that meets the standard, that's great. I think what has to happen between now and then is people in the market have to really start thinking about -- a little more creatively about how they actually continue the activities. And what we're seeing a bit more of is that there's a competitive dynamic here. You know, people want to offer these products, and if they have to offer these products without LIBOR, then people are much more thinking about, how do I actually continue my lines of business in a world without LIBOR with the tools on the table of being SOFR, overnight average 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 297 transfer during before and after this event. Market liquidity for SOFR should double up and needs to reach a critical mass for market participants to transition voluntarily. Jurisdictional differences in terms of the alternative reference rates and their fallback provisions need to be harmonized and many differences in the timing of the fallback could lead to mismatches between cash products and their hedging with realtors. Now, ISDA also needs to finalize the protocol for the big bank adhering to the fallback provisions for derivative products. And that's a much simpler lead than the fallback for cash products. Most of the LIBOR index products are in place. Almost 35 percent of it in U.S. dollar LIBOR. So, once it's finalized and once the market participants adhere to the protocol then the transition will be well on it's way. MR. BAIRD: Thank you. Tom Pluta. MR. PLUTA: I guess I would just highlight a couple of things that I think are going well and a couple of things that are still hurdles or uncertainties. 75 (Pages 294 to 297) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 298 So, clearly development of tradeable SOFR products that are functioning well is great. The market has come a long way. It's growing from a low base, but growing rapidly. It's all quite positive. And development of the fallback language and offering the various products that Brian described I think is also another good thing. Some of the uncertainties that I see this issue of having a forward-looking term rate is huge. There's certain products where we had an IOSCO compliant forward-looking term rate sooner the market would transition sooner. Particularly cash markets, loan markets, things like that. Which, just the way the market operates, the systems, the mentality of the market is very much need a rate in advance, I know my payment three months forward. To the extent that we had a forward-looking term rate come sooner would be a massive accelerant to the transitioning. The second thing I would highlight is on this topic of credit risky rate. I think there is a bit of confusion around whether a second credit risky rate will develop alongside SOFR. There's a couple of rates that are being suggested or developed, but as Tom highlighted, the challenge has 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 300 were implemented, again, just for legacy portfolio, that would reduce the litigation significantly. MS. BAIRD: Thank you. Brian. MR. GRABENSTEIN: So, I'll try not to repeat anything that we've heard already. Although, I broadly agree with it. Maybe just a couple additional points. So, a tremendous amount has been done in the last year, in the last, you know, 24 months. I think back a year ago and the levels of mobilization, the levels of awareness of understanding of acceptance that SOFR was --that SOFR was going to be the replacement, that LIBOR was actually going to go away. They've all increased dramatically. That said, there are still significant parts of the market that have not accepted SOFR as the LIBOR successor. And with, you know, 790 days left that's kind of a precarious position to be in, right. You know, I --I think we mentioned --we talked a little bit about fallbacks. They're available for almost all products at this point. ISDA is almost done its work. It's going to come out with a protocol and facilitated option, but 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 299 been the underlying transactions to support them are --are generally fairly low level. So, we're not sure we'll get there in a way that will be deemed IOSCO compliant and robust enough for usage. The third thing I would highlight, it's a huge concern for us and a lot of others in the industry is litigation risks. So, no matter how well the fallback language is designed, they're not perfect. And no matter what we do collectively as an industry through the ARRC and other --and other bodies and ISDA, there will be groups of people who say, this fallback was created and I've been harmed by it because it's higher or lower than it would have been otherwise. So, that's a huge concern for us. It's unclear if there's going to be any relief or anything that can be done to avoid that, but there's certainly a scenario where you could actually get to the end of 2021, and while banks wouldn't be compelled to submit LIBOR beyond that point, you could see a situation where banks could choose to submit for some period of time LIBOR that would apply to the legacy portfolio. And I know that that suggestion has come and gone at different times, but it's certainly something if it 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 301 people aren't using them, you know, six months or so after they've been endorsed to the extent we would have hoped. We being the ARRC. So, I think we need increased uptake of the ARRC fallbacks. One thing that hasn't been touched on is --is the technology and --and the associated vendor dependencies to get this. So, we've only seen two SOFR-based loans issue to date, right. Well, you know, my take on that is it's not --it's partially because of lack of SOFR liquidity, right. It's partially because clients maybe aren't demanding it yet, but it's largely because the infrastructure to support those loans isn't yet up and going. I don't mean to pick on anyone, but they are used by many banks for syndicated loans. So until, Loan IQ and other vendors can support SOFR it's very difficult for markets to develop. And the ARRC's engaging with vendors and --and other infrastructure providers, but that's --that's a long, you know, work stream --a long and very complicated work stream where a lot more progress will need to be made over the next year. MS. BAIRD: That's a good point. Debbie. 76 (Pages 298 to 301) Page 302 Page 304 1 MS. CUNNINGHAM: I'll just summarize 1 standardized fallback language. 2 by saying that it seems that a lot of the progress 2 MR. WIPF: Yeah. I think the ARRC 3 that has been made has been focused on choosing the 3 has pursued that and are legal working group is 4 index that has the sufficient volume. So never, 4 approaching that from really what we call a tough 5 ever to go down, you know, the scandalous, 5 legacy. Things that have no fallbacks things that 6 manipulative sort of path again when -- when setting 6 have. Fallbacks that reference some version of 7 these types of rates durable as -- as Tom has put 7 LIBOR. 8 it. 8 So, there's been some work done in 9 And that's step one, but I still 9 terms of approaching this at a New York level, you 10 think, you know, steps two through something more 10 know, New York Law level. There are particular 11 than that are going to include all the things that 11 hurdles to that, but nonetheless our legal group 12 we identified that I'm not going to go back over 12 sort of put it together, is still in progress and 13 here today with my answers, credit spread term 13 I'll pass to Brian where he sees this, but I think 14 curve, global continuity, market participation in 14 the --the view right now is, there could be a 15 all aspects has many challenges, but you know, we 15 legislative path for things that are most 16 are all challenged I think with coming up with 16 challenging and can't be repaired through protocol 17 creativity. 17 or existing fallbacks. 18 I as an investor in this marketplace 18 That work is going to happen --that 19 have to figure out a way to go forward using what 19 work is underway. We've sort of identified that we 20 indices available to me that makes sense for the 20 have something that would meet a constitutional 21 various products that I manage. And, you know, in 21 challenge. We have some things that we think could 22 today's environment I don't buy just LIBOR based 22 apply, but it's a really, really long road and it's 23 floaters. And, you know, we -- we buy fed funds 23 a really difficult path. We are pursuing it, we 24 based floaters. We buy SOFR based floaters. We buy 24 think, at a reasonably aggressive pace, but there's 25 treasury based floaters. 25 a lot we have to do in terms of actually how do you Page 303 Page 305 1 So, there are ways of getting around 1 take something like that up. There's implications 2 where you don't have to buy the reference benchmark 2 from the trust venture act. So, there's a lot on 3 rate as your floater. So, it's a matter of, you 3 this. Brian, kind of. 4 know, coming up with those types of product 4 MR. GRABENSTEIN: Yeah. No. I think 5 enhancements or creativity again, as Tom has called 5 you did a good job of describing what the ARRC's 6 it, in order to fit the type of --of arrangements 6 done to date on legislative relief. 7 that you need for what your aspect of the market is. 7 I will add that it's not help that 8 MS. BAIRD: Questions. 8 2020 is an election year and, therefore, a shortened 9 MR. HEANEY: Why don't we open it up 9 legislative calendar. It's going to make it even 10 to FIMSAC member. Horace. 10 more challenging to get anything, you know, even 11 MR. CARTER: Thank you all for being 11 considered in the near term. So, I don't think 12 here today. 12 we're going to have -- I think it's unlikely we'll 13 Just a question for you, Tom. You 13 have certainty on this for quite some time which 14 mentioned the possibility of litigation risk and 14 means we have to proceed assuming that we won't get 15 continuation of LIBOR after it's expiration. I've 15 it. 16 heard it called zombie LIBOR and all of that. 16 The only other thing I would add is 17 That's been a concern. In the last meeting, the 17 this would be -- what the ARRC is currently 18 last time you all were here, we discussed the 18 evaluating in terms of legislative relief would not 19 possibility of a legislation to prevent that. Is 19 apply to all LIBOR based contracts. And it is under 20 that still on the table or is that --is that 20 New York State law, right. So, there's a lot of 21 something that you discussed at all with New York 21 LIBOR based contracts that are subject to other 22 and Delaware. 22 jurisdictional laws that would not be covered under 23 MR. PLUTA: Legislation to prevent a 23 it with the ARRC's pursuing right now. 24 zombie LIBOR situation? 24 So, it's --it's uncertain whether we 25 MR. CARTER: Legislation to --to 25 would get it. It's uncertain exactly what it would 77 (Pages 302 to 305) Page 306 Page 308 1 look like. Although we have sketched out what we 1 I mean, the numbers we're talking 2 would pursue and it's uncertain the timing. 2 about are in the United States the dollar LIBOR over 3 MR. HEANEY: Larry. 3 200 trillion in financial contracts currently 4 MR. HARRIS: I understand that the 4 resting on half a billion in transactions. So, when 5 search for a benchmark rate that includes credit 5 we really think about it part of this is, A, what 6 risk is challenging. I want to suggest an 6 the underlying transactions are; and, B, what 7 alternative and wondered what the challenges are 7 they're supporting, right. 8 associated with the alternative. 8 So, I think when you think about 9 Instead of looking for a benchmark 9 how --how big you want that inverse pyramid, there 10 rate, you'll find a benchmark spread so that people 10 are states of the world where you can see --where 11 who construct contracts can then benchmark to the 11 you could definitely see for particular products, 12 SOFR and then add something else based on some 12 cash products, consumer, there's room for all of 13 fraction of --of a spread. So, for a spread then 13 that, those ideas. 14 one might imagine could get something like that, 14 I think when we think about the vast 15 say, from short-term corporates or something like 15 majority of the market, the reason we have this 16 that. 16 problem with LIBOR is that because it became 17 So, I'm sure you guys have thought 17 extremely popular across many, many, many products. 18 about this. The question is, what are the 18 It was designed for an oil loan in 1969. So, it's 19 challenges of moving in that direction. 19 just --the fact is we have too much resting on this 20 MR. WIPF: I think that's the work 20 pilar and the goal at the ARRC is to say, we've got 21 that's been done. I think the current administrator 21 overnight SOFR, we've got compounded SOFR. Those 22 is going down that road and pulling the data, but 22 seem to be the pillars that can support a vast 23 the data is really thin. And I think what we've 23 majority of the market, but when we get under that, 24 noticed even during this SOFR spike litigation is 24 there's nothing to say that there are things that 25 that there wasn't much paper issuance, if any. So 25 could happen in smaller cash products. Page 307 Page 309 1 what you find in this sort of theoretical time of 1 We're not ruling anything out, but we 2 stress that the fact is that you're not going to see 2 know that if we make meaningful progress in the 3 an issue. People are typically not going to issue 3 derivatives market and large institutional markets 4 when spreads are at their widest. 4 and mortgage market, there are real opportunities 5 So, the fact is we will find 5 here for a lot of ideas to develop. What we don't 6 ourselves back again looking at submissions or 6 want people to think is that our deadline and good 7 guesstimates by whomever wants to continue to 7 deadline is predicated on those answers. 8 participate. And this idea of zombie LIBOR, we did 8 MR. HEANEY: Other questions? 9 not have a single bank on the panel that said they 9 Elisse. 10 wanted to continue to submit one day beyond 2021. 10 MS. WALTER: Just one quick follow-up 11 So, it's very hard for us to speculate. 11 question I think, Tom, for you again. 12 The fact remains is that there are 12 You mentioned using an average and 13 clearly -- there just has not been a big enough data 13 are there going to be -- is it is under 14 set to do anything that would even look like it and 14 consideration, I would assume it is, to develop 15 it would be reliant in many cases on some submitter 15 standardization with respect to how the averages 16 actually putting that guesstimate continuing to 16 would work. 17 short that litigation risk which is sort of how we 17 MR. WIPF: Yeah, the goal -- and this 18 got here. 18 is something that's been long awaited. The fed 19 MR. HARRIS: How important is it to 19 talked about this thing, SAFR. I'm not sure that's 20 have a benchmark based that's based on new issuances 20 going to be the final name. There's more work to be 21 as opposed to secondary trades. 21 done in the marking department. The idea that the 22 MR. WIPF: I think the current -- the 22 New York fed will produce averages of SOFR and an 23 current administrator has looked at this under this 23 index that people can look at the convention or the 24 heading of bank yield index. There's just not 24 consultation that was sent out today is really 25 enough data to support it. 25 asking for responses on how that convention would be 78 (Pages 306 to 309) Page 310 1 applied. 2 So you --you'd be surprised at how 3 many people in the market that we speak to, you 4 know, who are infrequent users or, like, if I could 5 just --is there a screen I can look at this? Can I 6 see a rate? Can I use that rate for my next 7 payment? The mortgage market that --the design 8 that Fannie and Freddie came out with is it's, 9 basically, going to take the average of the last 30 10 days of SOFR and that will be your next payment. 11 So, the idea that these averages are 12 probably going to have a lot of utility across the 13 market and the fact that it will come from an 14 unsaleable source from the New York fed, that's all 15 going to work out. 16 So, the conventions will be 17 standardized. We're hopefully that that's the one 18 people will use because they're putting a lot of 19 work out. The consultation was just released today 20 on the fed website, the ARRC website. And we're 21 hopeful that there's going to be a reasonable take 22 of that particular products who aren't that 23 concerned about the last month of the curve. 24 MS. WALTER: Thank you. 25 MR. HEANEY: That's --any other Page 311 1 questions. 2 Okay. I want to thank Lizzie and the 3 panelists. This was incredibly informative. And if 4 I had to guess, I'm going to guess we'll see you 5 again at least one more time in the next year if you 6 have the time to join us. 7 If you just sit tight, we'll be ready 8 to go in one minute. 9 Thank you all again. It's been a 10 very successful day, insightful, long day. With one 11 year to go we had a lot of answers to some of our 12 questions. I would say certainly in the afternoon 13 panels. And we have some more questions that remain 14 from the morning panels. I think both municipal 15 disclosure issues and the affect on retail questions 16 still seem to be outstanding. 17 And, similarly, the credit rating 18 agency construct and the real questions regarding 19 the clear conflicts of interest that we've heard. 20 Again, we had a blank sheet of paper we would 21 reconstruct the model the way it's currently 22 constructed. So, plenty more work to do for this 23 committee over the next year. 24 Again, I thank everybody. I'll 25 Chairman Clayton and Brett from this morning, Page 312 1 everybody's enthusiasm and hard work as we are 2 finishing up our second year and headed into the 3 third year there's plenty of important things to do 4 and thank you for your time. 5 As always, if there's futures topics 6 for consideration, please send them through. On 7 that -- in that light we have a task force within 8 the pre-trade -- within municipal transparency that 9 will focus on pre-trade transparency. It came out 10 of FIMSAC membership as a topic to delve into in the 11 next year. So, that's going to be on the docket. 12 So, with that having been said, I'll 13 entertain a motion to adjourn. All in favor. Thank 14 you very much. 15 (Whereupon, at 4:10 p.m., the meeting was 16 adjourned.) 17 * * * * * 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 Page 313 1 PROOFREADER'S CERTIFICATE 2 3 In the Matter of: FIMSAC 4 File Number: OS-1104 5 Date: Monday, November 4, 2019 6 Location: New York, New York 7 8 This is to certify that I, Christine Boyce 9 (the undersigned), do hereby certify that the foregoing 10 transcript is a complete, true and accurate 11 transcription of all matters contained on the recorded 12 proceedings of the meeting. 13 14 _______________________ _______________________ 15 Proofreader's Name) (Date) 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 79 (Pages 310 to 313) Page 314 1 C E R T I F I C A T E 2 3 I, SHAUNNA H. MORAN, a Certified Shorthand 4 Reporter and Registered Professional Reporter in the 5 States of New Jersey, New York and The District of 6 Columbia, and Notary Public of the State of New 7 Jersey, do hereby certify that the foregoing is a 8 true and accurate transcript of the testimony as 9 taken stenographically by and before me at the time, 10 place and on the date hereinbefore set forth. 11 I DO FURTHER CERTIFY that I am neither a 12 relative nor employee nor attorney nor counsel of 13 any of the parties to this action, and that I am 14 neither a relative nor employee of such attorney or 15 counsel, and that I am not financially interested in 16 the action. 17 18 SHAUNNA H. MORAN, CSR, RPR 19 Shorthand Reporter 20 21 22 23 24 25 80 (Page 314) Page 315