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Accounting Policies
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2014
Accounting Policies:  
Significant Accounting Policies

Summary of Significant Accounting Policies

 

Principles of Consolidation

 

The consolidated financial statements include the accounts of Astea International Inc. and its wholly owned subsidiaries and branches. All significant intercompany accounts and transactions have been eliminated upon consolidation.

 

Use of Estimates

 

The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.  Significant assets and liabilities that are subject to estimates include allowances for doubtful accounts, goodwill and other acquired intangible assets, deferred tax assets and certain accrued and contingent liabilities and share-based awards.

 

        Revenue Recognition

 

Astea’s revenue is principally recognized from three sources: (i) licensing arrangements, (ii) subscription services and (iii) services and maintenance.

 

The Company markets its products primarily through its direct sales force and resellers.  License agreements do not provide for a right of return, and historically, product returns have not been significant.

 

The Company recognizes revenue from license sales when all of the following criteria are met: persuasive evidence of an arrangement exists, delivery has occurred, the license fee is fixed and determinable and the collection of the fee is probable.  The Company utilizes written contracts as a means to establish the terms and conditions by which its product support and services are sold to customers.  Delivery is considered to have occurred when title and risk of loss have been transferred to the customer, which generally occurs after a license key has been delivered electronically to the customer.  Revenue for arrangements with extended payment terms in excess of one year is recognized when the payments become due, provided all other recognition criteria are satisfied.  If collectability is not considered probable, revenue is recognized when the fee is collected.  The Company’s typical end user license agreements do not contain acceptance clauses.  However, if acceptance criteria are required, revenues are deferred until customer acceptance has occurred.

 

If these criteria are not met, then revenue is deferred until such criteria are met or until the period(s) over which the last undelivered element is delivered. If there is objective and reliable evidence of fair value for all units of accounting in an arrangement, the arrangement consideration is allocated to the separate units of accounting based on each unit’s relative fair value. There may be cases, however, in which there is objective and reliable evidence of fair value of the undelivered item(s) but no such evidence for the delivered item(s). In those cases, the residual method is used to allocate the arrangement consideration. Under the residual method, the amount of consideration allocated to the delivered item(s) equals the total arrangement consideration less the aggregate fair value of the undelivered item(s). The Company applies the revenue recognition policies discussed below to each separate unit of accounting.

 

Astea allocates revenue to each element in a multiple-element arrangement based on the elements’ respective fair value, determined by the price charged when the element is sold separately.  Specifically, Astea determines the fair value of the maintenance portion of the arrangement based on the price, at the date of sale, if sold separately, which is generally a fixed percentage of the software license selling price.  The professional services portion of the arrangement is based on hourly rates which the Company charges for those services when sold separately from software.  If evidence of fair value of all undelivered elements exists, but evidence does not exist for one or more delivered elements, then revenue is recognized using the residual method.  If an undelivered element for which evidence of fair value does not exist, all revenue in an arrangement is deferred until the undelivered element is delivered or fair value can be determined.  Under the residual method, the fair value of the undelivered elements is deferred and the remaining portion of the arrangement fee is recognized as revenue.  The proportion of the revenue recognized upon delivery can vary from quarter-to-quarter depending upon the determination of vendor-specific objective evidence (“VSOE”) of fair value of undelivered elements.  The residual value, after allocation of the fee to the undelivered elements based on VSOE of fair value, is then allocated to the perpetual software license for the software products being sold.

 

When appropriate, the Company may allocate a portion of its software revenue to post-contract support activities or to other services or products provided to the customer free of charge or at non-standard rates when provided in conjunction with the licensing arrangement.  Amounts allocated are based upon standard prices charged for those services or products which, in the Company’s opinion, approximate fair value.  Software license fees for resellers or other members of the indirect sales channel are based on a fixed percentage of the Company’s standard prices.  The Company recognizes software license revenue for such contracts based upon the terms and conditions provided by the reseller to its customer. The Company regularly communicates with its resellers and recognizes revenue based on information from its resellers regarding possible returns and collectability. However, the Company does not have a history of returns from the resellers.

 

In subscription based arrangements, even though customers use the software element, they generally do not have a contractual right to take possession of the software at any time during the hosting period without significant penalty to either run the software on its own hardware or contract with an unrelated third party to host the software. Accordingly, software as a service (SaaS) arrangements, including the software license fees within the arrangements, are accounted for as subscription services provided all other revenue recognition criteria have been met.  The revenue is recognized on a straight-line basis over the lifetime of the contract. A SaaS contract is generally 1 to 3 years in duration. In accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, the Company may not recognize any SaaS revenue before the services go live, to ensure that the revenue will match the use of services. The implementation period can usually be anywhere between 3 and 12 months. When upfront implementation, consulting and training services are bundled with the subscription based arrangement, the services are recognized over the remaining life of the initial contract, once the project goes live.

 

The post-contract support on perpetual licenses provides for technical support and updates to the Company's software products. Post-contract support is charged separately for renewals of annual maintenance in subsequent years. Fair value for maintenance is based upon either renewal rates stated in the contracts or separate sales of renewals to customers. Revenue is recognized ratably, or monthly, over the term of the maintenance period, which is typically one year.

 

Consulting revenue and training service revenue are generally unbundled and recognized at the time the services are performed, except as noted above, when these services are bundled with subscription revenues. If the Company enters into a fixed-price arrangement for services, the revenue is recognized using the proportional performance method based on direct labor hours incurred to date as a percentage of total estimated direct labor hours required to complete the project.  Fees from licenses sold together with consulting services are generally recognized upon shipment, provided that the contract has been executed, delivery of the software has occurred, fees are fixed and determinable and collection is probable. The Company offers a variety of consulting services that include project management, implementation, data conversion, integration, custom report writing and training. Our professional services are generally billed on a time and materials basis using hourly rates together with reimbursement for travel and accommodation expenses. We recognize revenue as these professional services are performed. On rare occasions these consulting service arrangements involve acceptance criteria. In these cases, revenue is recognized upon acceptance.

 

We believe that our accounting estimates used in applying our revenue recognition are critical because:

 

·         the determination that it is probable that the customer will pay for the products and services purchased is inherently judgmental;

·         the allocation of proceeds to certain elements in multiple-element arrangements is complex;

·         the determination of whether a service is essential to the functionality of the software is complex;

·         establishing company-specific fair values of elements in multiple-element arrangements requires adjustments from time-to-time to reflect recent prices charged when each element is sold separately; and

·         the determination of the stage of completion for certain consulting arrangements is complex.

 

Changes in the aforementioned items could have a material effect on the type and timing of revenue recognized.

 

For the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013, the Company recognized $20,734,000 and $20,337,000, respectively, of revenue related to software license fees, subscription, and services and maintenance.

 

We present taxes assessed by a governmental authority including sales, use, value added and excise taxes on a net basis. Therefore, the presentation of these taxes is excluded from our revenues and is included in accrued expenses in the accompanying consolidated balance sheets until such amounts are remitted to the taxing authority.

       

 

 

 

        Reimbursable Expenses

 

The Company charges customers for out-of-pocket expenses incurred by its employees during the performance of professional services in the normal course of business.  Billings for out-of-pocket expenses that are reimbursed by the customer are included in revenues with the corresponding expense included in cost of subscriptions, services and maintenance.  During fiscal years 2014 and 2013, the Company billed $328,000 and $303,000, respectively, of reimbursable expenses to customers.

 

        Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

The Company considers all highly liquid investments purchased with an original maturity of three months or less when purchased to be cash equivalents.

 

        Fair Value of Financial Instruments

 

The Company defines the fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date.

 

The Company accounts for certain assets and liabilities at fair value.  The hierarchy below lists three levels of fair value based on the extent to which inputs in measuring fair value are observable in the market.  We categorize each of our fair value measurements in one of these three levels based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement in its entirety.  These levels are:

 

1.      Level 1 - Valuations based on quoted prices in active markets for identical assets that the Company has the ability to access.

2.      Level 2 - Valuations based on inputs on other than quoted prices included within Level 1, for which all significant inputs are observable, either directly or indirectly.

3.      Level 3 - Valuations based on inputs that are unobservable and significant to the overall fair value measurement. The inputs reflect the Company’s assumptions about the assumptions a market participant would use in pricing the asset.

 

The carrying amounts of cash and cash equivalents, trade accounts receivable, other assets, trade accounts payable and accrued expenses at face value approximate fair value because of the short nature of these instruments.

 

Investments classified as available for sale are measured using quoted market prices multiplied by the quantity held where quoted market prices were available.

 

Investments are considered to be impaired when a decline in fair value is judged to be other-than-temporary. Fair value is calculated based on publicly available market information or other estimates determined by management. We employ a systematic methodology on a quarterly basis that considers available quantitative and qualitative evidence in evaluating potential impairment of our investments. If the cost of an investment exceeds its fair value, we evaluate, among other factors, general market conditions, credit quality, the duration and extent to which the fair value is less than cost, and for equity securities, our intent and ability to hold, or plans to sell, the investment. For fixed income securities, we also evaluate whether we have plans to sell the security or it is more likely than not that we will be required to sell the security before recovery. We also consider specific adverse conditions related to the financial health of and business outlook for the investee, including industry and sector performance, changes in technology, and operational and financing cash flow factors. Once a decline in fair value is determined to be other-than-temporary, an impairment charge is recorded to other income (expense) and a new cost basis in the investment is established.

Allowance for Doubtful Accounts

 

The Company records an allowance for doubtful accounts based on specifically identified amounts that management believes to be uncollectible.  The Company also records an additional allowance based on certain percentages of aged receivables, which are determined based on historical experience and management’s assessment of the general financial conditions affecting the Company’s customer base. Once management determines that an account will not be collected, the account is

written off against the allowance for doubtful accounts.  If actual collections experience changes, revisions to the allowance may be required.  Activity in the allowance for doubtful accounts is as follows:

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended December 31

Balance at

beginning of year

 

Reductions

 

Write offs

Balance at

 end of year

2014

$

112,000         

$

(39,000)

   $

-

   $      

73,000            

2013

$

138,000

$                    

-

   $

(26,000)

   $        

112,000

 

The Company reviews accounts receivable on a monthly basis to determine if any receivables will potentially be uncollectible.  Based on a review and assessment of the information available at December 31, 2014 and 2013, the Company believes its allowance for doubtful accounts as of December 31, 2014 and 2013 is adequate.  However, actual write-offs might exceed the recorded allowance. 

 

        Property and Equipment

 

Property and equipment are recorded at cost.  Depreciation and amortization are provided using the straight-line method over the estimated useful lives of the related assets or the lease term, whichever is shorter.  When property and equipment are sold or otherwise disposed of, the fixed asset account and related accumulated depreciation account are relieved and any gain or loss is included in operations.  Expenditures for repairs and maintenance are charged to expense as incurred and significant renewals and betterments are capitalized.

 

        Impairment of Long-Lived Assets

 

The Company evaluates its long-lived assets, including certain identifiable intangible assets, excluding goodwill, for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount of such assets may not be recoverable.  Recoverability of assets to be held and used is measured by a comparison of the carrying amount of any asset to future undiscounted net cash flows expected to be generated by the asset.  If such assets are considered to be impaired, the impairment is measured by the amount by which the carrying amount of the asset exceeds the fair value of the assets.  As of December 31, 2014 and 2013, the Company determined that no indicators of impairment have occurred.

 

        Capitalized Software Development Costs

 

The Company capitalizes software development costs incurred during the period from the establishment of technological feasibility through the product’s availability for general release.  Costs incurred prior to the establishment of technological feasibility are charged to product development expense.  Product development expense includes payroll, employee benefits, allocation of indirect costs such as rent, other headcount-related costs associated with product development and any related costs to third parties under sub-contracting or net of any collaborative arrangements.

 

Software development costs are amortized on a product-by-product basis over the greater of the ratio of current revenues to total anticipated revenues (current and future revenues) or on a straight-line basis over the estimated useful lives of the products beginning with the initial release to customers.  The Company’s estimated life for its capitalized software products is two years based on current sales trends and the rate of product release. The Company continually evaluates whether events or circumstances had occurred that indicate that the remaining useful life of the capitalized software development costs should be revised or that the remaining balance of such assets may not be recoverable.  The Company evaluates the recoverability of capitalized software based on the estimated future revenues of each product. As of December 31, 2014 and 2013, management believes that no revisions to the remaining useful lives or write-downs of capitalized software development costs were required.

 

        Research and Development Costs

 

The Company reports research and development costs as Product Development expense in its consolidated statement of operations.  These costs include the costs incurred prior to the establishment of technological feasibility for new product development.  In addition, research and development costs also include costs related to improving the quality of the Company’s released software products and any costs incurred by third party companies that may be engaged from time to time, to assist the Company in its product development efforts that are not considered to be significant enhancements to the software products.

 

        Goodwill

 

Part of the purchase price for the FieldCentrix assets, acquired September 21, 2005, included the acquisition of goodwill.   Goodwill represents the excess of the purchase price over the fair value of net assets acquired in connection with business combinations accounted for using the purchase method of accounting. Goodwill is not amortized, but instead goodwill is required to be tested for impairment annually and under certain circumstances. The Company performs such testing of goodwill on October 1 of each year, or as events occur or circumstances change that would more likely than not reduce the fair value of a reporting unit below its carrying amount.

 

The Company conducts a two-step test for impairment of goodwill. The first step of the test for goodwill impairment compares the fair value of the applicable reporting unit with its carrying value. If the fair value of a reporting unit is less than the reporting unit's carrying value, the Company will perform the second step of the test for impairment of goodwill. During the second step of the test for impairment of goodwill, the Company will compare the implied fair value of the reporting unit's goodwill with the carrying value of that goodwill. If the carrying value of the goodwill exceeds the calculated implied fair value, the excess amount will be recognized as an impairment loss. Based upon the results of the step one testing, the Company concluded that no impairment existed as of December 31, 2014 and 2013.

 

        Concentration of Credit Risk

 

Financial instruments, which potentially subject the Company to credit risk, consist of cash equivalents and accounts receivable.  The Company’s policy is to limit the amount of credit exposure to any one financial institution.  The Company places investments with financial institutions evaluated as being creditworthy, or investing in short-term money market which are exposed to minimal interest rate and credit risk.  Cash balances are maintained with several banks.  Certain operating accounts may exceed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) limits.

 

The Company sells its products to customers involved in a variety of industries including information technology, medical devices and diagnostic systems, industrial controls and instrumentation and retail systems.  While the Company does not require collateral from its customers, it does perform continuing credit evaluations of its customers’ financial condition.

 

        Income Taxes

 

Deferred tax assets and liabilities are determined based on differences between financial reporting and tax bases of assets and liabilities and operating loss and tax credit carryforwards and are measured using the enacted tax rates and laws that will be in effect when the difference and carryforwards are expected to be recovered or settled.  A valuation allowance for deferred tax assets is provided when we estimate that it is more likely than not that all or a portion of the deferred tax assets may not be realized through future operations.  This assessment is based upon consideration of available positive and negative evidence which included, among other things, our most recent results of operations and expected future profitability.  We consider our actual historical results to have a stronger weight than other more subjective indicators when considering whether to establish or reduce a valuation allowance on deferred tax assets.

 

The Company prescribes a recognition threshold and measurement attribute for the financial statement recognition and measurement of a tax position taken or expected to be taken in a tax return.  Estimated interest is recorded as a component of interest expense and penalties are recorded as a component of general and administrative expenses. 

 

        Advertising

 

Advertising costs are expensed when incurred.  Advertising costs for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013 were $353,000 and $370,000, respectively, and are included in sales and marketing costs.

 

        Currency Translation

 

The accounts of the international subsidiaries and branch operations translate the assets and liabilities of international operations by using the exchange rate in effect at the balance sheet date. The results of operations are translated at average exchange rates during the period. The effects of exchange rate fluctuations in translating assets and liabilities of international operations into U.S. dollars are accumulated and reflected as a currency translation adjustment as other comprehensive loss in the accompanying consolidated statements of changes in stockholders’ equity. Transaction gains and losses are included in general and administrative expenses in the consolidated statements of operations. General and administrative expenses include exchange losses of $70,000 and $28,000 for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013, respectively.

 

        Loss Per Share

 

Loss per share is computed on the basis of the weighted average number of shares and common stock equivalents outstanding during the period.  In the calculation of diluted earnings per share, shares outstanding are adjusted to assume conversion of the Company’s non-interest bearing convertible stock and exercise of options as if they were dilutive.  In the calculation of basic loss per share, weighted average numbers of shares outstanding are used as the denominator.

 

The Company had net loss allocable to the common stockholders for the year ended December 31, 2014 and 2013.  All options outstanding at December 31, 2014 and 2013 to purchase shares of common stock and shares of common stock issued on the assumed conversion of the eligible preferred stock were excluded from the diluted loss per common share calculation as the inclusion of these options would have been antidilutive.

 

Years ended December 31,

 

2014

 

 

2013

 

Net loss

$

(3,447,000)

)

$

(2,996,000)

 

 

Preferred dividend

 

400,000

 

 

300,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net loss allocable/ available to common shareholders

 

(3,847,000)

)

 

(3,296,000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic  and diluted weighted average number of common shares outstanding

 

3,587,000

 

 

3,587,000

 

 

 

Basic and diluted loss  per common share

 

$

 

(1.07)

 

)

 

$

 

(0.92)

 

 

 

        Comprehensive Loss

 

Comprehensive loss consists of net loss, unrealized gains (losses) on investments available for sale and foreign currency translation adjustments.  The effects are presented in the accompanying consolidated statements of comprehensive loss.

 

        Stock Compensation

 

The Company estimates the fair value of stock options granted using the Black-Scholes-Merton (Black-Scholes) option-pricing model and amortizes the estimated option value using an accelerated amortization method where each option grant is split into tranches based on vesting periods.  The Company’s expected term represents the period that the Company’s share-based awards are expected to be outstanding and was determined based on historical experience regarding similar awards, giving consideration to the contractual terms of the share-based awards and employee termination data.  Executive level employees who hold a majority of options outstanding, and non-executive level employees each have similar historical option exercise and termination behavior and thus were grouped for valuation purposes.  The Company’s expected volatility is based on the historical volatility of its traded common stock and places exclusive reliance on historical volatilities to estimate our stock volatility over the expected term of its awards.  The Company has historically not paid dividends.  The risk-free interest rate is based on the yield from the U.S. Treasury zero-coupon bonds with an equivalent term.

 

Under the Company’s stock option plans, options awards generally vest over a four year period of continuous service and have a 10 year contractual term.   The fair value of each option is amortized on a straight-line basis over the option’s vesting period.  The fair value of each option is estimated on the date of the grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing formula using the following assumptions as of December 31, 2014 and 2013:

 

 

For the year ended

For the year ended

 

December 31, 2014

December 31, 2013

 

Weighted Average

            Weighted Average

Risk-free interest rate

1.76

%

0.97

%

Expected life (in years)

5.48

 

5.34

 

Volatility

94.18

%

100.9

%

Expected dividends

-

 

-

 

Annual forfeiture rate

23.71

%

20.83

%

 

 

 

 

 

The weighted-average fair value of options granted during the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013 was estimated as $1.92 and $2.03, respectively.

 

      Reclassification

Certain reclassifications to the balance sheet related to long and short term liabilities and subscriptions revenue were made to prior period financial statements to conform to the current presentation.   

 

 

 New Accounting Pronouncements

 

In May 2014, as part of its ongoing efforts to assist in the convergence of U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards, the FASB issued a new standard related to revenue recognition. Under the new standard, recognition of revenue occurs when a customer obtains control of promised goods or services in an amount that reflects the consideration to which the entity expects to receive in exchange for those goods or services. In addition, the standard requires disclosure of the nature, amount, timing, and uncertainty of revenue and cash flows arising from contracts with customers. The new standard will be effective for us beginning January 1, 2017 and early adoption is not permitted. We anticipate this standard may have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements, and we are currently evaluating its impact.

 

In August 2014, FASB issued Preparation of Financial Statements - Going Concern, Disclosure of Uncertainties about an Entity's Ability to Continue as a Going Concern. Under GAAP, continuation of a reporting entity as a going concern is presumed as the basis for preparing financial statements unless and until the entity's liquidation becomes imminent. Preparation of financial statements under this presumption is commonly referred to as the going concern basis of accounting. If and when an entity's liquidation becomes imminent, financial statements should be prepared under the liquidation basis of accounting in accordance with Presentation of Financial Statements--Liquidation Basis of Accounting. Even when an entity's liquidation is not imminent, there may be conditions or events that raise substantial doubt about the entity's ability to continue as a going concern. In those situations, financial statements should continue to be prepared under the going concern basis of accounting, but the amendments in this update should be followed to determine whether to disclose information about the relevant conditions and events. The amendments in this update are effective for the annual period ending after December 15, 2016, and for annual periods and interim periods thereafter. Early application is permitted. The Company will evaluate the going concern considerations, however, at the current period, management does not believe that it has met conditions which would subject these financial statements for additional disclosure. We anticipate this update will not have a material impact on our consolidated financial statements.

Receivables, Trade and Other Accounts Receivable, Allowance for Doubtful Accounts, Policy

3.                   Receivables

 

Billed receivables represent billings for the Company’s products and services to end users and value added resellers. Unbilled receivables represent contractual amounts due within one year under software licenses that have been delivered or statements of work for professional services, for work performed but not yet invoiced.  Billed receivables are shown net of reserves for estimated uncollectible amounts.  Receivables net of allowance for doubtful accounts consist of the following:

 

 

December 31,

 

2014

2013

Billed receivables, net

$    3,568,000

  $   3,636,000

Unbilled receivables

516,000

        603,000

 

 

 

 

  $    4,084,000     

  $   4,239,000

 

Intangible Assets, Finite-Lived, Policy

Intangible Asset

 

Customer lists (“intangible asset”) acquired as part of the FieldCentrix acquisition are amortized over their estimated annual life or over the period of its expected benefit, which is 10 years.  Amortization expense related to this intangible asset was $136,000 for each of the years ended December 31, 2014 and, 2013.

 

 

 

 

Accumulated Amortization

Net Carrying Value

 

Description

Weighted

Avg. Life

 

Gross Cost

 

2014

 

2013

 

2014

 

2013

 

Customer List 

  

10 years

$1,360,000

$1,264,000    

$1,128,000

 $96,000

$232,000

 

Estimated amortization expense for the next year is as follows:

 

 

Amortization Expense

2015

 

 $ 96,000

 

Pension and Other Postretirement Plans, Nonpension Benefits, Policy

Profit Sharing Plan/Savings Plan

 

The Company maintains a discretionary profit sharing plan, including a voluntary Section 401(k) feature, covering all qualified and eligible employees. Company contributions to the profit sharing plan are determined at the discretion of the Board of Directors.  The Company may match 25% of eligible employees’ contributions to the 401(k) plan up to a maximum of 1.5% of each employee’s compensation. It was determined by the Board of Directors that there would be a match in 2014 and 2013. The Company elected to match 25% of 6.0% of compensation for each eligible employee’s contributions to the 401 (k) plans in 2014 and 2013 for a total match of $76,000 and $81,000, respectively.

 

Software to be Sold, Leased, or Otherwise Marketed, Policy

Capitalized Software Development Costs

 

Capitalized software development costs consist of:

 

Remaining

 

 

Weighted

 December 31,

 

Average Life

                 2014

        2013

Capitalized software development costs

11.8 months

$ 23,882,000

$21,350,000

Less:  Accumulated amortization

 

(19,185,000)

           (15,683,000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

$   4,697,000

$  5,667,000

 

The Company capitalized software development costs of $2,532,000 and $3,021,000 for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013, respectively.  Amortization of capitalized software development costs for the years ended December 31, 2014 and 2013 was $3,502,000 and $1,775,000, respectively, and is reflected in cost of software license fees in the consolidated statements of operations. The Company amortizes software developments costs using the greater of the straight-line basis over the estimated useful lives of the product (two years) or the revenue forecast method.