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Investment Securities
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011
Investment Securities [Abstract]  
Investment Securities
Note 3. Investment Securities

The following table presents the amortized cost and fair value, and associated unrealized gains and losses, of investment securities as of December 31:

 

 

 Aggregate investment securities carried at $44.66 billion and $44.81 billion at December 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively, were designated as pledged for public and trust deposits, short-term borrowings and for other purposes as provided by law.

 

 

The following table presents contractual maturities of debt investment securities as of December 31, 2011:

 

                                 
(In millions)    Under 1
Year
     1 to 5
Years
     6 to 10
Years
     Over 10
Years
 

Available for sale:

                                   

U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:

                                   

Direct obligations

   $ 1,200       $ 38       $ 822       $ 776   

Mortgage-backed securities

     5         755         10,871         18,390   

Asset-backed securities:

                                   

Student loans

     155         3,331         8,490         4,569   

Credit cards

     1,893         5,893         2,701         —     

Sub-prime

     581         82         17         724   

Other

     119         1,602         1,198         546   

Total asset-backed securities

     2,748         10,908         12,406         5,839   
             

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                   

Mortgage-backed securities

     474         2,358         987         7,056   

Asset-backed securities

     230         916         2,511         646   

Government securities

     1,671         —           —           —     

Other

     1,636         958         231         —     

Total non-U.S. debt securities

     4,011         4,232         3,729         7,702   
             

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

State and political subdivisions

     471         2,326         3,328         922   

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     81         1,163         1,209         1,527   

Other U.S. debt securities

     289         1,391         1,899         36   
         

Total

   $ 8,805       $ 20,813       $ 34,264       $ 35,192   
             

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 
         

Held to maturity:

                                   

U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:

                                   

Mortgage-backed securities

          $ 19       $ 102       $ 144   

Asset-backed securities

            —           —           31   

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                   

Mortgage-backed securities

   $ 1,304         254         —           3,415   

Asset-backed securities

     —           204         217         15   

Government securities

     3         —           —           —     

Other

     —           155         —           17   
             

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total non-U.S. debt securities

     1,307         613         217         3,447   

State and political subdivisions

     56         49         2         —     

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     394         1,350         530         1,060   
         

Total

   $ 1,757       $ 2,031       $ 851       $ 4,682   
             

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

The maturities of asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations are based on expected principal payments.

 

Impairment:

We conduct periodic reviews of individual securities to assess whether other-than-temporary impairment exists. Impairment exists when the current fair value of an individual security is below its amortized cost basis. When the decline in the security's fair value is deemed to be other than temporary, the loss is recorded in our consolidated statement of income. For debt securities available for sale and held to maturity, impairment is recorded in our consolidated statement of income when management intends to sell (or may be required to sell) the securities before they recover in value, or when management expects the present value of cash flows expected to be collected from the securities to be less than the amortized cost of the impaired security (a credit loss).

 

Our review of impaired securities generally includes:

 

   

the identification and evaluation of securities that have indications of possible other-than-temporary impairment, such as issuer-specific concerns, including deteriorating financial condition or bankruptcy;

 

   

the analysis of expected future cash flows of securities, based on quantitative and qualitative factors;

 

   

the analysis of the collectability of those future cash flows, including information about past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts;

 

   

the analysis of the underlying collateral for asset- and mortgage-backed securities;

 

   

the analysis of individual impaired securities, including consideration of the length of time the security has been in an unrealized loss position, the anticipated recovery period, and the magnitude of the overall price decline;

 

   

discussion and evaluation of factors or triggers that could cause individual securities to be deemed other-than- temporarily impaired and those that would not support other-than-temporary impairment; and

 

   

documentation of the results of these analyses.

Factors considered in determining whether impairment is other than temporary include:

 

   

the length of time the security has been impaired;

 

   

the severity of the impairment;

 

   

the cause of the impairment and the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer;

 

   

activity in the market with respect to the issuer's securities, which may indicate adverse credit conditions; and

 

   

our intention not to sell, and the likelihood that we will not be required to sell, the security for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery in value.

The substantial majority of our investment securities portfolio is composed of debt securities. A critical component of the evaluation for other-than-temporary impairment of our debt securities is the identification of credit-impaired securities for which management does not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security.

Debt securities that are not deemed to be credit-impaired are subject to additional management analysis to assess whether management intends to sell, or, more likely than not, would be required to sell, the security before the expected recovery to its amortized cost basis.

The following describes our process for identifying credit impairment in security types with the most significant unrealized losses as of December 31, 2011.

Mortgage- and Asset-Backed Securities

For certain vintages of U.S. mortgage-backed securities (in particular, sub-prime first-lien mortgages, "Alt-A" mortgages and home equity lines of credit (2006 and 2007 originations) that have significant unrealized losses as a percentage of their amortized cost), other-than-temporary impairment related to credit is assessed using cash flow models, tailored for each security, that estimate the future cash flows from the underlying mortgages, using the security-specific collateral and transaction structure. Estimates of future cash flows are subject to management judgment. The future cash flows and performance of our portfolio of U.S. mortgage-backed securities are a function of a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the condition of the U.S. economy, the condition of the U.S. residential mortgage markets, and the level of loan defaults, prepayments and loss severities. Management's estimates of future losses for each security also consider the underwriting and historical performance of our specific securities, the underlying collateral type, vintage, borrower profile, third-party guarantees, current levels of subordination, geography and other factors.

 

The following tables present the parameters used in the evaluation of 2006- and 2007-vintage U.S. residential mortgage- backed securities as of December 31, 2011 and 2010:

 

      Sub-Prime A       Sub-Prime A       Sub-Prime A  
     Sub-Prime ARM     Alt-A     Non-
Agency Prime
 

December 31, 2011:

                        

Prepayment rate

     1-3     2-6     5-10

Cumulative loss estimates

     46-54        26-39        9-19   

Loss severity(1)

     70-72        59-61        52-53   

Peak-to-trough housing price decline(2)

     35        35        35   

 

      Sub-Prime ARM       Sub-Prime ARM       Sub-Prime ARM  
     Sub-Prime ARM     Alt-A     Non-
Agency Prime
 

December 31, 2010:

                        

Prepayment rate

     2-3     7     7-10

Cumulative loss estimates

     33        21        13   

Loss severity(1)

     67        49        49   

Peak-to-trough housing price decline(2)

     35-40        35-40        35-40   

 

 

The following table presents other-than-temporary impairment recorded on securities in these vintages, when both fair value was below carrying value and a credit loss existed, for the years indicated:

                         
     Year Ended
December 31, 2011
     Year Ended
December 31, 2010
     Year Ended
December 31, 2009 (1)
 
(In millions)                     

Sub-prime ARM

   $ 2       $ 26       $ 29   

Alt-A

     5         43         20   

Non-agency prime

     5         89         60   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 12       $ 158       $ 109   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

(1) 

Represents the period from April 1, 2009 through December 31, 2009, subsequent to the adoption of the revised GAAP related to other-than-temporary impairment.

Asset-Backed Securities—Student Loans

Asset-backed securities collateralized by student loans are primarily composed of securities collateralized by Federal Family Education Loan Program, or FFELP, loans. FFELP loans benefit from a federal government guarantee of at least 97% of principal, with additional credit support provided in the form of overcollateralization, subordination and excess spread, which collectively total in excess of 100% of principal and interest. Accordingly, the vast majority of FFELP loan-backed securities are not exposed to traditional consumer credit risk. Our total exposure to private student loan-backed securities is less than $1.0 billion; our evaluation of impairment considers the impact of high unemployment rates on the collateral performance of private student loans. Other risk factors are considered in our evaluation of other-than-temporary impairment.

Non-U.S. Mortgage- and Asset-Backed Securities

Non-U.S. mortgage- and asset-backed securities are composed primarily of U.K., Dutch and Australian securities collateralized by residential mortgages. Our evaluation of impairment considers the location of the underlying collateral, collateral enhancement and structural features, expected credit losses under base-case and stressed conditions and the macroeconomic outlook for the country in which the collateral resides, including housing prices and unemployment. Where appropriate, any potential loss after consideration of the above-referenced factors is further evaluated to determine whether any other-than-temporary impairment exists.

 

Our aggregate exposure to Spain, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Portugal totaled approximately $1.08 billion as of December 31, 2011. While we had no direct sovereign debt exposure to these countries, we had indirect exposure consisting of mortgage- and asset-backed securities, composed of $424 million in Spain, $373 million in Italy, $114 million in Ireland, $99 million in Greece and $69 million in Portugal. These securities had an aggregate pre-tax gross unrealized loss of approximately $122 million as of December 31, 2011. We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in 2011. Our evaluation of potential other-than-temporary impairment of these securities assumes a negative baseline macroeconomic environment for this region, due to the continued sovereign debt crisis, and the combination of slower economic growth and continued government austerity measures. Our baseline view assumes a recessionary period characterized by higher unemployment and by additional house price declines between 5% and 15% across these five countries. Our evaluation of other-than-temporary impairment does not assume a disorderly sovereign debt restructuring or countries leaving the euro common currency, consistent with management's expectations. In addition, stress testing and sensitivity analysis is performed in order to understand the impact of more severe assumptions on potential other-than-temporary impairment.

State and Political Subdivisions

In assessing other-than-temporary impairment, we may from time to time rely on support from third-party financial guarantors for certain asset-backed and municipal (state and political subdivisions) securities. Factors taken into consideration when determining the level of support include the guarantor's credit rating and management's assessment of the guarantor's financial condition. For those guarantors that management deems to be under financial duress, we assume an immediate default by those guarantors, with a modest recovery of claimed amounts (up to 20%). In addition, for various forms of collateralized securities, management considers the liquidation value of the underlying collateral based on expected housing prices and other relevant factors.

The assumptions presented above are used by management to identify those securities which are subject to further analysis of potential credit losses. Additional analyses are performed using more severe assumptions to further evaluate sensitivity of losses relative to the above factors. However, since the assumptions are based on the unique characteristics of each security, management uses a range of point estimates for prepayment speeds and housing prices that reflect the collateral profile of the securities within each asset class. In addition, in measuring expected credit losses, the individual characteristics of each security are examined to determine whether any additional factors would increase or mitigate the expected loss. Once losses are determined, the timing of the loss will also affect the ultimate other-than-temporary impairment, since the loss is ultimately subject to a discount commensurate with the purchase yield of the security. Primarily as a result of rising delinquencies and management's continued expectation of declining housing prices, we recorded credit-related other-than- temporary impairment of $73 million in 2011.

After a review of the investment portfolio, taking into consideration current economic conditions, adverse situations that might affect our ability to fully collect principal and interest, the timing of future payments, the credit quality and performance of the collateral underlying asset-backed securities and other relevant factors, and excluding the securities for which other-than- temporary impairment was recorded in 2011, management considers the aggregate decline in fair value of the remaining securities and the resulting gross pre-tax unrealized losses of $1.96 billion related to 1,703 securities as of December 31, 2011 to be temporary and not the result of any material changes in the credit characteristics of the securities.

 

 

The following tables present the aggregate fair values of investment securities with a continuous unrealized loss position for less than 12 months and those that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for longer than 12 months, as of the dates indicated:

 

 

                                                 
      Less than 12 months      12 months or longer      Total  
December 31, 2011
(In millions)
   Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 

Available for sale:

                                                     

U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:

                                                     

Direct obligations

   $ 1,373       $ 1                     $ 1,373       $ 1   

Mortgage-backed securities

     4,714         26       $ 370       $ 2         5,084         28   

Asset-backed securities:

                                                     

Student loans

     2,642         23         10,706         688         13,348         711   

Credit cards

     2,581         6         1,461         8         4,042         14   

Sub-prime

     16         1         1,360         446         1,376         447   

Other

     1,482         19         1,122         106         2,604         125   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total asset-backed

     6,721         49         14,649         1,248         21,370         1,297   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                                     

Mortgage-backed securities

     6,069         55         1,151         52         7,220         107   

Asset-backed securities

     2,205         14         108         3         2,313         17   

Other

     1,543         13                         1,543         13   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total non-U.S. debt securities

     9,817         82         1,259         55         11,076         137   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

State and political subdivisions

     171         3         1,446         118         1,617         121   

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     2,024         43         68         10         2,092         53   

Other U.S. debt securities

     220         2         57         13         277         15   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 25,040       $ 206       $ 17,849       $ 1,446       $ 42,889       $ 1,652   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Held to maturity:

                                                     

Asset-backed securities

                     $ 29       $ 2       $ 29       $ 2   

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                                     

Mortgage-backed securities

   $ 341       $ 6         1,382         218         1,723         224   

Asset-backed securities

     9         1         70         2         79         3   

Other

                     138         17         138         17   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total non U.S. debt securities

     350         7         1,590         237         1,840         244   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     649         32         231         25         880         57   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 999       $ 39       $ 1,850       $ 264       $ 2,849       $ 303   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

                                                 
      Less than 12 months      12 months or longer      Total  

December 31, 2010

(In millions)

   Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
     Fair
Value
     Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 

Available for sale:

                                                     

U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:

                                                     

Direct obligations

                     $ 153       $ 2       $ 153       $ 2   

Mortgage-backed securities

   $ 6,639       $ 81         431         2         7,070         83   

Asset-backed securities:

                                                     

Student loans

     1,980         25         8,457         627         10,437         652   

Credit cards

     1,268         5         2,396         26         3,664         31   

Sub-prime

                     1,769         346         1,769         346   

Other

     269         3         1,122         153         1,391         156   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total asset-backed securities

     3,517         33         13,744         1,152         17,261         1,185   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                                     

Mortgage-backed securities

     2,621         22         370         24         2,991         46   

Asset-backed securities

                     54         17         54         17   

Other

     348         2                         348         2   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total non-U.S. debt securities

     2,969         24         424         41         3,393         65   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

State and political subdivisions

     1,097         19         1,967         185         3,064         204   

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     494         5         109         11         603         16   

Other U.S. debt securities

     330         7         61         11         391         18   

Non-U.S. equity securities

     8         1                         8         1   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 15,054       $ 170       $ 16,889       $ 1,404       $ 31,943       $ 1,574   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Held to maturity:

                                                     

Asset-backed securities

                     $ 53       $ 5       $ 53       $ 5   

Non-U.S. debt securities:

                                                     

Mortgage-backed securities

   $ 1,445       $ 72         862         88         2,307         160   

Asset-backed securities

                     68         3         68         3   

Other

     206         2                         206         2   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total non-U.S. debt securities

     1,651         74         930         91         2,581         165   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Collateralized mortgage obligations

     125         2         575         42         700         44   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

Total

   $ 1,776       $ 76       $ 1,558       $ 138       $ 3,334       $ 214   
    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

    

 

 

 

 

The following table presents realized gains and losses related to investment securities for the years ended December 31:

The following table presents activity with respect to credit-related losses recognized in our consolidated statement of income for the years ended December 31, associated with securities considered other-than-temporarily impaired:

 

                         
(In millions)        2011           2010          2009(1)  

Beginning balance

   $ 63      $ 175      $   

Plus expected credit-related losses for which other-than-temporary impairment was not previously recognized

     10        88        214   

Plus expected credit-related losses for which other-than-temporary impairment was previously recognized

     55        142          

Less losses realized for securities sold

     (13     (342     (17

Less losses realized for securities intended or required to be sold

     (2            (22
    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Ending balance

   $ 113      $ 63      $ 175   
    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

The impairment losses were related to non-agency securities collateralized by U.S. mortgages, which management concluded had experienced credit losses based on the present value of the securities' expected future cash flows, which evidenced deterioration in the performance of individual securities in the portfolio.

In December 2010, we undertook a repositioning of our investment securities portfolio by selling approximately $11 billion of securities, composed of $4.3 billion of asset-backed securities, $4.1 billion of non-agency mortgage-backed securities and $2.5 billion of mortgage-backed securities. The repositioning was undertaken to enhance our regulatory capital ratios under evolving regulatory capital standards, increase our balance sheet flexibility in deploying our capital, and reduce our exposure to certain asset classes. The sale resulted in a pre-tax net loss of approximately $344 million, which was recorded in our consolidated statement of income and is reflected in the gross realized gains and gross realized losses presented in the preceding table.

The sale included approximately $4.8 billion of securities classified as held to maturity in our consolidated statement of condition. These securities were sold at a net pre-tax loss of $119 million in response to changes in regulatory capital requirements and previous downgrades of the securities.