EX-99.3 4 dex993.htm SLIDE PRESENTATION - STATE STREET'S INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO Slide presentation - State Street's investment portfolio
Investment Portfolio
>
As of September 30, 2008
October 15, 2008
Exhibit 99.3


2
Investment Portfolio
MARKET EVENTS
3 Mo LIBOR vs Fed Funds
-0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
After-tax Unrealized MTM Gain/(Loss)
(4,000)
(3,500)
(3,000)
(2,500)
(2,000)
(1,500)
(1,000)
(500)
0
FOMC
Cuts
75 bps
Bearns
Stearns
Collapse
Monolines
Downgraded
Fannie and
Freddie
Takeover
Lehman
Fails
Milllions
%
FOMC
Cuts
50 bps
Northern
Rock
Takeover
FOMC
Cuts
75 bps
Widespread        
Writedowns and     
Capital Issuances
IndyMac
Collapse
Housing Bill
Signed


3
Asset-backed securities
Mortgage-backed securities
Commercial mortgage-
backed securities
$42 billion
$10 billion
Corporate bonds
Municipals
Treasuries
Agency debentures
Agency mortgages
Small Business
Administration loans
OECD Governments
Investment Portfolio
Government
/Agency
Structured Securities
Unsecured Credit
Portfolio
amounts
are
expressed
at
Book
Value.
ASSETS: INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
$26 billion


4
>
Assets
selected
using
rigorous
credit
process
>
Performing
within
expectations
at
9/30/08
>
Diversified
by
asset
class
and
geography
>
93.1%
AAA
/
AA
rated
at
9/30/08
>
Constructed
to
perform
well
through
periods
of
economic
weakness
>
Unrealized
after-tax
AFS
&
HTM
MTM
=
$(3.3)B
at
9/30/08
0.1%
$0.1
-
-
-
-
BB
100.0%
1.0%
1.1%
2.9%
6.5%
88.5%
$75.7
$0.8
$0.8
$2.2
$4.9
$67.0
2007
100.0%
1.0%
1.5%
4.3%
8.7%
84.4%
$78.0
$0.8
$1.2
$3.3
$6.8
$65.8
Q3 ‘08
100.0%
1.1%
0.3%
3.3%
1.9%
93.4%
$37.7
$0.5
$0.1
$1.2
$0.7
$35.2
2004
Total
NR
BBB
A
AA
AAA
$ in billions
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO DETAIL (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
Portfolio
amounts
are
expressed
at
Book
Value.
Investment Portfolio


5
Investment Portfolio
$1,356M
36
29
15
8
5
Downgrades ex Munis
2
$847M
32
43
7
13
1
Credit watch ex Munis
1
0
49
789
$(3,282)M
84.4% AAA
8.7% AA
$78.0B
Q3 ‘08
0
442
558
$(1,940)M
86.7% AAA
7.6% AA
$75.4B
Q1 ‘08
$0
$1,364M
$2,384M
Q3 ‘08
Asset
Value
632
9
16
Downgrades
2
0
375
$(684)M
88.5% AAA
6.5% AA
$75.7B
Q4 ‘07
43
1
Credit watch
1
0
0
Defaults
2
$(2,012)M
$(513)M
Unrealized after-tax MTM gain/(loss)
84.4% AAA
8.7% AA
89.3% AAA
5.6% AA
Ratings
$75.0B
$77.9B
Size of portfolio
Q2 ‘08
Q3 ‘07
1
Securities
added
to
negative
credit
watch
within
the
respective
quarter,
excluding
downgrades
2
Event
occurred
in
respective
quarter
Portfolio
amounts
are
expressed
at
Book
Value.
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 9/30/08)


6
Investment Portfolio
HOLDINGS BY ASSET CLASS (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
9,354
(3,282)
100.0
78.0
1.0%
0.1%
1.5%
4.3%
8.7%
84.4%
TOTAL PORTFOLIO
572
(209)
5.9
4.6
17%
1%
1%
50%
31%
Clipper tax-exempt
bonds/other
5,326
(6)
3.2
2.5
4%
25%
31%
40%
Municipal bonds
161
(56)
3.2
2.5
25%
59%
10%
6%
Corporate bonds
149
(173)
5.4
4.2
1%
99%
Commercial
mortgage-
backed securities
1,853
(764)
26.1
20.4
1%
1%
98%
Mortgage-backed
securities
762
(2,091)
37.6
29.3
0%
1%
3%
12%
84%
Asset-backed securities
531
17
18.6
14.5
100%
Government/Agency
securities
# CUSIPS
NR
BB
BBB
A
AA
AAA
Investment
Unrealized After-tax 
MTM Gain/(Loss)
($M)
Book Value
(% Total)
Book Value 
($B)
Ratings


7
Investment Portfolio
ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES HOLDINGS (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
762
(2,091)
100.0
29.3
0.0%
0.2%
1.4%
3.1%
11.5%
83.8%
TOTAL ABS
22
(79)
1.7
0.5
0%
12%
88%
Other
16
(59)
1.0
0.3
7%
4%
26%
48%
15%
HELOC
253
(801)
18.8
5.5
1%
3%
5%
34%
57%
Sub-Prime
39
(100)
5.1
1.5
2%
2%
96%
CLOs
101
(171)
20.1
5.9
1%
3%
96%
Foreign RMBS
40
(15)
3.5
1.0
5%
9%
9%
77%
Auto/Equipment
110
(213)
16.7
4.9
4%
6%
2%
88%
Credit Cards
181
(653)
33.1
9.7
1%
9%
90%
Student Loans
# CUSIPS
NR
BB
BBB
A
AA
AAA
Investment
Unrealized After-tax 
MTM Gain/(Loss)
($M)
Book Value
(% Total)
Book Value 
($B)
Ratings


8
Investment Portfolio
ASSET-
BACKED
SECURITIES
COLLATERALIZED
BY
SUB-PRIME
FIRST-LIEN MORTGAGES (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
0
19
12
$(801)M
44.5%
57% AAA
34% AA, 5% A
3% BBB, 1% BB
$5.5B
Q3’08
0
12
3
$(592)M
42.6%
62% AAA
38% AA
$5.7B
Q2’08
$0
$706
$287M
Q3 ‘08
Asset Value
0
3
0
$(574)M
41.4%
70% AAA
30% AA
$5.9B
Q1 ’08
3
0
Credit watch¹
0
0
Defaults
0
0
Downgrades²
$(314)M
$(149)M
Unrealized MTM
after-tax gain/(loss)
39.8%
37.6%
Credit enhancement
71% AAA
29% AA
73% AAA
27% AA
Ratings
$6.2B
$6.6B
Size of portfolio
Q4 ’07
Q3 ’07
1
Securities
added
to
negative
credit
watch
within
the
respective
quarter,
excluding
downgrades
2
Event
occurred
in
respective
quarter
Portfolio
amounts
are
expressed
at
Book
Value.


9
Investment Portfolio
HCL
=
historic
cumulative
loss;
Avg.
CE
=
average
credit
enhancement;
SFL
=
STT’s
stressed
future
losses;
Coverage
=
Avg.
CE/SFL
STRESS COVERAGE: ASSET-BACKED SECURITIES PORTFOLIO (PERIOD END 9/30/08)
SFL:
1.1%
(worst
historic
loss
experience-
UK
1989)
Coverage: 9.7x
HCL: < 0.1%
Avg. CE: 10.7%
Foreign RMBS: $5.9B
SFL:
7.5%
(worst
single
month
annualized-November
2005)
Coverage: 2.5x
HCL: 6.1% (= wgtd. avg. charge-offs)
Avg. CE: 19.0%
Credit cards $4.9B
SFL:
7.2%
(assumes
no
insurance;
industry/rating
agency
assumption)
Coverage 2.0x
HCL: 0.6% (with insurance)
Avg. CE: 14.7% (excluding excess spread)
Private student loans: $0.7B
SFL:
if
all
monoline
wrappers
except
FSA
fail
and
default
spreads
stay
elevated
in
perpetuity
and
we
have
0%
recoveries,
after
tax
loss
$(29)M
SFL:21.2%
(roll
rate
analysis,
previous
worst
is
4%-2000)
Coverage 2.1X
SFL:
4.5%
(double
the
average
default
rate
of
3.5%
with
half
the
long-term
recovery
rate
of
70%)
Coverage: 5.8x
SFL:
2.8%
(using
worst
vintage
in
10
years-2000)
Coverage: 5.0x
SFL:
12%
(historic
default
rate
before
government
guarantees
with
0%
recoveries)
With
100%
credit
enhancement,
no
risk
of
loss
HCL: 0% (with insurance)
Avg.
CE:
3.5%
overcollateralization
plus
monoline
insurance
HELOC: $269M
HCL: 3.7%
Avg. CE: 44.5% (AAA 44.6, AA 47.8)
Sub-Prime $5.5B
HCL: <1.0%
Avg. CE: 26.3%
CLO/CREs: $1.5B
HCL: 0.8%
Avg. CE: 13.9%
Auto/equipment: $1.0B
HCL: < 0.1%
Avg. CE: +100% (98% govt. guarantee + 5.5%  CE)
Govt. student loans: $9.0B


10
Investment Portfolio
MORTGAGE-BACKED
SECURITIES
HOLDINGS
(PERIOD
END
9/30/08)
2,002
(937)
100.0
24.6
1.0%
0.6%
98.4%
TOTAL MBS
149
(173)
17.1
4.2
0.0%
0.5%
99.5%
CMBS
314
(732)
33.7
8.3
3.0%
1.5%
95.5%
Non-Agency MBS
1,539
(32)
49.2
12.1
0.0%
0.0%
100.0%
Agency MBS
# CUSIPS
A
AA
AAA
Investment
Unrealized After-tax 
MTM Gain/(Loss)
($M)
Book Value
(% Total)
Book Value 
($B)
Ratings


11
Investment Portfolio
SFL: 4.6% (2X S&P Alt-A curve)
Coverage: 2.6X
HCL: 0.4%
Avg. CE: 11.8%
Alt-A: $1.1B
SFL:
4.4%
(1999
Snyderman
Study
long-term
avg.)
Coverage: 5.5X
SFL: 2.3%
Coverage: 4X
No losses expected
HCL: 0.2%
Avg. CE: 24.2%
CMBS: $4.2B
HCL: 0.2%
Avg. CE: 9.14%
Non-Agency MBS: $7.2B
100%
AAA-backed
primarily
by
Fannie
Mae,
Freddie
Mac
&
Ginnie
Mae
Securities
Agency MBS: $12.1B
STRESS
COVERAGE:
MORTGAGE-BACKED
SECURITIES
PORTFOLIO
(PERIOD
END
9/30/08)
HCL
=
historic
cumulative
loss;
Avg.
CE
=
average
credit
enhancement;
SFL
=
STT’s
stressed
future
losses;
Coverage
=
CE/SFL


12
Investment Portfolio
>
Philosophy:
Assets
are
purchased
based
on
an
independent
assessment
of
their
underlying
credit
quality,
not
based
on
the
insurance
“wrap”
provided
>
As
a
result,
our
exposure
to
“wraps”
for
protection
is
secondary
and
is
relatively small
>
Diversified
by
monoline
insurer
>
$2.3B
of
insurance
covers
4,269
issues
Municipal
bonds:
$1.953B
(4,242
issues)
Sub-prime
asset-backed
securities:
$27.6M
(10
issues)
Home
Equity
Lines
of
Credit:
$269M
(16
issues)
>
If
all
securities
were
“unwrapped,”
the
93.1%
AAA/AA
rating
would
become
91.7%
AAA/AA
rating
INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO—MONOLINE INSURANCE COVERAGE (PERIOD END 9/30/08)


13
Investment Portfolio
0.1%
0.1%
BB
100%
1.0%
1.5%
4.3%
8.7%
84.4%
Credit quality
100%
1.4%
1.9%
4.9%
9.0%
82.7%
Credit quality unwrapped
Total
NR
BBB
A
AA
AAA
As of 9/30/08
INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO—MONOLINE
INSURANCE
COVERAGE
(PERIOD
END
9/30/08)
91.7%
Credit quality unwrapped
93.1%
Credit quality
AAA & AA Combined


14
Investment Portfolio
TOTAL
MONOLINE
EXPOSURE
(PERIOD
END
9/30/08)
#
-
Number
of
cusips
*
-
On
Rating
Watch
negative
*
+
On
Rating
Watch
positive
4,269
$2,252.6
1
$3
4,242
$1,953
16
$269
10
$27.6
Total
AAA
Aaa/*-
113
3%
$70
113
$70
Assured
A/*-
A3
6
0%
$3
6
$3
RADIAN
B
Ba2
375
6%
$144
375
$144
CIFG
BBB-/*-
B2/*+
687
12%
$268
687
$268
Syncora
BB/*-
B1
249
9%
$192
242
$159
4
$29
3
$4
FGIC
AA
Aa3/*-
621
17%
$386.2
613
$257
7
$129
1
$0.2
AMBAC
AA
A2/*-
671
17%
$376.4
1
$3
664
$303
3
$70
3
$0.4
MBIA
AAA
Aaa/*-
1,547
36%
$813
1,542
$749
2
$41
3
$23
FSA
S&P
Moody
#
%
($mm)
#
($mm)
#
($mm)
#
($mm)
#
($mm)
Insurer Rating
Total
Student Loan
Municipal
HELOC
Subprime