Investment Securities

3 Months Ended

Mar. 31, 2014

Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]

Investment Securities

Investment Securities

The following table presents the amortized cost and fair value, and associated unrealized gains and losses, of investment securities as of the dates indicated:

	March 31, 2014								December 31, 2013
	Amortized Cost		Gross Unrealized				Fair Value		Amortized Cost		Gross Unrealized				Fair Value
(In millions)			Gains		Losses						Gains		Losses
Available for sale:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	1,959	$	10	$	6	$	1,963	$	702	$	9	$	2	$	709
Mortgage-backed securities	23,176		206		290		23,092		23,744		211		392		23,563
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans(1)	14,355		128		203		14,280		14,718		92		268		14,542
Credit cards	7,253		21		37		7,237		8,230		21		41		8,210
Sub-prime	1,234		3		82		1,155		1,291		3		91		1,203
Other	4,767		133		20		4,880		4,949		138		23		5,064
Total asset-backed securities	27,609		285		342		27,552		29,188		254		423		29,019
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	10,978		225		7		11,196		10,808		230		9		11,029
Asset-backed securities	4,973		23		2		4,994		5,369		23		2		5,390
Government securities	3,689		3		—		3,692		3,759		2		—		3,761
Other	4,931		62		9		4,984		4,679		59		11		4,727
Total non-U.S. debt securities	24,571		313		18		24,866		24,615		314		22		24,907
State and political subdivisions	10,345		216		117		10,444		10,301		160		198		10,263
Collateralized mortgage obligations	5,253		67		58		5,262		5,275		70		76		5,269
Other U.S. debt securities	4,827		139		20		4,946		4,876		138		34		4,980
U.S. equity securities	29		7		—		36		28		6		—		34
Non-U.S. equity securities	1		—		—		1		1		—		—		1
U.S. money-market mutual funds	993		—		—		993		422		—		—		422
Non-U.S. money-market mutual funds	7		—		—		7		7		—		—		7
Total	$	98,770	$	1,243	$	851	$	99,162	$	99,159	$	1,162	$	1,147	$	99,174
Held to maturity:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	5,096	$	—	$	328	$	4,768	$	5,041	$	—	$	448	$	4,593
Mortgage-backed securities	81		6		—		87		91		6		—		97
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans(1)	1,889		5		2		1,892		1,627		—		10		1,617
Credit cards	897		3		—		900		762		1		—		763
Other	738		1		1		738		782		1		2		781
Total asset-backed securities	3,524		9		3		3,530		3,171		2		12		3,161
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	4,323		172		29		4,466		4,211		150		48		4,313
Asset-backed securities	2,399		19		—		2,418		2,202		19		—		2,221
Government securities	2		—		—		2		2		—		—		2
Other	192		—		—		192		192		—		—		192
Total non-U.S. debt securities	6,916		191		29		7,078		6,607		169		48		6,728
State and political subdivisions	16		—		—		16		24		1		—		25
Collateralized mortgage obligations	2,709		163		25		2,847		2,806		176		26		2,956
Total	$	18,342	$	369	$	385	$	18,326	$	17,740	$	354	$	534	$	17,560

⁽¹⁾ Substantially composed of securities guaranteed by the federal government with respect to at least 97% of defaulted principal and

accrued interest on the underlying loans.

Aggregate investment securities carried at $47.67 billion and $46.99 billion as of March 31, 2014 and December 31, 2013, respectively, were designated as pledged for public and trust deposits, short-term borrowings and for other purposes as provided by law.

The following tables present the aggregate fair values of investment securities that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for less than 12 months, and those that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for 12 months or longer, as of the dates indicated:

	Less than 12 months				12 months or longer				Total
March 31, 2014	Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses		Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses		Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses
(In millions)
Available for sale:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	1,433	$	5	$	130	$	1	$	1,563	$	6
Mortgage-backed securities	9,475		197		3,161		93		12,636		290
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans	606		5		7,271		198		7,877		203
Credit cards	3,311		26		214		11		3,525		37
Sub-prime	—		—		1,106		82		1,106		82
Other	1,997		10		418		10		2,415		20
Total asset-backed securities	5,914		41		9,009		301		14,923		342
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	819		2		326		5		1,145		7
Asset-backed securities	280		1		71		1		351		2
Other	1,652		6		149		3		1,801		9
Total non-U.S. debt securities	2,751		9		546		9		3,297		18
State and political subdivisions	1,850		49		1,311		68		3,161		117
Collateralized mortgage obligations	1,444		34		551		24		1,995		58
Other U.S. debt securities	783		13		60		7		843		20
Total	$	23,650	$	348	$	14,768	$	503	$	38,418	$	851
Held to maturity:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	4,751	$	328	$	—	$	—	$	4,751	$	328
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans	297		1		176		1		473		2
Other	129		1		—		—		129		1
Total asset-backed securities	426		2		176		1		602		3
Non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities	906		2		825		27		1,731		29
Collateralized mortgage obligations	595		11		407		14		1,002		25
Total	$	6,678	$	343	$	1,408	$	42	$	8,086	$	385

	Less than 12 months				12 months or longer				Total
December 31, 2013	Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses		Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses		Fair Value		Gross Unrealized Losses
(In millions)
Available for sale:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	182	$	1	$	113	$	1	$	295	$	2
Mortgage-backed securities	10,562		316		2,389		76		12,951		392
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans	1,930		16		7,252		252		9,182		268
Credit cards	3,714		30		161		11		3,875		41
Sub-prime	—		—		1,150		91		1,150		91
Other	1,896		12		439		11		2,335		23
Total asset-backed securities	7,540		58		9,002		365		16,542		423
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	868		2		258		7		1,126		9
Asset-backed securities	551		1		16		1		567		2
Other	1,655		9		150		2		1,805		11
Total non-U.S. debt securities	3,074		12		424		10		3,498		22
State and political subdivisions	3,242		113		1,268		85		4,510		198
Collateralized mortgage obligations	1,581		55		510		21		2,091		76
Other U.S. debt securities	1,039		25		58		9		1,097		34
Total	$	27,220	$	580	$	13,764	$	567	$	40,984	$	1,147
Held to maturity:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	4,571	$	448	$	—	$	—	$	4,571	$	448
Asset-backed securities:
Student Loans	1,352		10		—		—		1,352		10
Other	297		1		29		1		326		2
Total asset-backed securities	1,649		11		29		1		1,678		12
Non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities	834		3		878		45		1,712		48
Collateralized mortgage obligations	759		18		161		8		920		26
Total	$	7,813	$	480	$	1,068	$	54	$	8,881	$	534

The following table presents contractual maturities of debt investment securities as of March 31, 2014:

(In millions)	Under 1 Year		1 to 5 Years		6 to 10 Years		Over 10 Years
Available for sale:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	2	$	526	$	835	$	600
Mortgage-backed securities	183		2,387		5,276		15,246
Asset-backed securities:
Student loans	647		6,608		4,216		2,809
Credit cards	2,187		3,057		1,993		—
Sub-prime	7		20		1		1,127
Other	469		1,314		1,381		1,716
Total asset-backed securities	3,310		10,999		7,591		5,652
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	1,698		5,562		247		3,689
Asset-backed securities	355		3,906		599		134
Government securities	2,537		1,155		—		—
Other	1,658		2,625		701		—
Total non-U.S. debt securities	6,248		13,248		1,547		3,823
State and political subdivisions	672		3,122		4,049		2,601
Collateralized mortgage obligations	453		1,458		1,059		2,292
Other U.S. debt securities	437		3,761		715		33
Total	$	11,305	$	35,501	$	21,072	$	30,247
Held to maturity:
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
Direct obligations	$	—	$	—	$	5,000	$	96
Mortgage-backed securities	—		19		16		46
Asset-backed securities
Student loans	19		192		383		1,295
Credit cards	—		335		562		—
Other	23		447		263		5
Total asset-backed securities	42		974		1,208		1,300
Non-U.S. debt securities:
Mortgage-backed securities	23		1,191		194		2,915
Asset-backed securities	70		2,085		244		—
Government securities	2		—		—		—
Other	166		25		—		1
Total non-U.S. debt securities	261		3,301		438		2,916
State and political subdivisions	13		3		—		—
Collateralized mortgage obligations	238		960		496		1,015
Total	$	554	$	5,257	$	7,158	$	5,373

The maturities of asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations are based on expected principal payments.

The following table presents gross realized gains and gross realized losses from sales of available-for-sale securities and the components of net impairment losses, included in net gains and losses related to investment securities, for the periods indicated:

	Three Months Ended March 31,
(In millions)	2014			2013
Gross realized gains from sales of available-for-sale securities	$	15		$	57
Gross realized losses from sales of available-for-sale securities	—			(52		)
Net impairment losses:
Gross losses from other-than-temporary impairment	(1		)	—
Losses reclassified (from) to other comprehensive income	(8		)	(3		)
Net impairment losses(1)	(9		)	(3		)
Gains related to investment securities, net	$	6		$	2
(1) Net impairment losses, recognized in our consolidated statement of income, were composed of the following:
Impairment associated with expected credit losses	$	(9	)	$	—
Impairment associated with adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows	—			(3		)
Net impairment losses	$	(9	)	$	(3	)

The following table presents activity with respect to net impairment losses for the periods indicated:

	Three Months Ended March 31,
(In millions)	2014			2013
Beginning balance	$	122		$	124
Plus losses for which other-than-temporary impairment was previously recognized	9			3
Less previously recognized losses related to securities sold or matured	(1		)	—
Less losses related to securities intended or required to be sold	(6		)	—
Ending balance	$	124		$	127

Impairment:

We conduct periodic reviews of individual securities to assess whether other-than-temporary impairment exists. Impairment exists when the current fair value of an individual security is below its amortized cost basis. When the decline in the security's fair value is deemed to be other than temporary, the loss is recorded in our consolidated statement of income. In addition, for debt securities available for sale and held to maturity, impairment is recorded in our consolidated statement of income when management intends to sell (or may be required to sell) the securities before they recover in value, or when management expects the present value of cash flows expected to be collected from the securities to be less than the amortized cost of the impaired security (a credit loss).

 Our review of impaired securities generally includes:

• the identification and evaluation of securities that have indications of potential other-than-temporary impairment, such as issuer-specific concerns, including deteriorating financial condition or bankruptcy;

• the analysis of expected future cash flows of securities, based on quantitative and qualitative factors;

• the analysis of the collectability of those future cash flows, including information about past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts;

• the analysis of the underlying collateral for mortgage- and asset-backed securities;

• the analysis of individual impaired securities, including consideration of the length of time the security has been in an unrealized loss position, the anticipated recovery period, and the magnitude of the overall price decline;

• discussion and evaluation of factors or triggers that could cause individual securities to be deemed other-than- temporarily impaired and those that would not support other-than-temporary impairment; and

• documentation of the results of these analyses.

Factors considered in determining whether impairment is other than temporary include:

• certain macroeconomic drivers;

• certain industry-specific drivers;

• the length of time the security has been impaired;

• the severity of the impairment;

• the cause of the impairment and the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer;

• activity in the market with respect to the issuer's securities, which may indicate adverse credit conditions; and

• our intention not to sell, and the likelihood that we will not be required to sell, the security for a period of time sufficient to allow for its recovery in value.

Substantially all of our investment securities portfolio is composed of debt securities. A critical component of our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of these debt securities is the identification of credit-impaired securities for which management does not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security.

Debt securities that are not deemed to be credit-impaired are subject to additional management analysis to assess whether management intends to sell, or, more likely than not, would be required to sell, the security before the expected recovery to its amortized cost basis.

The following describes our process for the identification and assessment of other-than-temporary impairment.

U.S. Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities

Our portfolio of U.S. agency residential mortgage-backed securities receives the implicit or explicit backing of the U.S. government in conjunction with specified financial support of the U.S. Treasury. We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014 or the three months endedMarch 31, 2013. The decline in the unrealized losses on these securities as of March 31, 2014 compared to December 31, 2013 was attributable to narrowing spreads in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014.

Asset-Backed Securities - Student Loans

Asset-backed securities collateralized by student loans are primarily composed of securities collateralized by Federal Family Education Loan Program, or FFELP, loans. FFELP loans benefit from a federal government guarantee of at least 97% of defaulted principal and accrued interest, with additional credit support provided in the form of over-collateralization, subordination and excess spread, which collectively total in excess of 100%. Accordingly, the vast majority of FFELP loan-backed securities are protected from traditional consumer credit risk.

We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014 or the three months endedMarch 31, 2013. The gross unrealized losses in our FFELP loan-backed securities portfolio as of March 31, 2014 were primarily attributable to lower liquidity and the lower spreads on these securities relative to those associated with more current issuances. Our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of these securities considers, among many other factors, the strength of the U.S. government guarantee, the performance of the underlying collateral, and the remaining average term of the FFELP loan-backed securities portfolio, which was approximately 4.8 years as of March 31, 2014.

Our total exposure to private student loan-backed securities was less than $800 million as of March 31, 2014. Our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of private student loan-backed securities considers, among other factors, the impact of high unemployment rates on the collateral performance of private student loans. We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014 or the three months endedMarch 31, 2013.

Non-U.S. Mortgage- and Asset-Backed Securities

Non-U.S. mortgage- and asset-backed securities are primarily composed of U.K., Australian and Dutch securities collateralized by residential mortgages and German securities collateralized by automobile loans and leases. Our assessment of impairment with respect to these securities considers the location of the underlying collateral, collateral enhancement and structural features, expected credit losses under base-case and stressed conditions and the macroeconomic outlook for the country in which the collateral is located, including housing prices and unemployment. Where appropriate, any potential loss after consideration of the above-referenced factors is further evaluated to determine whether any other-than-temporary impairment exists.

In the three months endedMarch 31, 2014, we recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in our consolidated statement of income. In the three months endedMarch 31, 2013, we recorded other-than-temporary impairment of $3 million related to non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities resulting from adverse changes in the timing of expected future cash flows from certain of the securities.

Our aggregate exposure to Spain, Italy, Ireland and Portugal with respect to mortgage- and asset-backed securities totaled approximately $647 million as of March 31, 2014, composed of $204 million in Spain, $243 million in Italy, $120 million in Ireland and $80 million in Portugal. We had no direct sovereign debt exposure to any of these countries as of that date. As of March 31, 2014, these mortgage- and asset-backed securities had an aggregate pre-tax net unrealized gain of approximately $91 million, composed of gross unrealized gains of $96 million and gross unrealized losses of $5 million.

Our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of these securities takes into account government intervention in the corresponding mortgage markets and assumes a negative baseline macroeconomic environment for this region, due to a combination of slower economic growth and continued government austerity measures. Our baseline view assumes a recessionary period characterized by high unemployment and by additional housing price declines of between 10% and 19% across these four countries. Our evaluation of other-than-temporary impairment in our base case does not assume a disorderly sovereign-debt restructuring or a break-up of the Eurozone. In addition, stress testing and sensitivity analysis is performed in order to understand the impact of more severe assumptions on potential other-than-temporary impairment.

State and Political Subdivisions and Other U.S. Debt Securities

Our municipal securities portfolio primarily includes securities issued by U.S. states and their municipalities. A portion of this portfolio is held in connection with our tax-exempt investment program, more fully described in note 9. Our portfolio of other U.S. debt securities is primarily composed of securities issued by U.S. corporations.  The decline in the unrealized losses on these securities as of March 31, 2014 compared to December 31, 2013 was attributable to narrowing spreads and declines in interest rates in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014.

Our assessment of other-than-temporary impairment of these portfolios considers, among other factors, adverse conditions specifically related to the industry, geographic area or financial condition of the issuer; the structure of the security, including collateral, if any, and payment schedule; rating agency changes to the security's credit rating; the volatility of the fair value changes; and our intent and ability to hold the security until its recovery in value.  If the impairment of the security is credit-related, we estimate the future cash flows from the security, tailored to the security and considering the above-described factors, and any resulting impairment deemed to be other than temporary is recorded in our consolidated statement of income.  We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014 or 2013.

U.S. Non-Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities

For U.S. non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, we assess other-than-temporary impairment using cash-flow models, tailored for each security, that estimate the future cash flows from the underlying mortgages, using the security-specific collateral and transaction structure. Estimates of future cash flows are subject to management judgment. The future cash flows and performance of our portfolio of U.S. non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities are a function of a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the condition of the U.S. economy, the condition of the U.S. residential mortgage markets, and the level of loan defaults, prepayments and loss severities. Management's estimates of future losses for each security also consider the underwriting and historical performance of each specific security, the underlying collateral type, vintage, borrower profile, third-party guarantees, current levels of subordination, geography and other factors.

We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014 or 2013.

U.S. Non-Agency Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

With respect to our portfolio of U.S. non-agency commercial mortgage-backed securities, other-than-temporary impairment is assessed by considering a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the condition of the U.S. economy and the condition of the U.S. commercial real estate market, as well as capitalization rates. Management estimates of future losses for each security also consider the underlying collateral type, property location, vintage, debt-service coverage ratios, expected property income, servicer advances and estimated property values, as well as current levels of subordination. We recorded $9 million of other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in our consolidated statement of income in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014, all associated with expected credit losses. We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment on these securities in the three months endedMarch 31, 2013.

*****

The estimates, assumptions and other risk factors utilized in our assessment of impairment as described above are used by management to identify securities which are subject to further analysis of potential credit losses. Additional analyses are performed using more stressful assumptions to further evaluate the sensitivity of losses relative to the above-described factors. However, since the assumptions are based on the unique characteristics of each security, management uses a range of estimates for prepayment speeds, default, and loss severity forecasts that reflect the collateral profile of the securities within each asset class. In addition, in measuring expected credit losses, the individual characteristics of each security are examined to determine whether any additional factors would increase or mitigate the expected loss. Once losses are determined, the timing of the loss will also affect the ultimate other-than-temporary impairment, since the loss is ultimately subject to a discount commensurate with the purchase yield of the security.

In the aggregate, we recorded other-than-temporary impairment of $9 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014, compared to $3 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2013, respectively, as summarized below:

Three months endedMarch 31, 2014:

• $9 million (U.S. non-agency commercial mortgage-backed securities) was associated with expected credit losses.

Three months endedMarch 31, 2013:

• $3 million (non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities) resulted from adverse changes in the timing of expected future cash flows from certain of the securities.

After a review of the investment portfolio, taking into consideration current economic conditions, adverse situations that might affect our ability to fully collect principal and interest, the timing of future payments, the credit quality and performance of the collateral underlying mortgage- and asset-backed securities and other relevant factors, and excluding other-than-temporary impairment recorded in the three months endedMarch 31, 2014, management considers the aggregate decline in fair value of the investment securities portfolio and the resulting gross pre-tax unrealized losses of $1.24 billion as of March 31, 2014, related to 2,122 securities, to be temporary, and not the result of any material changes in the credit characteristics of the securities.