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Investment Securities
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2012
Investments, All Other Investments [Abstract]  
Investment Securities
Investment Securities
The following table presents the amortized cost and fair value, and associated unrealized gains and losses, of investment securities as of the dates indicated:
 
March 31, 2012
 
December 31, 2011
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
 
Fair
Value
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
 
Fair
Value
(In millions)
Gains
 
Losses
 
Gains
 
Losses
 
Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct obligations
$
1,693

 
$
32

 
$
1

 
$
1,724

 
$
2,798

 
$
39

 
$
1

 
$
2,836

Mortgage-backed securities
32,179

 
586

 
48

 
32,717

 
29,511

 
538

 
28

 
30,021

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Student loans(1)
17,404

 
66

 
703

 
16,767

 
17,187

 
69

 
711

 
16,545

Credit cards
10,151

 
64

 
5

 
10,210

 
10,448

 
53

 
14

 
10,487

Sub-prime
1,767

 
2

 
390

 
1,379

 
1,849

 
2

 
447

 
1,404

Other
3,625

 
166

 
112

 
3,679

 
3,421

 
169

 
125

 
3,465

Total asset-backed securities
32,947

 
298

 
1,210

 
32,035

 
32,905

 
293

 
1,297

 
31,901

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
11,507

 
132

 
68

 
11,571

 
10,890

 
92

 
107

 
10,875

Asset-backed securities
4,963

 
6

 
9

 
4,960

 
4,318

 
2

 
17

 
4,303

Government securities
1,703

 

 

 
1,703

 
1,671

 

 

 
1,671

Other
3,634

 
51

 
2

 
3,683

 
2,797

 
41

 
13

 
2,825

Total non-U.S. debt securities
21,807

 
189

 
79

 
21,917

 
19,676

 
135

 
137

 
19,674

State and political subdivisions
7,066

 
226

 
104

 
7,188

 
6,924

 
244

 
121

 
7,047

Collateralized mortgage obligations
4,222

 
96

 
39

 
4,279

 
3,971

 
62

 
53

 
3,980

Other U.S. debt securities
3,885

 
179

 
13

 
4,051

 
3,471

 
159

 
15

 
3,615

U.S. equity securities
670

 
3

 

 
673

 
639

 
1

 

 
640

Non-U.S. equity securities
120

 

 

 
120

 
118

 

 

 
118

Total
$
104,589

 
$
1,609

 
$
1,494

 
$
104,704

 
$
100,013

 
$
1,471

 
$
1,652

 
$
99,832

Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
$
235

 
$
17

 
 
 
$
252

 
$
265

 
$
18

 
 
 
$
283

Asset-backed securities
25

 

 
$
1

 
24

 
31

 

 
$
2

 
29

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
4,660

 
97

 
187

 
4,570

 
4,973

 
87

 
224

 
4,836

Asset-backed securities
439

 
14

 
2

 
451

 
436

 
16

 
3

 
449

Government securities
3

 

 

 
3

 
3

 

 

 
3

Other
176

 

 
5

 
171

 
172

 

 
17

 
155

Total non-U.S. debt securities
5,278

 
111

 
194

 
5,195

 
5,584

 
103

 
244

 
5,443

State and political subdivisions
89

 
2

 

 
91

 
107

 
3

 

 
110

Collateralized mortgage obligations
3,041

 
261

 
22

 
3,280

 
3,334

 
220

 
57

 
3,497

Total
$
8,668

 
$
391

 
$
217

 
$
8,842

 
$
9,321

 
$
344

 
$
303

 
$
9,362

 
 
 
 
(1)
Substantially composed of securities guaranteed by the federal government with respect to at least 97% of defaulted principal and accrued interest on the underlying loans.
Aggregate investment securities carried at $38.27 billion and $44.66 billion at March 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011, respectively, were designated as pledged for public and trust deposits, short-term borrowings and for other purposes as provided by law.
The following tables present the aggregate fair values of investment securities that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for less than 12 months, and those that have been in a continuous unrealized loss position for 12 months or longer, as of the dates indicated:
 
Less than 12 months
 
12 months or longer
 
Total
March 31, 2012
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
(In millions)
 
 
 
 
 
Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct obligations
$
136

 
$
1

 


 


 
$
136

 
$
1

Mortgage-backed securities
6,017

 
46

 
$
340

 
$
2

 
6,357

 
48

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Student loans
2,567

 
22

 
10,813

 
681

 
13,380

 
703

Credit cards
731

 
1

 
693

 
4

 
1,424

 
5

Sub-prime
7

 
1

 
1,336

 
389

 
1,343

 
390

Other
1,080

 
24

 
1,106

 
88

 
2,186

 
112

Total asset-backed securities
4,385

 
48

 
13,948

 
1,162

 
18,333

 
1,210

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
4,319

 
25

 
1,089

 
43

 
5,408

 
68

Asset-backed securities
1,111

 
3

 
386

 
6

 
1,497

 
9

Other
395

 
2

 

 

 
395

 
2

Total non-U.S. debt securities
5,825

 
30

 
1,475

 
49

 
7,300

 
79

State and political subdivisions
356

 
3

 
1,385

 
101

 
1,741

 
104

Collateralized mortgage obligations
1,305

 
27

 
246

 
12

 
1,551

 
39

Other U.S. debt securities
362

 
2

 
39

 
11

 
401

 
13

Total
$
18,386

 
$
157

 
$
17,433

 
$
1,337

 
$
35,819

 
$
1,494

Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asset-backed securities
 
 
 
 
$
24

 
$
1

 
$
24

 
$
1

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
$
170

 
$
2

 
1,359

 
185

 
1,529

 
187

Asset-backed securities
9

 
1

 
72

 
1

 
81

 
2

Other

 

 
155

 
5

 
155

 
5

Total non-U.S. debt securities
179

 
3

 
1,586

 
191

 
1,765

 
194

Collateralized mortgage obligations
218

 
6

 
224

 
16

 
442

 
22

Total
$
397

 
$
9

 
$
1,834

 
$
208

 
$
2,231

 
$
217


 
Less than 12 months
 
12 months or longer
 
Total
December 31, 2011
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Fair
Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
(In millions)
 
 
 
 
 
Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct obligations
$
1,373

 
$
1

 
 
 
 
 
$
1,373

 
$
1

Mortgage-backed securities
4,714

 
26

 
$
370

 
$
2

 
5,084

 
28

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Student loans
2,642

 
23

 
10,706

 
688

 
13,348

 
711

Credit cards
2,581

 
6

 
1,461

 
8

 
4,042

 
14

Sub-prime
16

 
1

 
1,360

 
446

 
1,376

 
447

Other
1,482

 
19

 
1,122

 
106

 
2,604

 
125

Total asset-backed securities
6,721

 
49

 
14,649

 
1,248

 
21,370

 
1,297

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
6,069

 
55

 
1,151

 
52

 
7,220

 
107

Asset-backed securities
2,205

 
14

 
108

 
3

 
2,313

 
17

Other
1,543

 
13

 

 

 
1,543

 
13

Total non-U.S. debt securities
9,817

 
82

 
1,259

 
55

 
11,076

 
137

State and political subdivisions
171

 
3

 
1,446

 
118

 
1,617

 
121

Collateralized mortgage obligations
2,024

 
43

 
68

 
10

 
2,092

 
53

Other U.S. debt securities
220

 
2

 
57

 
13

 
277

 
15

Total
$
25,040

 
$
206

 
$
17,849

 
$
1,446

 
$
42,889

 
$
1,652

Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Asset-backed securities
 
 
 
 
$
29

 
$
2

 
$
29

 
$
2

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
$
341

 
$
6

 
1,382

 
218

 
1,723

 
224

Asset-backed securities
9

 
1

 
70

 
2

 
79

 
3

Other

 

 
138

 
17

 
138

 
17

Total non-U.S. debt securities
350

 
7

 
1,590

 
237

 
1,940

 
244

Collateralized mortgage obligations
649

 
32

 
231

 
25

 
880

 
57

Total
$
999

 
$
39

 
$
1,850

 
$
264

 
$
2,849

 
$
303


The following table presents contractual maturities of debt investment securities as of March 31, 2012:
(In millions)
Under 1
Year
 
1 to 5
Years
 
6 to 10
Years
 
Over 10
Years
Available for sale:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct obligations
$
200

 
$
75

 
$
662

 
$
787

Mortgage-backed securities
5

 
1,723

 
9,926

 
21,063

Asset-backed securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Student loans
142

 
5,607

 
7,552

 
3,466

Credit cards
1,528

 
6,980

 
1,702

 

Sub-prime
324

 
50

 
9

 
996

Other
114

 
2,039

 
1,288

 
238

Total asset-backed securities
2,108

 
14,676

 
10,551

 
4,700

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
477

 
3,195

 
420

 
7,479

Asset-backed securities
255

 
2,668

 
1,577

 
460

Government securities
1,703

 

 

 

Other
1,650

 
1,904

 
129

 

Total non-U.S. debt securities
4,085

 
7,767

 
2,126

 
7,939

State and political subdivisions
500

 
3,014

 
2,812

 
862

Collateralized mortgage obligations
69

 
2,166

 
593

 
1,451

Other U.S. debt securities
283

 
2,855

 
874

 
39

Total
$
7,250

 
$
32,276

 
$
27,544

 
$
36,841

Held to maturity:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. Treasury and federal agencies:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
 
 
$
48

 
$
58

 
$
129

Asset-backed securities
 
 

 

 
25

Non-U.S. debt securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mortgage-backed securities
$
1,202

 
102

 

 
3,356

Asset-backed securities

 
303

 
136

 

Government securities
3

 

 

 

Other

 
160

 

 
16

Total non-U.S. debt securities
1,205

 
565

 
136

 
3,372

State and political subdivisions
49

 
40

 

 

Collateralized mortgage obligations
276

 
1,563

 
184

 
1,018

Total
$
1,530

 
$
2,216

 
$
378

 
$
4,544


The maturities of asset-backed securities, mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations are based on expected principal payments.
The following table presents realized gains and losses related to investment securities for the periods indicated:
 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
(In millions)
2012
 
2011
Gross realized gains from sales of available-for-sale securities
$
19

 
$
7

Gross realized losses from sales of available-for-sale securities

 
(3
)
 
 
 
 
Gross losses from other-than-temporary impairment
(25
)
 
(35
)
Losses not related to credit
17

 
24

Net impairment losses
(8
)
 
(11
)
Gains (Losses) related to investment securities, net
$
11

 
$
(7
)
 
 
 
 
Impairment associated with expected credit losses
$
(4
)
 
$
(5
)
Impairment associated with adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows
(4
)
 
(6
)
Net impairment losses
$
(8
)
 
$
(11
)


The following table presents activity with respect to net impairment losses related to credit for the periods indicated:
 
Three Months Ended
March 31,
(In millions)
2012
 
2011
Beginning balance
$
113

 
$
63

Plus losses for which other-than-temporary impairment was not previously recognized
1

 
3

Plus losses for which other-than-temporary impairment was previously recognized
7

 
8

Less previously recognized losses related to securities sold
(20
)
 

Ending balance
$
101

 
$
74


Impairment
We conduct periodic reviews of individual securities to assess whether other-than-temporary impairment exists. Impairment exists when the current fair value of an individual security is below its amortized cost basis. When the decline in the security's fair value is deemed to be other than temporary, the loss is recorded in our consolidated statement of income. In addition, for debt securities available for sale and held to maturity, impairment is recorded in our consolidated statement of income when management intends to sell (or may be required to sell) the securities before they recover in value, or when management expects the present value of cash flows expected to be collected from the securities to be less than the amortized cost of the impaired security (a credit loss).
 Our review of impaired securities generally includes:
the identification and evaluation of securities that have indications of possible other-than-temporary impairment, such as issuer-specific concerns, including deteriorating financial condition or bankruptcy;
the analysis of expected future cash flows of securities, based on quantitative and qualitative factors;
the analysis of the collectibility of those future cash flows, including information about past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts;
the analysis of the underlying collateral for asset- and mortgage-backed securities;
the analysis of individual impaired securities, including consideration of the length of time the security has been in an unrealized loss position, the anticipated recovery period, and the magnitude of the overall price decline;
discussion and evaluation of factors or triggers that could cause individual securities to be deemed other-than- temporarily impaired and those that would not support other-than-temporary impairment; and
documentation of the results of these analyses.
Factors considered in determining whether impairment is other than temporary include:
the length of time the security has been impaired;
the severity of the impairment;
the cause of the impairment and the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer;
activity in the market with respect to the issuer's securities, which may indicate adverse credit conditions; and
our intention not to sell, and the likelihood that we will not be required to sell, the security for a period of time sufficient to allow for recovery in value.
The substantial majority of our investment securities portfolio is composed of debt securities. A critical component of the evaluation for other-than-temporary impairment of our debt securities is the identification of credit-impaired securities for which management does not expect to receive cash flows sufficient to recover the entire amortized cost basis of the security.
Debt securities that are not deemed to be credit-impaired are subject to additional management analysis to assess whether management intends to sell, or, more likely than not, would be required to sell, the security before the expected recovery to its amortized cost basis.
The following describes our process for identifying credit impairment in security types with the most significant unrealized losses as of March 31, 2012.
U.S. Non-Agency Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities
For U.S. non-agency residential mortgage-backed securities, other-than-temporary impairment related to credit is assessed using cash flow models, tailored for each security, that estimate the future cash flows from the underlying mortgages, using the security-specific collateral and transaction structure. Estimates of future cash flows are subject to management judgment. The future cash flows and performance of our portfolio of U.S. mortgage-backed securities are a function of a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the condition of the U.S. economy, the condition of the U.S. residential mortgage markets, and the level of loan defaults, prepayments and loss severities. Management's estimates of future losses for each security also consider the underwriting and historical performance of our specific securities, the underlying collateral type, vintage, borrower profile, third-party guarantees, current levels of subordination, geography and other factors.
Primarily as a result of rising delinquencies and loss severities for certain securities as well as management's continued expectation of declining housing prices, we recorded other-than-temporary impairment of $4 million related to such securities, all associated with expected credit losses, in our consolidated statement of income in the three months ended March 31, 2012. Such losses were $5 million, all associated with expected credit losses, in the three months ended March 31, 2011.
Asset-Backed Securities - Student Loans
Asset-backed securities collateralized by student loans are primarily composed of securities collateralized by Federal Family Education Loan Program, or FFELP, loans. FFELP loans benefit from a federal government guarantee of at least 97% of defaulted principal and accrued interest, with additional credit support provided in the form of overcollateralization, subordination and excess spread, which collectively total in excess of 100%. Accordingly, the vast majority of FFELP loan-backed securities are not exposed to traditional consumer credit risk. Our total exposure to private student loan-backed securities was less than $1.0 billion as of March 31, 2012; our evaluation of impairment considers, among other factors, the impact of high unemployment rates on the collateral performance of private student loans.
Non-U.S. Mortgage- and Asset-Backed Securities
Non-U.S. mortgage- and asset-backed securities are composed primarily of U.K., Dutch and Australian securities collateralized by residential mortgages. Our evaluation of impairment considers the location of the underlying collateral, collateral enhancement and structural features, expected credit losses under base-case and stressed conditions and the macroeconomic outlook for the country in which the collateral resides, including housing prices and unemployment. Where appropriate, any potential loss after consideration of the above-referenced factors is further evaluated to determine whether any other-than-temporary impairment exists. We recorded other-than-temporary impairment of $4 million, all associated with adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows, in the three months ended March 31, 2012, substantially related to non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities. We recorded other-than-temporary impairment of $6 million, all associated with adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows, in the three months ended March 31, 2011, substantially related to non-U.S. mortgage-backed securities.
Our aggregate exposure to Spain, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Portugal totaled approximately $1.09 billion as of March 31, 2012. While we had no direct sovereign debt exposure to these countries, we had indirect exposure consisting of mortgage- and asset-backed securities, composed of $435 million in Spain, $371 million in Italy, $115 million in Ireland, $98 million in Greece and $75 million in Portugal. These securities had an aggregate pre-tax gross unrealized loss of approximately $100 million as of March 31, 2012. We recorded no other-than-temporary impairment associated with expected credit losses on these securities in the three months ended March 31, 2012 or 2011. Our evaluation of potential other-than-temporary impairment of these securities assumes a negative baseline macroeconomic environment for this region, due to the continued sovereign debt crisis, and the combination of slower economic growth and continued government austerity measures. Our baseline view assumes a recessionary period characterized by higher unemployment and by additional housing price declines between 4% and 14% across these five countries. Our evaluation of other-than-temporary impairment in our base case does not assume a disorderly sovereign debt restructuring or countries leaving the Euro common currency. In addition, stress testing and sensitivity analysis is performed in order to understand the impact of more severe assumptions on potential other-than-temporary impairment.
State and Political Subdivisions
In assessing other-than-temporary impairment, we may from time to time rely on support from third-party financial guarantors for certain asset-backed and municipal (state and political subdivisions) securities. Factors considered when determining the level of support include the guarantor's credit rating and management's assessment of the guarantor's financial condition. For those guarantors that management deems to be under financial duress, we assume an immediate default by those guarantors, with a modest recovery of claimed amounts (up to 20%). In addition, for various forms of collateralized securities, management considers the liquidation value of the underlying collateral based on expected housing prices and other relevant factors.
*****
The estimates, assumptions and other risk factors utilized in our evaluation of impairment as described above are used by management to identify securities which are subject to further analysis of potential credit losses. Additional analyses are performed using more severe assumptions to further evaluate sensitivity of losses relative to the above factors. However, since the assumptions are based on the unique characteristics of each security, management uses a range of point estimates for prepayment speeds and housing prices that reflect the collateral profile of the securities within each asset class. In addition, in measuring expected credit losses, the individual characteristics of each security are examined to determine whether any additional factors would increase or mitigate the expected loss. Once losses are determined, the timing of the loss will also affect the ultimate other-than-temporary impairment, since the loss is ultimately subject to a discount commensurate with the purchase yield of the security.
In the aggregate, we recorded credit-related other-than-temporary impairment of $8 million during the three months ended March 31, 2012, compared to $11 million during the three months ended March 31, 2011. Of the $8 million, $4 million related to expected credit losses, and $4 million resulted from adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows from the securities. Of the $11 million, $5 million related to expected credit losses and $6 million resulted from adverse changes in timing of expected future cash flows from the securities.
After a review of the investment portfolio, taking into consideration current economic conditions, adverse situations that might affect our ability to fully collect principal and interest, the timing of future payments, the credit quality and performance of the collateral underlying asset-backed securities and other relevant factors, and excluding other-than-temporary impairment recorded during the three months ended March 31, 2012, management considers the aggregate decline in fair value of the investment securities portfolio and the resulting gross pre-tax unrealized losses of $1.71 billion related to 1,900 securities as of March 31, 2012 to be temporary and not the result of any material changes in the credit characteristics of the securities.