EX-99.2 3 dex992.htm EXHIBIT 99.2 Exhibit 99.2
January 18, 2007
Exhibit 99.2


2
Forward-Looking Information
Please note that the following materials containing information regarding Capital One’s financial performance speak only as of the particular date or
dates indicated in these materials. Capital One does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any of the information contained herein
whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Certain statements in this presentation and other oral and written statements made by the Company from time to time, are forward-looking
statements, including those that discuss strategies, goals, outlook or other non-historical matters; project revenues, income, returns, earnings per
share
or
other
financial
measures
for
Capital
One
and/or
discuss
the
assumptions
that
underlie
these
projects,
including
future
financial
and
operating
results,
and
the
company’s
plans,
objectives,
expectations
and
intentions.
To
the
extent
any
such
information
is
forward-looking,
it
is
intended to fit within the safe harbor for forward-looking information provided by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Numerous
factors
could
cause
our
actual
results
to
differ
materially
from
those
described
in
forward-looking
statements,
including,
among
other
things:
the
risk
that Capital One’s acquired businesses will not be integrated successfully; the risk that synergies from such acquisitions may not be fully realized or
may take longer to realize than expected; disruption from the acquisitions making it more difficult to maintain relationships with customers,
employees or suppliers; changes in the interest rate environment; continued intense competition from numerous providers of products and services
which compete with our businesses; an increase or decrease in credit losses; financial, legal, regulatory or accounting changes or actions; general
economic conditions affecting consumer income, spending and repayments; changes in our aggregate accounts or consumer loan balances and the
growth rate and composition thereof; the amount of deposit growth; changes in the reputation of the credit card industry and/or the company with
respect to practices and products; our ability to access the capital markets at attractive rates and terms to fund our operations and future growth;
losses
associated
with
new
products
or
services;
the
company’s
ability
to
execute
on
its
strategic
and
operational
plans;
any
significant
disruption
in
our operations or technology platform; our ability to effectively control our costs; the success of marketing efforts; our ability to recruit and retain
experienced
management
personnel;
and
other
factors
listed
from
time
to
time
in
reports
we
file
with
the
Securities
and
Exchange
Commission
(the
“SEC”),
including,
but
not
limited
to,
factors
set
forth
under
the
caption
“Risk
Factors”
in
our
Annual
Report
on
Form
10-K
for
the
year
ended
December 31, 2005, and any subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q. You should carefully consider the factors discussed above in evaluating
these forward-looking statements. All information in these slides is based on the consolidated results of Capital One Financial Corporation. A
reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures included in this presentation can be found in the Company’s most recent Form 8-K or Form 10-Q
concerning quarterly financial results, available on the Company’s website at www.capitalone.com
in Investor Relations under “About Capital One.”
Forward looking statements


3
2006 Highlights
Successful integration of Hibernia
Closed acquisition of North Fork
Credit environment unusually strong in the U.S. and challenging
in the U.K.
Enhanced infrastructure throughout much of the company
Achieved multiple credit rating upgrades
Diluted EPS growth of 13% to $7.62
Organic loan growth of 10% (managed loan growth of 8.4%)
Ending deposits of $85.8B; approximately 50% of total managed liabilities


4
We expect to deliver $7.40 to $7.80 in diluted EPS in 2007
Key Assumptions
Credit:
U.S. unsecured charge-offs return to more
normal levels in 2007
Stable credit in the banking segment
Interest Rates:
Yield curve remains relatively flat
Modest deposit growth
Mortgage Market:
Cyclical weakness continues in 2007
Likely impact of Q406 FFIEC guidance
Capital Management:
Strong capital generation
$2.25B of share buybacks beginning Q207
North Fork Synergies:
Pre-tax net synergies of $60M expected in
2007
Continue to target $275M in pre-tax net
synergies by late 2008
NIAT ($M)
EPS
Capital One ex-NFB
$2,650-2,770
NFB stand-alone
$750-780
NFB Deal Impacts:
Net Synergies
$40
Financing Costs
($240)
Expensed Restructuring Charges
($90)
Purchase Accounting
($100)
COF GAAP Earnings
$3,010-3,160
$7.40 - $7.80
2007


5
($Millions except per share data)
2006 managed income statement
Net Interest Income
$
8,940.9
$
7,655.5
$
1,285.4
17
%
Non-Interest Income
4,903.0
4,559.4
343.6
8
%
Total Revenue
13,843.9
12,214.9
1,629.0
13
%
Net Charge-offs
3,155.0
3,623.2
(468.2)
(13)
%
Allowance (Release)/Build
164.1
68.6
95.5
139
%
Other
(95.2)
(24.2)
(71.0)
n/a
Provision for Loan Losses
3,223.9
3,667.6
(443.7)
(12)
%
Marketing Expenses
1,444.7
1,379.9
64.8
5
%
Operating Expenses
5,522.5
4,338.3
1,184.2
27
%
Tax Rate
33.9
%
36.1
%
n/a
220
bps
Net Income After Tax
(1)
$
2,414.6
$
1,809.1
$
605.5
33
%
Shares Used to Compute Diluted EPS
317.0
268.9
n/a
n/a
Fully Diluted EPS
$
7.62
$
6.73
$
0.89
13
%
Net Interest Margin
6.86
%
7.81
%
n/a
(95)
bps
Revenue Margin
10.63
12.46
n/a
(183)
bps
Return on Managed Assets
1.69
1.72
n/a
(3)
bps
Return on Equity
14.90
17.08
n/a
(218)
bps


6
($Millions except per share data)
Fourth quarter 2006 managed income statement
Q406/Q306 Change
Q406
Q306
Q405
$
%/bps
Net Interest Income
$
2,347.3
$
2,217.8
$
2,075.2
$
129.5
6
%
Non-Interest Income
1,206.0
1,275.4
1,243.4
(69.4)
(5)
%
Total Revenue
3,553.3
3,493.2
3,318.6
60.1
2
%
Net Charge-offs
$
927.5
       
$
806.0
       
$
1,066.6
    
121.5
15
%
Allowance Build
114.1
       
75.0
         
126.6
       
39.1
52
%
Other
(43.5)
        
(13.1)
        
(11.4)
        
(30.4)
n/a
Provision for Loan Losses
998.1
       
867.9
       
1,181.8
    
130.2
15
%
Marketing Expenses
$
395.7
       
$
368.5
       
$
447.4
       
27.2
7
%
Operating Expenses
1,590.5
    
1,358.1
    
1,241.7
    
232.4
17
%
Tax Rate
31.3
%
34.6
%
37.3
%
n/a
(330)
bps
Net Income After Tax
$
390.7
$
587.8
$
280.3
$
(197.1)
(34)
%
Shares Used to Compute Diluted EPS (MM)
343.8
310.4
287.7
n/a
10.76
%
Diluted EPS
$
1.14
$
1.89
$
0.97
$
(0.75)
(40)
%
Net Interest Margin
6.40
%
6.95
%
7.53
%
n/a
(55)
bps
Revenue Margin
9.69
10.95
12.04
n/a
(126)
bps
Return on Managed Assets
0.96
1.68
0.94
n/a
(72)
bps
Return on Equity
8.53
14.42
8.95
n/a
(589)
bps


7
Credit
loss
and
delinquency
rates
reflect
the
offsetting
impacts
of
the North Fork acquisition and credit normalization
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Monthly Managed
Net Charge-off Rate
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
Monthly Managed $30+ Day
Delinquency Rate
4.37%
4.13%
4.10%
4.14%
Quarterly
Charge-off
Rate
4.53%
2.65%
2.75%
Bankruptcy
Filing Spike
2.92%
2.99%
3.02%


8
Credit normalization and loan growth drove modest increases in
both provision and allowance
Charge-offs and Allowance for Loan Losses ($Millions)
Finance Charge & Fee Revenue Recognition ($Millions)
Q406/Q306 Change
Q406
Q306
Q405
$
%bps
Managed Net Charge-offs
$
927.5
        
$
806.0
        
$
1,066.6
    
$
121.5
15
%
Allowance Build/(Release)
114.1
        
75.0
          
126.6
        
39.1
52
%
Other
(43.5)
         
(13.1)
         
(11.4)
         
(30.4)
n/a
Managed Provision for Loan Losses
998.1
        
867.9
        
1,181.8
    
130.2
15
%
Reported Loans
$
96,512
$
63,612
$
59,848
$
32,900
52
%
Allowance for Loan Losses
2,180
1,840
1,790
340
18
%
Reported $30+  Day Delinquencies
2,648
2,060
1,879
588
29
%
Reported $30+  Delinquency Rate
2.74
%
3.24
%
3.14
%
n/a
(50)
bps
Reported Net Charge-off Rate
2.37
2.36
3.70
n/a
1
bps
Q406/Q306 Change
Q406
Q306
Q405
$
%
Amounts Billed to Customers
   but not Recognized as Revenue
$
248.3
$
226.3
$
227.9
$
22.0
10
%


9
US card continued to deliver solid loan and profit growth in 2006
5.70%
2.93%
3.29%
4.69%
3.39%
3.82%
3.44%
3.86%
3.31%
3.30%
3.53%
3.74%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Credit Risk Metrics
(1) Based on internal allocations of consolidated results
Managed 30+
Delinquency Rate
Managed Net
Charge-off Rate
Highlights
2006 NIAT up $214M from 2005
Q406 NIAT up $100M from Q405
Risk metrics reflect seasonality and
post-bankruptcy spike normalization
Managed loans of $54B, up 8.4% from
2005
Purchase volume up 13% from 2005
Purchase volume up 7.5% from Q405
Revenue margin down 105bp from
Q306, and 191bp from Q405
Despite continued intense competition,
portfolio attrition is at historically low
levels
Net Income After Tax
(1)
($M)
$1,000.8
$1,181.2
$1,387.3
$1,609.4
$1,823.4
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006


10
3.89%
3.70%
3.90%
3.63%
4.33%
4.09%
2.97%
2.86%
2.82%
2.90%
2.83%
2.93%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
GFS continued to deliver strong loan and profit growth in 2006
Credit Risk Metrics
(1) Based on internal allocations of consolidated results
Managed Net
Charge-off Rate
Managed 30+
Delinquency Rate
Highlights
Net income up $88M, or 47%, in 2006
Q4 net income of $2M, down $5M from Q405
Loan growth of $3.6B, or 15%, in 2006
Revenue margin down 20bp since Q306, and
down 29bp since Q405
Risk metrics remain relatively stable
North American GFS businesses continue to
drive strong loan and profit growth
UK business continues to face a challenging
credit environment
$64.8
$213.1
$186.0
$274.0
($8.1)
($50)
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Net Income After Tax
(1)
($M)


11
2.85%
2.34%
2.54%
3.32%
1.54%
2.35%
6.35%
5.18%
4.55%
3.57%
5.71%
4.65%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Q305
Q405
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Auto Finance delivered strong loan and profit growth in 2006
Credit Risk Metrics
(1) Based on internal allocations of consolidated results
Managed Net
Charge-off Rate
Managed 30+
Delinquency Rate
Highlights
Net income up $101M, or 76%, in 2006
Q4 net income $34M, in line with Q405
$3.1B in originations in Q406
$22B in managed loans at 12/31/06
Net interest margin down 16bp from Q306,
and down 95bp from Q405, largely driven by
prime portfolio acquisitions
Credit metrics reflect expected seasonal
impacts, normalization, and targeted risk
expansion in non-prime
While competition remains intense as the
industry consolidates, our multi-channel, full-
spectrum strategy enables us to efficiently
grow loans and profits
$10.3
$99.3
$163.8
$132.1
$233.5
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Net Income After Tax
(1)
($M)


12
$35.4
$35.3
$35.7
$35.3
$13.2
$13.2
$13.3
$12.1
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Banking delivered solid and stable performance in 2006
Deposit and Loan Portfolio ($B)
$43.3
$43.3
$46.2
$45.7
$0
$20
$40
$60
Q106
Q206
Q306
Q406
Net Income After Tax
(1)
($M)
(1) Based on internal allocations of consolidated results
Loans
Deposits
Highlights
NIAT of $45.7M in Q406; $178M in 2006
Loans grew modestly in the quarter, but were
offset by $1.5B of mortgage sales
Deposits declined in hurricane impacted
areas, and were partially offset by growth in
the rest of the branch network
Strong credit in hurricane impacted areas led
to a $26M allowance release
Opened 39 de novo branches since the
beginning of 2006
31 opened in 2006
8 opened in early 2007
Hibernia integration expected to be
completed
February
2007
On
track
to
achieve 2007 synergies
North Fork integration underway