EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 234,120     $ 232,089     $ 692,737     $ 690,432  
Premiums earned
    52,057       51,892       155,719       155,988  
Service agreement revenue
    8,340       7,470       23,480       22,186  
 
                               
Total operating revenue
    294,517       291,451       871,936       868,606  
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
    195,297       200,913       577,754       576,768  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    37,185       30,766       104,768       92,789  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    12,311       13,090       36,592       36,779  
 
                               
Total operating expenses
    244,793       244,769       719,114       706,336  
 
                               
Investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
    10,218       12,233       33,357       40,350  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (41,356 )     3,438       (80,202 )     7,550  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    1,057       14,169       20,310       46,867  
 
                               
Total investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
    (30,081 )     29,840       (26,535 )     94,767  
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
  19,643     76,522       126,287       257,037  
Provision for income taxes
    6,011       23,669       40,550       79,767  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax
    (9,384 )     643       (10,197 )     3,074  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 4,248     $ 53,496     $ 75,540     $ 180,344  
 
                               
Net income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.08     $ 0.97     $ 1.45     $ 3.17  
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
    0.07       0.87       1.30       2.87  
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  15.92     145.92       216.59       482.27  
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
    51,376,513       55,183,547       51,984,203       56,727,315  
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
    57,533,591       61,370,219       58,141,281       62,935,587  
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  2,551     2,559       2,551       2,568  
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.44     $ 0.40     $ 1.32     $ 1.20  
 
                               
Class B common stock
    66.00       60.00       198.00       180.00  
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Management operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 247,723     $ 245,585     $ 733,131     $ 730,691  
Service agreement revenue
    8,340       7,470       23,480       22,186  
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
    256,063       253,055       756,611       752,877  
Cost of management operations
    206,652       212,601       611,426       610,377  
 
                               
Income from management operations
    49,411       40,454       145,185       142,500  
 
                               
Insurance underwriting operations
                               
Premiums earned
    52,057       51,892       155,719       155,988  
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    37,185       30,766       104,768       92,789  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,559       14,898       43,313       43,429  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    51,744       45,664       148,081       136,218  
 
                               
Underwriting income
    313       6,228       7,638       19,770  
 
                               
Investment operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
    10,218       12,233       33,357       40,350  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (41,356 )     3,438       (80,202 )     7,550  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    1,057       14,169       20,310       46,867  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
    (10,090 )     692       (10,965 )     3,304  
 
                               
Net (loss) revenue from investment operations
    (40,171 )     30,532       (37,500 )     98,071  
 
                               
Income before income taxes
    9,553       77,214       115,323       260,341  
Provision for income taxes
    5,305       23,718       39,783       79,997  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 4,248     $ 53,496     $ 75,540     $ 180,344  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.08     $ 0.97     $ 1.45     $ 3.17  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
    0.07       0.87       1.30       2.87  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
    15.92       145.92       216.59       482.27  
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  57,534     61,370       58,141       62,936  
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships includes the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended September 30, 2008 and 2007:

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(in thousands, except per share data)                                
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating income
  $ 31,129     $ 51,261     $ 127,671     $ 175,436  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (41,356 )     3,438       (80,202 )     7,550  
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
    14,475       (1,203 )     28,071       (2,642 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
    (26,881 )     2,235       (52,131 )     4,908  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 4,248     $ 53,496     $ 75,540     $ 180,344  
 
                               
 
  Three
  Three   Nine   Nine
 
  months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
 
  September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
 
  2008   2007   2008   2007
 
                               
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Per Class A share – diluted:
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.54   $ 0.84   $ 2.20   $ 2.79
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (0.72 )   0.05   (1.38 )   0.12
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  0.25   (0.02 )   0.48   (0.04 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (0.47 )   0.03   (0.90 )   0.08
 
                               
Net income
  $ 0.07   $ 0.87   $ 1.30   $ 2.87
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    September 30,   December 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)        
Assets
               
Investments
               
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 596,728   $ 703,406
Equity securities
  68,868   218,270
Trading securities, at fair value
  74,506   0
Other invested assets
  313,206   297,059
 
               
Total investments
  1,053,308   1,218,735
Cash and cash equivalents
  18,158   31,070
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance
  42,264   59,046
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  261,020   243,612
Receivables from affiliates
  1,185,975   1,177,830
Other assets
  174,201   148,330
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,734,926   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 995,603   $ 1,026,531
Unearned premiums
  445,831   421,263
Other liabilities
  359,709   379,550
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,801,143   1,827,344
Total shareholders’ equity
  933,783   1,051,279
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,734,926   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 16.24   $ 17.68
 
               
Shares outstanding
  57,499   59,461
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis)
                               
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 989,291   $ 981,539   $ 2,937,724   $ 2,927,965
 
                               
Premiums earned
  956,771   953,878   2,857,056   2,859,727
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  695,208   547,077   1,900,836   1,662,200
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  271,140   272,741   810,256   811,512
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  966,348   819,818   2,711,092   2,473,712
 
                               
Direct underwriting (loss) income
  (9,577 )   134,060   145,964   386,015
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
  831   (3,342 )   486   (6,892 )
Assumed involuntary
  15,497   (5,802 )   13,092   16,477
Less: Ceded
  (3,313 )   5,824   14,984   20,482
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting income (loss)
  19,641   (14,968 )   (1,406 )   (10,897 )
 
                               
 
               
Net underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 10,064   $ 119,092   $ 144,558   $ 375,118
 
                               
 
                           
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis)
                           
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
  5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 554   $ 6,550   $ 7,951   $ 20,631
SAP to GAAP adjustments
  (241 )   (322 )   (313 )   (861 )
 
                               
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis)
  $ 313   $ 6,228   $ 7,638   $ 19,770
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP basis)
               
Net basis:
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
  70.7 %   58.6 %   66.7 %   58.8 %
Underwriting ratio
  27.0   27.3   27.2   27.0
Policyholder dividends ratio
    0.2   0.1   0.2
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
  97.7   86.1   94.0   86.0
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
  93.6   82.3   89.8   81.8
 
                           
Direct business:
                           
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – redundancy
  (0.4 )   (7.8 )   (3.2 )   (7.5 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
  (1.0 )   (1.0 )   (2.0 )   (2.0 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
  (1.4 )   (8.8 )   (5.2 )   (9.5 )
 
                               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
  5.6   3.4   3.4   2.0
Erie Indemnity Company
                               
GAAP combined ratio
  99.4   88.0   95.1   87.3
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
  5.7   3.4   3.4   2.0

SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    September 30,   September 30,   September 30,   September 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Statutory accounting basis   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Premiums earned
  $ 902,260   $ 899,455   $ 2,694,802   $ 2,702,322
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
                               
underwriting expenses
  892,731   786,908   2,558,171   2,347,799
 
                               
Net underwriting income
  9,529   112,547   136,631   354,523
 
                               
Total investment (loss) income
  (269,878 )   109,933   (294,141 )   459,514
 
                               
(Loss) income before income taxes
  (260,349 )   222,480   (157,510 )   814,037
Federal income tax expense
  15,800   101,778   129,164   284,297
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  ($276,149 )   $ 120,702   ($286,674 )   $ 529,740
 
                               
                 
    As of   As of
    September 30,   December 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Statutory accounting basis
  (Unaudited)
       
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,298,134   $ 8,927,997
Other assets
  1,469,154   1,033,852
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,767,288   $ 9,961,849
 
               
Loss, loss adjustments expense and
               
unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,941,535   $ 4,848,549
Other liabilities
  405,337   345,776
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,346,872   5,194,325
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,420,416   4,767,524
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,767,288   $ 9,961,849
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Nine months   Nine months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    September 30,   September 30,   %   September 30,   September 30,   %
    2008   2007   Change   2008   2007   Change
(dollars in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $ 122,011   $ 120,242   1.5 %   $ 352,065   $ 347,611   1.3 %
Homeowners
  52,266   51,589   1.3   141,806   140,248   1.1
Commercial multi-peril
  25,877   25,491   1.5   84,570   84,371   0.2
Commercial auto
  18,351   18,546   -1.1   60,707   61,463   -1.2
Workers compensation
  15,831   17,462   -9.3   56,535   61,758   -8.5
All other lines of business
  12,987   12,055   7.7   38,748   36,540   6.0
 
                                               
 
  247,323   245,385   0.8   734,431   731,991   0.3
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  400   200           (1,300 )   (1,300 )        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $ 247,723   $ 245,585   0.9 %   $ 733,131   $ 730,691   0.3 %
 
                                               
Management fee rate
  25.00 %   25.00 %           25.00 %   25.00 %        
 
                                               

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )%     1,373,763       1.4 %     298,361       4.6 %     3,309,071       0.5 %
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
09/30/2007
    1,649,801       0.8       1,408,114       2.5       316,786       6.2       3,374,701       2.0  
12/31/2007
    1,651,234       1.1       1,413,712       2.6       321,431       6.6       3,386,377       2.2  
03/31/2008
    1,655,869       1.2       1,420,250       2.6       325,926       6.7       3,402,045       2.3  
06/30/2008
    1,667,446       1.4       1,433,504       2.5       332,922       6.8       3,433,872       2.4  
09/30/2008
    1,677,151       1.7       1,446,779       2.7       340,566       7.5       3,464,496       2.7  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8 %     217,763       2.3 %     54,379       (4.4 )%     92,687       2.9 %     484,384       1.2 %
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
09/30/2007
    122,154       2.2       226,302       3.9       54,341       (0.1 )     96,167       3.8       498,964       3.0  
12/31/2007
    122,558       2.3       228,214       4.4       54,720       1.5       96,464       4.1       501,956       3.5  
03/31/2008
    122,882       2.5       229,577       4.7       54,927       2.7       96,511       3.9       503,897       3.8  
06/30/2008
    123,955       1.9       234,393       4.8       55,801       3.4       97,745       3.3       511,894       3.7  
09/30/2008
    124,418       1.9       236,994       4.7       56,381       3.8       98,786       2.7       516,579       3.5  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6 %
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  
09/30/2007
    3,873,665       2.1  
12/31/2007
    3,888,333       2.4  
03/31/2008
    3,905,942       2.5  
06/30/2008
    3,945,766       2.5  
09/30/2008
    3,981,075       2.8  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
09/30/2006
    90.5 %     87.8 %     89.2 %     86.0 %     85.8 %     86.7 %     89.2 %
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  
09/30/2007
    91.3       88.2       90.1       86.1       86.8       87.5       90.0  
12/31/2007
    91.5       88.2       90.3       86.0       86.8       87.8       90.2  
03/31/2008
    91.6       88.4       90.5       86.5       87.6       87.9       90.4  
06/30/2008
    91.6       87.9       90.7       86.2       87.5       88.1       90.4  
09/30/2008
    91.7       87.8       91.0       86.0       87.2       88.2       90.5  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
09/30/2006
  $ 1,122       (4.8 )%   $ 530       (2.9 )%   $ 348       0.3 %   $ 806       (4.7) %
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
09/30/2007
    1,093       (2.6 )     519       (2.1 )     352       1.1       783       (2.9 )
12/31/2007
    1,092       (1.6 )     518       (1.5 )     353       1.1       782       (1.9 )
03/31/2008
    1,091       (0.8 )     518       (1.1 )     354       1.4       781       (1.3 )
06/30/2008
    1,088       (0.5 )     514       (1.2 )     353       0.6       777       (1.1 )
09/30/2008
    1,086       (0.6 )     511       (1.5 )     354       0.6       774       (1.1 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
09/30/2006
  $ 2,705       (3.0 )%   $ 6,047       (0.9 )%   $ 1,669       (1.5 )%   $ 2,416       (3.0 )%
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
09/30/2007
    2,600       (3.9 )     5,780       (4.4 )     1,592       (4.6 )     2,295       (5.0 )
12/31/2007
    2,577       (4.1 )     5,602       (6.4 )     1,581       (4.6 )     2,262       (5.5 )
03/31/2008
    2,568       (3.6 )     5,453       (7.8 )     1,576       (4.0 )     2,240       (5.3 )
06/30/2008
    2,530       (3.7 )     5,236       (11.3 )     1,546       (4.3 )     2,187       (6.3 )
09/30/2008
    2,514       (3.3 )     5,067       (12.3 )     1,536       (3.5 )     2,157       (6.0 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
09/30/2006
  $ 1,011       (4.2 )%
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )
09/30/2007
    978       (3.3 )
12/31/2007
    973       (2.8 )
03/31/2008
    969       (2.2 )
06/30/2008
    960       (2.4 )
09/30/2008
    953       (2.6 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months ended   Three Months ended
    September 30, 2008   September 30, 2007
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
  Calendar*   Development           Year           Development           Year
 
          Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private passenger auto
  82.9 %   -3.5 %   0.6 %   85.8 %   79.0 %   -10.4 %   0.7 %   88.7 %
Homeowners
  116.6 %   0.8 %   4.0 %   111.8 %   87.0 %   -1.6 %   2.2 %   86.4 %
Other personal lines
  68.2 %   -11.4 %   0.2 %   79.4 %   78.3 %   -0.4 %   0.2 %   78.5 %
Total personal lines
  91.6 %   -2.6 %   4.8 %   89.4 %   81.3 %   -7.5 %   3.0 %   85.8 %
Commercial multi-peril
  119.2 %   4.2 %   0.8 %   114.2 %   94.0 %   -9.6 %   0.2 %   103.4 %
Commercial auto
  81.0 %   0.0 %   0.0 %   81.0 %   70.3 %   -17.7 %   0.1 %   87.9 %
Workers compensation
  115.8 %   6.6 %   0.0 %   109.2 %   84.9 %   -1.7 %   0.0 %   86.6 %
Other commercial lines
  144.3 %   22.7 %   0.0 %   121.6 %   73.3 %   10.7 %   0.0 %   62.6 %
Total commercial lines
  109.4 %   4.9 %   0.8 %   103.7 %   83.6 %   -8.4 %   0.4 %   91.6 %
Grand total – direct business only
  96.6 %   -0.4 %   5.6 %   91.4 %   81.7 %   -7.8 %   3.4 %   86.1 %
                                                                 
    Nine Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
    September 30, 2008   September 30, 2007
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
  Calendar*   Development           Year           Development           Year
 
          Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                               
Private passenger auto
  83.8 %   -5.7 %   0.4 %   89.1 %   79.6 %   -11.4 %   0.3 %   90.7 %
Homeowners
  98.3 %   -3.3 %   2.4 %   99.2 %   84.9 %   -2.4 %   1.4 %   85.9 %
Other personal lines
  75.5 %   -6.4 %   0.1 %   81.8 %   85.6 %   4.2 %   0.1 %   81.3 %
Total personal lines
  87.5 %   -5.1 %   2.9 %   89.7 %   81.3 %   -8.3 %   1.8 %   87.8 %
Commercial multi-peril
  100.8 %   0.0 %   0.4 %   100.4 %   90.4 %   -4.6 %   0.1 %   94.9 %
Commercial auto
  79.3 %   -6.6 %   0.1 %   85.8 %   73.5 %   -13.6 %   0.1 %   87.0 %
Workers compensation
  107.0 %   5.9 %   0.0 %   101.1 %   88.3 %   1.1 %   0.0 %   87.2 %
Other commercial lines
  108.5 %   23.0 %   0.0 %   85.5 %   55.9 %   -4.7 %   0.0 %   60.6 %
Total commercial lines
  97.0 %   1.3 %   0.5 %   95.2 %   82.8 %   -5.6 %   0.2 %   88.2 %
Grand total – direct business only
  90.3 %   -3.2 %   3.4 %   90.1 %   81.8 %   -7.5 %   2.0 %   87.3 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
       
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                               

11