EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 241,646     $ 242,324     $ 458,617     $ 458,343  
Premiums earned
    51,736       52,122       103,662       104,096  
Service agreement revenue
    7,748       7,299       15,139       14,717  
 
                               
Total operating revenue
    301,130       301,745       577,418       577,156  
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
    201,338       195,969       382,456       375,855  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    33,823       29,789       67,583       62,023  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    12,281       11,695       24,281       23,689  
 
                               
Total operating expenses
    247,442       237,453       474,320       461,567  
 
                               
Investment income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
    11,467       14,138       23,139       28,116  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (14,267 )     2,222       (38,846 )     4,112  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    11,275       20,180       19,253       32,698  
 
                               
Total investment income – unaffiliated
    8,475       36,540       3,546       64,926  
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
    62,163       100,832       106,644       180,515  
Provision for income taxes
    20,288       31,505       34,539       56,098  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax
    (560 )     1,159       (813 )     2,430  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 41,315     $ 70,486     $ 71,292     $ 126,847  
 
                               
Net income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.80     $ 1.22     $ 1.36     $ 2.19  
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
    0.71       1.11       1.22       1.99  
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    116.10       187.31       200.67       336.32  
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
    51,754,896       57,337,436       52,291,387       57,513,372  
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
    57,898,022       63,556,114       58,434,513       63,734,450  
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    2,551       2,571       2,551       2,572  
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.44     $ 0.40     $ 0.88     $ 0.80  
 
                               
Class B common stock
    66.00       60.00       132.00       120.00  
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Management operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 255,809     $ 256,462     $ 485,408     $ 485,106  
Service agreement revenue
    7,748       7,299       15,139       14,717  
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
    263,557       263,761       500,547       499,823  
Cost of management operations
    213,114       207,392       404,774       397,777  
 
                               
Income from management operations
    50,443       56,369       95,773       102,046  
 
                               
Insurance underwriting operations
                               
Premiums earned
    51,736       52,122       103,662       104,096  
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    33,823       29,789       67,583       62,023  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,668       14,410       28,754       28,530  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    48,491       44,199       96,337       90,553  
 
                               
Underwriting income
    3,245       7,923       7,325       13,543  
 
                               
Investment operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
    11,467       14,138       23,139       28,116  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (14,267 )     2,222       (38,846 )     4,112  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    11,275       20,180       19,253       32,698  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
    (602 )     1,247       (874 )     2,613  
 
                               
Net revenue from investment operations
    7,873       37,787       2,672       67,539  
 
                               
Income before income taxes
    61,561       102,079       105,770       183,128  
Provision for income taxes
    20,246       31,593       34,478       56,281  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 41,315     $ 70,486     $ 71,292     $ 126,847  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.80     $ 1.22     $ 1.36     $ 2.19  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
    0.71       1.11       1.22       1.99  
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
    116.10       187.31       200.67       336.32  
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  57,898     63,556       58,435       63,734  
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended June 30, 2008 and 2007:

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(in thousands, except per share data)                                
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating income
  $ 50,589     $ 69,042     $ 96,542     $ 124,174  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (14,267 )     2,222       (38,846 )     4,112  
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
    4,993       (778 )     13,596       (1,439 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
    (9,274 )     1,444       (25,250 )     2,673  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 41,315     $ 70,486     $ 71,292     $ 126,847  
 
                               
 
  Three months   Three months   Six months   Six months
 
  ended   ended   ended   ended
 
  June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
 
  2008   2007   2008   2007
 
                               
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Per Class A share – diluted:
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.87   $ 1.09   $ 1.65   $ 1.95
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (0.25 )   0.03   (0.66 )   0.06
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  0.09   (0.01 )   0.23   (0.02 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (0.16 )   0.02   (0.43 )   0.04
 
                               
Net income
  $ 0.71   $ 1.11   $ 1.22   $ 1.99
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    June 30,   December 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)        
Assets
               
Investments
               
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 630,116   $ 703,406
Equity securities
  99,754   218,270
Trading securities, at fair value
  91,133   0
Other invested assets
  313,905   297,059
 
               
Total investments
  1,134,908   1,218,735
Cash and cash equivalents
  16,201   31,070
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance
  56,540   59,046
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  257,658   243,612
Receivables from affiliates
  1,170,534   1,177,830
Other assets
  168,911   148,330
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,804,752   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,004,553   $ 1,026,531
Unearned premiums
  437,094   421,263
Other liabilities
  391,571   379,550
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,833,218   1,827,344
Total shareholders’ equity
  971,534   1,051,279
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,804,752   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 16.89   $ 17.68
 
               
Shares outstanding
  57,519   59,461
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis)
                               
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 1,030,036   $ 1,028,247   $ 1,948,432   $ 1,946,425
 
                               
Premiums earned
  962,466   963,691   1,900,286   1,905,849
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  602,238   542,795   1,205,628   1,115,123
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  284,255   281,669   539,118   538,771
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  886,493   824,464   1,744,746   1,653,894
 
                               
Direct underwriting income
  75,973   139,227   155,540   251,955
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
  (555 )   (652 )   (345 )   (3,550 )
Assumed involuntary
  (1,614 )   23,643   (2,405 )   22,279
Less: Ceded
  9,253   6,843   18,296   14,659
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting (loss) income
  (11,422 )   16,148   (21,046 )   4,070
 
                               
 
               
Net underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 64,551   $ 155,375   $ 134,494   $ 256,025
 
                               
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
  5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %   5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 3,550   $ 8,546   $ 7,397   $ 14,081
SAP to GAAP adjustments
  (305 )   (623 )   (72 )   (538 )
 
                               
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis)
  $ 3,245   $ 7,923   $ 7,325   $ 13,543
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP basis)
                   
Net basis:
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
  63.8 %   55.6 %   64.7 %   58.9 %
Underwriting ratio
  27.4   26.7   27.3   26.9
Policyholder dividends ratio
  0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
  91.2   82.4   92.1   86.0
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
  87.0   77.7   88.0   81.5
 
                           
Direct business:
                           
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – redundancy
  (3.9 )   (4.3 )   (4.6 )   (7.4 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
  (1.6 )   (1.8 )   (2.4 )   (2.4 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
  (5.5 )   (6.1 )   (7.0 )   (9.8 )
 
                               
 
                           
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
  2.9   2.1   2.3   1.3
 
                           
Erie Indemnity Company
                           
GAAP combined ratio
  93.7   84.8   92.9   87.0
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
  3.0   2.2   2.3   1.3

SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2008   2007   2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                                
Statutory accounting basis   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Premiums earned
  $ 905,050   $ 913,316   $ 1,792,542   $ 1,802,867
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
                               
underwriting expenses
  844,022   766,464   1,665,440   1,560,891
 
                               
Net underwriting income
  61,028   146,852   127,102   241,976
 
                               
Total investment (loss) income
  (54,492 )   212,935   (24,263 )   349,581
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  6,536   359,787   102,839   591,557
Federal income tax expense
  52,564   110,527   113,364   182,519
 
                               
Net (loss) income
  $ (46,028 )   $ 249,260   $ (10,525 )   $ 409,038
 
                               
                 
    As of   As of
    June 30,   December 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Statutory accounting basis
  (Unaudited)
       
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,743,798   $ 8,927,997
Other assets
  1,247,042   1,033,852
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,990,840   $ 9,961,849
 
               
Loss, loss adjustments expense and
               
unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,873,914   $ 4,848,549
Other liabilities
  360,699   345,776
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,234,613   5,194,325
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,756,227   4,767,524
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,990,840   $ 9,961,849
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Six months   Six months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    June 30,   June 30,   %   June 30,   June 30,   %
    2008   2007   Change   2008   2007   Change
(dollars in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $ 120,804   $ 118,693   1.8 %   $ 230,054   $ 227,369   1.2 %
Homeowners
  51,756   51,566   0.4   89,540   88,659   1.0
Commercial multi-peril
  29,950   30,116   -0.6   58,694   58,880   -0.3
Commercial auto
  21,638   22,125   -2.2   42,355   42,916   -1.3
Workers compensation
  19,490   21,321   -8.6   40,704   44,297   -8.1
All other lines of business
  13,871   13,241   4.8   25,761   24,485   5.2
 
                                               
 
  257,509   257,062   0.2   487,108   486,606   0.1
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  (1,700 )   (600 )           (1,700 )   (1,500 )        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $ 255,809   $ 256,462   -0.3 %   $ 485,408   $ 485,106   0.1 %
 
                                               
Management fee rate
  25.00 %   25.00 %           25.00 %   25.00 %        
 
                                               

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )%     1,366,633       1.2 %     294,409       4.2 %     3,298,514       0.2 %
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
09/30/2007
    1,649,801       0.8       1,408,114       2.5       316,786       6.2       3,374,701       2.0  
12/31/2007
    1,651,234       1.1       1,413,712       2.6       321,431       6.6       3,386,377       2.2  
03/31/2008
    1,655,869       1.2       1,420,250       2.6       325,926       6.7       3,402,045       2.3  
06/30/2008
    1,667,446       1.4       1,433,504       2.5       332,922       6.8       3,433,872       2.4  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9 %     217,134       2.4 %     54,871       (4.4 )%     91,568       2.9 %     483,044       1.3 %
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
09/30/2007
    122,154       2.2       226,302       3.9       54,341       (0.1 )     96,167       3.8       498,964       3.0  
12/31/2007
    122,558       2.3       228,214       4.4       54,720       1.5       96,464       4.1       501,956       3.5  
03/31/2008
    122,882       2.5       229,577       4.7       54,927       2.7       96,511       3.9       503,897       3.8  
06/30/2008
    123,955       1.9       234,393       4.8       55,801       3.4       97,745       3.3       511,894       3.7  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4 %
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  
09/30/2007
    3,873,665       2.1  
12/31/2007
    3,888,333       2.4  
03/31/2008
    3,905,942       2.5  
06/30/2008
    3,945,766       2.5  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
06/30/2006
    90.3 %     87.7 %     88.9 %     85.9 %     85.9 %     86.5 %     89.0 %
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  
09/30/2007
    91.3       88.2       90.1       86.1       86.8       87.5       90.0  
12/31/2007
    91.5       88.2       90.3       86.0       86.8       87.8       90.2  
03/31/2008
    91.6       88.4       90.5       86.5       87.6       87.9       90.4  
06/30/2008
    91.6       87.9       90.7       86.2       87.5       88.1       90.4  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
06/30/2006
  $ 1,140       (3.9 )%   $ 535       (2.6 )%   $ 348       0.6 %   $ 818       (3.9) %
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
09/30/2007
    1,093       (2.6 )     519       (2.1 )     352       1.1       783       (2.9 )
12/31/2007
    1,092       (1.6 )     518       (1.5 )     353       1.1       782       (1.9 )
03/31/2008
    1,091       (0.8 )     518       (1.1 )     354       1.4       781       (1.3 )
06/30/2008
    1,088       (0.5 )     514       (1.2 )     353       0.6       777       (1.1 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
06/30/2006
  $ 2,730       (1.8 )%   $ 6,143       0.7 %   $ 1,676       (1.9 )%   $ 2,444       (2.4 )%
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
09/30/2007
    2,600       (3.9 )     5,780       (4.4 )     1,592       (4.6 )     2,295       (5.0 )
12/31/2007
    2,577       (4.1 )     5,602       (6.4 )     1,581       (4.6 )     2,262       (5.5 )
03/31/2008
    2,568       (3.6 )     5,453       (7.8 )     1,576       (4.0 )     2,240       (5.3 )
06/30/2008
    2,530       (3.7 )     5,236       (11.3 )     1,546       (4.3 )     2,187       (6.3 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
06/30/2006
  $ 1,026       (3.3 )%
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )
09/30/2007
    978       (3.3 )
12/31/2007
    973       (2.8 )
03/31/2008
    969       (2.2 )
06/30/2008
    960       (2.4 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months ended   Three Months ended
    June 30, 2008   June 30, 2007
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
  Calendar*   Development           Year           Development           Year
 
          Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private passenger auto
  83.6 %   -2.5 %   0.4 %   85.7 %   76.1 %   -9.6 %   0.2 %   85.5 %
Homeowners
  88.2 %   -9.5 %   2.0 %   95.7 %   89.9 %   3.4 %   1.6 %   84.9 %
Other personal lines
  98.7 %   9.1 %   0.1 %   89.5 %   99.8 %   18.8 %   0.1 %   80.9 %
Total personal lines
  85.5 %   -4.0 %   2.5 %   87.0 %   80.9 %   -4.9 %   2.0 %   83.8 %
Commercial multi-peril
  74.1 %   -17.4 %   0.3 %   91.2 %   83.8 %   -3.3 %   0.1 %   87.0 %
Commercial auto
  94.4 %   4.3 %   0.1 %   90.0 %   72.6 %   -10.8 %   0.0 %   83.4 %
Workers compensation
  115.6 %   6.3 %   0.0 %   109.3 %   77.2 %   4.5 %   0.0 %   72.7 %
Other commercial lines
  63.9 %   1.3 %   0.0 %   62.6 %   49.0 %   -0.6 %   0.0 %   49.6 %
Total commercial lines
  90.1 %   -3.7 %   0.4 %   93.4 %   76.6 %   -3.1 %   0.2 %   79.5 %
Grand total – direct business only
  86.9 %   -3.9 %   2.9 %   87.9 %   79.6 %   -4.3 %   2.1 %   81.8 %
                                                                 
    Six Months Ended   Six Months Ended
    June 30, 2008   June 30, 2007
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
  Calendar*   Development           Year           Development           Year
 
          Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                               
Private passenger auto
  84.3 %   -6.8 %   0.3 %   90.8 %   79.9 %   -12.0 %   0.1 %   91.8 %
Homeowners
  89.2 %   -5.4 %   1.5 %   93.1 %   83.8 %   -2.9 %   1.1 %   85.6 %
Other personal lines
  79.3 %   -3.8 %   0.1 %   83.0 %   89.4 %   6.6 %   0.1 %   82.7 %
Total personal lines
  85.4 %   -6.3 %   1.9 %   89.8 %   81.3 %   -8.7 %   1.3 %   88.7 %
Commercial multi-peril
  91.6 %   -2.1 %   0.3 %   93.4 %   88.7 %   -2.2 %   0.1 %   90.8 %
Commercial auto
  78.6 %   -9.8 %   0.1 %   88.3 %   75.2 %   -11.5 %   0.0 %   86.7 %
Workers compensation
  103.0 %   5.6 %   0.0 %   97.4 %   90.2 %   2.5 %   0.0 %   87.7 %
Other commercial lines
  90.4 %   23.2 %   0.0 %   67.2 %   47.2 %   -12.6 %   0.0 %   59.8 %
Total commercial lines
  90.9 %   -0.5 %   0.4 %   91.0 %   82.6 %   -4.2 %   0.1 %   86.7 %
Grand total – direct business only
  87.1 %   -4.6 %   2.3 %   89.4 %   81.8 %   -7.4 %   1.3 %   87.9 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
       
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                               

11