EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    Three   Three
    months   months
    ended   ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)
Operating revenue
               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 216,971     $ 216,020  
Premiums earned
    51,926       51,974  
Service agreement revenue
    7,391       7,418  
 
               
Total operating revenue
    276,288       275,412  
 
               
Operating expenses
               
Cost of management operations
    181,119       179,886  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    33,760       32,234  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    11,999       11,995  
 
               
Total operating expenses
    226,878       224,115  
 
               
Investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
               
Investment income, net of expenses
    11,672       13,978  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (24,579 )     1,890  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    7,978       12,518  
 
               
Total investment (loss) income – unaffiliated
    (4,929 )     28,386  
 
               
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
    44,481       79,683  
Provision for income taxes
    14,251       24,592  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance, net of tax
    (253 )     1,270  
 
               
Net income
  $ 29,977     $ 56,361  
 
               
Net income per share:
               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.57     $ 0.97  
 
               
Class A common stock – diluted
    0.51       0.88  
 
               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    84.57       149.01  
 
               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
               
Class A common stock – basic
    52,827,878       57,691,289  
 
               
Class A common stock – diluted
    58,965,265       63,906,458  
 
               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
    2,551       2,573  
 
               
Dividends declared per share:
               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.44     $ 0.40  
 
               
Class B common stock
    66.00       60.00  
 
               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    Three   Three
    months   months
    ended   ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)
Management operations
               
Management fee revenue
  $ 229,599     $ 228,645  
Service agreement revenue
    7,391       7,418  
 
               
Total revenue from management operations
    236,990       236,063  
Cost of management operations
    191,660       190,385  
 
               
Income from management operations
    45,330       45,678  
 
               
Insurance underwriting operations
               
Premiums earned
    51,926       51,974  
 
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    33,760       32,234  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    14,086       14,121  
 
               
Total losses and expenses
    47,846       46,355  
 
               
Underwriting income
    4,080       5,619  
 
               
Investment operations
               
Investment income, net of expenses
    11,672       13,978  
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
    (24,579 )     1,890  
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
    7,978       12,518  
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
    (272 )     1,366  
 
               
Net (loss) revenue from investment operations
    (5,201 )     29,752  
 
               
Income before income taxes
    44,209       81,049  
Provision for income taxes
    14,232       24,688  
 
               
Net income
  $ 29,977     $ 56,361  
 
               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.57     $ 0.97  
 
               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
    0.51       0.88  
 
               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
    84.57       149.01  
 
               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  58,965     63,906  
 
               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition of non-GAAP and operating measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. We elected the fair value measurement option for our common stock portfolio effective January 1, 2008. As such, changes in value related to common stocks are reported in earnings. These unrealized gains or losses are included in the net realized losses/gains on investments on the Consolidated Statements of Operations that is used to calculate operating income. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended March 31, 2008 and 2007:

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
               
Operating income
  $ 45,953   $ 55,133
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (24,579 )   1,890
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  8,603   (662 )
 
               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (15,976 )   1,228
 
               
Net income
  $ 29,977   $ 56,361
 
               
 
  Three months   Three months
 
  ended   ended
 
  March 31,   March 31,
 
  2008   2007
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
 
               
Per Class A share – diluted:
               
Operating income
  $ 0.78   $ 0.86
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (0.42 )   0.03
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  0.15   (0.01 )
 
               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (0.27 )   0.02
 
               
Net income
  $ 0.51   $ 0.88
 
               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    March 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007
    (Unaudited)        
Assets
               
Investments
               
Available-for-sale securities, at fair value:
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 659,470   $ 703,406
Equity securities
  107,967   218,270
Trading securities, at fair value
  110,664   0
Other invested assets
  295,019   297,059
 
               
Total investments
  1,173,120   1,218,735
Cash and cash equivalents
  31,201   31,070
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance
  58,977   59,046
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  241,098   243,612
Receivables from affiliates
  1,194,352   1,177,830
Other assets
  152,208   148,330
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,850,956   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,017,054   $ 1,026,531
Unearned premiums
  417,298   421,263
Other liabilities
  420,644   379,550
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,854,996   1,827,344
Total shareholders’ equity
  995,960   1,051,279
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,850,956   $ 2,878,623
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 17.10   $ 17.68
 
               
Shares outstanding
  58,257   59,461
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Property and Casualty Group insurance underwriting operations (SAP basis)
               
Direct underwriting results
               
Direct written premium
  $ 918,396   $ 918,178
 
               
Premiums earned
  937,819   942,157
 
               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  603,390   572,327
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  254,862   257,102
 
               
Total losses and expenses
  858,252   829,429
 
               
Direct underwriting income
  79,567   112,728
 
               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
  210   (2,898 )
Assumed involuntary
  (791 )   (1,364 )
Less: Ceded
  9,043   7,815
 
               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting loss
  (9,624 )   (12,077 )
 
               
 
       
Net underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 69,943   $ 100,651
 
               
 
           
Erie Indemnity insurance underwriting operations (SAP to GAAP basis)
           
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
  5.50 %   5.50 %
 
               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (SAP basis)
  $ 3,847   $ 5,536
SAP to GAAP adjustments
  233   83
 
               
Indemnity underwriting income before tax (GAAP basis)
  $ 4,080   $ 5,619
 
               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP basis)
       
Net basis:
               
Loss and LAE ratio
  65.6 %   62.3 %
Underwriting ratio
  27.3   27.1
Policyholder dividends ratio
  0.1   0.2
 
               
Statutory combined ratio
  93.0   89.6
 
               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
  88.9   85.5
Direct business:
               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – redundancy
  (5.3 )   (10.3 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
  (3.3 )   (3.1 )
 
               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
  (8.6 )   (13.4 )
 
               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
  1.6   0.5
Erie Indemnity Company
               
GAAP combined ratio
  92.1   89.2
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
  1.6   0.5

SAP basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In our opinion, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                 
    Three   Three
    months ended   months ended
    March 31,   March 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Statutory accounting basis   (Unaudited)
Premiums earned
  $ 887,492   $ 889,551
Losses, loss adjustment expenses and
               
underwriting expenses
  821,418   794,427
 
               
Net underwriting income
  66,074   95,124
Total investment income
  30,229   136,646
 
               
Income before income taxes
  96,303   231,770
Federal income tax expense
  60,800   71,992
 
               
Net income
  $ 35,503   $ 159,778
 
               
                 
    As of   As of
    March 31,   December 31,
    2008   2007
(dollars in thousands)                
Statutory accounting basis
  (Unaudited)        
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,811,249   $ 8,927,997
Other assets
  1,142,810   1,033,852
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,954,059   $ 9,961,849
 
               
Loss, loss adjustments expense and
               
unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,826,374   $ 4,848,549
Other liabilities
  406,574   345,776
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,232,948   5,194,325
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,721,111   4,767,524
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,954,059   $ 9,961,849
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                         
    Three months   Three months    
    ended   ended    
    March 31,   March 31,   %
    2008   2007   Change
(dollars in thousands)                        
Private passenger auto
  $ 109,250   $ 108,676   0.5 %
Homeowners
  37,784   37,093   1.9
Commercial multi-peril
  28,744   28,764   -0.1
Workers compensation
  21,214   22,976   -7.7
Commercial auto
  20,718   20,792   -0.4
All other lines of business
  11,889   11,244   5.7
 
                       
 
  229,599   229,545   0.0
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  0   (900 )        
 
                       
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $ 229,599   $ 228,645   0.4 %
 
                       
Management fee rate
  25.00 %   25.00 %        
 
                       

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )%     1,356,885       1.0 %     289,964       3.6 %     3,282,897       (0.1 )%
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
09/30/2007
    1,649,801       0.8       1,408,114       2.5       316,786       6.2       3,374,701       2.0  
12/31/2007
    1,651,234       1.1       1,413,712       2.6       321,431       6.6       3,386,377       2.2  
03/31/2008
    1,655,869       1.2       1,420,250       2.6       325,926       6.7       3,402,045       2.3  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0 %     214,461       2.3 %     55,254       (4.7 )%     90,301       2.8 %     478,603       1.2 %
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
09/30/2007
    122,154       2.2       226,302       3.9       54,341       (0.1 )     96,167       3.8       498,964       3.0  
12/31/2007
    122,558       2.3       228,214       4.4       54,720       1.5       96,464       4.1       501,956       3.5  
03/31/2008
    122,882       2.5       229,577       4.7       54,927       2.7       96,511       3.9       503,897       3.8  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1 %
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  
09/30/2007
    3,873,665       2.1  
12/31/2007
    3,888,333       2.4  
03/31/2008
    3,905,942       2.5  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
03/31/2006
    90.1 %     88.0 %     88.6 %     85.9 %     86.0 %     86.2 %     88.8 %
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  
09/30/2007
    91.3       88.2       90.1       86.1       86.8       87.5       90.0  
12/31/2007
    91.5       88.2       90.3       86.0       86.8       87.8       90.2  
03/31/2008
    91.6       88.4       90.5       86.5       87.6       87.9       90.4  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
03/31/2006
  $ 1,161       (2.7 )%   $ 539       (2.4 )%   $ 349       0.6 %   $ 832       (3.0 )%
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
09/30/2007
    1,093       (2.6 )     519       (2.1 )     352       1.1       783       (2.9 )
12/31/2007
    1,092       (1.6 )     518       (1.5 )     353       1.1       782       (1.9 )
03/31/2008
    1,091       (0.8 )     518       (1.1 )     354       1.4       781       (1.3 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
03/31/2006
  $ 2,778       (0.8 )%   $ 6,270       4.4 %   $ 1,710       (0.6 )%   $ 2,501       (0.5 )%
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
09/30/2007
    2,600       (3.9 )     5,780       (4.4 )     1,592       (4.6 )     2,295       (5.0 )
12/31/2007
    2,577       (4.1 )     5,602       (6.4 )     1,581       (4.6 )     2,262       (5.5 )
03/31/2008
    2,568       (3.6 )     5,453       (7.8 )     1,576       (4.0 )     2,240       (5.3 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
03/31/2006
  $ 1,044       (2.1 )%
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )
09/30/2007
    978       (3.3 )
12/31/2007
    973       (2.8 )
03/31/2008
    969       (2.2 )

CML* = Commercial

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PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months ended   Three Months ended
    March 31, 2008   March 31, 2007
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
  Calendar*   Development           Year           Development           Year
 
          Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private passenger quto
  85.0 %   -11.2 %   0.1 %   96.1 %   83.8 %   -14.4 %   0.0 %   98.2 %
Homeowners
  90.5 %   -1.3 %   1.2 %   90.6 %   78.1 %   -9.1 %   0.5 %   86.7 %
Other personal lines
  59.6 %   -16.9 %   0.1 %   76.4 %   78.9 %   -5.9 %   0.0 %   84.8 %
Total personal lines
  85.3 %   -8.7 %   1.3 %   92.7 %   81.8 %   -12.6 %   0.5 %   93.9 %
Commercial multi-peril
  109.1 %   13.2 %   0.3 %   95.6 %   93.7 %   -1.0 %   0.0 %   94.7 %
Commercial auto
  62.9 %   -23.9 %   0.0 %   86.8 %   77.9 %   -12.3 %   0.0 %   90.2 %
Workers compensation
  90.5 %   4.8 %   0.0 %   85.7 %   102.8 %   0.5 %   0.0 %   102.3 %
Other commercial lines
  117.2 %   45.2 %   0.0 %   72.0 %   45.4 %   -24.8 %   0.0 %   70.2 %
Total commercial lines
  91.7 %   2.8 %   0.3 %   88.6 %   88.7 %   -5.2 %   0.0 %   93.9 %
Grand total – direct business only
  87.3 %   -5.3 %   1.6 %   91.0 %   84.0 %   -10.3 %   0.5 %   93.8 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
       
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                               

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