EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 204,549   $ 202,348   $ 894,981   $ 891,071
Premiums earned
  51,574   52,797   207,562   213,665
Service agreement revenue
  7,562   7,738   29,748   29,246
 
                               
Total operating revenue
  263,685   262,883   1,132,291   1,133,982
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
  178,873   179,897   755,642   742,526
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  33,114   38,369   125,903   139,630
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  12,131   13,143   48,909   52,048
 
                               
Total operating expenses
  224,118   231,409   930,454   934,204
 
                               
Investment income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  12,483   14,102   52,833   55,920
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (12,742 )   2,056   (5,192 )   1,335
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  12,823   12,717   59,690   41,766
 
                               
Total investment income – unaffiliated
  12,564   28,875   107,331   99,021
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  52,131   60,349   309,168   298,799
Provision for income taxes
  19,370   16,542   99,137   99,055
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
  (159 )   1,712   2,914   4,281
 
                               
Net income
  $ 32,602   $ 45,519   $ 212,945   $ 204,025
 
                               
Net income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.61   $ 0.78   $ 3.80   $ 3.45
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  0.55   0.71   3.43   3.13
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  90.23   119.65   572.98   524.87
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  53,550,013   57,782,967   55,928,177   58,827,987
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  59,689,852   64,000,388   62,096,816   65,256,608
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  2,551   2,573   2,563   2,661
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.44   $ 0.40   $ 1.64   $ 1.48
 
                               
Class B common stock
  66.00   60.00   246.00   222.00
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
Management Operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 216,332   $ 214,067   $ 947,023   $ 942,845
Service agreement revenue
  7,562   7,738   29,748   29,246
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
  223,894   221,805   976,771   972,091
Cost of management operations
  189,220   190,332   799,597   785,683
 
                               
Income from management operations
  34,674   31,473   177,174   186,408
 
                               
Insurance Underwriting Operations
                               
Premiums earned
  51,574   52,797   207,562   213,665
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  33,114   38,369   125,903   139,630
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  13,567   14,427   56,996   60,665
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  46,681   52,796   182,899   200,295
 
                               
Underwriting income
  4,893   1   24,663   13,370
 
                               
Investment Operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  12,483   14,102   52,833   55,920
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (12,742 )   2,056   (5,192 )   1,335
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  12,823   12,717   59,690   41,766
Equity in (losses) earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  (171 )   1,841   3,133   4,604
 
                               
Net revenue from investment operations
  12,393   30,716   110,464   103,625
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  51,960   62,190   312,301   303,403
Provision for income taxes
  19,358   16,671   99,356   99,378
 
                               
Net income
  $ 32,602   $ 45,519   $ 212,945   $ 204,025
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.61   $ 0.78   $ 3.80   $ 3.45
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
  0.55   0.71   3.43   3.13
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
  90.23   119.65   572.98   524.87
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  59,690   64,000   62,097   65,257
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition on Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended December 31, 2007 and 2006:

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
                               
Operating income
  $ 40,884   $ 44,183   $ 216,320   $ 203,157
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (12,742 )   2,056   (5,192 )   1,335
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  4,460   (720 )   1,817   (467 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (8,282 )   1,336   (3,375 )   868
 
                               
Net income
  $ 32,602   $ 45,519   $ 212,945   $ 204,025
 
                               
 
  Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
 
  months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
 
  December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
 
    2007     2006   2007   2006
Per Class A Share – Diluted
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
 
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.69   $ 0.69   $ 3.48   $ 3.12
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (0.21 )   0.03   (0.08 )   0.02
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  0.07   (0.01 )   0.03   (0.01 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (0.14 )   0.02   (0.05 )   0.01
 
                               
Net income
  $ 0.55   $ 0.71   $ 3.43   $ 3.13
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 703,406   $ 836,738
Equity securities
               
Preferred stock
  110,180   133,401
Common stock
  108,090   117,246
Other invested assets
  297,059   235,672
 
               
Total investments
  1,218,735   1,323,057
Cash and cash equivalents
  31,070   60,241
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  59,046   57,162
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  243,612   247,187
Receivables from affiliates
  1,177,830   1,238,852
Other assets
  148,330   112,862
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,878,623   $ 3,039,361
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,026,531   $ 1,073,570
Unearned premiums
  421,263   424,282
Other liabilities
  379,550   379,661
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,827,344   1,877,513
Total shareholders’ equity
  1,051,279   1,161,848
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,878,623   $ 3,039,361
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 17.68   $ 18.17
 
               
Shares outstanding
  59,461   63,952
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
                               
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 856,926     $ 860,878     $ 3,784,891     $ 3,803,414  
 
                               
Premiums earned
    926,876       937,324       3,786,603       3,883,694  
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    632,764       720,010       2,294,964       2,530,240  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    236,998       252,601       1,048,510       1,110,923  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    869,762       972,611       3,343,474       3,641,163  
 
                               
Direct underwriting income (loss)
    57,114       (35,287 )     443,129       242,531  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
    19,125       6,701       12,234       16,392  
Assumed involuntary
    (1,468 )     (696 )     15,009       1,905  
Less: Ceded
    (4,202 )     (24,158 )     16,281       (6,598 )
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting income
    21,859       30,163       10,962       24,895  
 
                               
 
                               
Net Underwriting income (loss) (SAP Basis)
  $ 78,973     $ (5,124 )   $ 454,091     $ 267,426  
 
                               
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
    5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting income (loss) (SAP Basis)
  $ 4,344     $ (282 )   $ 24,975     $ 14,708  
Excess-of-loss changes to recoveries under the agreement
    0       (181 )     0       (1,027 )
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    549       464       (312 )     (311 )
 
                               
Indemnity Underwriting income before tax (GAAP Basis)
  $ 4,893     $ 1     $ 24,663     $ 13,370  
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP Basis)
                               
Net basis:
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    66.0 %     74.0 %     60.5 %     64.8 %
Underwriting ratio
    26.9       26.9       27.0       28.2  
Policyholder dividends ratio
    0.2       1.6       0.2       0.5  
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
    93.1       102.5       87.7       93.5  
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
    89.9       99.8       83.8       89.4  
 
                               
Direct business:
                               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – deficiency (redundancy)
    1.2       4.2       (5.3 )     (1.9 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
    (0.9 )     (0.8 )     (1.7 )     (1.6 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
    0.3       3.4       (7.0 )     (3.5 )
 
                               
 
                               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
    0.9       5.0       1.7       4.0  
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Company
                               
GAAP combined ratio
    90.5       100.0       88.1       93.7  
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
    0.9       4.9       1.7       4.0  

SAP Basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
(in thousands)                                
Statutory Accounting Basis
                               
Premiums earned
  $ 869,867   $ 890,510   $ 3,572,189   $ 3,675,705
Losses, LAE and underwriting expenses
  795,191   895,146   3,142,990   3,421,997
 
                               
Net underwriting income (loss)
  74,676   (4,636 )   429,199   253,708
 
                               
Total investment income
  103,573   202,017   563,087   480,771
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  178,249   197,381   992,286   734,479
Federal income tax expense
  87,912   59,259   372,209   229,709
 
                               
Net income
  $ 90,337   $ 138,122   $ 620,077   $ 504,770
 
                               
                 
    As of   As of
    December 31,   December 31,
    2007   2006
(in thousands)                
Statutory Accounting Basis
               
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,927,997   $ 8,494,655
Other assets
  1,033,852   1,021,489
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,961,849   $ 9,516,144
 
               
Loss, loss adjustment expense and
               
unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,848,549   $ 4,993,365
Other liabilities
  345,776   435,683
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,194,325   5,429,048
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,767,524   4,087,096
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,961,849   $ 9,516,144
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Twelve months   Twelve months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    December 31,   December 31,   %   December 31,   December 31,   %
    2007   2006   Change   2007   2006   Change
(in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $ 103,040   $ 101,723   1.3 %   $ 450,651   $ 448,514   0.5 %
Homeowners
  42,973   41,986   2.4   183,221   179,477   2.1
Commercial multi-peril
  24,537   24,454   0.3   108,907   109,040   -0.1
Commercial auto
  17,500   17,757   -1.4   78,963   79,693   -0.9
Workers’ compensation
  14,882   16,603   -10.4   76,641   79,877   -4.1
All other lines of business
  11,300   10,544   7.2   47,840   44,744   6.9
 
                                               
 
  214,232   213,067   0.5   946,223   941,345   0.5
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  2,100   1,000           800   1,500        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $ 216,332   $ 214,067   1.1 %   $ 947,023   $ 942,845   0.4 %
 
                                               
Management fee rate
  25.00 %   24.75 %           25.00 %   24.75 %        
 
                                               

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
12/31/2005
    1,640,563       (1.8 )%     1,353,912       0.5 %     286,604       2.7 %     3,281,079       (0.5 )%
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )     1,356,885       1.0       289,964       3.6       3,282,897       (0.1 )
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
09/30/2007
    1,649,801       0.8       1,408,114       2.5       316,786       6.2       3,374,701       2.0  
12/31/2007
    1,651,234       1.1       1,413,712       2.6       321,431       6.6       3,386,377       2.2  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers’   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
12/31/2005
    118,728       1.2 %     213,347       1.8 %     56,218       (4.6 )%     90,227       2.7 %     478,520       1.0 %
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0       214,461       2.3       55,254       (4.7 )     90,301       2.8       478,603       1.2  
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
09/30/2007
    122,154       2.2       226,302       3.9       54,341       (0.1 )     96,167       3.8       498,964       3.0  
12/31/2007
    122,558       2.3       228,214       4.4       54,720       1.5       96,464       4.1       501,956       3.5  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
12/31/2005
    3,759,599       (0.3 )%
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1  
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  
09/30/2007
    3,873,665       2.1  
12/31/2007
    3,888,333       2.4  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers’   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
12/31/2005
    90.0 %     87.9 %     88.2 %     85.4 %     86.2 %     86.0 %     88.6 %
03/31/2006
    90.1       88.0       88.6       85.9       86.0       86.2       88.8  
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  
09/30/2007
    91.3       88.2       90.1       86.1       86.8       87.5       90.0  
12/31/2007
    91.5       88.2       90.3       86.0       86.8       87.8       90.2  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All Other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
12/31/2005
  $ 1,174       (1.3 )%   $ 543       (0.5 )%   $ 348       0.3 %   $ 841       (1.6 )%
03/31/2006
    1,161       (2.7 )     539       (2.4 )     349       0.6       832       (3.0 )
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
09/30/2007
    1,093       (2.6 )     519       (2.1 )     352       1.1       783       (2.9 )
12/31/2007
    1,092       (1.6 )     518       (1.5 )     353       1.1       782       (1.9 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers’ Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
12/31/2005
  $ 2,781       (0.3 )%   $ 6,212       6.7 %   $ 1,705       (0.1 )%   $ 2,501       0.6 %
03/31/2006
    2,778       (0.8 )     6,270       4.4       1,710       (0.6 )     2,501       (0.5 )
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
09/30/2007
    2,600       (3.9 )     5,780       (4.4 )     1,592       (4.6 )     2,295       (5.0 )
12/31/2007
    2,577       (4.1 )     5,602       (6.4 )     1,581       (4.6 )     2,262       (5.5 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
12/31/2005
  $ 1,052       (0.8 )%
03/31/2006
    1,044       (2.1 )
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )
09/30/2007
    978       (3.3 )
12/31/2007
    973       (2.8 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months ended   Three Months ended
    December 31, 2007   December 31, 2006
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private Passenger Auto
  101.1 %   1.4 %   0.1 %   99.6 %   101.8 %   0.2 %   0.4 %   101.2 %
Homeowners
  71.9 %   0.2 %   0.6 %   71.1 %   82.4 %   0.7 %   3.0 %   78.7 %
Other Personal Lines
  64.4 %   -11.2 %   0.0 %   75.6 %   118.8 %   36.3 %   0.2 %   82.3 %
Total Personal
  91.5 %   0.5 %   0.7 %   90.3 %   97.2 %   1.7 %   3.6 %   91.9 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  83.9 %   0.6 %   0.2 %   83.1 %   104.6 %   13.5 %   1.3 %   89.8 %
Commercial Auto
  74.7 %   -9.7 %   0.0 %   84.4 %   88.9 %   -6.6 %   0.0 %   95.5 %
Workers’ Compensation
  137.1 %   33.2 %   0.0 %   103.9 %   137.3 %   20.8 %   0.0 %   116.5 %
Other Commercial Lines
  14.2 %   -50.2 %   0.0 %   64.4 %   143.7 %   9.9 %   0.0 %   133.8 %
Total Commercial
  90.7 %   2.8 %   0.2 %   87.7 %   112.0 %   9.8 %   1.3 %   100.9 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  91.2 %   1.2 %   0.9 %   89.1 %   101.7 %   4.2 %   5.0 %   92.5 %
            Twelve Months ended               Twelve Months ended        
            December 31, 2007                   December 31, 2006        
         
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                               
Private Passenger Auto
  85.0 %   -8.2 %   0.3 %   92.9 %   92.2 %   -2.2 %   0.4 %   94.0 %
Homeowners
  81.6 %   -1.8 %   1.2 %   82.2 %   85.7 %   -3.4 %   2.6 %   86.5 %
Other Personal Lines
  80.1 %   0.2 %   0.1 %   79.8 %   97.5 %   18.0 %   0.2 %   79.3 %
Total Personal
  83.9 %   -6.1 %   1.6 %   88.4 %   90.6 %   -1.7 %   3.2 %   89.1 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  88.7 %   -3.3 %   0.1 %   91.9 %   89.2 %   0.0 %   0.7 %   88.5 %
Commercial Auto
  73.7 %   -12.6 %   0.0 %   86.3 %   81.7 %   -5.0 %   0.1 %   86.6 %
Workers’ Compensation
  99.9 %   8.8 %   0.0 %   91.1 %   93.8 %   -2.0 %   0.0 %   95.8 %
Other Commercial Lines
  45.2 %   -16.3 %   0.0 %   61.5 %   89.5 %   -3.9 %   0.0 %   93.4 %
Total Commercial
  84.7 %   -3.5 %   0.2 %   88.0 %   88.5 %   -2.2 %   0.8 %   89.9 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  84.1 %   -5.3 %   1.7 %   87.7 %   90.0 %   -1.9 %   4.0 %   87.9 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                               
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                       

11