EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue, net
  $ 242,324   $ 237,233   $ 458,343   $ 457,334
Premiums earned
  52,122   53,825   104,096   107,852
Service agreement revenue
  7,299   6,506   14,717   14,098
 
                               
Total operating revenue
  301,745   297,564   577,156   579,284
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
  195,969   189,939   375,855   373,093
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  29,789   38,635   62,023   68,688
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  11,695   12,079   23,689   26,580
 
                               
Total operating expenses
  237,453   240,653   461,567   468,361
 
                               
Investment income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  14,138   14,603   28,116   29,603
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,222   (632 )   4,112   152
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  20,180   14,058   32,698   18,200
 
                               
Total investment income – unaffiliated
  36,540   28,029   64,926   47,955
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  100,832   84,940   180,515   158,878
Provision for income taxes
  31,505   30,015   56,098   55,092
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
  1,159   1,330   2,430   1,935
 
                               
Net income
  $ 70,486   $ 56,255   $ 126,847   $ 105,721
 
                               
Net income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 1.22   $ 0.95   $ 2.19   $ 1.76
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  1.11   0.86   1.99   1.59
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  187.31   144.90   336.32   265.30
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  57,337,436   59,063,615   57,513,372   59,842,796
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  63,556,114   65,554,096   63,734,450   66,527,677
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  2,571   2,670   2,572   2,751
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.40   $ 0.36   $ 0.80   $ 0.72
 
                               
Class B common stock
  60.00   54.00   120.00   108.00
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Management Operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 256,462   $ 251,104   $ 485,106   $ 484,039
Service agreement revenue
  7,299   6,506   14,717   14,098
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
  263,761   257,610   499,823   498,137
Cost of management operations
  207,392   201,028   397,777   394,854
 
                               
Income from management operations
  56,369   56,582   102,046   103,283
 
                               
Insurance Underwriting Operations
                               
Premiums earned
  52,122   53,825   104,096   107,852
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  29,789   38,635   62,023   68,688
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  14,410   14,861   28,530   31,524
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  44,199   53,496   90,553   100,212
 
                               
Underwriting gain
  7,923   329   13,543   7,640
 
                               
Investment Operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  14,138   14,603   28,116   29,603
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,222   (632 )   4,112   152
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  20,180   14,058   32,698   18,200
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  1,247   1,430   2,613   2,081
 
                               
Net revenue from investment operations
  37,787   29,459   67,539   50,036
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  102,079   86,370   183,128   160,959
Provision for income taxes
  31,593   30,115   56,281   55,238
 
                               
Net income
  $ 70,486   $ 56,255   $ 126,847   $ 105,721
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 1.22   $ 0.95   $ 2.19   $ 1.76
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
  1.11   0.86   1.99   1.59
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
  187.31   144.90   336.32   265.30
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  63,556   65,554   63,734   66,528
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items.

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition on Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended June 30, 2007 and 2006:

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
                               
Operating income
  $ 69,042   $ 56,666   $ 124,174   $ 105,622
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,222   (632 )   4,112   152
Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses)
  (778 )   221   (1,439 )   (53 )
 
                               
Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes
  1,444   (411 )   2,673   99
 
                               
Net income
  $ 70,486   $ 56,255   $ 126,847   $ 105,721
 
                               
 
  Three   Three   Six   Six
 
  months ended
  months ended   months ended   months ended
 
  June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
 
    2007     2006   2007   2006
Per Class A Share – Diluted
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
 
                               
Operating income
  $ 1.09   $ 0.87   $ 1.95   $ 1.59
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  0.03   (0.01 )   0.06   0.00
Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses)
  (0.01 )   0.00   (0.02 )   0.00
 
                               
Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes
  0.02   (0.01 )   0.04   0.00
 
                               
Net income
  $ 1.11   $ 0.86   $ 1.99   $ 1.59
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    June 30,   December 31,
    2007   2006
    (Unaudited)        
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 827,777   $ 836,738
Equity securities
               
Preferred stock
  139,800   133,401
Common stock
  122,899   117,246
Other invested assets
  266,454   235,672
 
               
Total investments
  1,356,930   1,323,057
Cash and cash equivalents
  27,292   60,241
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  57,784   57,162
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  257,632   247,187
Receivables from affiliates
  1,187,993   1,220,058
Other assets
  134,179   131,656
 
               
Total assets
  $ 3,021,810   $ 3,039,361
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,036,362   $ 1,073,570
Unearned premiums
  436,996   424,282
Other liabilities
  344,460   379,661
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,817,818   1,877,513
Total shareholders’ equity
  1,203,992   1,161,848
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 3,021,810   $ 3,039,361
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 19.00   $ 18.17
 
               
Shares outstanding
  63,356   63,952
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 1,028,247     $ 1,019,005     $ 1,946,425     $ 1,961,773  
 
                               
Premiums earned
    963,691       988,196       1,905,849       1,972,025  
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    542,795       703,672       1,115,123       1,226,162  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    281,669       283,868       538,771       585,342  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    824,464       987,540       1,653,894       1,811,504  
 
                               
Direct underwriting income
    139,227       656       251,955       160,521  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
    (652 )     4,455       (3,550 )     5,144  
Assumed involuntary
    23,643       17,366       22,279       7,071  
Less: Ceded
    6,843       2,412       14,659       9,610  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting gain
    16,148       19,409       4,070       2,605  
 
                               
 
                               
Net Underwriting Gain (SAP Basis)
  $ 155,375     $ 20,065     $ 256,025     $ 163,126  
 
                               
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
    5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting gain (SAP Basis)
  $ 8,546     $ 1,104     $ 14,081     $ 8,972  
Excess-of-loss changes to recoveries under the agreement
    0       (392 )     0       (538 )
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    (623 )     (383 )     (538 )     (794 )
 
                               
Indemnity Underwriting Gain before tax (GAAP Basis)
  $ 7,923     $ 329     $ 13,543     $ 7,640  
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP Basis)
                               
Net basis:
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    55.6 %     69.9 %     58.9 %     62.5 %
Underwriting ratio
    26.7       27.0       26.9       29.2  
Policyholder dividends ratio
    0.1       0.3       0.2       0.1  
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
    82.4       97.2       86.0       91.8  
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
    77.7       92.3       81.5       87.2  
 
                               
Direct business:
                               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – (redundancy) deficiency
    (4.3 )     0.3       (7.4 )     (3.9 )
Loss ratio points from prior accident years from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
    (1.8 )     (1.6 )     (2.4 )     (2.3 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
    (6.1 )     (1.3 )     (9.8 )     (6.2 )
 
                               
 
                               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
    2.1       9.1       1.3       4.9  
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Company
                               
GAAP combined ratio
    84.8       99.4       87.0       92.9  
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
    2.2       9.2       1.3       4.9  

SAP Basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC).

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Six   Six
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    June 30,   June 30,   June 30,   June 30,
    2007   2006   2007   2006
(in thousands)                                
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Statutory Accounting Basis
                               
Premiums earned
  $ 913,316   $ 940,026   $ 1,802,867   $ 1,868,434
Losses, LAE and underwriting expenses
  766,464   920,659   1,560,891   1,713,806
 
                               
Net underwriting gain
  146,852   19,367   241,976   154,628
 
                               
Total investment income
  212,935   77,160   349,581   203,169
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  359,787   96,527   591,557   357,797
Federal income tax expense
  110,527   31,602   182,519   120,625
 
                               
Net income
  $ 249,260   $ 64,925   $ 409,038   $ 237,172
 
                               
                 
    As of   As of
    June 30,   December 31,
    2007   2006
(in thousands)                
Statutory Accounting Basis
  (Unaudited)        
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,946,203   $ 8,494,655
Other assets
  1,085,925   1,021,489
 
               
Total assets
  $ 10,032,128   $ 9,516,144
 
               
Claims and unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,945,518   $ 4,993,365
Other liabilities
  498,448   435,683
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,443,966   5,429,048
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,588,162   4,087,096
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 10,032,128   $ 9,516,144
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Six months   Six months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    June 30,   June 30,   %   June 30,   June 30,   %
    2007   2006   Change   2007   2006   Change
(in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $118,693   $ 117,381   1.1 %   $ 227,369   $ 228,436   -0.5 %
Homeowners
  51,566   50,558   2.0   88,659   87,213   1.7
Commercial multi-peril
  30,116   29,561   1.9   58,880   58,998   -0.2
Workers’ compensation
  21,321   20,620   3.4   44,297   44,935   -1.4
Commercial auto
  22,125   21,910   1.0   42,916   43,108   -0.4
All other lines of business
  13,241   12,174   8.8   24,485   22,849   7.2
 
                                               
 
  257,062   252,204   1.9 %   486,606   485,539   0.2 %
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  (600 )   (1,100 )           (1,500 )   (1,500 )        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $256,462   $ 251,104   2.1 %   $ 485,106   $ 484,039   0.2 %
 
                                               
Management fee rate
  25.00 %   24.75 %           25.00 %   24.75 %        

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    Passenger   growth           growth   All Other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   Personal Lines   rate   Lines   rate
06/30/2005
    1,658,278       (1.7 )%     1,350,491       0.2 %     282,670       1.5 %     3,291,439       (0.6 )%
09/30/2005
    1,651,629       (1.8 )     1,354,487       0.3       285,134       2.3       3,291,250       (0.6 )
12/31/2005
    1,640,563       (1.8 )     1,353,912       0.5       286,604       2.7       3,281,079       (0.5 )
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )     1,356,885       1.0       289,964       3.6       3,282,897       (0.1 )
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
03/31/2007
    1,635,714       0.0       1,384,856       2.1       305,591       5.4       3,326,161       1.3  
06/30/2007
    1,644,561       0.4       1,398,034       2.3       311,761       5.9       3,354,356       1.7  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   Multi-   growth   Workers’   growth   All Other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   Auto   rate   Peril   rate   Comp.   rate   CML* Lines   rate   Lines   rate
06/30/2005
    118,445       1.2 %     212,100       1.1 %     57,398       (5.5 )%     88,981       2.1 %     476,924       0.5 %
09/30/2005
    118,555       1.3       212,939       1.4       56,877       (5.0 )     90,074       2.4       478,445       0.7  
12/31/2005
    118,728       1.2       213,347       1.8       56,218       (4.6 )     90,227       2.7       478,520       1.0  
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0       214,461       2.3       55,254       (4.7 )     90,301       2.8       478,603       1.2  
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
03/31/2007
    119,907       1.1       219,300       2.3       53,498       (3.2 )     92,857       2.8       485,562       1.5  
06/30/2007
    121,587       1.8       223,670       3.0       53,955       (1.7 )     94,612       3.3       493,824       2.2  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   Lines   rate
06/30/2005
    3,768,363       (0.5 )%
09/30/2005
    3,769,695       (0.5 )
12/31/2005
    3,759,599       (0.3 )
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1  
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  
03/31/2007
    3,811,723       1.3  
06/30/2007
    3,848,180       1.8  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    Passenger   CML*           Multi-   Workers’   All Other    
Date   Auto   Auto   Homeowners   Peril   Comp.   Lines   Total All Lines
06/30/2005
    89.8 %     87.8 %     87.8 %     85.0 %     85.8 %     85.5 %     88.3 %
09/30/2005
    89.9       88.0       88.0       85.1       86.0       85.6       88.4  
12/31/2005
    90.0       87.9       88.2       85.4       86.2       86.0       88.6  
03/31/2006
    90.1       88.0       88.6       85.9       86.0       86.2       88.8  
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  
03/31/2007
    91.0       88.0       89.7       86.1       86.2       87.2       89.7  
06/30/2007
    91.1       88.1       89.9       86.0       86.3       87.6       89.9  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All Other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    Passenger   percent           percent   Personal   percent   Total Personal   percent
Date   Auto   change   Homeowners   change   Lines   change   Lines   change
06/30/2005
  $ 1,186       2.4 %   $ 549       7.6 %   $ 346       5.5 %   $ 851       3.3 %
09/30/2005
    1,179       0.3       546       2.8       347       3.3       846       0.6  
12/31/2005
    1,174       (1.3 )     543       (0.5 )     348       0.3       841       (1.6 )
03/31/2006
    1,161       (2.7 )     539       (2.4 )     349       0.6       832       (3.0 )
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
03/31/2007
    1,100       (5.3 )     524       (2.8 )     349       0.0       791       (4.9 )
06/30/2007
    1,094       (4.0 )     520       (2.8 )     351       0.9       786       (3.9 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            percent           percent   All Other   percent   CML*   percent
Date   CML* Auto   change   Workers’ Comp.   change   CML* Lines   change   Lines   change
06/30/2005
  $ 2,780       1.2 %   $ 6,102       12.2 %   $ 1,708       3.8 %   $ 2,503       4.2 %
09/30/2005
    2,789       0.8       6,104       8.2       1,694       1.2       2,490       1.9  
12/31/2005
    2,781       (0.3 )     6,212       6.7       1,705       (0.1 )     2,501       0.6  
03/31/2006
    2,778       (0.8 )     6,270       4.4       1,710       (0.6 )     2,501       (0.5 )
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
03/31/2007
    2,664       (4.1 )     5,914       (5.7 )     1,641       (4.0 )     2,365       (5.4 )
06/30/2007
    2,627       (3.8 )     5,901       (3.9 )     1,616       (3.6 )     2,333       (4.5 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   percent
Date   Lines   change
06/30/2005
  $ 1,061       3.8 %
09/30/2005
    1,055       1.2  
12/31/2005
    1,052       (0.8 )
03/31/2006
    1,044       (2.1 )
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )
03/31/2007
    991       (5.1 )
06/30/2007
    984       (4.1 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months Ended   Three Months Ended
    June 30, 2007   June 30, 2006
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private Passenger Auto
  76.1 %   -9.6 %   0.2 %   85.5 %   96.0 %   1.7 %   0.7 %   93.6 %
Homeowners
  89.9 %   3.4 %   1.6 %   84.9 %   102.0 %   -1.4 %   6.6 %   96.8 %
Other Personal Lines
  99.8 %   18.8 %   0.1 %   80.9 %   94.3 %   8.5 %   0.3 %   85.5 %
Total Personal
  80.9 %   -4.9 %   2.0 %   83.8 %   97.6 %   1.1 %   7.6 %   88.9 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  83.8 %   -3.3 %   0.1 %   87.0 %   93.1 %   -9.2 %   1.3 %   101.0 %
Commercial Auto
  72.6 %   -10.8 %   0.0 %   83.4 %   79.3 %   -5.0 %   0.2 %   84.1 %
Workers’ Compensation
  77.2 %   4.5 %   0.0 %   72.7 %   94.0 %   6.8 %   0.0 %   87.2 %
Other Commercial Lines
  49.0 %   -0.6 %   0.0 %   49.6 %   90.3 %   18.2 %   0.0 %   72.1 %
Total Commercial
  76.6 %   -3.1 %   0.2 %   79.5 %   89.4 %   -1.8 %   1.5 %   89.7 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  79.6 %   -4.3 %   2.1 %   81.8 %   95.1 %   0.3 %   9.1 %   85.7 %
 
          Six Months Ended                     Six Months Ended        
 
          June 30, 2007                           June 30, 2006        
         
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                               
Private Passenger Auto
  79.9 %   -12.0 %   0.1 %   91.8 %   91.8 %   -3.4 %   0.4 %   94.8 %
Homeowners
  83.8 %   -2.9 %   1.1 %   85.6 %   87.3 %   -5.3 %   3.5 %   89.1 %
Other Personal Lines
  89.4 %   6.6 %   0.1 %   82.7 %   84.3 %   4.7 %   0.2 %   79.4 %
Total Personal
  81.3 %   -8.7 %   1.3 %   88.7 %   90.3 %***   -3.6 %   4.0 %   89.9 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  88.7 %   -2.2 %   0.1 %   90.8 %   87.3 %   -4.5 %   0.8 %   91.0 %
Commercial Auto
  75.2 %   -11.5 %   0.0 %   86.7 %   78.6 %   -3.4 %   0.1 %   81.9 %
Workers’ Compensation
  90.2 %   2.5 %   0.0 %   87.7 %   77.8 %   -6.1 %   0.0 %   83.9 %
Other Commercial Lines
  47.2 %   -12.6 %   0.0 %   59.8 %   75.1 %   -1.2 %   0.0 %   76.3 %
Total Commercial
  82.6 %   -4.2 %   0.1 %   86.7 %   81.4 %***   -4.5 %   0.9 %   85.0 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  81.8 %   -7.4 %   1.3 %   87.9 %   87.6 %***   -3.9 %   4.9 %   86.6 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                                       
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                               
*** Year to date calendar year combined ratios for 2006 are shown exclusive of the first quarter write off of eCommerce assets. Including these in underwriting expenses would have contributed 4.0 points to the combined ratio calculations.
                       

11