EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005   2006   2005
Operating revenue
                               
Management fee revenue – net
  $ 202,348   $ 202,083   $ 891,071   $ 888,558
Premiums earned
  52,797   54,102   213,665   215,824
Service agreement revenue
  7,738   5,128   29,246   20,568
 
                               
Total operating revenue
  262,883   261,313   1,133,982   1,124,950
 
                               
Operating expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
  179,897   171,008   742,526   710,237
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  38,369   36,927   139,630   140,386
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  13,143   13,274   52,048   50,108
 
                               
Total operating expenses
  231,409   221,209   934,204   900,731
 
                               
Investment income – unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  14,102   16,397   55,920   61,555
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,056   (837 )   1,335   15,620
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  12,717   7,274   41,766   38,062
 
                               
Total investment income – unaffiliated
  28,875   22,834   99,021   115,237
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  60,349   62,938   298,799   339,456
Provision for income taxes
  16,542   19,492   99,055   111,733
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
  1,712   714   4,281   3,381
 
                               
Net income
  $ 45,519   $ 44,160   $ 204,025   $ 231,104
 
                               
Net income per share:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  $ 0.78   $ 0.71   $ 3.45   $ 3.69
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  0.71   0.64   3.13   3.34
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  119.65   107.45   524.87   558.34
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding:
                               
Class A common stock – basic
  57,782,967   61,620,457   58,827,987   62,392,860
 
                               
Class A common stock – diluted
  64,000,388   68,506,846   65,256,608   69,293,649
 
                               
Class B common stock – basic and diluted
  2,573   2,837   2,661   2,843
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.40   $ 0.36   $ 1.48   $ 1.335
 
                               
Class B common stock
  60.00   54.00   222.00   200.25
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005   2006   2005
Management Operations
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 214,067   $ 213,845   $ 942,845   $ 940,274
Service agreement revenue
  7,738   5,128   29,246   20,568
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
  221,805   218,973   972,091   960,842
Cost of management operations
  190,332   180,962   785,683   751,573
 
                               
Income from management operations
  31,473   38,011   186,408   209,269
 
                               
Insurance Underwriting Operations
                               
Premiums earned
  52,797   54,102   213,665   215,824
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  38,369   36,927   139,630   140,386
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  14,427   15,081   60,665   60,488
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  52,796   52,008   200,295   200,874
 
                               
Underwriting gain
  1   2,094   13,370   14,950
 
                               
Investment Operations
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  14,102   16,397   55,920   61,555
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,056   (837 )   1,335   15,620
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  12,717   7,274   41,766   38,062
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  1,841   768   4,604   3,636
 
                               
Net revenue from investment operations
  30,716   23,602   103,625   118,873
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  62,190   63,707   303,403   343,092
Provision for income taxes
  16,671   19,547   99,378   111,988
 
                               
Net income
  $ 45,519   $ 44,160   $ 204,025   $ 231,104
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.78   $ 0.71   $ 3.45   $ 3.69
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A diluted
  0.71   0.64   3.13   3.34
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic and diluted
  119.65   107.45   524.87   558.34
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding - Class A diluted
  64,000   68,507   65,257   69,294
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition on Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

We believe that investors’ understanding of our performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

We use operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in our management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect our overall profitability.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended December 31, 2006 and 2005:

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005   2006   2005
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
                               
Operating income
  $ 44,183   $ 44,704   $ 203,157   $ 220,951
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  2,056   (837 )   1,335   15,620
Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses)
  (720 )   293   (467 )   (5,467 )
 
                               
Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes
  1,336   (544 )   868   10,153
 
                               
Net income
  $ 45,519   $ 44,160   $ 204,025   $ 231,104
 
                               
 
  Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
 
  months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
 
  December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
 
    2006       2005       2006       2005  
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Per Class A Share – Diluted
                               
 
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.69   $ 0.65   $ 3.12   $ 3.19
Net realized gains (losses) on investments
  0.03   (0.02 )   0.02   0.23
Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses)
  (0.01 )   0.01   (0.01 )   (0.08 )
 
                               
Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes
  0.02   (0.01 )   0.01   0.15
 
                               
Net income
  $ 0.71   $ 0.64   $ 3.13   $ 3.34
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 836,738   $ 972,210
Equity securities
               
Preferred stock
  133,401   170,773
Common stock
  117,246   95,561
Other invested assets
  235,672   158,044
 
               
Total investments
  1,323,057   1,396,588
Cash and cash equivalents
  60,241   31,666
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  57,162   55,843
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  247,187   267,632
Receivables from affiliates
  1,220,058   1,175,152
Other assets
  131,656   174,380
 
               
Total assets
  $ 3,039,361   $ 3,101,261
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment Expenses
  $ 1,073,570   $ 1,019,459
Unearned premiums
  424,282   454,409
Other liabilities
  379,661   348,791
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,877,513   1,822,659
Total shareholders’ equity*
  1,161,848   1,278,602
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ Equity
  $ 3,039,361   $ 3,101,261
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 18.17   $ 18.81
 
               
Shares outstanding
  63,952   67,962
 
               
* Initially applying the recognition provisions of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 158, “Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans” in 2006 reduced shareholders’ equity by $21.1 million, net of tax, and book value per share by $.33

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005   2006   2005
(dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
                               
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 860,878     $ 894,504     $ 3,803,414     $ 3,956,942  
 
                               
Premiums earned
    937,324       975,151       3,883,694       3,984,648  
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    720,010       696,336       2,530,240       2,561,504  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    252,601       255,684       1,110,923       1,100,772  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    972,611       952,020       3,641,163       3,662,276  
 
                               
Direct underwriting (loss) income
    (35,287 )     23,131       242,531       322,372  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
    6,701       8,488       16,392       59,289  
Assumed involuntary
    (696 )     3,381       1,905       (12,508 )
Less: Ceded
    (24,158 )     (12,130 )     (6,598 )     (2,646 )
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting gain
    30,163       23,999       24,895       49,427  
 
                               
 
                               
Net Underwriting (Loss) Gain (SAP Basis)
  $ (5,124 )   $ 47,130     $ 267,426     $ 371,799  
 
                               
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
    5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting (loss) gain (SAP Basis)
  $ (282 )   $ 2,592     $ 14,708     $ 20,449  
Excess-of-loss premiums ceded to the Exchange
    0       (731 )     0       (3,262 )
Excess-of-loss changes to recoveries under the agreement
    (181 )     114       (1,027 )     (2,226 )
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    464       119       (311 )     (11 )
 
                               
Indemnity Underwriting Gain before tax (GAAP Basis)
  $ 1     $ 2,094     $ 13,370     $ 14,950  
 
                               
Property & Casualty Group (SAP Basis)
                               
Net basis
                               
 
                               
Loss and LAE ratio
    74.0 %     69.2 %     64.8 %     63.2 %
Underwriting ratio
    26.9       26.7       28.2       26.7  
Policyholder dividends ratio
    1.6       0.9       0.5       0.6  
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
    102.5       96.8       93.5       90.5  
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
    99.8       93.1       89.4       85.7  
 
                               
Direct business
                               
 
                               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – deficiency (redundancy)
    4.2       7.3       (1.9 )     1.2  
Loss ratio points from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
    (0.8 )     (0.8 )     (1.6 )     (1.5 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio points from prior accident years
    3.4       6.5       (3.5 )     (0.3 )
 
                               
 
                               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
    5.0       0.7       4.0       0.5  
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Company
                               
GAAP combined ratio
    100.0       96.1       93.7       93.1  
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
    4.9       0.7       4.0       0.5  

SAP Basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three   Three   Twelve   Twelve
    months ended   months ended   months ended   months ended
    December 31,   December 31,   December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005   2006   2005
(in thousands)                                
Statutory Accounting Basis
                               
Premiums earned
  $ 890,510     $ 925,833     $ 3,675,705     $ 3,762,260  
Losses, LAE and underwriting expenses
    895,146       880,748       3,421,997       3,405,799  
 
                               
Net underwriting (loss) gain
    (4,636 )     45,085       253,708       356,461  
 
                               
Total investment income
    202,017       82,534       480,771       809,464  
Federal income tax expense
    59,259       30,393       229,709       379,563  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 138,122     $ 97,226     $ 504,770     $ 786,362  
 
                               
                 
(in thousands)        
    As of   As of
    December 31,   December 31,
    2006   2005
Statutory Accounting Basis
               
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,494,655   $ 7,917,615
Other assets
  1,021,489   1,152,648
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,516,144   $ 9,070,263
 
               
Claims and unearned premium reserves
  $ 4,993,365   $ 5,058,764
Other liabilities
  435,683   629,749
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,429,048   5,688,513
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  4,087,096   3,381,750
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,516,144   $ 9,070,263
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business – Segment basis:

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Twelve months   Twelve months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    December 31,   December 31,   %   December 31,   December 31,   %
    2006   2005   Change   2006   2005   Change
(in thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $101,723   $ 102,926   -1.2 %   $ 448,514   $ 456,948   -1.8 %
Commercial auto
  17,757   17,390   2.1   79,693   78,416   1.6
Homeowners
  41,986   40,945   2.5   179,477   174,770   2.7
Commercial multi-peril
  24,454   24,065   1.6   109,040   105,727   3.1
Workers’ compensation
  16,603   17,377   -4.5   79,877   82,945   -3.7
All other lines of business
  10,544   9,742   8.2   44,744   40,968   9.2
 
                                               
 
  213,067   212,445   0.3 %   941,345   939,774   0.2 %
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  1,000   1,400           1,500   500        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, net of allowance
  $214,067   $ 213,845   0.1 %   $ 942,845   $ 940,274   0.3 %
 
                                               

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   All other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   personal lines   rate   lines   rate
12/31/2004
    1,670,804       (0.1 )%     1,347,671       1.5 %     278,974       2.4 %     3,297,449       0.8 %
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    1,661,955       (1.0 )     1,343,803       0.6       279,927       1.4       3,285,685       (0.1 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,658,278       (1.7 )     1,350,491       0.2       282,670       1.5       3,291,439       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,651,629       (1.8 )     1,354,487       0.3       285,134       2.3       3,291,250       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,640,563       (1.8 )     1,353,912       0.5       286,604       2.7       3,281,079       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )     1,356,885       1.0       289,964       3.6       3,282,897       (0.1 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    1,633,882       (0.4 )     1,377,965       1.8       301,497       5.2       3,313,344       1.0  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   multi-   growth   Workers’   growth   All other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   auto   rate   peril   rate   comp.   rate   CML* lines   rate   lines   rate
12/31/2004
    117,287       1.8 %     209,623       1.5 %     58,931       (5.4 )%     87,815       1.6 %     473,656       0.7 %
 
                                                                               
03/31/2005
    117,382       1.4       209,619       1.3       57,949       (5.6 )     87,877       1.8       472,827       0.5  
 
                                                                               
06/30/2005
    118,445       1.2       212,100       1.1       57,398       (5.5 )     88,981       2.1       476,924       0.5  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2005
    118,555       1.3       212,939       1.4       56,877       (5.0 )     90,074       2.4       478,445       0.7  
 
                                                                               
12/31/2005
    118,728       1.2       213,347       1.8       56,218       (4.6 )     90,227       2.7       478,520       1.0  
 
                                                                               
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0       214,461       2.3       55,254       (4.7 )     90,301       2.8       478,603       1.2  
 
                                                                               
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
 
                                                                               
12/31/2006
    119,801       0.9       218,542       2.4       53,923       (4.1 )     92,687       2.7       484,953       1.3  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   lines   rate
12/31/2004
    3,771,105       0.7 %
 
               
03/31/2005
    3,758,512       (0.1 )
 
               
06/30/2005
    3,768,363       (0.5 )
 
               
09/30/2005
    3,769,695       (0.5 )
 
               
12/31/2005
    3,759,599       (0.3 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1  
 
               
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
 
               
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  
 
               
12/31/2006
    3,798,297       1.0  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    passenger   CML*           multi-   Workers’   All other    
Date   auto   auto   Homeowners   peril   comp.   lines   Total All lines
12/31/2004
    90.0 %     88.3 %     87.6 %     85.3 %     85.8 %     85.8 %     88.4 %
 
                                                       
03/31/2005
    89.9       88.2       87.6       85.5       85.9       85.5       88.3  
 
                                                       
06/30/2005
    89.8       87.8       87.8       85.0       85.8       85.5       88.3  
 
                                                       
09/30/2005
    89.9       88.0       88.0       85.1       86.0       85.6       88.4  
 
                                                       
12/31/2005
    90.0       87.9       88.2       85.4       86.2       86.0       88.6  
 
                                                       
03/31/2006
    90.1       88.0       88.6       85.9       86.0       86.2       88.8  
 
                                                       
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
 
                                                       
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  
 
                                                       
12/31/2006
    90.8       87.7       89.4       86.0       85.7       87.1       89.5  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   personal   growth   Total Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   lines   rate   lines   rate
12/31/2004
  $ 1,190       6.1 %   $ 546       17.4 %   $ 347       11.9 %   $ 855       8.5 %
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    1,193       4.3       552       13.8       347       8.4       858       6.3  
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,186       2.4       549       7.6       346       5.5       851       3.3  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,179       0.3       546       2.8       347       3.3       846       0.6  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,174       (1.3 )     543       (0.5 )     348       0.3       841       (1.6 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,161       (2.7 )     539       (2.4 )     349       0.6       832       (3.0 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    1,110       (5.5 )     526       (3.1 )     349       0.3       797       (5.2 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            growth           growth   All other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   CML* auto   rate   Workers’ Comp.   rate   CML* lines   rate   lines   rate
12/31/2004
  $ 2,790       4.2 %   $ 5,820       12.8 %   $ 1,706       7.6 %   $ 2,487       6.9 %
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    2,799       3.1       6,004       13.6       1,720       6.2       2,513       6.2  
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    2,780       1.2       6,102       12.2       1,708       3.8       2,503       4.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    2,789       0.8       6,104       8.2       1,694       1.2       2,490       1.9  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    2,781       (0.3 )     6,212       6.7       1,705       (0.1 )     2,501       0.6  
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    2,778       (0.8 )     6,270       4.4       1,710       (0.6 )     2,501       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2006
    2,687       (3.4 )     5,985       (3.7 )     1,657       (2.8 )     2,393       (4.3 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   lines   rate
12/31/2004
  $ 1,060       8.1 %
 
               
03/31/2005
    1,066       6.4  
 
               
06/30/2005
    1,061       3.8  
 
               
09/30/2005
    1,055       1.2  
 
               
12/31/2005
    1,052       (0.8 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    1,044       (2.1 )
 
               
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
 
               
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )
 
               
12/31/2006
    1,001       (4.8 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                 
    Three Months Ended   Three Months Ended
    December 31, 2006   December 31, 2005
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                   
Private Passenger Auto
  101.8 %   0.2 %   0.4 %   101.2 %   107.5 %   8.8 %   0.0 %   98.7 %
Homeowners
  82.4 %   0.7 %   3.0 %   78.7 %   73.0 %   -1.7 %   0.5 %   74.2 %
Other Personal Lines
  118.8 %   36.3 %   0.2 %   82.3 %   108.4 %   39.8 %   0.0 %   68.6 %
Total Personal
  97.2 %   1.7 %   3.6 %   91.9 %   98.4 %   7.2 %   0.5 %   90.7 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  104.6 %   13.5 %   1.3 %   89.8 %   81.6 %   6.5 %   0.0 %   75.1 %
Commercial Auto
  88.9 %   -6.6 %   0.0 %   95.5 %   94.0 %   0.4 %   0.0 %   93.6 %
Workers’ Compensation
  137.3 %   20.8 %   0.0 %   116.5 %   89.3 %   18.1 %   0.0 %   71.2 %
Other Commercial Lines
  143.7 %   9.9 %   0.0 %   133.8 %   62.8 %   -4.1 %   0.0 %   66.9 %
Total Commercial
  112.0 %   9.8 %   1.3 %   100.9 %   86.3 %   7.6 %   0.0 %   78.7 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  101.7 %   4.2 %   5.0 %   92.5 %   94.7 %   7.3 %   0.7 %   86.7 %
 
          Twelve Months Ended                     Twelve Months Ended
       
 
          December 31, 2006                           December 31, 2005
       
     
   
 
          Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
          Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
          Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
  Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                               
Private Passenger Auto
  92.2 %   -2.2 %   0.4 %   94.0 %   95.9 %   4.3 %   0.0 %   91.6 %
Homeowners
  85.7 %   -3.4 %   2.6 %   86.5 %   70.0 %   -1.0 %   0.4 %   70.6 %
Other Personal Lines
  97.5 %   18.0 %   0.2 %   79.3 %   80.8 %   12.9 %   0.0 %   67.9 %
Total Personal
  90.6 %   -1.7 %   3.2 %   89.1 %   88.6 %   3.2 %   0.5 %   84.9 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
  89.2 %   0.0 %   0.7 %   88.5 %   75.9 %   -4.4 %   0.0 %   80.3 %
Commercial Auto
  81.7 %   -5.0 %   0.1 %   86.6 %   85.7 %   -0.1 %   0.0 %   85.8 %
Workers’ Compensation
  93.8 %   -2.0 %   0.0 %   95.8 %   94.7 %   -3.6 %   0.0 %   98.3 %
Other Commercial Lines
  89.5 %   -3.9 %   0.0 %   93.4 %   57.7 %   -10.1 %   0.0 %   67.8 %
Total Commercial
  88.5 %   -2.2 %   0.8 %   89.9 %   83.1 %   -3.3 %   0.1 %   86.3 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
  90.0 %   -1.9 %   4.0 %   87.9 %   86.8 %   1.2 %   0.5 %   85.1 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                               
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                               

11