EX-99.2 3 exhibit2.htm EX-99.2 EX-99.2

Exhibit 99.2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
    2006   2005   2006   2005
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Operating Revenue
                               
Management fee revenue-net
  $ 231,388   $ 228,349   $ 688,723   $ 686,475
Premiums earned
  53,017   53,908   160,868   161,721
Service agreement revenue
  7,410   5,294   21,508   15,440
 
                               
Total operating revenue
  291,815   287,551   871,099   863,636
 
                               
Operating Expenses
                               
Cost of management operations
  189,536   184,056   562,629   539,228
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  32,573   36,995   101,261   103,457
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  12,325   12,637   38,905   36,836
 
                               
Total operating expenses
  234,434   233,688   702,795   679,521
 
                               
Investment Income – Unaffiliated
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  12,215   14,755   41,818   45,158
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (872 )   1,765   (721 )   16,457
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  10,848   8,032   29,049   30,788
 
                               
Total investment income — unaffiliated
  22,191   24,552   70,146   92,403
 
                               
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  79,572   78,415   238,450   276,518
Provision for income taxes
  27,421   25,930   82,513   92,241
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax
  634   520   2,569   2,667
 
                               
Net income
  $ 52,785   $ 53,005   $ 158,506   $ 186,944
 
                               
Net income per share — basic
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.91   $ 0.84   $ 2.67   $ 2.97
 
                               
Class B common stock
  139.34   128.01   404.46   450.68
 
                               
Net income per share — diluted
  $ 0.82   $ 0.76   $ 2.41   $ 2.69
 
                               
Weighted average shares outstanding
                               
 
                               
Basic:
                               
Class A common stock
  57,873,922   62,415,372   59,179,328   62,650,810
 
                               
Class B common stock
  2,573   2,843   2,691   2,846
 
                               
Diluted shares
  64,129,350   69,320,147   65,717,956   69,562,785
 
                               
Dividends declared per share:
                               
Class A common stock
  $ 0.36   $ 0.325   $ 1.08   $ 0.975
 
                               
Class B common stock
  $ 54.00   $ 48.75   $ 162.00   $ 146.25
 
                               

1

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS — SEGMENT BASIS

(Amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                                 
    Three   Three   Nine   Nine
    months   months   months   months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
    2006   2005   2006   2005
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
MANAGEMENT OPERATIONS
                               
Management fee revenue
  $ 244,739   $ 241,639   $ 728,778   $ 726,429
Service agreement revenue
  7,410   5,294   21,508   15,440
 
                               
Total revenue from management operations
  252,149   246,933   750,286   741,869
Cost of management operations
  200,498   194,768   595,351   570,612
 
                               
Income from management operations
  51,651   52,165   154,935   171,257
 
                               
INSURANCE UNDERWRITING OPERATIONS
                               
Premiums earned
  53,017   53,908   160,868   161,721
 
                               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred
  32,573   36,995   101,261   103,457
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
  14,714   15,215   46,238   45,407
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
  47,287   52,210   147,499   148,864
 
                               
Underwriting gain
  5,730   1,698   13,369   12,857
 
                               
INVESTMENT OPERATIONS
                               
Investment income, net of expenses
  12,215   14,755   41,818   45,158
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (872 )   1,765   (721 )   16,457
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships
  10,848   8,032   29,049   30,788
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  682   560   2,763   2,868
 
                               
Net revenue from investment operations
  22,873   25,112   72,909   95,271
 
                               
Income before income taxes
  80,254   78,975   241,213   279,385
Provision for income taxes
  27,469   25,970   82,707   92,441
 
                               
Net income
  $ 52,785   $ 53,005   $ 158,506   $ 186,944
 
                               
Net income per share – Class A basic
  $ 0.91   $ 0.84   $ 2.67   $ 2.97
 
                               
Net income per share – Class B basic
  139.34   128.01   404.46   450.68
 
                               
Net income per share — diluted
  $ 0.82   $ 0.76   $ 2.41   $ 2.69
 
                               
WEIGHTED AVERAGE SHARES OUTSTANDING — DILUTED
  64,129   69,320   65,718   69,563
 
                               

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items

2

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

Definition on Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

Management believes that investors’ understanding of the Company’s performance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measure. The Company’s method of calculating this measure may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

Operating income is net income excluding realized capital gains and losses and related federal income taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation of operating income. Both of these categories include the respective investment’s realized capital gains and losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these investments are accounted for under the equity method.

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

The Company uses operating income to evaluate the results of operations. It reveals trends in the Company’s management services, insurance underwriting and investment operations that may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and economic developments such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to management services and the insurance underwriting processes of the Company. The Company believes it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing the Company’s performance. The Company is aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator. Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of the Company’s business.

The following table reconciles operating income and net income for the periods ended September 30, 2006 and 2005:

                                 
    Three months   Three months   Nine months   Nine months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
    2006   2005   2006   2005
    (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
                               
Operating income
  $ 53,352   $ 51,858   $ 158,975   $ 176,247
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (872 )   1,765   (721 )   16,457
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  305   (618 )   252   (5,760 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (567 )   1,147   (469 )   10,697
 
                               
Net income
  $ 52,785   $ 53,005   $ 158,506   $ 186,944
 
                               
 
  Three months   Three months   Nine months   Nine months
 
  ended   ended   ended   ended
 
  September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
 
  2006   2005   2006   2005
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
 
                               
Per Share Information – Diluted
                               
Operating income
  $ 0.83   $ 0.74   $ 2.42   $ 2.54
Net realized (losses) gains on investments
  (0.01 )   0.03   (0.01 )   0.24
Income tax benefit (expense) on realized (losses) gains
  0.00   (0.01 )   0.00   (0.09 )
 
                               
Realized (losses) gains, net of income taxes
  (0.01 )   0.02   (0.01 )   0.15
 
                               
Net income
  $ 0.82   $ 0.76   $ 2.41   $ 2.69
 
                               

3

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

(Amounts in thousands, except per share data)

                 
    September 30   December 31
    2006   2005
    (Unaudited)        
ASSETS
               
Investments
               
Fixed maturities
  $ 793,165   $ 972,210
Equity securities
               
Preferred stock
  137,441   170,773
Common stock
  109,138   95,561
Other invested assets
  231,755   158,044
 
               
Total investments
  1,271,499   1,396,588
Cash and cash equivalents
  37,644   31,666
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company
  56,124   55,843
Premiums receivable from policyholders
  265,104   267,632
Receivables from affiliates
  1,198,160   1,176,419
Other assets
  164,865   173,113
 
               
Total assets
  $ 2,993,396   $ 3,101,261
 
               
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities
               
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
  $ 1,020,538   $ 1,019,459
Unearned premiums
  449,404   454,409
Other liabilities
  365,447   348,791
 
               
Total liabilities
  1,835,389   1,822,659
Total shareholders’ equity
  1,158,007   1,278,602
 
               
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 2,993,396   $ 3,101,261
 
               
Book value per share
  $ 18.10   $ 18.81
 
               
Shares outstanding
  63,969   67,962
 
               

4

ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY
RECONCILIATION OF PROPERTY AND CASUALTY GROUP TO INDEMNITY RESULTS

                                 
    Three months   Three months   Nine months   Nine months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
    2006   2005   2006   2005
(Dollars in thousands)                                
Property and Casualty Group Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP Basis)
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Direct underwriting results
                               
Direct written premium
  $ 980,762     $ 1,024,165     $ 2,942,536     $ 3,062,437  
 
                               
Premiums earned
    974,345       1,005,571       2,946,370       3,009,496  
 
                               
Loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred
    584,069       686,611       1,810,231       1,865,169  
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses
    272,980       280,968       858,322       845,087  
 
                               
Total losses and expenses
    857,049       967,579       2,668,553       2,710,256  
 
                               
Direct underwriting income
    117,296       37,992       277,817       299,240  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting results
                               
Assumed voluntary-less ceded retrocessions
    4,547       48,903       9,691       50,802  
Assumed involuntary
    (4,470 )     (2,717 )     2,601       (15,889 )
Less: Ceded
    7,949       (2,538 )     17,560       9,485  
 
                               
Nonaffiliated reinsurance underwriting (loss) gain
    (7,872 )     48,724       (5,268 )     25,428  
 
                               
 
                               
Net Underwriting Gain (SAP Basis)
  $ 109,424     $ 86,716     $ 272,549     $ 324,668  
 
                               
 
                               
Erie Indemnity Insurance Underwriting Operations (SAP to GAAP Basis)
                               
Percent of pool assumed by the Indemnity Company
    5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %     5.50 %
 
                               
Indemnity preliminary underwriting gain (SAP basis)
  $ 6,018     $ 4,769     $ 14,990     $ 17,857  
Excess-of-loss premiums ceded to the Exchange
    0       (844 )     0       (2,531 )
Excess-of-loss changes to charges under the agreement
    (307 )     (2,166 )     (845 )     (2,341 )
SAP to GAAP adjustments
    19       (61 )     (776 )     (128 )
 
                               
Indemnity Underwriting Gain before tax (GAAP Basis)
  $ 5,730     $ 1,698     $ 13,369     $ 12,857  
 
                               
Net Property & Casualty Group (SAP Basis)
                               
Loss and LAE Ratio
    60.8 %     63.4 %     61.9 %     61.2 %
Underwriting ratio
    27.3       26.5       28.6       26.7  
Policyholder dividends ratio
    0.0       0.6       0.1       0.5  
 
                               
Statutory combined ratio
    88.1       90.5       90.6       88.4  
 
                               
Adjusted combined ratio, excluding profit component
    83.7       85.9       86.1       83.3  
Direct business
                               
Loss ratio points from prior accident year reserve development – (redundancy) deficiency
    (3.8 )     5.0       (3.8 )     (0.8 )
Loss ratio points from salvage and subrogation recoveries collected
    (0.9 )     (0.8 )     (1.9 )     (1.7 )
 
                               
Total loss ratio point impact from prior accident years
    (4.7 )     4.2       (5.7 )     (2.5 )
 
                               
Loss ratio points from catastrophes
    1.6       0.5       3.6       0.5  
Erie Indemnity Company
                               
GAAP combined ratio
    89.2       96.9       91.7       92.1  
GAAP loss ratio points from catastrophes
    1.6       0.5       3.7       0.5  

SAP Basis represents statutory accounting principles as codified by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC)

5 Selected financial data of Erie Insurance Exchange:

The selected financial data below is derived from the Erie Insurance Exchange’s financial statements prepared in accordance with Statutory Accounting Principles. In the opinion of management, all adjustments consisting only of normal recurring accruals, considered necessary for a fair presentation have been included. The financial data set forth below is only a summary.

                                 
    Three months   Three months   Nine months   Nine months
    ended   ended   ended   ended
    September 30   September 30   September 30   September 30
    2006   2005   2006   2005
(In thousands)                                
 
  (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)   (Unaudited)
Statutory Accounting Basis
                               
Premiums earned
  $ 916,761     $ 945,738     $ 2,785,195     $ 2,836,427  
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    556,857       597,252       1,723,676       1,731,561  
Insurance underwriting and other expenses
    256,188       263,615       803,175       793,490  
 
                               
Total underwriting operations expenses
    813,045       860,867       2,526,851       2,525,051  
 
                               
Net underwriting gain
    103,716       84,871       258,344       311,376  
 
                               
 
                               
Total investment income
    75,585       175,107       278,754       726,930  
Net income before federal income tax
    179,301       259,978       537,098       1,038,306  
Federal income tax expense
    49,825       97,015       170,450       349,170  
 
                               
Net income
  $ 129,476     $ 162,963     $ 366,648     $ 689,136  
 
                               
                 
(In thousands)        
    As of   As of
    September 30   December 31
    2006   2005
Statutory Accounting Basis            
    (Unaudited)        
Cash and invested assets
  $ 8,479,302   $ 7,917,615
Other assets
  1,105,886   1,152,648
 
               
Total assets
  $ 9,585,188   $ 9,070,263
 
               
Claims and unearned premium reserves
  $ 5,041,600   $ 5,058,764
Other liabilities
  640,953   629,749
 
               
Total liabilities
  5,682,553   5,688,513
 
               
Policyholders’ surplus
  3,902,635   3,381,750
 
               
Total liabilities and policyholders’ surplus
  $ 9,585,188   $ 9,070,263
 
               

6

Management fee revenue by major lines of business (Segment basis):

                                                 
    Three months   Three months           Nine months   Nine months    
    ended   ended           ended   ended    
    September 30   September 30   %   September 30   September 30   %
    2006   2005   Change   2006   2005   Change
(In thousands)                                                
Private passenger auto
  $ 118,355   $ 120,879   -2.1 %   $ 346,791   $ 354,022   -2.0 %
Commercial auto
  18,828   18,707   0.6   61,936   61,026   1.5
Homeowners
  50,278   49,107   2.4   137,491   133,825   2.7
Commercial multi-peril
  25,587   24,730   3.5   84,585   81,662   3.6
Workers’ compensation
  18,339   19,559   -6.2   63,275   65,567   -3.5
All other lines of business
  11,352   10,257   10.7   34,200   31,227   9.5
 
                                               
 
  242,739   243,239   -0.2 %   728,278   727,329   0.1 %
Change in allowance for management fee returned on cancelled policies
  2,000   (1,600 )           500   (900 )        
 
                                               
Management fee revenue, after changes in allowance
  $ 244,739   $ 241,639   1.3 %   $ 728,778   $ 726,429   0.3 %
 
                                               
Management fee rate
  24.75 %   23.75 %   4.2 %   24.75 %   23.75 %   4.2 %
 
                                               

7

Growth rates of policies in force for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   All other   growth   Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   personal lines   rate   lines   rate
09/30/2004
    1,682,561       1.0 %     1,350,899       2.6 %     278,707       3.4 %     3,312,167       1.9 %
 
                                                               
12/31/2004
    1,670,804       (0.1 )     1,347,671       1.5       278,974       2.4       3,297,449       0.8  
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    1,661,955       (1.0 )     1,343,803       0.6       279,927       1.4       3,285,685       (0.1 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,658,278       (1.7 )     1,350,491       0.2       282,670       1.5       3,291,439       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,651,629       (1.8 )     1,354,487       0.3       285,134       2.3       3,291,250       (0.6 )
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,640,563       (1.8 )     1,353,912       0.5       286,604       2.7       3,281,079       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,636,048       (1.6 )     1,356,885       1.0       289,964       3.6       3,282,897       (0.1 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,637,472       (1.3 )     1,366,633       1.2       294,409       4.2       3,298,514       0.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,636,947       (0.9 )     1,373,763       1.4       298,361       4.6       3,309,071       0.5  
                                                                                 
            12-mth.   CML*   12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
    CML*   growth   multi-   growth   Workers'   growth   All other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   auto   rate   peril   rate   comp.   rate   CML* lines   rate   lines   rate
09/30/2004
    117,090       2.4 %     210,012       2.4 %     59,863       (4.1 )%     87,921       2.5 %     474,886       1.5 %
 
                                                                               
12/31/2004
    117,287       1.8       209,623       1.5       58,931       (5.4 )     87,815       1.6       473,656       0.7  
 
                                                                               
03/31/2005
    117,382       1.4       209,619       1.3       57,949       (5.6 )     87,877       1.8       472,827       0.5  
 
                                                                               
06/30/2005
    118,445       1.2       212,100       1.1       57,398       (5.5 )     88,981       2.1       476,924       0.5  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2005
    118,555       1.3       212,939       1.4       56,877       (5.0 )     90,074       2.4       478,445       0.7  
 
                                                                               
12/31/2005
    118,728       1.2       213,347       1.8       56,218       (4.6 )     90,227       2.7       478,520       1.0  
 
                                                                               
03/31/2006
    118,587       1.0       214,461       2.3       55,254       (4.7 )     90,301       2.8       478,603       1.2  
 
                                                                               
06/30/2006
    119,471       0.9       217,134       2.4       54,871       (4.4 )     91,568       2.9       483,044       1.3  
 
                                                                               
09/30/2006
    119,555       0.8       217,763       2.3       54,379       (4.4 )     92,687       2.9       484,384       1.2  
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   lines   rate
09/30/2004
    3,787,053       1.8 %
 
               
12/31/2004
    3,771,105       0.7  
 
               
03/31/2005
    3,758,512       (0.1 )
 
               
06/30/2005
    3,768,363       (0.5 )
 
               
09/30/2005
    3,769,695       (0.5 )
 
               
12/31/2005
    3,759,599       (0.3 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    3,761,500       0.1  
 
               
06/30/2006
    3,781,558       0.4  
 
               
09/30/2006
    3,793,455       0.6  

CML* = Commercial

8

Policy retention trends for Property and Casualty Group insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                         
    Private                   CML*            
    passenger   CML*           multi-   Workers'   All other    
Date   auto   auto   Homeowners   peril   comp.   lines   Total All lines
09/30/2004
    90.3 %     88.5 %     87.9 %     86.0 %     86.2 %     86.0 %     88.7 %
 
                                                       
12/31/2004
    90.0       88.3       87.6       85.3       85.8       85.8       88.4  
 
                                                       
03/31/2005
    89.9       88.2       87.6       85.5       85.9       85.5       88.3  
 
                                                       
06/30/2005
    89.8       87.8       87.8       85.0       85.8       85.5       88.3  
 
                                                       
09/30/2005
    89.9       88.0       88.0       85.1       86.0       85.6       88.4  
 
                                                       
12/31/2005
    90.0       87.9       88.2       85.4       86.2       86.0       88.6  
 
                                                       
03/31/2006
    90.1       88.0       88.6       85.9       86.0       86.2       88.8  
 
                                                       
06/30/2006
    90.3       87.7       88.9       85.9       85.9       86.5       89.0  
 
                                                       
09/30/2006
    90.5       87.8       89.2       86.0       85.8       86.7       89.2  

CML* = Commercial

9

Average premium per policy trends for Property and Casualty insurance operations by major lines of business:

                                                                 
    Private   12-mth.           12-mth.   All other   12-mth.           12-mth.
    passenger   growth           growth   personal   growth   Total Personal   growth
Date   auto   rate   Homeowners   rate   lines   rate   lines   rate
09/30/2004
  $ 1,175       6.6 %   $ 531       18.8 %   $ 336       12.0 %   $ 841       9.2 %
 
                                                               
12/31/2004
    1,190       6.1       546       17.4       347       11.9       855       8.5  
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    1,193       4.3       552       13.8       347       8.4       858       6.3  
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    1,186       2.4       549       7.6       346       5.5       851       3.3  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    1,179       0.3       546       2.8       347       3.3       846       0.6  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    1,174       (1.3 )     543       (0.5 )     348       0.3       841       (1.6 )
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    1,161       (2.7 )     539       (2.4 )     349       0.6       832       (3.0 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    1,140       (3.9 )     535       (2.6 )     348       0.6       818       (3.9 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    1,122       (4.8 )     530       (2.9 )     348       0.3       806       (4.7 )
                                                                 
            12-mth.           12-mth.           12-mth.   Total   12-mth.
            growth           growth   All other   growth   CML*   growth
Date   CML* auto   rate   Workers’ Comp.   rate   CML* lines   rate   lines   rate
09/30/2004
  $ 2,766       4.5 %   $ 5,641       10.6 %   $ 1,674       6.0 %   $ 2,443       5.8 %
 
                                                               
12/31/2004
    2,790       4.2       5,820       12.8       1,706       7.6       2,487       6.9  
 
                                                               
03/31/2005
    2,799       3.1       6,004       13.6       1,720       6.2       2,513       6.2  
 
                                                               
06/30/2005
    2,780       1.2       6,102       12.2       1,708       3.8       2,503       4.2  
 
                                                               
09/30/2005
    2,789       0.8       6,104       8.2       1,694       1.2       2,490       1.9  
 
                                                               
12/31/2005
    2,781       (0.3 )     6,212       6.7       1,705       (0.1 )     2,501       0.6  
 
                                                               
03/31/2006
    2,778       (0.8 )     6,270       4.4       1,710       (0.6 )     2,501       (0.5 )
 
                                                               
06/30/2006
    2,730       (1.8 )     6,143       0.7       1,676       (1.9 )     2,444       (2.4 )
 
                                                               
09/30/2006
    2,705       (3.0 )     6,047       (0.9 )     1,669       (1.5 )     2,416       (3.0 )
                 
            12-mth.
    Total All   growth
Date   lines   rate
09/30/2004
  $ 1,042       8.1 %
 
               
12/31/2004
    1,060       8.1  
 
               
03/31/2005
    1,066       6.4  
 
               
06/30/2005
    1,061       3.8  
 
               
09/30/2005
    1,055       1.2  
 
               
12/31/2005
    1,052       (0.8 )
 
               
03/31/2006
    1,044       (2.1 )
 
               
06/30/2006
    1,026       (3.3 )
 
               
09/30/2006
    1,011       (4.2 )

CML* = Commercial

10

PROPERTY & CASUALTY GROUP ADJUSTED COMBINED RATIO BY
MAJOR LINES OF BUSINESS (SAP BASIS) – DIRECT BUSINESS

                                                                         
            Three Months Ended   Three Months Ended
            September 30, 2006   September 30, 2005
 
                  Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
                  Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
                  Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*
  Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
          Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                           
Private Passenger Auto
          83.8 %   -2.0 %   0.3 %   85.5 %   97.6 %   10.7 %   0.1 %   86.8 %
Homeowners
          85.8 %   -2.4 %   0.5 %   87.7 %   71.5 %   1.1 %   0.4 %   70.0 %
Other Personal Lines
          101.7 %   14.5 %   0.3 %   86.9 %   89.3 %   13.4 %   0.0 %   75.9 %
Total Personal
          85.1 %   -1.5 %   1.1 %   85.5 %   90.5 %   8.3 %   0.5 %   81.7 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
          77.6 %   -3.4 %   0.4 %   80.6 %   88.9 %   1.8 %   0.0 %   87.1 %
Commercial Auto
          81.4 %   -6.6 %   0.1 %   87.9 %   88.6 %   2.4 %   0.0 %   86.2 %
Workers’ Compensation
          84.3 %   -16.3 %   0.0 %   100.6 %   108.9 %   -10.3 %   0.0 %   119.2 %
Other Commercial Lines
          63.6 %   -25.2 %   0.0 %   88.8 %   54.1 %   -10.8 %   0.0 %   64.9 %
Total Commercial
          79.7 %   -9.3 %   0.5 %   88.5 %   92.7 %   -2.4 %   0.1 %   95.0 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
          83.3 %   -3.8 %   1.6 %   85.5 %   91.0 %   5.0 %   0.5 %   85.5 %
                    Nine Months Ended
              Nine Months Ended
       
                    September 30, 2006
                  September 30, 2005
       
             
   
 
                  Prior Year**           Current           Prior Year**           Current
 
                  Reserve           Accident           Reserve           Accident
 
                  Development           Year           Development           Year
 
  Calendar*
  Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding   Calendar*   Deficiency   Catastrophe   Excluding
 
          Year
  (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes   Year   (Redundancy)   Losses   Catastrophes
 
                                       
Private Passenger Auto
          89.1 %   -2.9 %   0.4 %   91.6 %   92.1 %   2.9 %   0.0 %   89.2 %
Homeowners
          86.7 %   -4.3 %   2.5 %   88.5 %   69.1 %   -0.8 %   0.4 %   69.5 %
Other Personal Lines
          90.2 %   8.0 %   0.2 %   82.0 %   71.4 %   3.8 %   0.0 %   67.6 %
Total Personal
          88.5 %   -2.9 %   3.1 %   88.3 %   85.4 %   2.0 %   0.5 %   82.9 %
Commercial Multi-Peril
          84.0 %   -4.2 %   0.5 %   87.7 %   74.0 %   -8.0 %   0.1 %   81.9 %
Commercial Auto
          79.5 %   -4.4 %   0.1 %   83.8 %   83.1 %   -0.2 %   0.0 %   83.3 %
Workers’ Compensation
          79.9 %   -9.5 %   0.0 %   89.4 %   96.7 %   -10.8 %   0.0 %   107.5 %
Other Commercial Lines
          71.1 %   -9.3 %   0.0 %   80.4 %   56.0 %   -12.1 %   0.0 %   68.1 %
Total Commercial
          80.8 %   -6.1 %   0.6 %   86.3 %   82.1 %   -6.9 %   0.1 %   88.9 %
Grand Total – Direct Business Only
          86.2 %   -3.8 %   3.6 %   86.4 %   84.4 %   -0.8 %   0.5 %   84.7 %
*The calendar year combined ratio represents the adjusted statutory combined ratio, which removes the profit component of the management fee earned by the Company.
                               
**The prior accident year reserve development does not include the effects of salvage and subrogation recoveries.
                                       

11