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Reserve for Claims and Claim Expenses
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Insurance Loss Reserves [Abstract]  
Reserve for Claims and Claim Expenses RESERVE FOR CLAIMS AND CLAIM EXPENSES
The Company believes the most significant accounting judgment made by management is its estimate of claims and claim expense reserves. Claims and claim expense reserves represent estimates, including actuarial and statistical projections at a given point in time, of the ultimate settlement and administration costs for unpaid claims and claim expenses arising from the insurance and reinsurance contracts the Company sells. The Company establishes its claims and claim expense reserves by taking claims reported to the Company by insureds and ceding companies, but which have not yet been paid (“case reserves”), adding estimates for the anticipated cost of claims incurred but not yet reported to the Company, or incurred but not enough reported to the Company (collectively referred to as “IBNR”) and, if deemed necessary,
adding costs for additional case reserves which represent the Company’s estimates for claims related to specific contracts previously reported to the Company which it believes may not be adequately estimated by the client as of that date, or adequately covered in the application of IBNR.
The following table summarizes the Company’s claims and claim expense reserves by segment, allocated between case reserves, additional case reserves and IBNR:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At March 31, 2020
Case
Reserves
 
Additional
Case Reserves
 
IBNR
 
Total
 
 
Property
$
1,095,840

 
$
1,707,754

 
$
958,827

 
$
3,762,421

 
 
Casualty and Specialty
1,644,402

 
105,505

 
3,894,049

 
5,643,956

 
 
Other
330

 

 

 
330

 
 
Total
$
2,740,572

 
$
1,813,259

 
$
4,852,876

 
$
9,406,707

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At December 31, 2019
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Property
$
1,253,406

 
$
1,631,223

 
$
1,189,221

 
$
4,073,850

 
 
Casualty and Specialty
1,596,426

 
129,720

 
3,583,913

 
5,310,059

 
 
Other
440

 

 

 
440

 
 
Total
$
2,850,272

 
$
1,760,943

 
$
4,773,134

 
$
9,384,349

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Activity in the liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses is summarized as follows:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended March 31,
2020
 
2019
 
 
Net reserves as of beginning of period
$
6,593,052

 
$
3,704,050

 
 
Net incurred related to:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year
557,054

 
231,341

 
 
Prior years
13,900

 
(4,306
)
 
 
Total net incurred
570,954

 
227,035

 
 
Net paid related to:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year
31,201

 
8,149

 
 
Prior years
436,286

 
300,120

 
 
Total net paid
467,487

 
308,269

 
 
Amounts acquired (1)

 
1,858,775

 
 
Foreign exchange (2)
(55,395
)
 
1,550

 
 
Net reserves as of end of period
6,641,124

 
5,483,141

 
 
Reinsurance recoverable as of end of period
2,765,583

 
2,908,343

 
 
Gross reserves as of end of period
$
9,406,707

 
$
8,391,484

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

(1)
Represents the fair value of TMR's reserves for claims and claim expenses, net of reinsurance recoverables, acquired at March 22, 2019.
(2)
Reflects the impact of the foreign exchange revaluation of net reserves denominated in non-U.S. dollars as at the balance sheet date.
Prior Year Development of the Reserve for Net Claims and Claim Expenses
The Company’s estimates of claims and claim expense reserves are not precise in that, among other things, they are based on predictions of future developments and estimates of future trends and other variable factors. Some, but not all, of the Company’s reserves are further subject to the uncertainty inherent in actuarial methodologies and estimates. Because a reserve estimate is simply an insurer’s estimate at a point in time of its ultimate liability, and because there are numerous factors that affect reserves and claims payments that cannot be determined with certainty in advance, the Company’s ultimate payments will vary, perhaps materially, from its estimates of reserves. If the Company determines in a subsequent period that adjustments to its previously established reserves are appropriate, such adjustments are recorded in the
period in which they are identified. On a net basis, the Company’s cumulative favorable or unfavorable development is generally reduced by offsetting changes in its reinsurance recoverables, as well as changes to loss related premiums such as reinstatement premiums and redeemable noncontrolling interest, all of which generally move in the opposite direction to changes in the Company’s ultimate claims and claim expenses.
The following table details the Company’s prior year development by segment of its liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended March 31,
2020
 
2019
 
 
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
 
Property
$
14,008

 
$
1,877

 
 
Casualty and Specialty
(1
)
 
(6,202
)
 
 
Other
(107
)
 
19

 
 
Total net adverse (favorable) development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses
$
13,900

 
$
(4,306
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Changes to prior year estimated claims reserves decreased net income by $13.9 million during the three months ended March 31, 2020 (2019 - increased net income by $4.3 million), excluding the consideration of changes in reinstatement, adjustment or other premium items, profit commissions, redeemable noncontrolling interests and income tax.
Property Segment
The following tables detail the development of the Company’s liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses for its Property segment, allocated between large and small catastrophe net claims and claim expenses and attritional net claims and claim expenses, included in the other line item:
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended March 31,
2020
 
 
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
 
Catastrophe net claims and claim expenses
 
 
 
Large catastrophe events
 
 
 
2019 Large Loss Events
$
(19,681
)
 
 
2018 Large Loss Events
(14,200
)
 
 
2017 Large Loss Events
(6,237
)
 
 
Other
8,027

 
 
Total large catastrophe events
(32,091
)
 
 
Small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
 
 
 
Other small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
46,099

 
 
Total small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
46,099

 
 
Total net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses
$
14,008

 
 
 
 
 

The net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Property segment in the three months ended March 31, 2020 of $14.0 million was comprised of net adverse development of $54.1 million primarily within the Company’s other property class of business and principally driven by higher than expected attritional losses related to lines of business where the Company principally estimates net claims and claim expenses using traditional actuarial methods, combined with the impact of certain of the Company’s whole account ceded protections. Partially offsetting this adverse development was favorable development on prior accident years net claims and claim expenses associated with the following large catastrophe events:
$19.7 million associated with Hurricane Dorian and Typhoon Faxai, Typhoon Hagibis and losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the “2019 Large Loss Events”);
$14.2 million associated with Typhoons Jebi, Mangkhut and Trami, Hurricane Florence, the wildfires in California during the third and fourth quarters of 2018, Hurricane Michael and certain losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the ”2018 Large Loss Events”); and
$6.2 million associated with Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, the Mexico City Earthquake, the wildfires in California during the fourth quarter of 2017 and certain losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the “2017 Large Loss Events”).
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended March 31,
2019
 
 
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
 
Catastrophe net claims and claim expenses
 
 
 
Large catastrophe events
 
 
 
2017 Large Loss Events
$
(10,918
)
 
 
Other
(1,374
)
 
 
Total large catastrophe events
(12,292
)
 
 
Small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
 
 
 
Other small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
14,169

 
 
Total small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
14,169

 
 
Total catastrophe and attritional net claims and claim expenses
1,877

 
 
Total net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses
$
1,877

 
 
 
 
 

The net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Property segment in the three months ended March 31, 2019 of $1.9 million was principally comprised of net adverse development of $14.2 million related to small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements and partially offset by net favorable development of $10.9 million related to the 2017 Large Loss Events.
Casualty and Specialty Segment
The following table details the development of the Company’s liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses for its Casualty and Specialty segment:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three months ended March 31,
2020
 
2019
 
 
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
(Favorable) adverse development
 
 
Actuarial methods
$
(1
)
 
$
(6,202
)
 
 
Total net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses
$
(1
)
 
$
(6,202
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

The net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Casualty and Specialty segment of $1 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2020 was due to reported losses generally coming in as expected on attritional net claims and claim expenses.
The net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Casualty and Specialty segment was $6.2 million in the three months ended March 31, 2019 driven by reported losses generally coming in lower than expected on attritional net claims and claim expenses and
certain assumption changes across a number of lines of business.