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Fair Value Measurements
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements Text Block

Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date (exit price). The authoritative guidance requires disclosure of the framework for measuring fair value and requires that fair value measurements be classified and disclosed in one of the following categories:

Level 1:
Unadjusted quoted prices in active markets that are accessible at the measurement date for identical, unrestricted assets or liabilities. We consider active markets as those in which transactions for the assets or liabilities occur with sufficient frequency and volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing basis.
Level 2:
Quoted prices in markets that are not active, or inputs that are observable, either directly or indirectly, for substantially the full term of the asset or liability. This category includes those derivative instruments that we value using observable market data. Substantially all of these inputs are observable in the marketplace throughout the full term of the derivative instrument, can be derived from observable data or are supported by observable levels at which transactions are executed in the marketplace. Instruments in this category include non-exchange traded derivatives such as over-the-counter commodity fixed-price swaps.
Level 3:
Measured based on prices or valuation models that require inputs that are both significant to the fair value measurement and less observable from objective sources (i.e., supported by little or no market activity). Level 3 instruments primarily include derivative instruments, such as commodity options (i.e., price collars, sold puts, purchased calls or swaptions).
We use a modified Black-Scholes option pricing valuation model for option and swaption derivative contracts that considers various inputs including: (a) forward prices for commodities, (b) time value, (c) volatility factors, (d) counterparty credit risk and (e) current market and contractual prices for the underlying instruments.

Our valuation model for the Stockholder Value Appreciation Program (SVAP) was a Monte Carlo simulation that was based on a probability model and considered various inputs including: (a) the measurement date stock price, (b) time value and (c) historical and implied volatility.

Financial assets and liabilities are classified based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement. Our assessment of the significance of a particular input to the fair value measurement requires judgment and may affect the valuation of the fair value of assets and liabilities and their placement within the fair value hierarchy.

The determination of the fair values of our derivative contracts incorporates various factors, which include not only the impact of our non-performance risk on our liabilities but also the credit standing of the counterparties involved. We utilize counterparty rate of default values to assess the impact of non-performance risk when evaluating both our liabilities to, and receivables from, counterparties.

Recurring Fair Value Measurements

The following table summarizes the valuation of our assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis.
 
 
Fair Value Measurement Classification
 
 
 
 
Quoted Prices
in Active
Markets for
Identical Assets
or Liabilities
(Level 1)
 
Significant
Other
Observable
Inputs
(Level 2)
 
Significant
Unobservable
Inputs
(Level 3)
 
Total
 
 
(In millions)
As of December 31, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Money market fund investments
 
$
2

 
$

 
$

 
$
2

Deferred compensation plan assets
 
5

 

 

 
5

Equity securities available-for-sale
 
8

 

 

 
8

Oil and gas derivative swap contracts
 

 
675

 

 
675

Oil and gas derivative option contracts
 

 

 
(308
)
 
(308
)
Stock-based compensation liability awards
 
(12
)
 

 

 
(12
)
Total
 
$
3

 
$
675

 
$
(308
)
 
$
370

As of December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Money market fund investments
 
$
320

 
$

 
$

 
$
320

Deferred compensation plan assets
 
6

 

 

 
6

Equity securities available-for-sale
 
9

 

 

 
9

Oil and gas derivative swap contracts
 

 
50

 

 
50

Oil and gas derivative option contracts
 

 

 
(75
)
 
(75
)
Stock-based compensation liability awards
 
(11
)
 

 

 
(11
)
Total
 
$
324

 
$
50

 
$
(75
)
 
$
299



Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

The following table sets forth a reconciliation of changes in the fair value of financial assets and liabilities classified as Level 3 in the fair value hierarchy for the indicated periods. 
 
 
Investments
 
Derivatives
 
Stock-Based Compensation
 
Total
 
 
(In millions)
Balance at January 1, 2014
 
$
39

 
$
(8
)
 
$
(5
)
 
$
26

Unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings
 

 
(381
)
 
(38
)
 
(419
)
Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sales
 
(39
)
 

 

 
(39
)
Settlements
 

 
5

 
40

 
45

Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 

Transfers out of Level 3(1)
 

 
3

 

 
3

Balance at December 31, 2014
 
$

 
$
(381
)
 
$
(3
)
 
$
(384
)
Change in unrealized gains or losses included in earnings relating to Level 3 instruments still held at December 31, 2014
 
$

 
$
(375
)
 
$
2

 
$
(373
)
Balance at January 1, 2015
 
$

 
$
(381
)
 
$
(3
)
 
$
(384
)
Unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings
 

 
(217
)
 
3

 
(214
)
Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Settlements
 

 
290

 

 
290

Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

 

Balance at December 31, 2015
 
$

 
$
(308
)
 
$

 
$
(308
)
Change in unrealized gains or losses included in earnings relating to Level 3 instruments still held at December 31, 2015
 
$

 
$
(143
)
 
$
3

 
$
(140
)
Balance at January 1, 2016
 
$

 
$
(308
)
 
$

 
$
(308
)
Unrealized gains (losses) included in earnings
 

 
(33
)
 

 
(33
)
Purchases, issuances, sales and settlements:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Settlements
 

 
220

 

 
220

Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 

Transfers out of Level 3(2)
 

 
46

 

 
46

Balance at December 31, 2016
 
$

 
$
(75
)
 
$

 
$
(75
)
Change in unrealized gains or losses included in earnings relating to Level 3 instruments still held at December 31, 2016
 
$

 
$
13

 
$

 
$
13


_________________
(1)
During the second quarter of 2014, we transferred $3 million of derivative option contracts out of the Level 3 category, resulting from the exercise of our Level 3 swaptions by the counterparties to swaps in May 2014.
(2)
During the second quarter of 2016, we transferred $46 million of derivative option contracts out of the Level 3 category, resulting from the exercise of our Level 3 swaptions by the counterparties to swaps in June 2016.

Qualitative Disclosures about Unobservable Inputs for Level 3 Fair Value Measurements

Investments.   During the first quarter of 2014, all auction rate securities that we held as of January 1, 2014, were sold for $39 million.

Derivatives.   The calculation of the fair value of our option contracts requires the use of an option-pricing model. The estimated future prices are compared to the strike prices fixed by our derivative contracts, and the resulting estimated future cash inflows or outflows over the contractual life are discounted to calculate the fair value. These pricing and discounting variables are sensitive to market volatility as well as changes in future price forecasts and interest rates. Significant increases (decreases) in the quoted forward prices for commodities generally lead to corresponding decreases (increases) in the fair value measurement of our oil and gas derivative contracts. Significant changes in the volatility factors utilized in our option-pricing model can cause significant changes in the fair value measurement of our oil and gas derivative contracts. Historically, we have not experienced significant changes in the fair value of our derivative contracts resulting from changes in counterparty credit risk as the counterparties for all of our derivative transactions have an "investment grade" credit rating. See Note 4, "Derivative Financial Instruments," for additional discussion of our derivative instruments.

Stock-Based Compensation. The calculation of the fair value of the SVAP liability required the use of a probability-based Monte Carlo simulation, which included unobservable inputs. The simulation predicted multiple scenarios of future stock returns over the performance period, which were discounted to calculate the fair value. The fair value was recognized over a service period derived from the simulation. The SVAP performance period and program ended December 31, 2015.

Quantitative Disclosures about Unobservable Inputs for Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
 
 
Estimated Fair Value Asset (Liability)
 
Quantitative Information about Level 3 Fair Value Measurements
Instrument Type
 
Valuation
Technique
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
 
 
(In millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Oil option contracts
 
$
(46
)
 
Modified Black-Scholes
 
Oil price volatility
 
23.13
%
66.5%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit risk
 
0.01
%
1.45%
Natural gas option contracts
 
$
(29
)
 
Modified Black-Scholes
 
Natural gas price volatility
 
23.53
%
53.39%
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit risk
 
0.01
%
1.45%

 
Fair Value of Debt

The estimated fair value of our notes, based on quoted prices in active markets (Level 1) as of December 31, was as follows: 
 
 
2016
 
2015
 
 
(In millions)
5¾% Senior Notes due 2022
 
$
789

 
$
668

5⅝% Senior Notes due 2024
 
1,044

 
831

5⅜% Senior Notes due 2026
 
714

 
542



Any amounts outstanding under our revolving credit facility and money market lines of credit as of the indicated dates are stated at cost, which approximates fair value. See Note 11, "Debt."