-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, GSnBlM5QeymPo9ErIa6F+WWf3wrcuxaBMTR/cVLHQ3w6p5H6ZTtY7PfQ4xvqet3W JpZav49XoieQNF0BRns11w== 0001104659-08-026173.txt : 20080423 0001104659-08-026173.hdr.sgml : 20080423 20080423173039 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0001104659-08-026173 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20080423 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20080423 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20080423 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: ALLSTATE CORP CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000899051 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE [6331] IRS NUMBER: 363871531 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 1231 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-11840 FILM NUMBER: 08772529 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 2775 SANDERS ROAD CITY: NORTHBROOK STATE: IL ZIP: 60062 BUSINESS PHONE: 8474025000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 2775 SANDERS ROAD CITY: NORTHBROOK STATE: IL ZIP: 60062 8-K 1 a08-12294_18k.htm 8-K

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C.

 


 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

 

PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15 (d) OF THE

SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

Date of report (Date of earliest event reported) April 23, 2008

 

The Allstate Corporation

(Exact name of registrant as specified in charter)

 

Delaware

 

1-11840

 

36-3871531

(State or other
jurisdiction of
incorporation)

 

(Commission
file number)

 

(IRS employer
identification
number)

 

 

 

 

 

2775 Sanders Road, Northbrook, Illinois

 

60062

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip code)

 

Registrant’s telephone number, including area code (847) 402-5000

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2.below):

 

o Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

o Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

 



 

Section 2. — Financial Information

 

Item 2.02.             Results of Operations and Financial Condition.

 

On April 23, 2008, the registrant issued a press release announcing its financial results for the first quarter of 2008. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99 to this report.

 

Section 9. — Financial Statements and Exhibits

 

Item 9.01.             Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d)

 

Exhibits

 

 

 

99

 

Registrant’s press release dated April 23, 2008

 

2



 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

 

 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

 

(registrant)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

By

/s/ Samuel H. Pilch

 

Name: Samuel H. Pilch

 

Title: Controller

 

 

 

Dated: April 23, 2008

 

 

 

3


EX-99 2 a08-12294_1ex99.htm EX-99

Exhibit 99

 

Allstate Reports 2008 First Quarter Results

High Catastrophe Losses Offset Strong Underwriting Results;

Net Income Affected by Investment Valuations

 

NORTHBROOK, Ill., April 23, 2008 — The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported results for the first quarter of 2008:

 

 

 

Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change

 

(in millions, except per share amounts and ratios)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

$ Amt

 

%

 

Consolidated revenues

 

$

8,087

 

$

9,331

 

$

(1,244

)

(13.3

)

Net income

 

348

 

1,495

 

(1,147

)

(76.7

)

Net income per diluted share

 

0.62

 

2.41

 

(1.79

)

(74.3

)

Operating income*

 

747

 

1,197

 

(450

)

(37.6

)

Operating income per diluted share*

 

1.33

 

1.93

 

(0.60

)

(31.1

)

Return on equity

 

16.3

 

23.6

 

 

(7.3

) pts.

Operating income return on equity*

 

16.6

 

24.3

 

 

(7.7

) pts.

Book value per share

 

36.45

 

36.54

 

(0.09

)

(0.2

)

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities*

 

37.37

 

34.93

 

2.44

 

7.0

 

Catastrophe losses

 

568

 

161

 

407

 

 

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

94.0

 

84.6

 

 

9.4

 pts.

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates (“underlying combined ratio”)*

 

85.8

 

84.1

 

 

1.7

 pts.

 

“Catastrophe losses offset the solid underlying performance of our insurance operations, where profitability exceeded the full year outlook we provided in January,” said Thomas J. Wilson, president, chief executive officer and chairman-elect of The Allstate Corporation. “Continued strong operating results enabled us to deliver a 16.6% operating income return on shareholders’ equity over the last 12 months.”

 

High catastrophe losses fueled by an unusual number of tornados contributed to a decline in the Corporation’s operating income to $747 million, down $450 million compared to the first quarter of 2007.  Catastrophe losses for the quarter were $568 million, a $407 million increase over the first quarter of 2007.  Operating income for the quarter also reflected a $107 million decline in favorable non-catastrophe reserve re-estimates to $16 million from $123 million in the same quarter of 2007.  For the quarter, the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio, which excludes the effects of catastrophes and prior year reserve re-estimates, was 85.8.  Allstate Financial experienced a $13 million decline in operating income compared to the same quarter prior year due to dividends paid last year, negative effects on investment spread by raising liquidity levels, and slightly unfavorable mortality levels.

 


*Measures used in this release that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“non-GAAP”) are defined and reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and operating measures are defined in the “Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures” section of this document.

 

1



 

Net income for the quarter was $348 million, down from $1.5 billion in the first quarter of 2007, reflecting lower operating income and realized capital losses stemming from the current condition of the global capital markets. “Our investment portfolio is diversified and high quality,” Wilson said. “While we did write down the value of our fixed income securities by $347 million, the majority of those securities are performing in accordance with contractual or expected cash flows.”

 

“Our cash flow and capital position remains strong and we continued our share repurchase program,” Wilson said. Book value per share was $36.45, comparable to the first quarter of 2007. Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, was $37.37, an increase of 7.0% from the first quarter last year.

 

Consumer Focus

 

“Our unique mix of innovative products continues to differentiate us from the competition,” Wilson said. In addition to Allstate® Your Choice Auto Insurance (YCA), the company’s innovative auto insurance product, Allstate offers a number of consumer-focused products to attract new customers:

 

·                  Allstate’s product offering for higher risk drivers, Allstate BlueSM, was introduced in Arizona in the quarter, bringing the total number of states in which the product is available to 13.

·                  Encompass EdgeSM, a new product sold through independent agents, contributed to positive premium written growth in the brand’s standard auto line. The product was introduced in four states in the quarter, bringing the total number of states in which Encompass EdgeSM is available to 16.

·                  Allstate® Your Choice Home, the Company’s unique homeowners insurance product, is now available in 17 states.

·                  Allstate Financial is preparing to launch a new line of target date mutual funds that will add to the number of consumer-friendly retirement products available through Allstate personal financial representatives. Approximately two-thirds of Allstate’s agency force is licensed to sell mutual funds and variable annuities.

 

Operational Excellence

 

“Operating excellence is the key to our success and is one of our core capabilities. Our balanced strategy of target marketing to high lifetime value customers, broad suite of innovative products, disciplined pricing and customer service is working in very competitive markets,” Wilson said.

 

The company completed the countrywide expansion of the Ballpark Estimating Tool during the quarter, enabling consumers to get on-line auto insurance premium estimates in 2-3 minutes. As part of an effort to integrate Allstate’s distribution channels, every Allstate-provided agency website now links to the Ballpark Estimating Tool. The company continued investments in claims and distribution systems aimed at improving customer service and loyalty.

 

During the quarter, Allstate adjusted pricing where needed and appropriate for an average rate increase of 4.5% for standard auto and 10.9% for homeowners in the states where rates were approved.

 

Capital Management

 

“We remain focused on balancing three objectives: investing in the business to ensure future competitiveness, remaining financially strong for policyholders and returning capital to shareholders,” Wilson said.

 

In February, Allstate announced a quarterly dividend of $0.41 per share, representing a 7.9% increase over the first quarter 2007 dividend.  The announcement marked the 14th consecutive year that Allstate increased its dividend. In the first quarter, the Corporation repurchased 8.8 million shares for $424 million, completing its $4.0 billion share repurchase program, and beginning a new $2.0 billion share repurchase program announced in February that is expected to be completed by March 31, 2009.

 

2



 

People

 

“People are the key to our success. It is the experience of our leadership team, the talent of our employees, and the dedication of our agency owners and their staff that will enable us to achieve our goal of reinventing protection and retirement for the consumer,” Wilson said.  Allstate added to its senior management team in March when James DeVries joined the company as senior vice president of human resources, replacing Joan Crockett who retired after 35 years of service.

 

Outlook

 

“Our unique innovative products, disciplined pricing, financial strength and experienced management team give us an edge over the competition,” continued Wilson. “We believe this environment, while challenging, plays to Allstate’s strengths.”

 

Although auto frequency was lower in the first quarter, Allstate is leaving in place the expectation that its Property-Liability combined ratio, excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve re-estimates, will be within the range of 87.0 and 89.0 for the full year 2008. The company will continue to monitor results and, if appropriate, will revise its 2008 combined ratio outlook.

 

PERFORMANCE HIGHLIGHTS

 

Consolidated

 

·                  Consolidated revenues were $8.1 billion in the quarter, a decline from $9.3 billion in the first quarter of 2007, reflecting net realized capital losses in the current year compared to net realized capital gains in the first quarter of 2007.

 

·                  Operating income per diluted share was $1.33 in the quarter, a decline from $1.93 in the first quarter of 2007, reflecting higher catastrophe losses, representing $0.48 of the decline, and the effects of lower favorable prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates representing $0.11 of the decline.

 

·                  Net income per diluted share was $0.62 in the quarter, a decline from $2.41 in the first quarter of 2007, reflecting after-tax net realized capital losses in the current year quarter compared to net realized capital gains in the first quarter of 2007, representing $1.25 of the decline, and lower operating income, representing $0.60 of the decline.

 

BUSINESS HIGHLIGHTS

 

(in millions, except ratios)

 

Three months ended
March 31,

 

 

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

%
Change

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

(1.4

)

Underwriting income*

 

408

 

1,046

 

(61.0

)

Net income

 

503

 

1,349

 

(62.7

)

Combined Ratio

 

94.0

 

84.6

 

9.4 pts

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits*

 

$

3,046

 

$

2,628

 

15.9

 

Operating income

 

143

 

156

 

(8.3

)

Net (loss) income

 

(111

)

164

 

(167.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

$

1,526

 

$

1,571

 

(2.9

)

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(655

)

471

 

 

 

3



 

Property-Liability

 

·                  Property-Liability premiums written declined 1.4% from the first quarter of 2007 reflecting a 0.6% increase in Allstate brand standard auto premiums written* offset by a decline in homeowners premiums written due to catastrophe management actions including the increased cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program.  The cost of the catastrophe reinsurance program was $227 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to $216 million in the first quarter of 2007.  We estimate that the total annualized cost of all catastrophe reinsurance programs for the year beginning June 1, 2008 will be approximately $660 million compared to approximately $900 million per year for the year beginning June 1, 2007.

 

·                  Allstate brand standard auto premiums written grew 0.6% in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the prior year quarter.  Contributing to the overall change were the following:

 

                 0.1% decrease in policies in force (“PIF”)

                 0.8 point decline in the six month renewal ratio to 88.9%

                 1.9% increase in six month average premium before reinsurance to $428

                 13.7% decrease in new issued applications

 

·                  Allstate brand homeowners premiums written declined 2.3% in the first quarter of 2008, compared to the prior year quarter, primarily due to our catastrophe risk management actions.  Contributing to the overall change were the following:

 

                 3.9% decrease in PIF

                 0.3 point increase in the twelve month renewal ratio to 86.7%

                 2.4% increase in twelve month average premium before reinsurance to $867

                 28.2% decrease in new issued applications

 

·                  Standard auto property damage frequencies decreased 2.4% and bodily injury frequencies decreased 6.5% compared to the first quarter of 2007.  Auto property damage and bodily injury paid severities increased 4.1% and 8.6%, respectively.  The Allstate brand standard auto loss ratio increased 1.9 points compared to the first quarter of 2007 to 65.5 in the first quarter of 2008, due to increased catastrophe losses and the absence of prior year reserve reestimates.

 

·                  Homeowners gross claim frequency excluding catastrophes increased 1.5% compared to the first quarter of 2007.  Homeowners paid severity excluding catastrophes increased 3.1% compared to the first quarter of 2007.  The Allstate brand homeowners loss ratio increased 25.0 points compared to the first quarter of 2007 to 80.2 in the first quarter of 2008, largely attributable to higher catastrophes. The effect of catastrophe losses on the Allstate brand homeowners loss ratio totaled 29.7 in the first quarter of 2008 compared to 8.3 in the first quarter of 2007.

 

·                  Property-Liability prior year reserve reestimates for the first quarter of 2008 were an unfavorable $101 million, compared to favorable prior year reserve reestimates of $129 million in the first quarter of 2007.  The unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates for the quarter were primarily related to catastrophes totaling $117 million, as discussed below.

 

·                  Catastrophe losses for the quarter totaled $568 million, compared to $161 million in the first quarter of 2007, impacting the combined ratio by 8.4 points in the quarter and 2.4 points in the first quarter of 2007.  This increase was primarily related to severe winter weather experienced across the country, including tornado activity, resulting in 27 catastrophe events in the first quarter of 2008 compared to 18 in the first quarter of 2007.  Catastrophe losses, excluding prior year reserve reestimates, were $451 million in the quarter compared to $167 million in the first quarter of 2007.  Unfavorable reserve reestimates related to catastrophes from prior years totaled $117 million in the quarter, impacting the combined ratio by 1.7 points, primarily related to litigation in Louisiana for Hurricane Katrina, compared to favorable reserve reestimates related to catastrophes from prior years of $6 million in the first quarter of 2007.

 

4



 

·                  Underwriting income was $408 million during the first quarter of 2008 compared to $1.0 billion in the same period of 2007.  The decrease was primarily due to higher catastrophe losses and an unfavorable change in prior year reserve reestimates.

 

·                  Allstate expects the Property-Liability underlying combined ratio will be within the range of 87.0 and 89.0 for the full year 2008.  The calculation of the underlying combined ratio for the three months ended March 31 is shown in the table below.

 

 

 

Three months ended
March 31,

 

 

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates (“underlying combined ratio”)

 

85.8

 

84.1

 

Effect of catastrophe losses

 

8.4

 

2.4

 

Effect of prior year non-catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

(0.2

)

(1.9

)

Combined ratio (GAAP)

 

94.0

 

84.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve reestimates

 

1.7

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

·                  Premiums and deposits in the first quarter of 2008 were $3.0 billion, an increase of 15.9% from the prior year quarter.  This increase is primarily due to deposits on institutional products during the first quarter of 2008 and increased premiums on life products.

 

·                  Operating income for the first quarter of 2008 was $143 million, $13 million lower than the prior year quarter.  The decline was primarily due to lower investment spread, slightly unfavorable mortality levels and slightly increased operating expenses.  Favorably impacting operating income was lower amortization of deferred acquisition costs (“DAC”) and the absence of a prior year litigation settlement.  The decline in investment spreads was driven by lower net investment income resulting from lower investment balances reflecting dividends paid by Allstate Life Insurance Company in 2007, increased short-term investment balances to offset reduced liquidity in some asset classes, and lower investment yields.

 

·                  Net loss for the first quarter of 2008 was $111 million compared to net income of $164 million in the prior year quarter.  The decline was due to net realized capital losses, lower operating income and a loss on disposition of operations.  Net realized capital losses were driven by $209 million in impairment write-downs, $202 million decline in the valuation of derivative instruments, which includes the change in fair value of embedded options (derivatives) in equity-linked notes and convertible bonds, and $66 million in dispositions.  For further information on write-downs and the valuation of derivative instruments, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis section.

 

Investments

 

·                  Net realized capital losses were $655 million on a pre-tax basis for the quarter, due to $415 million of impairment write-downs and $300 million of net losses related to the settlement and valuation of derivative instruments, partly offset by net gains totaling $60 million on dispositions. 

 

·                  Impairment write-downs totaled $415 million, comprised $347 million on fixed income securities, primarily related to residential mortgages and other structured securities, $52 million on equity securities, $13 million on limited partnership interests and $3 million on other investments.  Approximately 70% of the fixed income write-downs relate to impaired securities that are currently performing in line with anticipated or contractual cash flows, but which were written down primarily because of expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral. The remaining 30% are primarily related to securities currently experiencing a significant departure from anticipated residual cash flows.

 

5



 

For further information on the types of securities experiencing write-downs, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis section.

 

·                  Net realized capital losses on the valuation and settlement of derivative instruments totaled $300 million for the quarter, primarily comprised $162 million for the valuation of embedded equity options in fixed income securities and $105 million for the valuation of risk reduction programs.  For further information on the impact from the valuation and settlement of derivatives, see the Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis section.

 

·                  Allstate’s investment portfolios totaled $115.5 billion as of March 31, 2008, a decline of $3.5 billion from the end of 2007, due to unrealized net capital losses and net realized capital losses. 

 

·                  Unrealized net capital losses totaled $570 million as of March 31, 2008, compared to unrealized net capital gains of $1.9 billion at December 31, 2007.  The decline was primarily due to unrealized net capital losses on investment grade fixed income securities as the yields supporting fair values increased, resulting from widening credit spreads that more than offset the effects of declining risk free interest rates, and lower unrealized net capital gains on equity securities totaling $598 million.  As of March 31, 2008, unrealized net capital losses in our asset-backed securities (“ABS”) and commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”) totaled $1.5 billion and $868 million, respectively, partly offset by unrealized net capital gains on U.S. government and agencies securities totaling $1.0 billion, municipal securities of $342 million and equity securities of $392 million.  We continue to experience volatility in the balance of our unrealized net capital gains and losses as we did between the years 2004/2005 and 2006/2007.  For further information on our sub-prime residential and commercial mortgage loan portfolio, see the Securities Experiencing Illiquid Markets section.

 

·                  Net investment income decreased 2.9% to $1.5 billion compared to the prior year quarter.  Property-Liability net investment income decreased 4.3% to $470 million, compared to the prior year quarter, due to decreased income on limited partnership interests, lower average asset balances and portfolio yields.  Allstate Financial net investment income declined 3.3% to $1.0 billion, compared to the prior year quarter, due to lower portfolio yields and lower average asset balances, partly offset by increased income from limited partnership interests. 

 

6



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED AND SEGMENT HIGHLIGHTS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions, except per share amounts,

 

Est.

 

 

 

 

 

Percent

 

return data and ratios)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

8,087

 

$

9,331

 

(1,244

)

(13.3

)

Net income

 

348

 

1,495

 

(1,147

)

(76.7

)

Operating income

 

747

 

1,197

 

(450

)

(37.6

)

Income per diluted share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net

 

0.62

 

2.41

 

(1.79

)

(74.3

)

Operating

 

1.33

 

1.93

 

(0.6

)

(31.1

)

Weighted average shares outstanding (diluted)

 

561.6

 

621.6

 

(60.0

)

(9.7

)

Net shares outstanding

 

554.1

 

610.9

 

(56.8

)

(9.3

)

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

16.3

 

23.6

 

 

(7.3

) pts.

Operating income

 

16.6

 

24.3

 

 

(7.7

) pts.

Book value per diluted share

 

36.45

 

36.54

 

(0.1

)

(0.2

)

Book value per diluted share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

37.37

 

34.93

 

2.44

 

7.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability premiums written

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

(95

)

(1.4

)

Property-Liability revenues

 

7,040

 

7,741

 

(701

)

(9.1

)

Net income

 

503

 

1,349

 

(846

)

(62.7

)

Underwriting income

 

408

 

1,046

 

(638

)

(61.0

)

Net investment income

 

470

 

491

 

(21

)

(4.3

)

Operating income

 

629

 

1,062

 

(433

)

(40.8

)

Catastrophe losses

 

568

 

161

 

407

 

 

Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection loss ratio

 

69.1

 

61.1

 

 

8.0

 pts.

Allstate Protection expense ratio

 

24.8

 

24.1

 

 

0.7

 pts.

Allstate Protection combined ratio

 

93.9

 

85.2

 

 

8.7

 pts.

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

0.1

 

(0.6

)

 

0.7

 pts.

Property-Liability combined ratio

 

94.0

 

84.6

 

 

9.4

 pts.

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

8.4

 

2.4

 

 

6.0

 pts.

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes

 

85.6

 

82.2

 

 

3.4

 pts.

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

1.5

 

(1.9

)

 

3.4

 pts.

Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

(1.7

)

 

 

(1.7

) pts.

Property-Liability combined ratio excluding effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates

 

85.8

 

84.1

 

 

1.7

 pts.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

3,046

 

$

2,628

 

418

 

15.9

 

Allstate Financial revenues

 

1,035

 

1,556

 

(521

)

(33.5

)

Realized Capital Gains and Losses (Pre-tax)

 

(432

)

23

 

(455

)

 

Net (loss) income

 

(111

)

164

 

(275

)

(167.7

)

Operating income

 

143

 

156

 

(13

)

(8.3

)

Net Income Analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefit spread

 

111

 

110

 

1

 

0.9

 

Investment spread

 

253

 

264

 

(11

)

(4.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment Highlights

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Investment Income

 

$

1,526

 

$

1,571

 

(45

)

(2.9

)

Realized Capital Gains and Losses (Pre-tax)

 

(655

)

471

 

(1,126

)

 

Total Investments

 

115,470

 

122,382

 

(6,912

)

(5.6

)

 

7



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance premiums

 

$

6,764

 

$

6,806

 

(0.6

)

Life and annuity premiums and contract charges

 

452

 

483

 

(6.4

)

Net investment income

 

1,526

 

1,571

 

(2.9

)

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(655

)

471

 

 

Total revenues

 

8,087

 

9,331

 

(13.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs and expenses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

4,676

 

4,117

 

13.6

 

Life and annuity contract benefits

 

397

 

428

 

(7.2

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

624

 

649

 

(3.9

)

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,075

 

1,153

 

(6.8

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

792

 

727

 

8.9

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

(1

)

 

Interest expense

 

88

 

72

 

22.2

 

Total costs and expenses

 

7,651

 

7,145

 

7.1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss on disposition of operations

 

(9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income from operations before income tax expense

 

427

 

2,186

 

(80.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax expense

 

79

 

691

 

(88.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

348

 

$

1,495

 

(76.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share - Basic

 

$

0.62

 

$

2.42

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Basic

 

558.9

 

616.8

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income per share - Diluted

 

$

0.62

 

$

2.41

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average shares - Diluted

 

561.6

 

621.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends declared per share

 

$

0.41

 

$

0.38

 

 

 

 

8



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONTRIBUTION TO INCOME

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contribution to income

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

746

 

$

1,196

 

(37.6

)

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

(1

)

(1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

747

 

1,197

 

(37.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(425

)

305

 

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

39

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(7

)

(8

)

12.5

 

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(6

)

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

348

 

$

1,495

 

(76.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income per share - Diluted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income before the impact of restructuring and related charges

 

$

1.33

 

$

1.93

 

(31.1

)

Restructuring and related charges, after-tax

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

1.33

 

1.93

 

(31.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(0.76

)

0.49

 

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

0.07

 

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

 

Loss on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(0.01

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

0.62

 

$

2.41

 

(74.3

)

 

9



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

SEGMENT RESULTS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

6,764

 

$

6,806

 

Claims and claims expense

 

4,676

 

4,117

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,011

 

1,024

 

Operating costs and expenses (1)

 

670

 

620

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

(1

)

Underwriting income

 

408

 

1,046

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

470

 

491

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

1

 

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

250

 

475

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

629

 

1,062

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(125

)

287

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

503

 

$

1,349

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

568

 

$

161

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

69.1

 

60.5

 

Expense ratio (1)

 

24.9

 

24.1

 

Combined ratio

 

94.0

 

84.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

8.4

 

2.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio

 

1.5

 

(1.9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior year reserve reestimate on combined ratio

 

1.7

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio

 

0.1

 

(0.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and deposits

 

$

3,046

 

$

2,628

 

Investments

 

$

73,023

 

$

77,727

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums and contract charges

 

$

452

 

$

483

 

Net investment income

 

1,015

 

1,050

 

Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments

 

9

 

12

 

Contract benefits

 

397

 

428

 

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

630

 

649

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

117

 

129

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

118

 

105

 

Income tax expense on operations

 

71

 

78

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

143

 

156

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(281

)

15

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

39

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax

 

(6

)

(8

)

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

(6

)

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(111

)

$

164

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

$

41

 

$

30

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

92

 

74

 

Income tax benefit on operations

 

(26

)

(23

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating loss

 

(25

)

(21

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(19

)

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net loss

 

$

(44

)

$

(18

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consolidated net income

 

$

348

 

$

1,495

 

 


(1)   The increase was due to higher employee compensation, agent remuneration and the net cost of benefits.

 

10



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

UNDERWRITING RESULTS BY AREA OF BUSINESS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Percent
Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

415

 

$

1,006

 

(58.7

)

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

(7

)

40

 

(117.5

)

Underwriting income

 

$

408

 

$

1,046

 

(61.0

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

(1.4

)

Premiums earned

 

$

6,764

 

$

6,806

 

(0.6

)

Claims and claims expense

 

4,671

 

4,159

 

12.3

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

1,011

 

1,024

 

(1.3

)

Operating costs and expenses

 

668

 

618

 

8.1

 

Restructuring and related charges

 

(1

)

(1

)

 

Underwriting income

 

$

415

 

$

1,006

 

(58.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe losses

 

$

568

 

$

161

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Claims and claims expense ratio

 

69.1

 

61.1

 

 

 

Expense ratio

 

24.8

 

24.1

 

 

 

Combined ratio

 

93.9

 

85.2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio

 

8.4

 

2.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting Summary

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

 

$

 

$

 

 

Premiums earned

 

$

 

$

 

 

Claims and claims expense

 

5

 

(42

)

111.9

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

2

 

2

 

 

Underwriting (loss) income

 

$

(7

)

$

40

 

(117.5

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the Property-Liability combined ratio

 

0.1 

 

(0.6

)

 

 

 

11



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY PREMIUMS WRITTEN BY MARKET SEGMENT

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,077

 

$

4,051

 

0.6

 

Non-standard auto

 

274

 

321

 

(14.6

)

Involuntary auto

 

16

 

22

 

(27.3

)

Commercial lines

 

167

 

194

 

(13.9

)

Homeowners

 

1,185

 

1,213

 

(2.3

)

Other personal lines

 

371

 

365

 

1.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6,090

 

6,166

 

(1.2

)

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto (1)

 

270

 

266

 

1.5

 

Non-standard auto

 

12

 

21

 

(42.9

)

Involuntary auto

 

3

 

6

 

(50.0

)

Homeowners

 

113

 

123

 

(8.1

)

Other personal lines

 

26

 

27

 

(3.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

424

 

443

 

(4.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

6,514

 

6,609

 

(1.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

(1.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,347

 

$

4,317

 

0.7

 

Non-standard auto

 

286

 

342

 

(16.4

)

Involuntary auto

 

19

 

28

 

(32.1

)

Commercial lines

 

167

 

194

 

(13.9

)

Homeowners

 

1,298

 

1,336

 

(2.8

)

Other personal lines

 

397

 

392

 

1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

(1.4

)

 


(1) Encompass Edge, a new independent agency product, contributed to growth.  It is now available in 16 states.

 

12



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

ANNUAL IMPACT OF NET RATE CHANGES APPROVED ON PREMIUMS WRITTEN (1)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31, 2008 (Est.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

States

 

Countrywide (%) (2)

 

State Specific (%) (3)

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

12

 

0.8

 

4.5

 

Non-standard auto

 

2

 

0.2

 

3.0

 

Homeowners

 

9

 

1.3

 

10.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

17

 

0.3

 

1.4

 

Non-standard auto

 

 

 

 

Homeowners

 

9

 

0.6

 

7.5

 

 


(1)   Rate increases that are indicated based on a loss trend analysis to achieve a targeted return will continue to be pursued in all locations and for all products.  Rate changes include changes approved based on our net cost of reinsurance.  These rate changes do not reflect initial rates filed for insurance subsidiaries initially writing new business.  Rate changes approved are estimated to total $217 million in premiums written.

 

(2)   Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2008 as a percentage of total countrywide prior year-end premiums written.

 

(3)   Represents the impact in the states where rate changes were approved during 2008 as a percentage of total prior year-end premiums written in those states.

 

13



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE PROTECTION MARKET SEGMENT ANALYSIS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Catastrophe Losses

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums Earned

 

Loss Ratio (2)

 

on the Loss Ratio

 

Expense Ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto

 

$

4,011

 

$

3,951

 

65.5

 

63.6

 

1.4

 

0.3

 

24.1

 

23.4

 

Non-standard auto

 

278

 

322

 

65.1

 

60.3

 

0.7

 

 

23.7

 

21.7

 

Homeowners

 

1,426

 

1,438

 

80.2

 

55.2

 

29.7

 

8.3

 

24.6

 

24.8

 

Other (1)

 

592

 

611

 

69.6

 

60.1

 

10.0

 

3.6

 

28.0

 

26.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Allstate brand

 

6,307

 

6,322

 

69.2

 

61.2

 

8.6

 

2.4

 

24.6

 

23.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Encompass brand

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Standard auto (3)

 

280

 

284

 

51.1

 

64.8

 

0.4

 

0.4

 

26.4

 

26.4

 

Non-standard auto

 

14

 

22

 

71.4

 

77.3

 

 

 

35.7

 

22.7

 

Homeowners

 

133

 

142

 

65.4

 

49.3

 

18.8

 

4.9

 

30.8

 

28.9

 

Other (1) (3)

 

30

 

36

 

220.0

 

52.8

 

6.7

 

2.8

 

30.0

 

25.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Encompass brand

 

457

 

484

 

67.0

 

59.9

 

6.1

 

1.9

 

28.2

 

26.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection

 

$

6,764

 

$

6,806

 

69.1

 

61.1

 

8.4

 

2.4

 

24.8

 

24.1

 

 


(1)          Other includes commercial lines, condominium, renters, involuntary auto and other personal lines.

(2)          Loss Ratio comparisons are impacted by the relative level of prior year reserve reestimates.  Please refer to the “Effect of Pre—tax Prior Year Reserve Reestimates on the Combined Ratio” table for detailed reserve reestimate information.

(3)          During the first quarter of 2008, $45 million of incurred losses related to IBNR were reclassified from the standard auto line to the other line to be consistent with the recording of excess policies premiums and losses.

 

14



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

PROPERTY-LIABILITY

EFFECT OF PRE-TAX PRIOR YEAR RESERVE REESTIMATES ON THE COMBINED RATIO

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effect of Pre-tax Reserve

 

 

 

Pre-tax

 

Reestimates on the

 

 

 

Reserve Reestimates (1)

 

Combined Ratio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions, except ratios)

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Auto (3)

 

$

(54

)

$

(66

)

(0.8

)

(1.0

)

Homeowners

 

78

 

(3

)

1.1

 

 

Other (3)

 

72

 

(18

)

1.1

 

(0.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection (2)

 

96

 

(87

)

1.4

 

(1.3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Discontinued Lines and Coverages

 

5

 

(42

)

0.1

 

(0.6

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

$

101

 

$

(129

)

1.5

 

(1.9

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate brand

 

$

96

 

$

(79

)

1.4

 

(1.2

)

Encompass brand

 

 

(8

)

 

(0.1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Protection (2)

 

$

96

 

$

(87

)

1.4

 

(1.3

)

 


(1)          Favorable reserve reestimates are shown in parentheses.

(2)          Unfavorable reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses totaled $117 million in the three months ended March 31, 2008 and favorable reserve reestimates included in catastrophe losses totaled $6 million in the three months ended March 31, 2007.

(3)          During the first quarter of 2008, $45 million of incurred losses related to IBNR were reclassified from the Encompass standard auto line to the Encompass other line to be consistent with the recording of excess policies premiums and losses.

 

15



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL PREMIUMS AND DEPOSITS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest-sensitive life

 

$

364

 

$

362

 

0.6

 

Traditional

 

89

 

92

 

(3.3

)

Other

 

101

 

89

 

13.5

 

 

 

554

 

543

 

2.0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annuities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Indexed annuities

 

133

 

141

 

(5.7

)

Fixed deferred annuities

 

516

 

480

 

7.5

 

Sub-total

 

649

 

621

 

4.5

 

Fixed immediate annuities

 

67

 

152

 

(55.9

)

 

 

716

 

773

 

(7.4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Institutional Products

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Funding agreements backing medium-term notes (1)

 

1,660

 

1,200

 

38.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bank Deposits

 

116

 

112

 

3.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

3,046

 

$

2,628

 

15.9

 

 


(1)          Funding agreements backing medium term notes include an issuance during the first quarter of 2008 totaling $1.36 billion of extendible securities with an initial maturity of March 20, 2009 and a final maturity of March 20, 2013. Quarterly, beginning on June 20, 2008, investors have the right to extend the maturity date of all or a portion of these notes by three additional months, up to, and in no event later than, the final maturity date. Additionally, during the first quarter of 2008, Allstate Financial acquired and retired $1.25 billion of its outstanding extendible securities, which had elected to non-extend, in the secondary market.

 

16



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

ALLSTATE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS OF NET INCOME

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

Percent

 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefit spread

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums

 

$

198

 

$

242

 

(18.2

)

Cost of insurance contract charges (1)

 

172

 

159

 

8.2

 

Contract benefits excluding the implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies (2)

 

(259

)

(291

)

11.0

 

Benefit spread

 

111

 

110

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment spread

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

 

1,015

 

1,050

 

(3.3

)

Implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies (2)

 

(138

)

(137

)

(0.7

)

Interest credited to contractholder funds

 

(624

)

(649

)

3.9

 

Investment spread

 

253

 

264

 

(4.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Surrender charges and contract maintenance expense fees (1)

 

82

 

82

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(432

)

23

 

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(64

)

(129

)

50.4

 

Operating costs and expenses

 

(118

)

(105

)

(12.4

)

Loss on disposition of operations

 

(9

)

 

 

Income tax benefit (expense) on operations

 

66

 

(81

)

181.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(111

)

$

164

 

(167.7

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Benefit spread by product group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life insurance

 

$

129

 

$

118

 

9.3

 

Annuities

 

(18

)

(8

)

(125.0

)

Benefit spread

 

$

111

 

$

110

 

0.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment spread by product group

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Annuities

 

$

115

 

$

129

 

(10.9

)

Life insurance

 

19

 

19

 

 

Institutional products

 

27

 

25

 

8.0

 

Bank

 

5

 

4

 

25.0

 

Net investment income on investments supporting capital

 

87

 

87

 

 

Investment spread

 

$

253

 

$

264

 

(4.2

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) Reconciliation of contract charges

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cost of insurance contract charges

 

$

172

 

$

159

 

8.2

 

Surrender charges and contract maintenance expense fees

 

82

 

82

 

 

Total contract charges

 

$

254

 

$

241

 

5.4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(2) Reconciliation of contract benefits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contract benefits excluding the implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies

 

$

(259

)

$

(291

)

11.0

 

Implied interest on immediate annuities with life contingencies

 

(138

)

(137

)

(0.7

)

Total contract benefits

 

$

(397

)

$

(428

)

7.2

 

 

17



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

INVESTMENT RESULTS

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Est.

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NET INVESTMENT INCOME

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities:

 

 

 

 

 

Tax exempt

 

$

240

 

$

244

 

Taxable

 

1,039

 

1,102

 

Equity securities

 

32

 

27

 

Mortgage loans

 

160

 

143

 

Limited partnership interests

 

60

 

70

 

Short-term

 

40

 

49

 

Other

 

26

 

45

 

Investment income

 

1,597

 

1,680

 

Less: Investment expense

 

71

 

109

 

Net investment income

 

$

1,526

 

$

1,571

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRE-TAX)

 

 

 

 

 

Investment write-downs

 

$

(415

)

$

(5

)

Dispositions

 

60

 

450

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

(325

)

(12

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

25

 

38

 

Realized capital gains and losses (pre-tax)

 

$

(655

)

$

471

 

 

 

 

March 31,

 

Dec. 31,

 

 

 

2008 (Est.)

 

2007

 

INVESTMENTS

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

Available for sale, at fair value

 

 

 

 

 

Tax exempt

 

$

19,149

 

$

19,038

 

Taxable

 

68,935

 

75,413

 

Total fixed income securities

 

88,084

 

94,451

 

Equity securities, at fair value

 

4,379

 

5,257

 

Mortgage loans

 

11,107

 

10,830

 

Limited partnership interests (1)

 

2,706

 

2,501

 

Short-term

 

6,572

 

3,058

 

Other

 

2,622

 

2,883

 

Total Investments

 

$

115,470

 

$

118,980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FIXED INCOME SECURITIES BY TYPE

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. government and agencies

 

$

4,304

 

$

4,421

 

Municipal

 

25,041

 

25,307

 

Corporate

 

35,862

 

38,467

 

Asset-backed securities

 

7,297

 

8,679

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

6,195

 

7,617

 

Mortgage-backed securities

 

6,500

 

6,959

 

Foreign government

 

2,842

 

2,936

 

Redeemable preferred stock

 

43

 

65

 

Total fixed income securities

 

$

88,084

 

$

94,451

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FIXED INCOME SECURITIES BY CREDIT QUALITY

 

 

 

 

 

NAIC Rating

Moody’s Equivalent

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1

Aaa/Aa/A

 

$

65,932

 

$

71,458

 

2

Baa

 

18,095

 

18,361

 

3

Ba

 

2,599

 

2,904

 

4

B

 

1,045

 

1,296

 

5

Caa or lower

 

362

 

378

 

6

In or near default

 

51

 

54

 

Total

 

$

88,084

 

$

94,451

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AMORTIZED COST

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

Available for sale, at amortized cost

 

 

 

 

 

Tax exempt

 

$

18,865

 

$

18,393

 

Taxable

 

70,142

 

75,102

 

Total fixed income securities

 

89,007

 

93,495

 

Equity securities, at cost

 

$

3,987

 

$

4,267

 

 


(1)   We have commitments to invest in additional limited partnerships totaling $1.8 billion at March 31, 2008.

 

18



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

COMPONENTS OF REALIZED CAPITAL GAINS AND LOSSES (PRE-TAX)

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 (Est.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment write-downs

 

$

(175

)

$

(209

)

$

(31

)

$

(415

)

Dispositions (1)

 

124

 

(66

)

2

 

60

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

(123

)

(202

)

 

(325

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

(20

)

45

 

 

25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

(194

)

$

(432

)

$

(29

)

$

(655

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Three Months Ended March 31, 2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property-

 

Allstate

 

Corporate

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

Liability

 

Financial

 

and Other

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment write-downs

 

$

(4

)

$

(1

)

$

 

$

(5

)

Dispositions

 

411

 

35

 

4

 

450

 

Valuation of derivative instruments

 

8

 

(20

)

 

(12

)

Settlements of derivative instruments

 

29

 

9

 

 

38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

$

444

 

$

23

 

$

4

 

$

471

 

 


(1)          In the first quarter of 2008, the Company recognized $75 million of losses related to a change in our intent to hold certain securities with unrealized losses until they recover in value. The change in our intent was due to strategic asset allocation strategies and ongoing comprehensive reviews of the Property-Liability and Allstate Financial portfolios as well as a liquidity strategy in Allstate Financial. The Company identified $1.69 billion of securities, which we did not have the intent to hold until recovery to achieve these objectives.

 

19



 

THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION

CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION

 

 

 

March 31,

 

December 31,

 

($ in millions, except par value data)

 

2008 (Est.)

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

Investments

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed income securities, at fair value (amortized cost $89,007 and $93,495)

 

$

88,084

 

$

94,451

 

Equity securities, at fair value (cost $3,987 and $4,267)

 

4,379

 

5,257

 

Mortgage loans

 

11,107

 

10,830

 

Limited partnership interests

 

2,706

 

2,501

 

Short-term

 

6,572

 

3,058

 

Other

 

2,622

 

2,883

 

Total investments (1) (2)

 

115,470

 

118,980

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

370

 

422

 

Premium installment receivables, net

 

4,851

 

4,879

 

Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

6,275

 

5,768

 

Reinsurance recoverables, net

 

5,828

 

5,817

 

Accrued investment income

 

1,067

 

1,050

 

Deferred income taxes

 

1,307

 

467

 

Property and equipment, net

 

1,025

 

1,062

 

Goodwill

 

825

 

825

 

Other assets

 

2,103

 

2,209

 

Separate Accounts

 

13,132

 

14,929

 

Total assets

 

$

152,253

 

$

156,408

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for property-liability insurance claims and claims expense

 

$

18,848

 

$

18,865

 

Reserve for life-contingent contract benefits

 

13,214

 

13,212

 

Contractholder funds

 

61,727

 

61,975

 

Unearned premiums

 

10,112

 

10,409

 

Claim payments outstanding

 

761

 

748

 

Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

8,514

 

8,779

 

Short-term debt

 

2

 

 

Long-term debt

 

5,640

 

5,640

 

Separate Accounts

 

13,132

 

14,929

 

Total liabilities

 

131,950

 

134,557

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

 

 

 

 

Preferred stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued

 

 

 

Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900 million issued, 554 million and 563 million shares outstanding

 

9

 

9

 

Additional capital paid-in

 

3,075

 

3,052

 

Retained income (4)

 

32,902

 

32,796

 

Deferred ESOP expense

 

(49

)

(55

)

Treasury stock, at cost (346 million and 337 million shares)

 

(14,997

)

(14,574

)

Accumulated other comprehensive income:

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses (3)

 

(280

)

888

 

Unrealized foreign currency translation adjustments

 

63

 

79

 

Net funded status of pension and other postretirement benefit obligation (4)

 

(420

)

(344

)

Total accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income

 

(637

)

623

 

Total shareholders’ equity

 

20,303

 

21,851

 

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

 

$

152,253

 

$

156,408

 

 


(1)          Total investments include $38,469 for Property-Liability, $73,023 for Allstate Financial and $3,978 for Corporate and Other investments at March 31, 2008.  Total investments include $40,905 for Property-Liability, $74,256 for Allstate Financial and $3,819 for Corporate and Other investments at December 31, 2007.

 

(2)          Pre-tax unrealized net capital gains and losses at March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007 include net gains and losses on fixed income securities and derivative instruments of $(962) million and $923 million, respectively, and net gains and losses on equity securities of $392 million and $990 million, respectively.

 

(3)          After-tax unrealized net capital gains and losses at March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007 include net gains and losses on fixed income securities and derivative instruments of $(539) million and $244 million, respectively, and net gains and losses on equity securities of $259 million and $644 million, respectively.

 

(4)          As a result of the adoption of SFAS No. 158, the Company recorded a decrease of $13 million, after-tax, to beginning retained income representing the net periodic benefit cost for the period between October 31, 2007 and December 31, 2007, and a decrease of $80 million, after-tax, to beginning net funded status of pension and other postretirement benefit obligations to reflect changes in the fair value of plan assets and the benefit obligations between October 31, 2007 and January 1, 2008 and for amortization of actuarial gains and losses and prior service cost between October 31, 2007 and December 31, 2007.

 

20



 

Investments

 

Securities Experiencing Illiquid Markets

 

During the first quarter of 2008, certain financial markets continued to experience decreased liquidity.  We experienced this illiquidity particularly in our asset-backed residential mortgage-backed securities (“ABS RMBS”), asset-backed collateralized debt obligations (“ABS CDO”), Alt-A residential mortgage-backed securities (“Alt-A”) and commercial real estate collateralized debt obligations (“CRE CDO”) portfolios.  These portfolios totaled $4.8 billion, or less than 5% of our total investments at March 31, 2008.  Certain other asset-backed and real estate-backed securities markets experienced illiquidity, but to a lesser degree.

 

We determine the fair values of securities comprising the illiquid portfolios by obtaining information from an independent third-party valuation service provider and brokers. We confirmed the reasonableness of the fair value of these portfolios as of March 31, 2008 by analyzing available market information including, but not limited to, collateral quality, anticipated cash flows, credit enhancements, default rates, loss severities, the securities’ relative position within their respective capital structures, and credit ratings from statistical rating agencies.

 

Impairment write-downs for the first quarter of 2008 included write-downs on our Alt-A totaling $89 million, ABS RMBS totaling $35 million and ABS CDO totaling $60 million.

 

Unrealized net capital losses as of March 31, 2008 included $870 million on the ABS RMBS, $223 million on the Alt-A and $274 million on the CRE CDO.  We continue to believe that the unrealized losses on these securities are not necessarily predictive of the ultimate performance of the underlying collateral.  In the absence of further deterioration in the collateral relative to our positions in the securities’ respective capital structures, which could be other-than-temporary, the unrealized losses should reverse over the remaining lives of the securities.

 

Information about certain of our collateralized securities and their financial ratings is presented in the table below.

 

(in millions)

 

Est.
Fair value at
March 31,
2008

 

% to Total
Investments

 

Aaa

 

Aa

 

A

 

Baa

 

Ba or
lower

 

Mortgage-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

U.S. Agency

 

$

4,253

 

3.7

%

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

Prime

 

1,186

 

1.0

 

99.4

 

0.6

%

 

 

 

Alt-A

 

1,056

 

0.9

 

95.1

 

4.1

 

0.8

%

 

 

Other

 

5

 

 

 

100.0

 

 

 

 

Total Mortgage-backed securities

 

$

6,500

 

5.6

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

$

5,757

 

5.0

%

80.6

 

12.8

 

5.2

 

1.4

%

 

CRE CDO

 

438

 

0.4

 

35.0

 

30.1

 

24.4

 

10.5

 

 

Total Commercial mortgage-backed securities

 

$

6,195

 

5.4

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset-backed securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ABS RMBS

 

$

3,335

 

2.9

%

64.7

 

20.4

 

6.7

 

5.9

 

2.3

%

ABS CDO

 

17

 

 

 

 

 

35.3

 

64.7

 

Total asset-backed securities collateralized by sub- prime residential mortgage loans

 

3,352

 

2.9

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other collateralized debt obligations

 

1,740

 

1.5

 

36.5

 

25.9

 

26.1

 

8.2

 

3.3

 

Other asset-backed securities

 

2,205

 

1.9

 

69.1

 

4.7

 

14.0

 

10.3

 

1.9

 

Total Asset-backed securities

 

$

7,297

 

6.3

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

21



 

Alt-A mortgage-backed securities are at fixed or variable rates and include certain securities that are collateralized by residential mortgage loans issued to borrowers with stronger credit profiles than sub-prime borrowers, but who do not qualify for prime financing terms due to high loan-to-value ratios or limited supporting documentation.  Changes during the first quarter of 2008 in our Alt-A holdings and characteristics of the portfolio:

 

·                  $801 million or 75.9% of the Alt-A holdings were issued during 2005, 2006 and 2007.

·                  We collected $41 million of principal repayments consistent with the expected cash flows.

·                  $89 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral.

·                  As of March 31, 2008, unrealized losses on Alt-A mortgage-backed securities totaled $223 million.

·                  Fair value represents 82.6% of the amortized cost of these securities.

 

CRE CDO are investments secured primarily by commercial mortgage-backed securities and other commercial mortgage debt obligations.  These securities are generally less liquid and have a higher risk profile than other commercial mortgage-backed securities.   Changes during the first quarter of 2008 in our CRE CDO holdings and characteristics of the portfolio:

 

·                  We collected $1 million of principal repayments consistent with the expected cash flows.

·                  We sold $9 million recognizing a loss of $2 million.

·                  There were no impairment write-downs during the first quarter of 2008.

·                  As of March 31, 2008, unrealized losses on CRE CDO totaled $274 million.

·                  Fair value represents 61.5% of the amortized cost of these securities.

 

ABS RMBS includes securities that are collateralized by mortgage loans issued to borrowers that cannot qualify for prime or Alt-A financing terms due in part to an impaired or limited credit history.  Changes during the first quarter of 2008 in our ABS RMBS holdings and characteristics of the portfolio:

 

·                  $2.8 billion or 82.8% were issued during 2005, 2006 and 2007, with 73.2% of these securities rated Aaa, 14.4% rated Aa, 3.1% rated A and 9.3% rated Baa or lower.

·      We collected $150 million of principal repayments consistent with the expected cash flows.

·      We sold $19 million upon which we recognized a loss of $17 million.

·                  $35 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral.

·                  As of March 31, 2008, net unrealized losses on sub-prime RMBS totaled $870 million.

·                  Fair value represents 79.3% of the amortized cost of these securities.

 

ABS CDO are securities collateralized by a variety of residential mortgage-backed securities and other securities, which may include sub-prime RMBS.  Changes during the first quarter of 2008 in our ABS CDO holdings and characteristics of this portfolio:

 

·                  $60 million of impairment write-downs were recorded due to expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral.

·                  As of March 31, 2008, unrealized gains on ABS CDO totaled $1 million.

·                  Fair value represents 106.3% of the amortized cost of these securities.

 

Bond Insurers

 

Approximately $12.9 billion or 51.6% of our municipal bond portfolio is insured by bond insurers.  Our practices for acquiring and monitoring municipal bonds primarily are based on the quality of the underlying security.  As of March 31, 2008, we believe that the current valuations already reflect a decline in the value of the insurance, and further such declines if any, are not expected to be material.  While the valuation of these holdings may be temporarily impacted by negative and rapidly changing market developments, we continue to have the intent and ability to hold the bonds and expect to receive all of the contractual cash flows.  As of March 31, 2008, 33.1% of our insured municipal bond portfolio was insured by MBIA, 25.1% by AMBAC,

 

22



 

18.8% by FSA and 18.1% by FGIC.  In addition, we hold securities totaling $21 million that were directly issued by these bond insurers.

 

Auction Rate Securities

 

Included in our municipal bond portfolio at March 31, 2008 are $2.2 billion of auction rate securities (“ARS”) that have long-term stated maturities, with the interest rate reset based on auctions every 7, 28 or 35 days depending on the specific security.  This is compared to a balance of ARS at December 31, 2007 of $2.6 billion, with the decline representing sales and redemptions during the first quarter of 2008.  Our holdings primarily have a Moody’s equivalent rating of Aaa and fair value is estimated at the corresponding par value based on market observable inputs.  During the first quarter of 2008, all of our ARS holdings experienced failed auctions and we are currently receiving the maximum interest rate.  We anticipate that failed auctions may persist and most of our holdings will continue to reset at the maximum rate.  Auctions continue to be conducted as scheduled for each of the securities.

 

Realized Capital Gains and Losses Analysis

 

The net realized capital losses in the quarter were the result of $415 million in impairment writedowns and $300 million related to the settlement and valuation of derivatives, partly offset by $60 million in net realized capital gains from dispositions, including sales related to a reallocation of our mid and small-cap equity portfolio.

 

Net realized capital losses from impairment writedowns comprised $347 million from fixed income securities, $52 million from equity securities, $13 million from limited partnership interests and $3 million from other investments.  The fixed income securities writedowns were related to residential mortgages and other structured securities.  $246 million of the fixed income writedowns relate to impaired securities that are currently performing in line with anticipated or contractual cash flows, but which were written down primarily because of expected deterioration in the performance of the underlying collateral.  For these securities, there have been no defaults or defaults have occurred lower in the capital structure.  $101 million of the fixed income writedowns are primarily related to securities currently experiencing a significant departure from anticipated residual cash flows.  While $83 million of these fixed income securities writedowns were valued at a significant discount to cost, we believe these securities retain economic value.

 

Notwithstanding our intent and ability to hold such securities indefinitely, we concluded that we could not reasonably assert that the recovery period would be temporary.

 

23



 

Impairment writedowns for the three months ended March 31, 2008 were as follows:

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2008

 

Performing in accordance with anticipated or contractual cash flows

 

 

 

Prime

 

$

(9

)

Alt–A

 

 

 

No defaults in underlying collateral

 

(77

)

Defaults lower in capital structure

 

(12

)

Subtotal

 

(89

)

ABS RMBS

 

(35

)

ABS CDO

 

(60

)

Corporate

 

 

 

Mortgage lender

 

(20

)

Bond insurer

 

(10

)

Bond reinsurer – convertible to perpetual security

 

(20

)

Other

 

(3

)

Subtotal

 

(246

)

 

 

 

 

Departure from anticipated or contractual cash flows

 

 

 

Future cash flows expected –

 

 

 

Residual interest trust security(1)

 

(82

)

Other

 

(1

)

Subtotal

 

(83

)

Future cash flows very uncertain -

 

 

 

Other CDO

 

(18

)

Subtotal

 

(101

)

Total fixed income securities

 

$

(347

)

Total equity securities

 

$

(52

)

Total limited partnership interests

 

$

(13

)

Total other investments

 

$

(3

)

 


(1)          Anticipated cash flow on unwind of trust is extended and contingent on recovery to par of the underlying perpetual preferred.

 

Net realized capital losses on the valuation and settlement of derivative instruments totaled $300 million for the quarter, primarily comprised $162 million for the valuation of embedded equity options (derivatives) in fixed income securities and $105 million for the valuation of risk reduction programs.

 

·                  At March 31, 2008, our securities with embedded options totaled $2.1 billion and decreased in fair value from December 31, 2007 by $132 million, primarily comprising a realized capital loss related to the valuation of embedded options of $162 million and an unrealized net capital gain reported in other comprehensive income (“OCI”) of $28 million for the host security.  The change in the fair value of embedded options is bifurcated from the host securities, separately valued and reported in realized capital gains and losses, while the change in value of the host securities is reported in OCI.  Total fair value exceeded total amortized cost by $52 million at March 31, 2008.  Valuation gains and losses are converted into cash for securities with embedded options upon our election to sell these securities.  In the event the economic value of the options is not realized, we will recover the par value if held to maturity.  Total fair value exceeded par value by $84 million at March 31, 2008.

 

·                  Losses from the risk reduction programs, primarily in our duration management programs, were related to changing interest rates and credit spreads as rates declined during the period.

 

24



 

Realized capital gains and losses from derivatives for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007 were as follows:

 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008 Explanations

 

 

 

Valuation

 

Settlements

 

Total

 

Total

 

 

 

Risk reduction
Property–Liability    
Portfolio duration    management

 

$

 

$

(55

)

$

(55

)

$

2

 

Net short interest rate derivatives are used to offset the effects of changing interest rates on a portion of Property–Liability fixed income portfolio which are reported in unrealized net capital gains in OCI.  The 2008 loss resulted from declining interest rates.  Unrealized gains on the fixed income portfolio did not offset these amounts due to widening credit spreads.  The contracts are daily cash settled and can be exited any time for minimal additional cost.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Interest rate spike exposure

 

 

(16

 

)

 

 

 

(16

 

)

 

 

Interest rate swaptions contracts acquired in the second half of 2007 with approximately one—year terms that provide an offset to declining fixed income market values resulting from potential rising interest rates.  The contracts protect $21.5 billion of notional principal by limiting the decline in value to $1.5 billion for an increase in risk–free rates greater than approximately 150 basis points above those in effect at inception of the contracts.  The contracts have declined in value due to the decrease in interest rates. If interest rates do not increase above the strike rate, the maximum remaining potential loss in 2008 is limited to the unrecognized cost of $7 million at March 31, 2008.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedging unrealized gains on equity securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

33

 

 

 

33

 

 

 

(1

 

 

)

Short S&P futures were primarily used to protect unrealized gains on our equity securities portfolio reported in unrealized net capital gains in accumulated OCI.  The results offset the decline in our unrealized gains on equity securities as equity markets declined in the first quarter.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign currency contracts

 

(13

)

(3

)

(16

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allstate Financial Duration gap management

 

 

 

(46

 

 

)

 

 

8

 

 

 

(38

 

 

)

 

 

1

 

Interest rate caps, floors and swaps are used by Allstate Financial to align interest-rate sensitivities of its assets and liabilities.  The 2008 loss resulted from declining interest rates.  The contracts settle based on differences between current market rates and a contractually specified fixed rate through expiration.  The change in valuation reflects the changing value of expected future settlements, which may vary over the period of the contracts.  The loss should be offset in unrealized gain in OCI to the extent it relates to changes in risk-free rates, however any offset was reduced by widening credit spreads.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anticipatory hedging

 

 

37

 

37

 

(4

)

Futures used to protect investment spread from interest rate changes during mismatches in the timing of cash flows between product sales and the related investment activity.  2008 amounts reflect decreases in risk–free interest rates on a net long position as liability issuances exceeded asset acquisitions.  The contracts are cash settled daily and can be exited at any time for a minimal additional cost.  If the cash flow mismatches are such that a positive net investment position is being hedged, there is an offset for the related investments unrealized gain or loss in OCI.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedging of interest rate exposure in annuity contracts

 

 

 

(13

 

 

)

 

 

3

 

 

 

(10

 

 

)

 

 

(5

 

 

)

Interest rate caps used to hedge the effect of changing crediting rates that are indexed to changes in treasury rates on certain annuity contracts.  The change in valuation reflects the changing value of expected future settlements including the underlying cost to hedge the treasury-rate index feature.  The offset to the product hedging cost is reflected in the base crediting rates on the underlying annuity policies, which is reported in credited interest.  The value of expected future settlements and the associated value of future credited interest, which is reportable in future periods when incurred, decreased due to the decline in interest rates.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Hedge ineffectiveness

 

(14

)

(2

)

(16

)

(1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign currency contracts

 

 

(3

)

(3

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other

 

(24

)

3

 

(21

)

4

 

 

 

Total Risk reduction

 

$

(126

)

$

21

 

$

(105

)

$

(4

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income generation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset replication – credit exposure

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Credit default swaps are used to replicate fixed income securities and to complement the cash market when credit exposure to certain issuers is not available or when the derivative alternative is less expensive than the cash market alternative.  The credit default swaps typically have five–year terms for which we receive periodic premiums through expiration.  The changes in valuation are due to the widening credit spreads, and would only be converted to cash upon disposition or a default on an underlying credit obligation.  Valuation gains and losses will reverse if allowed to expire.

 

 

Property–Liability

 

$

(20

)

$

2

 

$

(18

)

$

1

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

(17

)

2

 

(15

)

 

 

Total

 

(37

)

4

 

(33

)

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Asset replication – equity exposure      Property–
          Liability

 

 

 

 

4

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Commodity derivatives – Property–Liability

 

 

 

 

19

 

 

 

Total Income generation

 

$

(37

)

$

4

 

$

(33

)

$

24

 

 

 

 

25



 

($ in millions)

 

2008

 

2007

 

2008 Explanations

 

 

 

Valuation

 

Settlements

 

Total

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accounting

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Equity indexed notes – Allstate Financial

 

 

 

$

 

 

(86

 

 

)

 

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

$

 

 

(86

 

 

)

 

 

$

 

 

(4

 

 

)

Equity–indexed notes are fixed income securities that contain embedded options.  The changes in valuation of the embedded equity indexed call options are reported in realized capital gains and losses.  The results generally track the performance of underlying equity indices.  Valuation gains and losses are converted into cash upon sale.  In the event the economic value of the options is not realized, we will recover the par value if held to maturity.  Fair value exceeded par value by $65 million at March 31, 2008. The following table compares the March 31, 2008 holdings to their December 31, 2007 values.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

March 31,
2008

 

March 31, 2008
holdings @
December 31,
2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par value

 

$

800

 

$

800

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amortized cost of host contract

 

$

500

 

$

497

 

$

3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value of equity—indexed call option

 

336

 

422

 

(86

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total amortized cost

 

$

836

 

$

919

 

$

(83

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Fair value

 

$

865

 

$

924

 

$

(59

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/loss

 

$

29

 

$

5

 

$

24

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conversion options in fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Convertible bonds are fixed income securities that contain embedded options.  Changes in valuation of the embedded option are reported in realized capital gains and losses.  The results generally track the performance of underlying equity indices.  Valuation gains and losses are converted into cash upon our election to sell these securities.  In the event the economic value of the options is not realized, we will recover the par value if held to maturity.  Fair value exceeded par value by $19 million at March 31, 2008.  The following table compares the March 31, 2008 holdings to their December 31, 2007 values.

 

Property–Liability

 

(51

)

 

(51

)

8

 

 

Allstate Financial

 

(25

)

 

(25

)

2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total

 

(76

)

 

(76

)

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

($ in millions)

 

March 31,
2008

 

March 31, 2008
holdings @
December 31,
2007

 

Change

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Par value

 

$

1,231

 

$

1,231

 

$

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amortized cost of host contract

 

$

856

 

$

857

 

$

(1

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair value of conversion option

 

371

 

447

 

(76

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total amortized cost

 

$

1,227

 

$

1,304

 

$

(77

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Fair value

 

$

1,250

 

$

1,323

 

$

(73

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unrealized gain/loss

 

$

23

 

$

19

 

$

4

 

 

Total Accounting

 

$

(162

)

$

 

$

(162

)

$

6

 

 

 

Total

 

$

(325

)

$

25

 

$

(300

)

$

26

 

 

 

 

26



 

The breakout by operating segment for realized capital gains and losses from derivatives for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively, were as follows:

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Allstate Financial

 

$

(157

)

$

(11

)

Property–Liability

 

(143

)

37

 

Corporate and Other

 

 

 

Total

 

$

(300

)

$

26

 

 

Adoption of SFAS No. 157 “Fair Value Measurements” (“SFAS No. 157”)

 

We adopted the provisions of SFAS No. 157 as of January 1, 2008 for our financial assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value.

 

SFAS No. 157:

 

·                  Defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date, and establishes a framework for measuring fair value;

 

·                  Establishes a three-level hierarchy for fair value measurements based upon the transparency of inputs to the valuation as of the measurement date;

 

·                  Expands disclosures about financial instruments measured at fair value.

 

We are responsible for determining the value of the financial assets and liabilities carried at fair value and the supporting assumptions and methodologies.  In certain situations, we employ independent third-party valuation service providers to gather, analyze, and provide market information and derive fair values based upon relevant assumptions and methodologies for individual instruments.  In situations where our valuation service providers are unable to obtain sufficient market observable information upon which to estimate the fair value for a particular security, fair value is determined either by requesting brokers who are knowledgeable about these securities to provide a quote, or internally determined by employing valuation models that are widely accepted in the financial services industry.  We determine if the fair value estimates provided are appropriate based upon our own independent assesment of their values.  Changing market conditions in the first quarter of 2008 were incorporated into valuation assumptions and reflected in the fair values which were validated by calibration and other analytical techniques to available market observable data.

 

We categorize our financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value based on the priority of the inputs to the valuation technique, into a three-level fair value hierarchy as required by SFAS No. 157. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities which we can access (Level 1); the second highest priority for similar assets or liabilities in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in non-active markets, or valuation models whose inputs are observable (Level 2); and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs (Level 3).  If inputs used to measure financial instruments fall within different levels of the fair value hierarchy, the categorization is based on the lowest level input significant to the fair value measurement of the entire instrument.

 

27



 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
March 31, 2008

 

% to
Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 1:

Includes actively traded exchange listed equity securities in the U.S. and internationally, U.S. Treasury securities, money market funds, certain exchange listed actively traded derivatives.

 

$

5,236

 

4.5

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 2:

Includes fixed income securities: corporate, including certain privately placed, municipal, foreign government, U.S. government and agencies, certain mortgage-backed securities (“MBS”) excluding Alt-A, certain CMBS, and certain ABS with underlying collateral such as credit card and auto loans; commercial paper; certain derivatives that are exchange traded and traded over-the-counter (“OTC”); and preferred stock.

 

70,764

 

61.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 3:

Includes privately placed fixed income securities valued by internal models and non-binding broker quotes, ABS RMBS and Alt-A securities valued by third party valuation service providers and certain other securities whose principal valuation input is a non-binding broker quote, including ABS such as collateralized loan obligations (“CLO”), ABS CDO, synthetic collateralized debt obligations, and certain CMBS.

 

22,679

 

19.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Includes mortgage loans and other investments with impairment writedowns and change in intent dispositions that are held at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

 

258

 

0.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investments valued at cost, amortized cost and using the equity method

 

16,533

 

14.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Investments

 

$

115,470

 

100.0

%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 1:

Separate account assets

 

$

13,132

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 1:

 

 

$

0

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 2:

Includes derivatives embedded in equity index annuity contracts sold through the Allstate Financial segment and certain derivatives that are exchange traded and traded OTC.

 

$

490

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Level 3:

Includes derivatives associated with contractholder liabilities in the Allstate Financial segment, such as guaranteed minimum accumulation benefits and guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits related to variable annuity contracts that are reinsured through an unrelated third party. This also includes certain derivatives traded OTC.

 

$

30

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Includes certain reserves related to a closed block of policies expected to be transferred through a future reinsurance agreement to an unrelated third party that are held at fair value on a non-recurring basis.

 

$

87

 

 

 

 

28



 

Privately Placed Fixed Income Securities

 

Privately placed fixed income securities totaling $16.8 billion are reported in Level 2 and 3 at March 31, 2008.  On $4.7 billion of the portfolio, we received indicative values from our valuation service provider, and they are reported in Level 2 primarily due to the existence of market observable inputs in the form of external ratings from independent third party rating agencies. The $12.1 billion of privately placed fixed income securities included in Level 3 primarily comprise $10.4 billion valued using an internal model and $1.4 billion valued using non-binding valuation broker quotes.  The internally modeled securities are valued based on internal ratings, which are not observable in the market.

 

Non-Binding Broker Quotes

 

Where our valuation service providers cannot provide fair value determinations, we obtain non-binding valuation quotes from brokers familiar with the security who may consider transactions or activity in similar securities, as applicable, among other information.  The brokers providing valuation quotes are generally from the brokerage divisions of leading financial institutions with market making, underwriting and distribution expertise.

 

Definitions of GAAP Operating Ratios and Impacts of Specific Items on the GAAP Operating Ratios

 

Claims and claims expense (“loss”) ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense to premiums earned.  Loss ratios include the impact of catastrophe losses.

 

Expense ratio is the ratio of amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

 

Combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense, amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.  The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.  The difference between 100% and the combined ratio represents underwriting income (loss) as a percentage of premiums earned.

 

Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined ratio is the ratio of claims and claims expense and other costs and expenses in the Discontinued Lines and Coverages segment to Property-Liability premiums earned.  The sum of the effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on the combined ratio and the Allstate Protection combined ratio is equal to the Property-Liability combined ratio.

 

Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio is the percentage of catastrophe losses included in claims and claims expenses to premiums earned.  This ratio includes prior year reserve reestimates.

 

Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined ratio is the percentage of prior year reserve reestimates included in claims and claims expense to premiums earned.  This ratio includes prior year reserve reestimates of catastrophe losses.

 

Effect of restructuring and related charges on combined ratio is the percentage of restructuring and related charges to premiums earned.

 

Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures

 

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP financial measures.  Our methods of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

 

29



 

Operating income is net income, excluding:

 

·      realized capital gains and losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized capital gains and losses but included in operating income,

·      amortization of DAC and DSI, to the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized capital gains and losses,

·      gain (loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax, and

·      adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a) the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two years.

 

Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly comparable to operating income.

 

We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our results of operations.  We believe that the measure provides investors with a valuable measure of the Company’s ongoing performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect of realized capital gains and losses, gain (loss) on disposition of operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items.  Realized capital gains and losses and gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and external economic developments such as capital market conditions, the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting purposes.  These instruments are used for economic hedges and to replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated investments.  Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.  Accordingly, operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of our business.  A byproduct of excluding these items to determine operating income is the transparency and understanding of their significance to net income variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods.  Operating income is used by management along with the other components of net income to assess our performance. We use adjusted measures of operating income and operating income per diluted share in incentive compensation.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to evaluate net income, operating income and their components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing and evaluating our performance.  We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income results in their evaluation of our and our industry’s financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the Company and management’s performance.  We note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating income as the denominator.  Operating income should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

 

30



 

The following table reconciles operating income and net income (loss) for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007.

 

 

 

Property-Liability

 

Allstate Financial

 

Consolidated

 

Per diluted share

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Operating income

 

$

629

 

$

1,062

 

$

143

 

$

156

 

$

747

 

$

1,197

 

$

1.33

 

$

1.93

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses

 

(194

)

444

 

(432

)

23

 

(655

)

471

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax benefit (expense)

 

69

 

(157

)

151

 

(8

)

230

 

(166

)

 

 

 

 

Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

(125

)

287

 

(281

)

15

 

(425

)

305

 

(0.76

)

0.49

 

DAC and DSI amortization relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax

 

 

 

39

 

 

39

 

 

0.07

 

 

Reclassification of periodic settlements and accruals on non- hedge derivative instruments, after- tax

 

(1

)

 

(6

)

(8

)

(7

)

(8

)

(0.01

)

(0.01

)

(Loss) gain on disposition of operations, after-tax

 

 

 

(6

)

1

 

(6

)

1

 

(0.01

)

 

Net income (loss)

 

$

503

 

$

1,349

 

$

(111

)

$

164

 

$

348

 

$

1,495

 

$

0.62

 

$

2.41

 

 

Underwriting income (loss) is calculated as premiums earned, less claims and claims expense (“losses”), amortization of DAC, operating costs and expenses and restructuring and related charges as determined using GAAP.  Management uses this measure in its evaluation of the results of operations to analyze the profitability of our Property-Liability insurance operations separately from investment results.  It is also an integral component of incentive compensation.  It is useful for investors to evaluate the components of income separately and in the aggregate when reviewing performance. Net income is the most directly comparable GAAP measure. Underwriting income (loss) should not be considered as a substitute for net income and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of Property-Liability underwriting income (loss) to net income is provided in the Segment Results table.

 

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between two GAAP operating ratios:  the combined ratio and the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses.  These catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  We believe it is useful for investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  The combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes to combined ratio is provided in the Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and Segments Highlights table.

 

Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates (“underlying combined ratio”) is a non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between three GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of catastrophes on the combined ratio and the effect of prior year reserve reestimates on the combined ratio.  The most directly comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio.  We believe that this ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured by catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  These catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and magnitude and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.  Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss development on historical reserves.  We believe it is useful for

 

31



 

investors to evaluate these components separately and in the aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance.  We also provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the 2008 combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  The combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates should not be considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect the overall underwriting profitability of our business.  A reconciliation of combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates to combined ratio is provided in the Property-Liability Highlights section of the Consolidated and Segments Highlights table.

 

In this press release, we provide our outlook on the 2008 combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates.  A reconciliation of this measure to the combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes.  Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.

 

Operating income return on equity is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing the rolling 12-month operating income by the average of shareholders’ equity at the beginning and at the end of the 12-months, after excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses. Return on equity is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.  We use operating income as the numerator for the same reasons we use operating income, as discussed above.  We use average shareholders’ equity excluding the effect of unrealized net capital gains and losses for the denominator as a representation of shareholder’s equity primarily attributable to the Company’s earned and realized business operations because it eliminates the effect of items that are unrealized and vary significantly between periods due to external economic developments such as capital market conditions like changes in equity prices and interest rates, the amount and timing of which are unrelated to the insurance underwriting process.  We use it to supplement our evaluation of net income and return on equity because it excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly variable from period to period. We believe that this measure is useful to investors and that it provides a valuable tool for investors when considered along with net income return on equity because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and that are driven by economic developments, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management: the after-tax effects of realized and unrealized net capital gains and losses, and the cumulative effect of change in accounting principle.  In addition, it eliminates non-recurring items that are not indicative of our ongoing business or economic trends. A byproduct of excluding the items noted above to determine operating income return on equity from return on equity is the transparency and understanding of their significance to return on equity variability and profitability while recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods.  Therefore, we believe it is useful for investors to have operating income return on equity and return on equity when evaluating our performance.  We note that investors, financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and rating agencies utilize operating income return on equity results in their evaluation of our and our industry’s financial performance and in their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement of the industry and the Company and management’s utilization of capital.  Operating income return on equity should not be considered as a substitute for return on equity and does not reflect the overall profitability of our business.

 

32



 

The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

($ in millions)

 

For the twelve months ended
March 31,

 

 

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

Return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Net income

 

$

3,489

 

$

5,073

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

22,491

 

20,545

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

20,303

 

22,491

 

Average shareholders’ equity

 

$

21,397

 

$

21,518

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Return on equity

 

16.3

%

23.6

%

 

 

 

For the twelve months ended
March 31,

 

 

 

Est. 2008

 

2007

 

Operating income return on equity

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Operating income

 

$

3,413

 

$

4,781

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning shareholders’ equity

 

22,491

 

20,545

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

2,058

 

1,634

 

Adjusted beginning shareholders’ equity

 

20,433

 

18,911

 

Ending shareholders’ equity

 

20,303

 

22,491

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses

 

(280

)

2,058

 

Adjusted ending shareholders’ equity

 

20,583

 

20,433

 

Average adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,508

 

$

19,672

 

Operating income return on equity

 

16.6

%

24.3

%

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio that uses a non-GAAP measure.  It is calculated by dividing shareholders’ equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus dilutive potential shares outstanding.  Book value per share is the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

 

We use the trend in book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in conjunction with book value per share to identify and analyze the change in net worth attributable to management efforts between periods.  We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate significantly from period to period and are generally driven by economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by management, and we believe it enhances understanding and comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business activity and profitability drivers.  We note that book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance investors as a valuation technique.  Book value per share, excluding unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, should not be considered as a substitute for book value

 

33



 

per share, and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business.  The following table shows the reconciliation.

 

 

 

As of
March 31,

 

($ in millions, except per share data)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,303

 

$

22,491

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

557.0

 

615.5

 

Book value per share

 

$

36.45

 

$

36.54

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

 

 

 

 

Numerator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,303

 

$

22,491

 

Unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

(514

)

991

 

Adjusted shareholders’ equity

 

$

20,817

 

$

21,500

 

Denominator:

 

 

 

 

 

Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding

 

557.0

 

615.5

 

Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities

 

$

37.37

 

$

34.93

 

 

Operating Measures

 

We believe that investors’ understanding of Allstate’s performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following operating financial measures.  Our method of calculating these measures may differ from those used by other companies and therefore comparability may be limited.

 

Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for policies issued during a fiscal period.  Premiums earned is a GAAP measure.  Premiums are considered earned and are included in financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period.  The portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Consolidated Statements of Financial Position.  A reconciliation of premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following table.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Premiums written

 

$

6,514

 

$

6,609

 

Decrease in Property-Liability unearned premiums

 

294

 

203

 

Other

 

(44

)

(6

)

Premiums earned

 

$

6,764

 

$

6,806

 

 

Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales.  It includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as revenue.

 

34



 

The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are reflected in the consolidated financial statements.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Total premiums and deposits

 

$

3,046

 

$

2,628

 

Deposits to contractholder funds

 

(2,824

)

(2,363

)

Deposits to separate accounts

 

(33

)

(33

)

Change in unearned premiums and other adjustments

 

9

 

10

 

Life and annuity premiums (1)

 

$

198

 

$

242

 

 


(1)          Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of est. $254 million and $241 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component of the Consolidated Statements of Operations line item life and annuity premiums and contract charges.

 

New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies is an operating measure that we use to quantify the current year sales of financial products by the Allstate Agency proprietary distribution channel.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies includes sales of Allstate Financial products such as annual premiums on new life insurance policies, annual premiums on Allstate Workplace Division products, premiums and deposits on fixed annuities, net new deposits in the Allstate Bank, sales of Allstate Financial-issued variable annuities, and sales of products by non-affiliated issuers such as mutual funds and Prudential-issued variable annuities.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies exclude renewal premiums on life insurance policies.  New sales of financial products by Allstate exclusive agencies for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007 are presented in the following table.

 

 

 

Three Months Ended
March 31,

 

($ in millions)

 

Est.
2008

 

2007

 

Allstate Financial products (excluding variable annuities)

 

$

224

 

$

205

 

Allstate Financial variable annuities

 

5

 

11

 

Non-affiliated products

 

364

 

379

 

Total

 

$

593

 

$

595

 

 

Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors

 

This press release contains forward-looking statements about our outlook for the combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates for 2008, expectation for write-downs in our ABS RMBS, ABS CDO, Alt-A and CRE CDO securities portfolios, impact on the value of our portfolios of a rating downgrade by a bond insurer and expectation for anticipated or contractual cash flows in our prime, Alt-A, ABS RMBS, ABS CDO and corporate securities portfolios.  These statements are subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are based on management’s estimates, assumptions and projections.  Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on the risk factors described below.

 

·                  Premiums earned, the denominator of the combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates for 2008, may be materially less than projected.  Adjustments to our business structure, size and underwriting practices in markets with significant catastrophe risk exposure may impact homeowners premium growth rates and retention more adversely than we expect.  In addition, due to the diminished potential for cross-selling opportunities, new business growth in our auto lines could be lower than expected.  Our ability to capture the costs of our catastrophe reinsurance program through rate increases may not be entirely successful due to regulatory restrictions or policyholder attrition resulting in a lower amount of insurance in force.

 

35



 

·                  Auto and homeowners frequencies or severities may be higher than anticipated levels due to unexpected trends or events such as severe weather.

·                  The cost of the catastrophe reinsurance that we intend to purchase for Florida for the 2008 hurricane season may be more than we have estimated.

·                  Changes in mortgage delinquency or recovery rates, agency ratings, bond insurer strength or rating, the quality of service provided by service providers and the anticipated or contractual cash flows on securities in our prime, ABS RMBS, ABS CDO, Alt-A, CRE CDO corporate securities portfolios, as well as the effects of bond insurer strength on the value of our municipal bond portfolio, could lead us to reconsider our payment outlook and determine that write-downs are appropriate in the future.

 

We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statements.  This press release contains unaudited financial information.

 

The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation’s largest publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the “You’re In Good Hands With Allstate®” slogan, Allstate helps individuals in approximately 17 million households protect what they have today and better prepare for tomorrow through approximately 14,900 exclusive agencies and financial representatives in the U.S. and Canada. Customers can access Allstate products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners insurance through Allstate agencies, or in select states at allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate®. Encompass® and Deerbrook® Insurance brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through independent agents. The Allstate Financial Group provides life insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity, banking and retirement products designed for individual, institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and broker-dealers.

 

Contact:

 

 

Rich Halberg

 

Robert Block, Larry Moews

Media Relations

 

Investor Relations

(847) 402-5600

 

(847) 402-2800

 

###

 

36


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