FWP 1 dp08065_fwp-ps473.htm
January 2008
Preliminary Terms No. 473
Registration Statement No. 333-131266
Dated December 26, 2007
Filed pursuant to Rule 433

STRUCTURED INVESTMENTS
Opportunities in Equities
 
PLUS based on the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
PLUS offer leveraged exposure to a wide variety of assets and asset classes, including equities, commodities and currencies.  These investments allow investors to capture enhanced returns relative to the asset’s actual positive performance.  The leverage typically applies only for a certain range of price performance.  In exchange for enhanced performance in that range, investors generally forgo performance above a specified maximum return.  At maturity, an investor will receive an amount in cash that may be more or less than the principal amount based upon the closing value of the asset at maturity.
SUMMARY TERMS
Issuer:
Morgan Stanley
Maturity date:
February 20, 2009
Underlying index:
Nikkei 225 Index
Aggregate principal amount:
$
Payment at maturity:
If final index value is greater than initial index value,
$10 + leverage upside payment
In no event will the payment at maturity exceed the maximum payment at maturity.
If final index value is less than or equal to initial index value,
$10 x (final index value / initial index value)
This amount will be less than or equal to the stated principal amount of $10.
Leverage upside payment:
$10 x leverage factor x index percent increase
Index percent increase:
(final index value – initial index value) / initial index value
Initial index value:
The index closing value of the underlying index on the pricing date
Final index value:
The index closing value on the valuation date
Valuation date:
February 18, 2009, subject to adjustment for certain market disruption events
Leverage factor:
300%
Maximum payment at maturity:
$12.00 to $12.40 (120% to 124% of the stated principal amount)
Stated principal amount:
$10 per PLUS
Issue price:
$10 per PLUS (see “Commissions and Issue Price” below)
Pricing date:
January      , 2008
Original issue date:
January      , 2008  (5 business days after the pricing date)
CUSIP:
61747W349
Listing:
Application will be made to list the PLUS on the American Stock Exchange LLC under the ticker symbol “NIZ,” subject to meeting the listing requirements.  We do not expect to announce whether the PLUS will meet such requirements prior to the pricing of the PLUS.  If accepted for listing, the PLUS will begin trading the day after the pricing date.
Agent:
Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated
Commissions and Issue Price:
Price to Public(1)
Agents Commissions(1)(2)
Proceeds to Company
Per PLUS
$10
$0.15
$9.85
Total
$
$
$
(1)
The actual price to public and agent’s commissions for a particular investor may be reduced for volume purchase discounts depending on the aggregate amount of PLUS purchased by that investor.  The lowest price payable by an investor is $9.95 per PLUS.  Please see “Syndicate Information” on page 6 for further details.
(2)
For additional information, see “Plan of Distribution” in the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS.
 
YOU SHOULD READ THIS DOCUMENT TOGETHER WITH THE RELATED PROSPECTUS SUPPLEMENT AND PROSPECTUS, EACH OF WHICH CAN BE ACCESSED VIA THE HYPERLINKS BELOW, BEFORE YOU DECIDE TO INVEST.
 
 
The issuer has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus) with the SEC for the offering to which this communication relates.  Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in that registration statement and other documents the issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information about the issuer and this offering.  You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the issuer, any underwriter or any dealer participating in this offering will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling toll-free 1-800-584-6837.
 

 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
Investment Overview
 
Performance Leveraged Upside Securities
The Nikkei 225 Index PLUS (the “PLUS”) can be used:
 
§  
As an alternative to direct exposure to the underlying index that enhances returns for a certain range of price performance of the underlying index.
 
§  
To enhance returns and potentially outperform the underlying index in a moderately bullish scenario.
 
§  
To achieve similar levels of exposure to the underlying index as a direct investment while using fewer dollars by taking advantage of the leverage factor.
 
The PLUS are exposed on a 1:1 basis to the negative performance of the underlying index.
 
Maturity:
13 Months
Leverage factor:
300%
Maximum payment at maturity:
120% to 124% of the stated principal amount
Principal protection:
None
 
Nikkei 225 Index Overview
 
The Nikkei 225 Index, which is calculated, published and disseminated by Nikkei Inc. (formerly known as Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.), consists of 225 stocks listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.  It is a modified price-weighted average of 225 Japanese companies representing a broad cross-section of Japanese industries.
 
Information as of market close on December 19, 2007
 
Bloomberg Ticker:
NKY
Current Index Level:
15,030.51
52 Weeks Ago:
16,776.88
52 Week High (on 07/09/2007):
18,261.98
52 Week Low (on 11/21/2007):
14,837.66

 
Underlying Index Historical Performance End of Week Values
January 4, 2002 to December 14, 2007
 
January 2008
Page 2 
 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
Key Investment Rationale
 
This 13 month investment offers 300% leveraged upside, subject to a maximum payment at maturity of 120% to 124%.
 
Investors can use the PLUS to triple returns up to the maximum payment at maturity, while maintaining similar risk as a direct investment in the underlying index.
 
Leverage
Performance
The PLUS offer investors an opportunity to capture enhanced returns relative to a direct investment in the underlying index within a certain range of price performance.
Best Case Scenario
The underlying index increases in value and, at maturity, the PLUS redeem for the maximum payment at maturity, 120% to 124%.
Worst Case
Scenario
The underlying index declines in value and, at maturity, the PLUS redeem for less than the stated principal amount by an amount proportional to the decline.
 
Summary of Selected Key Risks (see page 9)
 
§  
No guaranteed return of principal.
 
§  
No interest payments.
 
§  
Appreciation potential is limited by the maximum payment at maturity.
 
§  
Secondary trading may be limited, and the inclusion of commissions and projected profit from hedging in the original issue price is likely to adversely affect secondary market prices and you could receive less, and possibly significantly less, than the stated principal amount per PLUS if you try to sell your PLUS prior to maturity.
 
§  
The market price of the PLUS will be influenced by many unpredictable factors, including the value, volatility and dividend yield of the underlying index.
 
§  
The PLUS are linked to foreign equity securities.
 
§  
Investing in the PLUS is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index or the stocks composing the underlying index.
 
§  
Adjustments to the underlying index by the underlying index publisher could adversely affect the value of the PLUS.
 
§  
Economic interests of the calculation agent may be potentially adverse to investors.
 
§  
The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the PLUS are uncertain.
 
§  
Credit risk to Morgan Stanley.
 
January 2008
Page 3 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
Fact Sheet
 
The PLUS offered are senior unsecured obligations of Morgan Stanley, will pay no interest, do not guarantee any return of principal at maturity and have the terms described in the prospectus supplement for PLUS and the prospectus, as supplemented or modified by these preliminary terms.  At maturity, an investor will receive for each stated principal amount of PLUS that the investor holds, an amount in cash that may be more or less than the stated principal amount based upon the closing value of the underlying index at maturity.  The PLUS are senior notes issued as part of Morgan Stanley’s Series F Global Medium-Term Notes program.
 
Expected Key Dates
   
Pricing date:
Original issue date (settlement date):
Maturity date:
January   , 2008
January   , 2008 (5 business days after the pricing date)
February 20, 2009, subject to postponement due to a market disruption event
Key Terms
 
Issuer:
Morgan Stanley
Underlying index:
Nikkei 225 Index
Underlying index publisher:
Nikkei, Inc.
$10 per PLUS (see “Syndicate Information” on page 6)
Stated principal amount:
$10 per PLUS
Denominations:
$10 per PLUS and integral multiples thereof
Interest:
None
Bull market or bear market PLUS:
Bull market PLUS
Payment at maturity:
If final index value is greater than initial index value,
$10 + leveraged upside payment
In no event will the payment at maturity exceed the maximum payment at maturity.
If final index value is less than or equal to initial index value,
$10 x index performance factor
This amount will be less than or equal to the stated principal amount of $10.
Leveraged upside payment:
$10 x leverage factor x index percent increase
Leverage factor:
300%
Index percent increase:
(final index value – initial index value) / initial index value
Initial index value:
The index closing value of the underlying index on the pricing date.
Final index value:
The index closing value of the underlying index on the valuation date as published on Bloomberg under the ticker symbol “NKY” or any successor symbol.
Valuation date:
February 18, 2009, subject to adjustment for certain market disruption events.
Index performance factor:
(final index value / initial index value)
Maximum payment at maturity:
$12.00 to $12.40 (120% to 124% of the stated principal amount)
Postponement of maturity date:
If the scheduled valuation date is not an index business day or if a market disruption event occurs on that day so that the valuation date as postponed falls less than two scheduled index business days prior to the scheduled maturity date, the maturity date of the PLUS will be postponed until the second scheduled index business day following that valuation date as postponed.
Risk factors:
Please see “Risk Factors” on page 9.
 

January 2008
Page 4 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 

General Information
Listing:
Application will be made to list the PLUS on the American Stock Exchange LLC under the ticker symbol “NIZ,” subject to meeting the listing requirements.  We do not expect to announce whether the PLUS will meet such requirements prior to the pricing of the PLUS.  If accepted for listing, the PLUS will begin trading the day after the pricing date.
CUSIP:
61747W349
Minimum ticketing size:
100 PLUS
Tax considerations:
Although the issuer believes that, under current law, each PLUS should be treated as a single financial contract that is an “open transaction” for U.S. federal income tax purposes, there is uncertainty regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the  PLUS.
 
Assuming this characterization of the PLUS is respected and subject to the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS, the following U.S. federal income tax consequences should result based on current law:
 
·  A U.S. Holder should not be required to recognize taxable income over the term of the PLUS prior to maturity, other than pursuant to a sale or exchange.
·  Upon sale, exchange or settlement of the PLUS at maturity, a U.S. Holder should generally recognize capital gain or loss equal to the difference between the amount realized and the U.S. Holders tax basis in the PLUS.  Such gain or loss should generally be long-term capital gain or loss if the investor has held the  PLUS for more than one year.
 
On December 7, 2007, the Treasury Department and IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments (such as the PLUS).  The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of such instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment.  It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; the relevance of factors such as exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which they are linked; the degree, if any, to which any income (including any mandated accruals) realized by non-U.S. holders should be subject to withholding tax; and whether these investments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” regime, which very generally can operate to recharacterize certain long-term capital gain as ordinary income that is subject to an interest charge.  While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, Treasury regulations or other guidance, if any, issued after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the PLUS, possibly on a retroactive basis.  Both U.S. and non-U.S. investors considering an investment in the PLUS should read the discussion under “Risk Factors ― Structure Specific Risk Factors” in these preliminary terms and the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS and consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of investing in the PLUS as well as the notice described above and its potential implications for an investment in the PLUS.
Trustee:
The Bank of New York (as successor trustee to JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.)
Calculation agent:
Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated (“MS & Co.”)
Use of proceeds and hedging:
The net proceeds we receive from the sale of the PLUS will be used for general corporate purposes and, in part, in connection with hedging our obligations under the PLUS through one or more of our subsidiaries.
On or prior to the pricing date, we, through our subsidiaries or others, will hedge our anticipated exposure in connection with the PLUS by taking positions in futures and options contracts on the underlying index. Such purchase activity could increase the value of the underlying index, and therefore the value at which the underlying index must close on the valuation date before investors would receive at maturity a payment that exceeds the principal amount of the PLUS.  For further information on our use of proceeds and hedging, see “Use of Proceeds and Hedging” in the prospectus supplement for PLUS.
ERISA:
See “ERISA” in the prospectus supplement for PLUS.
Contact:
Morgan Stanley clients may contact their local Morgan Stanley branch office or our principal executive offices at 1585 Broadway, New York, New York 10036 (telephone number (866) 477-4776).  All other clients may contact their local brokerage representative.  Third-party distributors may contact Morgan Stanley Structured Investment Sales at (800) 233-1087.
 
January 2008
Page 5 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
Syndicate Information
   
Issue price of the PLUS
Selling concession
Principal amount of
PLUS for any
single investor
$10.00
$0.15
<$999K
$9.975
$0.125
$1MM-$2.99MM
$9.9625
$0.1125
$3MM-$4.99MM
$9.95
$0.10
>$5MM
 
Selling concessions allowed to dealers in connection with the offering may be reclaimed by the agent, if, within 30 days of the offering, the agent repurchases the PLUS distributed by such dealers.
 
This offering summary represents a summary of the terms and conditions of the PLUS.  We encourage you to read the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS and prospectus for this offering, which can be accessed via the hyperlinks on the front page of this document.
 
January 2008
Page 6 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
How PLUS Work
 
Payoff Diagram
The payoff diagram below illustrates the payment at maturity on the PLUS based on the following terms:
 
Stated principal amount:
$10
   
Leverage factor:
300%
   
Hypothetical maximum payment at maturity:
$12.20 (122% of the stated principal amount)

 
PLUS Payoff Diagram
 
How it works
 
§  
If the final index value is greater than the initial index value, then investors receive the $10 stated principal amount plus 300% of the appreciation of the underlying index over the term of the PLUS, subject to the maximum payment at maturity.  In the payoff diagram, an investor will realize the maximum payment at maturity at a final index value of 107.333% of the initial index value.
 
§  
If the underlying index appreciates 5%, the investor would receive a 15% return, or $11.50.
 
§  
If the underlying index appreciates 25%, the investor would receive only the hypothetical maximum payment at maturity of 122% of the stated principal amount, or $12.20.
 
§  
If the final index value is less than or equal to the initial index value, the investor would receive an amount less than or equal to the $10 stated principal amount, based on a 1% loss of principal for each 1% decline in the underlying index.
 
§  
If the underlying index depreciates 10%, the investor would lose 10% of their principal and receive only $9 at maturity, or 90% of the stated principal amount.
 
January 2008
Page 7 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
Payment at Maturity
 
At maturity, investors will receive for each $10 stated principal amount of PLUS that they hold an amount in cash based upon the value of the underlying index, determined as follows:
 
If the final index value is greater than the initial index value:
 
$10    +    Leveraged Upside Payment:
 
subject to the maximum payment at maturity for each PLUS,
 
Leveraged Upside Payment

 
If the final index value is less than or equal to the initial index value:
 
$10    r    Index Performance Factor
 
Principal
 
Index Performance Factor
$10
    final index value   
initial index value 
 
Because the index performance factor will be less than or equal to 1.0, this payment will be less than or equal to $10.
 
January 2008
Page 8 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
 
The following is a non-exhaustive list of certain key risk factors for investors in the PLUS.  For further discussion of these and other risks, you should read the section entitled “Risk Factors” beginning on page S-18 of the prospectus supplement for PLUS.  We also urge you to consult your investment, legal, tax, accounting and other advisers before you invest in the PLUS.
 
Structure Specific Risk Factors
 
§  
PLUS do not pay interest nor guarantee return of principal.  The terms of the PLUS differ from those of ordinary debt securities in that the PLUS do not pay interest nor guarantee payment of the principal amount at maturity.  If the final index value is less than the initial index value, the payout at maturity will be an amount in cash that is less than the $10 stated principal amount of each PLUS by an amount proportionate to the decrease in the value of the underlying index.
 
§  
Appreciation potential is limited.  The appreciation potential of PLUS is limited by the maximum payment at maturity of $12.00 to $12.40, or 120% to 124% of the stated principal amount.  Although the leverage factor provides 300% exposure to any increase in the value of the underlying index at maturity, because the payment at maturity will be limited to 120% to 124% of the stated principal amount for the PLUS, the percentage exposure provided by the leverage factor is progressively reduced as the final index value exceeds approximately 106.6667% to 108% of the initial index value.
 
§  
Market price influenced by many unpredictable factors.  Several factors will influence the value of the PLUS in the secondary market and the price at which MS & Co. may be willing to purchase or sell the PLUS in the secondary market, including: the value, volatility and dividend yield of the underlying index, interest and yield rates, time remaining to maturity, geopolitical conditions and economic, financial, political and regulatory or judicial events and creditworthiness of the issuer.
 
§  
There are risks associated with investments in securities linked to the value of foreign equity securities. The stocks included in the Nikkei 225 index have been issued by companies in Japan.  Investments in securities linked to the value of foreign equity securities involve risks associated with the securities markets in those countries, including Japan, including risks of volatility in those markets, governmental intervention in those markets and cross-shareholdings in companies in certain countries, including Japan.  Also, there is generally less publicly available information about foreign companies than about U.S. companies that are subject to the reporting requirements of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, and foreign companies are subject to accounting, auditing and financial reporting standards and requirements different from those applicable to U.S. reporting companies.  The prices of securities in foreign markets, including Japan, may be affected by political, economic, financial and social factors in those countries, or global regions, including changes in government, economic and fiscal policies and currency exchange laws.  Local securities markets may trade a small number of securities and may be unable to respond effectively to increases in trading volume, potentially making prompt liquidation of holdings difficult or impossible at times.  Moreover, the economies in such countries, including Japan, may differ favorably or unfavorably from the economy in the United States in such respects as growth of gross national product, rate of inflation, capital reinvestment, resources and self-sufficiency.
 
§  
Not equivalent to investing in the underlying index. Investing in the PLUS is not equivalent to investing in the underlying index or its component stocks.  Investors in the PLUS will not have voting rights or rights to receive dividends or other distributions or any other rights with respect to stocks that constitute the underlying index.
 
§  
Adjustments to the underlying index could adversely affect the value of the PLUS.  The underlying index publisher may discontinue or suspend calculation or publication of the underlying index at any time.  In these circumstances, the calculation agent will have the sole discretion to substitute a successor index that is comparable to the discontinued underlying index and is not precluded from considering indices that are calculated and published by the calculation agent or any of its affiliates.
 
§  
The inclusion of commissions and projected profit from hedging in the original issue price is likely to adversely affect secondary market prices. Assuming no change in market conditions or any other
 
January 2008
Page 9 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
  
relevant factors, the price, if any, at which MS & Co. is willing to purchase PLUS in secondary market transactions will likely be lower than the original issue price, since the original issue price included, and secondary market prices are likely to exclude, commissions paid with respect to the PLUS, as well as the projected profit included in the cost of hedging the issuer’s obligations under the PLUS.  In addition, any such prices may differ from values determined by pricing models used by MS & Co., as a result of dealer discounts, mark-ups or other transaction costs.
 
§  
The U.S. federal income tax consequences of an investment in the PLUS are uncertain.  Please read the discussion under “Fact Sheet General Information Tax Considerations” in these preliminary terms and the discussion under “United States Federal Taxation” in the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS (together the “Tax Disclosure Sections”) concerning the U.S. federal income tax consequences of investing in the PLUS.  If the Internal Revenue Service (the “IRS”) were successful in asserting an alternative characterization or treatment for the PLUS, the timing and character of income on the PLUS might differ significantly from the tax treatment described in the Tax Disclosure Sections.  For example, under one characterization, U.S. Holders could be required to accrue original issue discount on the PLUS every year at a “comparable yield” determined at the time of issuance and recognize all income and gain in respect of the PLUS as ordinary income.  The issuer does not plan to request a ruling from the IRS regarding the tax treatment of the PLUS, and the IRS or a court may not agree with the tax treatment described in these preliminary terms and the accompanying prospectus supplement for PLUS.  On December 7, 2007, the Treasury Department and IRS released a notice requesting comments on the U.S. federal income tax treatment of “prepaid forward contracts” and similar instruments (such as the PLUS).  The notice focuses in particular on whether to require holders of such instruments to accrue income over the term of their investment.  It also asks for comments on a number of related topics, including the character of income or loss with respect to these instruments; the relevance of factors such as exchange-traded status of the instruments and the nature of the underlying property to which they are linked; the degree, if any, to which any income (including any mandated accruals) realized by non-U.S. holders should be subject to withholding tax; and whether these investments are or should be subject to the “constructive ownership” regime, which very generally can operate to recharacterize certain long-term capital gain as ordinary income that is subject to an interest charge.  While the notice requests comments on appropriate transition rules and effective dates, Treasury regulations or other guidance, if any, issued after consideration of these issues could materially and adversely affect the tax consequences of an investment in the PLUS, possibly on a retroactive basis.  Both U.S. and non-U.S. investors considering an investment in the PLUS should consult their tax advisers regarding the U.S. federal income tax consequences of investing in the PLUS as well as the notice and its potential implications for an investment in the PLUS.
 
Other Risk Factors
 
§  
Secondary trading may be limited.  There may be little or no secondary market for the PLUS.  Application will be made to list the PLUS on the American Stock Exchange LLC under the symbol “NIZ”.  For a security to be listed on the American Stock Exchange LLC, the requirements include, among other things, that there be 1 million units and 400 holders of such security.  However, it is not possible to predict whether the PLUS will meet the requirements for listing or trade in the secondary market or if such market will be liquid or illiquid, and we do not expect to announce whether or not the PLUS will meet those requirements prior to the pricing of the PLUS.  Because it is not possible to predict whether the market for the PLUS will be liquid or illiquid, you should be willing to hold your PLUS to maturity.
 
§  
Potential adverse economic interest of the calculation agent.  The hedging or trading activities of the issuer’s affiliates on or prior to the pricing date and prior to maturity could adversely affect the value of the underlying index and, as a result, could decrease the amount an investor may receive on the PLUS at maturity.  Any of these hedging or trading activities on or prior to the pricing date could potentially affect the initial index value and, therefore, could increase the value at which the underlying index must close before an investor receives a payment at maturity that exceeds the issue price of the PLUS.  Additionally, such hedging or trading activities during the term of the PLUS, including on the valuation date, could potentially affect the value of the underlying index on the valuation date and, accordingly, the amount of cash an investor will receive at maturity.
 
January 2008
Page 10 

 
PLUS Based on the Value of the Nikkei 225 Index due February 20, 2009
Performance Leveraged Upside SecuritiesSM
 
 
The Nikkei 225 Index. The Nikkei 225 Index, which is calculated, published and disseminated by Nikkei Inc. (formerly known as Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.), consists of 225 stocks listed on the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange.  It is a modified price-weighted average of 225 Japanese companies representing a broad cross-section of Japanese industries. The Nikkei 225 Index is described under the heading “Underlying Indices and Underlying Index Publishers Information—Nikkei 225 Index” in Annex A to the prospectus supplement for PLUS.

License Agreement between Nikkei Digital Media, Inc.  and Morgan Stanley. As of the issue date of the PLUS, we will have received the consent of Nikkei Digital Media, Inc. to use and refer to the Nikkei 225 Index in connection with the PLUS.  Nikkei Inc. (formerly known as Nihon Keizai Shimbun, Inc.), the publisher of the Nikkei 225 Index, has the copyright to the Nikkei 225 Index.  All rights to the Nikkei 225 Index are owned by Nikkei Inc. See “Underlying Indices and Underlying Index Publishers Information—Nikkei 225 Index—License Agreement between Nikkei Digital Media, Inc. and Morgan Stanley” in Annex A to the prospectus supplement for PLUS.
 
Historical Information
The following table sets forth the published high and low closing values, as well as end-of-quarter closing values, of the underlying index for each quarter in the period from January 1, 2002 through December 19, 2007.  The closing value of the underlying index on December 19, 2007 was 15,030.51.  We obtained the information in the table below from Bloomberg Financial Markets, without independent verification.  The historical values of the underlying index should not be taken as an indication of future performance, and no assurance can be given as to the level of the underlying index on the valuation date.  The payment of dividends on the stocks that constitute the underlying index are not reflected in its level and, therefore, have no effect on the calculation of the payment at maturity.
 
Nikkei 225 Index
High
Low
Period End
2002
     
First Quarter
11,919.30
9,420.85
11,024.94
Second Quarter
11,979.85
10,074.56
10,621.84
Third Quarter
10,960.25
9,075.09
9,383.29
Fourth Quarter
9,215.56
8,303.39
8,578.95
2003
     
First Quarter
8,790.92
7,862.43
7,972.71
Second Quarter
9,137.14
7,607.88
9,083.11
Third Quarter
11,033.32
9,265.56
10,219.05
Fourth Quarter
11,161.71
9,614.60
10,676.64
2004
     
First Quarter
11,770.65
10,365.40
11,715.39
Second Quarter
12,163.89
10,505.05
11,858.87
Third Quarter
11,896.01
10,687.81
10,823.57
Fourth Quarter
11,488.76
10,659.15
11,488.76
2005
     
First Quarter
11,966.69
11,238.37
11,668.95
Second Quarter
11,874.75
10,825.39
11,584.01
Third Quarter
13,617.24
11,565.99
13,574.30
Fourth Quarter
16,344.20
13,106.18
16,111.43
2006
     
First Quarter
17,059.66
15,341.18
17,059.66
Second Quarter
17,563.37
14,218.60
15,505.18
Third Quarter
16,385.96
14,437.24
16,127.58
Fourth Quarter
17,225.83
15,725.94
17,225.83
2007
     
First Quarter
18,215.35
16,642.25
17,287.65
Second Quarter
18,240.30
17,028.41
18,138.36
Third Quarter
18,261.98
15,273.68
16,785.69
Fourth Quarter (through December 19, 2007)
17,458.98
14,837.66
15,030.51
 
January 2008
Page 11