EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm PRESS RELEASE Press Release

Exhibit 99.1

LOGO

 

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

  News Release

 

Contact:   
For investors:   

Terri Williams-Perry – phone: 215 231.1486

Email: terri.williams-perry@radian.biz

For the media:   

Rick Gillespie – phone: 215 231.1061

Email: rick.gillespie@radian.biz

  

Steve Frankel / Tim Lynch

Joele Frank, Wilkinson Brimmer Katcher

212 355 4449

Radian Reports Fourth Quarter Net Loss of $618 Million

Company Maintains Strong Capital Position

PHILADELPHIA, February 15, 2008 - Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN) today reported a net loss of $618 million and a diluted net loss per share of $7.74 for the fourth quarter, ended December 31, 2007. For the full year ended December 31, 2007, Radian reported a net loss of $1.2 billion and a diluted net loss per share of $14.92. Book value per share at December 31, 2007 was $35.10, after the impact of the third and fourth quarter 2007 losses, driven primarily by the C-BASS write-down, credit losses, higher reserves and mark-to-market adjustments.

“2007 was a year of great change for Radian, and I am proud that our team was able to overcome the challenges of unwinding the merger with MGIC while maintaining a solid balance sheet and retaining mortgage customer and GSE confidence,” said S.A. Ibrahim, Chief Executive Officer of Radian. “While our disappointing 2007 results clearly illustrate the challenges of the mortgage market, our franchise continues to be strong, which is a testament to the skills and dedication of our workforce.”

In the mortgage insurance business, paid claims in the fourth quarter were in-line with the Company’s guidance. During the quarter, mortgage insurance loss reserves continued to


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

increase, reflecting the credit, housing and overall economic environment. Radian ended the year with $1.3 billion in mortgage insurance loss reserves.

“We have come through a difficult year and the environment continues to be very challenging,” added Mr. Ibrahim. “These challenges will remain with us for the near-term and may intensify, so we are looking at various scenarios and responses. In considering the book value of our company, we think it is important to take into consideration the significant embedded value within our Financial Guaranty business, as well as our ownership stake in Sherman.”

“Our claims paying resources in both business segments are strong and we stand to benefit from a stable and well-capitalized financial guaranty business,” concluded Mr. Ibrahim.

The market value of Radian’s investment portfolio at year-end was $6.41 billion compared to $5.75 billion a year ago.

The key financial highlights of the quarter and year ended December 31, 2007, are as follows:

 

      Total     Per Share        

9/30/2007 Book Value

 

  $ 3.4B     $ 42.86    
     Pre-tax     After-tax
impact
    BV per share
impact
    EPS
impact
 

C-BASS

   ($50 )     ($33 )     ($0.41 )   ($0.41 )

Change in Fair Value of Derivatives*

   (459 )     (298 )     (3.71 )   (3.73 )

Mortgage Insurance Incurred Losses

   (630 )     (410 )     (5.10 )   (5.13 )

Second Lien Premium Deficiency

   (41 )     (27 )     (0.34 )   (0.34 )


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

FG Credit Loss for CDO of ABS transaction

   (50 )     (33 )     (0.41 )   (0.41 )

All Other (Premiums, Investment Income and Expenses)

       201       2.21    

12/31/2007 Book Value

     $ 2.8B     $ 35.10    

Quarter Ended 12/31/2007 EPS

         ($7.74 )

 

* Includes ($120 Million) related to non-corporate CDO transactions, including a small number of AAA-rated CDOs of ABS and CMBS. This mark remains subject to possible adjustment.

Radian will discuss each of these items in its conference call today, Friday, February 15, 2008, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. The conference call will be broadcast live over the internet at http://www.ir.radian.biz/phoenix.zhtml?c=112301&p=irol-audioarchives or at http://www.radian.biz >News. The call may also be accessed by dialing 866-254-5941 inside the U.S., or 612-234-9959 for international callers, using passcode 907669 or by referencing Radian.

A replay of the webcast will be available at the Radian website approximately two hours after the live broadcast ends for a period of one year. A replay of the conference call will be available two and a half hours after the call ends for two weeks, using the following dial-in numbers and passcode: 800-475-6701 inside the U.S., or 320-365-3844 for international callers, passcode 907669.

Radian Group Inc. is a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in New York and London. Radian develops innovative financial solutions by applying its core mortgage credit risk expertise and structured finance capabilities to the credit enhancement needs of the capital markets worldwide, primarily through credit insurance products. The company also provides credit enhancement for public finance and other corporate and consumer assets on both a direct and reinsurance basis and holds strategic interests in credit-based consumer asset businesses. Additional information may be found at www.radian.biz.


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

Financial Results and Supplemental Information Contents (Unaudited)

For trend information on all schedules, refer to Radian's quarterly financial statistics at http://www.radian.biz/investors/financial/corporate.aspx.

 

Exhibit A:    Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
Exhibit B:    Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
Exhibit C:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2007
Exhibit D:    Segment Information Quarter Ended December 31, 2006
Exhibit E:    Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2007
Exhibit F:    Segment Information Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2006
Exhibit G:    Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit H:    Financial Guaranty Insurance Supplemental Information - Quarter Ended and as of December 31, 2007
Exhibit I:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: New Insurance Written and Risk Written
Exhibit J:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Insurance in Force and Risk in Force
Exhibit K:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Risk in Force by LTV and Policy Year and Other Risk in Force
Exhibit L:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Claims and Reserves
Exhibit M:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Defaults
Exhibit N:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: Net Premiums Written and Earned, Smart Home, Captives and Persistency
Exhibit O:    Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information: ALT A
Exhibit P:    Financial Services Supplemental Information


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income

Exhibit A

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
   Year Ended
December 31
(In thousands, except per-share data)    2007     2006    2007     2006

Revenues:

         

Net premiums written

   $ 309,620     $ 278,700    $ 1,184,885     $ 1,111,985
                             

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 234,368     $ 217,570    $ 912,281     $ 907,042

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     26,821       31,349      126,329       108,804
                             

Net premiums earned - total

     261,189       248,919      1,038,610       1,015,846

Net investment income

     67,493       60,222      256,098       234,345

Net gains (losses) on securities

     (673 )     11,255      53,606       40,842

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (458,512 )     23,097      (1,191,785 )     16,066

Gain on sale of affiliates

     —         —        181,734       —  

Other income

     192       4,391      11,711       20,847
                             

Total revenues

     (130,311 )     347,884      349,974       1,327,946
                             

Expenses:

         

Provision for losses

     687,855       84,389      1,299,363       369,278

Provision for second-lien premium deficiency

     40,470       —        195,646       —  

Policy acquisition costs

     24,980       31,074      113,175       111,609

Other operating expenses

     40,700       61,552      178,171       242,634

Merger expenses

     —         —        14,001       —  

Interest expense

     14,258       12,256      53,068       48,149
                             

Total expenses

     808,263       189,271      1,853,424       771,670
                             

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     (39,896 )     70,745      (416,541 )     256,993
                             

Pretax (loss) income

     (978,470 )     229,358      (1,919,991 )     813,269

Income tax (benefit) provision

     (360,444 )     70,988      (732,651 )     231,097
                             

Net (loss) income

   $ (618,026 )   $ 158,370    $ (1,187,340 )   $ 582,172
                             

Diluted net (loss) income per share (1)

   $ (7.74 )   $ 1.96    $ (14.92 )   $ 7.08
                             

(1)    Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

Average common shares outstanding

     79,850       79,923      79,556       81,338

Increase in shares-potential exercise of options-diluted basis

     —         770      —         923
                             

Weighted average shares outstanding (in thousands)

     79,850       80,693      79,556       82,261

For Trend Information, refer to our Quarterly Financial Statistics on Radian’s (RDN) website.

 

Page 1


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

Exhibit B

 

(In thousands, except share and per-share data)    December 31
2007
   December 31
2006

Assets:

     

Cash and investments

   $ 6,611,836    $ 5,803,228

Investments in affiliates

     104,354      618,841

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     234,955      221,769

Prepaid federal income taxes

     793,486      808,740

Other assets

     459,295      507,832
             

Total assets

   $ 8,203,926    $ 7,960,410
             

Liabilities and stockholders’ equity:

     

Unearned premiums

   $ 1,094,710    $ 943,687

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,598,756      842,283

Reserve for second-lien premium deficiency

     195,646      —  

Long-term debt and other borrowings

     948,093      747,770

Current income taxes

     137,219      —  

Deferred income taxes

     73,546      1,129,740

Derivative liabilities

     1,150,479      31,739

Other liabilities

     182,659      197,634
             

Total liabilities

     5,381,108      3,892,853
             

Common stock

     97      97

Additional paid-in capital

     442,312      416,193

Retained earnings

     2,284,150      3,489,290

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     96,259      161,977
             

Total common stockholders’ equity

     2,822,818      4,067,557
             

Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity

   $ 8,203,926    $ 7,960,410
             

Book value per share

   $ 35.10    $ 51.23

Treasury Stock Repurchases (Year-to-Date for Periods Presented)

     

Total number of shares repurchased

     398,645      4,500,000

Average price paid per share

   $ 57.25    $ 58.58

Total cost of repurchased shares

   $ 22,822,537    $ 263,600,341

 

Page 2


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2007

Exhibit C

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written

   $ 255,292     $ 54,328     $ —       $ 309,620  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 200,430     $ 33,938     $ —       $ 234,368  

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     13,399       13,422       —         26,821  
                                

Net premiums earned - total

     213,829       47,360       —         261,189  

Net investment income

     38,970       28,505       18       67,493  

Net gains (losses) on securities

     131       (1,468 )     664       (673 )

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (61,882 )     (396,630 )     —         (458,512 )

Gain on sale of affiliates

     —         —         —         —    

Other income

     1,980       (434 )     (1,354 )     192  
                                

Total revenues

     193,028       (322,667 )     (672 )     (130,311 )
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     629,582       58,273       —         687,855  

Provision for second-lien premium deficiency

     40,470       —         —         40,470  

Policy acquisition costs

     13,806       11,174       —         24,980  

Other operating expenses

     34,654       12,053       (6,007 )     40,700  

Merger expenses

     —         —         —         —    

Interest expense

     7,942       5,974       342       14,258  
                                

Total expenses

     726,454       87,474       (5,665 )     808,263  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         5       (39,901 )     (39,896 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (533,426 )     (410,136 )     (34,908 )     (978,470 )

Income tax benefit

     (198,806 )     (145,084 )     (16,554 )     (360,444 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (334,620 )   $ (265,052 )   $ (18,354 )   $ (618,026 )
                                

Assets

   $ 5,077,001     $ 3,020,835     $ 106,090     $ 8,203,926  

Total investments

     3,815,618       2,595,431       —         6,411,049  

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     62,266       172,689       —         234,955  

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     1,345,453       253,304       —         1,598,757  

Unearned premiums

     364,775       729,935       —         1,094,710  

Stockholders’ equity

     1,590,832       1,111,218       120,768       2,822,818  

 

Page 3


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Quarter Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit D

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
   Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
   Total

Revenues:

          

Net premiums written

   $ 202,362    $ 76,338     $ —      $ 278,700
                            

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 186,507    $ 31,063     $ —      $ 217,570

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     12,700      18,649       —        31,349
                            

Net premiums earned - total

     199,207      49,712       —        248,919

Net investment income

     34,947      25,268       7      60,222

Net gains (losses) on securities

     11,956      (1,068 )     367      11,255

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     1,852      21,245       —        23,097

Other income

     2,967      74       1,350      4,391
                            

Total revenues

     250,929      95,231       1,724      347,884
                            

Expenses:

          

Provision for losses

     80,328      4,061       —        84,389

Policy acquisition costs

     20,628      10,446       —        31,074

Other operating expenses

     43,278      13,680       4,594      61,552

Interest expense

     6,581      4,278       1,397      12,256
                            

Total expenses

     150,815      32,465       5,991      189,271
                            

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —        —         70,745      70,745
                            

Pretax income

     100,114      62,766       66,478      229,358

Income tax provision

     30,004      17,716       23,268      70,988
                            

Net income

   $ 70,110    $ 45,050     $ 43,210    $ 158,370
                            

Assets

   $ 4,626,850    $ 2,705,078     $ 628,482    $ 7,960,410

Total investments

     3,426,939      2,318,438       —        5,745,377

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     68,381      153,388       —        221,769

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

     653,236      189,047       —        842,283

Unearned premiums

     249,293      694,394       —        943,687

Stockholders’ equity

     2,259,796      1,377,263       430,498      4,067,557

 

Page 4


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2007

Exhibit E

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
    Financial
Guaranty
    Financial
Services
    Total  

Revenues:

        

Net premiums written

   $ 955,113     $ 229,772     $ —       $ 1,184,885  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 779,259     $ 133,022     $ —       $ 912,281  

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     64,263       62,066         126,329  
                                

Net premiums earned - total

     843,522       195,088     $ —         1,038,610  

Net investment income

     148,253       107,665       180       256,098  

Net gains on securities

     39,922       12,525       1,159       53,606  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (531,842 )     (659,943 )     —         (1,191,785 )

Gain on sale of affiliates

     —         —         181,734       181,734  

Other income

     11,337       349       25       11,711  
                                

Total revenues

     511,192       (344,316 )     183,098       349,974  
                                

Expenses:

        

Provision for losses

     1,201,373       97,990       —         1,299,363  

Provision for second-lien premium deficiency

     195,646       —         —         195,646  

Policy acquisition costs

     67,750       45,425       —         113,175  

Other operating expenses

     130,423       48,683       (935 )     178,171  

Merger expenses

     13,434       567       —         14,001  

Interest expense

     27,901       19,840       5,327       53,068  
                                

Total expenses

     1,636,527       212,505       4,392       1,853,424  
                                

Equity in net income (loss) of affiliates

     —         5       (416,546 )     (416,541 )
                                

Pretax loss

     (1,125,335 )     (556,816 )     (237,840 )     (1,919,991 )

Income tax benefit

     (431,927 )     (217,588 )     (83,136 )     (732,651 )
                                

Net loss

   $ (693,408 )   $ (339,228 )   $ (154,704 )   $ (1,187,340 )
                                

 

Page 5


Radian Group Inc. and Subsidiaries

Segment Information

Year Ended December 31, 2006

Exhibit F

 

(In thousands)    Mortgage
Insurance
   Financial
Guaranty
   Financial
Services
   Total

Revenues:

           

Net premiums written

   $ 849,111    $ 262,874    $ —      $ 1,111,985
                           

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 774,752    $ 132,290    $ —      $ 907,042

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     37,263      71,541      —        108,804
                           

Net premiums earned - total

     812,015      203,831      —        1,015,846

Net investment income

     138,310      95,895      140      234,345

Net gains on securities

     30,163      7,827      2,852      40,842

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     3,682      12,384      —        16,066

Other income

     13,075      692      7,080      20,847
                           

Total revenues

     997,245      320,629      10,072      1,327,946
                           

Expenses:

           

Provision for losses

     348,618      20,660      —        369,278

Policy acquisition costs

     64,964      46,645      —        111,609

Other operating expenses

     172,020      59,772      10,842      242,634

Interest expense

     26,623      16,590      4,936      48,149
                           

Total expenses

     612,225      143,667      15,778      771,670
                           

Equity in net income of affiliates

     —        —        256,993      256,993
                           

Pretax income

     385,020      176,962      251,287      813,269

Income tax provision

     102,266      40,880      87,951      231,097
                           

Net income

   $ 282,754    $ 136,082    $ 163,336    $ 582,172
                           

 

Page 6


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit G

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
($ in thousands, except ratios)    2007     2006     2007     2006  

Net Premiums Written:

        

Public finance direct

   $ 11,461     $ 30,302     $ 60,117     $ 79,655  

Public finance reinsurance

     19,739       20,526       86,821       81,065  

Structured direct

     4,567       4,168       16,594       18,772  

Structured reinsurance

     5,327       5,902       21,933       18,676  

Trade credit reinsurance

     214       245       1,264       4,599  
                                

Net premiums written - insurance

     41,308       61,143       186,729       202,767  

Net premiums written - credit derivatives

     13,020       15,195       43,043       60,107  
                                

Total Net Premiums Written

   $ 54,328     $ 76,338     $ 229,772     $ 262,874  
                                

Net Premiums Earned:

        

Public finance direct

   $ 13,459     $ 9,136     $ 45,770     $ 32,517  

Public finance reinsurance

     10,770       9,509       44,667       37,765  

Structured direct

     3,878       4,757       17,325       19,446  

Structured reinsurance

     5,461       5,467       22,957       21,086  

Trade credit reinsurance

     370       2,194       2,303       21,476  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

     33,938       31,063       133,022       132,290  

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     13,422       18,649       62,066       71,541  
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned

   $ 47,360     $ 49,712     $ 195,088     $ 203,831  
                                

Refundings included in earned premium

   $ 7,492     $ 3,111     $ 23,309     $ 11,778  
                                

Claims paid:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ 1,557     $ 1,338     $ 8,579     $ 15,144  

Other financial guaranty

     10,602       248       12,814       7,529  

Conseco

     2,667       3,513       11,449       15,763  
                                

Total

   $ 14,826     $ 5,099     $ 32,842     $ 38,436  
                                

Incurred losses:

        

Trade credit reinsurance

   $ (2,967 )   $ (30 )   $ (16,511 )   $ 4,991  

Other financial guaranty

     61,240       4,091       114,501       16,701  

Conseco

     —         —         —         (1,032 )(2)
                                

Total

   $ 58,273     $ 4,061     $ 97,990     $ 20,660  
                                

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     123.0 %     8.2 %     50.2 %     10.1 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (1)

     49.0 %     48.5 %     48.2 %     52.2 %
                                
     172.0 %     56.7 %     98.4 %     62.3 %
                                

Net (receipts) payments under derivatives contracts

   $ (255 )   $ (729 )   $ (31,188 )   $ 63,548  
                                

 

(1) Excludes merger expenses

 

(2) Resulted from favorable loss development

 

Page 7


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Guaranty Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit H

 

($ in thousands, except ratios)    December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Capital and surplus

   $ 1,158,537     $ 1,014,958  

Contingency reserve

     433,296       336,719  

Qualified statutory capital

     1,591,833       1,351,677  
                

Unearned premium reserve

     886,024       829,340  

Loss and loss expense reserve

     61,038       96,829  

Total statutory policyholders’ reserves

     2,538,895       2,277,846  
                

Present value of installment premiums

     461,806       345,565  

Reinsurance and soft capital facilities

     150,000       150,000  
                

Total statutory claims paying resources

   $ 3,150,701     $ 2,773,411  
                

Net debt service outstanding

   $ 164,346,659     $ 143,728,116  
                

Capital leverage ratio (1)

     103       106  

Claims paying leverage ratio (2)

     52       52  

Net par outstanding by product:

    

Public finance direct

   $ 18,228,946     $ 16,324,170  

Public finance reinsurance

     43,822,781       37,488,972  

Structured direct

     47,878,168       44,960,360  

Structured reinsurance

     6,091,717       5,192,122  
                

Total

   $ 116,021,612     $ 103,965,624  
                

Reinsurance business net par outstanding:

    

Treaty

     59 %     59 %

Facultative

     41 %     41 %

Reserve for losses and LAE

    

Specific

   $ 26,791     $ 35,320  

Conseco

     22,526       33,975  

Non-specific

     203,987       119,752  
                

Total

   $ 253,304     $ 189,047  
                

 

(1) Net debt service outstanding divided by qualified statutory capital

 

(2) Net debt service outstanding divided by total statutory claims paying resources

 

Page 8


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit I

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2007     %     2006     %     2007     %     2006     %  

Primary New Insurance Written
($ in millions)

                

Flow

   $ 10,422     76.7 %   $ 6,451     85.2 %   $ 40,335     70.6 %   $ 25,364     63.2 %

Structured

     3,174     23.3 %     1,123     14.8 %     16,797     29.4 %     14,753     36.8 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 13,596     100.0 %   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 57,132     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %
                                                        

Flow

                

Prime

   $ 8,629     82.8 %   $ 4,608     71.4 %   $ 29,800     73.9 %   $ 18,578     73.2 %

Alt-A

     832     8.0 %     1,276     19.8 %     6,847     17.0 %     4,836     19.1 %

A minus and below

     961     9.2 %     567     8.8 %     3,688     9.1 %     1,950     7.7 %
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 10,422     100.0 %   $ 6,451     100.0 %   $ 40,335     100.0 %   $ 25,364     100.0 %
                                                        

Structured

                

Prime

   $ 1,795     56.6 %   $ 341     30.4 %   $ 3,436     20.5 %   $ 4,000     27.1 %

Alt-A

     1,378     43.4 %     685     61.0 %     12,515     74.5 %     9,222     62.5 %

A minus and below

     1     0.0 %     97     8.6 %     846     5.0 %     1,531     10.4 %
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ 3,174     100.0 %   $ 1,123     100.0 %   $ 16,797     100.0 %   $ 14,753     100.0 %
                                                        

Total

                

Prime

   $ 10,424     76.6 %   $ 4,949     65.3 %   $ 33,236     58.2 %   $ 22,578     56.3 %

Alt-A

     2,210     16.3 %     1,961     25.9 %     19,362     33.9 %     14,058     35.0 %

A minus and below

     962     7.1 %     664     8.8 %     4,534     7.9 %     3,481     8.7 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 13,596     100.0 %   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 57,132     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %
                                                        

Total Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score ($ in millions)

                

Flow

                

<=619

   $ 518     5.0 %   $ 498     7.7 %   $ 2,348     5.8 %   $ 1,603     6.3 %

620-679

     2,830     27.1 %     2,049     31.8 %     11,988     29.7 %     7,693     30.3 %

680-739

     3,914     37.6 %     2,246     34.8 %     14,891     36.9 %     9,210     36.4 %

>=740

     3,160     30.3 %     1,658     25.7 %     11,108     27.6 %     6,858     27.0 %
                                                        

Total Flow

   $ 10,422     100.0 %   $ 6,451     100.0 %   $ 40,335     100.0 %   $ 25,364     100.0 %
                                                        

Structured

                

<=619

   $ —       0.0 %   $ 98     8.7 %   $ 538     3.2 %   $ 1,545     10.5 %

620-679

     185     5.8 %     333     29.7 %     3,947     23.5 %     4,303     29.2 %

680-739

     963     30.3 %     428     38.1 %     7,123     42.4 %     5,760     39.0 %

>=740

     2,026     63.9 %     264     23.5 %     5,189     30.9 %     3,145     21.3 %
                                                        

Total Structured

   $ 3,174     100.0 %   $ 1,123     100.0 %   $ 16,797     100.0 %   $ 14,753     100.0 %
                                                        

Total

                

<=619

   $ 518     3.8 %   $ 596     7.9 %   $ 2,886     5.1 %   $ 3,148     7.9 %

620-679

     3,015     22.2 %     2,382     31.4 %     15,935     27.9 %     11,996     29.9 %

680-739

     4,877     35.9 %     2,674     35.3 %     22,014     38.5 %     14,970     37.3 %

>=740

     5,186     38.1 %     1,922     25.4 %     16,297     28.5 %     10,003     24.9 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 13,596     100.0 %   $ 7,574     100.0 %   $ 57,132     100.0 %   $ 40,117     100.0 %
                                                        

Percentage of primary new insurance written

                

Refinances

     27 %       38 %       37 %       35 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     32 %       24 %       25 %       15 %  

ARMs

                

Less than 5 years

     1 %       16 %       13 %       24 %  

5 years and longer

     14 %       7 %       11 %       14 %  

Primary risk written ($ in millions)

                

Flow

   $ 2,684     77.9 %   $ 1,590     91.8 %   $ 10,325     85.3 %   $ 6,386     82.0 %

Structured

     763     22.1 %     142     8.2 %     1,785     14.7 %     1,404     18.0 %
                                                        

Total Primary

   $ 3,447     100.0 %   $ 1,732     100.0 %   $ 12,110     100.0 %   $ 7,790     100.0 %
                                                        

Pool risk written (In millions)

   $ 34       $ 26       $ 261       $ 359    
                                        

Other risk written (In millions)

                

Seconds

                

1st loss

   $ —         $ 4       $ 9       $ 47    

2nd loss

     —           27         21         233    

NIMs

     —           264         377         502    

International

                

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     34         34         130         65    

Reinsurance

     18         14         67         21    

Other

                

Domestic credit default swaps

     —           —           —           32    
                                        

Total other risk written

   $ 52       $ 343       $ 604       $ 900    
                                        

 

Page 9


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit J

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2007     %     2006     %  

Primary insurance in force ($ in millions)

        

Flow

   $ 105,246     73.6 %   $ 83,529     73.3 %

Structured

     37,820     26.4 %     30,374     26.7 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 143,066     100.0 %   $ 113,903     100.0 %
                            

Prime

   $ 93,577     65.4 %   $ 76,854     67.5 %

Alt-A

     37,031     25.9 %     25,571     22.4 %

A minus and below

     12,458     8.7 %     11,478     10.1 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 143,066     100.0 %   $ 113,903     100.0 %
                            

Primary risk in force ($ in millions)

        

Flow

   $ 26,531     83.9 %   $ 20,724     81.9 %

Structured

     5,091     16.1 %     4,587     18.1 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 31,622     100.0 %   $ 25,311     100.0 %
                            

Flow

        

Prime

   $ 20,616     77.7 %   $ 16,283     78.6 %

Alt-A

     3,810     14.4 %     2,880     13.9 %

A minus and below

     2,105     7.9 %     1,561     7.5 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 26,531     100.0 %   $ 20,724     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

Prime

   $ 2,116     41.5 %   $ 1,903     41.5 %

Alt-A

     1,978     38.9 %     1,354     29.5 %

A minus and below

     997     19.6 %     1,330     29.0 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 5,091     100.0 %   $ 4,587     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

Prime

   $ 22,732     71.9 %   $ 18,186     71.9 %

Alt-A

     5,788     18.3 %     4,234     16.7 %

A minus and below

     3,102     9.8 %     2,891     11.4 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 31,622     100.0 %   $ 25,311     100.0 %
                            

Total Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score ($ in millions)

        

Flow

        

<=619

   $ 1,639     6.2 %   $ 1,342     6.5 %

620-679

     8,059     30.4 %     6,391     30.8 %

680-739

     9,773     36.8 %     7,556     36.5 %

>=740

     7,060     26.6 %     5,435     26.2 %
                            

Total Flow

   $ 26,531     100.0 %   $ 20,724     100.0 %
                            

Structured

        

<=619

   $ 936     18.4 %   $ 1,331     29.0 %

620-679

     1,490     29.3 %     1,619     35.3 %

680-739

     1,488     29.2 %     1,095     23.9 %

>=740

     1,177     23.1 %     542     11.8 %
                            

Total Structured

   $ 5,091     100.0 %   $ 4,587     100.0 %
                            

Total

        

<=619

   $ 2,575     8.1 %   $ 2,673     10.6 %

620-679

     9,549     30.2 %     8,010     31.6 %

680-739

     11,261     35.6 %     8,651     34.2 %

>=740

     8,237     26.1 %     5,977     23.6 %
                            

Total Primary

   $ 31,622     100.0 %   $ 25,311     100.0 %
                            

Percentage of primary risk in force

        

Refinances

     31 %       33 %  

95.01% LTV and above

     24 %       18 %  

ARMs

        

Less than 5 years

     12 %       19 %  

5 years and longer

     10 %       9 %  

Pool risk in force ($ in millions)

        

Prime

   $ 2,111     70.2 %   $ 2,182     72.9 %

Alt-A

     293     9.8 %     295     9.9 %

A minus and below

     600     20.0 %     514     17.2 %
                            

Total

   $ 3,004     100.0 %   $ 2,991     100.0 %
                            

 

Page 10


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit K

 

     December 31     December 31  
     2007    %     2006    %  

Total Primary Risk in Force by LTV ($ in millions)

          

95.01% and above

   $ 7,529    23.8 %   $ 4,441    17.6 %

90.01% to 95.00%

     9,674    30.6 %     8,005    31.6 %

85.01% to 90.00%

     10,600    33.5 %     9,062    35.8 %

85.00% and below

     3,819    12.1 %     3,803    15.0 %
                          

Total

   $ 31,622    100.0 %   $ 25,311    100.0 %
                          

Total Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions)

          

2003 and prior

   $ 5,521    17.5 %   $ 7,113    28.1 %

2004

     3,350    10.6 %     4,565    18.1 %

2005

     5,112    16.2 %     6,538    25.8 %

2006

     6,016    19.0 %     7,095    28.0 %

2007

     11,623    36.7 %     —      —    
                          

Total

   $ 31,622    100.0 %   $ 25,311    100.0 %
                          

Total Pool Risk in Force by Policy Year ($ in millions)

          

2003 and prior

   $ 1,723    57.4 %   $ 1,758    58.8 %

2004

     166    5.5 %     290    9.7 %

2005

     595    19.8 %     651    21.7 %

2006

     265    8.8 %     292    9.8 %

2007

     255    8.5 %     —      —    
                          

Total Pool risk in Force

   $ 3,004    100.0 %   $ 2,991    100.0 %
                          

Other risk in force (In millions)

          

Seconds

          

1st loss

   $ 377      $ 592   

2nd loss

     548        610   

NIMs

     604        592   

International

          

1st loss-Hong Kong primary mortgage insurance

     465        335   

Reinsurance

     103        47   

Credit default swaps

     8,202        7,897   

Other

          

Domestic credit default swaps

     212        212   

Financial guaranty wrap

     —          37   
                  

Total other risk in force

   $ 10,511      $ 10,322   
                  

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis

     14.4:1        10.4:1   

Risk to capital ratio-STAT Basis excluding AAA-rated CDS

     11.6:1        8.3:1   

 

Page 11


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit L

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Direct claims paid (In thousands)

        

Prime

   $ 53,203     $ 28,903     $ 164,155     $ 117,471  

Alt-A

     35,203       16,654       105,858       64,018  

A minus and below

     46,966       25,996       150,098       93,662  

Seconds and other

     29,295       9,590       89,269       38,204  
                                

Total

   $ 164,667     $ 81,143     $ 509,380     $ 313,355  
                                

Average claim paid (In thousands)

        

Prime

   $ 35.0     $ 26.7     $ 31.2     $ 26.1  

Alt-A

     49.0       37.9       44.6       35.6  

A minus and below

     36.5       30.2       33.2       28.3  

Seconds

     38.6       29.2       31.9       26.8  

Total

   $ 38.4     $ 29.9     $ 34.1     $ 28.4  

Loss ratio - GAAP Basis

     294.4 %     40.3 %     142.4 %     42.9 %

Expense ratio - GAAP Basis (2)

     22.7 %     32.1 %     23.5 %     29.2 %
                                
     317.1 %     72.4 %     165.9 %     72.1 %
                                

Reserve for losses by category (In thousands):

        

Prime

   $ 343,705     $ 198,133      

Alt-A

     450,106       136,411      

A minus and below

     361,240       228,012      

Pool insurance

     54,394       31,116      

Seconds

     112,751       36,166      

Other

     1,268       1,635      
                    

Reserve for losses, net

     1,323,464       631,473      

Reinsurance recoverable

     21,989 (1)     21,763  (1)    
                    

Total

   $ 1,345,453     $ 653,236      
                    

 

(1) Reinsurance recoverable on ceded losses.

 

(2) Excludes merger expenses.

 

Page 12


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit M

 

     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Default Statistics

    

Primary insurance:

    

Flow

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   565,563     500,464  

Number of loans in default

   20,632     15,141  

Percentage of loans in default

   3.65 %   3.03 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   74,559     63,469  

Number of loans in default

   7,980     4,348  

Percentage of loans in default

   10.70 %   6.85 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   63,853     52,440  

Number of loans in default

   10,087     7,250  

Percentage of loans in default

   15.80 %   13.83 %

Total Flow

    

Number of insured loans

   703,975     616,373  

Number of loans in default

   38,699     26,739  

Percentage of loans in default

   5.50 %   4.34 %

Structured

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   64,789     62,680  

Number of loans in default

   4,707     3,300  

Percentage of loans in default

   7.27 %   5.26 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   97,526     70,164  

Number of loans in default

   8,783     3,647  

Percentage of loans in default

   9.01 %   5.20 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   28,747     36,597  

Number of loans in default

   8,659     9,014  

Percentage of loans in default

   30.12 %   24.63 %

Total Structured

    

Number of insured loans

   191,062     169,441  

Number of loans in default

   22,149     15,961  

Percentage of loans in default

   11.59 %   9.42 %

Total Primary Insurance

    

Prime

    

Number of insured loans

   630,352     563,144  

Number of loans in default

   25,339     18,441  

Percentage of loans in default

   4.02 %   3.27 %

Alt-A

    

Number of insured loans

   172,085     133,633  

Number of loans in default

   16,763     7,995  

Percentage of loans in default

   9.74 %   5.98 %

A minus and below

    

Number of insured loans

   92,600     89,037  

Number of loans in default

   18,746     16,264  

Percentage of loans in default

   20.24 %   18.27 %

Total Primary Insurance

    

Number of insured loans

   895,037     785,814  

Number of loans in default

   60,848 (1)   42,700 (1)

Percentage of loans in default

   6.80 %   5.43 %

Pool insurance:

    

Number of loans in default

   26,526 (2)   18,681 (2)

 

(1) Includes approximately 2,595 and 1,161 defaults at December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006 respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

(2) Includes approximately 20,193 and 13,309 defaults at December 31, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively, where reserves have not been established because no claim payment is currently anticipated.

 

Page 13


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit N

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
     2007     2006     2007     2006  

Net Premiums Written (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 223,372     $ 162,875     $ 835,961     $ 723,213  

Seconds

     4,896       15,469       27,236       57,935  

International

     16,796       10,696       35,306       20,375  
                                

Net premiums written - insurance

     245,064       189,040       898,503       801,523  

Net premiums written - credit derivatives

     10,228       13,322       56,610       47,588  
                                

Total Net Premiums Written

   $ 255,292     $ 202,362     $ 955,113     $ 849,111  
                                

Net Premiums Earned (In thousands)

        

Primary and Pool Insurance

   $ 189,170     $ 173,413     $ 730,966     $ 715,136  

Seconds

     7,579       11,564       32,744       52,588  

International

     3,681       1,530       15,549       7,028  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

     200,430       186,507       779,259       774,752  

Net premiums earned - credit derivatives

     13,399       12,700       64,263       37,263  
                                

Total Net Premiums Earned

   $ 213,829     $ 199,207     $ 843,522     $ 812,015  
                                

SMART HOME (In millions)

        

Ceded Premiums Written

   $ 1.3     $ 3.5     $ 11.0     $ 12.0  

Ceded Premiums Earned

   $ 2.1     $ 3.7     $ 11.4     $ 12.3  

Captives

        

Premiums ceded to captives (In millions)

   $ 33.2     $ 25.4     $ 121.6     $ 96.7  

% of total premiums

     14.8 %     12.6 %     14.1 %     11.7 %

NIW subject to captives (In millions)

   $ 6,776     $ 3,457     $ 23,322     $ 13,157  

% of primary NIW

     49.8 %     45.6 %     40.8 %     32.8 %

IIF included in captives (1)

     36.5 %     34.1 %    

RIF included in captives (1)

     41.6 %     38.9 %    

Persistency (twelve months ended December 31)

     75.4 %     67.3 %    
     December 31
2007
    December 31
2006
             

SMART HOME

        

% of Primary RIF included in Smart Home Transactions (1)

     5.3 %     10.1 %    

 

(1) Radian reinsures the middle layer risk positions, while retaining a significant portion of the total risk comprising the first loss and most remote risk positions.

 

Page 14


Radian Group Inc.

Mortgage Insurance Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

ALT-A

Exhibit O

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
($ in millions)    2007    %     2006    %     2007    %     2006    %  

Primary New Insurance Written by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 3    0.1 %   $ 3    0.2 %   $ 110    0.6 %   $ 28    0.2 %

620-659

     43    1.9 %     208    10.6 %     1,889    9.7 %     1,600    11.4 %

660-679

     94    4.3 %     351    17.9 %     2,783    14.4 %     2,019    14.4 %

680-739

     785    35.5 %     903    46.0 %     9,158    47.3 %     6,756    48.0 %

>=740

     1,285    58.2 %     496    25.3 %     5,422    28.0 %     3,655    26.0 %
                                                    

Total

   $ 2,210    100.0 %   $ 1,961    100.0 %   $ 19,362    100.0 %   $ 14,058    100.0 %
                                                    

Primary Risk in Force by FICO Score

                    

<=619

   $ 38    0.7 %   $ 24    0.6 %          

620-659

     725    12.5 %     729    17.2 %          

660-679

     826    14.3 %     681    16.1 %          

680-739

     2,653    45.8 %     1,897    44.8 %          

>=740

     1,546    26.7 %     903    21.3 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 5,788    100.0 %   $ 4,234    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by LTV

                    

95.01% and above

   $ 379    6.6 %   $ 120    2.8 %          

90.01% to 95.00%

     1,668    28.8 %     1,237    29.2 %          

85.01% to 90.00%

     2,317    40.0 %     1,832    43.3 %          

85.00% and below

     1,424    24.6 %     1,045    24.7 %          
                                    

Total

   $ 5,788    100.0 %   $ 4,234    100.0 %          
                                    

Primary Risk in Force by Policy Year

                    

2003 and prior

   $ 641    11.1 %   $ 846    20.0 %          

2004

     461    8.0 %     712    16.8 %          

2005

     846    14.6 %     1,157    27.3 %          

2006

     1,273    22.0 %     1,519    35.9 %          

2007

     2,567    44.3 %     —      —              
                                    

Total

   $ 5,788    100.0 %   $ 4,234    100.0 %          
                                    

 

Page 15


Radian Group Inc.

Financial Services Supplemental Information

For the Quarter and Year Ended and as of December 31, 2007

Exhibit P

 

     Quarter Ended
December 31
    Year Ended
December 31
 
(In thousands )    2007    2006     2007     2006  

Investment in Affiliates-Selected Information

         

C-BASS

         

Balance, beginning of period

     —      $ 431,472     $ 451,395     $ 364,364  

Net income (loss) for period

     —        31,598       (451,395 )     133,900  

Dividends received

     —        11,675       —         46,869  
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ —      $ 451,395     $ —       $ 451,395  
                               

Sherman

         

Balance, beginning of period

   $ 94,110    $ 129,064     $ 167,412     $ 81,753  

Net income for period

     10,098      39,146       84,848       123,835  

Dividends received

     —        —         51,512       103,740  

Other comprehensive income (loss)

     107      (798 )     (567 )     (743 )

(Sale) purchase of ownership interest

        —         (95,866 )     66,307  
                               

Balance, end of period

   $ 104,315    $ 167,412     $ 104,315     $ 167,412  
                               

Portfolio Information:

         

C-BASS

         

Servicing portfolio

     N/A    $ 60,600,000      

Total assets

     N/A      8,799,261      

Servicing income

     N/A      40,589       N/A     $ 142,407  

Net interest income

     N/A      73,836       N/A       285,844  

Total revenues

     N/A      144,479       N/A       571,162  

Sherman

         

Total assets

   $ 2,242,087    $ 1,213,049      

Net revenues

   $ 379,320    $ 329,293     $ 1,259,933     $ 1,059,381  

Radian owns a 46% interest in C-BASS and a 21.8% interest in Sherman. Prior to September 2007, we owned an interest in Sherman consisting of 40.96% of the Class A Common Units of Sherman (Class A Common Units represent 94% of the total equity in Sherman) and 50% of the Preferred Units of Sherman.

 

Page 16


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

All statements in this news release that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which include, without limitation, projections regarding our future performance and financial condition are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Any forward-looking statement is not a guarantee of future performance and actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward looking information. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: actual or perceived changes in general financial and political conditions, such as extended national or regional economic recessions, changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values (in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets, which would harm our future consolidated results of operations and, if more severe than our current predictions, could cause our ultimate projected losses for our mortgage insurance business to be worse than expected), changes in the liquidity in the capital markets and the further contraction of credit markets, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates or consumer confidence, changes in credit spreads, changes in the way investors perceive the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, investor concern over the credit quality and specific risks faced by the particular businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; actual or perceived economic changes or catastrophic events in geographic regions (both domestic and international) where our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance in force is more concentrated; our ability to successfully acquire additional capital in the event that capital is required to support our long-term liquidity needs and to protect our credit and financial strength ratings; a decrease in the volume of home mortgage originations due to reduced liquidity in the lending market, tighter underwriting standards and a deterioration in housing markets throughout the United States; the loss of a customer for whom we write a significant amount of mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance or the influence of large customers; disruption in the servicing of mortgages covered by our insurance policies; the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio, which could cause losses to increase, and changes in severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance policies; the performance of our insured portfolio of higher risk loans, such as Alt-A and sub-prime loans, and adjustable rate products, such as adjustable rate mortgages and interest-only mortgages, which have resulted in increased losses in 2007 and may result in further losses; reduced opportunities for loss mitigation in markets where housing values fail to appreciate or begin to decline; changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies caused by changes in refinancing activity, appreciating or depreciating home values and changes in the mortgage insurance cancellation requirements of mortgage lenders and investors; downgrades or threatened downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial strength ratings assigned by the major rating agencies to any of our rated insurance subsidiaries at any time (in particular, our credit rating and the financial strength ratings of our mortgage insurance subsidiaries that are currently under review for possible downgrade); heightened competition for our mortgage insurance business from


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

others such as the Federal Housing Administration and the Veterans’ Administration or other private mortgage insurers, from alternative products such as “80-10-10” loans or other forms of simultaneous second loan structures used by mortgage lenders, from investors using forms of credit enhancement other than mortgage insurance as a partial or complete substitution for private mortgage insurance and from mortgage lenders that demand increased participation in revenue sharing arrangements such as captive reinsurance arrangements; changes in the charters or business practices of Federal National Mortgage Association and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., the largest purchasers of mortgage loans that we insure; heightened competition for financial guaranty business from other financial guaranty insurers, including those recently downgraded to ratings equal to or lower than our ratings, from other forms of credit enhancement such as letters of credit, guaranties and credit default swaps provided by foreign and domestic banks and other financial institutions and from alternative structures that may permit insurers to securitize assets more cost-effectively without the need for the types of credit enhancement we offer, or result in our having to reduce the premium we charge for our products; the application of existing federal or state consumer, lending, insurance, securities and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; including, without limitation: (i) the possibility of private lawsuits or investigations by state insurance departments and state attorneys general alleging that services offered by the mortgage insurance industry, such as captive reinsurance, pool insurance and contract underwriting, are violative of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act and/or similar state regulations, or (ii) legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses, the premium deficiency for our second-lien mortgage insurance business or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative contracts in our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the Securities and Exchange Commission or the Financial Accounting Standards Board (in particular changes regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the financial guaranty industries); our ability to profitably grow our insurance businesses in international markets, which depends on a number of factors such as foreign governments’ monetary policies and regulatory requirements, foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, and our ability to develop and market products appropriate to foreign markets; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends we may receive from our subsidiaries; and vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments, including in particular, our investment in Sherman Financial Services Group LLC. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to the Risk Factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006 as well as the updates to these risks included in Item 1A of Part II of our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this news release. We do not intend to, and we disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or


LOGO

1601 Market Street

Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

19103-2337

800 523.1988

215 564.6600

 

revise any forward-looking statements made in this report to reflect new information or future events or for any other reason.