EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN ASSET ASSURANCE INC. - QUARTERLY OPERATING SUPPLEMENT, THIRD QUARTER 2007 Radian Asset Assurance Inc. - Quarterly Operating Supplement, Third Quarter 2007

Exhibit 99.1

LOGO

Quarterly

Operating Supplement

Third Quarter 2007


Table of Contents

 

     Page

Introductory Note

   2

Company Profile

   2

Company Information

   2

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements

   3

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets

   4

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums

   5

Consolidated Selected Loss Information

   6

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information

   7

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights

   8

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights

   9

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

   18

Safe Harbor Statement

   19
  
1    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Table of Contents


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Quarterly Operating Supplement

September 30, 2007

Introductory Note

This operating supplement presents financial information for Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) and its consolidated subsidiaries on a GAAP basis. Please visit our website at www.radian.biz for selected statutory information.

Company Profile

Radian, founded in 1985 and rated* AA by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (S&P) and Aa3 by Moody’s Investor Service (Moody’s), is a niche insurer of public finance transactions and a provider of credit enhancement to leading financial institutions in the structured finance market. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers. Radian is also a leading provider of reinsurance to the AAA-rated monoline financial guarantors. In addition, Radian provided Trade Credit reinsurance until 2005, when this line of business was placed in runoff.

Radian is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (Radian Group) (NYSE: RDN), a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in both New York and London.

For more information regarding Radian and Radian Group, please visit our website at www.radian.biz

Company Information

 

Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

  Contact:
335 Madison Avenue   John C. DeLuca
New York, New York 10017   Senior Vice President
1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.)   Director of Marketing, Public Finance
1 212 983.3100   1 212 984.9222
www.radian.biz   john.deluca@radian.biz

* Radian Group formally requested that Fitch Ratings (Fitch) withdraw its ratings of all Radian Group entities on September 5, 2007. Fitch rates Radian A+ (outlook: Evolving). Please refer to our website for more information.
  
2    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Introductory Note / Company Profile / Company Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements* ($ Thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     Quarter ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
    September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
 

Revenues

        

Net premiums written - insurance

   $ 59,068     $ 33,087     $ 144,462     $ 138,704  

Net premiums written - derivatives

     11,093       15,481       30,023       44,912  
                                

Total net premiums written

   $ 70,161     $ 48,568     $ 174,485     $ 183,616  
                                

Net premiums earned - insurance

   $ 32,678     $ 33,184     $ 98,200     $ 97,934  

Net premiums earned - derivatives

     13,921       18,634       48,644       52,892  
                                

Total net premiums earned

     46,599       51,818       146,844       150,826  

Net investment income

     26,456       23,793       76,813       68,130  

Gain on sale of investments

     5,473       79       13,873       1,548  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     (255,833 )     3,919       (263,313 )     (8,861 )
                                

Total revenues

     (177,305 )     79,609       (25,783 )     211,643  
                                

Expenses

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     52,133       3,551       48,174       17,670  

Policy acquisition costs

     10,923       11,023       34,002       35,943  

Other operating expenses

     9,933       15,924       36,799       45,943  

Other expense

     3,833       3,464       12,226       10,922  
                                

Total expenses

     76,822       33,962       131,201       110,478  
                                

(Loss) income before income taxes

     (254,127 )     45,647       (156,984 )     101,165  

Income tax (benefit) expense

     (101,709 )     9,283       (75,598 )     19,445  
                                

Net (loss) income

   $ (152,418 )   $ 36,364     $ (81,386 )   $ 81,720  
                                

Financial Ratios

        

Loss and LAE Ratio

     111.9 %     6.9 %     32.8 %     11.7 %

Underwriting Expense Ratio

     44.8 %     52.0 %     48.2 %     54.3 %
                                

Combined Ratio

     156.7 %     58.9 %     81.0 %     66.0 %
                                

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
3    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated GAAP Income Statements


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets* ($ Thousands)**

(Unaudited)

 

     September 30
2007
   December 31
2006

Assets

     

Investments:

     

Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,051,882 and $2,111,479)

   $ 2,069,556    $ 2,171,578

Hybrid securities, at fair value (amortized cost $147,968)

     167,363      —  

Trading securities, at fair value (cost $17,459)

     —        28,340

Common stock, at fair value (cost $931 and $931)

     1,152      1,152

Short-term investments

     233,601      93,042
             

Total Investments

     2,471,672      2,294,112

Cash and cash equivalents

     12,007      2,371

Deferred income taxes—net

     14,681      —  

Accrued interest and dividends receivable

     27,728      27,860

Premiums and other receivables

     26,535      25,760

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     171,037      153,094

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     1,569      1,184

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

     169      2,259

Prepaid federal income taxes

     14,995      14,995

Federal income tax recoverable

     10,807      409

Credit derivatives

     28,206      118,721

Other assets

     9,340      7,752
             

Total Assets

   $ 2,788,746    $ 2,648,517
             

Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

     

Liabilities

     

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 204,921    $ 173,990

Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses

     2,857      1,853

Deferred premium revenue

     706,522      659,877

Deferred federal income taxes

     —        109,849

Payable to affiliates

     2,374      5,141

Credit derivatives

     243,955      59,143

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     21,104      32,388
             

Total Liabilities

     1,181,733      1,042,241
             

Shareholder’s Equity

     

Common stock — $150 par value

     

Authorized, issued and outstanding — 100,000 shares

     15,000      15,000

Additional paid-in capital

     703,641      600,654

Retained earnings

     866,874      944,996

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     21,498      45,626
             

Total Shareholder’s Equity

     1,607,013      1,606,276
             

Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

   $ 2,788,746    $ 2,648,517
             

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Except share amounts.
  
4    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product* ($ Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended           Nine months ended       
     September 30
2007
   September 30
2006
    Percent
Change
    September 30
2007
   September 30
2006
   Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 17,748    $ 11,113     59.7 %   $ 48,656    $ 49,358    –1.4 %

Structured Finance Direct

     3,812      3,882     –1.8 %     12,075      14,452    –16.4 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     31,432      13,844     127.0 %     67,082      60,539    10.8 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     5,001      4,365     14.6 %     16,606      12,775    30.0 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     837      (332 )   –352.1 %     1,507      3,686    –59.1 %

Derivatives

     11,470      15,819     –27.5 %     30,446      45,243    –32.7 %
                                 
   $ 70,300    $ 48,691     44.4 %   $ 176,372    $ 186,053    –5.2 %
                                 

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product* ($ Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended          Nine months ended       
     September 30
2007
   September 30
2006
   Percent
Change
    September 30
2007
   September 30
2006
   Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 10,765    $ 8,227    30.8 %   $ 32,311    $ 23,381    38.2 %

Structured Finance Direct

     4,426      3,561    24.3 %     13,506      13,847    –2.5 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     11,105      12,097    –8.2 %     33,897      28,255    20.0 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     5,560      5,431    2.4 %     17,496      15,619    12.0 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     822      3,868    –78.7 %     990      16,832    –94.1 %

Derivatives

     13,921      18,634    –25.3 %     48,644      52,892    –8.0 %
                                
   $ 46,599    $ 51,818    –10.1 %   $ 146,844    $ 150,826    –2.6 %
                                

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization

and Estimated Future Installment Premiums**

As of September 30, 2007

($ Millions)

 

     Ending Net
Unearned
Premiums
   Unearned
Premium
Amortization
   Future
Installments
   Total
Premium
Earnings

2007

   $ 687.1    $ 34.0    $ 6.8    $ 40.8

2008

     620.8      66.3      78.6      144.9

2009

     564.1      56.7      73.0      129.7

2010

     513.2      50.9      58.6      109.5

2011

     465.9      47.3      56.0      103.3
                       

2007 – 2011

     465.9      255.2      273.0      528.2

2012 – 2016

     271.5      194.4      164.6      359.0

2017 – 2021

     137.3      134.2      50.4      184.6

2022 – 2026

     54.4      82.9      34.8      117.7

After 2026

     —        54.4      56.3      110.7
                       

Total

     —      $ 721.1    $ 579.1    $ 1,300.2
                       

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** This table depicts the expected amortization of the unearned premium, net of prepaid reinsurance premiums, including credit derivatives, for the existing financial guaranty portfolio, assuming no advance refundings as of September 30, 2007. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or repay financial guaranty obligations. Unearned premium amounts are net of prepaid reinsurance.
  
5    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated: Gross Premiums Written / Net Premiums Earned / Net Unearned Premium


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Loss Information*

($ Thousands)

Components of Claims Paid and Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

     Quarter ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
    September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
 

Claims Paid

        

Trade Credit

   $ 1,853     $ 4,485     $ 6,445     $ 12,301  

Financial Guaranty

     1,030       320       1,032       6,817  

Conseco Finance Corp

     2,663       3,505       8,782       12,250  
                                

Total

   $ 5,546     $ 8,310     $ 16,259     $ 31,368  
                                

Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

        

Trade Credit

   $ (1,514 )   $ (401 )   $ (5,087 )   $ 6,092  

Financial Guaranty

     53,647       3,952       53,261       12,860  

Conseco Finance Corp

     —         —         —         (1,282 )
                                

Total

   $ 52,133     $ 3,551     $ 48,174     $ 17,670  
                                

Net payments under derivative contracts

   $ 1     $ (1,136 )   $ 1     $ 64,277  
                                

Components of Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

 

     September 30
2007
   December 31
2006

Financial Guaranty

     

Case

   $ 33,509    $ 42,459

Allocated non-specific

     90,948      26,185

Unallocated non-specific

     49,310      60,431
             
     173,767      129,075
             

Trade Credit and Other

     

Case

     16,173      20,770

IBNR

     14,981      24,145
             
     31,154      44,915
             

Total

   $ 204,921    $ 173,990
             

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
6    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Selected Loss Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information*

($ Millions)

Balance Sheet Information

 

     September 30
2007
    December 31
2006

Notional value— insured portfolio

   $ 47,540.4     $ 43,728.0
              

Gross unrealized gains

   $ 28.2     $ 118.7

Gross unrealized losses

     227.8       24.3
              

Net (losses) gains

   $ (199.6 )   $ 94.4
              

Income Statement Information

 

     Quarter ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
    September 30
2007
    September 30
2006
 

Net (losses) gains on trading securities

   $ (0.2 )   $ (1.3 )   $ (0.3 )   $ 0.7  

Net (losses) gains recorded on derivatives

     (255.6 )     5.2       (263.0 )     (9.6 )
                                

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

   $ (255.8 )   $ 3.9     $ (263.3 )   $ (8.9 )
                                

Net Gains and (Losses)

 

     September 30
2007
    December 31
2006
 

Balance at January 1

   $ 94.4     $ 23.4  

Net (losses) gains recorded

     (263.0 )     7.4  

Settlements of derivatives contracts:

    

Early termination receipts

     (31.0 )     —    

Defaults

    

Recoveries

     —         (4.5 )

Payments

     —         68.1  
                

Balance at end of period

   $ (199.6 )   $ 94.4  
                

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
7    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Selected Consolidated Derivative Information


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

 

Asset Quality**

   Book Value
(09/30/2007)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

AAA

   $ 1,690.8    68.4 %   $ 1,573.2    68.5 %

AA

     396.1    16.0 %     404.4    17.6 %

A

     209.6    8.5 %     172.6    7.5 %

BBB

     169.3    6.9 %     132.4    5.8 %

BIG

     —      0.0 %     3.5    0.2 %

NR

     4.7    0.2 %     5.8    0.3 %

Other

     1.2    0.0 %     2.2    0.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,471.7    100.0 %   $ 2,294.1    100.0 %
                          

 

Asset Class

   Book Value
(09/30/2007)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

Municipal Bonds

   $ 1,716.5    69.4 %   $ 1,703.6    74.2 %

Taxable Bonds

     353.1    14.3 %     344.2    15.0 %

Convertible Bonds

     138.8    5.6 %     116.5    5.1 %

Short-Term

     233.6    9.5 %     93.0    4.1 %

Other

     29.7    1.2 %     36.8    1.6 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,471.7    100.0 %   $ 2,294.1    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Average duration of 5.9 years and 5.6 years at 09/30/2007 and 12/31/2006, respectively.
  
8    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)

Consolidated Gross Par Originated

 

     Quarter ended
     September 30, 2007    September 30, 2006
     Direct    Assumed**    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 1,320    $ 2,630    $ 3,950    $ 526    $ 2,055    $ 2,581

Structured Finance

     1,738      381      2,119      5,085      486      5,571
                                         

Total

   $ 3,058    $ 3,011    $ 6,069    $ 5,611    $ 2,541    $ 8,152
                                         
     Nine months ended
     September 30, 2007    September 30, 2006
     Direct    Assumed**    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 2,788    $ 6,831    $ 9,619    $ 1,856    $ 4,942    $ 6,798

Structured Finance

     13,064      1,080      14,144      16,996      1,298      18,294
                                         

Total

   $ 15,852    $ 7,911    $ 23,763    $ 18,852    $ 6,240    $ 25,092
                                         

Sector Breakout

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

          

General Obligations

   $ 19,060    16.9 %   $ 16,760    16.1 %

Healthcare

     10,632    9.4 %     10,198    9.8 %

Utilities

     6,389    5.7 %     6,269    6.0 %

Transportation

     6,305    5.6 %     5,426    5.2 %

Tax Backed

     5,795    5.1 %     5,269    5.1 %

Education

     4,308    3.8 %     4,095    3.9 %

Investor-Owned Utilities

     3,450    3.1 %     2,355    2.3 %

Long Term Care

     1,576    1.4 %     1,464    1.4 %

Housing

     717    0.6 %     793    0.8 %

Other Public Finance

     1,530    1.4 %     1,184    1.1 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 59,762    53.0 %   $ 53,813    51.7 %
                          
Structured Finance           

Collateralized Debt Obligations

   $ 46,773    41.5 %   $ 43,989    42.3 %

Asset Backed – Consumer

     1,334    1.2 %     1,310    1.3 %

Asset Backed – Commercial and Other

     1,244    1.1 %     1,109    1.1 %

Asset Backed – Mortgage and MBS

     1,059    0.9 %     1,023    1.0 %

Other Structured Finance

     2,594    2.3 %     2,722    2.6 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     53,004    47.0 %     50,153    48.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 112,766    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Reflects one quarter lag
  
9    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Rating Distribution**

 

Rating**

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

          

AAA

   $ 1,814    1.6 %   $ 1,371    1.3 %

AA

     18,204    16.2 %     16,436    15.8 %

A

     20,680    18.3 %     18,715    18.0 %

BBB

     17,397    15.4 %     15,808    15.2 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,617    1.4 %     1,293    1.2 %

Not Rated

     50    0.1 %     190    0.2 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 59,762    53.0 %   $ 53,813    51.7 %
                          

Structured Finance

          

AAA

   $ 47,691    42.3 %   $ 41,800    40.2 %

AA

     841    0.7 %     2,976    2.9 %

A

     1,324    1.2 %     1,481    1.5 %

BBB

     2,364    2.1 %     2,511    2.4 %

Below Investment Grade

     102    0.1 %     119    0.1 %

Not Rated

     682    0.6 %     1,266    1.2 %
                          

Subtotal Structured Finance

   $ 53,004    47.0 %   $ 50,153    48.3 %
                          

Total

          

AAA

   $ 49,505    43.9 %   $ 43,171    41.5 %

AA

     19,045    16.9 %     19,412    18.7 %

A

     22,004    19.5 %     20,196    19.5 %

BBB

     19,761    17.5 %     18,319    17.6 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,719    1.5 %     1,412    1.3 %

Not Rated

     732    0.7 %     1,456    1.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 112,766    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.
  
10    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Geographic Diversification

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Domestic public finance

          

California

   $ 7,140    6.3 %   $ 6,185    5.9 %

New York

     5,617    5.0 %     5,051    4.9 %

Texas

     4,419    3.9 %     4,158    4.0 %

Florida

     3,361    3.0 %     3,245    3.1 %

Pennsylvania

     3,248    2.9 %     2,892    2.8 %

Illinois

     3,101    2.7 %     2,881    2.8 %

Massachusetts

     2,492    2.2 %     2,238    2.2 %

New Jersey

     2,367    2.1 %     2,250    2.2 %

Washington

     1,900    1.7 %     1,775    1.7 %

Colorado

     1,730    1.5 %     1,409    1.3 %

Top ten states – domestic public finance subtotal

     35,375    31.3 %     32,084    30.9 %

Total of other states – domestic public finance

     19,702    17.5 %     18,685    17.9 %

Total domestic public finance

     55,077    48.8 %     50,769    48.8 %

Domestic structured finance

     36,833    32.7 %     37,205    35.8 %

International public and structured finance

     20,856    18.5 %     15,992    15.4 %
                          

Total

   $ 112,766    100.0 %   $ 103,966    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
11    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights* ($ Millions)

25 Largest Public Finance Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating**

New York, NY – G.O.

   $ 818    0.7 %   AA

California – G.O.

     800    0.7 %   A+

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

     604    0.5 %   AA-

Chicago, IL – G.O.

     578    0.5 %   AA

Washington – G.O.

     450    0.4 %   AA+

Massachusetts – G.O.

     417    0.4 %   AA

Los Angeles Unified School District, CA

     414    0.4 %   AA-

Massachusetts School Building Authority

     359    0.3 %   AA+

New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority

     358    0.3 %   AA-

Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY

     352    0.3 %   A

Puerto Rico – G.O.

     321    0.3 %   BBB-

New Jersey Economic Development Authority School Facilities

     307    0.3 %   AA-

Illinois – G.O.

     299    0.3 %   AA

Long Island Power Authority, NY

     296    0.3 %   A-

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

     289    0.3 %   AA-

Reliance Rail Corp.

     277    0.2 %   A-

Jefferson County, AL – Sewer Revenue

     274    0.2 %   A

District of Columbia

     258    0.2 %   A+

San Francisco International Airport, CA

     252    0.2 %   A+

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

     248    0.2 %   A

Houston Airport System, TX

     238    0.2 %   A+

Massachusetts Water Resources Authority

     237    0.2 %   AA

California Economic Recovery Bonds

     235    0.2 %   AA-

New York City Municipal Water Finance, NY

     225    0.2 %   AA+

Denver Airport System, CO

     211    0.2 %   A+
                 

Total

   $ 9,117    8.0 %  
               

Largest Structured Finance Exposures

Radian’s largest Structured Finance exposures consist of the following:

 

   

Seven $600 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA.

 

   

One $599 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA.

 

   

One $563 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA.

 

   

One $511 million transaction representing a Managed Cashflow Investment Grade Asset-Backed CDO rated AAA.

 

   

Twenty eight $450 million transactions representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDOs rated AAA.

 

   

One $450 million transaction representing a Second-to-Pay CDO rated AAA.

 

   

One $450 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities CDO rated AAA.

These 40 transactions combine to total $19.4 billion, or 17.2% of Radian’s Net Par Outstanding as of September 30, 2007.


* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.
  
12    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended September 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposure by Sector

 

Sector

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

     

General Obligations

   $ 1,077    1.0 %

Utilities

     124    0.1 %

Tax Backed

     102    0.1 %

Education

     88    0.1 %

Healthcare

     86    0.1 %

Long Term Care

     56    0.0 %

Transportation

     23    0.0 %

Housing

     22    0.0 %

Other Public Finance

     39    0.0 %
             

Subtotal Public Finance

     1,617    1.4 %
             

Structured Finance

     

Asset Backed – Consumer

     70    0.1 %

Asset Backed – Commercial and Other

     25    0.0 %

Collateralized Debt Obligations

     7    0.0 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     102    0.1 %
             

Total

   $ 1,719    1.5 %
             

10 Largest Health Care Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating**

Catholic Healthcare West

   $ 144    0.1 %   A+

Bon Secours Health System Inc

     131    0.1 %   A-

MedStar Health

     117    0.1 %   A-

Partners Healthcare System

     114    0.1 %   AA

Kaiser Permanente

     109    0.1 %   A+

Consort Healthcare Limited

     106    0.1 %   BBB-

Methodist Hospital

     105    0.1 %   AA

Group Health Cooperative

     102    0.1 %   A-

Adventist Health System

     101    0.1 %   A+

Ascension Health

     98    0.1 %   AA+
                 

Total

   $ 1,127    1.0 %  
               

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.
  
13    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

CDO Exposure

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

Direct

   $ 44,917    96.0 %   $ 42,110    95.7 %

Assumed

     1,856    4.0 %     1,879    4.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 46,773    100.0 %   $ 43,989    100.0 %
                          

Total CDO Portfolio Rating Distribution**

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

AAA

   $ 46,120    98.6 %   $ 40,448    92.0 %

AA

     302    0.6 %     2,357    5.4 %

A

     223    0.5 %     505    1.1 %

BBB

     121    0.3 %     271    0.6 %

Below Investment Grade

     7    0.0 %     8    0.0 %

Not Rated

     —      0.0 %     400    0.9 %
                          

Total

   $ 46,773    100.0 %   $ 43,989    100.0 %
                          

Direct CDO Underlying Asset Types

 

     Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
  

Percent of
Direct
CDO

Net Par

    Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2006)
  

Percent of
Direct
CDO

Net Par

 

Corporates

   $ 38,549    85.8 %   $ 36,319    86.2 %

Other

     6,368    14.2 %     5,791    13.8 %
                          

Total

   $ 44,917    100.0 %   $ 42,110    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.
  
14    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

CDO of ABS, CMBS, and Multi-sector Portfolio

Type of Collateral as a Percentage of Total Pool

 

Year Insured

   Legal
Final
Maturity
   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)
   ABS    RMBS    Subprime
RMBS
   CMBS    Investment
Grade
Corporate
   High
Yield
Corporate
   CDO
of ABS
   CDO
of
CDO
   Other    Total
Collateral
Pool
   S&P
Rating
   Moody’s
Rating
   Original AAA
Subordination
   Radian
Attachment
Point
   %
RMBS
A or
Better
   %
Subprime
A or
Better

2003

   2010    $ 100    5.3%    30.2%    24.0%    23.6%    0.0%    0.0%    12.5%    0.8%    3.6%    100.0%    BBB    N/R    7.8%    2.0%    89.2%    96.9%

2004

   2009      255    32.0%    38.8%    0.0%    0.0%    27.0%    2.2%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    Aaa    2.2%    19.5%    100%    100.0%

2005

   2010      150    25.2%    49.0%    15.8%    0.0%    8.5%    1.5%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    N/R    4.5%    13.0%    100%    100.0%

2006

   2046      511    0.0%    23.1%    42.5%    13.4%    0.0%    0.0%    13.4%    2.8%    4.8%    100.0%    AAA    Aaa    4.9%    20.0%    82.5%    96.1%

2006

   2047      450    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    N/R    2.4%    6.8%    0.0%    0.0%

2006

   2049      599    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    N/R    0.6%    5.1%    0.0%    0.0%

2006

   2056      352    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    N/R    5.5%    6.5%    0.0%    0.0%

2007

   2047      430    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    100.0%    AAA    Aaa    2.4%    7.0%    0.0%    0.0%
                                                         

Total

      $ 2,847                                                
                                                         

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
15    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Non-CDO RMBS Portfolio: Breakdown by Asset Type

 

    

Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2007)

  

% of
RMBS
Portfolio

  

Direct

  

Assumed
from AAA
Primaries

  

% 2006/2007
Vintage

  

Ratings**

                    AAA    AA    A    BBB***    BIG****

Subprime

   $581 MM

182 Policies

   57.4%    $154 MM
7 Policies
26.5%
   $427 MM
175 Policies
73.5%
   17.7% / 24.0%    26.5%    0.1%    15.0%    31.0%    27.4%

Prime

   $380 MM
104 Policies
   37.5%    $205 MM
10 Policies
53.9%
   $175 MM
94 Policies
46.1%
   19.8% / 9.0%    86.8%    7.6%    1.5%    4.1%    0.0%

Alt A

   $46 MM

7 Policies

   4.5%    $0 MM

0 Policies
0%

   $46 MM

7 Policies
100.0%

   24.1% / 23.8%    59.4%    40.6%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%

Second to Pay

   $6 MM

6 Policies

   0.6%    $0 MM

0 Policies
0%

   $6 MM

6 Policies
100.0%

   0.0% / 0.0%    100.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%    0.0%

Total RMBS

   $1,013 MM
299 Policies
   100.0%    $359 MM
17 Policies
35.4%
   $654 MM
282 Policies
64.6%
   18.7% / 18.3%    51.1%    4.7%    9.2%    19.3%    15.7%

Note: No direct RMBS have been written since 2005 and no direct Subprime RMBS have been written since 2004

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
** Ratings are based on internal ratings
*** 100% of the BBB exposure is assumed through treaties from the AAA primaries
**** All of the BIG exposure is on Radian’s Watch List and reserves have been established for these as needed
  
16    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Net Debt Service Amortization

 

    

Scheduled
Net Debt Service
Amortization

as of 09/30/2007

  

Ending

Net Debt Service
Outstanding

2007

   $ 1,822    $ 154,921

2008

     6,104      148,817

2009

     7,542      141,275

2010

     7,232      134,043

2011

     6,899      127,144

2012-2016

     52,788      74,356

2017-2021

     28,770      45,586

2022-2026

     17,356      28,230

After 2026

     28,230      —  
         

Total

   $ 156,743   
         

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 18.
  
17    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

1. The accompanying unaudited GAAP financial information includes the accounts of Radian, Radian Asset Assurance Limited, (RAAL) Radian Financial Products Limited, Van-American Insurance Agency, Inc. and Asset Recovery Solutions Group Inc.

These unaudited consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, including the Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm for Radian for the year ended December 31, 2006.

2. Prior year amounts have been restated to conform to current year presentation.

3. For the quarter ended September 30, 2007, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(255.8) million. The substantial loss resulted from the widening of credit spreads. For the nine months ended September 30, the change in fair value of derivatives was $(263.3) million and $(8.9) million for 2007 and 2006, respectively. The 2007 nine month results were also impacted by the widening of credit spreads. The 2006 nine month results include a loss of $(17.2) million from a credit that settled in March 2006.

4. The current quarter’s increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is primarily related to one financial guaranty transaction. An allocated non-specific reserve of $50 million was established for this transaction.

5. On September 7, 2007, Radian received a $100.0 million capital contribution from Radian Group. These funds are included in short-term investments.

6. On February 6, 2007, Radian Group and MGIC Investment Corporation (MGIC) entered into an Agreement and Plan of Merger pursuant to which Radian Group agreed, subject to the terms and conditions of the merger agreement, to merge with and into MGIC. On September 4, 2007, Radian Group and MGIC mutually agreed to terminate the Merger.

On September 5, 2007, following the termination of the merger of Radian Group with MGIC, Fitch downgraded the insurance financial strength rating of Radian to A+ from AA and revised its Rating Outlook to Evolving. As a result of this downgrade, one reinsurance customer had the right to recapture approximately $1.0 billion in net par outstanding insured by Radian. On September 25, 2007, this insurer waived its right to recapture this business, without additional cost to us. Radian Group believes that the Fitch downgrade is unwarranted, and on September 5, 2007, Radian Group formally requested that Fitch immediately withdraw its ratings for Radian Group and all of its entities. Radian Group informed Fitch that it would no longer be providing information to Fitch in support of its rating of Radian. On September 9, 2007, Fitch announced that it would not honor Radian Group’s request at this time in light of the current high level of investor interest in the financial guaranty industry, but that Fitch would instead monitor investor interest and make a decision with respect to Radian Group’s request at a future date based on market feedback. Fitch also acknowledged that it would withdraw its rating regardless of investor interest if it believed that it no longer had access to adequate public and non-public information to credibly maintain its rating.

  
18    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Consolidated Explanatory Notes


Safe Harbor Statement

All statements made herein that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. These forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing demand or mortgage originations, changes in housing values, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, changes or volatility in interest rates, consumer confidence, or credit spreads; future credit market disruptions—in particular, further deterioration in the housing, mortgage and related credit markets; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers; risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; the loss of a customer with whom we have a concentration of our insurance in force or the influence of large customers; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance policies; material changes in the persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies; losses associated with the aging of our mortgage insurance portfolio; ratings actions with respect to Radian Group’s credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to Radian Group’s operating subsidiaries, including Radian; heightened competition from other insurance providers, from federal and state governmental or quasi-governmental entities such as the FHA and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the charters or business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the application of federal or state consumer, lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the mortgage insurance or financial guaranty industries; vulnerability to the performance of Radian Group’s strategic investments and Radian Group’s ability to recover any or all of the amounts outstanding under its existing demand note to Credit-Based Asset Servicing and Securitization; legal and other limitations on the amount of dividends that Radian Group may receive from its insurance subsidiaries; international expansion of our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties, as well as certain additional risks that we face, investors should refer to the risk factors detailed in Part I, Item 1A of Radian Group’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2006, including the material changes to these risk factors identified in Item 1A of Part II of Radian Group’s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2007. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which this information was publicly released. We do not intend to, and disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.

  
19    Quarterly Operating Supplement for the Period Ended Sept. 30, 2007 / Safe Harbor Statement