EX-99.1 2 dex991.htm RADIAN ASSET ASSURANCE INC.-QUARTERLY OPERATING SUPPLEMENT, THIRD QUARTER 2006 Radian Asset Assurance Inc.-Quarterly Operating Supplement, Third Quarter 2006

Exhibit 99.1

LOGO

 

  Quarterly
  Operating Supplement
  Third Quarter 2006


Table of Contents

 

     Page

Introductory Note

   2

Company Profile

   2

Company Information

   2

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements

   3

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets

   4

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product

   5

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums

   5

Consolidated Selected Loss Information

   6

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information

   7

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights

   8

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights

   9

Consolidated CDO Exposure

   15

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

   16

Safe Harbor Statement

   17

 

1


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Quarterly Operating Supplement

September 30, 2006

Introductory Note

This operating supplement presents financial information for Radian Asset Assurance Inc. (Radian) and its consolidated subsidiaries on a GAAP basis. Please visit our website at www.radian.biz on or about November 17, 2006 for selected statutory information.

Company Profile

Radian, founded in 1985 and rated AA by Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies (S&P), and Fitch Ratings and Aa3 by Moody’s Investor Service (Moody’s), is a leading financial guarantor of structured finance and public finance transactions. As a direct writer of financial guaranty insurance for municipal bonds, asset-backed securities and structured transactions, Radian plays an important role in extending the benefits of insurance to a broad range of institutions and securities issuers. Radian is also a leading provider of reinsurance to the major monoline financial guarantors. In addition, Radian provides Trade Credit reinsurance, which was placed in runoff in 2005.

Radian is a subsidiary of Radian Group Inc. (NYSE: RDN), a global credit risk management company headquartered in Philadelphia with significant operations in both New York and London.

 

Company Information   
Radian Asset Assurance Inc.    Contact:
335 Madison Avenue    John C. DeLuca
New York, New York 10017    Senior Vice President, Public Finance - Marketing
1 877 337.4925 (within the U.S.)    1 212 984.9222
1 212 983.3100    john.deluca@radian.biz
www.radian.biz   

 

2


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Income Statements* ($ Thousands)

(Unaudited)

 

     Quarter ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
    September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
 

Revenues

        

Gross premiums written

   $ 48,691     $ 78,091     $ 186,053     $ 155,241  

Ceded premiums written

     (123 )     (227 )     (2,437 )     (3,057 )
                                

Net premiums written

     48,568       77,864       183,616       152,184  

Decrease (increase) in deferred premium revenue

     3,250       (22,509 )     (32,790 )     2,740  
                                

Premiums earned

     51,818       55,355       150,826       154,924  

Net investment income

     23,793       22,289       68,130       65,194  

Gain on sale of investments

     79       3,036       1,548       8,152  

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

     3,919       41,628       (8,861 )     39,376  
                                

Total revenues

     79,609       122,308       211,643       267,646  
                                

Expenses

        

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,551       10,454       17,670       25,370  

Policy acquisition costs

     11,023       13,030       35,943       39,187  

Other operating expenses

     15,924       18,085       45,943       46,991  

Other expense

     3,464       3,935       10,922       10,004  
                                

Total expenses

     33,962       45,504       110,478       121,552  
                                

Income before income taxes

     45,647       76,804       101,165       146,094  

Income tax expense

     9,283       23,067       19,445       36,019  
                                

Net income

   $ 36,364     $ 53,737     $ 81,720     $ 110,075  
                                

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.

 

3


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated GAAP Balance Sheets* ($ Thousands)**

(Unaudited)

 

     September 30
2006
   December 31
2005

Assets

     

Investments:

     

Fixed maturities, available for sale, at fair value (amortized cost $2,066,770 and $1,934,133)

   $ 2,125,934    $ 1,987,565

Trading securities, at fair value (cost $16,503 and $17,318)

     23,198      23,264

Common stock, at fair value (cost $931 and $931)

     1,164      1,164

Short-term investments

     91,863      101,691
             

Total Investments

     2,242,159      2,113,684

Cash and cash equivalents

     2,061      5,925

Accrued interest and dividends receivable

     25,687      26,372

Premiums and other receivables

     21,427      39,824

Deferred policy acquisition costs

     147,474      140,658

Prepaid reinsurance premiums

     1,800      1,546

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses

     2,685      2,699

Prepaid federal income taxes

     14,995      14,995

Federal income tax recoverable

     —        3,163

Credit derivatives

     78,051      23,385

Other assets

     7,017      10,954
             

Total Assets

   $ 2,543,356    $ 2,383,205
             

Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

     

Liabilities

     

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

   $ 174,297    $ 186,425

Reinsurance payable on paid losses and loss adjustment expenses

     3,128      6,142

Deferred premium revenue

     667,785      634,424

Federal income taxes payable

     7,172      —  

Deferred federal income taxes

     97,310      66,231

Payable to affiliates

     5,849      8,065

Accrued expenses and other liabilities

     29,986      21,439
             

Total Liabilities

     985,527      922,726
             

Shareholder’s Equity

     

Common stock — $150 par value

     

Authorized, issued and outstanding — 100,000 shares

     15,000      15,000

Additional paid-in capital

     599,601      590,579

Retained earnings

     899,427      817,708

Accumulated other comprehensive income

     43,801      37,192
             

Total Shareholder’s Equity

     1,557,829      1,460,479
             

Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity

   $ 2,543,356    $ 2,383,205
             

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Except share amounts.

 

4


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Gross Premiums Written by Product* ($ Thousands)

 

     Quarter ended          Nine months ended        
     September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
   Percent
Change
    September 30
2006
   September 30
2005
    Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 11,190     $ 22,540    –50.4 %   $ 49,595    $ 51,286     –3.3 %

Structured Finance Direct

     19,575       19,948    –1.9 %     59,314      52,608     12.7 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     13,844       23,374    –40.8 %     60,539      61,354     –1.3 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     4,414       3,092    42.8 %     12,919      16,355     –21.0 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     (332 )     9,137    –103.6 %     3,686      28,380     –87.0 %
                                  
     48,691       78,091    –37.6 %     186,053      209,983     –11.4 %

Impact of Recapture

     —         —      —         —        (54,742 )   100.0 %
                                  
   $ 48,691     $ 78,091    –37.6 %   $ 186,053    $ 155,241     19.8 %
                                  

Consolidated Net Premiums Earned by Product* ($ Thousands)

    
     Quarter ended          Nine months ended        
     September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
   Percent
Change
    September 30
2006
   September 30
2005
    Percent
Change
 

Public Finance Direct

   $ 8,388     $ 7,651    9.6 %   $ 23,681    $ 24,667     –4.0 %

Structured Finance Direct

     22,727       20,108    13.0 %     66,987      57,098     17.3 %

Public Finance Reinsurance

     12,097       10,058    20.3 %     28,255      25,661     10.1 %

Structured Finance Reinsurance

     5,479       4,544    20.6 %     15,762      15,563     1.3 %

Trade Credit Reinsurance

     3,127       12,994    –75.9 %     16,141      36,474     –55.7 %
                                  
     51,818       55,355    –6.4 %     150,826      159,463     –5.4 %

Impact of Recapture

     —         —      —         —        (4,539 )   100.0 %
                                  
   $ 51,818     $ 55,355    –6.4 %   $ 150,826    $ 154,924     –2.6 %
                                  

Consolidated Net Unearned Premium Amortization and Estimated Future Installment Premiums**

As of September 30, 2006

($ Millions)

 

     Ending Net
Unearned
Premiums
   Unearned
Premium
Amortization
   Future
Installments
   Total
Premium
Earnings

2006

   $ 629.6    $ 36.4    $ 8.6    $ 45.0

2007

     558.0      71.6      78.3      149.9

2008

     499.0      59.0      62.8      121.8

2009

     450.8      48.2      54.1      102.3

2010

     409.4      41.4      41.8      83.2
                       

2006 – 2010

     409.4      256.6      245.6      502.2

2011 – 2015

     239.6      169.8      102.9      272.7

2016 – 2020

     121.7      117.9      30.7      148.6

2021 – 2025

     48.4      73.3      19.1      92.4

After 2025

     —        48.4      25.3      73.7
                           

Total

     —      $ 666.0    $ 423.6    $ 1,089.6
                       

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** This table depicts the expected amortization of the unearned premium for the existing financial guaranty portfolio, assuming no advance refundings as of September 30, 2006. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers have the right to call or repay financial guaranty obligations. Unearned premium amounts are net of prepaid reinsurance.

 

5


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Loss Information*

($ Thousands)

Components of Claims Paid and Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

     Quarter ended     Nine months ended  
     September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
    September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
 

Claims Paid

        

Trade Credit

   $ 4,485     $ 3,454     $ 12,301     $ 13,101  

Financial Guaranty

     320       (201 )     6,817       11,284  

Conseco Finance Corp

     3,505       7,443       12,250       23,393  
                                

Total

   $ 8,310     $ 10,696     $ 31,368     $ 47,778  
                                

Incurred Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

        

Trade Credit

   $ (401 )   $ 6,684     $ 6,092     $ 13,738  

Financial Guaranty

     3,952       3,770       12,860       11,632  

Conseco Finance Corp

     —         —         (1,282 )     —    
                                

Total

   $ 3,551     $ 10,454     $ 17,670     $ 25,370  
                                

Net (recoveries) payments under derivative contracts

   $ (1,136 )   $ (1,799 )   $ 64,277     $ (6,175 )
                                

Components of Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves

 

     September 30
2006
   December 31
2005

Financial Guaranty

     

Case

   $ 44,207    $ 53,928

Allocated non-specific

     23,485      27,750

Unallocated non-specific

     61,062      54,878
             
     128,754      136,556
             

Trade Credit and Other

     

Case

     20,620      19,051

IBNR

     24,923      30,818
             
     45,543      49,869
             

Total

   $ 174,297    $ 186,425
             

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.

 

6


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Selected Derivative Information*

($ Millions)

Balance Sheet Information

 

     September 30
2006
   December 31
2005

Notional value

   $ 38,154.1    $ 22,724.8
             

Gross unrealized gains

   $ 114.3    $ 95.5

Gross unrealized losses

     36.2      72.1
             

Net gains

   $ 78.1    $ 23.4
             

Income Statement Information

 

     Quarter ended    Nine months ended
     September 30
2006
    September 30
2005
   September 30
2006
    September 30
2005

(Losses) gains on trading securities

   $ (1.3 )   $ 3.3    $ 0.7     $ 1.0

Net unrealized gains (losses) recorded on derivatives

     5.2       38.4      (9.6 )     38.4
                             

Change in fair value of derivative instruments

   $ 3.9     $ 41.7    $ (8.9 )   $ 39.4
                             

Net Unrealized Gains and (Losses)

 

     September 30
2006
    December 31
2005
 

Balance at January 1

   $ 23.4     $ 25.3  

Net unrealized (losses) gains recorded

     (9.6 )     5.7  

Settlements of derivatives contracts:

    

Defaults

    

Recoveries

     (3.8 )     (7.7 )

Payments

     68.1       0.1  

Early termination receipts

     —         —    
                

Balance at end of period

   $ 78.1     $ 23.4  
                

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.

 

7


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Investment Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

 

Asset Quality**

   Book Value
(09/30/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2005)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

AAA

   $ 1,504.5    67.0 %   $ 1,422.0    67.3 %

AA

     414.8    18.5 %     397.0    18.8 %

A

     175.7    7.8 %     169.9    8.0 %

BBB

     136.4    6.1 %     116.8    5.5 %

BIG

     3.5    0.2 %     —      0.0 %

NR

     6.1    0.3 %     6.5    0.3 %

Other

     1.2    0.1 %     1.5    0.1 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,242.2    100.0 %   $ 2,113.7    100.0 %
                          

Asset Class

   Book Value
(09/30/2006)
   Percent of
Book Value
    Book Value
(12/31/2005)
   Percent of
Book Value
 

Municipal Bonds

   $ 1,668.3    74.4 %   $ 1,537.0    72.7 %

Taxable Bonds

     337.8    15.1 %     366.3    17.3 %

Convertible Bonds

     113.1    5.0 %     107.5    5.1 %

Short-Term

     91.3    4.1 %     70.5    3.4 %

Other

     31.7    1.4 %     32.4    1.5 %
                          

Total

   $ 2,242.2    100.0 %   $ 2,113.7    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Average duration of 5.8 years at 09/30/2006 and 12/31/2005.

 

8


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Consolidated Gross Par Originated

 

     Quarter ended
     September 30 2006    September 30 2005
     Direct    Assumed**    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 526    $ 2,057    $ 2,583    $ 830    $ 2,555    $ 3,385

Structured Finance

     5,085      534      5,619      5,162      193      5,355
                                         

Total

   $ 5,611    $ 2,591    $ 8,202    $ 5,992    $ 2,748    $ 8,740
                                         
     Nine months ended
     September 30 2006    September 30 2005
     Direct    Assumed**    Total    Direct    Assumed**    Total

Public Finance

   $ 1,856    $ 4,942    $ 6,798    $ 1,769    $ 4,570    $ 6,339

Structured Finance

     16,996      1,298      18,294      8,875      1,162      10,037
                                         

Total

   $ 18,852    $ 6,240    $ 25,092    $ 10,644    $ 5,732    $ 16,376
                                         

Sector Breakout

 

Public Finance

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

General Obligations

   $ 16,163    16.8 %   $ 15,160    19.8 %

Healthcare

     10,144    10.5 %     8,727    11.4 %

Utilities

     5,962    6.2 %     5,686    7.4 %

Transportation

     5,140    5.4 %     4,739    6.2 %

Tax Backed

     4,948    5.2 %     4,540    5.9 %

Education

     3,913    4.1 %     3,513    4.6 %

Investor-Owned Utilities

     2,459    2.6 %     1,690    2.2 %

Long Term Care

     1,482    1.5 %     1,292    1.7 %

Housing

     734    0.8 %     618    0.8 %

Second-To-Pay Municipal Wrap

     20    0.0 %     427    0.6 %

Other Public Finance

     783    0.8 %     851    1.1 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 51,748    53.9 %   $ 47,243    61.7 %
                          

Structured Finance

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Collateralized Debt Obligations

   $ 37,883    39.5 %   $ 22,736    29.7 %

Asset Backed - Consumer

     2,045    2.1 %     1,714    2.2 %

Asset Backed - Commercial and Other

     1,550    1.6 %     1,784    2.3 %

Asset Backed - Mortgage and MBS

     1,127    1.2 %     1,287    1.7 %

Other Structured Finance

     1,626    1.7 %     1,810    2.4 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     44,231    46.1 %     29,331    38.3 %
                          

Total

   $ 95,979    100.0 %   $ 76,574    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Reflects one quarter lag

 

9


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Rating Distribution**

 

Rating**

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

          

AAA

   $ 1,578    1.6 %   $ 1,380    1.8 %

AA

     15,725    16.4 %     13,664    17.8 %

A

     18,001    18.8 %     18,036    23.6 %

BBB

     14,991    15.6 %     12,922    16.9 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,150    1.2 %     902    1.2 %

Not Rated

     303    0.3 %     339    0.4 %
                          

Subtotal Public Finance

   $ 51,748    53.9 %   $ 47,243    61.7 %
                          

Structured Finance

          

AAA

   $ 36,100    37.7 %   $ 21,155    27.6 %

AA

     2,407    2.5 %     2,727    3.6 %

A

     1,483    1.5 %     1,288    1.7 %

BBB

     2,674    2.8 %     3,012    3.9 %

Below Investment Grade

     186    0.2 %     552    0.7 %

Not Rated

     1,381    1.4 %     597    0.8 %
                          

Subtotal Structured Finance

   $ 44,231    46.1 %   $ 29,331    38.3 %
                          

Total

          

AAA

   $ 37,678    39.3 %   $ 22,535    29.4 %

AA

     18,132    18.9 %     16,391    21.4 %

A

     19,484    20.3 %     19,324    25.3 %

BBB

     17,665    18.4 %     15,934    20.8 %

Below Investment Grade

     1,336    1.4 %     1,454    1.9 %

Not Rated

     1,684    1.7 %     936    1.2 %
                          

Total

   $ 95,979    100.0 %   $ 76,574    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

10


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Geographic Diversification

 

State

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Domestic public finance

          

California

   $ 5,854    6.1 %   $ 5,182    6.8 %

New York

     5,048    5.3 %     4,835    6.3 %

Texas

     3,887    4.0 %     3,625    4.7 %

Florida

     2,926    3.0 %     2,681    3.5 %

Pennsylvania

     2,898    3.0 %     2,907    3.8 %

Illinois

     2,874    3.0 %     2,654    3.5 %

Massachusetts

     2,254    2.3 %     2,178    2.8 %

New Jersey

     2,236    2.3 %     1,994    2.6 %

Washington

     1,542    1.6 %     1,549    2.0 %

Colorado

     1,349    1.4 %     1,165    1.5 %

Top ten states – domestic public finance subtotal

     30,868    32.0 %     28,770    37.5 %

Total of other states – domestic public finance

     18,008    18.8 %     16,960    22.2 %

Total domestic public finance

     48,876    50.8 %     45,730    59.7 %

Domestic structured finance

     34,448    36.0 %     24,595    32.1 %

International public and structured finance

     12,655    13.2 %     6,249    8.2 %
                          

Total

   $ 95,979    100.0 %   $ 76,574    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.

 

11


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

25 Largest Public Finance Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating **

New York, NY - G.O.

   $ 747    0.8 %   AA-

Port Authority of New York & New Jersey

     553    0.6 %   AA-

Chicago, IL - G.O.

     464    0.5 %   AA-

California - G.O.

     439    0.5 %   A+

Massachusetts - G.O.

     334    0.3 %   AAA

Metropolitan Transportation Authority, NY

     319    0.3 %   A

New Jersey Economic Development Authority School Facilities

     314    0.3 %   AA-

New York City Municipal Water Finance, NY

     309    0.3 %   AA+

New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority

     295    0.3 %   AA-

Long Island Power Authority, NY

     283    0.3 %   A-

Illinois Toll Highway Authority

     276    0.3 %   AA-

Jefferson County, AL - Sewer Revenue

     273    0.3 %   A

Illinois - G.O.

     262    0.3 %   AA

Massachusetts School Building Authority

     257    0.3 %   AA

Washington - G.O.

     252    0.3 %   Aa1

New Jersey Turnpike Authority

     249    0.3 %   A

Los Angeles Unified School District, CA

     247    0.3 %   AA-

Houston Airport System, TX

     244    0.3 %   A

California Economic Recovery Bonds

     235    0.2 %   AA-

New York State Thruway Authority

     231    0.2 %   AA-

Puerto Rico Highway & Transporation Authority

     228    0.2 %   BBB+

Puerto Rico - G.O.

     222    0.2 %   BBB

San Francisco International Airport, CA

     209    0.2 %   A1

Dallas Fort Worth International Airport, TX

     206    0.2 %   A+

Massachusetts Water Resources Authority

     193    0.2 %   Aa2
               

Total

   $ 7,641    8.0 %  
               

Largest Structured Finance Exposures

Radian’s largest Structured Finance exposures consist of the following:

 

    One $600 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA.

 

    One $520 million transaction representing a Managed Synthetic Investment Grade Asset-Backed CDO rated AAA.

 

    Nineteen transactions ($450 million each) representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO’s rated AAA.

 

    One $450 million transaction representing a Second-to-Pay CDO rated AAA.

 

    Two transactions ($446.4 million each) representing Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO’s rated AAA.

 

    One $442 million transaction representing a Static Synthetic Investment Grade Corporate CDO rated AAA.

These 25 transactions combine to total $11.45 billion, or 11.9% of Radian’s Net Par Outstanding as of September 30, 2006.

 


* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

12


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Below Investment Grade Exposure by Sector

 

Sector

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
 

Public Finance

     

General Obligations

   $ 699    0.7 %

Tax Backed

     95    0.1 %

Healthcare

     91    0.1 %

Education

     81    0.1 %

Long Term Care

     57    0.1 %

Utilities

     57    0.1 %

Housing

     23    0.0 %

Transportation

     3    0.0 %

Other Public Finance

     43    0.0 %
             

Subtotal Public Finance

     1,149    1.2 %
             

Structured Finance

     

Asset Backed - Consumer

     108    0.1 %

Collateralized Debt Obligations

     69    0.1 %

Asset Backed - Commercial and Other

     10    0.0 %

Subtotal Structured Finance

     187    0.2 %
             

Total

   $ 1,336    1.4 %
             

10 Largest Health Care Exposures

 

Obligor

   Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent
of total
Net Par
    Rating **

Bon Secours Health System Inc

   $ 123    0.1 %   A-

Medlantic Helix Parent

     119    0.1 %   Baa1

Kaiser Permanente

     109    0.1 %   A+

Capital Hospitals PLC

     106    0.1 %   BBB-

Methodist Hospital

     105    0.1 %   AA

Adventist Health System

     104    0.1 %   A+

Consort Healthcare Limited

     100    0.1 %   BBB-

Ascension Health

     98    0.1 %   AA

Catholic Healthcare West

     97    0.1 %   A-

Sutter Health

     86    0.1 %   AA-
               

Total

   $ 1,047    1.0 %  
               

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

13


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Insured Portfolio Highlights*

($ Millions)

Net Debt Service Amortization

 

     Scheduled
Net Debt Service
Amortization as
of 09/30/2006
   Ending
Net Debt Service
Outstanding

2006

   $ 1,749    $ 131,395

2007

     7,883      123,512

2008

     6,587      116,925

2009

     8,704      108,221

2010

     9,239      98,982

2011-2015

     42,659      56,323

2016-2020

     20,072      36,251

2021-2025

     15,191      21,060

After 2025

     21,060      —  
         

Total

   $ 133,144   
         

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.

 

14


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated CDO Exposure* ($ Millions)

Total CDO Exposure

 

     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

Direct

   $ 36,764    97.0 %   $ 21,442    94.3 %

Assumed

     1,119    3.0 %     1,294    5.7 %
                          

Total

   $ 37,883    100.0 %   $ 22,736    100.0 %
                          

Total CDO Portfolio Rating Distribution**

          
     Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
    Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent of
Total CDO
Net Par
 

AAA

   $ 33,905    89.5 %   $ 18,267    80.3 %

AA

     2,263    6.0 %     2,470    10.9 %

A

     502    1.3 %     604    2.7 %

BBB

     555    1.5 %     982    4.3 %

Below Investment Grade

     69    0.2 %     413    1.8 %

Not Rated

     589    1.5 %     —      0.0 %
                          

Total

   $ 37,883    100.0 %   $ 22,736    100.0 %
                          

Direct CDO Underlying Asset Types

          
     Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(09/30/2006)
   Percent of
Direct CDO
Net Par
    Direct CDO
Net Par
Outstanding
(12/31/2005)
   Percent of
Direct CDO
Net Par
 

Corporates

   $ 34,847    94.8 %   $ 20,019    93.4 %

Other

     1,917    5.2 %     1,423    6.6 %
                          

Total

   $ 36,764    100.0 %   $ 21,442    100.0 %
                          

* See Consolidated Explanatory Notes on page 16.
** Indicated ratings category reflects the highest rating assigned to the underlying obligation from the three rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s and Fitch), or, if no such rating has been assigned, Radian’s rating estimate of the obligation utilizing rating agency models and methodologies to the extent available. Radian’s rating estimates are subject to revision at any time and may differ from the credit ratings ultimately assigned by the three rating agencies.

 

15


Radian Asset Assurance Inc.

Consolidated Explanatory Notes

1. The accompanying unaudited GAAP financial information includes the accounts of Radian, Radian Asset Assurance Limited, Radian Financial Products Limited, Van-American Companies, Inc. and Asset Recovery Solutions.

These unaudited consolidated financial statements do not include all of the information and disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. These financial statements should be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, including the Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm for Radian for the year ended December 31, 2005, as filed in accordance with 15c2-12 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

2. In May 2004, Moody’s provided Radian with an initial insurance financial strength rating of Aa3. Prior to the merger of Radian Reinsurance Inc. (Radian Reinsurance) with and into Radian, Moody’s downgraded the insurance financial strength rating of Radian Reinsurance from Aa2 to Aa3. As a result of this downgrade, two of the primary insurer customers had the right to recapture previously written business ceded to Radian Reinsurance. One of these customers agreed, without cost to or concessions by Radian, to waive its recapture rights. Effective February 28, 2005, the remaining primary insurer customer with recapture rights recaptured approximately $7.4 billion of par in-force that it had ceded to Radian Reinsurance, including $54.7 million of premiums written through the recapture date, $4.5 million of which already had been treated as earned under GAAP and was required to be recorded as an immediate reduction of earned premium at the time of recapture. Also, in connection with the recapture in the first quarter of 2005, Radian was reimbursed for policy acquisition costs of approximately $17.1 million for which the carrying value under GAAP was $18.8 million. This required Radian to write-off policy acquisition costs of $1.7 million. The aggregate result of the recapture was a reduction in pre-tax income of $6.2 million. In March 2005, without cost to or concessions by Radian, this customer waived its remaining right to recapture an additional $5.2 billion of par in force that it had ceded to Radian through December 31, 2004.

3. During June, 2006 Standard & Poor’s affirmed the AA insurance financial strength rating of Radian, and revised upward its outlook to stable.

4. For the quarter ended September 30, 2006, the change in fair value of derivatives was $3.9 million as compared to $41.6 million for the same period in 2005. The period over period decrease is primarily due to the tightening of credit spreads in the 2005 period. The results for the year to date period of 2006 included a loss of $17.2 million on a credit that was settled in March 2006. The year to date 2005 gain was due to the tightening of credit spreads mainly in the third quarter.

5. At September 30, 2006, the mark to market on credit derivatives was $78.1 million compared to a mark to market of $23.4 million at December 31, 2005. The increase in the mark was primarily due to Radian paying $68.0 million to a counterparty in March 2006 in consideration for the termination of one credit.

 

16


Safe Harbor Statement

All statements made in this document that address events or developments that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are made on the basis of management’s current views and assumptions with respect to future events. The forward-looking statements, as well as our prospects as a whole, are subject to risks and uncertainties, including the following: changes in general financial and political conditions such as extended national or regional economic recessions (or expansions), changes in housing values, population trends and changes in household formation patterns, changes in unemployment rates, or changes or volatility in interest rates; changes in investor perception of the strength of private mortgage insurers or financial guaranty providers, and risks faced by the businesses, municipalities or pools of assets covered by our insurance; the loss of a customer with whom we have a concentration of our insurance in force; increased severity or frequency of losses associated with certain of our products that are riskier than traditional mortgage insurance and municipal guaranty insurance policies; material changes in persistency rates of our mortgage insurance policies; downgrades of, or other ratings actions with respect to, our credit ratings or the insurance financial-strength ratings assigned by the major ratings agencies to our operating subsidiaries; heightened competition from other insurance providers and from alternative products to private mortgage insurance and financial guaranty insurance; changes in the charters or business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; the application of federal or state consumers lending, insurance and other applicable laws and regulations, or unfavorable changes in these laws and regulations or the way they are interpreted including legislative and regulatory changes affecting demand for private mortgage insurance or financial guaranty insurance; the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in connection with establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance or financial guaranty businesses or to estimate accurately the fair value amounts of derivative financial guaranty contracts in determining gains and losses on these contracts; changes in accounting guidance from the SEC or the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding income recognition and the treatment of loss reserves in the mortgage insurance or financial guaranty industries; changes in claims against mortgage insurance products resulting from the aging of our mortgage insurance policies; vulnerability to the performance of our strategic investments; changes in the availability of affordable or adequate reinsurance for our non-prime risk; international expansion of our mortgage insurance and financial guaranty businesses into new markets and risks associated with our international business activities. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks faced by us, please refer to the risk factors detailed in Item 1A of Part I of Radian Group Inc.’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2005 and the material changes to these risks set forth in Item 1A of Part II of Radian Group Inc.’s quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2006. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date on which this information was publicly released. We do not intend to, and disclaim any duty or obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements made in this document to reflect new information, future events or for any other reason.

 

17