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Note 13 - Statutory Information (Notes)
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2013
Statutory Information [Abstract]  
Statutory Information [Text Block]
Statutory Information
Under state insurance regulations, Radian Guaranty is required to maintain minimum surplus levels and, in certain states, a minimum amount of statutory capital relative to the level of net RIF, or “risk-to-capital” as described below. Sixteen states (the “RBC States”) currently impose a statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirement (the “Statutory RBC Requirement”). The most common Statutory RBC Requirement is that a mortgage insurer’s risk-to-capital ratio not exceed 25 to 1. In some of the RBC States, the Statutory RBC Requirement is that a mortgage insurer must maintain a minimum policyholder position, which is based on both risk and surplus levels (the “MPP Requirement”). Unless an RBC State grants a waiver or other form of relief, if a mortgage insurer is not in compliance with the Statutory RBC Requirement of such RBC State, it may be prohibited from writing new mortgage insurance business in that state. Radian Guaranty’s domiciliary state, Pennsylvania, is not one of the RBC States. During the three months ended March 31, 2013, the RBC States accounted for approximately 55.0% of Radian Guaranty’s total primary NIW.
We actively manage Radian Guaranty’s statutory capital position in various ways, including: (1) through internal and external reinsurance arrangements; (2) by seeking opportunities to reduce our risk exposure through commutations or other negotiated transactions; (3) by contributing additional capital from Radian Group to our mortgage insurance subsidiaries; and (4) by realizing gains in our investment portfolio through open market sales of securities. Radian Group had unrestricted cash and liquid investments of $886.4 million as of March 31, 2013. We expect to use a portion of our remaining available liquidity to further support Radian Guaranty’s capital position. In addition, while our other mortgage insurance subsidiaries are not subject to Statutory RBC Requirements, these subsidiaries, which provide reinsurance to Radian Guaranty but do not write direct business of their own, are subject to certain minimum capital and statutory surplus requirements. All of these subsidiaries were in compliance with their respective capital and statutory surplus requirements as of March 31, 2013. Some of these subsidiaries may require additional capital contributions in the future to maintain minimum capital levels in order for Radian Guaranty to continue to receive appropriate statutory credit and thus continue to utilize reinsurance arrangements with these subsidiaries.
Radian Guaranty’s statutory net loss and statutory policyholders’ surplus as of or for the periods indicated were as follows:
(In millions)
As of and for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2013
 
As of and for the Year Ended December 31, 2012
Statutory net loss
$
(1.8
)
 
$
(175.9
)
Statutory surplus
1,098.3

 
926.0

Contingency reserve
7.4

 

The components of Radian Guaranty’s risk-to-capital calculation appear in the table below. For purposes of the risk-to-capital requirements imposed by certain states, statutory capital is defined as the sum of statutory policyholders’ surplus (i.e., statutory-basis capital and surplus) plus statutory contingency reserves.
 
March 31,
2013
 
December 31, 2012
($ in millions)
 
 
 
RIF, net (1)
$
20,537.1

 
$
19,226.7

 
 
 
 
Statutory surplus
$
1,098.3

 
$
926.0

Statutory contingency reserve
7.4

 

Statutory capital
$
1,105.7

 
$
926.0

 
 
 
 
Risk-to-capital
18.6
:1
 
20.8
:1
______________________
(1)
RIF, net excludes risk ceded through reinsurance contracts and RIF on defaulted loans.
We intend to maintain Radian Guaranty’s risk-to-capital ratio at 20 to 1 or below for the foreseeable future, including, if necessary, by making contributions to Radian Guaranty from Radian Group’s available liquidity. Radian Guaranty had not exceeded the Statutory RBC Requirement or MPP Requirement in any RBC State as of March 31, 2013.
The improvement in Radian Guaranty’s risk-to-capital ratio in the first three months of 2013 was primarily due to a capital contribution from Radian Group to Radian Guaranty of $115 million, the release of contingency reserves at Radian Asset Assurance, and the impact of the quota share reinsurance transactions entered into in 2012. This benefit was partially offset by an increase in net RIF at Radian Guaranty.
Radian Asset Assurance is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Radian Guaranty. If our financial guaranty portfolio performs worse than anticipated, including if we are required to establish (or increase) one or more statutory reserves on defaulted obligations that we insure, or if we make net commutation payments to terminate insured financial guaranty obligations in excess of the then established statutory reserves for such obligations, the statutory capital of Radian Guaranty would also be negatively impacted. We establish statutory financial guaranty reserves at the time of default, whereas for GAAP reporting purposes, loss reserves are established when estimated losses exceed unearned premiums, regardless of whether a default has occurred. Any decrease in the statutory policyholders’ surplus in our financial guaranty business would have a direct negative impact on Radian Guaranty’s capital position and may affect its ability to remain in compliance with the Statutory RBC Requirements.
As of March 31, 2013, Radian Asset Assurance maintained claims paying resources of $1.7 billion (which included statutory policyholders’ surplus, contingency reserves, unearned premium reserves, the present value of installment premiums and loss and LAE reserves). As of March 31, 2013, the statutory policyholders’ surplus of Radian Asset Assurance was approximately $1.2 billion. In July 2012, Radian Asset Assurance paid an ordinary dividend of $54 million to Radian Guaranty. We expect that Radian Asset Assurance will have the capacity to pay another ordinary dividend of approximately $37 million to Radian Guaranty in July 2013.
Due to current expectations with respect to the credit performance of the Terminated TruPs Bonds, we have established an associated salvage recovery for statutory accounting purposes, which as of March 31, 2013, was approximately $76.8 million and is included in Radian Asset Assurance’s and Radian Guaranty’s statutory policyholders’ surplus as of March 31, 2013. Although Radian Asset Assurance has no further obligation for claims related to the Terminated TruPs CDOs, the amount of salvage recovery remains at risk and the actual amount of salvage that we ultimately recover will depend on the future performance of the Terminated TruPs Bonds, including, in the case of four of the Terminated TruPs CDOs, the risk that an event of default occurs and is continuing after 2016 or 2017, as applicable. If such event of default were to occur, it would result in a loss for such Terminated TruPs CDOs that would be determined based on the difference between the par value and the market value thereof. If the LPV is required to make payments to the Counterparty pursuant to the terms of the Residual CDS, Radian Asset Assurance’s projected and actual salvage recovery from the LPV may be materially reduced or eliminated.
We and our insurance subsidiaries are subject to comprehensive, detailed regulation that is principally designed for the protection of our insured policyholders rather than for the benefit of investors, by the insurance departments in the various states where our insurance subsidiaries are licensed to transact business. Insurance laws vary from state to state, but generally grant broad supervisory powers to state agencies or officials to examine insurance companies and enforce rules or exercise discretion affecting almost every significant aspect of the insurance business, including the power to revoke or restrict an insurance company’s ability to write new business.
The GSEs and state insurance regulators impose various capital requirements on our insurance subsidiaries. These include risk-to-capital ratios, risk-based capital measures and surplus requirements that potentially limit the amount of insurance that each of our insurance subsidiaries may write. The GSEs and our state insurance regulators also possess significant discretion with respect to our insurance subsidiaries. If Radian Guaranty’s regulatory risk-based capital position fails to comply with applicable state statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirements, including if waivers or similar relief from the states that impose such statutory or regulatory risk-based capital requirements are not obtained or renewed or are revoked: (i) insurance regulators or the GSEs may limit or cause Radian Guaranty to cease writing new mortgage insurance; (ii) the GSEs may terminate or otherwise restrict Radian Guaranty’s eligibility to insure loans purchased by the GSEs; (iii) Radian Guaranty’s customers may decide not to insure loans with Radian Guaranty or may otherwise limit the type or amount of business done with Radian Guaranty; and (iv) state or federal regulators could pursue regulatory actions or proceedings, including possible supervision or receivership actions, against us in the future. Our failure to maintain adequate levels of capital could also lead to intervention by the various insurance regulatory authorities, which could materially and adversely affect our business, business prospects and financial condition. As of March 31, 2013, the amount of restricted net assets held by our consolidated subsidiaries (which represents our equity investment in those insurance subsidiaries) totaled $1.2 billion of our consolidated net assets.