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Note 5 - Fair Value of Financial Instruments Level 3 (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2011
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Impact of Non-Performance Risk Fair Value Disclosure [Table Text Block]
The following table quantifies the impact of our non-performance risk on our derivative assets and liabilities (in aggregate by type, excluding assumed financial guaranty derivatives) and VIE liabilities presented in our consolidated balance sheets. Radian Group's five-year CDS spread is presented as an illustration of the market's view of our non-performance risk; the CDS spread actually used in the valuation of specific fair value liabilities is typically based on the remaining term of the instrument.
(In basis points)
December 31,
2011
 
December 31,
2010
 
December 31,
2009
 
December 31,
2008
Radian Group's five-year CDS spread
2,732

 
465

 
1,530

 
2,466

 
(In millions)
Fair Value Liability
before Consideration
of Radian Non-Performance Risk
December 31, 2011

 
Impact of Radian
Non-Performance Risk December 31, 2011

 
Fair Value Liability
Recorded
December 31, 2011

Product
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate CDOs
$
463.1

 
$
458.0

 
$
5.1

Non-Corporate CDO-related (1)
1,520.2

 
1,405.3

 
114.9

NIMS-related (2)
17.4

 
9.6

 
7.8

Total
$
2,000.7

 
$
1,872.9

 
$
127.8

 
(In millions)
Fair Value Liability
before Consideration
of Radian Non-Performance Risk
December 31, 2010

 
Impact of Radian
Non-Performance Risk
December 31, 2010

 
Fair Value Liability
Recorded
December 31, 2010

Product
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate CDOs
$
387.1

 
$
281.5

 
$
105.6

Non-Corporate CDO-related (1)
1,696.2

 
934.1

 
762.1

NIMS-related (2)
134.1

 
4.8

 
129.3

Total
$
2,217.4

 
$
1,220.4

 
$
997.0

________________
(1)
Includes the net liability recorded within derivative assets and derivative liabilities, and the net liability recorded within VIE debt and other financial statement line items for consolidated VIEs.
(2)
Includes NIMS VIE debt and NIMS derivative assets.

Radian Group's five-year CDS spread at December 31, 2011, implies a market view that there is an 84% probability that Radian Group will default in the next five years as compared to a 32% implied probability of default at December 31, 2010. The cumulative impact attributable to the market's perception of our non-performance risk increased by $652.5 million during 2011, as presented in the table above. This increase was primarily the result of the widening of Radian Group's CDS spreads during this period.
Schedule of Fair Value, Assets and Liabilities Measured on Recurring Basis [Table Text Block]
The following is a list of those assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value by hierarchy level as of December 31, 2011:
(In millions)
 
Level I
 
Level II
 
Level III
 
Total
Assets and Liabilities at Fair Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment Portfolio:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and agency securities
 
$
386.9

 
$
723.6

 
$

 
$
1,110.5

State and municipal obligations
 

 
985.0

 
62.5

 
1,047.5

Money market instruments
 
723.2

 

 

 
723.2

Corporate bonds and notes
 

 
700.5

 

 
700.5

RMBS
 

 
884.7

 
45.5

 
930.2

CMBS
 

 
190.4

 
35.4

 
225.8

CDO
 

 

 
5.5

 
5.5

Other ABS
 

 
97.0

 
2.9

 
99.9

Foreign government securities
 

 
102.9

 

 
102.9

Hybrid securities
 

 
341.5

 
4.8

 
346.3

Equity securities (1)
 
116.0

 
152.4

 
0.8

 
269.2

Other investments (2)
 

 
151.6

 
6.8

 
158.4

Total Investments at Fair Value (3)
 
1,226.1

 
4,329.6

 
164.2

 
5,719.9

Derivative Assets
 

 
0.2

 
17.0

 
17.2

Other Assets (4)
 

 

 
104.0

 
104.0

Total Assets at Fair Value
 
$
1,226.1

 
$
4,329.8

 
$
285.2

 
$
5,841.1

Derivative Liabilities
 
$

 
$

 
$
126.0

 
$
126.0

VIE Debt (5)
 

 

 
228.2

 
228.2

Total Liabilities at Fair Value
 
$

 
$

 
$
354.2

 
$
354.2

______________________
(1)
Comprising broadly diversified domestic equity mutual funds included within Level I and various preferred and common stocks invested across numerous companies and industries included within Levels II and III.
(2)
Comprising short-term commercial paper within CPS trusts ($150.0 million) and short-term CDs ($1.6 million) included within Level II, and lottery annuities ($1.6 million) and TruPs held by consolidated VIEs ($5.2 million) included within Level III.
(3)
Does not include fixed-maturities held to maturity ($2.6 million) and other invested assets ($61.0 million), primarily invested in limited partnerships, accounted for as cost-method investments and not measured at fair value.
(4)
Comprising manufactured housing loan collateral related to two consolidated financial guaranty VIEs.
(5)
Comprising consolidated debt related to NIMS VIEs ($9.4 million) and amounts related to financial guaranty VIEs ($218.8 million).
 

The following is a list of those assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value by hierarchy level as of December 31, 2010:
 
(In millions)
 
Level I
 
Level II
 
Level III
 
Total
Assets and Liabilities at Fair Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Investment Portfolio:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government and agency securities
 
$
1,075.0

 
$
731.4

 
$

 
$
1,806.4

State and municipal obligations
 

 
1,159.7

 
23.2

 
1,182.9

Money market instruments
 
310.9

 

 

 
310.9

Corporate bonds and notes
 

 
1,060.4

 

 
1,060.4

RMBS
 

 
913.5

 
52.5

 
966.0

CMBS
 

 
173.6

 
23.0

 
196.6

CDO
 

 

 
2.4

 
2.4

Other ABS
 

 
131.1

 
3.3

 
134.4

Foreign government securities
 

 
83.5

 

 
83.5

Hybrid securities
 

 
318.9

 

 
318.9

Equity securities (1)
 
168.4

 
168.6

 
2.9

 
339.9

Other investments (2)
 

 
150.0

 
4.6

 
154.6

Total Investments at Fair Value (3)
 
1,554.3

 
4,890.7

 
111.9

 
6,556.9

Derivative Assets
 

 

 
26.2

 
26.2

Other Assets (4)
 

 

 
109.7

 
109.7

Total Assets at Fair Value
 
$
1,554.3

 
$
4,890.7

 
$
247.8

 
$
6,692.8

Derivative Liabilities
 
$

 
$

 
$
723.6

 
$
723.6

VIE Debt (5)
 

 

 
520.1

 
520.1

Total Liabilities at Fair Value
 
$

 
$

 
$
1,243.7

 
$
1,243.7

______________________
(1)
Comprising broadly diversified domestic equity mutual funds included within Level I and various preferred and common stocks invested across numerous companies and industries included within Levels II and III.
(2)
Comprising short-term commercial paper within CPS trusts included within Level II, and lottery annuities ($2.6 million) and TruPs held by consolidated VIEs ($2.0 million) included within Level III.
(3)
Does not include fixed-maturities held to maturity ($10.8 million), certain short-term investments ($1.6 million), primarily invested in CDs and time deposits, and other invested assets ($59.6 million), primarily invested in limited partnerships, accounted for as cost-method investments and not measured at fair value.
(4)
Comprising manufactured housing loan collateral related to two consolidated financial guaranty VIEs.
(5)
Comprising consolidated debt related to NIMS VIEs ($141.0 million) and amounts related to financial guaranty VIEs ($379.1 million) that required consolidation as of January 1, 2010, under the accounting standard update regarding improvements to financial reporting by enterprises involved with VIEs.

Fair Value, Assets and Liabilites Measured on Recurring Basis, Unobservable Input Reconciliation [Table Text Block]
The following is a rollforward of Level III assets and liabilities measured at fair value for the year ended December 31, 2011:
 
(In millions)
Beginning
Balance at
January 1, 2011

 
Realized and
Unrealized
Gains (Losses)
Recorded
in Earnings  (1)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 

Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Transfers Into
(Out of)
Level III (2)
 
Ending
Balance at
December 31, 2011

Investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
State and municipal obligations
$
23.2

 
$
1.2

 
$
39.1

 
$
0.6

 
$

 
$
0.4

 
$

 
$
62.5

RMBS
52.5

 
(3.1
)
 

 

 

 
3.9

 

 
45.5

CMBS
23.0

 
12.4

 

 

 

 

 

 
35.4

CDO
2.4

 
2.7

 

 

 

 
(0.4
)
 

 
5.5

Other ABS
3.3

 
(0.4
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
2.9

Hybrid securities

 
(0.1
)
 
0.7

 

 

 

 
4.2

 
4.8

Equity securities
2.9

 
(1.2
)
 
3.7

 
1.0

 

 

 
(3.6
)
 
0.8

Other investments
4.6

 
3.2

 

 
0.7

 

 
0.3

 

 
6.8

Total Level III Investments
111.9

 
14.7

 
43.5

 
2.3

 

 
4.2

 
0.6

 
164.2

NIMS derivative assets
11.7

 
(2.2
)
 
0.3

 

 

 
7.7

 
(0.5
)
 
1.6

Other assets
109.7

 
21.5

 

 

 

 
27.2

 

 
104.0

Total Level III Assets
$
233.3

 
$
34.0

 
$
43.8

 
$
2.3

 
$

 
$
39.1

 
$
0.1

 
$
269.8

Derivative liabilities, net
$
709.1

 
$
629.0

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
(30.5
)
 
$

 
$
110.6

VIE debt
520.1

 
138.5

 

 

 

 
153.4

 

 
228.2

Total Level III Liabilities, net
$
1,229.2

 
$
767.5

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
122.9

 
$

 
$
338.8

______________________
(1)
Includes unrealized gains relating to assets and liabilities still held as of December 31, 2011, as follows: $12.0 million for investments, $9.4 million for other assets, $579.1 million for derivative liabilities, and $158.5 million for VIE debt.
(2)
Transfers are recognized at the end of the period as the availability of market observed inputs change from period to period.

    At December 31, 2011, our total Level III assets approximated 4.9% of total assets measured at fair value and our total Level III liabilities accounted for 100% of total liabilities measured at fair value. Realized and unrealized gains and losses on Level III assets and liabilities in the rollforward represent gains and losses for the periods in which they were classified as Level III.

The following is a rollforward of Level III assets and liabilities measured at fair value for the year ended December 31, 2010:
(In millions)
Beginning
Balance at
January 1, 2010

 
VIE Consolidation at January 1, 2010 (1)
 
Realized and
Unrealized
Gains(Losses)
Recorded
in Earnings (2)
 
Purchases
 
Sales
 
Issuances
 
Settlements
 
Transfers Into
(Out of)
Level III  (3)
 
Ending
Balance at
December 31, 2010

Investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
State and municipal obligations
$
24.4

 
$

 
$
0.1

 
$
1.4

 
$

 
$

 
$
2.7

 
$

 
$
23.2

RMBS

 
44.3

 
19.6

 

 

 

 
11.4

 

 
52.5

CMBS

 
23.8

 
(0.8
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
23.0

CDO

 
3.8

 
(1.8
)
 

 
(0.4
)
 

 

 

 
2.4

Other ABS

 
3.5

 
(0.2
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
3.3

Hybrid securities
0.6

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
(0.6
)
 

Equity securities
1.7

 

 
0.2

 
0.4

 
0.1

 

 

 
0.7

 
2.9

Other investments
3.8

 
3.7

 
(1.6
)
 

 
1.0

 
(0.3
)
 

 

 
4.6

Total Level III Investments
30.5

 
79.1

 
15.5

 
1.8

 
0.7

 
(0.3
)
 
14.1

 
0.1

 
111.9

NIMS and CPS derivative assets
44.7

 

 
(7.7
)
 
1.3

 
0.1

 
(0.1
)
 
26.4

(4
)

 
11.7

Other assets

 
119.7

 
18.3

 

 

 

 
28.3

 

 
109.7

Total Level III Assets
$
75.2

 
$
198.8

 
$
26.1

 
$
3.1

 
$
0.8

 
$
(0.4
)
 
$
68.8

 
$
0.1

 
$
233.3

Derivative liabilities, net
$
214.9

 
$
(51.8
)
 
$
551.2

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
(5.2
)
 
$

 
$
709.1

VIE debt
296.1

 
253.5

 
213.5

 

 

 

 
(243.0
)
(5
)

 
520.1

Total Level III Liabilities, net
$
511.0

 
$
201.7

 
$
764.7

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$
(248.2
)
 
$

 
$
1,229.2

______________
(1)
Represents the impact of our adoption of the accounting standard update regarding improvements to financial reporting by enterprises involved with VIEs.
(2)
Includes unrealized gains (losses) relating to assets and liabilities still held as of December 31, 2010, as follows: $12.6 million for investments, $(1.4) million for NIMS derivative assets, $4.0 million for other assets, $(588.1) million for derivative liabilities, and $(165.7) million for VIE debt.
(3)
Transfers are recognized at the end of the period as the availability of market observed inputs change from period to period.
(4)
Includes impact of consolidation of VIE from CPS Trust I as of June 30, 2010, in the amount of $27.1 million.
(5)
Includes impact of consolidation of VIE from CPS Trust I in the amount of $11.1 million. Offsetting this increase was $186.6 million related to NIMS purchases, $36.3 million related to financial guaranty VIE debt paydowns, and $31.2 million for CPS VIE debt purchases.
Fair Value, by Balance Sheet Grouping [Table Text Block]
The carrying value and estimated fair value of other selected assets and liabilities not carried at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets were as follows as of the dates indicated:
 
December 31, 2011
 
December 31, 2010
(In millions)
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Estimated
Fair Value
Assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed-maturities held to maturity
$
2.6

 
$
2.7

 
$
10.8

 
$
11.4

Short-term investments (carried at cost)

 

 
1.6

 
1.6

Other invested assets
61.0

 
62.8

 
59.6

 
58.4

Liabilities:
 
 
 
 

 

Long-term debt
818.6

 
471.3

 
964.8

 
1,082.5

Non-derivative financial guaranty liabilities
342.3

 
425.7

 
406.1

 
531.1