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Loans
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2020
Receivables [Abstract]  
Loans
Note 9.
Loans
Loans include (i) loans held for investment that are accounted for at amortized cost net of allowance for loan losses or at fair value under the fair value option and (ii) loans held for sale that are accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value. Interest on loans is recognized over the life of the loan and is recorded on an accrual basis.
The table below presents information about loans.
 
                                 
$ in millions
   
Amortized Cost
     
Fair Value
     
Held For Sale
     
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Loan Type
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Corporate
 
 
$  63,697
 
 
 
$  2,915
 
 
 
$1,918
 
 
 
$  68,530
 
Wealth management
 
 
21,183
 
 
 
7,834
 
 
 
 
 
 
29,017
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
14,165
 
 
 
2,005
 
 
 
660
 
 
 
16,830
 
Residential real estate
 
 
3,911
 
 
 
474
 
 
 
28
 
 
 
4,413
 
Consumer:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Installment
 
 
4,826
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4,826
 
Credit cards
 
 
2,081
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,081
 
Other
 
 
4,472
 
 
 
601
 
 
 
551
 
 
 
5,624
 
Total loans, gross
 
 
114,335
 
 
 
13,829
 
 
 
3,157
 
 
 
131,321
 
Allowance for loan losses
 
 
(2,868
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(2,868
)
Total loans
 
 
$111,467
 
 
 
$13,829
 
 
 
$3,157
 
 
 
$128,453
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Loan Type
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Corporate
   
$  41,129
     
$  3,224
     
$1,954
     
$  46,307
 
Wealth management
   
20,116
     
7,824
     
     
27,940
 
Commercial real estate
   
13,258
     
1,876
     
2,609
     
17,743
 
Residential real estate
   
6,132
     
792
     
34
     
6,958
 
Consumer:
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Installment
   
4,747
     
     
     
4,747
 
Credit cards
   
1,858
     
     
     
1,858
 
Other
   
3,396
     
670
     
726
     
4,792
 
Total loans, gross
   
90,636
     
14,386
     
5,323
     
110,345
 
Allowance for loan losses
   
(1,441
)    
     
     
(1,441
)
Total loans
   
$  89,195
     
$14,386
     
$5,323
     
$108,904
 
The following is a description of the loan types in the table above:
 
Corporate.
Corporate loans includes term loans, revolving lines of credit, letter of credit facilities and bridge loans, and are principally used for operating and general corporate purposes, or in connection with acquisitions. Corporate loans may be secured or unsecured, depending on the loan purpose, the risk profile of the borrower and other factors.
 
Wealth Management.
Wealth management loans includes loans extended to private bank clients, including wealth management and other clients. These loans are used to finance investments in both financial and nonfinancial assets, bridge cash flow timing gaps or provide liquidity for other needs. Substantially all of such loans are secured by securities, residential real estate, commercial real estate or other assets.
Commercial Real Estate.
Commercial real estate loans includes loans extended by the firm (other than to private bank clients) that are directly or indirectly secured by hotels, retail stores, multifamily housing complexes and commercial and industrial properties. Commercial real estate loans also includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly backed by commercial real estate. In addition, commercial real estate includes loans purchased by the firm.
 
Residential Real Estate.
Residential real estate loans primarily includes loans extended by the firm to clients (other than private bank clients) who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly secured by residential real estate and loans purchased by the firm.
 
Installment.
Installment loans are unsecured and are originated by the firm.
 
Credit Cards.
Credit card loans are loans made pursuant to revolving lines of credit issued to consumers by the firm.
 
Other.
Other loans primarily includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly secured by consumer loans, including auto loans and private student loans. Other loans also includes unsecured consumer and credit card loans purchased by the firm.
Loans accounted for at amortized cost included PCI loans with a carrying value of $1.62 billion (outstanding principal balance of $3.23 billion and accretable yield of $220 million) as of December 2019, which were secured by commercial and residential real estate. In January 2020, the firm elected the fair value option for these PCI loans in accordance with ASU No.
 2016-13.
These loans were primarily transferred to trading assets. See Note 3 for further information about adoption of this ASU.
Credit Quality
Risk Assessment.
The firm’s risk assessment process includes evaluating the credit quality of its loans. For corporate loans and a majority of wealth management, real estate and other loans, the firm performs credit reviews which include initial and ongoing analyses of its borrowers, resulting in an internal credit rating. A credit review is an independent analysis of the capacity and willingness of a borrower to meet its financial obligations and is performed on an annual basis or more frequently if circumstances change that indicate that a review may be necessary. The determination of internal credit ratings also incorporates assumptions with respect to the nature of and outlook for the borrower’s industry and the economic environment.
The table below presents gross loans by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and the concentration of secured and unsecured loans.
 
                                 
$ in millions
   
Investment-
Grade
     
Non-Investment-
Grade
     
Other/
Unrated
     
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Accounting Method
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Amortized cost
 
 
$40,637
 
 
 
$64,397
 
 
 
$  9,301
 
 
 
$114,335
 
Fair value
 
 
2,386
 
 
 
4,640
 
 
 
6,803
 
 
 
13,829
 
Held for sale
 
 
257
 
 
 
2,044
 
 
 
856
 
 
 
3,157
 
Total
 
 
$43,280
 
 
 
$71,081
 
 
 
$16,960
 
 
 
$131,321
 
Loan Type
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate
 
 
$18,972
 
 
 
$49,050
 
 
 
$
  
   508
 
 
 
$  68,530
 
Wealth management
 
 
20,393
 
 
 
4,275
 
 
 
4,349
 
 
 
29,017
 
Real estate:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial
 
 
478
 
 
 
14,179
 
 
 
2,173
 
 
 
16,830
 
Residential
 
 
259
 
 
 
2,875
 
 
 
1,279
 
 
 
4,413
 
Consumer:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Installment
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4,826
 
 
 
4,826
 
Credit cards
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,081
 
 
 
2,081
 
Other
 
 
3,178
 
 
 
702
 
 
 
1,744
 
 
 
5,624
 
Total
 
 
$43,280
 
 
 
$71,081
 
 
 
$16,960
 
 
 
$131,321
 
Secured
 
 
67%
 
 
 
90%
 
 
 
54%
 
 
 
78%
 
Unsecured
 
 
33%
 
 
 
10%
 
 
 
46%
 
 
 
22%
 
Total
 
 
100%
 
 
 
100%
 
 
 
100%
 
 
 
100%
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Accounting Method
   
     
     
     
 
Amortized cost
   
$30,266
     
$51,222
     
$  9,148
     
$  90,636
 
Fair value
   
2,844
     
5,174
     
6,368
     
14,386
 
Held for sale
   
323
     
4,368
     
632
     
5,323
 
Total
   
$33,433
     
$60,764
     
$16,148
     
$110,345
 
Loan Type
   
     
     
     
 
Corporate
   
$10,507
     
$35,509
     
$     291
     
$  46,307
 
Wealth management
   
20,001
     
3,576
     
4,363
     
27,940
 
Real estate:
   
     
     
     
 
Commercial
   
306
     
15,997
     
1,440
     
17,743
 
Residential
   
244
     
4,600
     
2,114
     
6,958
 
Consumer:
   
     
     
     
 
Installment
   
     
     
4,747
     
4,747
 
Credit cards
   
     
     
1,858
     
1,858
 
Other
   
2,375
     
1,082
     
1,335
     
4,792
 
Total
   
$33,433
     
$60,764
     
$16,148
     
$110,345
 
Secured
   
83%
     
91%
     
54%
     
83%
 
Unsecured
   
17%
     
9%
     
46%
     
17%
 
Total
   
100%
     
100%
     
100%
     
100%
 
In the table above:
 
Substantially all of the other/unrated wealth management loans consists of loans backed by residential real estate, and real estate and other loans primarily consists of purchased real estate
-
backed, consumer and credit card loans. The firm’s risk assessment process for these loans includes reviewing certain key metrics, such as
loan-to-value
ratio, delinquency status, collateral values, expected cash flows, the Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) credit score and other risk factors.
 
Installment and credit card loans represent loans originated by the firm. An important credit-quality indicator for such loans is the FICO credit score, which measures a borrower’s creditworthiness by considering factors such as payment and credit history. FICO credit scores are refreshed by the firm to assess the updated creditworthiness of the borrower.
The table below presents gross installment and credit card loans and the concentration by refreshed FICO credit score.
 
       
 
As of
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
March 2020
 
   
December 2019
 
Installment, gross
 
 
$4,826
 
   
$4,747
 
Credit cards, gross
 
 
2,081
 
   
1,858
 
Total
 
 
$6,907
 
   
$6,605
 
 
Refreshed FICO credit score
 
 
 
   
 
Greater than or equal to 660
 
 
82%
 
   
85%
 
Less than 660
 
 
18%
 
   
15%
 
Total
 
 
100%
 
   
100%
 
In March 2020, in response to the global outbreak of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the firm announced a customer assistance program providing borrowers of installment and credit card loans the flexibility to defer a payment for up to two months at no cost. The impact of this program was not material to the firm’s results for the three months ended March 2020.
The firm also assigns a regulatory risk rating to its loans based on the definitions provided by the U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies. Total loans included 91% of loans as of both March 2020 and December 2019 that were rated pass/non-criticized.
Vintage.
The table below presents gross loans accounted for at amortized cost (excluding originated installment and credit card loans) by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and by origination year for term loans.
 
       
 
As of March 2020
 
                                 
$ in millions
 
 
Investment- Grade
 
 
 
Non-Investment-
Grade
 
 
 
Other/ Unrated
 
 
 
Total
 
       
2020
 
 
$  1,151
 
 
 
$  2,522
 
 
 
$       –
 
 
 
$    3,673
 
2019
 
 
1,648
 
 
 
8,081
 
 
 
18
 
 
 
9,747
 
2018
 
 
2,383
 
 
 
4,277
 
 
 
 
 
 
6,660
 
2017
 
 
883
 
 
 
3,977
 
 
 
 
 
 
4,860
 
2016
 
 
165
 
 
 
1,626
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,791
 
2015 or earlier
 
 
435
 
 
 
2,648
 
 
 
 
 
 
3,083
 
Revolving
 
 
11,617
 
 
 
22,240
 
 
 
26
 
 
 
33,883
 
Corporate
 
 
$18,282
 
 
 
$45,371
 
 
 
$    
 
44
 
 
 
$  63,697
 
2020
 
 
$    
 
172
 
 
 
$      
 
45
 
 
 
$       –
 
 
 
$      
 
217
 
2019
 
 
532
 
 
 
398
 
 
 
 
 
 
930
 
2018
 
 
393
 
 
 
90
 
 
 
 
 
 
483
 
2017
 
 
400
 
 
 
75
 
 
 
 
 
 
475
 
2016
 
 
30
 
 
 
65
 
 
 
 
 
 
95
 
2015 or earlier
 
 
540
 
 
 
208
 
 
 
 
 
 
748
 
Revolving
 
 
16,663
 
 
 
1,557
 
 
 
15
 
 
 
18,235
 
Wealth management
 
 
$18,730
 
 
 
$  2,438
 
 
 
$    
 
15
 
 
 
$  21,183
 
2020
 
 
$         –
 
 
 
$    
 
632
 
 
 
$    
 
64
 
 
 
$      
 
696
 
2019
 
 
57
 
 
 
1,870
 
 
 
27
 
 
 
1,954
 
2018
 
 
195
 
 
 
2,484
 
 
 
19
 
 
 
2,698
 
2017
 
 
18
 
 
 
1,718
 
 
 
25
 
 
 
1,761
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
180
 
 
 
12
 
 
 
192
 
2015 or earlier
 
 
 
 
 
589
 
 
 
691
 
 
 
1,280
 
Revolving
 
 
 
 
 
5,584
 
 
 
 
 
 
5,584
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
$    
 
270
 
 
 
$13,057
 
 
 
$  
 
838
 
 
 
$  14,165
 
2020
 
 
$         –
 
 
 
$      
 
92
 
 
 
$    
 
18
 
 
 
$
 
     
 
110
 
2019
 
 
 
 
 
707
 
 
 
251
 
 
 
958
 
2018
 
 
 
 
 
169
 
 
 
316
 
 
 
485
 
2017
 
 
179
 
 
 
95
 
 
 
169
 
 
 
443
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
524
 
 
 
 
 
 
524
 
2015 or earlier
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70
 
 
 
70
 
Revolving
 
 
79
 
 
 
1,242
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,321
 
Residential real estate
 
 
$    
 
258
 
 
 
$  2,829
 
 
 
$  
 
824
 
 
 
$    3,911
 
2020
 
 
$         –
 
 
 
$      
 
22
 
 
 
$  
 
480
 
 
 
$      
 
502
 
2019
 
 
 
 
 
45
 
 
 
57
 
 
 
102
 
2018
 
 
 
 
 
53
 
 
 
13
 
 
 
66
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
19
 
 
 
5
 
 
 
24
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
 
 
 
1
 
Revolving
 
 
3,097
 
 
 
562
 
 
 
118
 
 
 
3,777
 
Other
 
 
$  3,097
 
 
 
$    
 
702
 
 
 
$  
 
673
 
 
 
$    4,472
 
Total
 
 
$40,637
 
 
 
$64,397
 
 
 
$2,394
 
 
 
$107,428
 
In the table above, revolving loans which converted to term loans were not material as of March 2020.
The table below presents gross originated installment loans by origination year and credit card revolving loans.
 
                 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
 
 
 
 
As of
March 2020
 
2020
 
 
 
   
$
  
 723
 
2019
 
 
 
   
2,043
 
2018
 
 
 
   
1,686
 
2017
 
 
 
   
355
 
2016
 
 
 
   
19
 
Revolving
 
 
 
   
2,081
 
Total
 
 
 
 
   
$6,907
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit Concentrations.
The table below presents the concentration of gross loans by region.
 
                                         
                                         
$ in millions
   
Carrying
Value
     
Americas
     
EMEA
     
Asia
     
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
   
     
     
     
 
Corporate
 
 
$  68,530
 
   
67%
     
26%
     
7%
     
100%
 
Wealth management
 
 
29,017
 
   
88%
     
9%
     
3%
     
100%
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
16,830
 
   
69%
     
21%
     
10%
     
100%
 
Residential real estate
 
 
4,413
 
   
87%
     
11%
     
2%
     
100%
 
Consumer:
 
 
 
   
     
     
     
 
Installment
 
 
4,826
 
   
100%
     
     
     
100%
 
Credit cards
 
 
2,081
 
   
100%
     
     
     
100%
 
Other
 
 
5,624
 
   
87%
     
12%
     
1%
     
100%
 
Total
 
 
$131,321
 
   
75%
     
19%
     
6%
     
100%
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
   
     
     
     
 
Corporate
   
$  46,307
     
60%
     
31%
     
9%
     
100%
 
Wealth management
   
27,940
     
88%
     
9%
     
3%
     
100%
 
Commercial real estate
   
17,743
     
69%
     
21%
     
10%
     
100%
 
Residential real estate
   
6,958
     
90%
     
9%
     
1%
     
100%
 
Consumer:
   
     
     
     
     
 
Installment
   
4,747
     
100%
     
     
     
100%
 
Credit cards
   
1,858
     
100%
     
     
     
100%
 
Other
   
4,792
     
87%
     
12%
     
1%
     
100%
 
Total
   
$110,345
     
73%
     
21%
     
6%
     
100%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The table below presents the concentration of gross corporate loans by industry.
 
                 
       
 
 
As of
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
March
2020
 
   
December
2019
 
Corporate, gross
 
 
$68,530
 
   
$46,307
 
 
Industry
 
 
 
   
 
Consumer, Retail & Healthcare
 
 
17%
 
   
15%
 
Diversified Industrials
 
 
22%
 
   
17%
 
Financial Institutions
 
 
9%
 
   
10%
 
Funds
 
 
6%
 
   
9%
 
Natural Resources & Utilities
 
 
11%
 
   
12%
 
Real Estate
 
 
8%
 
   
7%
 
Technology, Media & Telecommunications
 
 
18%
 
   
17%
 
Other (including Special Purpose Vehicles)
 
 
9%
 
   
13%
 
Total
 
 
100%
 
   
100%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The table below presents the firm’s credit exposure from originated installment and credit card loans and the concentration by the five most concentrated U.S. states.
 
                 
       
 
 
As of
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
March
2020
 
   
December
2019
 
Installment
 
 
$4,826
 
   
$4,747
 
 
California
 
 
12%
 
   
12%
 
Texas
 
 
9%
 
   
9%
 
New York
 
 
7%
 
   
7%
 
Florida
 
 
7%
 
   
7%
 
Illinois
 
 
4%
 
   
4%
 
Other
 
 
61%
 
   
61%
 
Total
 
 
100%
 
   
100%
 
 
Credit Cards
 
 
$2,081
 
   
$1,858
 
 
California
 
 
20%
 
   
21%
 
Texas
 
 
9%
 
   
9%
 
New York
 
 
8%
 
   
8%
 
Florida
 
 
8%
 
   
8%
 
Illinois
 
 
4%
 
   
4%
 
Other
 
 
51%
 
   
50%
 
Total
 
 
100%
 
   
100%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonaccrual and Past Due Loans.
Loans accounted for at amortized cost (other than credit card loans) are placed on nonaccrual status when it is probable that the firm will not collect all principal and interest due under the contractual terms, regardless of the delinquency status or if a loan is past due for 90 days or more, unless the loan is both well collateralized and in the process of collection. At that time, all accrued but uncollected interest is reversed against interest income and interest subsequently collected is recognized on a cash basis to the extent the loan balance is deemed collectible. Otherwise, all cash received is used to reduce the outstanding loan balance. A loan is considered past due when a principal or interest payment has not been made according to its contractual terms. Credit card loans are not placed on nonaccrual status and accrue interest until the loan is paid in full or is charged-off.
In certain circumstances, the firm may also modify the original terms of a loan agreement by granting a concession to a borrower experiencing financial difficulty. Such modifications are considered troubled debt restructurings and typically include interest rate reductions, payment extensions and modification of loan covenants.
The table below presents information about past due loans.
 
                         
                         
$ in millions
   
30-89
 days
     
90 days
or more
     
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
   
     
 
Corporate
 
 
$
  66
 
 
 
$172
 
 
 
$
238
 
Wealth management
 
 
20
 
 
 
16
 
 
 
36
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
127
 
 
 
91
 
 
 
218
 
Residential real estate
 
 
11
 
 
 
23
 
 
 
34
 
Consumer:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Installment
 
 
65
 
 
 
23
 
 
 
88
 
Credit cards
 
 
35
 
 
 
39
 
 
 
74
 
Other
 
 
11
 
 
 
1
 
 
 
12
 
Total
 
 
$
335
 
 
 
$
365
 
 
 
$
700
 
 
Past due loans divided by gross loans at amortized cost
 
 
0.6%
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
   
     
 
Corporate
   
$197
     
$  42
     
$239
 
Wealth management
   
13
     
15
     
28
 
Commercial real estate
   
54
     
123
     
177
 
Residential real estate
   
19
     
18
     
37
 
Consumer:
   
     
     
 
Installment
   
71
     
29
     
100
 
Credit cards
   
35
     
4
     
39
 
Other
   
6
     
1
     
7
 
Total
   
$395
     
$232
     
$627
 
 
Past due loans divided by gross loans at amortized cost
   
0.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
The table below presents information about nonaccrual loans.
 
                 
       
 
 
As of
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
March
2020
 
   
December 2019
 
Corporate
 
 
$1,622
 
   
$1,122
 
Wealth management
 
 
53
 
   
52
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
155
 
   
175
 
Residential real estate
 
 
156
 
   
143
 
Installment
 
 
35
 
   
38
 
Total
 
 
$2,021
 
   
$1,530
 
 
Nonaccrual loans divided by gross loans at amortized cost
 
 
1.8%
 
   
1.7%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
In the table above:
 
Nonaccrual loans included $502 million as of March 2020 and $429 million as of December 2019 of loans that were 30 days or more past due.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loans that were 90 days or more past due and still accruing were not material as of both March 2020 and December 2019.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nonaccrual loans included $302 million as of March 2020 and $251 million as of December 2019 of corporate loans that were modified in a troubled debt restructuring. The firm’s lending commitments related to these loans were not material as of both March 2020 and December 2019. Installment loans that were modified in a troubled debt restructuring were not material as of both March 2020 and December 2019.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Allowance for Credit Losses
The firm’s allowance for credit losses consists of the allowance for losses on loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost. Loans and lending commitments accounted for at fair value or accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value are not subject to an allowance for credit losses.
The firm adopted ASU No. 2016-13 in January 2020, which replaced the incurred credit loss model for recognizing credit losses with the CECL model. As a result, the firm’s allowance for credit losses effective January 2020 reflects management’s estimate of credit losses over the remaining expected life of such loans and also considers forecasts of future economic conditions. Prior to January 2020, the allowance for credit losses reflected probable incurred credit losses. See Note 3 for further information about the adoption of CECL.
To determine the allowance for credit losses, the firm classifies its loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost into wholesale and consumer portfolios. Prior to January 2020, the firm also had PCI loans which were classified as a separate portfolio. These portfolios represent the level at which the firm has developed and documented its methodology to determine the allowance for credit losses. The allowance for credit losses is measured on a collective basis for loans that exhibit similar risk characteristics using a modeled approach and asset-specific basis for loans that do not share similar risk characteristics.
Under CECL, the allowance for loan losses takes into account the weighted average of a range of forecasts of future economic conditions over the expected life of the loan. These forecasts include baseline, favorable and adverse economic scenarios. The allowance for loan losses also includes qualitative components which allow management to reflect the uncertain nature of economic forecasting and account for model imprecision.
Management’s estimate of loan losses entails judgment about loan collectability at the reporting dates, and there are uncertainties inherent in those judgments. While management uses the best information available to determine this estimate, future adjustments to the allowance may be necessary based on, among other things, changes in the economic environment or variances between actual results and the original assumptions used.
The table below presents gross loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost by portfolio.
 
       
 
As of
 
                 
 
March 2020
   
 
December 2019
 
                                     
$ in millions
 
 
Loans
 
 
 
Lending Commitments
 
 
    
   
Loans
     
Lending Commitments
 
Wholesale
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
     
 
Corporate
 
 
$  63,697
 
 
 
$107,403
 
 
   
$41,129
     
$127,226
 
Wealth management
 
 
21,183
 
 
 
2,441
 
 
   
20,116
     
2,198
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
14,165
 
 
 
2,886
 
 
   
12,803
     
3,207
 
Residential real estate
 
 
3,911
 
 
 
1,293
 
 
   
4,965
     
759
 
Other
 
 
4,472
 
 
 
3,021
 
 
   
3,396
     
3,029
 
Consumer
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
     
 
Installment
 
 
4,826
 
 
 
10
 
 
   
4,747
     
12
 
Credit cards
 
 
2,081
 
 
 
16,447
 
 
   
1,858
     
13,669
 
PCI
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
   
1,622
     
 
Total
 
 
$114,335
 
 
 
$133,501
 
 
   
$90,636
     
$150,100
 
In the table above, wholesale loans included $1.99 billion as of March 2020 and $1.49 billion as of December 2019 of nonaccrual loans for which the allowance for credit losses was measured on an asset-specific basis. The allowance for credit losses on these loans was $327 million as of March 2020 and $207 million as of December 2019. These loans included $543 million as of March 2020 and $754 million as of December 2019 of loans which did not require a reserve as the loan was deemed to be recoverable.
See Note 18 for further information about lending commitments.
The following is a description of the methodology used to calculate the allowance for credit losses:
Wholesale.
The allowance for credit losses for wholesale loans and lending commitments that exhibit similar risk characteristics is measured on a collective basis and is calculated using a modeled approach. These models determine the probability of default and loss given default based on various risk factors, including internal credit ratings, industry default and loss data, contractual maturity, current macroeconomic indicators, the borrower’s capacity to meet its financial obligations, the borrower’s country of risk and industry, loan seniority and collateral type. For lending commitments, the methodology also considers probability of drawdowns or funding. In addition, for loans backed by real estate, risk factors include the loan-to-value ratio, debt service ratio and home price index. Under CECL, the allowance for loan losses for wholesale loans also takes into account the weighted average of a range of forecasts of future macroeconomic indicators over the expected life of the loan for a period of three years before reverting to historical average probability of default using a non-linear modeled approach. Key macroeconomic inputs to the forecast model include regional GDP, unemployment rates, credit spreads, commercial and industrial delinquency rates and commodities prices. In addition, the allowance for loan losses includes a qualitative component.
The allowance for loan losses for wholesale loans that do not share similar risk characteristics, such as nonaccrual loans or loans in a troubled debt restructuring, is measured on an asset-specific basis and is calculated using the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the loan’s original effective rate, the observable market price of the loan or the fair value of the collateral.
Wholesale loans are charged-off against the allowance for loan losses when deemed to be uncollectible.
Consumer.
The allowance for credit losses for consumer loans that exhibit similar risk characteristics is measured on a collective basis and is calculated using a modeled approach. These models classify consumer loans into pools based on borrower-related and exposure-related characteristics that differentiate a pool’s risk characteristics from other pools. The factors considered in determining a pool are generally consistent with the risk characteristics used for internal credit risk measurement and management and include key metrics, such as FICO credit scores, delinquency status, loan vintage and macroeconomic indicators. Under CECL, the allowance for loan losses for consumer loans also takes into account the weighted average of a range of forecasts of future macroeconomic conditions, such as GDP and unemployment rates, to predict FICO scores and delinquency status migration over the expected life of a loan for a period of three years. For loans with maturities extending beyond three years, the model reverts to historical average loss rates using a non-linear modeled approach. In addition, the allowance for loan losses includes a qualitative component.
The allowance for credit losses for consumer loans in a troubled debt restructuring is calculated using the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the loan’s original effective rate, the observable market price of the loan or the fair value of the collateral.
Installment loans are charged-off when they are 120 days past due. Credit card loans are charged-off when they are 180 days past due.
The table below presents information about the allowance for credit losses.
 
                                 
$ in millions
   
Wholesale
     
Consumer
     
PCI
     
Total
 
Three Months Ended March 2020
   
     
 
Allowance for loan losses
   
 
Beginning balance, reported
 
 
$  
 
879
 
 
 
$
  
393
 
 
 
$ 169
 
 
 
$1,441
 
Impact of CECL adoption
 
 
452
 
 
 
444
 
 
 
(169
)
 
 
727
 
Beginning balance, adjusted
 
 
1,331
 
 
 
837
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,168
 
Net charge-offs
 
 
(50
)
 
 
(81
)
 
 
 
 
 
(131
)
Provision
 
 
746
 
 
 
169
 
 
 
 
 
 
915
 
Other
 
 
(84
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(84
)
Ending balance
 
 
$1,943
 
 
 
$
  
925
 
 
 
$
 
     –
 
 
 
$2,868
 
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
 
Beginning balance, reported
 
 
$  
 
361
 
 
 
$
  
    –
 
 
 
$
 
     –
 
 
 
$
 
  361
 
Impact of CECL adoption
 
 
(48
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(48
)
Beginning balance, adjusted
 
 
313
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
313
 
Provision
 
 
22
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
22
 
Ending balance
 
 
$
 
  335
 
 
 
$
  
    –
 
 
 
$
 
     –
 
 
 
$
 
  335
 
 
Year Ended December 2019
   
     
 
Allowance for loan losses
   
 
Beginning balance
   
$   658
     
$ 292
     
$
  
116
     
$1,066
 
Net charge-offs
   
(121
)    
(317
)    
(52
)    
(490
)
Provision
   
469
     
418
     
103
     
990
 
Other
   
(127
)    
     
2
     
(125
)
Ending balance
   
$   879
     
$ 393
     
$
  
169
     
$1,441
 
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
 
Beginning balance
   
$   286
     
$
  
    –
     
$
  
    –
     
$   286
 
Provision
   
75
     
     
     
75
 
Ending balance
   
$   361
     
$
  
    –
     
$
  
    –
     
$   361
 
In the table above:
 
The impact of CECL adoption for wholesale and consumer loans is driven by the fact that the allowance under CECL covers expected credit losses over the full expected life of the loan portfolios and also considers forecasts of expected future economic conditions. The impact of CECL adoption for PCI loans was as a result of the firm electing to apply the fair value option for such loans.
 
Net charge-offs for wholesale loans were primarily related to corporate loans for both the three months ended March 2020 and the year ended December 2019. Net charge-offs for consumer loans were substantially all related to installment loans for both the three months ended March 2020 and the year ended December 2019.
 
The provision for credit losses for the three months ended March 2020 on wholesale loans was primarily related to corporate loans and was driven by growth in the firm’s wholesale loan portfolio, asset-specific provisions relating to borrowers in the oil and gas sector and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the broader economic outlook. The provision for credit losses for wholesale loans was substantially all related to corporate loans for the year ended December 2019.
The provision for credit losses for the three months ended March 2020 on consumer loans was primarily related to seasoning of credit card loans. The provision for credit losses related to consumer loans was primarily related to installment loans for the year ended December 2019.
 
Other represents the reduction to the allowance related to loans and lending commitments transferred to held for sale.
 
The allowance
for loan losses for wholesale loans was 1.8% as of March 2020 and 1.1% as of December 2019 of total gross wholesale loans accounted for at amortized cost.
The allowance
for loan losses for consumer loans was 13.4% as of March 2020 and 6.0% as of December 2019 of total gross consumer loans accounted for at amortized cost.
 
The net charge-off
ratio for wholesale loans accounted for at amortized cost was 0.2% on an annualized basis for the three months ended March 2020 and 0.2% for the year ended December 2019.
The net charge-off ratio for consumer loans accounted for at amortized cost was
4.8% on an annualized basis for the three months ended March 2020 and 6.2% for the year ended December 2019.
Fair Value of Loans by Level
The table below presents loans held for investment accounted for at fair value under the fair value option by level within the fair value hierarchy.
 
                                 
                                 
$ in millions
   
Level 1
     
Level 2
     
Level 3
     
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Loan Type
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Corporate
 
 
$    –
 
 
 
$  1,871
 
 
 
$1,044
 
 
 
$  2,915
 
Wealth management
 
 
 
 
 
7,773
 
 
 
61
 
 
 
7,834
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
 
 
 
942
 
 
 
1,063
 
 
 
2,005
 
Residential real estate
 
 
 
 
 
214
 
 
 
260
 
 
 
474
 
Other
 
 
 
 
 
276
 
 
 
325
 
 
 
601
 
Total
 
 
$    –
 
 
 
$11,076
 
 
 
$2,753
 
 
 
$13,829
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Loan Type
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Corporate
   
$    –
     
$  2,472
     
$   752
     
$  3,224
 
Wealth management
   
     
7,764
     
60
     
7,824
 
Commercial real estate
   
     
1,285
     
591
     
1,876
 
Residential real estate
   
     
571
     
221
     
792
 
Other
   
     
404
     
266
     
670
 
Total
   
$    –
     
$12,496
     
$1,890
     
$14,386
 
 
 
The gains/(losses) as a result of changes in the fair value of loans held for investment for which the fair value option was elected were $(27) million for the three months ended March 2020 and $102 million for the three months ended March 2019. These gains/(losses) were included in other principal transactions.
See Note 4 for an overview of the firm’s fair value measurement policies and the valuation techniques and significant inputs used to determine the fair value of loans.
Significant Unobservable Inputs
The table below presents the amount of level 3 loans, and ranges and weighted averages of significant unobservable inputs used to value such loans.
 
                 
       
 
Level 3 Assets and Range of Significant Unobservable
Inputs (Weighted Average) as of
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
March
2020
 
   
December
2019
 
Corporate
 
Level 3 assets
 
 
$1,044
 
   
$752
 
Yield
 
 
3.1% to 26.3% (12.5%)
 
   
1.9% to 26.3% (9.5%)
 
Recovery rate
 
 
15.1% to 85.4% (40.6%)
 
   
13.5% to 78.0% (44.4%)
 
Duration (years)
 
 
1.7 to 4.3 (3.2)
 
   
3.7 to 5.8 (3.9)
 
Commercial real estate
 
Level 3 assets
 
 
$1,063
 
   
$591
 
Yield
 
 
7.0% to 26.3% (11.2%)
 
   
7.0% to 16.0% (9.3%)
 
Recovery rate
 
 
6.7% to 65.0% (29.5%)
 
   
5.9% to 85.2% (48.6%)
 
Duration (years)
 
 
0.3 to 5.9 (3.3)
 
   
0.2 to 5.3 (3.5)
 
Residential real estate
 
Level 3 assets
 
 
$260
 
   
$221
 
Yield
 
 
1.6% to 14.0% (11.9%)
 
   
1.1% to 14.0% (11.5%)
 
Duration (years)
 
 
1.0 to 5.2 (3.8)
 
   
1.1 to 4.8 (4.0)
 
Wealth management and other
   
 
Level 3 assets
 
 
$386
 
   
$326
 
Yield
 
 
2.7% to 11.5% (9.6%)
 
   
3.9% to 16.0% (9.9%)
 
Duration (years)
 
 
1.5 to 5.1 (3.2)
 
   
1.6 to 6.7 (3.7)
 
 
 
In the table above:
 
Ranges represent the significant unobservable inputs that were used in the valuation of each type of loan.
 
 
 
 
Weighted averages are calculated by weighting each input by the relative fair value of the loan.
 
 
 
 
The ranges and weighted averages of these inputs are not representative of the appropriate inputs to use when calculating the fair value of any one loan. For example, the highest yield for residential real estate loans is appropriate for valuing a specific residential real estate loan but may not be appropriate for valuing any other residential real estate loan. Accordingly, the ranges of inputs do not represent uncertainty in, or possible ranges of, fair value measurements of level 3 loans.
 
 
 
 
Increases in yield or duration used in the valuation of level 3 loans would have resulted in a lower fair value measurement, while increases in recovery rate would have resulted in a higher fair value measurement as of both March 2020 and December 2019. Due to the distinctive nature of each level 3 loan, the interrelationship of inputs is not necessarily uniform within each product type.
 
 
 
 
Loans are valued using discounted cash flows.
 
 
 
Level 3 Rollforward
The table below presents a summary of the changes in fair value for level 3 loans.
 
                 
       
 
Three Months
Ended March
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
2020
 
   
2019
 
Beginning balance
 
 
$1,890
 
   
$1,990
 
Net realized gains/(losses)
 
 
27
 
   
26
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
(54
)
   
1
 
Purchases
 
 
473
 
   
44
 
Sales
 
 
(12
)
   
(3
)
Settlements
 
 
(221
)
   
(124
)
Transfers into level 3
 
 
653
 
   
170
 
Transfers out of level 3
 
 
(3
)
   
(35
)
Ending balance
 
 
$2,753
 
   
$2,069
 
 
 
In the table above:
 
Changes in fair value are presented for loans that are classified in level 3 as of the end of the period.
 
 
 
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses) relates to loans that were still held at
period-end.
 
 
 
 
Purchases includes originations and secondary purchases.
 
 
 
 
Transfers between levels of the fair value hierarchy are reported at the beginning of the reporting period in which they occur. If a loan was transferred to level 3 during a reporting period, its entire gain or loss for the period is classified in level 3.
 
 
The table below presents information, by loan type, for loans included in the summary table above.
 
                 
       
 
Three Months
Ended March
 
                 
$ in millions
 
 
2020
 
   
2019
 
Corporate
 
 
 
   
 
Beginning balance
 
 
$
 
  752
 
   
$659
 
Net realized gains/(losses)
 
 
10
 
   
2
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
(11
)
   
(14
)
Purchases
 
 
156
 
   
34
 
Sales
 
 
(7
)
   
 
Settlements
 
 
(40
)
   
(4
)
Transfers into level 3
 
 
187
 
   
81
 
Transfers out of level 3
 
 
(3
)
   
(32
)
Ending balance
 
 
$1,044
 
   
$726
 
Commercial real estate
 
 
 
   
 
Beginning balance
 
 
$
 
  591
 
   
$677
 
Net realized gains/(losses)
 
 
17
 
   
7
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
7
 
   
7
 
Purchases
 
 
236
 
   
1
 
Sales
 
 
(5
)
   
(2
)
Settlements
 
 
(115
)
   
(47
)
Transfers into level 3
 
 
332
 
   
 
Transfers out of level 3
 
 
 
   
(3
)
Ending balance
 
 
$1,063
 
   
$640
 
Residential real estate
 
 
 
   
 
Beginning balance
 
 
$
 
  221
 
   
$290
 
Net realized gains/(losses)
 
 
 
   
8
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
(17
)
   
(2
)
Purchases
 
 
42
 
   
9
 
Sales
 
 
 
   
(1
)
Settlements
 
 
(27
)
   
(30
)
Transfers into level 3
 
 
41
 
   
 
Ending balance
 
 
$
 
  260
 
   
$274
 
Wealth management and other
 
 
 
   
 
Beginning balance
 
 
$
 
  326
 
   
$364
 
Net realized gains/(losses)
 
 
 
   
9
 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)
 
 
(33
)
   
10
 
Purchases
 
 
39
 
   
 
Settlements
 
 
(39
)
   
(43
)
Transfers into level 3
 
 
93
 
   
89
 
Ending balance
 
 
$
 
  386
 
   
$429
 
 
 
Level 3 Rollforward Commentary
Three Months Ended March 2020.
The net realized and unrealized losses on level 3 loans of $27 million (reflecting $27 million of net realized gains and $54 million of net unrealized losses) for the three months ended March 2020 included gains/(losses) of $(44) million reported in other principal transactions and $17 million reported in interest income.
The drivers of the net unrealized losses on level 3 loans for the three months ended March 2020 were not material.
Transfers into level 3 loans during the three months ended March 2020 primarily reflected transfer of certain commercial real estate loans and corporate loans from level 2, principally due to reduced price transparency as a result of a lack of market evidence, including fewer market transactions in these instruments.
The drivers of transfers out of level 3 loans during the three months ended March 2020 were not material.
Three Months Ended March 2019.
The net realized and unrealized gains on level 3 loans of $27 million (reflecting $26 million of net realized gains and $1 million of net unrealized gains) for the three months ended March 2019 included gains of $13 million reported in other principal transactions and $14 million reported in interest income.
The drivers of the net unrealized gains on level 3 loans for the three months ended March 2019 were not material.
The drivers of transfers into and out of
level 3 loans during the three months ended March 2019 were not material.
Estimated Fair Value
The table below presents the estimated fair value of loans that are not accounted for at fair value and in what level of the fair value hierarchy they would have been classified if they had been included in the firm’s fair value hierarchy.
 
                                     
                   
$ in millions
   
Carrying
Value
   
    
 
Estimated Fair Value
 
Level 2
   
Level 3
   
Total
 
As of March 2020
 
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Amortized cost
 
 
$111,467
 
 
 
 
$54,658
 
 
 
$53,979
 
 
 
$108,637
 
Held for sale
 
 
$    3,157
 
 
 
 
$  1,646
 
 
 
$  1,564
 
 
 
$    3,210
 
 
As of December 2019
 
 
 
 
   
     
     
 
Amortized cost
   
$  89,195
   
   
$52,091
     
$37,095
     
$  89,186
 
Held for sale
   
$    5,323
   
   
$  4,157
     
$  1,252
     
$    5,409