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Loans
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2022
Receivables [Abstract]  
Loans
Loans
Loans includes (i) loans held for investment that are accounted for at amortized cost net of allowance for loan losses or at fair value under the fair value option and (ii) loans held for sale that are accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value. Interest on loans is recognized over the life of the loan and is recorded on an accrual basis.
The table below presents information about loans.
$ in millionsAmortized
Cost
Fair ValueHeld For SaleTotal
As of September 2022    
Loan Type    
Corporate$57,431 $1,844 $3,906 $63,181 
Wealth management45,564 4,537  50,101 
Commercial real estate22,214 1,277 2,591 26,082 
Residential real estate14,084 257 1 14,342 
Consumer:   
Installment5,157   5,157 
Credit cards13,691   13,691 
Other8,324 335 302 8,961 
Total loans, gross166,465 8,250 6,800 181,515 
Allowance for loan losses(4,846)  (4,846)
Total loans$161,619 $8,250 $6,800 $176,669 
As of December 2021    
Loan Type    
Corporate$50,960 $2,492 $2,475 $55,927 
Wealth management38,062 5,936 — 43,998 
Commercial real estate21,150 1,588 3,145 25,883 
Residential real estate15,493 320 100 15,913 
Consumer:   
Installment3,672 — — 3,672 
Credit cards8,212 — — 8,212 
Other5,958 433 2,139 8,530 
Total loans, gross143,507 10,769 7,859 162,135 
Allowance for loan losses(3,573)— — (3,573)
Total loans$139,934 $10,769 $7,859 $158,562 
In the table above:
The increase in credit cards from December 2021 to September 2022 reflected approximately $2.0 billion relating to the firm’s acquisition of the General Motors co-branded credit card portfolio.
Loans held for investment that are accounted for at amortized cost include net deferred fees and costs, and unamortized premiums and discounts, which are amortized over the life of the loan. These amounts were less than 1% of loans accounted for at amortized cost as of both September 2022 and December 2021.
The following is a description of the loan types in the table above:
Corporate. Corporate loans includes term loans, revolving lines of credit, letter of credit facilities and bridge loans, and are principally used for operating and general corporate purposes, or in connection with acquisitions. Corporate loans may be secured or unsecured, depending on the loan purpose, the risk profile of the borrower and other factors.
Wealth Management. Wealth management loans includes loans extended to private bank clients, including wealth management and other clients. These loans are used to finance investments in both financial and nonfinancial assets, bridge cash flow timing gaps or provide liquidity for other needs. Substantially all of such loans are secured by securities, residential real estate, commercial real estate or other assets.
Commercial Real Estate. Commercial real estate loans includes originated loans (other than those extended to private bank clients) that are directly or indirectly secured by hotels, retail stores, multifamily housing complexes and commercial and industrial properties. Commercial real estate loans also includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly backed by commercial real estate. In addition, commercial real estate includes loans purchased by the firm.
Residential Real Estate. Residential real estate loans primarily includes loans extended by the firm to clients (other than those extended to private bank clients) who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly secured by residential real estate and loans purchased by the firm.
Installment. Installment loans are unsecured loans originated by the firm (including point-of-sale loans that the firm began to originate through the GreenSky platform in the third quarter of 2022).
Credit Cards. Credit card loans are loans made pursuant to revolving lines of credit issued to consumers by the firm.
Other. Other loans primarily includes loans extended to clients who warehouse assets that are directly or indirectly secured by consumer loans, including auto loans and private student loans, and other assets. Other loans also includes unsecured consumer and credit card loans purchased by the firm.
Credit Quality
Risk Assessment. The firm’s risk assessment process includes evaluating the credit quality of its loans by the firm’s independent risk oversight and control function. For corporate loans and a majority of wealth management, real estate and other loans, the firm performs credit analyses which incorporate initial and ongoing evaluations of the capacity and willingness of a borrower to meet its financial obligations. These credit evaluations are performed on an annual basis or more frequently if deemed necessary as a result of events or changes in circumstances. The firm determines an internal credit rating for the borrower by considering the results of the credit evaluations and assumptions with respect to the nature of and outlook for the borrower’s industry and the economic environment. The internal credit rating does not take into consideration collateral received or other credit support arrangements.
The table below presents gross loans by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and the concentration of secured and unsecured loans.
$ in millionsInvestment-GradeNon-Investment- GradeOther Metrics/UnratedTotal
As of September 2022   
Accounting Method   
Amortized cost$62,336 $78,212 $25,917 $166,465 
Fair value1,784 3,606 2,860 8,250 
Held for sale1,036 5,703 61 6,800 
Total$65,156 $87,521 $28,838 $181,515 
Loan Type    
Corporate$21,072 $42,033 $76 $63,181 
Wealth management36,376 6,090 7,635 50,101 
Real estate:   
Commercial2,586 23,246 250 26,082 
Residential935 12,406 1,001 14,342 
Consumer:   
Installment  5,157 5,157 
Credit cards  13,691 13,691 
Other4,187 3,746 1,028 8,961 
Total$65,156 $87,521 $28,838 $181,515 
Secured85 %93 %31 %80 %
Unsecured15 %7 %69 %20 %
Total100 %100 %100 %100 %
As of December 2021   
Accounting Method   
Amortized cost$50,923 $75,179 $17,405 $143,507 
Fair value2,301 4,634 3,834 10,769 
Held for sale1,650 4,747 1,462 7,859 
Total$54,874 $84,560 $22,701 $162,135 
Loan Type    
Corporate$15,370 $40,389 $168 $55,927 
Wealth management31,476 5,730 6,792 43,998 
Real estate:   
Commercial3,986 21,523 374 25,883 
Residential1,112 13,779 1,022 15,913 
Consumer:   
Installment— — 3,672 3,672 
Credit cards— — 8,212 8,212 
Other2,930 3,139 2,461 8,530 
Total$54,874 $84,560 $22,701 $162,135 
Secured85 %92 %36 %82 %
Unsecured15 %%64 %18 %
Total100 %100 %100 %100 %

In the table above:
Wealth management loans included in the other metrics/unrated category primarily consists of loans backed by residential real estate and securities, and real estate loans included in the other metrics/unrated category primarily consists of purchased loans. The firm’s risk assessment process for these loans includes reviewing certain key metrics, such as loan-to-value ratio, delinquency status, collateral values, expected cash flows, the Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) credit score (which measures a borrower’s creditworthiness by considering factors such as payment and credit history) and other risk factors.
For installment and credit card loans included in the other metrics/unrated category, the evaluation of credit quality incorporates the borrower’s FICO credit score. FICO credit scores are periodically refreshed by the firm to assess the updated creditworthiness of the borrower. See “Vintage” below for information about installment and credit card loans by FICO credit scores.
The firm also assigns a regulatory risk rating to its loans based on the definitions provided by the U.S. federal bank regulatory agencies. Total loans included 93% of loans as of September 2022 and 92% of loans as of December 2021 that were rated pass/non-criticized.

Vintage. The tables below present gross loans accounted for at amortized cost (excluding installment and credit card loans) by an internally determined public rating agency equivalent or other credit metrics and origination year for term loans.
 As of September 2022
$ in millionsInvestment-
 Grade
Non-Investment-
 Grade
 Other Metrics/
 Unrated
Total
2022$4,364 $3,512 $ $7,876 
20213,847 7,031  10,878 
20201,246 4,334  5,580 
2019325 3,333  3,658 
20181,833 2,064  3,897 
2017 or earlier1,063 3,026  4,089 
Revolving7,259 14,193 1 21,453 
Corporate19,937 37,493 1 57,431 
20221,886 766 907 3,559 
20211,391 1,069 1,175 3,635 
2020522 377  899 
2019411 225  636 
2018356 36  392 
2017 or earlier686 468  1,154 
Revolving30,018 2,083 3,188 35,289 
Wealth management35,270 5,024 5,270 45,564 
202239 3,053 157 3,249 
2021219 3,437  3,656 
202085 1,420  1,505 
201947 1,203  1,250 
2018184 488  672 
2017 or earlier655 674 6 1,335 
Revolving863 9,684  10,547 
Commercial real estate2,092 19,959 163 22,214 
202297 734 218 1,049 
2021141 1,208 229 1,578 
2020 11 91 102 
2019 — 101 101 
2018 103 142 245 
2017 or earlier6 2 144 152 
Revolving669 10,188  10,857 
Residential real estate913 12,246 925 14,084 
2022 84 114 198 
2021 556 160 716 
2020 30 320 350 
2019 11 13 24 
2018 13 10 23 
2017 or earlier 4 5 9 
Revolving4,124 2,792 88 7,004 
Other4,124 3,490 710 8,324 
Total$62,336 $78,212 $7,069 $147,617 
Percentage of total42 %53 %5 %100 %
 As of December 2021
$ in millionsInvestment-
 Grade
Non-Investment-
 Grade
Other Metrics/
 Unrated
Total
2021$4,687 $10,424 $52 $15,163 
20201,911 4,561 6,479 
2019451 3,949 — 4,400 
20181,842 2,901 — 4,743 
2017733 1,857 — 2,590 
2016 or earlier274 1,693 — 1,967 
Revolving3,800 11,744 74 15,618 
Corporate13,698 37,129 133 50,960 
20211,405 1,186 1,265 3,856 
2020558 287 — 845 
2019537 352 — 889 
2018334 38 — 372 
2017380 31 — 411 
2016 or earlier565 243 — 808 
Revolving26,349 2,127 2,405 30,881 
Wealth management30,128 4,264 3,670 38,062 
2021334 4,084 94 4,512 
2020127 1,890 — 2,017 
201952 1,336 — 1,388 
2018207 829 — 1,036 
2017398 624 — 1,022 
2016 or earlier405 583 995 
Revolving1,768 8,412 — 10,180 
Commercial real estate3,291 17,758 101 21,150 
2021113 1,944 253 2,310 
2020260 557 103 920 
2019— — 173 173 
2018— 84 165 249 
201765 119 192 
2016 or earlier— 56 57 
Revolving673 10,919 — 11,592 
Residential real estate1,054 13,570 869 15,493 
2021— 694 261 955 
2020— 59 378 437 
2019— 25 19 44 
2018— 30 — 30 
2017— 13 
Revolving2,752 1,645 82 4,479 
Other2,752 2,458 748 5,958 
Total$50,923 $75,179 $5,521 $131,623 
Percentage of total
39 %57 %%100 %
In the tables above, revolving loans which converted to term loans were $1.25 billion as of September 2022 and were not material as of December 2021.



The table below presents gross installment loans by refreshed FICO credit scores and origination year and gross credit card loans by refreshed FICO credit scores.
$ in millionsGreater than or
 equal to 660
Less than 660Total
As of September 2022   
2022$2,951 $118 $3,069 
20211,271 102 1,373 
2020324 27 351 
2019210 29 239 
201898 17 115 
2017 or earlier8 2 10 
Installment4,862 295 5,157 
Credit cards9,495 4,196 13,691 
Total$14,357 $4,491 $18,848 
Percentage of total:   
Installment94 %6 %100 %
Credit cards69 %31 %100 %
Total76 %24 %100 %
As of December 2021   
2021$2,017 $42 $2,059 
2020665 40 705 
2019508 61 569 
2018257 42 299 
201732 39 
2016— 
Installment3,480 192 3,672 
Credit cards6,100 2,112 8,212 
Total$9,580 $2,304 $11,884 
Percentage of total:  
Installment95 %%100 %
Credit cards74 %26 %100 %
Total81 %19 %100 %
In the table above, credit card loans consist of revolving lines of credit.
Credit Concentrations. The table below presents the concentration of gross loans by region.
$ in millionsCarrying
 Value
AmericasEMEAAsiaTotal
As of September 2022     
Corporate$63,181 64 %29 %7 %100 %
Wealth management50,101 89 %10 %1 %100 %
Commercial real estate26,082 79 %16 %5 %100 %
Residential real estate14,342 95 %3 %2 %100 %
Consumer:    
Installment5,157 100 %  100 %
Credit cards13,691 100 %  100 %
Other8,961 89 %10 %1 %100 %
Total$181,515 80 %16 %4 %100 %
As of December 2021    
Corporate$55,927 54 %38 %%100 %
Wealth management43,998 87 %10 %%100 %
Commercial real estate25,883 80 %15 %%100 %
Residential real estate15,913 95 %%%100 %
Consumer:    
Installment3,672 100 %— — 100 %
Credit cards8,212 100 %— — 100 %
Other8,530 84 %15 %%100 %
Total$162,135 76 %19 %%100 %
In the table above:
EMEA represents Europe, Middle East and Africa.
The top five industry concentrations for corporate loans as of September 2022 were 23% for funds, 17% for technology, media & telecommunications, 12% for diversified industrials, 8% for financial institutions, and 8% for real estate.
The top five industry concentrations for corporate loans as of December 2021 were 21% for funds, 18% for technology, media & telecommunications, 13% for diversified industrials, 9% for natural resources & utilities, and 8% for financial institutions.
Nonaccrual and Past Due Loans. Loans accounted for at amortized cost (other than credit card loans) are placed on nonaccrual status when it is probable that the firm will not collect all principal and interest due under the contractual terms, regardless of the delinquency status or if a loan is past due for 90 days or more, unless the loan is both well collateralized and in the process of collection. At that time, all accrued but uncollected interest is reversed against interest income and interest subsequently collected is recognized on a cash basis to the extent the loan balance is deemed collectible. Otherwise, all cash received is used to reduce the outstanding loan balance. A loan is considered past due when a principal or interest payment has not been made according to its contractual terms. Credit card loans are not placed on nonaccrual status and accrue interest until the loan is paid in full or is charged off.
In certain circumstances, the firm may modify the original terms of a loan agreement by granting a concession to a borrower experiencing financial difficulty, typically in the form of a modification of loan covenants, but may also include forbearance of interest or principal, payment extensions or interest rate reductions. These modifications, to the extent significant, are considered TDRs. Loan modifications that extend payment terms for a period of less than 90 days are generally considered insignificant and therefore not reported as TDRs.
The table below presents information about past due loans.
$ in millions30-89 days90 days
 or more
Total
As of September 2022   
Corporate$12 $129 $141 
Wealth management253 37 290 
Commercial real estate24 316 340 
Residential real estate2 7 9 
Consumer:  
Installment34 12 46 
Credit cards226 196 422 
Other20 8 28 
Total$571 $705 $1,276 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost0.8 %
As of December 2021   
Corporate$$90 $95 
Wealth management— 20 20 
Commercial real estate143 150 
Residential real estate
Consumer:  
Installment20 27 
Credit cards86 71 157 
Other15 18 
Total$136 $338 $474 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost0.3 %
The table below presents information about nonaccrual loans.
 As of
SeptemberDecember
$ in millions20222021
Corporate$1,422 $1,559 
Wealth management213 21 
Commercial real estate574 841 
Residential real estate4 
Installment38 43 
Total$2,251 $2,469 
Total divided by gross loans at amortized cost1.4 %1.7 %
In the table above:
Nonaccrual loans included $598 million as of September 2022 and $254 million as of December 2021 of loans that were 30 days or more past due.
Loans that were 90 days or more past due and still accruing were not material as of both September 2022 and December 2021.
Nonaccrual loans included $212 million as of September 2022 and $267 million as of December 2021 of corporate and commercial real estate loans that were modified in a TDR. The firm’s lending commitments related to these loans were not material as of both September 2022 and December 2021. Installment loans that were modified in a TDR were not material as of both September 2022 and December 2021.
Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of total nonaccrual loans was 215.3% as of September 2022 and 144.7% as of December 2021.
Allowance for Credit Losses
The firm’s allowance for credit losses consists of the allowance for losses on loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost. Loans and lending commitments accounted for at fair value or accounted for at the lower of cost or fair value are not subject to an allowance for credit losses.
To determine the allowance for credit losses, the firm classifies its loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost into wholesale and consumer portfolios. These portfolios represent the level at which the firm has developed and documented its methodology to determine the allowance for credit losses. The allowance for credit losses is measured on a collective basis for loans that exhibit similar risk characteristics using a modeled approach and on an asset-specific basis for loans that do not share similar risk characteristics.
The allowance for credit losses takes into account the weighted average of a range of forecasts of future economic conditions over the expected life of the loan and lending commitments. The expected life of each loan or lending commitment is determined based on the contractual term adjusted for extension options or demand features, or is modeled in the case of revolving credit card loans. The forecasts include baseline, favorable and adverse economic scenarios over a three-year period. For loans with expected lives beyond three years, the model reverts to historical loss information based on a non-linear modeled approach. The forecasted economic scenarios consider a number of risk factors relevant to the wholesale and consumer portfolios described below. The firm applies judgment in weighing individual scenarios each quarter based on a variety of factors, including the firm’s internally derived economic outlook, market consensus, recent macroeconomic conditions and industry trends.
The allowance for credit losses also includes qualitative components which allow management to reflect the uncertain nature of economic forecasting, capture uncertainty regarding model inputs, and account for model imprecision and concentration risk.
Management’s estimate of credit losses entails judgment about the expected life of the loan and loan collectability at the reporting dates, and there are uncertainties inherent in those judgments. The allowance for credit losses is subject to a governance process that involves review and approval by senior management within the firm’s independent risk oversight and control functions. Personnel within the firm’s independent risk oversight and control functions are responsible for forecasting the economic variables that underlie the economic scenarios that are used in the modeling of expected credit losses. While management uses the best information available to determine this estimate, future adjustments to the allowance may be necessary based on, among other things, changes in the economic environment or variances between actual results and the original assumptions used.
The table below presents gross loans and lending commitments accounted for at amortized cost by portfolio.
As of
September 2022December 2021
$ in millionsLoansLending
 Commitments
LoansLending
 Commitments
Wholesale
Corporate$57,431 $139,946 $50,960 $143,296 
Wealth management45,564 4,638 38,062 4,091 
Commercial real estate22,214 2,715 21,150 4,306 
Residential real estate14,084 2,793 15,493 3,317 
Other8,324 4,940 5,958 6,169 
Consumer
Installment5,157 957 3,672 
Credit cards13,691 60,655 8,212 35,932 
Total$166,465 $216,644 $143,507 $197,120 
In the table above:
Wholesale loans included $2.21 billion as of September 2022 and $2.43 billion as of December 2021 of nonaccrual loans for which the allowance for credit losses was measured on an asset-specific basis. The allowance for credit losses on these loans was $449 million as of September 2022 and $543 million as of December 2021. These loans included $313 million as of September 2022 and $140 million as of December 2021 of loans which did not require a reserve as the loan was deemed to be recoverable.
Credit card lending commitments included $60.66 billion as of September 2022 and $33.97 billion as of December 2021 related to credit card lines issued by the firm to consumers. These credit card lines are cancellable by the firm. The increase in credit card lending commitments from December 2021 to September 2022 reflected approximately $15.0 billion relating to the firm’s acquisition of the General Motors co-branded credit card portfolio. In addition, credit card lending commitments as of December 2021 included a commitment of approximately $2.0 billion to acquire the outstanding credit card loans related to the General Motors co-branded credit card portfolio. See Note 18 for further information about lending commitments.
The increase in installment lending commitments from December 2021 to September 2022 primarily relates to commitments extended in connection with point-of-sale financing. See Note 18 for further information about lending commitments.
The following is a description of the methodology used to calculate the allowance for credit losses:
Wholesale. The allowance for credit losses for wholesale loans and lending commitments that exhibit similar risk characteristics is measured using a modeled approach. These models determine the probability of default and loss given default based on various risk factors, including internal credit ratings, industry default and loss data, expected life, macroeconomic indicators, the borrower’s capacity to meet its financial obligations, the borrower’s country of risk and industry, loan seniority and collateral type. For lending commitments, the methodology also considers probability of drawdowns or funding. In addition, for loans backed by real estate, risk factors include the loan-to-value ratio, debt service ratio and home price index. The most significant inputs to the forecast model for wholesale loans and lending commitments include unemployment rates, GDP, credit spreads, commercial and industrial delinquency rates, short- and long-term interest rates, and oil prices.
The allowance for loan losses for wholesale loans that do not share similar risk characteristics, such as nonaccrual loans or loans in a TDR, is calculated using the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the loan’s original effective rate, the observable market price of the loan or the fair value of the collateral.
Wholesale loans are charged off against the allowance for loan losses when deemed to be uncollectible.

Consumer. The allowance for credit losses for consumer loans that exhibit similar risk characteristics is calculated using a modeled approach which classifies consumer loans into pools based on borrower-related and exposure-related characteristics that differentiate a pool’s risk characteristics from other pools. The factors considered in determining a pool are generally consistent with the risk characteristics used for internal credit risk measurement and management and include key metrics, such as FICO credit scores, delinquency status, loan vintage and macroeconomic indicators. The most significant inputs to the forecast model for consumer loans include unemployment rates and delinquency rates. The expected life of revolving credit card loans is determined by modeling expected future draws and the timing and amount of repayments allocated to the funded balance. The firm also recognizes an allowance for credit losses on commitments to acquire loans. However, no allowance for credit losses is recognized on credit card lending commitments as they are cancellable by the firm.
The allowance for credit losses for consumer loans that do not share similar risk characteristics, such as loans in a TDR, is calculated using the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at the loan’s original effective rate.
Installment loans are charged off when they are 120 days past due. Credit card loans are charged off when they are 180 days past due.

Allowance for Credit Losses Rollforward
The table below presents information about the allowance for credit losses.
$ in millionsWholesale Consumer Total
Three Months Ended September 2022  
Allowance for loan losses   
Beginning balance$2,458 $2,104 $4,562 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(43)(129)(172)
Provision78 403 481 
Other(25) (25)
Ending balance$2,468 $2,378 $4,846 
Allowance ratio1.7 %12.6 %2.9 %
Net charge-off ratio0.1 %2.9 %0.4 %
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$702 $3 $705 
Provision(10)44 34 
Ending balance$692 $47 $739 
Three Months Ended September 2021  
Allowance for loan losses   
Beginning balance$2,173 $1,098 $3,271 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(40)(36)(76)
Provision25 139 164 
Other(27)— (27)
Ending balance$2,131 $1,201 $3,332 
Allowance ratio1.8 %12.4 %2.6 %
Net charge-off ratio0.1 %1.6 %0.2 %
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$636 $186 $822 
Provision13 (2)11 
Ending balance$649 $184 $833 
Nine Months Ended September 2022
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,135 $1,438 $3,573 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(189)(286)(475)
Provision551 1,226 1,777 
Other(29) (29)
Ending balance$2,468 $2,378 $4,846 
Allowance ratio1.7 %12.6 %2.9 %
Net charge-off ratio0.2 %2.5 %0.4 %
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$589 $187 $776 
Provision106 (140)(34)
Other(3) (3)
Ending balance$692 $47 $739 
Nine Months Ended September 2021
Allowance for loan losses
Beginning balance$2,584 $1,290 $3,874 
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries(49)(153)(202)
Provision(345)64 (281)
Other(59) (59)
Ending balance$2,131 $1,201 $3,332 
Allowance ratio1.8 %12.4 %2.6 %
Net charge-off ratio0.1 %2.4 %0.2 %
Allowance for losses on lending commitments
Beginning balance$557 $— $557 
Provision110 184 294 
Other(18) (18)
Ending balance$649 $184 $833 
In the table above:
For the nine months ended September 2021, other primarily represented the reduction to the allowance related to loans and lending commitments transferred to held for sale.
The allowance ratio is calculated by dividing the allowance for loan losses by gross loans accounted for at amortized cost.
The net charge-off ratio is calculated by dividing annualized net (charge-offs)/recoveries by average gross loans accounted for at amortized cost.
Forecast Model Inputs as of September 2022
When modeling expected credit losses, the firm employs a weighted, multi-scenario forecast, which includes baseline, adverse and favorable economic scenarios. As of September 2022, this multi-scenario forecast was weighted towards the baseline and adverse economic scenarios, consistent with the second quarter of 2022.
The table below presents the forecasted U.S. unemployment and U.S. GDP growth rates used in the baseline economic scenario of the forecast model.
As of September 2022
U.S. unemployment rate 
Forecast for the quarter ended: 
December 20223.8 %
June 20234.0 %
December 20234.1 %
Growth in U.S. GDP 
Forecast for the year: 
20221.5 %
20230.8 %
20241.5 %
The adverse economic scenario of the forecast model reflects a global recession in the fourth quarter of 2022 through the second half of 2023 resulting in an economic contraction, decline in consumer spending and rising unemployment rates. In this scenario, the U.S. unemployment rate peaks at approximately 7.4% during the fourth quarter of 2023 and the maximum decline in the quarterly U.S. GDP relative to the third quarter of 2022 is approximately 2.1%, which occurs during the third quarter of 2023.
In the table above:
U.S. unemployment rate represents the rate forecasted as of the respective quarter-end.
Growth in U.S. GDP represents the year-over-year growth rate forecasted for the respective years.

While the U.S. unemployment and U.S. GDP growth rates are significant inputs to the forecast model, the model contemplates a variety of other inputs across a range of scenarios to provide a forecast of future economic conditions. Given the complex nature of the forecasting process, no single economic variable can be viewed in isolation and independently of other inputs.
Allowance for Credit Losses Commentary
Three Months Ended September 2022. The allowance for credit losses increased by $318 million during the three months ended September 2022, reflecting growth in the firm's consumer lending portfolio (principally in credit cards) and higher modeled expected losses due to broad macroeconomic concerns.
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries for the three months ended September 2022 for wholesale loans were primarily related to corporate loans and net (charge-offs)/recoveries for consumer loans were primarily related to credit cards.
Nine Months Ended September 2022. The allowance for credit losses increased by $1.24 billion during the nine months ended September 2022, reflecting growth in the firm's consumer lending portfolio (principally in credit cards) and higher modeled expected losses due to broad macroeconomic and geopolitical concerns.
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries for the nine months ended September 2022 for wholesale loans were primarily related to corporate loans and net (charge-offs)/recoveries for consumer loans were primarily related to credit cards.
Three Months Ended September 2021. The allowance for credit losses increased by $72 million during the three months ended September 2021, reflecting growth in the firm’s lending portfolios, primarily in consumer loans related to credit cards, partially offset by reserve reduction driven by improved broader economic conditions.
Net (charge-offs)/recoveries for the three months ended September 2021 for wholesale loans were primarily related to corporate loans and net (charge-offs)/recoveries for consumer loans were primarily related to credit cards.
Nine Months Ended September 2021. The allowance for credit losses decreased by $266 million during the nine months ended September 2021, reflecting reserve reduction driven by improved broader economic conditions, partially offset by growth in the firm’s wholesale and consumer lending portfolios, including a provision for credit losses of approximately $185 million related to the acquisition of the General Motors co-branded credit card portfolio.

Net (charge-offs)/recoveries for the nine months ended September 2021 for wholesale loans were primarily related to corporate loans and net (charge-offs)/recoveries for consumer loans were primarily related to credit cards.
Fair Value of Loans by Level
The table below presents loans held for investment accounted for at fair value under the fair value option by level within the fair value hierarchy.
$ in millionsLevel 1Level 2Level 3Total
As of September 2022    
Loan Type    
Corporate$ $1,101 $743 $1,844 
Wealth management 4,474 63 4,537 
Commercial real estate 432 845 1,277 
Residential real estate 162 95 257 
Other 23 312 335 
Total$ $6,192 $2,058 $8,250 
As of December 2021   
Loan Type   
Corporate$— $1,655 $837 $2,492 
Wealth management— 5,873 63 5,936 
Commercial real estate— 605 983 1,588 
Residential real estate— 115 205 320 
Other— 167 266 433 
Total$— $8,415 $2,354 $10,769 
The gains/(losses) as a result of changes in the fair value of loans held for investment for which the fair value option was elected were $(168) million for the three months ended September 2022, $30 million for the three months ended September 2021, $(363) million for the nine months ended September 2022 and $223 million for the nine months ended September 2021. These gains/(losses) were included in other principal transactions.
Significant Unobservable Inputs
The table below presents the amount of level 3 loans, and ranges and weighted averages of significant unobservable inputs used to value such loans.
 As of September 2022As of December 2021
$ in millions
Amount or
Range
Weighted
 Average
Amount or
Range
Weighted
 Average
Corporate    
Level 3 assets$743  $837  
Yield
2.0% to 25.0%
10.7 %
1.5% to 55.6%
14.9 %
Recovery rate
15.0% to 95.0%
43.6 %
15.0% to 92.0%
40.8 %
Duration (years)
0.3 to 3.5
2.6
0.9 to 6.8
2.7
Commercial real estate   
Level 3 assets$845  $983  
Yield
1.4% to 27.0%
14.1 %
3.2% to 18.7%
12.6 %
Recovery rate
3.6% to 23.5%
16.8 %
4.1% to 99.5%
41.4 %
Duration (years)
0.3 to 4.8
2.1
0.4 to 4.0
1.7
Residential real estate   
Level 3 assets$95  $205  
Yield
3.8% to 17.0%
13.8 %
2.1% to 20.0%
16.1 %
Duration (years)
0.3 to 7.3
2.4
0.1 to 2.4
1.0
Wealth management and other   
Level 3 assets$375  $329  
Yield
5.7% to 13.0%
8.7 %
3.6% to 18.7%
7.1 %
Duration (years)
2.9 to 5.4
3.9
2.9 to 5.5
3.6
In the table above:
Ranges represent the significant unobservable inputs that were used in the valuation of each type of loan.
Weighted averages are calculated by weighting each input by the relative fair value of the loan.
The ranges and weighted averages of these inputs are not representative of the appropriate inputs to use when calculating the fair value of any one loan. For example, the highest yield for residential real estate loans is appropriate for valuing a specific residential real estate loan but may not be appropriate for valuing any other residential real estate loan. Accordingly, the ranges of inputs do not represent uncertainty in, or possible ranges of, fair value measurements of level 3 loans.
Increases in yield or duration used in the valuation of level 3 loans would have resulted in a lower fair value measurement, while increases in recovery rate would have resulted in a higher fair value measurement as of both September 2022 and December 2021. Due to the distinctive nature of each level 3 loan, the interrelationship of inputs is not necessarily uniform within each product type.
Loans are valued using discounted cash flows.

Level 3 Rollforward
The table below presents a summary of the changes in fair value for level 3 loans.
 Three Months
Ended September
Nine Months
Ended September
$ in millions2022202120222021
Beginning balance$2,347 $2,229 $2,354 $2,678 
Net realized gains/(losses)17 23 89 72 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)(89)(16)(217)(31)
Purchases7 74 212 140 
Sales
(18)(13)(61)(17)
Settlements(156)(181)(429)(555)
Transfers into level 3141 93 272 181 
Transfers out of level 3(191)(10)(162)(269)
Ending balance$2,058 $2,199 $2,058 $2,199 
In the table above:
Changes in fair value are presented for loans that are classified in level 3 as of the end of the period.
Net unrealized gains/(losses) relates to loans that were still held at period-end.
Purchases includes originations and secondary purchases.
Transfers between levels of the fair value hierarchy are reported at the beginning of the reporting period in which they occur. If a loan was transferred to level 3 during a reporting period, its entire gain or loss for the period is classified in level 3.


The table below presents information, by loan type, for loans included in the summary table above.
 Three Months
Ended September
Nine Months
Ended September
$ in millions2022202120222021
Corporate  
Beginning balance$958 $852 $837 $929 
Net realized gains/(losses)9 11 21 21 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)(10)(16)(31)(24)
Purchases7 17 121 63 
Sales(18)(13)(53)(13)
Settlements(78)(81)(141)(208)
Transfers into level 341 15 78 103 
Transfers out of level 3(166)(10)(89)(96)
Ending balance$743 $775 $743 $775 
Commercial real estate  
Beginning balance$891 $920 $983 $1,104 
Net realized gains/(losses)6 47 33 
Net unrealized gains/(losses)(70)11 (149)(15)
Purchases — 69 19 
Sales— — (7)(3)
Settlements(57)(82)(162)(227)
Transfers into level 3100 78 109 78 
Transfers out of level 3(25)— (45)(53)
Ending balance$845 $936 $845 $936 
Residential real estate  
Beginning balance$116 $118 $205 $260 
Net realized gains/(losses)1  
Net unrealized gains/(losses)(9)(18)(36)
Purchases 57 4 58 
Sales — (1)(1)
Settlements(13)(13)(87)(45)
Transfers into level 3 — 19 — 
Transfers out of level 3 — (27)(76)
Ending balance$95 $166 $95 $166 
Wealth management and other 
Beginning balance$382 $339 $329 $385 
Net realized gains/(losses)1 — 21 12 
Net unrealized gains/(losses) (12)(19)44 
Purchases — 18 — 
Settlements(8)(5)(39)(75)
Transfers into level 3 — 66 — 
Transfers out of level 3 — (1)(44)
Ending balance$375 $322 $375 $322 
Level 3 Rollforward Commentary
Three Months Ended September 2022. The net realized and unrealized losses on level 3 loans of $72 million (reflecting $17 million of net realized gains and $89 million of net unrealized losses) for the three months ended September 2022 included gains/(losses) of $(83) million reported in other principal transactions and $11 million reported in interest income.
The drivers of net unrealized losses on level 3 loans for the three months ended September 2022 were not material.
Transfers into level 3 loans during the three months ended September 2022 primarily reflected transfers of certain loans backed by commercial real estate from level 2 (principally due to reduced price transparency as a result of a lack of market evidence, including fewer market transactions in these instruments).
Transfers out of level 3 loans during the three months ended September 2022 primarily reflected transfers of certain corporate loans to level 2 (principally due to certain unobservable yield inputs no longer being significant to the valuation of these instruments).
Nine Months Ended September 2022. The net realized and unrealized losses on level 3 loans of $128 million (reflecting $89 million of net realized gains and $217 million of net unrealized losses) for the nine months ended September 2022 included gains/(losses) of $(148) million reported in other principal transactions and $20 million reported in interest income.
The net unrealized losses on level 3 loans for the nine months ended September 2022 primarily reflected losses on certain loans backed by commercial real estate (principally due to the impact of an increase in interest rates).
Transfers into level 3 loans during the nine months ended September 2022 primarily reflected transfers of certain loans backed by commercial real estate and corporate loans from level 2 (in each case, principally due to reduced price transparency as a result of a lack of market evidence, including fewer market transactions in these instruments).
Transfers out of level 3 loans during the nine months ended September 2022 primarily reflected transfers of certain corporate loans to level 2 (principally due to certain unobservable yield inputs no longer being significant to the valuation of these instruments).
Three Months Ended September 2021. The net realized and unrealized gains on level 3 loans of $7 million (reflecting $23 million of net realized gains and $16 million of net unrealized losses) for the three months ended September 2021 included gains/(losses) of $(7) million reported in other principal transactions and $14 million reported in interest income.
The drivers of net unrealized losses on level 3 loans for the three months ended September 2021 were not material.
The drivers of both the transfers into level 3 loans and transfers out of level 3 loans during the three months ended September 2021 were not material.


Nine Months Ended September 2021. The net realized and unrealized gains on level 3 loans of $41 million (reflecting $72 million of net realized gains and $31 million of net unrealized losses) for the nine months ended September 2021 included gains of $15 million reported in other principal transactions and $26 million reported in interest income.
The drivers of net unrealized losses on level 3 loans for the nine months ended September 2021 were not material.
Transfers into level 3 loans during the nine months ended September 2021 primarily reflected transfers of certain corporate loans from level 2 (principally due to reduced price transparency as a result of a lack of market evidence, including fewer market transactions in these instruments).
Transfers out of level 3 loans during the nine months ended September 2021 primarily reflected transfers of certain corporate loans and loans backed by residential real estate to level 2 (in each case, principally due to increased price transparency as a result of market evidence, including market transactions in these instruments).
Estimated Fair Value
The table below presents the estimated fair value of loans that are not accounted for at fair value and in what level of the fair value hierarchy they would have been classified if they had been included in the firm’s fair value hierarchy.
 Carrying ValueEstimated Fair Value
$ in millionsLevel 2Level 3Total
As of September 2022    
Amortized cost$161,619 $85,846 $77,386 $163,232 
Held for sale$6,800 $3,589 $3,221 $6,810 
As of December 2021    
Amortized cost$139,934 $87,676 $54,127 $141,803 
Held for sale$7,859 $5,970 $1,917 $7,887 
See Note 4 for an overview of the firm’s fair value measurement policies and the valuation techniques and significant inputs used to determine the fair value of loans.