EX-99.1 2 a06-24438_1ex99d1.htm EX-99

EXHIBIT 99.1

CLAYTON WILLIAMS ENERGY, INC.

FINANCIAL GUIDANCE DISCLOSURES FOR 2006

Overview

Clayton Williams Energy, Inc. and its subsidiaries have prepared this document to provide public disclosure of certain financial and operating estimates in order to permit the preparation of models to forecast our operating results for each quarter during the year ending December 31, 2006.  These estimates are based on information available to us as of the date of this filing, and actual results may vary materially from these estimates.  We do not undertake any obligation to update these estimates as conditions change or as additional information becomes available.

The estimates provided in this document are based on assumptions that we believe are reasonable.  Until our results of operations for this period have been finally compiled and released, all of the estimates and assumptions set forth herein constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.  All statements, other than statements of historical facts, included in this document that address activities, events or developments that we expect, project, believe or anticipate will or may occur in the future, or may have occurred through the date of this filing, including such matters as production of oil and gas, product prices, oil and gas reserves, drilling and completion results, capital expenditures and other such matters, are forward-looking statements.  Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially different from the results, performance, or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.  Such factors include, among others, the following:  the volatility of oil and gas prices, the unpredictable nature of our exploratory drilling results; the reliance upon estimates of proved reserves; operating hazards and uninsured risks; competition; government regulation; and other factors referenced in filings made by us with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

As a matter of policy, we generally do not attempt to provide guidance on:

(a)                            production which may be obtained through future exploratory drilling;

(b)                           dry hole and abandonment costs that may result from future exploratory drilling;

(c)                            the effects of Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 133, “Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities”;

(d)                           gains or losses from sales of property and equipment unless the sale has been consummated prior to the filing of financial guidance; and

(e)                            capital expenditures related to completion activities on exploratory wells or acquisitions of proved properties until the expenditures are estimable and likely to occur.

As discussed in “Capital Expenditures”, a significant portion of our 2006 planned exploration and development expenditures relate to exploratory prospects.  Exploratory prospects involve a higher degree of risk than development prospects.  To offset the higher risk, we generally strive to achieve a higher reserve potential and rate of return on investments in exploratory prospects.  Actual results from our exploratory drilling activities, when ultimately reported, may have a material impact on the estimates of oil and gas production and exploration costs stated in this guidance.




Summary of Estimates

The following table sets forth certain estimates being used by us to model our anticipated results of operations for each quarter during the fiscal year ending December 31, 2006.  When a single value is provided, such value represents the mid-point of the approximate range of estimates.  Otherwise, each range of values provided represents the expected low and high estimates for such financial or operating factor.  See “Supplemental Information.”

 

 

Year Ending December 31, 2006

 

 

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Estimated

 

 

 

First Quarter

 

Second Quarter

 

Third Quarter

 

Fourth Quarter

 

 

 

(Dollars in thousands, except per unit data)

 

Average Daily Production:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas (Mcf)

 

38,478

 

44,132

 

40,630

 

40,500 to 44,500

 

Oil (Bbls)

 

6,167

 

6,099

 

5,783

 

5,750 to 5,950

 

Natural gas liquids (Bbls)

 

533

 

549

 

554

 

500 to 550

 

Total gas equivalents (Mcfe)

 

78,678

 

84,020

 

78,652

 

78,000 to 83,500

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Differentials:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gas ($/Mcf)

 

$

(1.88

)

$

(.04

)

$

(.28

)

$(.40) to $(.70)

 

Oil ($/Bbl)

 

$

(3.47

)

$

(3.92

)

$

(3.21

)

$(2.80) to $(3.40)

 

Natural gas liquids ($/Bbl)

 

$

(24.58

)

$

(33.14

)

$

(26.69

)

$(22.00) to $(28.00)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Costs Variable by Production ($/Mcfe):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Production expenses (including production taxes)

 

$

2.11

 

$

2.08

 

$

2.28

 

$2.20 to $2.40

 

DD&A – Oil and gas properties

 

$

1.97

 

$

1.98

 

$

2.30

 

$1.95 to $2.25

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Other Revenues (Expenses):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Natural gas services:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

 

$

3,196

 

$

2,789

 

$

2,905

 

$2,800 to $2,900

 

Operating costs

 

$

(2,829

)

$

(2,261

)

$

(2,730

)

$(2,600) to $(2,800)

 

Exploration costs:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Abandonments and impairments

 

$

(12,843

)

$

(3,329

)

$

(19,650

)

$(7,000) to $(9,000)

 

Seismic and other

 

$

(3,101

)

$

(2,587

)

$

(3,678

)

$(2,600) to $(3,400)

 

DD&A – Other

 

$

(729

)

$

(827

)

$

(1,041

)

$(800) to $(850)

 

General and administrative

 

$

(4,067

)

$

(4,252

)

$

(3,086

)

$(4,350) to $(4,550)

 

Interest expense

 

$

(4,339

)

$

(4,961

)

$

(5,328

)

$(5,700) to $(5,900)

 

Other income (expense)

 

$

618

 

$

450

 

$

(1,583

)

$250 to $350

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Effective Federal and State Income Tax Rate:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current

 

0%

 

0%

 

0%

 

0%

 

Deferred

 

35%

 

15%

 

34%

 

35%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted Average Shares Outstanding (in thousands):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic

 

10,841

 

10,850

 

10,850

 

11,000 to 11,050

 

Diluted

 

11,351

 

11,286

 

11,205

 

11,400 to 11,800

 

 




Capital Expenditures

The following table sets forth, by area, certain information about our planned exploration and development activities for 2006.

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

Planned

 

 

 

 

 

Expenditures

 

 

 

 

 

Year Ended

 

Percentage

 

 

 

December 31, 2006

 

of Total

 

 

 

(In thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Lousiana

 

$

114,000

 

47

%

North Louisiana

 

54,300

 

22

%

Permian Basin

 

34,500

 

14

%

East Texas (Bossier)

 

23,600

 

10

%

Utah/Montana

 

7,700

 

3

%

Austin Chalk (Trend)

 

2,700

 

1

%

Other

 

7,500

 

3

%

 

 

$

244,300

 

100

%

 

Approximately 87% of the planned expenditures shown in the preceding table relate to exploratory prospects.  Exploratory prospects involve a higher degree of risk than developmental prospects.  To offset the higher risk, we generally strive to achieve a higher reserve potential and rate of return on investments in exploratory prospects.  Actual expenditures during 2006 may be substantially higher or lower than these estimates since our plans for exploration and development activities may change during the year.  We do not attempt to forecast our success rate on exploratory drilling.  Accordingly, these current estimates do not include any costs we may incur to complete our successful exploratory wells and construct the required production facilities for these wells.  Also, we are actively searching for other opportunities to increase our oil and gas reserves, including the evaluation of new prospects for exploratory and developmental drilling activities and potential acquisitions of proved oil and gas properties.  Other factors, such as prevailing product prices and the availability of capital resources, could also increase or decrease the ultimate level of expenditures during 2006.




Supplementary Information

Oil and Gas Production

The following table summarizes, by area, our actual and estimated daily net production for each quarter during the year ending December 31, 2006.  These estimates represent the approximate mid-point of the estimated production range.

 

 

Daily Net Production for 2006

 

 

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Estimated

 

 

 

First Quarter

 

Second Quarter

 

Third Quarter

 

Fourth Quarter

 

Gas (Mcf):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Permian Basin

 

13,824

 

15,744

 

13,804

 

13,533

 

Louisiana

 

9,466

 

15,428

 

15,059

 

17,620

 

Austin Chalk (Trend)

 

3,261

 

2,757

 

2,102

 

2,326

 

Cotton Valley Reef Complex

 

11,439

 

9,723

 

9,083

 

8,467

 

Other

 

488

 

480

 

582

 

554

 

 

 

38,478

 

44,132

 

40,630

 

42,500

 

Oil (Bbls):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Permian Basin

 

3,216

 

3,274

 

3,102

 

3,120

 

Louisiana

 

1,079

 

933

 

899

 

913

 

Austin Chalk (Trend)

 

1,828

 

1,833

 

1,719

 

1,752

 

Other

 

44

 

59

 

63

 

65

 

 

 

6,167

 

6,099

 

5,783

 

5,850

 

Natural Gas Liquids (Bbls):

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Permian Basin

 

262

 

227

 

230

 

196

 

Austin Chalk (Trend)

 

258

 

265

 

260

 

264

 

Other

 

13

 

57

 

64

 

65

 

 

 

533

 

549

 

554

 

525

 

 

Accounting for Derivatives

The following summarizes information concerning our net positions in open commodity derivatives applicable to periods subsequent to September 30, 2006.  The settlement prices of commodity derivatives are based on NYMEX futures prices.

Collars:

 

 

Gas

 

Oil

 

 

 

MMBtu(a)

 

Floor

 

Ceiling

 

Bbls

 

Floor

 

Ceiling

 

Production Period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4th Quarter 2006

 

456,000

 

$

4.00

 

$

5.21

 

150,000

 

$

23.00

 

$

25.32

 

2007

 

1,831,000

 

$

4.00

 

$

5.18

 

562,000

 

$

23.00

 

$

25.20

 

2008

 

1,279,000

 

$

4.00

 

$

5.15

 

392,000

 

$

23.00

 

$

25.07

 

 

 

3,566,000

 

 

 

 

 

1,104,000

 

 

 

 

 

 

Swaps:

 

 

Gas

 

Oil

 

 

 

MMBtu(a)

 

Price

 

Bbls

 

Price

 

Production Period:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

4th Quarter 2006

 

1,050,000

 

$

10.03

 

75,000

 

$

71.60

 

2007

 

5,100,000

 

$

9.20

 

900,000

 

$

70.06

 

2008

 

3,600,000

 

$

8.37

 

360,000

 

$

69.55

 

 

 

9,750,000

 

 

 

1,335,000

 

 

 

 


(a)                                  One MMBtu equals one Mcf at a Btu factor of 1,000.

In August 2006, we terminated certain fixed-price gas swaps covering 9,010,000 MMBtu of gas production at an average price of $9.26 per Mcf for the period from November 2006 through December 2007.  We received cash proceeds of $6.1 million upon termination of these contracts.




In July 2006, we also terminated certain fixed-price oil swaps covering 300,000 barrels at a price of $80.45 per barrel, from January 2007 through December 2007, resulting in an aggregate loss of approximately $2.4 million, which will be paid to the counterparty monthly during 2007.

Interest Rates

The following summarizes information concerning our net positions in open interest rate swaps applicable to periods subsequent to September 30, 2006.

 

 


Principal

 

Fixed
Libor

 

 

 

Balance

 

Rates

 

Period:

 

 

 

 

 

October 1, 2006 to November 1, 2006

 

$

55,000,000

 

4.29

%

November 1, 2006 to November 1, 2007

 

$

50,000,000

 

5.19

%

November 1, 2007 to November 1, 2008

 

$

45,000,000

 

5.73

%

 

We did not designate any of the derivatives shown in the preceding tables as cash flow hedges under SFAS 133; therefore, all changes in the fair value of these contracts prior to maturity, plus any realized gains or losses at maturity, will be recorded as other income (expense).