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Loss Reserves (Tables)
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2011
Loss Reserves [Abstract]  
Reconciliation of beginning and ending loss reserves
The following table provides a reconciliation of beginning and ending loss reserves for the six months ended June 30, 2011 and 2010:

   
Six Months Ended
 
   
June 30,
 
   
2011
  
2010
 
   
(In thousands)
 
        
Reserve at beginning of year
 $5,884,171  $6,704,990 
Less reinsurance recoverable
  275,290   332,227 
Net reserve at beginning of year (1)
  5,608,881   6,372,763 
          
Losses incurred:
        
Losses and LAE incurred in respect of default notices received in:
        
Current year
  855,253   894,282 
Prior years (2)
  (85,270)  (119,694)
Subtotal (3)
  769,983   774,588 
          
Losses paid:
        
Losses and LAE paid in respect of default notices received in:
        
Current year
  8,330   2,250 
Prior years
  1,496,727   1,095,898 
Reinsurance terminations (4)
  (2,925)  (184)
Subtotal (5)
  1,502,132   1,097,964 
          
Net reserve at end of period (6)
  4,876,732   6,049,387 
Plus reinsurance recoverables
  206,170   339,542 
          
Reserve at end of period
 $5,082,902  $6,388,929 

(1)
At December 31, 2010 and 2009, the estimated reduction in loss reserves related to rescissions approximated $1.3 billion and $2.1 billion, respectively.
(2)
A negative number for prior year losses incurred indicates a redundancy of prior year loss reserves, and a positive number for prior year losses incurred indicates a deficiency of prior year loss reserves.
(3)
Rescissions did not have a significant impact on incurred losses in the six months ended June 30, 2011. Rescissions mitigated our incurred losses by an estimated $0.6 billion in the six months ended June 30, 2010.
(4)
In a termination, the reinsurance agreement is cancelled, with no future premium ceded and funds for any incurred but unpaid losses transferred to us. The transferred funds result in an increase in our investment portfolio (including cash and cash equivalents) and a decrease in net losses paid (reduction to losses incurred). In addition, there is an offsetting decrease in the reinsurance recoverable (increase in losses incurred), and thus there is no net impact to losses incurred.
(5)
Rescissions mitigated our paid losses by an estimated $0.4 billion in each of the six months ended June 30, 2011 and 2010, which excludes amounts that may have been applied to a deductible.
(6)
At June 30, 2011 and 2010, the estimated reduction in loss reserves related to rescissions approximated $0.9 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively.

Aging of the primary default inventory
Aging of the Primary Default Inventory
   
June 30,
  
December 31,
  
June 30,
 
   
2011
  
2010
  
2010
 
                    
Consecutive months in default
                  
3 months or less
  30,107   16%  37,640   18%  35,838   16%
4 - 11 months
  48,148   26%  58,701   27%  71,089   31%
12 months or more
  106,197   58%  118,383   55%  121,528   53%
                          
                          
Total primary default inventory
  184,452   100%  214,724   100%  228,455   100%
                          
Primary claims received inventory included in ending default inventory
  14,504   8%  20,898   10%  19,724   9%

Number of payments delinquent
Number of Payments Delinquent

   
June 30,
  
December 31,
  
June 30,
 
   
2011
  
2010
  
2010
 
                    
                    
 3 payments or less
  40,968   22%  51,003   24%  49,308   22%
 4 - 11 payments
  51,523   28%  65,797   31%  80,224   35%
12 payments or more
  91,961   50%  97,924   45%  98,923   43%
                          
Total primary default inventory
  184,452   100%  214,724   100%  228,455   100%

Estimate of impact of rescissions on loss reserves, paid and incurred losses
The table below represents our estimate of the impact rescissions have had on reducing our loss reserves, paid losses and losses incurred.
 
 Three Months Ended  Six Months Ended 
  June 30,  June 30, 
  2011 
2010
  
2011
  
2010
 
 
(In billions)
          
Estimated rescission reduction - beginning reserve
$ 1.1 $2.4  $1.3  $2.1 
                 
Estimated rescission reduction - losses incurred
  -  -   -   0.6 
                 
Rescission reduction - paid claims
  0.2  0.2   0.4   0.6 
Amounts that may have been applied to a deductible
  -  (0.1)  -   (0.2)
Net rescission reduction - paid claims
  0.2  0.1   0.4   0.4 
                 
Estimated rescission reduction - ending reserve
$ 0.9 $2.3  $0.9  $2.3 

Rollforward of primary default inventory
The level of new notice and cure activity reported in a particular month can be influenced by, among other things, the date on which a servicer generates its report and by transfers of servicing between loan servicers.

   
Three Months Ended
  
Six Months Ended
 
   
June 30,
  
June 30,
 
   
2011
  
2010
  
2011
  
2010
 
              
              
Default inventory at beginning of period
  195,885   241,244   214,724   250,440 
Plus: New Notices
  39,972   48,181   83,167   101,574 
Less: Cures
  (35,832)  (47,290)  (81,471)  (96,500)
Less: Paids (including those charged to a deductible or captive)
  (13,553)  (10,653)  (27,019)  (19,847)
Less: Rescissions and denials
  (2,020)  (3,027)  (4,949)  (7,212)
Default inventory at end of period
  184,452   228,455   184,452   228,455