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Fair Value Measurements (Tables)
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2018
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Summary of Carrying Amount and Fair Value of Ambac's Financial Assets and Liabilities
The following table sets forth the carrying amount and fair value of Ambac’s financial assets and liabilities as of June 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, including the level within the fair value hierarchy at which fair value measurements are categorized. As required by the Fair Value Measurement Topic of the ASC, financial assets and liabilities are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.
 
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Total Fair
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Categorized as:
June 30, 2018:
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
899,122

 
$
899,122

 
$

 
$
899,122

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,350,787

 
1,350,787

 
450

 
1,350,337

 

Foreign obligations
 
25,442

 
25,442

 
24,346

 
1,096

 

U.S. government obligations
 
82,413

 
82,413

 
82,413

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
512,309

 
512,309

 

 
512,309

 

Collateralized debt obligations
 
65,457

 
65,457

 

 
65,457

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
579,397

 
579,397

 

 
510,595

 
68,802

Fixed income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
84,641

 
84,641

 
84,641

 

 

Short term investments
 
393,447

 
393,447

 
314,070

 
79,377

 

Other investments (1)
 
394,396

 
378,471

 
59,834

 

 
21,571

Cash and cash equivalents
 
44,398

 
44,398

 
23,993

 
20,405

 

Loans
 
10,007

 
12,039

 

 

 
12,039

Derivative assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
56,147

 
56,147

 

 
9,208

 
46,939

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
(161
)
 
(161
)
 

 
(161
)
 

Futures contracts
 
524

 
524

 
524

 

 

Other assets
 
5,255

 
5,255

 

 

 
5,255

Variable interest entity assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities: Corporate obligations
 
2,756,924

 
2,756,924

 

 

 
2,756,924

Restricted cash
 
1,052

 
1,052

 
1,052

 

 

Loans
 
10,751,199

 
10,751,199

 

 

 
10,751,199

Derivative assets: Currency swaps-asset position
 
60,403

 
60,403

 

 
60,403

 

Total financial assets
 
$
17,988,518

 
$
17,974,625

 
$
506,682

 
$
3,508,148

 
$
13,662,729

Financial liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long term debt, including accrued interest
 
$
3,033,947

 
$
3,147,361

 
$

 
$
2,733,359

 
$
414,002

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
 
1,326

 
1,326

 

 

 
1,326

Interest rate swaps—asset position
 

 

 

 


 

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
66,322

 
66,322

 

 
66,322

 

Liabilities for net financial guarantees written (2)
 
(463,146
)
 
1,022,545

 

 

 
1,022,545

Variable interest entity liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
 
11,454,746

 
11,454,746

 

 
8,937,108

 
2,517,638

Derivative liabilities: Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
1,992,227

 
1,992,227

 

 
1,992,227

 

Total financial liabilities
 
$
16,085,422

 
$
17,684,527

 
$

 
$
13,729,016

 
$
3,955,511

 
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Total Fair
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Categorized as:
December 31, 2017:
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
779,834

 
$
779,834

 
$

 
$
779,834

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
860,075

 
860,075

 
450

 
859,625

 

Foreign obligations
 
26,543

 
26,543

 
25,615

 
928

 

U.S. government obligations
 
85,408

 
85,408

 
85,408

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,251,333

 
2,251,333

 

 
1,515,316

 
736,017

Collateralized debt obligations
 
51,037

 
51,037

 

 
51,037

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
597,942

 
597,942

 

 
525,402

 
72,540

Fixed income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
99,719

 
99,719

 
99,719

 

 

Short term investments
 
557,270

 
557,270

 
389,299

 
167,971

 

Other investments (1)
 
431,630

 
413,977

 
56,498

 
29,750

 
17,288

Cash and cash equivalents
 
623,703

 
623,703

 
615,073

 
8,630

 

Loans
 
10,358

 
10,284

 

 

 
10,284

Derivative assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
73,199

 
73,199

 

 
11,825

 
61,374

Other assets
 
5,979

 
5,979

 

 

 
5,979

Variable interest entity assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities: Corporate obligations
 
2,914,145

 
2,914,145

 

 

 
2,914,145

Restricted cash
 
978

 
978

 
978

 

 

Loans
 
11,529,384

 
11,529,384

 

 

 
11,529,384

Derivative assets: Currency swaps—asset position
 
54,877

 
54,877

 

 
54,877

 

Total financial assets
 
$
20,853,695

 
$
20,835,968

 
$
1,173,321

 
$
4,005,195

 
$
15,347,011

Financial liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long term debt, including accrued interest
 
$
1,428,680

 
$
1,369,499

 
$

 
$
1,046,511

 
$
322,988

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
 
566

 
566

 

 

 
566

Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
(627
)
 
(627
)
 

 
(627
)
 

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
81,495

 
81,495

 

 
81,495

 

Futures contracts
 
1,348

 
1,348

 
1,348

 

 

Liabilities for net financial guarantees written (2)
 
3,435,438

 
4,842,402

 

 

 
4,842,402

Variable interest entity liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
 
12,160,544

 
12,160,544

 

 
9,402,856

 
2,757,688

Derivative liabilities: Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
2,205,264

 
2,205,264

 

 
2,205,264

 

Total financial liabilities
 
$
19,312,708

 
$
20,660,491

 
$
1,348

 
$
12,735,499

 
$
7,923,644


(1)
Excluded from the fair value measurement categories in the table above are investment funds of $297,066 and $310,441 as of June 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017, respectively, which are measured using NAV per share as a practical expedient.
Information about Valuation Inputs for Variable Interest Entity Assets and Liabilities Classified as Level 3
Information about the above described model inputs used to determine the fair value of credit derivatives, including the CVA as a percentage of the gross mark-to-market liability before considering Ambac credit risk (“CVA percentage”), as of June 30, 2018 and December 31, 2017 is summarized below:
 
June 30,
2018
 
December 31, 2017
Number of CDS transactions
 
2

 
2

Notional outstanding
 
$
311,237

 
$
325,890

Weighted average reference obligation price
 
98.1

 
99.3

Weighted average life (WAL) in years
 
6.1

 
6.5

Weighted average credit rating
 
A

 
A

Weighted average relative change ratio
 
23.4
%
 
23.6
%
CVA percentage
 
8.06
%
 
9.64
%
Fair value of derivative liabilities
 
$
1,326

 
$
566

Summary of Changes in Level 3 Fair Value Category
The following tables present the changes in the Level 3 fair value category for the periods presented in 2018 and 2017. Ambac classifies financial instruments in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy when there is reliance on at least one significant unobservable input to the valuation model. In addition to these unobservable inputs, the valuation models for Level 3 financial instruments typically also rely on a number of inputs that are readily observable either directly or indirectly. Thus, the gains and losses presented below include changes in the fair value related to both observable and unobservable inputs.
Level 3 - Financial Assets and Liabilities Accounted for at Fair Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIE Assets and Liabilities
 
 
 
 
Investments
 
Other
Assets
 
Derivatives
 
Investments
 
Loans
 
Long-term
Debt
 
Total
Three Months Ended June 30, 2018:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
77,630

 
$
5,621

 
$
49,908

 
$
2,955,763

 
$
11,558,331

 
$
(2,696,516
)
 
$
11,950,737

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
282

 
(366
)
 
(2,682
)
 
(4,137
)
 
27,466

 
17,228

 
37,791

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(3,514
)
 

 

 
(177,107
)
 
(672,595
)
 
161,650

 
(691,566
)
Purchases
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(287
)
 

 
(1,613
)
 
(17,595
)
 
(162,003
)
 

 
(181,498
)
Transfers out of Level 3
 
(5,309
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
(5,309
)
Balance, end of period
 
$
68,802

 
$
5,255

 
$
45,613

 
$
2,756,924

 
$
10,751,199

 
$
(2,517,638
)
 
$
11,110,155

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(366
)
 
$
(2,773
)
 
$
(4,137
)
 
$
27,466

 
$
17,228

 
$
37,418

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
721,624

 
$
7,039

 
$
(102,588
)
 
$
2,663,719

 
$
11,015,305

 
$
(2,716,642
)
 
$
11,588,457

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
16,479

 
(348
)
 
54,115

 
(26,259
)
 
32,198

 
14,100

 
90,285

Included in other comprehensive income
 
10,812

 

 

 
100,783

 
402,842

 
(102,138
)
 
412,299

Purchases
 
25,930

 

 

 

 

 

 
25,930

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(9,163
)
 

 
101,202

 
(15,927
)
 
(149,047
)
 
462

 
(72,473
)
Balance, end of period
 
$
765,682

 
$
6,691

 
$
52,729

 
$
2,722,316

 
$
11,301,298

 
$
(2,804,218
)
 
$
12,044,498

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(348
)
 
$
4,240

 
$
(26,259
)
 
$
32,198

 
$
14,100

 
$
23,931

 
Level 3 - Financial Assets and Liabilities Accounted for at Fair Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIE Assets and Liabilities
 
 
 
 
Investments
 
Other
Assets
 
Derivatives
 
Investments
 
Loans
 
Long-term
Debt
 
Total
Six Months Ended June 30, 2018:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
808,557

 
$
5,979

 
$
60,808

 
$
2,914,145

 
$
11,529,384

 
$
(2,757,688
)
 
$
12,561,185

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
35,466

 
(724
)
 
(12,057
)
 
(73,163
)
 
(175,122
)
 
177,213

 
(48,387
)
Included in other comprehensive income
 
(56,022
)
 

 

 
(66,463
)
 
(248,703
)
 
57,773

 
(313,415
)
Purchases
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(713,890
)
 

 
(3,138
)
 
(17,595
)
 
(354,360
)
 
5,064

 
(1,083,919
)
Transfers out of Level 3
 
(5,309
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
(5,309
)
Balance, end of period
 
$
68,802

 
$
5,255

 
$
45,613

 
$
2,756,924

 
$
10,751,199

 
$
(2,517,638
)
 
$
11,110,155

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(724
)
 
$
(12,254
)
 
$
(73,163
)
 
$
(175,122
)
 
$
177,213

 
$
(84,050
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
762,703

 
$
7,382

 
$
(100,282
)
 
$
2,622,566

 
$
10,658,963

 
$
(2,582,220
)
 
$
11,369,112

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
26,298

 
(691
)
 
51,298

 
(31,454
)
 
378,390

 
(80,307
)
 
343,534

Included in other comprehensive income
 
17,097

 

 

 
147,131

 
586,391

 
(148,394
)
 
602,225

Purchases
 
35,781

 

 

 

 

 

 
35,781

Sales
 
(79,319
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
(79,319
)
Settlements
 
(18,956
)
 

 
101,713

 
(15,927
)
 
(322,446
)
 
6,703

 
(248,913
)
Transfers in Level 3
 
22,078

 

 

 

 

 

 
22,078

Balance, end of period
 
$
765,682

 
$
6,691

 
$
52,729

 
$
2,722,316

 
$
11,301,298

 
$
(2,804,218
)
 
$
12,044,498

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(691
)
 
$
3,914

 
$
(31,454
)
 
$
378,390

 
$
(80,307
)
 
$
269,852

The tables below provide roll-forward information by class of investments and derivatives measured using significant unobservable inputs.
Level 3 - Investments by Class:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2018
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2017
 
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Non-Agency
RMBS
 
Total
Investments
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Non-Agency
RMBS
 
Total
Investments
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
72,321

 
$
5,309

 
$
77,630

 
$
65,807

 
$
655,817

 
$
721,624

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
282

 

 
282

 
356

 
16,123

 
16,479

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(3,514
)
 

 
(3,514
)
 
(555
)
 
11,367

 
10,812

Purchases
 

 

 

 

 
25,930

 
25,930

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(287
)
 

 
(287
)
 
(242
)
 
(8,921
)
 
(9,163
)
Transfers out of Level 3
 

 
(5,309
)
 
(5,309
)
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
68,802

 
$

 
$
68,802

 
$
65,366

 
$
700,316

 
$
765,682

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Level 3 - Investments by Class:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2018
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2017
 
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Non-Agency
RMBS
 
Total
Investments
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Non-Agency
RMBS
 
Total
Investments
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
72,540

 
$
736,017

 
$
808,557

 
$
65,990

 
$
696,713

 
$
762,703

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 

Included in earnings
 
739

 
34,727

 
35,466

 
709

 
25,589

 
26,298

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(3,884
)
 
(52,138
)
 
(56,022
)
 
(834
)
 
17,931

 
17,097

Purchases
 

 

 

 

 
35,781

 
35,781

Sales
 

 

 

 

 
(79,319
)
 
(79,319
)
Settlements
 
(593
)
 
(713,297
)
 
(713,890
)
 
(499
)
 
(18,457
)
 
(18,956
)
Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 

 
22,078

 
22,078

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 
(5,309
)
 
(5,309
)
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
68,802

 

 
68,802

 
65,366

 
700,316

 
765,682

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

Level 3 - Derivatives by Class:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2018
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2017
 
 
Interest
Rate Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
 
Interest
Rate Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
50,926

 
$
(1,018
)
 
$
49,908

 
$
(88,092
)
 
$
(14,496
)
 
$
(102,588
)
Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
(2,465
)
 
(217
)
 
(2,682
)
 
47,491

 
6,624

 
54,115

Included in other comprehensive income
 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchases
 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(1,522
)
 
(91
)
 
(1,613
)
 
102,336

 
(1,134
)
 
101,202

Balance, end of period
 
$
46,939

 
$
(1,326
)
 
$
45,613

 
$
61,735

 
$
(9,006
)
 
$
52,729

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$
(2,465
)
 
$
(308
)
 
$
(2,773
)
 
$
4,049

 
$
191

 
$
4,240

 
Level 3 - Derivatives by Class:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2018
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2017
 
 
Interest
Rate Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
 
Interest
Rate Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
61,374

 
$
(566
)
 
$
60,808

 
$
(84,933
)
 
$
(15,349
)
 
$
(100,282
)
Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
(11,494
)
 
(563
)
 
(12,057
)
 
43,622

 
7,676

 
51,298

Included in other comprehensive income
 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchases
 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(2,941
)
 
(197
)
 
(3,138
)
 
103,046

 
(1,333
)
 
101,713

Balance, end of period
 
$
46,939

 
$
(1,326
)
 
$
45,613

 
$
61,735

 
$
(9,006
)
 
$
52,729

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$
(11,494
)
 
$
(760
)
 
$
(12,254
)
 
$
3,863

 
$
51

 
$
3,914

Summary of Gains and Losses (Realized and Unrealized) Relating to Level 3 Assets and Liabilities Included in Earnings
Gains and losses (realized and unrealized) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities included in earnings for the affected periods are reported as follows:
 
 
Net
Investment
Income
 
Realized
Gains or
(Losses) and
Other
Settlements
on Credit
Derivative
Contracts
 
Unrealized
Gains or
(Losses) on
Credit
Derivative
Contracts
 
Derivative
Products
Revenues
(Interest
Rate Swaps)
 
Income
(Loss) on
Variable
Interest
Entities
 
Other
Income
or (Loss)
Three Months Ended June 30, 2018:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
282

 
$
91

 
$
(308
)
 
$
(2,465
)
 
$
40,557

 
$
(366
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
(308
)
 
(2,465
)
 
40,557

 
(366
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
16,479

 
$
1,134

 
$
5,490

 
$
47,491

 
$
20,039

 
$
(348
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
191

 
4,049

 
20,039

 
(348
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2018:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
35,466

 
$
197

 
$
(760
)
 
$
(11,494
)
 
$
(71,072
)
 
$
(724
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
(760
)
 
(11,494
)
 
(71,072
)
 
(724
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
26,298

 
$
1,333

 
$
6,343

 
$
43,622

 
$
266,629

 
$
(691
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
51

 
3,863

 
266,629

 
(691
)