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Background and Business Description
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2017
Accounting Policies [Abstract]  
Background and Business Description
1. BACKGROUND AND BUSINESS DESCRIPTION
Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (“Ambac” or the “Company”), headquartered in New York City, is a financial services holding company incorporated in the state of Delaware on April 29, 1991.
Ambac provides financial guarantee insurance policies through its principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance Corporation (“Ambac Assurance" or "AAC") and its wholly owned subsidiary, Ambac Assurance UK Limited (“Ambac UK”). Insurance policies issued by Ambac Assurance and Ambac UK generally guarantee payment when due of the principal and interest on the obligations guaranteed. Ambac also has another wholly-owned subsidiary, Everspan Financial Guarantee Corp. (“Everspan”), which has been in runoff since its acquisition in 1997. The deterioration of Ambac Assurance’s financial condition resulting from losses in its insured portfolio since 2007 has prevented Ambac Assurance and Ambac UK from being able to write new business. The inability to write new business has and will continue to negatively impact Ambac’s future operations and financial results. Ambac Assurance’s ability to pay dividends and, as a result, Ambac’s liquidity, have been significantly restricted by the deterioration of Ambac Assurance’s financial condition, by the rehabilitation of the Segregated Account (as defined below) and by the terms of the Settlement Agreement, dated as of June 7, 2010 (the "Settlement Agreement"), by and among Ambac Assurance, Ambac Credit Products LLC (“ACP”), Ambac and certain counterparties to credit default swaps with ACP that were guaranteed by Ambac Assurance. Ambac Assurance is also restricted in its ability to pay dividends pursuant to regulatory restrictions, the terms of its Auction Market Preferred Shares and the terms of agreements entered into with the Segregated Account. It is highly unlikely that Ambac Assurance will be able to make dividend payments to Ambac for the foreseeable future.
Ambac also provides other financial products through subsidiaries of Ambac Assurance. These products consist of interest rate swaps, funding conduits, and investment agreements (until the first quarter of 2017) that were provided principally to clients that were also provided financial guarantee policies. These financial products have been in active run-off since 2007.
Prior to the second quarter of 2017, Ambac had two reportable business segments: i) the financial guarantee segment, which consisted of financial guarantee insurance policies and credit derivative contracts and ii) the financial services segment which consisted of the other financial products discussed above. With respect to the financial services segment, there were significant swap commutations in June 2017. The remaining interest rate swaps, along with other interest rate derivatives, are managed to economically hedge interest rate risk in the financial guarantee and investment portfolios. The last remaining investment agreement matured in March 2017 and the remaining conduit transactions are not material. The significant wind-down of these financial products, along with the appointment of a new Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2017, has resulted in a change in how the Company manages its business. Management now reviews financial information, allocates resources and measures financial performance on a consolidated basis. As a result, beginning with the second quarter of 2017, the Company has a single reportable segment. All prior period amounts and disclosures have been adjusted to reflect the reportable segment change.
During the third quarter of 2017, management and the Board of Directors of Ambac engaged in a comprehensive review of its key corporate strategies. Following that review, Ambac's key strategic objectives are as follows:
Active runoff of Ambac Assurance and its subsidiaries through transaction terminations, policy commutations, settlements and restructurings, with a focus on known and potential future adversely classified credits, that we believe will improve our risk profile, and maximizing the risk-adjusted return on invested assets;
Rationalization of Ambac's and its subsidiaries' capital and liability structures, enabling simplification of corporate governance and facilitating the successful rehabilitation of the Segregated Account of Ambac Assurance;
Loss recovery through active litigation management and exercise of contractual and legal rights;
Ongoing review of organizational effectiveness and efficiency of the operating platform; and
Evaluation of opportunities in certain business sectors that meet acceptable criteria that will generate long-term stockholder value with attractive risk-adjusted returns.
With respect to our new business strategy, we have identified certain business sectors adjacent to Ambac's core business, in which future opportunities will be evaluated. The evaluation will be conducted through a measured and disciplined approach to identify opportunities that are synergistic to Ambac, match Ambac's core competencies, are rapidly scalable or available through mergers and acquisitions and that may allow for the utilization of Ambac's net operating loss carry-forwards.  Although we are exploring new business opportunities for Ambac, no assurance can be given that we will be able to execute the acquisition or development of any new businesses or assets. In addition, there can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain the financial and other resources that may be required to finance the acquisition or development of new businesses or assets that may permit utilization of Ambac’s tax net operating loss carry-forwards. Due to these factors, as well as uncertainties relating to the ability of Ambac Assurance to deliver value to Ambac, the value of our securities remains speculative.
The execution of Ambac’s strategy to increase the value of its investment in Ambac Assurance remains subject to the authority of the Rehabilitator to control the management of the Segregated Account. In exercising such authority, the Rehabilitator will act for the benefit of policyholders, and will not take into account the interests of Ambac. The Rehabilitator's authority includes, but is not limited to, sole discretion over the rate at which the Segregated Account pays claims and the accretion rate on Deferred Amounts. Similarly, by operation of the contracts executed in connection with the establishment, and subsequent rehabilitation, of the Segregated Account, the Rehabilitator retains rights to oversee and approve certain actions taken by or in respect of Ambac Assurance. As indicated below under "Stipulation and Order," OCI (defined below) is expected to exercise enhanced oversight over the activities of Ambac Assurance after the conclusion of the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings (as defined below). Opportunities for remediating losses on poorly performing insured transactions also depend on market conditions, including the perception of Ambac Assurance’s creditworthiness, the structure of the underlying risk and associated policy as well as other counterparty specific factors. Oversight by the Rehabilitator or OCI could impair Ambac’s ability to execute certain of its strategies. Ambac Assurance's ability to commute policies or purchase certain investments may also be limited by available liquidity.
As a result of uncertainties associated with the oversight by the Rehabilitator of the Segregated Account as noted herein, management has concluded that there is substantial doubt about Ambac's ability to continue as a going concern. Ambac’s financial statements as of and for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2017 and the year ended December 31, 2016, are prepared assuming Ambac continues as a going concern and do not include any adjustment that might result from its inability to continue as a going concern.
The Segregated Account
In March 2010, Ambac Assurance established a Segregated Account pursuant to Wisc. Stat. §611.24 (2) (the “Segregated Account”) to segregate certain segments of Ambac Assurance’s liabilities, and the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin (“OCI” (which term shall be understood to refer to such office as regulator of Ambac Assurance and to refer to the Commissioner of Insurance for the State of Wisconsin as rehabilitator of the Segregated Account (the “Rehabilitator”), as the context requires)) commenced rehabilitation proceedings in the Dane County, Wisconsin Circuit Court (the “Rehabilitation Court”) with respect to the Segregated Account (the “Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings”) in order to permit OCI to facilitate an orderly run-off and/or settlement of the liabilities allocated to the Segregated Account pursuant to the provisions of the Wisconsin Insurers Rehabilitation and Liquidation Act. On October 8, 2010, OCI filed a plan of rehabilitation for the Segregated Account (the “Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan”) in the Rehabilitation Court. The Rehabilitation Court confirmed the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan on January 24, 2011. On June 11, 2014, the Rehabilitation Court approved amendments to the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan and the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan, as amended, became effective on June 12, 2014. Net par exposure as of September 30, 2017 for policies allocated to the Segregated Account was $10,174,798. Policy obligations not allocated to the Segregated Account remain in the General Account of Ambac Assurance, and such policies in the General Account are not subject to and, therefore, are not directly impacted by the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan.
To pay claims and other liabilities, the Segregated Account has the ability to demand payment from time to time under an aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreement provided by Ambac Assurance (the “Reinsurance Agreement”). In addition, certain operating and administrative costs and expenses of the Segregated Account are reimbursable by Ambac Assurance pursuant to the Cooperation Agreement, dated as of March 24, 2010, by and between the Segregated Account and Ambac Assurance, as amended (the “Cooperation Agreement”). Ambac Assurance is not obligated to make payments under the Reinsurance Agreement or Cooperation Agreement if its surplus as regards to policyholders is less than $100,000 (the “Minimum Surplus Amount”). As long as the surplus as regards to policyholders is not less than the Minimum Surplus Amount, payments by Ambac Assurance to the Segregated Account under the Reinsurance Agreement and Cooperation Agreement are not capped. At September 30, 2017, Ambac Assurance’s surplus as regards to policyholders exceeded the Minimum Surplus Amount. In the event that Ambac Assurance does not maintain surplus in excess of the Minimum Surplus Amount, the Segregated Account would experience a shortfall in funds available to pay its liabilities. Any such shortfall would be a consideration for the Rehabilitator in the determination of whether any changes to the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan and/or the amount of partial policy claim payments are necessary or appropriate or whether to institute general rehabilitation proceedings against Ambac Assurance.
Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement
On July 19, 2017, Ambac Assurance and Ambac entered into an agreement (the “Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement”) with holders or beneficial owners (the “Supporting Holders”) of surplus notes issued by Ambac Assurance and beneficial interests in Deferred Amounts (as defined in the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan) of the Segregated Account with respect to a transaction which, subject to the conditions precedent set forth in the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement, and if consummated, would generally involve (i) the exchange of certain surplus notes held by holders of surplus notes that elect to participate in a voluntary exchange transaction and (ii) the satisfaction and discharge of all Deferred Amounts, in each case for an effective consideration package comprised of cash and new Secured Notes (as defined below) and certain existing surplus notes and (iii) the exit from rehabilitation of the Segregated Account (the “Rehabilitation Exit Transactions”).
The settlement of the Deferred Amounts and the Segregated Account’s exit from rehabilitation are expected to be realized through the amendment (the “Rehabilitation Plan Amendment”) of the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan to be pursued by the Rehabilitator, and a series of transactions which would provide to holders of beneficial interests in Deferred Amounts (other than Ambac, but including Ambac Assurance) a total effective consideration package, in full satisfaction and discharge of each $1.00 of Deferred Amounts (including accretion), of (i) $0.40 in cash, (ii) $0.41 in principal amount of new Secured Notes (as defined below) and (iii) from certain holders of surplus notes, $0.125 currently outstanding surplus notes. Such consideration package would thereby provide a discount of $0.065 (set first against accretion of Deferred Amounts). Ambac would receive $0.91 in principal amount of Secured Notes for each $1.00 of Deferred Amounts (including accretion) that it holds, and would provide a $0.09 discount in full satisfaction and discharge of its Deferred Amount claims.
On September 25, 2017 the Rehabilitator filed a motion in the Rehabilitation Court by seeking entry of an order approving the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment. On September 26, 2017, the Rehabilitation Court entered a scheduling order in connection with this motion providing that objections to the motion shall be filed by November 24, 2017, the Rehabilitator’s response to any objections shall be filed by December 11, 2017, the Rehabilitator’s Pretrial Report shall be filed by December 11, 2017, the Pretrial Conference shall be held on December 14, 2017, and the evidentiary Confirmation Hearing shall be held on January 4 and 5, 2018.
The Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement calls for a series of interrelated transactions involving the exchange of certain surplus notes (collectively, the “Exchange Offers”), pursuant to which, for each $1.00 of principal amount outstanding and accrued and unpaid interest thereon, holders effectively would (i) receive $0.40 in cash, (ii) receive $0.41 in principal amount of Secured Notes, (iii) retain $0.125 in principal amount and accrued and unpaid interest thereon of surplus notes and (iv) provide a discount of $0.065 in principal amount and accrued and unpaid interest thereon. Ambac will not participate in the Exchange Offers and will hold surplus notes issued by the Segregated Account and Ambac Assurance until the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions are consummated and a certain amount of such surplus notes for a time after such transactions are completed, as described below.
As part of the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions, Ambac and Ambac Assurance will seek consents from holders of surplus notes to a waiver and amendment (the “BSA Waiver and Amendment”) of certain provisions of the Settlement Agreement, such consents to be executed by holders of more than 50% in aggregate principal amount of the surplus notes. Holders who participate in the Exchange Offers will be required to deliver their consent to the BSA Waiver and Amendment.
As contemplated by the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement and as a portion of the consideration received by holders of beneficial interests in Deferred Amounts (including Ambac Assurance) in satisfaction and discharge of their claims pursuant to the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment and by holders of surplus notes pursuant to the Exchange Offers (as specified above), a newly formed special purpose entity will issue new secured notes (the “Secured Notes”), secured by all assets of the special purpose entity, which include a note issued by Ambac Assurance to the special purpose entity (the "Ambac Note"), which note is secured by a pledge of Ambac Assurance’s right, title and interest in up to the first $1,400,000 of proceeds (net of reinsurance) from certain litigations in which Ambac Assurance and the Segregated Account seek redress for breaches of representations and warranties and/or fraud related to residential mortgage-backed securitizations (the “RMBS Litigations”). In addition, the Ambac Note will be secured by RMBS securities having a market value of not less than $350,000 on the date that is not more than five business days prior to the closing date of the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions. Ambac Assurance will also pledge for the benefit of the holders of Secured Notes (other than Ambac Assurance) the proceeds of any Secured Notes held by AAC from time to time, and will issue a financial guaranty insurance policy to a trustee for the benefit of holders of Secured Notes irrevocably guarantying all principal and interest payments in respect of the Secured Notes as and when such payments become due and owing. Should Ambac Assurance settle any of the RMBS Litigations before the closing of the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions, any proceeds received by Ambac Assurance from any settlement which would have secured the Secured Notes will replace Secured Notes having a face amount equal to the amount of proceeds received that would otherwise be issued.
Following the consummation of the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions and until the earlier of (i) June 8, 2020 and (ii) the date on which at least 25% of the principal amount of Remaining Senior Surplus Notes (as defined the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement) are no longer outstanding, Ambac shall hold and not sell Remaining Senior Surplus Notes which, as of June 30, 2017, have an aggregate of $60,000 of principal amount and accrued and unpaid interest outstanding.
The Company may terminate the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement upon the occurrence of certain events, including if the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions have not been consummated within 365 days of the signing date of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement.
Supporting Holders that, in the aggregate, beneficially own at least 66 2/3% of the principal amount outstanding under the surplus notes and 66 2/3% of the principal amount of the Deferred Amounts, held by the Supporting Holders as a whole may terminate the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement upon the occurrence of certain events, including if (i) within 75 days of signing date of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement, the Rehabilitator has not filed a motion in the Rehabilitation Court seeking entry of the approval order; (ii) the confirmation hearing has not commenced within 180 days of the signing date of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement; and (iii) the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions have not been consummated within 270 days of the Signing Date. The condition described in clause (i) of the preceding sentence has been satisfied. In addition if the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions have not been consummated within 365 days of the signing date of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement, each Supporting Holder shall have the right to terminate the Agreement with respect to itself.
Ambac can provide no assurance that any of the termination events described above or in the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement will not arise.
On September 21, 2017, Ambac Assurance, Ambac and the Supporting Holders entered into the First Amendment to the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement (the “First Amendment”) to amend certain provisions of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement, including the term sheets attached thereto, to reflect the terms of the definitive documents to which the parties had agreed during the course of their negotiation. The First Amendment, among other things:
(A) amends certain terms in the Rehabilitation Exit Term Sheet attached as Exhibit A to the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement (the “ Plan Amendment Term Sheet ”) to (i) specify that the record date with respect to the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment shall be September 30, 2017; (ii) provide that if the amount of accretion on a holder’s Deferred Amount is less than 7.4% on the record date, and if such Deferred Amount relates to an insured obligation that is undercollateralized, then the remaining amount of such Deferred Amount that is to be discharged may include the portion of the applicable Deferred Amount that is in excess of the amount of accretion; (iii) provide that the Rehabilitator may provide alternative consideration to holders of Deferred Amounts, in an amount equal to the currently contemplated consideration, to the extent that Ambac Assurance determines, in its sole discretion, that doing so is necessary or advisable to maintain compliance with any legal or regulatory requirements applicable to Ambac Assurance or the Segregated Account; (iv) provide that, subject to the occurrence of the effective date of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment, no accretion shall arise or accrue with respect to policy claims arising on or after the record date through and including one business day immediately preceding the effective date and such policy claims shall be paid in cash; (v) provide that where underlying securities related to Deferred Amounts arising prior to the record date (“ Pre-Record Date Deferred Amounts ”) are held through the Depository Trust Company, the consideration for the Pre-Record Date Deferred Amounts shall be distributed to the ultimate beneficial holders of the securities and not to the applicable trustee; the consideration shall be deemed to be transferred to the trustee and the distribution will be deemed to have been received by beneficial holders on the next scheduled bond distribution date applicable to the relevant insured obligation or underlying indenture that gives rise to the related claim, notwithstanding the date when the consideration was actually received by such beneficial holders; and (vi) amend the condition to the effectiveness of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment such that the confirmation order of the Rehabilitation Court approving the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment does not need to have become a final order; and
(B) amends certain terms in the Secured Notes Term Sheet attached as Exhibit C to the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement (the "Secured Notes Term Sheet") to (i) specify that the issuer (the “ Secured Notes Issuer ”) of the Secured Notes will liquidate on or after a date that is at least 12 months after the earlier of (a) the satisfaction of all of the Secured Notes Issuer’s obligations under the Secured Notes (other than contingent indemnification obligations) and (b) the maturity date of the Secured Notes (the “ Maturity Date ”); provided that (X) prior to the satisfaction of all of the Secured Notes Issuer’s obligations under the Secured Notes (other than contingent indemnification obligations), holders of the Secured Notes shall retain their rights to the collateral securing the Secured Notes and the financial guaranty insurance policy on the Secured Notes and any liquidation of the Secured Notes Issuer prior to such satisfaction shall result in the note collateral agent under the Secured Notes becoming the “Holder” of the Ambac Note (as defined in the Secured Notes Term Sheet) and retaining all rights and powers of the “Holder” thereunder (subject to the transfer restrictions for the Ambac Note) and (Y) such liquidation shall, in any event, be completed no later than the date that is 18 months after the earlier of (1) the satisfaction of all of the Secured Notes Issuer’s obligations under the Secured Notes (other than contingent indemnification obligations) and (2) the Maturity Date; and (ii) provide that none of the collateral agent, the trustee or the holders of Secured Notes may sell the Ambac Note or the right to receive the proceeds from the RMBS litigations without the prior consent of Ambac Assurance; provided that the foregoing shall not limit the assignment of the Ambac Note to the collateral agent in connection with a liquidation of the Secured Notes Issuer but shall limit the further assignment by the collateral agent without the prior consent of Ambac Assurance.
The Exchange Offers will be subject to a number of conditions precedent, including, among others, (i) approval by the OCI; (ii) the effectiveness of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment concurrent with the closing of the Exchange Offers; (iii) participation by 85% of the outstanding principal amount owned by holders of surplus notes (including Ambac and Ambac Assurance) in the Exchange Offers; (iv) receipt of consents of at least a majority of the outstanding aggregate principal amount of the surplus notes (other than surplus notes beneficially owned by Ambac or Ambac Assurance or any of their affiliates) to the BSA Waiver and Amendment; and (v) subject to the approval of the OCI, a one-time current interest payment of approximately $12,500 on the surplus notes outstanding immediately following the effective date of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment.
Effectiveness of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment shall be determined and announced by the Rehabilitator provided that a number of conditions precedent have been satisfied or waived by the Rehabilitator, in his sole discretion, including, among others, (i) the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment will have been approved by the Rehabilitation Court; (ii) as of the effective date, Ambac Assurance will have sufficient capital and claims-paying resources to effect all of the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions and to exit rehabilitation, as determined by the Rehabilitator in his sole and absolute discretion; (iii) the conditions to consummation of the Exchange Offers will have been satisfied or waived in full in accordance with the terms thereof; and (iv) Ambac will have received from the Internal Revenue Service a ruling, in form and substance reasonably satisfactory to the Rehabilitator, Ambac Assurance, and Ambac.
Ambac can provide no assurances that these approvals or consents will be obtained or that the other conditions precedent will be satisfied or waived in a timely manner or at all. Even if the Rehabilitation Exit Transactions are consummated, OCI is expected to impose on Ambac and Ambac Assurance reporting requirements and restrictions on transactions or other activities, as described below under "Stipulation and Order," and may impose additional requirements or restrictions on Ambac or Ambac Assurance, which may create additional challenges or obstacles with respect to Ambac Assurance's ability to deliver value to Ambac and Ambac's ability to deliver value to its stockholders.
Tier 2 Commitment
On July 19, 2017, Ambac Assurance also entered into a commitment letter (the “Commitment Letter”) with certain investors (the “Investors”), with respect to the issuance of an aggregate principal amount of $240,000 of senior notes (the “Tier 2 Notes”) secured by Ambac Assurance’s rights, title and interest in the cash and non-cash proceeds (net of reinsurance) above $1,600,000 received in connection with the RMBS Litigations. The Commitment Letter will terminate upon the earliest occurrence of: (i) 365 days from the execution of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement, and (ii) the date on which the Tier 2 Notes are issued. In addition, Ambac Assurance and the Investors have the option to terminate the Commitment Letter following (i) the resolution of Ambac Assurance Corp. et al. v. Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. et al., Index No. 651612/2010 (N.Y. Sup. Ct. N.Y. Cnty.) (Bransten, J.) or (ii) the termination of the Rehabilitation Exit Support Agreement. The issuance of the Tier 2 Notes is subject to a number of conditions precedent including, among others, satisfaction or waiver of the conditions to effectiveness set forth in the Plan Amendment.
The terms, conditions, and timing of the conclusion of the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings are in the sole discretion of the OCI, and subject to the approval of the Rehabilitation Court. No assurance can be given that Rehabilitation Exit Transactions or issuance of the Tier 2 Notes will be consummated. OCI retains the authority, subject to the approval of the Rehabilitation Court, to address Segregated Account obligations without the agreement of Ambac Assurance or its board of directors. Moreover, even if the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings could be brought to a successful conclusion, there can be no assurance that any level of capital deemed sufficient by OCI to permit such conclusion will be sufficient to cover all future losses, whether currently anticipated or unanticipated.
Ambac Assurance will seek to further improve its financial condition by continuing to pursue asset monetizations; loss recoveries; restructurings, purchases, modifications or exchanges of certain outstanding obligations; extinguishment or modification of certain contractual restrictions; and/or commuting or reducing insured exposures Separately from or in connection with the actions described above, we may seek to further optimize our capital and corporate structure to unlock shareholder value.
Stipulation and Order
It is expected that a Stipulation and Order, the terms of which have been agreed between OCI, Ambac and Ambac Assurance, will become effective upon the effective date of the Rehabilitation Plan Amendment and provide as follows:
Ambac Assurance shall maintain a level of surplus and contingency reserves as regards policyholders which provides reasonable security against contingencies affecting its financial position that are not otherwise fully covered by reserves or reinsurance, such that the Commissioner may continue to determine that Ambac Assurance’s surplus and contingency reserves are reasonably in excess of a level that would constitute a financially hazardous condition.
Statutory surplus may not reflect the benefit of any reserve discounting, except to the extent approved by the Commissioner.
Ambac Assurance may not enter any transactions with affiliates, including the payment of a dividend or other distribution, without the approval of the Commissioner, subject to limited exceptions.
Ambac Assurance may not change its business plan or that of Everspan, including but not limited to the writing of new business, unless approved by the Commissioner.
Ambac Assurance must obtain OCI approval with respect to the exercise of certain control rights in connection with policies that had been allocated to the Segregated Account.
Ambac Assurance must obtain OCI approval with respect to any transaction Ambac Assurance proposes to enter into other than in ordinary course of business with non-affiliated counterparties where the aggregate consideration to be paid by Ambac Assurance is equal to or greater than$100,000.
Ambac Assurance must obtain OCI approval for any change to its Investment Policy or Derivative Use Plan.
Ambac Assurance must provide OCI with a monthly report of financial information, the scope of which is to be determined.
Ambac Assurance shall provide, and Ambac shall also provide, notice to the Commissioner within ten (10) days of receipt of any communication from any governmental authority, government-sponsored enterprise, or lender to Ambac Assurance, Ambac, or any affiliates which pertains to a circumstance, event or issue which would be reasonably likely to have a material adverse effect on the financial condition or operations of Ambac Assurance and its subsidiaries taken as whole.
Ambac Assurance shall provide notice as soon as practicable of any development in any litigation, including any delay in RMBS litigation, involving Ambac Assurance or any affiliate of Ambac Assurance which would or would be reasonably likely to have a material adverse effect on Ambac Assurance.
Ambac Assurance shall provide notice to the Commissioner of the occurrence, or failure to occur, of any event which would or would be reasonably likely to cause a material adverse effect to the business, assets, properties, operations, or condition, financial or otherwise, or, insofar as can reasonably be foreseen, prospects, financial or otherwise, of Ambac Assurance, an affiliate of Ambac Assurance, or Ambac Assurance and all affiliates taken as a whole. A material adverse effect shall be conclusively presumed if the effect results, or reasonably could result, in a reduction of more than 10% in Ambac Assurance’s surplus as regards policyholders.
Ambac Assurance shall disclose, and Ambac shall disclose, to the Commissioner any instance of fraud or any significant change to the internal control environment incurred by Ambac Assurance, any of its subsidiaries, or Ambac.
If Ambac Assurance proposes to make any changes in the assumptions or vendors utilized in determining statutory loss reserves from the prior year’s statutory loss reserves which would cause the difference (whether positive or negative) between (a) Ambac Assurance’s statutory reserves determined with such proposed changes and (b) Ambac Assurance’s statutory reserves determined without such proposed changes to exceed the lesser of (i) $200,000 or (ii) 10% of Ambac Assurance’s statutory reserves without such proposed changes, Ambac Assurance shall notify the Commissioner.
Ambac shall use its best efforts to preserve use of net operating loss carry-forwards for the benefit of Ambac Assurance and its subsidiaries, including but not limited to, refraining from taking any action that would result in, and taking such affirmative steps as are appropriate to avoid, any deconsolidation event.
Ambac shall provide the Commissioner and Ambac Assurance its full cooperation in relation to any issues that Ambac Assurance or its subsidiaries may have relative to the United States Internal Revenue Service, including efforts to obtain a private letter ruling, pre-filing agreement, or other form of guidance or clarification.
The Commissioner reserves the right to modify or terminate the Stipulation and Order after it becomes effective in a manner consistent with the interests of policyholders, creditors and the public generally, and recognizes that Ambac Assurance may request the Commissioner to do so periodically as conditions warrant.
Augusta Funding Limited IV ("Augusta") Commutation
On June 27, 2017, Ambac entered into a termination agreement with various parties, including Augusta, in connection with the commutation of interest rate swaps between Augusta and Ambac's wholly-owned subsidiary, Ambac Financial Services. During the second quarter, Ambac paid $94,407 under the termination agreement and reported a gain on the Augusta swaps of $43,443. In July 2017, Augusta redeemed its outstanding Ambac-insured debt and accordingly Ambac recognized approximately $2,617 in accelerated earnings in the third quarter of 2017 relating to this redemption.
Ballantyne Litigation
On March 25, 2017, Ambac UK agreed in principle to a confidential settlement of litigation brought by Ambac UK in the name of Ballantyne Re plc ("Ballantyne") against J.P. Morgan Investment Management Inc. ("JPMIM") relating to the management of Ballantyne’s investment accounts, which were funded with the proceeds of notes issued in 2006 in connection with a structured reinsurance transaction and guaranteed in part by Ambac UK. On April 11, 2017, Ambac UK, Ballantyne and JPMIM signed a settlement agreement. Pursuant to the settlement, Ballantyne received a payment of $325,600 from JPMIM in return for releases of all claims by Ballantyne and Ambac UK. As a result of the settlement, Ambac recognized an incremental benefit through a reduction in losses and loss expenses of approximately $91,600 in the first quarter of 2017. Ambac had previously included an estimated benefit through a reduction of loss and loss expense reserves of approximately $53,000 related to our probability weighted estimate of the value of the litigation. The total $144,600 benefit recognized from the settlement of the litigation will reduce the ultimate Ballantyne claims Ambac UK is expecting to pay and not result in a direct cash payment to Ambac UK.
Puerto Rico
On March 13, 2017, the Financial Management and Oversight Board for Puerto Rico (the "Oversight Board") certified the 10-year Fiscal and Economic Growth Plan ("FEGP") for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico (the “Commonwealth"). The certified FEGP, among other things, was intended to provide Commonwealth creditors a base from which to progress consensual negotiations under Title VI of the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management and Economic Stability Act ("PROMESA"). However, the certified FEGP implied a 77% discount to all debt service due to be paid by the Commonwealth and its instrumentalities covered by the FEGP over the ten-years of the plan (FY2017-2026). The FEGP did not provide details regarding its underlying assumptions and data, expense definitions, cause of expense growth or accounting adjustments and did not include any restructuring proposals. These deficiencies of the FEGP, when combined with the absence of sufficient projected cash flows for debt service, increased the uncertainty of whether successful consensual negotiations can be reached. As a result of the damage inflicted by Hurricane Maria, the anticipated influx of certain federal funds, and other structural changes following the hurricane, the Commonwealth is drafting a revised fiscal and economic growth plan (the “Revised FEGP”) that will cover 5 fiscal years, inclusive of the Commonwealth’s current fiscal year. A draft Revised FEGP is expected to be presented to the Oversight Board on or around December 22, 2017, after which time the Oversight Board is expected to either recommend revisions to or certify the Revised FEGP.
On April 28, 2017, the Fiscal Agency and Financial Advisory Authority of Puerto Rico (“FAFAA”) released a restructuring proposal covering General Obligation (“GO”), GO-guaranteed, Puerto Rico Sales Tax Financing Corporation ("COFINA"), Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority ("PRHTA"), Puerto Rico Infrastructure Financing Authority ("PRIFA") and Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority ("CCDA") bonds. Under the proposal, bondholders would receive a “senior bond” based on amounts expected to be available for debt service under the FEGP and a “cash flow bond” that would allow for additional payments if amounts available for debt service exceeded FEGP forecasts. FAFAA’s proposal further provides that GO and GO-guaranteed bondholders would be offered a maximum recovery of 77% (52% senior bond, 25% cash flow bond), COFINA bondholders would receive a maximum recovery of 58% (39% senior bond, 19% cash flow bond), and PRHTA, CCDA, PRIFA, and Metropolitan Bus Authority bondholders would receive a maximum recovery of 30% (0% senior bond, 30% cash flow bond). Recoveries relating to the cash flow bond component could be lower depending upon future surpluses at the General Fund and future new money GO bond issuances. The proposal was premised only on the cash available for debt service included in the certified FEGP, despite challenges from creditors and repeated calls for a review and adjustment of the assumptions underlying such Plan. Among other infirmities, the proposal lacks textured narrative or economic or financial logic for treating Senior and Junior tranches within the COFINA structure as pari passu obligations and fails to explain how the allocation of cashflow between GO and GO-guaranteed bonds and COFINA bonds was derived. The proposal was not accepted by affected bondholders.
On April 29, 2017, the Commonwealth enacted the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act, also known as Act No. 26 (the “Fiscal Plan Compliance Act” or “Act 26-2017”). Articles 4.01 and 4.02 of Chapter 4 of the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act order all public corporations, agencies and instrumentalities of the Government of Puerto Rico to transfer their revenue surplus to the Commonwealth Treasury, after covering operational expenses and obligations, as per the expense budget recommended by the Office of Management and Budget of Puerto Rico for each fiscal year. Article 4.01 further states that such funds would be considered “available resources” for the Commonwealth and would be deposited in the Commonwealth’s General Fund to meet the liquidity requirements contemplated in the FEGP. Article 4.02 empowers a committee composed of the Executive Director of the Fiscal Agency and Financial Advisory Authority of Puerto Rico, the Secretary of the Puerto Rico Treasury Department and the Executive Director of the Office of Management and Budget of Puerto Rico to determine the amount each public corporation and instrumentality would contribute. Such committee is also empowered to revise the sources of revenue of the public corporations, agencies and instrumentalities and adjust, increase or reduce any of their charges, fees, tariffs and similar revenues, with the objective of complying with the metrics stated in the FEGP.
Article 4.03 of Chapter 4 of Act 26-2017, “Exclusions”, explicitly excludes certain entities from coverage of Articles 4.01 and 4.02, including the University of Puerto Rico, the Public Corporation for the Supervision and Insurance of Cooperatives (COSSEC), and funds from public corporations and entities received by private entities for community-related objectives.
While Article 4.03 does not explicitly exclude COFINA from coverage of such Articles 4.01 and 4.02, as it does with other entities, it does state that the Executive Branch shall be authorized to use the COFINA funds, occasionally, solely as a last alternative, and subject to the filing of a sworn certification before the Legislative Assembly. Such sworn certification, which, according to Article 4.03 shall not be interpreted to give the Executive Branch indefinite use of the COFINA funds, must establish the need, term and amount of funds that will be used to cover significant occasional cash flow deficits to comply with the FEGP. An Explicative Declaration of Act 26-2017 signed by the Governor of Puerto Rico on April 29, 2017 states that because COFINA does not generate surpluses, the dispositions of Chapter 4 are not applicable to COFINA. The Explicative Declaration further states that the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act does not refer to other revenues from public corporations except for those determined by fee adjustments of the corporations specifically included in the FEGP. The statements in the Explicative Declaration appear to contradict the statutory language of Articles 4.01, 4.02 and 4.03, resulting in uncertainty about how the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act will be implemented.
In its Chapter 6, the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act also requires that, commencing July 1, 2017, all special funds and other revenues of dependencies and public corporations must be deposited with the Puerto Rico Treasury. The Puerto Rico Secretary of Treasury is authorized to establish the order of priority for the disbursement of payments chargeable to the special funds and other revenues, in accordance with the approved budget and the Fiscal Plan.
On May 1, 2017, Ambac Assurance sent COFINA a notice of failures to comply with covenants and events of default under COFINA’s bond resolution and enabling legislation. Among other things, Ambac Assurance stated that the Commonwealth had violated its covenant not to limit or restrict the right granted by the Resolution or COFINA’s rights to meet its obligations to its bondholders by enacting the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act; that COFINA had violated its covenant to defend, preserve, and protect the pledge of the Dedicated Sales Tax to COFINA and the rights of COFINA’s bondholders under the Resolution against all claims and demands; and that both covenant violations were incurable and therefore constituted immediate Events of Default under the COFINA resolution. Also on May 1, 2017, the COFINA trustee, Bank of New York Mellon (“BNY”), sent a letter to COFINA and the Puerto Rico Fiscal Agency and FAFAA stating that the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act was inconsistent with COFINA’s and the Commonwealth’s covenants under COFINA’s resolution and enabling legislation, and seeking a response detailing any curative action either intended to take. On May 4, 2017, BNY sent COFINA a notice of default arising out of the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act, and stated that the defaults by COFINA and the Commonwealth would be deemed Events of Default under the COFINA resolution if left uncured within 30 days of Ambac’s May 1, 2017 letter noticing the defaults. Later on May 4, 2017, Ambac Assurance, together with holders of more than 25% of the senior COFINA bonds, sent a letter to BNY demanding immediate acceleration of all senior bonds issued by COFINA. On May 16, 2017, BNY filed an interpleader action in COFINA’s Title III case against COFINA and certain creditors of COFINA, including Ambac Assurance, that have made competing claims of entitlement to funds held by BNY. This action will resolve the parties’ respective entitlements to the funds, including a determination of whether an Event of Default have occurred under the COFINA resolution.
On May 2, 2017, the Oversight Board certified a ten-year fiscal plan (the “PRHTA Fiscal Plan”) for the PRHTA. The PRHTA Fiscal Plan reflects an expectation that the Puerto Rico Treasury and PRHTA will temporarily cease funding debt service payments in July of 2017. The PRHTA Fiscal Plan states that as a result of the “clawback” of certain revenues pledged to PRHTA, PRHTA has insufficient cash flow to service debt. It is currently unclear when the funding of PRHTA debt service payments with pledged revenues will resume. Similar to the revisions of the FEGP, however, PRHTA is drafting a revised fiscal plan (the “Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan”) as a result of the changes occurring in the wake of Hurricane Maria. Like the Revised FEGP, the Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan will cover 5 fiscal years, inclusive of the Commonwealth’s current fiscal year. A draft Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan is expected to be presented to the Oversight Board on or around February 9, 2018, after which time the Oversight Board is expected to either recommend revisions to or certify the Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan.
The Governor signed into law Act No. 1 of 2017, on January 11, 2017, which amended the Commonwealth’s Public-Private Partnership Act (Act No. 29 of 2009) ("P3 Act") authorizing the Public-Private Partnerships Authority (“P3A”) to facilitate privatization agreements between Partnering Government Entities (as such term is defined in the P3 Act) and private entities. The 2017 amendments allow the P3A to receive and consider unsolicited or voluntary proposals from proponents that meet the minimum criteria set forth in the P3 Act, whereas prior to the 2017 amendments, proposals could only be received in response to a P3A request for proposals. Direct negotiations with proponents of unsolicited or voluntary proposals may be conducted without a request for qualifications or a request for proposals process if the P3A determines that certain criteria have been met. The 2017 amendments also permit the use of the initial and/or periodical payments received from any partnership for contributions to the retirement systems of the Government of Puerto Rico, in addition to other uses provided for by the P3 Act, including the payment of debts of Partnering Government Entities. It is unclear how Puerto Rico will make use of the law and to what extent it will impact the obligations that we insure.
In response to letter requests from Governor Rosselló, the Oversight Board commenced a Title III proceeding for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico on May 3, 2017 and for COFINA on May 5, 2017, in the United States District Court for the District of Puerto Rico. Subsequently, the Oversight Board commenced a Title III proceeding for the Employees Retirement System ("ERS") and PRHTA on May 21, 2017, and for the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority ("PREPA") on July 2, 2017. Ambac Assurance has not issued any financial guaranty policies with respect to obligations of ERS or PREPA. As part of the Title III filings for the Commonwealth, COFINA, and PRHTA, the Oversight Board noted that the Oversight Board and the Commonwealth intend to continue pursuing consensual negotiations under the protection of the Title III automatic stay.
On June 14, 2017, Judge Laura Taylor Swain entered an order appointing a team of mediators to facilitate confidential mediation discussions in order to facilitate consensual resolution of certain issues arising in the context of these Title III cases. The mediation team is led by Chief Judge Barbara Houser of the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Texas, and consists of Circuit Judge Thomas Ambro of the United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit, Senior District Judge Nancy Atlas of the United States District Court for the Southern District of Texas, Bankruptcy Judge Christopher Klein of the United States Bankruptcy Court for the Eastern District of California, and Senior District Judge Victor Marrero of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York. Confidential mediation proceedings are ongoing. No assurances can be given that consensual resolutions will be achieved with respect to the Commonwealth’s or COFINA’s obligations or those of any other Puerto Rico instrumentality. In addition, Ambac is uncertain how the Title III process will be implemented and to what extent the rights of Ambac Assurance will be respected as part of that process.
On June 30, 2017, the Oversight Board certified the Commonwealth’s fiscal year 2018 budget, which is largely compliant with the FEGP. The budget does not allocate funds for debt service, stating only that it will do so after a Title III plan of adjustment or Title VI agreement is approved by the Court.
Ambac Assurance is party to ten litigations related to its Puerto Rico exposures. These include three litigations challenging the constitutionality and legality of the FEGP and the Fiscal Plan Compliance Act, discussed below under Note 11. Commitments and Contingencies, one of which is an adversary proceeding actively pending in PRHTA’s Title III proceedings. Ambac Assurance filed several of those cases to protect and assert its rights under transaction documents and applicable law. Six of these litigations are stayed under Title III of PROMESA, and one has been stayed by order of the United States District Court for the District of Puerto Rico pending resolution of an interpleader action related to COFINA funds (to which interpleader action Ambac is also a party). The three active litigations are proceeding as adversary proceedings under the Title III process before the United States District Court for the District of Puerto Rico. Accordingly, Ambac is unable to predict when and how the issues raised in those cases will be resolved. If Ambac Assurance is unsuccessful with any of these challenges, Ambac’s financial condition, including liquidity, loss reserves and capital resources may suffer a material negative impact. On September 6, 2017, Hurricane Irma, a Category 5 storm, passed north of Puerto Rico, leaving more than one million people without electricity on the island. On September 20, 2017, Hurricane Maria, a Category 4 storm at the time, made landfall in Puerto Rico, causing severe damage to the island and its infrastructure, including the destruction to a significant portion of the electrical transmission and distribution system. It will take time to fully evaluate and remedy damage to public infrastructure and private property as well as assess future capital needs. In addition, the amount, timing, and structure of anticipated federal aid is uncertain beyond an initial $4.9 billion liquidity loan for Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands as part of a $36.5 billion disaster aid bill signed into law on October 26, 2017. Consequently, for at least the near-term, the Commonwealth faces uncertain financial and economic prospects due to the scale and scope of the damage caused by Hurricane Maria. As a result of the damage, the anticipated influx of certain federal funds, and other structural changes following the hurricane, a "Revised FEGP" and a "Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan" are being drafted, both of which will cover 5 fiscal years, inclusive of the Commonwealth’s current fiscal year. The revised fiscal plans are expected to be presented to the Oversight Board (on or around December 22, 2017 for the "Revised FEGP" and on or around February 9, 2018 for the “Revised PRHTA Fiscal Plan”) after which time the Oversight Board is expected to either recommend revisions to or certify. While certain litigation and mediation deadlines have been postponed, the ultimate impact of Hurricane Maria on Puerto Rico, its instrumentalities, the FEGP, the PRHTA Fiscal Plan, the Title III proceedings and related restructuring activity remains unclear.
Ambac has considered these developments and other factors in evaluating its Puerto Rico loss reserves. During the nine months ended September 30, 2017, Ambac had incurred losses associated with its Domestic Public Finance insured portfolio of $434,100, which was significantly impacted by the continued uncertainty and volatility of the situation in Puerto Rico. While management believes its reserves are adequate to cover losses in its Public Finance insured portfolio, there can be no assurance that Ambac may not incur additional losses in the future, particularly given the developing economic, political, and legal circumstances in Puerto Rico. Such additional losses may have a material adverse effect on Ambac’s results of operations and financial condition. For public finance credits, including Puerto Rico, as well as other issuers, for which Ambac has an estimate of expected loss at September 30, 2017, the possible increase in loss reserves under stress or other adverse conditions and circumstances was estimated to be approximately $1,500,000. However, there can be no assurance that losses may not exceed such amount.
Impact of Hurricane Maria and Other Natural Disasters
In August and September 2017, there were three major hurricanes, Harvey, Irma and Maria, which made landfall in regions where a number of issuers of Ambac-insured bonds, including municipalities, state or commonwealth instrumentalities, military housing related issuers, residential mortgage backed securities issuers, and utilities, are located.
Areas affected where Ambac has exposure include Houston, Texas, Harris County, Texas, a number of counties in southern and western Florida, the U.S. Virgin Islands and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico. Early assessments of the near-term credit impact on insured exposure to the hurricanes in Texas and Florida is modest with no expectations of missed debt service payments. However, we continue to monitor the recovery process in both areas for any change in expectations. The credit impact on insured exposures related to Hurricanes Irma and Maria on the U.S. Virgin Islands, where Ambac Assurance has relatively little exposure ($42,615 net par outstanding), and Puerto Rico, where Ambac Assurance has a large exposure ($1.968 billion of net par outstanding), is negative at least in the near-term due to the uncertainty related to the recovery from the hurricanes and to the size and timing of Federal aid and support in the recovery. As previously noted, Ambac has considered these developments and other factors in evaluating its Puerto Rico reserves as well as those related to the U.S. Virgin Islands.
In October 2017, large wildfires in Northern California caused significant damage in a number of municipalities where Ambac Assurance provides financial guaranty insurance. Early assessments of near-term credit impact on insured exposures in the affected areas is modest at this time, but subject to further evaluation as the full scope of the damage becomes available.