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Investments
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2017
Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]  
Investments
8. INVESTMENTS
Ambac’s non-VIE invested assets are primarily comprised of fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale and equity interests in pooled investment funds. Such equity interests in the form of common stock or in-substance common stock are classified as trading securities and are reported within Other investments on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Other investments also include Ambac's equity interest in an unconsolidated trust created in connection with its sale of Segregated Account junior surplus notes on August 28, 2014.
Fixed Income Securities:
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale investments, excluding VIE investments, at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 were as follows:
 
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
Non-credit
other-than
temporary
Impairments 
(1)
June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
662,514

 
$
10,924

 
$
11,932

 
$
661,506

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,487,806

 
21,651

 
9,044

 
1,500,413

 

Foreign obligations
 
29,201

 
639

 
94

 
29,746

 

U.S. government obligations
 
41,625

 
770

 
762

 
41,633

 

U.S. agency obligations
 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,220,640

 
111,072

 
32,184

 
2,299,528

 
27,624

Collateralized debt obligations
 
124,913

 
195

 
2

 
125,106

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
598,546

 
69,690

 
7,973

 
660,263

 

 
 
5,165,245

 
214,941

 
61,991

 
5,318,195

 
27,624

Short-term
 
504,093

 
14

 
101

 
504,006

 

 
 
5,669,338

 
214,955

 
62,092

 
5,822,201

 
27,624

Fixed income securities pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,944

 

 
16

 
64,928

 

Total collateralized investments
 
64,944

 

 
16

 
64,928

 

Total available-for-sale investments
 
$
5,734,282

 
$
214,955

 
$
62,108

 
$
5,887,129

 
$
27,624

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
376,064

 
$
5,509

 
$
7,205

 
$
374,368

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,803,136

 
19,589

 
20,560

 
1,802,165

 

Foreign obligations
 
41,932

 
1,303

 
100

 
43,135

 

U.S. government obligations
 
33,732

 
2,551

 
97

 
36,186

 

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,063

 

 
3

 
4,060

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,284,425

 
110,955

 
43,785

 
2,351,595

 
35,232

Collateralized debt obligations
 
113,650

 
493

 
220

 
113,923

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
778,383

 
58,028

 
7,628

 
828,783

 

 
 
5,435,385

 
198,428

 
79,598

 
5,554,215

 
35,232

Short-term
 
430,827

 
5

 
44

 
430,788

 

 
 
5,866,212

 
198,433

 
79,642

 
5,985,003

 
35,232

Fixed income securities pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,833

 
72

 

 
64,905

 

Total collateralized investments
 
64,833

 
72

 

 
64,905

 

Total available-for-sale investments
 
$
5,931,045

 
$
198,505

 
$
79,642

 
$
6,049,908

 
$
35,232

(1)
Represents the amount of non-credit other-than-temporary impairment losses remaining in accumulated other comprehensive income on securities that also had a credit impairment. These losses are included in gross unrealized losses as of June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016.
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale investments, excluding VIE investments, at June 30, 2017, by contractual maturity, were as follows:
 
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Estimated
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
 
$
629,872

 
$
629,937

Due after one year through five years
 
947,797

 
954,210

Due after five years through ten years
 
721,951

 
728,627

Due after ten years
 
490,563

 
489,458

 
 
2,790,183

 
2,802,232

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,220,640

 
2,299,528

Collateralized debt obligations
 
124,913

 
125,106

Other asset-backed securities
 
598,546

 
660,263

Total
 
$
5,734,282

 
$
5,887,129


Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay certain obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.
Unrealized Losses on Fixed Income Securities:
The following table shows gross unrealized losses and fair values of Ambac’s available-for-sale investments, aggregated by investment category and length of time that the individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
 
 
Less Than 12 Months
 
12 Months or More
 
Total
 
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
226,184

 
$
7,956

 
$
66,681

 
$
3,976

 
$
292,865

 
$
11,932

Corporate obligations
 
507,877

 
9,029

 
1,159

 
15

 
509,036

 
9,044

Foreign obligations
 
9,816

 
94

 

 

 
9,816

 
94

U.S. government obligations
 
32,710

 
762

 

 

 
32,710

 
762

U.S. agency obligations
 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
254,070

 
3,895

 
434,077

 
28,289

 
688,147

 
32,184

Collateralized debt obligations
 

 

 
8,005

 
2

 
8,005

 
2

Other asset-backed securities
 
79,459

 
132

 
70,868

 
7,841

 
150,327

 
7,973

 
 
1,110,116

 
21,868

 
580,790

 
40,123

 
1,690,906

 
61,991

Short-term
 
154,834

 
101

 

 

 
154,834

 
101

 
 
1,264,950

 
21,969

 
580,790

 
40,123

 
1,845,740

 
62,092

Fixed income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U. S. government obligations
 
64,928

 
16

 

 

 
64,928

 
16

Total collateralized investments
 
64,928

 
16

 

 

 
64,928

 
16

Total temporarily impaired securities
 
$
1,329,878

 
$
21,985

 
$
580,790

 
$
40,123

 
$
1,910,668

 
$
62,108

 
 
Less Than 12 Months
 
12 Months or More
 
Total
 
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
98,147

 
$
2,045

 
$
122,928

 
$
5,160

 
$
221,075

 
$
7,205

Corporate obligations
 
963,513

 
20,232

 
6,492

 
328

 
970,005

 
20,560

Foreign obligations
 
5,063

 
100

 

 

 
5,063

 
100

U.S. government obligations
 
6,037

 
93

 
5,045

 
4

 
11,082

 
97

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,060

 
3

 

 

 
4,060

 
3

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
226,889

 
7,201

 
550,807

 
36,584

 
777,696

 
43,785

Collateralized debt obligations
 
6,986

 
23

 
25,780

 
197

 
32,766

 
220

Other asset-backed securities
 
115,622

 
203

 
77,712

 
7,425

 
193,334

 
7,628

 
 
1,426,317

 
29,900

 
788,764

 
49,698

 
2,215,081

 
79,598

Short-term
 
65,176

 
44

 

 

 
65,176

 
44

Total temporarily impaired securities
 
$
1,491,493

 
$
29,944

 
$
788,764

 
$
49,698

 
$
2,280,257

 
$
79,642

Management has determined that the unrealized losses reflected in the tables above are temporary in nature as of June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016 based upon (i) no unexpected principal and interest payment defaults on these securities; (ii) analysis of the creditworthiness of the issuer and financial guarantor, as applicable, and analysis of projected defaults on the underlying collateral; (iii) management has no intent to sell these investments in debt securities; and (iv) it is not more likely than not that Ambac will be required to sell these debt securities before the anticipated recovery of its amortized cost basis. The assessment under (iv) is based on a comparison of future available liquidity from the investment portfolio against the projected net cash outflow from operating activities and debt service. For purposes of this assessment, available liquidity from the investment portfolio is comprised of the fair value of securities for which management has asserted its intent to sell, the fair value of other securities that are available for sale and in an unrealized gain position, trading securities plus the scheduled maturities and interest payments from the remaining securities in the portfolio. To the extent that securities that management intends to sell are in an unrealized loss position, they would have already been considered other-than-temporarily impaired with the amortized cost written down to fair value. Because the above-described assessment indicates that future available liquidity exceeds projected net cash outflow, it is not more likely than not that we would be required to sell securities in an unrealized loss position before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. In the liquidity assessment described above, principal payments on securities pledged as collateral are not considered to be available for other liquidity needs until the collateralized positions are projected to be settled. Projected interest receipts on securities pledged as collateral generally belong to Ambac and are considered to be sources of available liquidity from the investment portfolio.
As of June 30, 2017, for securities that have indications of possible other-than-temporary impairment but which management does not intend to sell and will not more likely than not be required to sell, management compared the present value of cash flows expected to be collected to the amortized cost basis of the securities to assess whether the amortized cost will be recovered. Cash flows were discounted at the effective interest rate implicit in the security at the date of acquisition (or Fresh Start Reporting Date of April 30, 2013 for securities purchased prior to that date) or for debt securities that are beneficial interests in securitized financial assets, at a rate equal to the current yield used to accrete the beneficial interest. For floating rate securities, future cash flows and the discount rate used were both adjusted to reflect changes in the index rate applicable to each security as of the evaluation date. Of the securities that were in a gross unrealized loss position at June 30, 2017, $997,251 of the total fair value and $49,242 of the unrealized loss related to below investment grade and non-rated securities. Of the securities that were in a gross unrealized loss position at December 31, 2016, $890,952 of the total fair value and $53,273 of the unrealized loss related to below investment grade and non-rated securities. With respect to Ambac guaranteed securities, future cash flows relating to those invested assets include the sum of (i) the bond’s intrinsic cash flows and (ii) the estimated Ambac claim payments, including Deferred Amounts (as defined in the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan) for securities with policies allocated to the Segregated Account. Ambac estimates the timing of such claim payment receipts but the actual timing of such amounts are at the sole discretion of the Rehabilitator. Further modifications to the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan or to the rules and guidelines promulgated thereunder, orders from the Rehabilitation Court or actions by the Rehabilitator with respect to the form, amount and timing of satisfying permitted policy claims, or making payments on Deferred Amounts or surplus notes, or the accretion rate on Deferred Amounts, may have a material effect on the fair value of Ambac insured securities and future recognition of other-than-temporary impairments. Refer to Note 1. Background and Business Description and to Note 1. Background and Business Description in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016 for information relating to the amended Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan. Ambac’s assessment about whether a decline in value is other-than-temporary reflects management’s current judgment regarding facts and circumstances specific to a security and the factors noted above. If that judgment changes, Ambac may ultimately record a charge for other-than-temporary impairment in future periods.
Municipal and corporate obligations
The gross unrealized losses on municipal and corporate obligations as of June 30, 2017 are primarily the result of the increase in interest rates since purchase (or the Fresh Start Reporting Date of April 30, 2013 if owned as of that date). These securities are primarily fixed-rate securities with an investment grade credit rating. Management believes that the timely receipt of all principal and interest on these positions is probable.
Residential mortgage-backed securities
Of the $32,184 of unrealized losses on residential mortgage-backed securities, $32,184 is attributable to Ambac insured securities. The unrealized loss on these securities is primarily the result of discount accretion, which has exceeded the increase in fair value since either the purchase date or Fresh Start Reporting Date of April 30, 2013 for securities owned prior to such date. As part of the quarterly impairment review process, management estimates expected future cash flows from residential mortgage-backed securities. This approach includes the utilization of market accepted software models in conjunction with detailed data of the historical performance of the collateral pools, which assists in the determination of assumptions such as defaults, severity and voluntary prepayment rates that are largely driven by home price forecasts as well as other macro-economic factors.  Additionally, for Ambac insured securities that are allocated to the Segregated Account, expected future cash flows include assumptions about the timing of Ambac Assurance claim payments, including interest on Deferred Amounts, although the actual timing of such payments are at the sole discretion of the Rehabilitator. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows for each security. Management considered this analysis in making our determination that a credit loss has not occurred at June 30, 2017 on these transactions.
Realized Gains and Losses and Other-Than-Temporary Impairments:
The following table details amounts included in net realized gains (losses) and other-than-temporary impairments included in earnings for the affected periods:
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Gross realized gains on securities
 
$
8,286

 
$
4,551

 
$
10,944

 
$
6,479

Gross realized losses on securities
 
(1,757
)
 
(503
)
 
(11,228
)
 
(4,112
)
Net foreign exchange (losses) gains
 
(2,349
)
 
10,849

 
(432
)
 
13,632

Net realized gains (losses)
 
$
4,180

 
$
14,897

 
$
(716
)
 
$
15,999

Net other-than-temporary impairments (1)
 
$
(1,763
)
 
$
(7,441
)
 
$
(5,705
)
 
$
(16,775
)
(1)
Other-than-temporary impairments exclude impairment amounts recorded in other comprehensive income under ASC Paragraph 320-10-65-1, which comprise non-credit related amounts on securities that are credit impaired but which management does not intend to sell and it is not more likely than not that Ambac will be required to sell before recovery of the amortized cost basis.
Since commencement of the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings, changes in the estimated timing of claim payments have resulted in adverse changes in projected cash flows on certain impaired Ambac insured securities. Such changes in estimated claim payments on Ambac insured securities contributed to net other-than-temporary impairments for the six months ended June 30, 2017 and 2016 and the three months ended June 30, 2016, presented in the table above. Further changes to the estimated timing of claim payments could result in additional other-than-temporary impairment charges in the future. Future changes in our estimated liquidity needs could result in a determination that Ambac no longer has the ability to hold securities that are in an unrealized loss position, which could result in additional other-than-temporary impairment charges.
The following table presents a roll-forward of Ambac’s cumulative credit losses on debt securities held as of June 30, 2017 and 2016 for which a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income:
 
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
52,070

 
$
31,176

Additions for credit impairments recognized on:
 
 
 
 
Securities not previously impaired
 
307

 
1,544

Securities previously impaired
 
1,985

 
14,785

Balance, end of period
 
$
54,362

 
$
47,505


Counterparty Collateral, Deposits with Regulators and Other Restrictions:
Ambac routinely pledges and receives collateral related to certain transactions. Ambac pledges assets it holds in its investment portfolio to investment agreement (prior to repayment in March 2017) and derivative counterparties as collateral. Securities pledged to investment agreement counterparties were not to be re-pledged to another entity. Ambac’s counterparties under derivative agreements have the right to pledge or rehypothecate the securities and as such, these pledged securities are separately classified on the Consolidated Balance Sheets as “Fixed income securities pledged as collateral, at fair value”.
The following table presents (i) the sources of collateral either received from various counterparties where Ambac is permitted to sell or re-pledge the collateral or collateral held directly in the investment portfolio and (ii) how that collateral was pledged to investment agreement and derivative counterparties at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016:
 
 
Fair Value of Cash
and Underlying
Securities
 
Fair Value of Cash
and Securities
Pledged to
Investment
Agreement
Counterparties
 
Fair Value of Cash
and Securities
Pledged to
Derivative
Counterparties
June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and securities pledged directly from the investment portfolio
 
$
117,905

 
$

 
$
117,905

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and securities pledged directly from the investment portfolio
 
$
291,545

 
$
88,940

 
$
202,605


Securities carried at $6,021 and $5,872 at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively, were deposited by Ambac Assurance and Everspan with governmental authorities or designated custodian banks as required by laws affecting insurance companies.
Securities with fair value of $352,446 and $360,759 at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively, were held by a bankruptcy remote trust to collateralize and fund repayment of debt issued through a re-securitization transaction. The securities may not be sold or repledged by the trust. These assets are held and the secured debt is issued by entities that qualify as VIEs and are consolidated in Ambac’s unaudited consolidated financial statements. Refer to Note 3. Special Purpose Entities, Including Variable Interest Entities for a further description of this transaction.
Guaranteed Securities:
Ambac’s fixed income portfolio includes securities covered by guarantees issued by Ambac Assurance and other financial guarantors (“insured securities”). The published rating agency ratings on these securities reflect the higher of the financial strength rating of the financial guarantor or the rating of the underlying issuer. Rating agencies do not always publish separate underlying ratings (those ratings excluding the insurance by the financial guarantor). In the event these underlying ratings are not available from the rating agencies, Ambac will assign an internal rating. The following table represents the fair value, including the value of the financial guarantee, and weighted-average underlying rating, excluding the financial guarantee, of the insured securities at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively: 
 
 
Municipal
obligations
 
Corporate
obligations
 
Mortgage
and asset-
backed
securities
 
Total
 
Weighted
Average
Underlying
Rating 
(1)
June 30, 2017:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ambac Assurance Corporation (2)
 
$
397,154

 
$
30,777

 
$
2,745,909

 
$
3,173,840

 
CC
National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation
 
32,892

 

 

 
32,892

 
A-
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corporation
 
25,792

 

 

 
25,792

 
AA
MBIA Insurance Corporation
 

 
2,594

 

 
2,594

 
BBB+
Total
 
$
455,838

 
$
33,371

 
$
2,745,909

 
$
3,235,118

 
CC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ambac Assurance Corporation (2)
 
$
81,651

 
$

 
$
2,739,073

 
$
2,820,724

 
CC
National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation
 
38,687

 

 

 
38,687

 
A-
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corporation
 
25,660

 

 

 
25,660

 
AA
MBIA Insurance Corporation
 

 
2,630

 

 
2,630

 
BBB+
Total
 
$
145,998

 
$
2,630

 
$
2,739,073

 
$
2,887,701

 
CC
 
(1)
Ratings are based on the lower of Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s rating. If unavailable, Ambac’s internal rating is used.
(2)
Includes corporate obligations and asset-backed securities with a fair value of $169,672 and $118,813 at June 30, 2017 and December 31, 2016, respectively, insured by Ambac UK.
Equity Interests:
Ambac's investment portfolio includes equity interests in various pooled investment funds, which are classified as trading. The fair value and additional information about such investments in pooled funds, by investment type, is summarized in the table below. Except as noted in the table, fair value reported is determined using NAV per share as a practical expedient. There are no unfunded commitments applicable to any of these investments for the periods disclosed.
 
 
Fair Value
 
 
 
 
Class of Funds
 
June 30,
2017
 
December 31,
2016
 
Redemption Frequency
 
Redemption Notice Period
Real estate properties (1)
 
$
33,218

 
$
33,303

 
quarterly
 
10 business days
Diversified hedge fund strategies (2)
 
49,292

 
53,985

 
semi-monthly
 
15 - 30 days
Interest rate products (3) (7)
 
223,364

 
261,315

 
daily, weekly or monthly
 
0 - 30 days
Illiquid investments (4)
 
63,027

 
39,068

 
quarterly
 
180 days
Insurance-linked investments (5)
 
13,224

 

 
quarterly
 
90-120 days
Equity market investments (6) (7)
 
36,489

 
32,633

 
daily
 
0 days
Total equity investments in pooled funds
 
$
418,614

 
$
420,304

 
 
 
 
(1)
Investments consist of UK property to generate income and capital growth.
(2)
Investments seek diversified exposure to hedge fund core strategies to produce high risk-adjusted returns, with low long-term correlation to traditional markets and with targeted volatility levels. Funds may have the right to defer redemptions under certain circumstances.
(3)
This class of funds includes investments in a range of instruments including leveraged loans, CLOs, asset-backed securities and floating rate notes to generate income and capital appreciation. Funds with less frequent redemption periods limit redemptions to as little as 15% per period. Funds with a same day redemption notice period are redeemable only weekly, while funds that may be redeemed any business day have notice periods of 15-30 days.
(4)
This class seeks to obtain high long-term total return through investments with low liquidity and defined term, resulting in expected capital distributions to subscribers between 2020 and 2023. Redemptions cannot occur prior to the expiration of the investment lock-up period in May 2018.
(5)
This class aims to provide returns from the insurance and reinsurance markets through investments in catastrophe bonds, life insurance and other insurance linked investments. Redemption periods are quarterly, subject to 90-day notice for January/July redemption dates and 120-day notice for April/October redemption dates with redemptions greater than 3.5% during the first five years following share issuance subject to redemption fees.
(6)
Investments represent a diversified exposure to global equity market returns through holdings of various regional market index funds.
(7)
Interest rate products include $52,264 at June 30, 2017 and $51,158 at December 31, 2016 and equity market investments include $36,489 at June 30, 2017 and $32,633 at December 31, 2016 that have readily determinable fair values priced through pricing vendors.
Ambac also holds an equity interest in an unconsolidated trust created in connection with the 2014 sale of Segregated Account junior surplus notes, which is accounted for under the equity method.
Investment Income:
Net investment income was comprised of the following for the affected periods:
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Fixed income securities
 
$
81,751

 
$
66,104

 
$
155,820

 
$
125,527

Short-term investments
 
1,151

 
374

 
2,140

 
930

Loans
 
85

 
70

 
174

 
176

Investment expense
 
(2,044
)
 
(2,180
)
 
(4,041
)
 
(4,283
)
Securities available-for-sale and short-term
 
80,943

 
64,368

 
154,093

 
122,350

Other investments
 
4,217

 
6,390

 
12,626

 
9,229

Total net investment income
 
$
85,160

 
$
70,758

 
$
166,719

 
$
131,579


Net investment income from Other investments primarily represents changes in fair value on securities classified as trading or under the fair value option plus income from Ambac's equity interest in an unconsolidated trust created in connection with its sale of Segregated Account junior surplus notes. The portion of net unrealized gains (losses) related to trading securities still held at the end of each period is as follows:
 
 
Three Months Ended June 30,
 
Six Months Ended June 30,
 
 
2017
 
2016
 
2017
 
2016
Net gains (losses) recognized during the period on trading securities
 
$
3,000

 
$
5,240

 
$
10,211

 
$
6,948

Less: net gains (losses) recognized during the reporting period on trading securities sold during the period
 
2,070

 
1,498

 
3,698

 
1,531

Unrealized gains (losses) recognized during the reporting period on trading securities still held at the reporting date
 
$
930

 
$
3,742

 
$
6,513

 
$
5,417