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Fair Value Measurements (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Summary of Carrying Amount and Fair Value of Ambac's Financial Assets and Liabilities
The following table sets forth the carrying amount and fair value of Ambac’s financial assets and liabilities as of December 31, 2016 and 2015, including the level within the fair value hierarchy at which fair value measurements are categorized. As required by the Fair Value Measurement Topic of the ASC financial assets and liabilities are classified in their entirety based on the lowest level of input that is significant to the fair value measurement.
 
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Total Fair
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Categorized as:
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
374,368

 
$
374,368

 
$

 
$
374,368

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,802,165

 
1,802,165

 

 
1,802,165

 

Foreign obligations
 
43,135

 
43,135

 
42,212

 
923

 

U.S. government obligations
 
36,186

 
36,186

 
36,186

 

 

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,060

 
4,060

 

 
4,060

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,351,595

 
2,351,595

 

 
1,654,882

 
696,713

Collateralized debt obligations
 
113,923

 
113,923

 

 
113,923

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
828,783

 
828,783

 

 
762,793

 
65,990

Fixed income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,905

 
64,905

 
64,905

 

 

Short term investments
 
430,788

 
430,788

 
371,367

 
59,421

 

Other investments (2)
 
450,307

 
435,237

 
83,791

 

 
14,934

Cash and cash equivalents
 
91,025

 
91,025

 
46,587

 
44,438

 

Loans
 
4,160

 
4,066

 

 

 
4,066

Derivative assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
77,206

 
77,206

 

 
16,950

 
60,256

Futures contracts
 
536

 
536

 
536

 

 

Other assets
 
7,382

 
7,382

 

 

 
7,382

Variable interest entity assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate obligations
 
2,622,566

 
2,622,566

 

 

 
2,622,566

Restricted cash
 
4,873

 
4,873

 
4,873

 

 

Loans
 
10,658,963

 
10,658,963

 

 

 
10,658,963

Derivative assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Currency swaps-asset position
 
80,407

 
80,407

 

 
80,407

 

Total financial assets
 
$
20,047,333

 
$
20,032,169

 
$
650,457

 
$
4,914,330

 
$
14,130,870

Financial liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations under investment agreements
 
$
82,358

 
$
82,333

 
$

 
$

 
$
82,333

Long term debt, including accrued interest
 
1,536,352

 
1,494,340

 

 
1,147,728

 
346,612

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
 
15,349

 
15,349

 

 

 
15,349

Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
(61,839
)
 
(61,839
)
 

 
(61,839
)
 

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
365,776

 
365,776

 

 
220,587

 
145,189

Liabilities for net financial guarantees written (1)
 
3,009,943

 
4,490,070

 

 

 
4,490,070

Variable interest entity liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
 
11,155,936

 
11,155,936

 

 
8,573,716

 
2,582,220

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
2,078,601

 
2,078,601

 

 
2,078,601

 

Total financial liabilities
 
$
18,182,476

 
$
19,620,566

 
$

 
$
11,958,793

 
$
7,661,773

 
 
 
Carrying
Amount
 
Total Fair
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Categorized as:
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
December 31, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Financial assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
420,770

 
$
420,770

 
$

 
$
420,770

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,593,669

 
1,593,669

 

 
1,593,669

 

Foreign obligations
 
96,306

 
96,306

 
87,808

 
8,498

 

U.S. government obligations
 
26,687

 
26,687

 
26,687

 

 

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,212

 
4,212

 

 
4,212

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
1,977,338

 
1,977,338

 

 
1,488,454

 
488,884

Collateralized debt obligations
 
84,267

 
84,267

 

 
84,267

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
840,527

 
840,527

 

 
840,527

 

Fixed income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,555

 
64,555

 
64,555

 

 

Short term investments
 
225,789

 
225,789

 
197,398

 
28,391

 

Other investments (2)
 
310,600

 
298,095

 
45,745

 

 
12,834

Cash and cash equivalents
 
35,744

 
35,744

 
35,744

 

 

Loans
 
5,206

 
5,128

 

 

 
5,128

Derivative assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
84,886

 
84,886

 

 
21,848

 
63,038

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 

 

 

 

 

Futures contracts
 
109

 
109

 
109

 

 

Other assets
 
8,696

 
8,696

 

 

 
8,696

Variable interest entity assets:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Corporate obligations
 
2,588,556

 
2,588,556

 

 

 
2,588,556

Restricted cash
 
5,822

 
5,822

 
5,822

 

 

Loans
 
11,690,324

 
11,690,324

 

 

 
11,690,324

Total financial assets
 
$
20,064,063

 
$
20,051,480

 
$
463,868

 
$
4,490,636

 
$
14,857,460

Financial liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Obligations under investment agreements
 
$
100,358

 
$
101,400

 
$

 
$

 
$
101,400

Long term debt, including accrued interest
 
1,481,045

 
1,235,721

 

 
132,837

 
1,102,884

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Credit derivatives
 
34,543

 
34,543

 

 

 
34,543

Interest rate swaps—asset position
 
(52,128
)
 
(52,128
)
 

 
(52,128
)
 

Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
370,943

 
370,943

 

 
243,256

 
127,687

Liabilities for net financial guarantees written (1)
 
2,033,484

 
2,325,859

 

 

 
2,325,859

Variable interest entity liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Long-term debt
 
12,327,960

 
12,327,960

 

 
9,147,790

 
3,180,170

Derivative liabilities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Interest rate swaps—liability position
 
1,965,265

 
1,965,265

 

 
1,965,265

 

Currency swaps—liability position
 
(36,862
)
 
(36,862
)
 

 
(36,862
)
 

Total financial liabilities
 
$
18,224,608

 
$
18,272,701

 
$

 
$
11,400,158

 
$
6,872,543

(1)
The carrying value of net financial guarantees written includes the following balance sheet items: Premium receivables; Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses; Deferred ceded premium; Subrogation recoverable; Insurance intangible asset; Unearned premiums; Loss and loss expense reserves; Ceded premiums payable, premiums taxes payable and other deferred fees recorded in Other liabilities.
(2)
Excluded from the fair value measurement categories in the table above are investment funds of $336,513 and $239,516 as of December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively, which are measured using NAV per share as a practical expedient.
Information about Valuation Inputs for Variable Interest Entity Assets and Liabilities Classified as Level 3
Information about the above described model inputs used to determine the fair value of each class of credit derivatives, including the CVA as a percentage of the gross mark-to-market liability before considering Ambac credit risk (“CVA percentage”), as of December 31, 2016 and 2015 is summarized below:
 
 
2016
 
2015
December 31,
 
CLOs
 
Other 
 
CLOs
 
Other (1)
Notional outstanding
 
$
123,052

 
$
614,328

 
$
295,253

 
$
617,148

Weighted average reference obligation price
 
99.5

 
92.3

 
98.4

 
85.2

Weighted average life (WAL) in years
 
1.8

 
5.9

 
1.1

 
6.1

Weighted average credit rating
 
AA

 
A-

 
AA

 
BBB+

Weighted average relative change ratio
 
36.6
%
 
30.6
%
 
36.3
%
 
33.3
%
CVA percentage
 
7.47
%
 
11.19
%
 
8.34
%
 
23.34
%
Fair value of derivative liabilities
 
$
213

 
$
15,136

 
$
1,837

 
$
32,697

(1)
Excludes contracts for which fair values are based on credit derivative quotes rather than reference obligation quotes. As of December 31, 2015, these contracts had a combined notional outstanding of $58,482, WAL of 0.2 years and liability fair value of $9. Other inputs to the valuation of these transactions at December 31, 2015 include weighted average quotes of less than 1% of notional, weighted average rating of A+ and Ambac CVA percentage of 0.09%.
Summary of Changes in Level 3 Fair Value Category
The following tables present the changes in the Level 3 fair value category for the periods presented in 2016 and 2015. Ambac classifies financial instruments in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy when there is reliance on at least one significant unobservable input to the valuation model. In addition to these unobservable inputs, the valuation models for Level 3 financial instruments typically also rely on a number of inputs that are readily observable either directly or indirectly. Thus, the gains and losses presented below include changes in the fair value related to both observable and unobservable inputs.
Level-3 Financial Assets and Liabilities Accounted for at Fair Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIE Assets and Liabilities
 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
Investments
 
Other
Assets
 
Derivatives
 
Investments
 
Loans
 
Long-term
Debt
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
488,884

 
$
8,696

 
$
(99,192
)
 
$
2,588,556

 
$
11,690,324

 
$
(3,180,170
)
 
$
11,497,098

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
54,600

 
(1,314
)
 
(15,374
)
 
508,873

 
1,166,898

 
(842,748
)
 
870,935

Included in other comprehensive income
 
40,518

 

 

 
(474,863
)
 
(1,944,821
)
 
486,218

 
(1,892,948
)
Purchases
 
99,018

 

 

 

 

 

 
99,018

Issuances
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(28,682
)
 

 
14,284

 

 
(253,438
)
 
216,582

 
(51,254
)
Transfers into Level 3
 
108,365

 

 

 

 

 

 
108,365

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

 

 

 
737,898

 
737,898

Deconsolidation of VIEs
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
762,703

 
$
7,382

 
$
(100,282
)
 
$
2,622,566

 
$
10,658,963

 
$
(2,582,220
)
 
$
11,369,112

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(1,314
)
 
$
(16,351
)
 
$
508,873

 
$
1,166,898

 
$
(842,748
)
 
$
815,358

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIE Assets and Liabilities
 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2015
 
Investments
 
Other
Assets
 
Derivatives
 
Investments
 
Loans
 
Long-term
Debt
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
198,201

 
$
12,036

 
$
(215,346
)
 
$
2,743,050

 
$
12,371,177

 
$
(1,263,664
)
 
$
13,845,454

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
30,083

 
(1,635
)
 
16,571

 
(7,263
)
 
569,617

 
(1,152,681
)
 
(545,308
)
Included in other comprehensive income
 
(73,559
)
 

 

 
(147,231
)
 
(612,941
)
 
93,812

 
(739,919
)
Purchases
 
359,193

 

 

 

 

 

 
359,193

Issuances
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
(25,034
)
 
(1,705
)
 
11,365

 

 
(312,406
)
 
(17,085
)
 
(344,865
)
Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 
88,218

 

 

 
(840,552
)
 
(752,334
)
Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deconsolidations of VIEs
 

 

 

 

 
(325,123
)
 

 
(325,123
)
Balance, end of period
 
$
488,884

 
$
8,696

 
$
(99,192
)
 
$
2,588,556

 
$
11,690,324

 
$
(3,180,170
)
 
$
11,497,098

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(1,635
)
 
$
(25,980
)
 
$
(7,263
)
 
$
589,634

 
$
(1,161,991
)
 
$
(607,235
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
VIE Assets and Liabilities
 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2014
 
Investments
 
Other
Assets
 
Derivatives
 
Investments
 
Loans
 
Long-term
Debt
 
Total
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
67,783

 
$
13,384

 
$
(186,934
)
 
$
2,475,182

 
$
13,398,895

 
$
(1,514,605
)
 
$
14,253,705

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
11,057

 
(1,348
)
 
(45,392
)
 
429,113

 
1,118,084

 
(290,457
)
 
1,221,057

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(541
)
 

 

 
(161,245
)
 
(726,827
)
 
66,515

 
(822,098
)
Purchases
 
54,013

 

 

 

 
70,000

 

 
124,013

Issuances
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 
(59,878
)
 

 

 

 

 

 
(59,878
)
Settlements
 
(62,266
)
 

 
16,980

 

 
(792,186
)
 
433,896

 
(403,576
)
Transfers into Level 3
 
188,241

 

 

 

 

 

 
188,241

Transfers out of Level 3
 
(208
)
 

 

 

 

 
4,096

 
3,888

Deconsolidation of VIEs
 

 

 

 

 
(696,789
)
 
36,891

 
(659,898
)
Balance, end of period
 
$
198,201

 
$
12,036

 
$
(215,346
)
 
$
2,743,050

 
$
12,371,177

 
$
(1,263,664
)
 
$
13,845,454

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$
(1,348
)
 
$
(53,509
)
 
$
429,113

 
$
1,119,219

 
$
(286,405
)
 
$
1,207,070

The tables below provide roll-forward information by class of investments and derivatives measured using significant unobservable inputs.
Level-3 Investments by Class
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Non-Agency RMBS
 
Total
Investments
Balance, beginning of period
 
$

 
$
488,884

 
$
488,884

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
1,908

 
52,692

 
54,600

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(5,597
)
 
46,115

 
40,518

Purchases
 

 
99,018

 
99,018

Issuances
 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

Settlements
 
(1,028
)
 
(27,654
)
 
(28,682
)
Transfers into Level 3
 
70,707

 
37,658

 
108,365

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
65,990

 
$
696,713

 
$
762,703

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$

 
$

Year Ended December 31, 2015
 
Corporate
Obligations
 
Non-Agency
RMBS
 
Total
Investments
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
3,808

 
$
194,393

 
$
198,201

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
(19
)
 
30,102

 
30,083

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(286
)
 
(73,273
)
 
(73,559
)
Purchases
 

 
359,193

 
359,193

Issuances
 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

Settlements
 
(3,503
)
 
(21,531
)
 
(25,034
)
Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$

 
$
488,884

 
$
488,884

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$

 
$

Year Ended December 31, 2014
 
Other Asset
Backed
Securities
 
Corporate
Obligations
 
U.S. Agency
Obligations
 
Non-Agency RMBS
 
Total
Investments
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
64,073

 
$
3,502

 
$
208

 
$

 
$
67,783

Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
6,994

 
(97
)
 

 
4,160

 
11,057

Included in other comprehensive income
 
(8,182
)
 
403

 

 
7,238

 
(541
)
Purchases
 

 

 

 
54,013

 
54,013

Issuances
 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 
(59,878
)
 

 

 

 
(59,878
)
Settlements
 
(3,007
)
 

 

 
(59,259
)
 
(62,266
)
Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 
188,241

 
188,241

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 
(208
)
 

 
(208
)
Balance, end of period
 
$

 
$
3,808

 
$

 
$
194,393

 
$
198,201

The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
$

 
Level-3 Derivatives by Class
 
 
2016
 
2015
Year Ended December 31,
 
Interest Rate
Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
 
Interest Rate
Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
(64,649
)
 
$
(34,543
)
 
$
(99,192
)
 
$
(141,887
)
 
$
(73,459
)
 
$
(215,346
)
Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
(35,480
)
 
20,106

 
(15,374
)
 
(25,130
)
 
41,701

 
16,571

Included in other comprehensive income
 

 

 

 

 

 

Purchases
 

 

 

 

 

 

Issuances
 

 

 

 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

 

 

 

Settlements
 
15,196

 
(912
)
 
14,284

 
14,150

 
(2,785
)
 
11,365

Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

 
88,218

 

 
88,218

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
(84,933
)
 
$
(15,349
)
 
$
(100,282
)
 
$
(64,649
)
 
$
(34,543
)
 
$
(99,192
)
The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$
(35,480
)
 
$
19,129

 
$
(16,351
)
 
$
(25,130
)
 
$
(850
)
 
$
(25,980
)
 
 
2014
Year Ended December 31,
 
Interest Rate
Swaps
 
Credit
Derivatives
 
Total
Derivatives
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
(92,612
)
 
$
(94,322
)
 
$
(186,934
)
Total gains/(losses) realized and unrealized:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Included in earnings
 
(69,298
)
 
23,906

 
(45,392
)
Included in other comprehensive income
 

 

 

Purchases
 

 

 

Issuances
 

 

 

Sales
 

 

 

Settlements
 
20,023

 
(3,043
)
 
16,980

Transfers into Level 3
 

 

 

Transfers out of Level 3
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
(141,887
)
 
$
(73,459
)
 
$
(215,346
)
The amount of total gains/(losses) included in earnings attributable to the change in unrealized gains or losses relating to assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 
$
(69,298
)
 
$
15,789

 
$
(53,509
)
Summary of Gains and Losses (Realized and Unrealized) Relating to Level 3 Assets and Liabilities Included in Earnings
Gains and losses (realized and unrealized) relating to Level 3 assets and liabilities included in earnings for the affected periods are reported as follows:
 
 
Net
Investment
Income
 
Realized
Gains or
(Losses) and
Other
Settlements
on Credit
Derivative
Contracts
 
Unrealized
Gains or
(Losses) on
Credit
Derivative
Contracts
 
Derivative
Products
Revenues
(Interest Rate
Swaps)
 
Income
(Loss) on
Variable
Interest
Entities
 
Other
Income
or (Loss)
Year Ended December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
54,600

 
912

 
19,194

 
(35,480
)
 
833,023

 
(1,314
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
19,129

 
(35,480
)
 
833,023

 
(1,314
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
30,083

 
$
2,785

 
$
38,916

 
$
(25,130
)
 
$
(590,327
)
 
$
(1,635
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
(850
)
 
(25,130
)
 
(579,620
)
 
(1,635
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year Ended December 31, 2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total gains or losses included in earnings for the period
 
$
11,057

 
$
3,043

 
$
20,863

 
$
(69,298
)
 
$
1,256,740

 
$
(1,348
)
Changes in unrealized gains or losses relating to the assets and liabilities still held at the reporting date
 

 

 
15,789

 
(69,298
)
 
1,261,927

 
(1,348
)