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Investments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2016
Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]  
Investments
10. INVESTMENTS
Ambac’s invested assets are primarily comprised of fixed income securities classified as available-for-sale and equity interests in pooled investment funds. Such equity interests in the form of common stock or in-substance common stock are classified as trading securities and are reported within Other investments on the Consolidated Balance Sheets. Other investments also includes Ambac's equity interest in an unconsolidated trust created in connection with its sale of Segregated Account junior surplus notes on August 28, 2014.
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale investments, excluding VIE investments, at December 31, 2016 and 2015 were as follows:
 
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Gross
Unrealized
Gains
 
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
 
Estimated
Fair Value
 
Non-Credit  Other-
than-temporary
Impairments 
(1)
December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
376,064

 
$
5,509

 
$
7,205

 
$
374,368

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,803,136

 
19,589

 
20,560

 
1,802,165

 

Foreign obligations
 
41,932

 
1,303

 
100

 
43,135

 

U.S. government obligations
 
33,732

 
2,551

 
97

 
36,186

 

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,063

 

 
3

 
4,060

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,284,425

 
110,955

 
43,785

 
2,351,595

 
35,232

Collateralized debt obligations
 
113,650

 
493

 
220

 
113,923

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
778,383

 
58,028

 
7,628

 
828,783

 

 
 
5,435,385

 
198,428

 
79,598

 
5,554,215

 
35,232

Short-term
 
430,827

 
5

 
44

 
430,788

 

 
 
5,866,212

 
198,433

 
79,642

 
5,985,003

 
35,232

Fixed income securities pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,833

 
72

 

 
64,905

 

Total collateralized investments
 
64,833

 
72

 

 
64,905

 

Total available-for-sale investments
 
$
5,931,045

 
$
198,505

 
$
79,642

 
$
6,049,908

 
$
35,232

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
424,048

 
$
4,910

 
$
8,188

 
$
420,770

 
$

Corporate obligations
 
1,610,912

 
7,089

 
24,332

 
1,593,669

 

Foreign obligations
 
96,638

 
1,491

 
1,823

 
96,306

 

U.S. government obligations
 
26,086

 
789

 
188

 
26,687

 

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,239

 

 
27

 
4,212

 

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
1,942,285

 
99,670

 
64,617

 
1,977,338

 
41,673

Collateralized debt obligations
 
85,706

 
42

 
1,481

 
84,267

 

Other asset-backed securities
 
802,842

 
41,177

 
3,492

 
840,527

 

 
 
4,992,756

 
155,168

 
104,148

 
5,043,776

 
41,673

Short-term
 
225,789

 
1

 
1

 
225,789

 

 
 
5,218,545

 
155,169

 
104,149

 
5,269,565

 
41,673

Fixed income securities pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,612

 

 
57

 
64,555

 

Total collateralized investments
 
64,612

 

 
57

 
64,555

 

Total available-for-sale investments
 
$
5,283,157

 
$
155,169

 
$
104,206

 
$
5,334,120

 
$
41,673

(1)
Represents the amount of non-credit other-than-temporary impairment losses remaining in accumulated other comprehensive loss on securities that also had a credit impairment. These losses are included in gross unrealized losses as of December 31, 2016 and 2015.
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale investments, excluding VIE investments, at December 31, 2016, by contractual maturity, were as follows:
 
 
Amortized
Cost
 
Estimated
Fair Value
Due in one year or less
 
$
553,892

 
$
554,454

Due after one year through five years
 
1,216,940

 
1,220,450

Due after five years through ten years
 
837,225

 
834,775

Due after ten years
 
146,530

 
145,928

 
 
2,754,587

 
2,755,607

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
2,284,425

 
2,351,595

Collateralized debt obligations
 
113,650

 
113,923

Other asset-backed securities
 
778,383

 
828,783

Total
 
$
5,931,045

 
$
6,049,908


Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay certain obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.
Unrealized Losses:
The following table shows gross unrealized losses and fair values of Ambac’s available-for-sale investments, aggregated by investment category and length of time that the individual securities have been in a continuous unrealized loss position, at December 31, 2016 and 2015:
 
 
Less Than 12 Months
 
12 Months or More
 
Total
 
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
December 31, 2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
98,147

 
$
2,045

 
$
122,928

 
$
5,160

 
$
221,075

 
$
7,205

Corporate obligations
 
963,513

 
20,232

 
6,492

 
328

 
970,005

 
20,560

Foreign government obligations
 
5,063

 
100

 

 

 
5,063

 
100

U.S. government obligations
 
6,037

 
93

 
5,045

 
4

 
11,082

 
97

U.S. agency obligations
 
4,060

 
3

 

 

 
4,060

 
3

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
226,889

 
7,201

 
550,807

 
36,584

 
777,696

 
43,785

Collateralized debt obligations
 
6,986

 
23

 
25,780

 
197

 
32,766

 
220

Other asset-backed securities
 
115,622

 
203

 
77,712

 
7,425

 
193,334

 
7,628

 
 
1,426,317

 
29,900

 
788,764

 
49,698

 
2,215,081

 
79,598

Short-term
 
65,176

 
44

 

 

 
65,176

 
44

Total temporarily impaired securities
 
$
1,491,493

 
$
29,944

 
$
788,764

 
$
49,698

 
$
2,280,257

 
$
79,642

 
 
Less Than 12 Months
 
12 Months or More
 
Total
 
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
 
Fair Value
 
Gross
Unrealized
Loss
December 31, 2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fixed income securities:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Municipal obligations
 
$
117,008

 
$
2,070

 
$
114,708

 
$
6,118

 
$
231,716

 
$
8,188

Corporate obligations
 
938,916

 
21,331

 
92,581

 
3,001

 
1,031,497

 
24,332

Foreign government obligations
 
34,904

 
1,018

 
8,584

 
805

 
43,488

 
1,823

U.S. government obligations
 
2,938

 
18

 
10,658

 
170

 
13,596

 
188

U.S. agency obligations
 

 

 
4,212

 
27

 
4,212

 
27

Residential mortgage-backed securities
 
584,699

 
53,367

 
213,303

 
11,250

 
798,002

 
64,617

Collateralized debt obligations
 
77,538

 
1,481

 

 

 
77,538

 
1,481

Other asset-backed securities
 
450,690

 
3,456

 
19,274

 
36

 
469,964

 
3,492

 
 
2,206,693

 
82,741

 
463,320

 
21,407

 
2,670,013

 
104,148

Short-term
 
9,982

 
1

 

 

 
9,982

 
1


 
2,216,675

 
82,742

 
463,320

 
21,407

 
2,679,995

 
104,149

Fixed Income securities, pledged as collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
U.S. government obligations
 
64,555

 
57

 

 

 
64,555

 
57

Total collateralized investments
 
64,555

 
57

 

 

 
64,555

 
57

Total temporarily impaired securities
 
$
2,281,230

 
$
82,799

 
$
463,320

 
$
21,407

 
$
2,744,550

 
$
104,206


Management has determined that the unrealized losses reflected in the tables above are temporary in nature as of December 31, 2016 and 2015 based upon (i) no unexpected principal and interest payment defaults on these securities; (ii) analysis of the creditworthiness of the issuer and financial guarantor, as applicable, and analysis of projected defaults on the underlying collateral; (iii) management has no intent to sell these investments in debt securities; and (iv) it is not more likely than not that Ambac will be required to sell these debt securities before the anticipated recovery of its amortized cost basis. The assessment under (iv) is based on a comparison of future available liquidity from the investment portfolio against the projected net cash flow from operating activities and debt service. For purposes of this assessment, available liquidity from the investment portfolio is comprised of the fair value of securities for which management has asserted its intent to sell, trading securities plus the projected principal and interest payments from the remaining securities in the portfolio. To the extent that securities that management intends to sell are in an unrealized loss position, they would have already been considered other-than-temporarily impaired with the amortized cost written down to fair value. For purposes of this analysis, residual cash flows are projected to be invested at current reinvestment rates consistent with existing fixed income portfolio holdings. Because the above-described assessment indicates that future available liquidity exceeds projected net cash outflow, it is not more likely than not that we would be required to sell securities in an unrealized loss position before the recovery of their amortized cost basis. In the liquidity assessment described above, principal payments on securities pledged as collateral are not considered to be available for other liquidity needs until the collateralized positions are projected to be settled. Projected interest receipts on securities pledged as collateral generally belong to Ambac and are considered to be sources of available liquidity from the investment portfolio.
As of December 31, 2016, for securities that have indications of possible other-than-temporary impairment but which management does not intend to sell and will not more likely than not be required to sell, management compared the present value of cash flows expected to be collected to the amortized cost basis of the securities to assess whether the amortized cost will be recovered. Cash flows were discounted at the effective interest rate implicit in the security at the date of acquisition (or Fresh Start Reporting Date of April 30, 2013 for securities purchased prior to that date) or for debt securities that are beneficial interests in securitized financial assets, at a rate equal to the current yield used to accrete the beneficial interest. For floating rate securities, future cash flows and the discount rate used were both adjusted to reflect changes in the index rate applicable to each security as of the evaluation date. Of the securities that were in a gross unrealized loss position at December 31, 2016, $890,952 of the total fair value and $53,273 of the unrealized loss related to below investment grade securities and non-rated securities. Of the securities that were in a gross unrealized loss position at December 31, 2015, $953,000 of the total fair value and $69,214 of the unrealized loss related to below investment grade securities and non-rated securities. With respect to all Ambac insured securities owned, future cash flows used to measure credit impairment represents the sum of (i) the bond’s intrinsic cash flows and (ii) the estimated Ambac Assurance claim payments. For Ambac-insured securities owned guaranteed under policies allocated to the Segregated Account, the estimate of Ambac Assurance claim payments includes interest on Deferred Amounts. Ambac estimates the timing of claim payment receipts on all Ambac-insured securities owned, but the actual timing of such amounts for Segregated Account securities are at the sole discretion of the Rehabilitator. Further modifications to the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan or to the rules and guidelines promulgated thereunder, orders from the Rehabilitation Court or actions by the Rehabilitator with respect to the form, amount and timing of satisfying permitted policy claims, or making payments on Deferred Amounts or surplus notes, may have a material effect on the fair value of Ambac insured securities and future recognition of other-than-temporary impairments. Refer to Note 1. Background and Business Description for information relating to the amended Segregated Account Rehabilitation Plan. Ambac’s assessment about whether a decline in value is other-than-temporary reflects management’s current judgment regarding facts and circumstances specific to a security and the factors noted above, including Ambac's intention to sell securities and ability to hold temporarily impaired securities until recovery. If that judgment changes, Ambac may ultimately record a charge for other-than-temporary impairment in future periods.
Municipal and corporate obligations
The gross unrealized losses on municipal and corporate obligations as of December 31, 2016 are primarily the result of the increase in interest rates since purchase (or the Fresh Start Reporting Date of April 30, 2013 if owned as of that date). These securities are primarily fixed-rate securities with an investment grade credit rating. Management believes that the timely receipt of all principal and interest on these positions is probable.
Residential mortgage-backed securities
Of the $43,785 of unrealized losses on residential mortgage-backed securities, $43,380 is attributable to Ambac insured securities. The unrealized loss on these securities is primarily the result of discount accretion, which has exceeded the increase in fair value. As part of the quarterly impairment review process, management estimates expected future cash flows from residential mortgage-backed securities. This approach includes the utilization of market accepted software models in conjunction with detailed data of the historical performance of the collateral pools, which assists in the determination of assumptions such as defaults, severity and voluntary prepayment rates that are largely driven by home price forecasts as well as other macro-economic factors.  Additionally, for Ambac insured securities that are allocated to the Segregated Account, expected future cash flows include assumptions about the timing of Ambac Assurance claim payments, including interest on Deferred Amounts, although the actual timing of such payments are at the sole discretion of the Rehabilitator. These assumptions are used to project future cash flows for each security. Management considered this analysis in making our determination that a credit loss has not occurred at December 31, 2016 on these transactions.
Realized Gains and Losses and Other-Than-Temporary Impairments:
The following table details amounts included in net realized gains and other-than-temporary impairments included in earnings for the affected periods:
Year Ended December 31,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Gross realized gains on securities
 
$
17,344

 
$
58,218

 
$
63,366

Gross realized losses on securities
 
(8,239
)
 
(10,558
)
 
(9,824
)
Foreign exchange (losses) gains
 
30,179

 
5,816

 
5,235

Net realized gains
 
$
39,284

 
$
53,476

 
$
58,777

Net other-than-temporary impairments (1)
 
$
(21,819
)
 
$
(25,659
)
 
$
(25,794
)
(1)
Other-than-temporary impairments exclude impairment amounts recorded in other comprehensive income under ASC Paragraph 320-10-65-1, which comprise non-credit related amounts on securities that are credit impaired but which management does not intend to sell and it is not more likely than not that the company will be required to sell before recovery of the amortized cost basis.
Since commencement of the Segregated Account Rehabilitation Proceedings, changes in the estimated timing of claim payments have resulted in adverse changes in projected cash flows on certain impaired Ambac insured securities. Such changes in estimated claim payments on Ambac insured securities contributed to net other-than-temporary impairments for the periods presented in the table above. Further changes to the timing of estimated claim payments could result in additional other-than-temporary impairment charges in the future. Ambac’s other-than-temporary impairments also relate to the company’s intent to sell certain securities that were in an unrealized loss position as of the impairment evaluation dates. Future changes in our estimated liquidity needs could result in a determination that Ambac no longer has the ability to hold additional securities that are in an unrealized loss position, which could result in additional other-than-temporary impairment charges.
The following table presents a roll-forward of Ambac’s cumulative credit losses on debt securities held as of December 31, 2016 and 2015 for which a portion of an other-than-temporary impairment was recognized in other comprehensive income:
Year Ended December 31,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Balance, beginning of period
 
$
31,176

 
$
14,062

 
$
1,182

Additions for credit impairments recognized on:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities not previously impaired
 
3,572

 
10,900

 
12,873

Securities previously impaired
 
17,322

 
6,214

 
7

Reductions for credit impairments previously recognized on:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Securities that matured or were sold during the period
 

 

 

Balance, end of period
 
$
52,070

 
$
31,176

 
$
14,062


Counterparty Collateral, Deposits with Regulators and Other Restrictions:
Ambac routinely pledges and receives collateral related to certain business lines and/or transactions. Ambac pledges assets it holds in its investment portfolio to investment agreement and derivative counterparties. Securities pledged to investment agreement counterparties may not then be re-pledged to another entity. Ambac’s counterparties under derivative agreements have the right to pledge or rehypothecate the securities and as such, these pledged securities are separately classified on the Consolidated Balance Sheets as “Fixed income securities pledged as collateral, at fair value”.
The following table presents (i) the sources of collateral either received from various counterparties where Ambac is permitted to sell or re-pledge the collateral or collateral held directly in the investment portfolio and (ii) how that collateral was pledged to various investment agreement, derivative and repurchase agreement counterparties at December 31, 2016 and 2015:
 
 
Fair Value of
Cash and
Underlying
Securities
 
Fair Value of Cash
and Securities
Pledged to
Investment
Agreement
Counterparties
 
Fair Value of
Cash and
Securities
Pledged to
Derivative
Counterparties
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sources of Collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and securities pledged directly from the investment portfolio
 
$
291,545

 
$
88,940

 
$
202,605

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sources of Collateral:
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash and securities pledged directly from the investment portfolio
 
$
338,007

 
$
108,379

 
$
229,628


Securities carried at $5,872 and $6,762 at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively, were deposited by Ambac Assurance and Everspan with governmental authorities or designated custodian banks as required by laws affecting insurance companies.
Securities with fair value of $360,759 and $396,100 at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively, were held by a bankruptcy remote trust to collateralize and fund repayment of debt issued through a secured borrowing transaction. The securities may not be sold or repledged by the trust. These assets are held and the secured debt issued by entities that qualified as VIEs and were consolidated in Ambac’s consolidated financial statements. Refer to Note 4. Special Purpose Entities, Including Variable Interest Entities for a further description of this transaction.
Guaranteed Securities:
Ambac’s fixed income portfolio includes securities covered by guarantees issued by Ambac Assurance and other financial guarantors (“insured securities”). The published rating agency ratings on these securities reflect the higher of the financial strength rating of the financial guarantor or the rating of the underlying issuer. Rating agencies do not always publish separate underlying ratings (those ratings excluding the insurance by the financial guarantor) because the insurance cannot be legally separated from the underlying security by the insurer. In the event these underlying ratings are not available from the rating agencies, Ambac will assign an internal rating. The following table represents the fair value, including the value of the financial guarantee, and weighted-average underlying rating, excluding the financial guarantee, of the insured securities at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively: 
 
 
Municipal
Obligations
 
Corporate
Obligations
 
Mortgage
and Asset-
backed
Securities
 
Short-term
 
Total
 
Weighted
Average
Underlying
Rating 
(1)
December 31, 2016:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ambac Assurance Corporation (2)
 
$
81,651

 
$

 
$
2,739,073

 
$

 
$
2,820,724

 
CC
National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation
 
38,687

 

 

 

 
38,687

 
A-
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corporation
 
25,660

 

 

 

 
25,660

 
AA
MBIA Insurance Corporation
 

 
2,630

 

 

 
2,630

 
BBB+
Total
 
$
145,998

 
$
2,630

 
$
2,739,073

 
$

 
$
2,887,701

 
CC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
December 31, 2015:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Ambac Assurance Corporation (2)
 
$
60,836

 
$

 
$
2,216,317

 
$

 
$
2,277,153

 
CC
National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation
 
47,846

 

 

 

 
47,846

 
A-
Assured Guaranty Municipal Corporation
 
57,715

 

 

 

 
57,715

 
A+
MBIA Insurance Corporation
 

 
25,645

 

 

 
25,645

 
A+
Total
 
$
166,397

 
$
25,645

 
$
2,216,317

 
$

 
$
2,408,359

 
CCC-
 
(1)
Ratings are based on the lower of Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s rating. If unavailable, Ambac’s internal rating is used.
(2)
Includes asset-backed securities with a fair value of $118,813 and $119,802 at December 31, 2016 and 2015, respectively, insured by Ambac UK.
Investment Income:
Net investment income was comprised of the following for the affected periods:
Year Ended December 31,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Fixed income securities
 
$
288,554

 
$
257,404

 
$
299,694

Short-term investments
 
1,505

 
299

 
3,092

Loans
 
337

 
420

 
529

Investment expense
 
(9,347
)
 
(8,786
)
 
(10,477
)
Securities available-for-sale and short-term
 
281,049

 
249,337

 
292,838

Other investments
 
32,318

 
16,952

 
8,108

Total net investment income
 
$
313,367

 
$
266,289

 
$
300,946


Net investment income from Other investments primarily represents changes in fair value on securities classified as trading or under the fair value option plus, for periods after August 28, 2014, income from Ambac's equity interest in an unconsolidated trust created in connection with its sale of Segregated Account junior surplus notes on that date. The portion of net unrealized gains (losses) related to trading securities still held at the end of each period is as follows:
Year Ended December 31,
 
2016
 
2015
 
2014
Net gains recognized during the period on trading securities
 
$
27,654

 
$
12,615

 
$
6,713

Less: net gains and (losses) recognized during the reporting period on trading securities sold during the period
 
7,474

 
4,966

 
(487
)
Unrealized gains and (losses) recognized during the reporting period on trading securities still held at the reporting date
 
$
20,180

 
$
7,649

 
$
7,200