EX-99.CI 8 d70561dex99ci.htm EX-(C)(I) EX-(c)(i)

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Project Avalanche Finance Committee Update – Supporting Analysis August 7, 2020 Confidential Treatment Requested. Confidential portions of this document have been redacted and have been separately filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Exhibit (c)(i)


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Goldman Sachs Disclaimer These materials have been prepared and are provided by Goldman Sachs on a confidential basis solely for the information and assistance of the Board of Directors (the “Board") and senior management of Islanders (the "Company") in connection with their consideration of the matters referred to herein. These materials and Goldman Sachs’ presentation relating to these materials (the “Confidential Information”) may not be disclosed to any third party or circulated or referred to publicly or used for or relied upon for any other purpose without the prior written consent of Goldman Sachs. The Confidential Information was not prepared with a view to public disclosure or to conform to any disclosure standards under any state, federal or international securities laws or other laws, rules or regulations, and Goldman Sachs does not take any responsibility for the use of the Confidential Information by persons other than those set forth above. 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Stifel Disclaimer This presentation and the information contained herein is confidential and has been prepared exclusively for the benefit and internal use of the Stifel client to whom it is directly addressed and delivered (including such client’s subsidiaries, the “Company”). In connection with the preparation and provision of these materials, Stifel has relied upon and assumed, without independent investigation or verification, the accuracy and completeness of all financial and other information that was made available, supplied, or otherwise communicated to Stifel by or on behalf of the Company and other publicly available information, and Stifel expressly disclaims any responsibility for, or liability in connection with, such information or the Company’s use of these materials. 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Avalanche’s Share Price Performance Year-to-Date YTD Stock Price ($ per share, unless otherwise noted) Source: Bloomberg; market data as of August 6, 2020. Stock Price (USD) Avalanche XBI


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Financial Analyses Illustrative Price per Share Comments Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) Avalanche management projections through 2029; extrapolation until 20401 based on Islanders Management guidance No terminal value 8.0 % - 10.0% WACC Precedent Squeeze-Out Transactions Premia to undisturbed price (full bar) and 52-week high (dotted bar) based on select minority squeeze-out transactions >$200mm deal value Low: 28.6% (full) / (4.8)% (dotted), based on 25th%ile premium at final bid High: 46.7% (full) / 17.2% (dotted), based on 75th%ile premium at final bid 52-Week Trading Range 52-week low of $10.84 as of 31-Jul-2020 52-week high of $22.47 as of 19-Sep-2019 Analyst Price Targets High: $41 (Analyst B) Low: $16 (Analyst C) Avalanche Summary of Illustrative Financial Analyses Source: Avalanche Management projections (including adjustments from Islanders Management), Bloomberg, IBES, public filings, market data as of August 6, 2020. Note: Confidential. Illustrative, for discussion purposes only. Assumes June 30, 2020 closing date and 101.6mm basic shares outstanding. 1 Extrapolation until [*] for ANGPTL3-L given LOE in [*]. 2 See page 10. Excludes upside from (i) [***] and (ii) and terminal value methodology. Current Share Price: $11.47 Public Market Perspectives Financial Valuation 1 2 3 4 Range inclusive of cumulative upside from positive levers2: $29.73 - $36.72


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52-week high of $22.47 as of September 19, 2019 52-week low of $10.84 as of July 31, 2020 Based on selected majority-owned precedent transactions with deal value at least $200mm Premiums based on 1st and 3rd quartiles of 1-day unaffected stock price of 28.6% and 46.7%, respectively Dashed box represents premiums based on 1st and 3rd quartiles of 52-week high stock price of (4.8%) and 17.2%, respectively Based on analyst price target estimates Avalanche Valuation Review Source: Avalanche Management projections (including adjustments from Islanders Management), Wall Street research and FactSet as of August 5, 2020. (1) Includes the net impact of Islanders adjustments to Avalanche’s management projections using a WACC of 7.0% - 9.0%. Implied Price Per Share Commentary Methodology Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) Analyst Consensus Precedent-Squeeze Out Transactions 52-Week Trading Range Current Price: $11.47 $16.00 $26.00 $41.00 $25.00 Islanders Case.(1) $29.92 $21.39 $24.53 $26.33 Avalanche management projections including adjustments from Islanders Management SOTP based on each of Avalanche’s products 9.0% - 12.0% WACC (Avalanche Case); 7.0% - 9.0% (Islanders Case)


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Source: CapIQ, company filings, market data as of August 6, 2020. Analysis at Various Prices ($ and shares in millions, except for per share values)


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Source: CapIQ, company filings, market data as of August 6, 2020. $15.00 to $16.00 per Avalanche Share | ($ and shares in millions, except for per share values) Analysis at Various Prices


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Illustrative Bidding Strategy Source: CapIQ, company filings, market data as of August 6, 2020. ($ in millions, except for per share values)


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Source: FactSet as of August 6, 2020. Note: “NA” indicates not applicable. Based on the percentage increase in price from prior bid. Based on the premium to the unaffected share price prior to announcement. Based on the 6-month volume-weighted average price. Precedent Squeeze Out Bid Analysis