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Share-Based Compensation Plans (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2018
Disclosure of Compensation Related Costs, Share-based Payments [Abstract]  
Summary of stock option activity
A summary of stock option activity is as follows:
 
Shares (000)

Wtd. Avg.
 Exercise Price
 Per Share

Wtd. Avg.
 Remaining
 Contractual Term
(years)
Aggregate
Intrinsic Value
(in millions)

Outstanding, January 1, 2016
1,272


$64

 
 
Granted
166

75

 
 
Exercised
(279
)
63

 

$5

Expired or cancelled
(32
)
67

 
 
Outstanding, December 31, 2016
1,127


$66

4.9

$26

Vested or expected to vest, December 31, 2016
1,122


$66

4.9
 
Exercisable, December 31, 2016
756


$62

3.3

$20

Outstanding, January 1, 2017
1,127


$66

 
 
Granted
145

97

 
 
Exercised
(680
)
64

 

$24

Expired or cancelled
(18
)
75

 
 
Outstanding, December 31, 2017
574


$77

7.1

$28

Vested or expected to vest, December 31, 2017
571


$77

7.1
 
Exercisable, December 31, 2017
220


$65

5.3

$14

Outstanding, January 1, 2018
574


$77

 
 
Granted
122

123

 
 
Exercised
(24
)
78

 

$1

Expired or cancelled


 
 
Outstanding, December 31, 2018
672


$85

5.9

$1

Vested or expected to vest, December 31, 2018
670


$85

5.9
 
Exercisable, December 31, 2018
401


$76

4.5

$1

Schedule of options outstanding and exercisable
Options outstanding and exercisable as of December 31, 2018 were as follows:
 
Options Outstanding
 
 
Options Exercisable
 
Exercise Price

Shares (000)

Weighted-
Average
 Remaining
 Contractual
Life (years)
Weighted-
Average
 Exercise Price

 

Shares (000)

Weighted-Average
 Exercise Price

$27-$49
35

1.8

$39

 
35


$39

$50-$73
67

2.8
55

 
67

55

$74-$85
309

5.8
77

 
223

77

$86-$123
261

7.4
109

 
76

105

 
672

5.9

$85

 
401


$76

Assumptions used to estimate fair value of share awards
We estimated the fair value of each stock option on the date of grant using the Black-Scholes option pricing model and the following assumptions:
Year Ended December 31
2018

2017

2016

Average risk-free interest rate
2.6
%
2.0
%
1.4
%
Expected dividend yield
1.6
%
2.0
%
2.1
%
Expected volatility
27.0
%
31.0
%
33.0
%
Expected term (years)
6.0

6.0

6.0

 
 
 
 
Summary of restricted stock activity
A summary of restricted stock activity is as follows:
 

Shares (000)

Wtd. Avg.
Price Per Share

Wtd. Avg.
Remaining
 Contractual
 Term (years)
Aggregate
 Intrinsic Value
(in millions)

Unvested, January 1, 2016
405


$64

1.3
 
Granted
232

75

 
 
Vested
(172
)
62

 
 
Forfeited
(14
)
76

 
 
Unvested, December 31, 2016
451


$70

1.4
 
Granted
167


$98

 
 
Vested
(133
)
79

 
 
Forfeited
(37
)
80

 
 
Unvested, December 31, 2017
448


$77

1.2
 
Granted
145


$119

 
 
Vested
(174
)
77

 
 
Forfeited
(23
)
89

 
 
Unvested, December 31, 2018
396


$92

1.3

$26

Summary of performance share units detail by grant year
A summary of the performance share units detail by grant year is as follows:
 
2015

2016

2017

2018

Grant Date(s)
February 11, 2015

February 16, 2016

February 9, 2017

February 15, 2018

Performance Period (years)
2015-2017

2016-2018

2017-2019

2018-2020

Vesting Date
 February 2018

February 2019(a)

February 2020(a)

February 2021(a)

Payout Levels (in units):
 
 
 
 
Threshold Award
82,298

65,141

57,563

47,003

Target Award
164,595

130,282

115,125

94,005

Outstanding Award
329,190

260,564

230,250

188,010

Shares Issued in 2018
219,519




Payout Achieved Over Performance Period

123,767



(a) 2016, 2017 and 2018 awards are scheduled to vest in February 2019, 2020, and 2021, respectively, when the Executive Compensation and Human Resources Committee of the Board of Directors determines the achievement of the performance criteria.