EX-99.C(II) 2 a2044883zex-99_cii.htm EXHIBIT 99-C(II) Prepared by MERRILL CORPORATION www.edgaradvantage.com
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Exhibit (c)(ii)


Project Cobra


Presentation to the Board of Directors

February 23, 2001

     MORGAN STANLEY DEAN WITTER



Table of Contents


Section 1

 

Transaction Summary

 

(c

)(ii)-1

Section 2

 

Industry Overview

 

(c

)(ii)-8

Section 3

 

Company Overview

 

(c

)(ii)-12

Section 4

 

Valuation

 

(c

)(ii)-15

Tab A

 

Financial Projections

 

(c

)(ii)-16

Tab B

 

Summary Back-up of Preliminary Valuation

 

(c

)(ii)-19

Section 5

 

Draft Fairness Opinion Letter

 

(c

)(ii)-26

(c)(ii)-i


Section 1


Transaction Summary

(c)(ii)-1


Transaction Summary

Overview of Proposed Transaction

  Transaction:   Purchase of Cobra by the Buying Group
  Purchase Price:   $16.00 in cash per Cobra share
  Equity Value:   Approximately $358MM
  Aggregate Value:   Approximately $735MM
  Financing:   Committed Financing by Credit Suisse First Boston/DLJ Investment Funding, Inc.
        —Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility
        —Senior Secured Term Loan Facilities
        —Senior Notes


 

Implied Multiples:

 

Aggregate Value/EBITDA


 

 

 
        —2000 EBITDA:   4.9x  
        —2001E EBITDA:   4.6x  

 

 

 

 

Price to Earnings


 

 

 
        —2001 Management estimates:   9.4x  
        —2001 I/B/E/S estimates:   9.9x  

 

 

 

 

% Premium to:


 

 

 
        —Unaffected Price:   28.0 %
        —Pre-offer 52 Week High   8.0 %
        —Pre-offer 52 Week Low   75.2 %

(c)(ii)-2


Transaction Summary

Summary Chronology—Key Dates

  November 10, 2000:   Cobra (or the "Company") received an acquisition proposal from an investor group led by Blum Capital Partners, L.P. (such group, the "Blum Group"). Special Committee formed to consider the proposal and other alternatives
  November 17, 2000:   Morgan Stanley Dean Witter ("MSDW") selected by the Special Committee as its financial advisor
  November 20, 2000:   Meeting of Special Committee, its legal advisors ("McDermott"), MSDW and Blum Group to allow Blum Group to describe its proposal
—Information requests submitted to both the Company and the Blum Group
  December 6, 2000:   Meeting with the Special Committee to review the situation and preliminary valuation work performed by MSDW
  December 15, 2000:   Special Committee conference call update on marketing status
  December 18, 2000:   Special Committee announces that MSDW is instructed to explore third party interest in Cobra
  December 20, 2000:   MSDW, Blum Group, and Cobra management met and discussed the status of the process, a potential meeting with rating agencies, and various other topics
  December 20, 2000:   Special Committee conference call follow-up on meeting with Blum Group
  December 29, 2000:   Cobra releases its 2001 Budget Plan to MSDW, Board of Directors
  January 4, 2001:   Special Committee update conference call
  January 9, 2001:   Special Committee update conference call
  January 12, 2001:   Merger document draft sent to Blum Group
  January 22, 2001:   Special Committee update conference call
  January 26, 2001:   Blum Group and Cobra management meet with rating agencies
  January 30, 2001:   Conference call between Special Committee and MSDW to discuss strategic alternatives and valuation
  February 7, 2001:   Meeting between MSDW and Blum Group to negotiate deal terms and discuss key issues
  February 15, 2001:   MSDW and McDermott met with the Special Committee and held discussions with the Blum Group to negotiate deal terms
  February 20, 2001:   Discussions regarding increase in price to $16.00 per share. Meeting of the Board of Directors
    Over a period of more than three months, MSDW has used a variety of means to understand the Company, estimate its value, and explore and evaluate strategic alternatives

    MSDW contacted over 30 potential strategic and financial buyers to assess interest

      —No strong interest was expressed

(c)(ii)-3


Transaction Summary

Summary of Key Merger Terms


Offer Price

 


 

$16.00 per share

Consideration

 


 

100% cash

Treatment of Options

 


 

All options cancelled

 

 


 

Holders receive greater of $1 per option or difference between offer price and the option exercise price

Deferred Compensation Plan Share Treatment

 


 

At holders' election, all vested and credited units and shares can be i) cashed out after a one year holding period, ii) rolled over into NewCo stock, or iii) converted into insurance mutual fund alternatives

401(k) Shares

 


 

Cashed out in the merger

 

 


 

Participants allowed to purchase Holding common stock up to 50% of value of 401(k) shares

Buyer Reps and Warranties

 


 

Includes full financing rep

 

 


 

Commitments from CSFB/DLJ Investment Funding, Inc. to be in place

 

 


 

Buyer covenants that if financing pursuant to the commitment letters cannot be completed, Buyer is obligated to use its reasonable best efforts to obtain alternative financing on substantially comparable terms to those in the commitment letters

Seller Reps and Warranties

 


 

Standard for public company transactions of this type; no survival of reps and warranties

Covenants

 


 

Completion of Tender for existing 87/8% Notes

Termination

 


 

Break-up Fee of $7.5MM plus expense reimbursement up to $3.0MM

 

 

 

 

—Company allowed to accept Superior Proposal

 

 


 

Termination Date of July 20, 2001

Other

 


 

Keepwell amount to be determined

 

 


 

Delaware §203 Transaction

Expected Closing

 


 

Second quarter 2001

(c)(ii)-4


Transaction Summary

Sources and Uses of Funds

Uses

  $MM
  Sources

  $MM

Merger Consideration

 

348.7

 

Revolver(1)

 

0.0

Refinance Existing Debt

 

292.7

 

Term Loan A(2)

 

150.0

Transaction Costs

 

40.3

 

Term Loan B(2)

 

250.0

Existing Seller Notes

 

21.2

 

16% Mezzanine Equity

 

75.0

Cash at Close

 

49.3

 

Existing Seller Notes

 

21.2

 

 

 

 

Cash Equity Contribution(3)

 

98.8

 

 

 

 

Mgmt. and Employee Equity(3)

 

24.7

 

 

 

 

Rollover Equity(3)

 

111.6

 

 

 

 

Cash

 

20.9

Total Uses

 

752.2

 

Total Sources

 

752.2

Source  Buying Group/CSFB Financing Commitment Letter dated February 23, 2001

Notes

1.
The Revolving Facility has a total capacity of $100MM and can be used to fund any increases in working capital relative to December 31, 2000

2.
The amount of the gross cash proceeds from the Term Facilities may be reduced, in a ratio to be agreed upon, by up to the amount of Existing Subordinated Notes not tendered in the Debt Tender Offer

3.
The Investors will contribute additional cash, if necessary, to ensure that the total equity is not less than $235MM

(c)(ii)-5


Transaction Summary

Summary of Commitment Letters

Summary of Commitment Letters

 
  Term Loans
  Revolver
  Senior Notes

Facility

 


 

Two Senior Secured Term Loan Facilities

 


 

One Senior Secured Revolving Credit Facility

 


 

Senior Notes

Borrower

 


 

CB Richard Ellis Services, Inc.

 


 

CB Richard Ellis Services, Inc.

 


 

Blum CB Holding Corp.

Size

 


 

$400MM ($150MM Tranche A, $250MM Tranche B) 

 


 

$100MM

 


 

$75MM

Interest Rate

 


 

LIBOR + 325 for Tranche A

 


 

LIBOR + 325

 


 

16% (12% cash pay, 4% PIK)

 

 


 

LIBOR + 375 for Tranche B

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amortization/Term

 


 

Tranche A—Amortizes over 6 years

 


 

No amortization, six year term

 


 

No amortization, ten year term

 

 


 

Tranche B—Amortizes 1% a year, due seven years

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Conditions

 


 

Repurchase of all tendered subordinated notes

 


 

Repurchase of all tendered subordinated notes

 


 

Repurchase of all tendered subordinated notes

 

 


 

Definitive documentation

 


 

Definitive documentation

 


 

Definitive documentation

 

 


 

Simultaneous closing

 


 

Simultaneous closing

 


 

Simultaneous closing

 

 


 

No MAC in business or financial markets

 


 

No MAC in business or financial markets

 


 

No MAC in business or financial markets

 

 


 

No due diligence out

 


 

No due diligence out

 


 

No due diligence out

Other

 


 

Will be syndicated

 


 

Will be syndicated

 


 

Redeemable at declining premium

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Change of control put 101%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

Warrants issued equal to 3% of fully diluted with 10 year term and $0.01 per warrant exercise price

(c)(ii)-6


Transaction Summary

Summary of Preliminary Valuation Analyses

LOGO

Note

1.
Assumes a 25% control premium

(c)(ii)-7


Section 2


Industry Overview

(c)(ii)-8


Industry Overview

Overview of the Real Estate Services Industry

Real Estate Service Sector Characteristics

    Fragmented, decentralized
    Low barriers to entry
    Lack of proprietary business models
    Seasonal revenues and EBITDA
    Importance of marketing/brand name
    High correlation with local economy, need for geographic diversity
    Economies of scale

Current Industry Trends

    Globalization
    Consolidation
    Internet initiatives
    Diversification of product line
    Client aggregation

Five Pure-Play Public Companies

Name

  Ticker
  Current Price 2/16/01
  Price Change Since 1/1/98(2)
(%)

  2001 EBITDA Multiple
(×)

CB Richard Ellis   CBG   12.50(1)   (61 ) 4.4
Grubb & Ellis   GBE   5.60   (59 ) 1.6
Insignia Financial   IFS   12.50   0   N.A.
Jones Lang LaSalle   JLL   13.97   (61 ) 4.6
Trammell Crow   TCC   12.03   (53 ) 4.4

Current Public Company Conditions
Five Public Real Estate Companies

    Since the beginning of 1998, share prices have dropped by 52%
    Stock price performance can be attributed, in part, to a propensity by these companies to miss Wall Street earnings estimates
    Public markets have been extraordinarily punitive to companies which have missed earnings estimates
    Sector is a transaction oriented brokerage business and is therefore prone to inaccurate earnings projections
    There has been a recent focus on the sector from a M&A front:
    Blum has offered to purchase Cobra for $16.00
    Insignia Financial Group was rumored to be in preliminary talks with Vornado Realty Trust


    The real estate service sector is a highly competitive, highly fragmented market with low barriers to entry

    Cobra management estimates that the top 5 public companies have a 10% domestic market share and a 6% global market share


    Key success factors include reputation, brand recognition, geographic diversity, local market knowledge and pricing

Notes

1.
Unaffected share price at November 9, 2000

2.
IFS price change since IPO as of September 15, 1998

(c)(ii)-9


Industry Overview


Comparative Performance Charts

LOGO


LOGO
 
LOGO
    The real estate services companies have underperformed the REIT and broader market indices over the past three years

    The Grubb & Ellis 35.8% self tender has been met with 98% participation by shareholders

    Trammell Crow has declined over 11% since it announced its year end earnings on February 8

Note

1.
Service Sector consist of Grubb & Ellis, Insignia Financial, Jones Lang Lasalle and Trammell Crow

(c)(ii)-10


Industry Overview


Sector Earnings Announcements

Company

  Earnings Announcement Date
  Stock Price Day Before Earnings
  Current Stock Price
  Stock Price Variance
  2000 Reported Earnings
  2000 Expected Earnings
  2000 Earnings Variance
  Company-Guided 2001 EPS
  Estimated EPS Growth
 
Trammell Crow   8-Feb   $ 13.55   $ 12.03   -11.22 % $ 1.65   $ 1.71   -3.51 % $ 1.83   11.0 %
Jones Lang LaSalle   31-Jan   $ 15.00   $ 13.97   -6.87 % $ 1.63   $ 1.57   3.82 % $ 2.02   24.0 %
Cobra   8-Feb   $ 14.80   $ 14.60   -1.35 % $ 1.58   $ 1.38   14.49 % $ 1.71   8.2 %

Comments on 2001 and Economic Climate

    Trammell Crow

    Business mix is heavily domestic and non-recurring (e.g., development services)

    National retail rep business was a major disappointment

    Write down of E-commerce investments

    General economic trends have resulted in lower 2001 projections

    Targeting 10-12% growth in operating earnings

    Jones Lang LaSalle

    Expected 2001 growth: 7% revenues and 24% in earnings (1% increase in EBITDA margin)

    Expect soft-landing in US economy and strength in Asia

    Cobra

    Outlook for 2001: 2-4% revenue growth, 4-6% EBITDA growth, and 5-9% EPS growth

    Challenges expected due to economic weakness

    Grubb & Ellis

    In FQ2 earnings announcement, GBE expected 2001 calendar year to show 8-10% EBITDA growth, moderate softening of real estate market, and slowing economy

(c)(ii)-11


Section 3


Company Overview

(c)(ii)-12


Company Overview

Company Segment Operations

LOGO

    2000 Revenues: $1,324MM

    2000 EBITDA: $150.5MM

    World's largest fully integrated commercial real estate services firm

    Global brand name and leading market share in most business segments

    230 offices worldwide with over 10,000 employees

      —Located in the U.S., U.K., Canada, and 33 other countries

Note

1.
Revenues and EBITDA are actual 2000 numbers, all other data as of December 31, 1999

(c)(ii)-13


Company Overview

Comparable Company Metrics

Selected Financial Data(1)

$MM

  Cobra
  Grubb & Ellis
  Insignia
  Jones Lang LaSalle
  Trammell Crow
 
Market Cap(2)   279.9   98.9   268.2   424.6   425.0  
1999A Revenues   1,213.0   351.8   678.5   813.9   687.4  
2000E Revenues   1,280.9   430.1   838.0   945.4   786.3  
  % Growth   5.6 % 22.3 % 23.5 % 16.2 % 14.4 %
1999A EBITDA   117.4   23.6   58.9   112.2   116.6  
2000E EBITDA   144.0   40.2   82.7   141.5   141.7  
  % Growth   22.7 % 70.4 % 40.4 % 26.1 % 21.5 %
1999 EBITDA margin   9.7 % 6.7 % 8.7 % 13.8 % 17.0 %
2000 EBITDA margin   11.2 % 9.3 % 9.9 % 15.0 % 18.0 %
2000 EBITDA multiple(2)   4.4x   1.9x   4.5x   5.3x   4.8x  

LOGO
 
LOGO

Notes

1.
Based on Banc of America Securities Equity Research report dated September 5, 2000

2.
Based on prices as of February 16, 2001, except Cobra based on unaffected price of $12.50

3.
Data not available for Grubb & Ellis and Trammell Crow

(c)(ii)-14


Section 4


Valuation

(c)(ii)-15


Valuation

Management's Revenue and EBITDA Projections


LOGO
 
LOGO


LOGO

 


LOGO
  Management's EBITDA projections have steadily declined, with actual 2000 EBITDA 6% lower than its June estimate
  1999 actual revenue, EBITDA, and EBITDA margin were $1,213MM, $117MM, and 9.7%, respectively

Notes

1.
June, September, October, and November projections include actual results through the month indicated plus company projections for the remaining months to reach a twelve month 2000 EBITDA estimate.

(c)(ii)-16


Valuation

Status Quo Case

Status Quo Case Assumptions

 
  Transaction Management
  Management Services
  Financial Services
  General Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenue Growth     4% per year     4% per year     5% per year     Assumed 9/30/00 balance sheet as more representative

       
EBITDA margins  

  11.0% in 2000

Grows to 11.5%
 

  10.1% in 2000

Grows to 11.0%
 

  13.9% in 2000

Grows to 15.5%
    Capital expenditures of $25MM per year (2001 at $23.2MM)

       
Rationale  





  Slower growth business

Sensitive to the economy

Potential for cost cutting
 


  Steady state business

Potential for cost cutting
 


  Faster growing business

Potential for cost cutting
 




  Tax rate of 45%-48% per management assumptions

Co-investment/M&A activity not included

LOGO
 
LOGO
  General assumption is for a tepid but not disastrous economic climate in the near term
  Projections exclude impact of unidentified acquisitions
  EBITDA contribution of management services and financial services grows to 10.1% and 22.6% of total by year seven vs. 10.7% and 19.7% in 2000

(c)(ii)-17


Valuation

Recession Case

Recession Case Assumptions

 
  Transaction Management
  Management Services
  Financial Services
  General Corporate

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Revenue Growth  






  Management down case estimates for 2001 (-16.3%)

2002 assumes 0%

Accelerate out of trough and then steady state
 






  Management down case estimates for 2001 (0%)

2002 assumes 0%

Accelerate out of trough and then steady state
 






  Management down case estimates for 2001 (2.2%)

2002 assumes 0%

Accelerate out of trough and then steady state
    Same as Status Quo Case

       
EBITDA margins     Grows to 11.5%     Grows to 11.0%     Grows to 15.5%        

       
Rationale     Assumes drop in margin consistent with management down case     Steady margin growth until 11.0% target is achieved     Steady margin growth until 15.5% target is achieved        

LOGO
 
LOGO
  Projections exclude impact of unidentified acquisitions
  EBITDA contribution of management services and financial services grows to 11.8% and 24.7% of total in year seven vs. 10.7% and 19.7% in 2000

(c)(ii)-18


Valuation

Precedent Transaction Valuation Summary

Precendent REIT Transaction
Premium Paid Analysis

 
  Valuation Range
 
 
  Low
  High
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
Unaffected Price(1)   $ 12.50   $ 12.50  
Premium     12.0 %   25.0 %
Implied Value/Share   $ 14.00   $ 15.63  

Precedent Real Estate Services Transaction
Multiple Analysis

 
  Valuation Range
 
 
  Low
  High
 
Cobra 2000 EBITDA     150.5     150.5  
Valuation Multiple     5.0x     7.5x  
   
 
 
Value     752.4     1,128.6  
Less Debt     (397.9 )   (397.9 )
Cash     20.7     20.7  
   
 
 
Equity Value     375.2     751.4  
Common Shares     22.4     22.4  
   
 
 
Implied Value/Share   $ 16.75   $ 33.55  
Discounted Implied Value/Share(2)   $ 11.73   $ 20.13  

Notes

1.
As of November 9, 2000

2.
Implied values were discounted by 30% and 40% to reflect the fact that the transaction comparables occurred 18-24 months ago when industry-wide valuation trading multiples were universally higher. Discount amount based upon decline in sector stock index decline during relevant periods

(c)(ii)-19


Valuation

Analysis of Precedent Transactions

Premiums Paid in Selected REIT Transactions

Real Estate Company Mergers & Acquisitions

Announced
Completed

  Acquiror/Acquiree
  Target Equity
Value $

  Aggregate
Value $

  Price Offered
$

  Premium to
Unaffected Price
%

28-Sep-00
Pending
  CalPERS & U.S. Retail Partners, LLC
First Washington Realty Trust
  493.5   790.0   26,00   22.4
25-Sep-00
08-Nov-00
  Rodamco North America
Urban Shopping Centers
  1,709.4   3,419.2   48.00   37.7
17-Jul-00
01-Nov-00
  Equity Residential Properties Trust
Grove Property Trust
  209.8   437.0   17.00   5.9
15-May-00
18-Sep-00
  Heritage Property Investment Trust
Bradley Real Estate, Inc.
  696.1   1,147.5   22.00   20.8
11-Feb-00
19-Jun-00
  Equity Office Properties
Cornerstone Properties
  2,731.8   4,489.4   18.00   22.3
09-Aug-99
29-Feb-00
  Olympus Real Estate/Westdale
Walden Residential Properties
  860.9   1,663.4   23.14   26.4
06-Apr-99
22-Nov-99
  SHP Acquisition, LLC
Sunstone Hotel Investors
  439   835.6   10.35   44.0
05-Mar-99
15-Oct-99
  Aptco LLC (Krupp Group)
Berkshire Realty Co.
  651.4   1,224.1   12.25   26.5
01-Dec-98
07-Jun-99
  The Irvine Company
Irvine Apartment Communities
  1,685.3   2,421.2   34.00   24.6
17-Nov-98
30-Mar-99
  ProLogis Tust
Meridian Industrial Trust
  909.2   1,469.2   25.00   12.0
01-Jul-98
07-May-99
  Reckson Assoc./ Crescent Real Estate
Tower Realty Trust
  428.8   679.5   23.00   2.3
29-Apr-96
20-Sep-96
  Highwood Properties
Crocker Realty Trust
  296.7   540.0   11.02   15.3
    Low               2.3
    Mean               17.7
    Median               21.5
    High               44.0
  Valuation Premia
  Cobra
    —Low: 12%
    —High: 25%
  Implied Valuation Range
    —Low: 14.00
    —High: 15.63

(c)(ii)-20


Valuation

Analysis of Precedent Transactions

Premiums Paid in Selected Real Estate Management Transactions

Real Estate Management Companies

 
   
   
   
   
  Aggregate Value as a Multiple of
Announced/
Completed

  Acquiree/Acquiror
  Equity Value $MM
  Aggregate Value $MM
  LTM EBITDA $MM
  L12M Revenue
x

  L12M EBITDA
x

16-Jun-99
03-Nov-99
  Starwood Capital Advisors/
Starwood Financial Trust
  131.5   131.5   15.0   6.6   8.8
28-May-99
24-Jun-99
  Douglas Elliman/
Insignia Financial Group
  75.0   75.0   14.9   0.9   5.0
05-Mar-99
05-Mar-99
  St. Quintin/
Insignia Financial Group
  40.0   40.0   5.3   N/A   7.6
14-Jan-99
14-Jan-99
  Florida Real Estate Advisors/
St. Joe Corp.
  9.8   9.8   1.5   N/A   6.5
22-Oct-98
11-Mar-99
  Jones Lang Wootton/
La Salle Partners
  455.7   455.7   57.6   1.0   7.9
31-Aug-98
01-Oct-98
  Compass Financial & Leasing/
LaSalle Partners
  180.0   203.2   27.8   2.7   7.3
07-Jul-98
07-Jul-98
  Hillier Parker May and Rowden/
CB Commercial Richard Ellis
  71.0   86.0   13.2   N/A   6.5
29-Jun-98
02-Jul-98
  Faison & Associates Inc./
Trammell Crow Company
  39.1   39.1   4.5   0.8   8.7
31-May-98
31-May-98
  Matthews Click & Associates/
CB Commercial Richard Ellis Services
  10.0   10.0   N/A   N/A    
19-May-98
19-May-98
  Fallon Hines & O'Connor/
Trammell Crow Company
  32.6   32.6   3.0   2.2   10.9
09-Dec-97
17-Apr-98
  REI Ltd. (Richard Ellis)/
CB Commercial Real Estate Services
  103.0   117.4   11.7   1.0   10.0
15-Aug-97
21-Nov-97
  AMB Institutional Realty/
AMB Property Company
  92.0   92.0   11.5   N/A   N/A
22-Apr-97
22-Apr-97
  Galbreath Co./
LaSalle Partners
  49.1   49.1   4.6   0.8   10.6
24-Mar-97
09-Sep-97
  Security Capital Group Financial/
Sec. Capital Pacific, Industrial & Atlantic
  212.3   212.3   23.6   N/A   9.0
18-Mar-97
02-Sep-97
  Koll Real Estate Services/
CB Commercial Real Estate Service
  137.1   172.1   15.0   1.0   11.5
13-Mar-97
07-Jul-97
  Equity Office Holdings Financial/
Equity Office Properties Trust
  160.0   160.0   26.1   N/A   6.1
Low                   0.4   5.0
Mean                   1.7   8.1
Median                   1.0   7.9
High                   6.6   11.5
  Transactions in bold were viewed as most comparable given:
    —Timing
    —Size
    —Business similarity
    —Arms length status

(c)(ii)-21


Valuation

Comparable Companies Analysis(1)
($MM, except per share and multiple data)

 
   
   
   
   
   
  Price/EPS
  Price/AEPS(5)
  Aggregate Value/EBITDA(7)
 
 
   
  2/16/2001
Price

  52-Week High/Low
  Equity Market Value(2)
  Total Market Capitalization(3)
 
 
  Company (Ticker)

  2000E(4)
  2001E(4)
  2000E(6)
  2001E(6)
  2000E
  2001E
 
1   CB Richard Ellis Services (CBG)   $ 12.50(8)   $15.88/$9.06   $ 279.9   $ 677.8     7.9 x   7.7 x   4.9 x   5.7 x   4.4 x   4.3 x
2   Grubb & Ellis Company (GBE)   $ 4.96(9)   $7.00/$4.13   $ 98.9   $ 98.9     6.4 x   7.0 x   4.5 x   4.1 x   1.9 x   1.6 x
3   Insignia Financial Group (IFS)   $ 12.50   $16.63/$9.13   $ 268.2   $ 438.2     25.0 x   11.2 x   6.7 x   4.4 x   4.5 x   NA  
4   Jones Lang LaSalle Inc. (JLL)   $ 13.97   $16.24/$11.00   $ 424.6   $ 730.8     10.7 x   8.6 x   9.9 x   8.0 x   5.3 x   4.6 x
5   Trammell Crow Co. (TCC)   $ 12.03   $15.31/$10.31   $ 425.0   $ 669.1     7.0 x   6.3 x   6.9 x   6.1 x   4.8 x   4.4 x

 

 

Mean

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

299.3

 

$

523.0

 

 

11.4

x

 

8.2

x

 

6.6

x

 

5.7

x

 

4.2

x

 

3.7

x
    Median             $ 279.9   $ 669.1     7.9 x   7.7 x   6.7 x   5.7 x   4.5 x   4.4 x
    High             $ 425.0     730.8     25.0 x   11.2 x   9.9 x   8.0 x   5.3 x   4.6 x
    Low             $ 98.9   $ 98.9     6.4 x   6.3 x   4.5 x   4.1 x   1.9 x   1.6 x
 
  Selected Cobra Valuation Range

   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
 
    High                           10.0 x   8.5 x   8.0 x   7.5 x   5.0 x   4.5 x
    Low                           7.0 x   6.0 x   5.5 x   5.0 x   4.0 x   3.5 x

 

 

Cobra Estimates(10)


 

 


 

 


 

 


 

00
EPS


 

01
EPS


 

00
AEPS


 

01
AEPS


 

00
EBITDA


 

01
EBITDA


 
    Cobra                         $ 1.58   $ 1.63   $ 2.53   $ 2.53     150.5     153.0  
    Implied Cobra Valuation
                                                     
    High                         $ 15.80   $ 13.86   $ 20.24   $ 18.98   $ 16.76   $ 13.90  
    Low                         $ 11.06   $ 9.78   $ 13.92   $ 12.65   $ 10.04   $ 7.07  
    Implied Cobra Valuation (Assuming 25% Control Premium)
                                           
    High                         $ 19.75   $ 17.32   $ 25.30   $ 23.72   $ 20.95   $ 17.38  
    Low                         $ 13.83   $ 12.23   $ 17.39   $ 15.81   $ 12.55   $ 8.84  

Notes

1.
Cobra based on management projections, TCC and JLL based on MSDW research, all others based on analyst estimates

2.
Includes common shares multiplied by share price

3.
Equals the sum of equity market value, debt outstanding and preferred stock at liquidation preference. TCC includes $167.6MM of notes payable on real estate held for sale

4.
Estimates from First Call as of November 22, 2000, unless otherwise noted

5.
Adjusted EPS equals EBITDA less interest expense, income taxes and capital expenditures

6.
Estimates derived from MSDW equity research, unless otherwise noted

7.
Aggregate Value equals Total Market Capitalization less cash

8.
Represents the unaffected stock price as of November 9, 2000

9.
Current trading price of $5.69 and $7.00 cash tender offer for 35.8% of shares implies a $4.96 stock valuation

10.
Based on 2000 actual numbers and 2001 street estimates

(c)(ii)-22


Valuation

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

 
  Status Quo Case Projections
  Recession Case Projections
 
 
  3.50x
  4.50x
  3.50x
  4.50x
 
Exit EBITDA Multiple
Discount Rate

 
  15.0%
  17.0%
  15.0%
  17.0%
  15.0%
  17.0%
  15.0%
  17.0%
 
Present Value of:                                                  
  Cash Flows     364.7     344.6     364.7     344.6     291.6     275.2     291.6     275.2  
  Terminus     316.0     284.9     406.2     366.3     269.3     242.8     346.2     312.2  
Value of Co-Investments     43.6     43.6     43.6     43.6     43.6     43.6     43.6     43.6  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Aggregate Value     724.2     673.1     814.5     754.5     604.5     561.7     681.4     631.0  

Cash

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 

 

20.7

 
Total Debt     (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )   (397.9 )
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Equity Value     347.0     295.9     437.3     377.3     227.3     184.4     304.2     253.8  
   
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Price Per Share

 

$

15.49

 

$

13.21

 

$

19.53

 

$

16.85

 

$

10.15

 

$

8.24

 

$

13.58

 

$

11.33

 
  Premium/Discount to unaffected     18.1 %   0.7 %   48.8 %   28.4 %   -22.7 %   -37.3 %   3.5 %   -13.6 %

Terminal Value Analysis

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
  % Value in Cash Flows     50.4 %   51.2 %   44.8 %   45.7 %   48.2 %   49.0 %   42.8 %   43.6 %
  % Value in Terminus     43.6 %   42.3 %   49.9 %   48.5 %   44.6 %   43.2 %   50.8 %   49.5 %
  % Value in Co-Investments     6.0 %   6.5 %   5.4 %   5.8 %   7.2 %   7.8 %   6.4 %   6.9 %

(c)(ii)-23


Valuation

Break-up Value

 
   
   
  Low Valuation
  High Valuation
 
 
   
  Pro Rata Share
of Net Debt
($MM)(2)

 
 
  2000 EBITDA
($MM)(1)

  Assumed Multiple
  Aggregate
Value ($MM)(3)

  Value/
Share(4)

  Assumed Multiple
  Aggregate
Value ($MM)(3)

  Value/
Share(4)

 
Transaction Management                                      
  Brokerage   55.9   140.2   3.20 x 179.0   $ 1.73   4.20 x 234.9   $ 4.23  
  Corporate Services   23.7   59.4   4.50 x 106.6   $ 2.11   5.50 x 130.3   $ 3.17  
  Investment Prop.   24.4   61.1   3.20 x 78.0   $ 0.75   4.20 x 102.4   $ 1.84  
  Globe Acct. Mgmt., Other   0.7   1.6   3.20 x 2.1   $ 0.02   4.20 x 2.8   $ 0.05  
  Total   104.6   262.3   3.49 x 365.7   $ 4.62   4.49 x 470.3   $ 9.29  
Financial Services                                      
  Mortgage Banking   13.9   35.0   4.80 x 67.0   $ 1.43   5.80 x 80.9   $ 2.05  
  Investment Mgmt.   5.2   13.1   6.00 x 31.4   $ 0.82   7.00 x 36.7   $ 1.05  
  Valuation Services   11.6   29.1   4.80 x 55.7   $ 1.19   5.80 x 67.2   $ 1.71  
  Research, Consulting, Other   (1.1 ) (2.7 ) 4.80 x (5.1 ) $ (0.11 ) 5.80 x (6.2 ) $ (0.16 )
  Total   29.7   74.5   5.01 x 148.9   $ 3.32   6.01 x 178.6   $ 4.65  
Management Services                                      
  Asset Services   13.6   34.0   5.00 x 67.9   $ 1.51   6.00 x 81.4   $ 2.12  
  Facilities Mgmt.   (0.4 ) (1.1 ) 5.00 x (2.1 ) $ (0.05 ) 6.00 x (2.5 ) $ (0.07 )
  Other   3.0   7.5   5.00 x 14.9   $ 0.33   6.00 x 17.8   $ 0.46  
  Total   16.1   40.4   5.00 x 80.6   $ 1.80   6.00 x 96.7   $ 2.52  
Total   150.5   377.2   3.96 x 595.2   $ 9.73   4.96 x 745.7   $ 16.45  
Co-investments               43.6             43.6        
Total with Co-investments               638.8   $ 11.68       789.3   $ 18.40  

Notes

1.
Projections from Cobra management 2001 Budget Plan

2.
Net Debt equals total debt less cash, as of 9/30/00

3.
Includes $43.6MM of co-investments

4.
Value equals Aggregate Value less Net Debt divided by 22.4MM shares outstanding

(c)(ii)-24


Valuation

LBO IRR Sensitivity Analysis

Status Quo Case

 
   
  Exit Forward EBITDA Multiple
 
Implied 2001
EBITDA Mult.

   
  3.50x
  4.25x
  5.00x
 
4.6x   $ 14.00   20.0 % 26.2 % 31.2 %
4.6x   $ 14.50   18.7 % 24.8 % 29.8 %
4.7x   $ 15.00   17.4 % 23.5 % 28.5 %
4.8x   $ 15.50   16.2 % 22.2 % 27.2 %
             
     
4.8x   $ 16.00   15.1 % 21.0 % 26.0 %
             
     
4.9x   $ 16.50   14.1 % 19.9 % 24.8 %
5.0x   $ 17.00   13.1 % 18.9 % 23.7 %
5.1x   $ 17.50   12.2 % 17.9 % 22.7 %
5.1x   $ 18.00   11.3 % 17.0 % 21.7 %
5.2x   $ 18.50   10.5 % 16.1 % 20.7 %

Recession Case

 
   
  Exit Forward EBITDA Multiple
 
Implied 2001
EBITDA Mult.

   
  3.50x
  4.25x
  5.00x
 
5.8x   $ 12.00   13.2 % 21.5 % 27.8 %
5.9x   $ 12.50   11.6 % 19.9 % 26.0 %
6.0x   $ 13.00   10.1 % 18.2 % 24.4 %
6.1x   $ 13.50   8.7 % 16.7 % 22.9 %
6.2x   $ 14.00   7.5 % 15.3 % 21.5 %
6.3x   $ 14.50   6.3 % 14.0 % 20.1 %
6.4x   $ 15.00   5.2 % 12.8 % 18.8 %
6.5x   $ 15.50   4.2 % 11.7 % 17.6 %
             
     
6.6x   $ 16.00   3.3 % 10.7 % 16.5 %
             
     
6.7x   $ 16.50   2.4 % 9.7 % 15.4 %

(c)(ii)-25


Section 5


Draft Fairness Opinion Letter

(c)(ii)-26


February 23, 2001

Special Committee of the Board of Directors,
  and Board of Directors
CB Richard Ellis Services, Inc.
200 North Sepulveda Boulevard
El Segundo, California 90245

Members of the Special Committee of the Board and Members of the Board:

    We understand that CB Richard Ellis Services, Inc. ("Target" or the "Company"), BLUM CB Holding Corp. ("Buyer") and BLUM CB Corp., a wholly owned subsidiary of Buyer ("Acquisition Sub"), propose to enter into an Agreement and Plan of Merger, substantially in the form of the draft dated February 21, 2001 (the "Merger Agreement"), which provides for, among other things, the merger (the "Merger") of Acquisition Sub with and into the Target. Pursuant to the Merger, Target will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Buyer, and each outstanding share of common stock, par value $0.01 per share (the "Common Stock"), of Target, other than shares held in treasury or held by Buyer or any affiliate of Buyer or Target or as to which dissenters' rights have been perfected, will be converted into the right to receive $16.00 per share in cash. The terms and conditions of the Merger are more fully set forth in the Merger Agreement. We further understand that approximately 40% of the outstanding shares of Common Stock are owned by certain stockholders affiliated with Buyer and Acquisition Sub (the "Buying Group").

    You have asked for our opinion as to whether the consideration to be received by the holders of shares of Common Stock pursuant to the Merger Agreement is fair from a financial point of view to such holders, other than the Buying Group.

    For purposes of the opinion set forth herein, we have:

(i)   reviewed certain publicly available financial statements and other information of the Company;

(ii)

 

reviewed certain internal financial statements and other financial and operating data concerning the Company prepared by the management of the Company;

(iii)

 

reviewed certain financial projections prepared by the management of the Company, and discussed such projections and adjustments thereto with the Special Committee of the Board;

(iv)

 

discussed the past and current operations and financial condition and the prospects of the Company, including information relating to certain strategic, financial and operational benefits anticipated from the Merger, with senior executives of the Company;

(v)

 

reviewed the reported prices and trading activity for the Common Stock;

(vi)

 

compared the financial performance of the Company and the prices and trading activity of the Common Stock with that of certain other comparable publicly-traded companies and their securities;

(vii)

 

reviewed the financial terms, to the extent publicly available, of certain comparable acquisition transactions;

(viii)

 

participated in discussions and negotiations among representatives of the Company, Buyer and certain other parties and their financial and legal advisors;


 

 

(c)(ii)-27



(ix)

 

reviewed the Merger Agreement and certain related documents;

(x)

 

reviewed drafts of the commitment letters provided to Buyer and its affiliates by Credit Suisse First Boston and DLJ Investment Funding, Inc.; and

(xi)

 

performed such other analyses and considered such other factors as we have deemed appropriate.

    We have assumed and relied upon without responsibility for independent verification the accuracy and completeness of the information reviewed by us for the purposes of this opinion. With respect to the financial projections and any adjustments thereto, including information relating to certain strategic, financial and operational benefits anticipated from the Merger, we have assumed that they have been reasonably prepared on bases reflecting the best currently available estimates and judgments of the future financial performance of the Company. In addition, we have assumed that the Merger will be consummated in accordance with the terms set forth in the Merger Agreement. We have not made any independent valuation or appraisal of the assets or liabilities of the Company, nor have we been furnished with any such appraisals. Our opinion is necessarily based on financial, economic, market and other conditions as in effect on, and the information made available to us as of, the date hereof.

    We have acted as financial advisor to the Special Committee of the Board of Directors of the Company in connection with this transaction and will receive a fee for our services. Morgan Stanley & Co. Incorporated and its affiliates have provided financial advisory and financing services for and is an investor in Constellation Real Technologies, a consortium of which the Company is a founding member, and have received fees for the rendering of these services.

    It is understood that this letter is for the information of the Special Committee of the Board of Directors and the Board of Directors of the Company, except that this opinion may be included in its entirety in any filing made by the Company in respect of the transaction with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, Morgan Stanley expresses no opinion or recommendation as to how the stockholders of the Company should vote at the stockholders' meeting held in connection with the Merger.

    Based on the foregoing we are of the opinion on the date hereof that the consideration to be received by the holders of shares of Common Stock pursuant to the Merger Agreement is fair from a financial point of view to such holders, other than the Buying Group.


 

 

Very truly yours,

 

 

MORGAN STANLEY & CO. INCORPORATED

 

 

By:

 

 

(c)(ii)-28




QuickLinks

Project Cobra
Presentation to the Board of Directors February 23, 2001
Table of Contents
Transaction Summary
Overview of Proposed Transaction
Summary Chronology—Key Dates
Summary of Key Merger Terms
Sources and Uses of Funds
Summary of Commitment Letters
Summary of Preliminary Valuation Analyses
Industry Overview
Overview of the Real Estate Services Industry
Comparative Performance Charts
Sector Earnings Announcements
Company Overview
Company Segment Operations
Comparable Company Metrics
Valuation
Management's Revenue and EBITDA Projections
Status Quo Case
Recession Case
Precedent Transaction Valuation Summary
Analysis of Precedent Transactions Premiums Paid in Selected REIT Transactions
Analysis of Precedent Transactions Premiums Paid in Selected Real Estate Management Transactions
Comparable Companies Analysis(1) ($MM, except per share and multiple data)
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Break-up Value
LBO IRR Sensitivity Analysis
Draft Fairness Opinion Letter