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Historical Loss And LAE Development
3 Months Ended
Mar. 31, 2022
Historical Loss And L A E Development Disclosure [Abstract]  
Historical Loss And LAE Development

3. HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT

 

The following table is a reconciliation of our unpaid losses and settlement expenses (LAE) for the first three months of 2022 and 2021:

 

 

 

For the Three Months

 

 

 

Ended March 31,

 

(in thousands)

 

2022

 

 

2021

 

Unpaid losses and LAE at beginning of year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

 

$

2,043,555

 

 

$

1,750,049

 

Ceded

 

 

(608,086

)

 

 

(443,729

)

Net

 

$

1,435,469

 

 

$

1,306,320

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase (decrease) in incurred losses and LAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year

 

$

150,999

 

 

$

142,013

 

Prior accident years

 

 

(45,475

)

 

 

(37,121

)

Total incurred

 

$

105,524

 

 

$

104,892

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and LAE payments for claims incurred

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year

 

$

(7,875

)

 

$

(5,962

)

Prior accident years

 

 

(82,851

)

 

 

(64,896

)

Total paid

 

$

(90,726

)

 

$

(70,858

)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net unpaid losses and LAE at March 31

 

$

1,450,267

 

 

$

1,340,354

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unpaid losses and LAE at March 31

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

 

$

2,081,712

 

 

$

1,795,275

 

Ceded

 

 

(631,445

)

 

 

(454,921

)

Net

 

$

1,450,267

 

 

$

1,340,354

 

 

For the first three months of 2022, incurred losses and LAE included $45.5 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves. Professional services, general liability, transportation, commercial excess, personal umbrella, marine, commercial property and surety were drivers of the favorable development. No products experienced significant adverse development.

 

For the first three months of 2021, incurred losses and LAE included $37.1 million of favorable development on prior years’ loss reserves. General liability, transportation, small commercial, professional services, personal umbrella and surety were drivers of the favorable development. No products experienced significant adverse development.

 

Actuarial models base future emergence on historical experience, with adjustments for current trends, and the appropriateness of these assumptions involved more uncertainty as of March 31, 2022. We expect the timing of loss emergence and ultimate loss ratios for certain coverages we underwrite will be affected as a result of COVID-19 and the related economic impact. The industry is experiencing new issues, including the postponement of civil court cases, the extension of various statutes of limitations and changes in settlement trends. Our recorded reserves include consideration of these factors, but the duration and degree to which these issues persist, along with potential legislative, regulatory or judicial actions, could result in loss reserve deficiencies and reduce earnings in future periods.