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HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2017
HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT  
HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT

4. HISTORICAL LOSS AND LAE DEVELOPMENT

 

The following table is a reconciliation of our unpaid losses and settlement expenses (LAE) for the first nine months of 2017 and 2016.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For the Nine-Month Periods

 

 

 

Ended September 30,

 

(in thousands)

    

2017

    

2016

 

Unpaid losses and LAE at beginning of year

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

 

$

1,139,337

 

$

1,103,785

 

Ceded

 

 

(288,224)

 

 

(297,844)

 

Net

 

$

851,113

 

$

805,941

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Increase (decrease) in incurred losses and LAE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year

 

$

343,535

 

$

288,749

 

Prior accident years

 

 

(36,608)

 

 

(29,410)

 

Total incurred

 

$

306,927

 

$

259,339

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss and LAE payments for claims incurred

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current accident year

 

$

(37,333)

 

$

(36,972)

 

Prior accident year

 

 

(158,052)

 

 

(170,313)

 

Total paid

 

$

(195,385)

 

$

(207,285)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net unpaid losses and LAE at September 30,

 

$

962,655

 

$

857,995

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Unpaid losses and LAE at September 30,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross

 

$

1,253,729

 

$

1,150,938

 

Ceded

 

 

(291,074)

 

 

(292,943)

 

Net

 

$

962,655

 

$

857,995

 

 

As disclosed in the 2016 Annual Report on Form 10-K, our actuaries have historically performed a ground up reserve study of the expected value of unpaid losses and LAE using multiple standard actuarial methodologies three times a year. As a result of efficiency improvements in our reserving process, our actuaries began performing ground up reserve studies on a quarterly basis during the first quarter of 2017. We continue to perform an emergence analysis on a quarterly basis to determine if further adjustments are necessary. We then review all of the various estimates of ultimate loss by accident year and determine the appropriateness of the reserve balance as we have done in the past.