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Note 6 - Risk Management
6 Months Ended
Jun. 30, 2019
Risk Management Abstract  
Risk Management Explanatory

6. Risk management

The principles and risk management policies, as well as tools and procedures established and implemented in the Group as of June 30, 2019 do not differ significantly from those included in the consolidated financial statements of the Group for the year ended December 31, 2018 (see Note 7 of such financial statements).

6.1 Risk factors

BBVA has processes in place for identifying risks and analyzing scenarios that enable the Group to manage risks in a dynamic and proactive way.

The risk identification processes are forward looking to ensure the identification of emerging risks and take into account the concerns of both the business areas, which are close to the reality of the different geographical areas, and the corporate areas and senior management.

Risks are captured and measured consistently using the methodologies deemed appropriate in each case. Their measurement includes the design and application of scenario analyses and stress testing and considers the controls to which the risks are subjected.

As part of this process, a forward projection of the risk appetite framework variables in stress scenarios is conducted in order to identify possible deviations from the established thresholds. If any such deviations are detected, appropriate measures are taken to keep the variables within the target risk profile.

To this extent, there are a number of risks that could affect the Group’s business trends. These risks are described in the following main sections:

Macroeconomic and geopolitical risks

Global growth is slowing in the face of protectionist pressures affecting the global industrial sector and international trade, although first quarter data indicates a certain degree of stabilization, supported by the strength of the service sector, strong employment and low inflation. This trend is occurring across all regions, with cyclical slowdown in the United States, the trend toward growth moderation in China and the continuation of lower growth in Europe. Thus, global growth is forecasted at around 3.3% in 2019 and 2020. However, the deterioration of trade negotiations between the United States and China since late April poses a major risk to the global economy.

In terms of monetary policy, the main central banks signaled their intention to adopt further measures that would provide a stimulus to counteract the high level of uncertainty in the economy, as well as the continued decrease in the long-term inflation outlook. The Federal Reserve, after raising its benchmark interest rate to 2.50% in December, laid the foundations to initiate interest rate reductions in the face of more moderate growth forecasts, weighed down by the trade threat and political uncertainty. For its part, the ECB strengthened its accommodative monetary policy stance by approving a new liquidity provision program, postponing its commitment to maintain interest rates at current levels until mid-2020, and indicating that it has a range of instruments at its disposal to combat growth and inflation risks, including the reduction of deposit rates or the renewal of the bond purchase program. Accordingly, interest rates will remain low in major economies, enabling emerging countries to gain room to maneuver.

Regulatory and reputational risks

Financial institutions are exposed to a complex and ever-changing regulatory environment defined by governments and regulators. This can affect their ability to grow and the capacity of certain businesses to develop, and result in stricter liquidity and capital requirements with lower profitability ratios. The Group constantly monitors changes in the regulatory framework that allow for anticipation and adaptation to them in a timely manner, adopt industry practices and more efficient and rigorous criteria in its implementation.

The financial sector is under ever closer scrutiny by regulators, governments and society itself. In the course of activities, situations which might cause relevant reputational damage to the entity could raise and might affect the regular course of business. The attitudes and behaviors of the Group and its members are governed by the principles of integrity, honesty, long-term vision and industry practices through, inter alia, the internal control model, the Code of Conduct, the Corporate Principles in tax matters and Responsible Business Strategy of the Group.

Business, operational and legal risks

New technologies and forms of customer relationships: Developments in the digital world and in information technologies pose significant challenges for financial institutions, entailing threats (new competitors, disintermediation, etc.) but also opportunities (new framework of relations with customers, greater ability to adapt to their needs, new products and distribution channels, etc.). Digital transformation is a priority for the Group as it aims to lead digital banking of the future as one of its objectives.

Technological risks and security breaches: The Group is exposed to new threats such as cyber-attacks, theft of internal and customer databases, fraud in payment systems, etc. that require major investments in security from both the technological and human point of view. The Group gives great importance to the active operational and technological risk management and control. One example was the early adoption of advanced models for management of these risks (AMA - Advanced Measurement Approach).

The financial sector is exposed to increasing litigation, so the financial institutions face a large number of proceedings of every kind, civil, criminal, administrative, litigation, as well as investigations from the supervisor, along several jurisdictions, which consequences are difficult to determine (including those procedures in which an undetermined number of applicants is involved, in which damages claimed are not easy to estimate, in which an exorbitant amount is claimed, in which new jurisdictional issues are introduced under creative non contrasted legal arguments and those which are at a very initial stage).

In Spain, in many of the existing proceedings the plaintiffs claim, both before Spanish courts and in preliminary rulings before the Court of Justice of the European Union, that a number of clauses usually included in a mortgage loan agreements with financial institutions are declared abusive (including mortgage costs clauses, early termination clauses, the use of certain reference interest rates and opening fees).

With regards to mortgage loan agreements with consumers linked to the IRPH index (average rate of mortgage loans for more than three years for the acquisition of free housing, granted by credit institutions in Spain), which is considered an "official interest rate" by the mortgage transparency regulation, calculated by the Bank of Spain and published in the Spanish Official Gazette, the Spanish Supreme Court issued on December 14, 2017 ruling nº 669/2017 in which confirmed that it was not possible to determine the lack of transparency of the interest rate of the loan from the mere fact of its reference to one or another official index, or consider it abusive according to Directive 93/13. As of the date of this report, there is still pending a preliminary ruling resolution of the European Court of Justice which challenges the decision taken by the Spanish Supreme Court.

In addition, the application of certain interest rates and other mandatory rules in certain revolving credit card agreements is also being challenged in Spanish courts. This kind of resolution against the Group or other financial institutions may directly or indirectly affect the Group.

The Group is also involved in antitrust proceedings in certain countries which could, among other things, give rise to sanctions or lead to lawsuits from third parties.

The Spanish judicial authorities are investigating the activities of the company Centro Exclusivo de Negocios y Transacciones, S.L. (Cenyt). Such investigation includes the provision of services to the Bank. In this regard, on 29 July 2019, the Bank was notified of the order from the Central Investigating Court number 6 of the National High Court, declaring the Bank as an official suspect (investigado) under preliminary proceedings 96/2017 - piece number 9, for possible breaches of law related to bribery, revelation of secrets and corruption. The Bank has been collaborating proactively with the judicial authorities, sharing with the courts information of the 'forensic' investigation, currently ongoing, which was commissioned to PriceWaterhouseCoopers through its external lawyers Garrigues, together with Uría. The Bank is not authorized to publicly divulge this information given the requirement of not interfering with the judicial investigation. The criminal proceeding is at an incipient stage in the pre-trial phase and continues under secrecy order, so it is not possible to predict at this time the scope or duration of such proceeding or its possible outcome or implications for the Group, notwithstanding the potential reputation risk of these proceedings.

The Group constantly manages and monitors investigations, proceedings and legal or regulatory actions for the defense of its interests, making provisions (based on the number of litigations and the status of the proceedings or actions) to cover them when necessary. However, it is difficult to predict the outcome of investigations, legal or regulatory proceedings or actions to which the Bank is already a party, those that may arise in the future or those in which other financial institutions are a party. Therefore, in the event of a change in the case law or unexpected results of some of these, the provisions recorded may be insufficient and may have a significant adverse effect on the Group's business, financial position and results.

6.2 Credit risk

6.2.1 Credit risk exposure

In accordance with IFRS 7 “Financial Instruments: Disclosures”, the BBVA Group’s credit risk, not including its impairment losses, by headings in the balance sheets as of June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, is provided below. It does not consider the availability of collateral or other credit enhancements to guarantee compliance with payment obligations. The details are broken down by financial instruments and counterparties:

Maximum credit risk exposure (Millions of Euros)
NotesJune 2019Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3
Financial assets held for trading 74.954
Debt securities932.274
Equity instruments95.555
Loans and advances937.125
Non-trading financial assets mandatorily at fair value through profit or loss4.918
Loans and advances101.052
Debt securities10155
Equity instruments103.711
Financial assets designated at fair value through profit or loss111.403
Derivatives (trading and hedging) 40.738
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income63.39663.396--
Debt securities1260.75060.750--
Equity instruments122.6132.613--
Loans and advances to credit institutions123333--
Financial assets at amortized cost443.162394.88432.23016.048
Loans and advances to central banks5.5825.582--
Loans and advances to credit institutions10.86210.73911310
Loans and advances to customers389.306341.58231.72415.999
Debt securities37.41236.98139239
Total financial assets risk628.572458.28032.23016.048
Total loan commitments and financial guarantees30174.621164.3149.389918
Total maximum credit exposure803.193

Maximum Credit Risk Exposure (Millions of Euros)
NotesDecember 2018Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3
Financial assets held for trading 59.581
Debt securities925.577
Equity instruments95.254
Loans and advances928.750
Non-trading financial assets mandatorily at fair value through profit or loss5.135
Loans and advances101.803
Debt securities10237
Equity instruments103.095
Financial assets designated at fair value through profit or loss111.313
Derivatives (trading and hedging) 38.249
Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income56.36556.3623-
Debt securities1253.73753.7343-
Equity instruments122.5952.595--
Loans and advances to credit institutions123333--
Financial assets at amortized cost431.927384.63230.90216.394
Loans and advances to central banks3.9473.947--
Loans and advances to credit institutions9.1759.1313410
Loans and advances to customers386.225339.20430.67316.348
Debt securities32.58032.35019535
Total financial assets risk592.571440.99330.90516.394
Total loan commitments and financial guarantees30170.511161.4048.120987
Total maximum credit exposure763.082

The breakdown by country and Stage of the maximum credit risk exposure, the provisions recognized and the carrying amount of the loans and advances to customers as of June 30, 2019 and 2018 is shown below:

June 2019
Gross exposureAccumulated impairmentCarrying amount
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3TotalStage 1Stage 2Stage 3TotalStage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
Spain (*)174.60913.5109.061197.180(748)(740)(3.932)(5.420)173.86012.7715.129191.760
The United States48.9716.22273055.923(193)(326)(213)(732)48.7785.89651655.190
Mexico51.4503.6001.28956.339(690)(379)(833)(1.901)50.7603.22145654.438
Turkey (**)32.8595.6873.09341.639(179)(559)(1.614)(2.353)32.6805.1281.47839.286
South America (***)32.9062.6981.80737.411(371)(259)(1.096)(1.726)32.5352.43971235.685
Others 788719814(1)(1)(17)(18)78762796
Total (****)341.58231.72415.999389.306(2.182)(2.263)(7.706)(12.151)339.40029.4628.293377.155

(*) Spain includes all countries where BBVA, S.A. operates.

(**) Turkey includes all countries in which Garanti BBVA operates.

(***) In South America, BBVA Group operates in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela.

(****) The amount of the accumulated impairment includes the provisions recorded for credit risk over the remaining expected lifetime of purchased financial instruments. Those provisions were determined at the moment of the Purchase Price Allocation and were originated mainly in the acquisition of Catalunya Banc, S.A.

December 2018
Gross exposureAccumulated impairmentCarrying amount
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3TotalStage 1Stage 2Stage 3TotalStage 1Stage 2Stage 3Total
Spain (*)172.59912.82710.021195.447(713)(877)(4.284)(5.874)171.88611.9515.737189.574
The United States50.6655.92373357.321(206)(299)(153)(658)50.4595.62458056.663
Mexico48.3543.3661.13852.858(640)(373)(737)(1.750)47.7142.99240151.107
Turkey (**)34.8836.1132.72243.718(171)(591)(1.479)(2.241)34.7125.5231.24441.479
South America (***)31.9472.4361.71536.098(338)(234)(1.084)(1.656)31.6092.20263134.442
Others 756819783-(1)(18)(19)75571763
Total (****)339.20430.67316.348386.225(2.070)(2.374)(7.755)(12.199)337.13428.2998.593374.027

(*) Spain includes all countries where BBVA, S.A. operates.

(**) Turkey includes all countries in which Garanti BBVA operates.

(***) In South America, BBVA Group operates in Argentina, Chile, Colombia, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela.

(****) The amount of the accumulated impairment includes the provisions recorded for credit risk over the remaining expected lifetime of purchased financial instruments. Those provisions were determined at the moment of the Purchase Price Allocation and were originated mainly in the acquisition of Catalunya Banc, S.A.

The disclosure of loans and advances at amortized cost covered by collateral, at June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, is the following:

Guarantees received (Millions of Euros)
June 2019December 2018
Value of collateral156.190 158.268
Of which: guarantees normal risks under special monitoring13.874 14.087
Of which: guarantees non-performing risks4.668 5.068
Value of other guarantees25.330 16.897
Of which: guarantees normal risks under special monitoring2.186 1.519
Of which: guarantees non-performing risks509 502
Total value of guarantees received181.521175.165

The breakdown by counterparty and product of loans and advances, net of impairment losses, as well as the gross carrying amount by type of product, classified in the different headings of the assets, as of June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018 is shown below:

June 2019 (Millions of Euros)
Central banksGeneral governmentsCredit institutionsOther financial corporationsNon-financial corporationsHouseholdsTotalGross carrying amount
On demand and short notice-7-1922.6896163.5033.686
Credit card debt-11131.93513.45915.40916.619
Trade receivables1.007-36414.9379616.40416.688
Finance leases-227-68.2014058.8389.198
Reverse repurchase loans-11626043-383386
Other term loans5.53427.4073.6096.752135.393159.780338.475348.547
Advances that are not loans418807.0092.0221.14754911.64811.711
LOANS AND ADVANCES5.57529.65510.8799.342164.305174.906394.661406.836
By secured loans
Of which: mortgage loans collateralized by immovable property1.1021527025.319111.314138.021141.562
Of which: other collateralized loans-8.7581721.08128.4096.62145.04145.922
By purpose of the loan
Of which: credit for consumption41.63641.63644.403
Of which: lending for house purchase110.423110.423111.949
By subordination
Of which: project finance loans13.55413.55413.871

December 2018 (Millions of Euros)
Central banksGeneral governmentsCredit institutionsOther financial corporationsNon-financial corporationsHouseholdsTotalGross carrying amount
On demand and short notice-10-1512.8336483.6413.834
Credit card debt-8122.32813.10815.44616.495
Trade receivables948-19516.19010317.43617.716
Finance leases-226-38.0144068.6509.077
Reverse repurchase loans-293477---770772
Other term loans3.91126.8392.9477.030133.573157.760332.060342.264
Advances that are not loans291.5925.7712.08898449810.96211.025
LOANS AND ADVANCES3.94129.9179.1969.468163.922172.522388.966401.183
By secured loans
Of which: mortgage loans collateralized by immovable property1.0561521926.784111.809139.883144.005
Of which: other collateralized loans-7.1792851.38931.3936.83547.08147.855
By purpose of the loan
Of which: credit for consumption40.12440.12442.736
Of which: lending for house purchase111.007111.007112.952
By subordination
Of which: project finance loans13.97313.97314.286
of which: project finance loans17.65817.027

6.2.2 Past due but not impaired and impaired secured loans risks

The tables below provide details by counterpart and by product of past due risks not considered to be impaired, as of June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018, listed by their first past-due date; as well as the breakdown of the debt securities and loans and advances individually and collectively estimated, and the specific allowances for individually estimated and for collectively estimated.

June 2019 (Millions of Euros)
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3
<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days
Debt securities--------18
Loans and advances4.414281-5.1432.547-5835512.851
General governments10932-61-13-20
Credit institutions65-------
Other financial corporations1632-41---6
Non-financial corporations1.153170-1.711918-1581871.410
Households2.98271-3.4231.628-4123631.416
TOTAL4.414281-5.1432.547-5835512.870
On demand (call) and short notice (current account)2631-3250-1235
Credit card debt2396-659114-527130
Trade receivables2914-40145-5359
Finance leases29720-76103-164690
Other term loans3.577186-4.3362.133-5554732.532
Advances that are not loans1054--1---5
Of which: mortgage loans collateralized by immovable property1.62346-2.1151.122-4613751.247
Of which: other collateralized loans34121-945169-2228162
Of which: credit for consumption98527-1.266461-2750376
Of which: lending for house purchase1.38430-1.819941-333257707
Of which: project finance loans34--8188---52

December 2018 (Millions of Euros)
Stage 1Stage 2Stage 3
<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days<= 30 days> 30 days <= 90 days> 90 days
Debt securities--------5
Loans and advances4.191454-4.2613.228-4079002.769
General governments957-51-5526
Credit institutions3--------
Other financial corporations117224-2----5
Non-financial corporations1.140158-1.2821.180-1492761.333
Households2.83564-2.9712.047-2546181.404
TOTAL4.191454-4.2613.228-4079002.774
Loans and advances by product, by collateral and by subordination
On demand (call) and short notice (current account)127--2547-3452
Credit card debt18210-598102-2425120
Trade receivables4612-20106-21150
Finance leases30716-43102-1020110
Other term loans3.421325-3.5752.869-3698402.433
Advances that are not loans10889--1---4
Of which: mortgage loans collateralized by immovable property1.68138-1.5981.745-2517121.365
Of which: other collateralized loans25514-74299-2221103
Of which: credit for consumption91027-1.278424-4949281
Of which: lending for house purchase1.36524-1.3941.404-170507839
Of which: project finance loans1---382---71

The breakdown of loans and advances, within financial assets at amortized cost, impaired and accumulated impairment, as well as the gross carrying amount, by counterparties as of June 30, 2019 and December 31, 2018 is as follows:

June 2019 (Millions of Euros)
Gross carrying amountNon-performing loans and advancesAccumulated impairmentNon-performing loans and advances as a % of the total
Central banks5.582-(8)-
General governments29.167104(92)0,4%
Credit institutions10.86210(16)0,1%
Other financial corporations9.40517(63)0,2%
Non-financial corporations170.1498.484(6.270)5,0%
Households180.5857.394(5.725)4,1%
LOANS AND ADVANCES405.75016.009(12.174)3,9%

December 2018 (Millions of Euros)
Gross carrying amountNon-performing loans and advancesAccumulated impairmentNon-performing loans and advances as a % of the total
Central banks3.947-(6)-
General governments28.632128(84)0,4%
Credit institutions9.17510(12)0,1%
Other financial corporations9.49011(22)0,1%
Non-financial corporations169.7648.372(6.260)4,9%
Households178.3397.838(5.833)4,4%
LOANS AND ADVANCES399.34716.359(12.217)4,1%

The changes during the six months ended June 30, 2019 and the year ended December 31, 2018 of impaired financial assets and contingent risks are as follow:

Changes in Impaired Financial Assets and Contingent Risks (Millions of Euros)
June 2019December 2018
Balance at the beginning 17.13420.590
Additions4.8179.792
Decreases (*)(2.940)(6.909)
Net additions1.8772.883
Amounts written-off(1.734)(5.076)
Exchange differences and other(522)(1.264)
Balance at the end 16.75517.134

(*) Reflects the total amount of impaired loans derecognized from the consolidated balance sheet throughout the period as a result of mortgage foreclosures and real estate assets received in lieu of payment as well as monetary recoveries.

6.2.3 Impairment losses

Below are the changes in the six months ended June 30, 2019, and the year ended December 31, 2018 in the provisions recognized on the accompanying consolidated balance sheets to cover estimated impairment losses in loans and advances and debt securities measured at amortized cost and financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income:

Changes in the accumulated impairment losses (Millions of Euros)
June2019December 2018
Opening balance12.29514.004
Increase in impairment losses charged to income6.1109.070
Stage 11.1171.411
Stage 21.3341.071
Stage 33.6596.589
Decrease in impairment losses charged to income(4.118)(4.547)
Stage 1(922)(1.469)
Stage 2(944)(799)
Stage 3(2.252)(2.279)
Transfer to written-off loans, exchange differences and other(2.022)(6.231)
Closing balance12.26512.295