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Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses [Abstract]  
Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

7. Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

Year to-date activity in the consolidated reserves for unpaid losses and LAE is summarized as follows (in thousands):

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

September 30,

​

September 30,

​

​

​

2020

​

2019

​

Balance at January 1

​

$

620,355

​

$

527,247

​

Less reinsurance recoverable

​

 

272,604

​

 

221,716

​

Net balance at January 1

​

 

347,751

​

 

305,531

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

Incurred related to:

​

 

  

​

 

  

​

Current year

​

 

257,572

​

 

214,080

​

Loss portfolio transfer

​

​

21,700

​

​

—

​

Prior years

​

 

33,259

​

 

7,781

​

Total incurred

​

 

312,531

​

 

221,861

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

Paid related to:

​

 

  

​

 

  

​

Current year

​

 

67,146

​

 

75,834

​

Loss portfolio transfer

​

​

21,700

​

​

—

​

Prior years

​

 

177,325

​

 

146,929

​

Total paid

​

 

266,171

​

 

222,763

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

Net balance at September 30

​

 

394,111

​

 

304,629

​

Plus reinsurance recoverable

​

 

361,780

​

 

260,667

​

Balance at September 30

​

$

755,891

​

$

565,296

​

​

The year to date impact from the unfavorable (favorable) net prior years’ loss development on each reporting segment is presented below:

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

​

September 30, 

​

​

2020

    

2019

Specialty Commercial Segment

​

$

23,961

​

$

11,232

Standard Commercial Segment

​

 

2,350

​

 

(3,508)

Personal Segment

​

 

6,948

​

 

57

Corporate

​

 

—

​

 

—

Total unfavorable net prior year development

​

$

33,259

​

$

7,781

​

The following describes the primary factors behind each segment’s prior accident year reserve development for the nine months ended September 30, 2020 and 2019:

Nine months ended September 30, 2020:

●Specialty Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Auto business unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2018 and prior accident years both in the primary and excess commercial automobile liability lines of business, partially offset by net favorable development in the excess commercial automobile lines of business in the 2019 accident year. Our E&S Casualty business unit experienced net unfavorable development primarily in our primary liability line of business and our E&S package insurance products in the  2017, 2016, 2015 and 2013 and prior accident years, partially offset by net favorable development in the 2019, 2018 and 2014 accident years. We experienced net favorable development in our E&S Property business unit, partially offset by net unfavorable development in our Aerospace & Programs and Professional Liability business units.
●Standard Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Accounts business unit experienced net unfavorable development primarily in the general liability line of business in the 2018, 2017, 2016, 2015 and 2013 and prior accident years, partially offset by net favorable development in the 2019 and 2014 accident years primarily in the general liability line of business. Our Commercial Accounts business unit experienced net favorable development in the 2016 and 2015 accident years, partially offset by net unfavorable development in the 2017 and 2014 accident years, in the occupational accident line of business. The run-off from our former Workers Compensation operating unit experienced net favorable development in the 2014 and prior accident years, partially offset by net unfavorable development in the 2015 accident year.
●Personal Segment. Net unfavorable development in our Specialty Personal Lines business unit was mostly attributable to the 2019, 2018, 2017 and 2016 accident years, partially offset by favorable development in the 2015 and prior accident years. The net development during the nine months ended September 30, 2020 was driven predominately by unfavorable development attributable to more recent treaty years where we retain a greater portion of the claims.

Nine months ended September 30, 2019:

●Specialty Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Auto business unit experienced net unfavorable development in the 2017 and prior accident years primarily in the primary commercial automobile liability line of business, partially offset by net favorable development in the primary commercial automobile line of business in the 2018 accident year. Our E&S Casualty business unit experienced net unfavorable development primarily in our E&S package insurance products in the 2017 and prior accident years, partially offset by net favorable development in the 2018 accident year. We experienced net favorable development in our E&S Property and Professional Liability business units, partially offset by net unfavorable development in our Aerospace & Programs business unit.
●Standard Commercial Segment. Our Commercial Accounts business unit experienced net favorable development in the 2018, 2017, 2014 and 2012 and prior accident years primarily in the general liability line of business, partially offset by net unfavorable development primarily in the general liability line of business in the 2016 and 2015 accident years. Our Commercial Accounts business unit experienced net favorable development in the 2017 and 2015 accident years in the occupational accident line of business. The run-off from our former Workers Compensation operating unit experienced net favorable development in the 2015 and 2012 and prior accident years, partially offset by net unfavorable development in the 2014 and 2013 accident years.
●Personal Segment. Net unfavorable development in our Specialty Personal Lines business unit was mostly attributable to the 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012 and prior accident years, partially offset by favorable development in the 2017, 2015 and 2013 accident years.