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Stock-Based Employee Benefit Plans (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2020
Share-based Payment Arrangement [Abstract]  
Assumptions Used to Estimate Fair Value of Stock Options We used the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of our stock options during fiscal 2020, 2019 and 2018:
 
 
Year Ended September 30,
 
2020
 
2019
 
2018
Stock Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted-average expected term (years)
 
 
4.46

 
 
 
4.26

 


 
4.78

Expected volatility (range)
30.0
-
35.9
%
 
31.1
-
32.4
%
 
33.6
%
-
35.1
%
Weighted-average volatility
 
 
30.6
%
 
 
 
32.2
%
 


 
34.6
%
Risk-free interest rate (range)
0.36
-
1.68
%
 
2.50
-
2.68
%
 
2.03
%
-
2.65
%
Weighted-average expected dividend yield
 
 
%
 
 
 
%
 


 
%

Summary of Option Activity
The following table summarizes option activity during fiscal 2020: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted-
average
Exercise
Price
 
Weighted-
average
Remaining
Contractual
Term
 
Aggregate
Intrinsic Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
(In years)
 
(In thousands)
Outstanding at September 30, 2019
616

 
$
89.36

 
 
 
 
Granted
32

 
364.23

 
 
 
 
Exercised
(401
)
 
63.47

 
 
 
 
Forfeited
(1
)
 
185.05

 
 
 
 
Outstanding at September 30, 2020
246

 
$
166.80

 
3.84
 
$
63,605

Exercisable at September 30, 2020
168

 
$
130.87

 
3.06
 
$
49,435

Vested and expected to vest at September 30, 2020
243

 
$
165.32

 
3.82
 
$
63,125


Summary of Restricted Stock Unit and Market Stock Unit Activity
The following table summarizes the MSUs activity during fiscal 2020:
 
Shares
 
Weighted- average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at September 30, 2019
100

 
$
188.63

Granted
96

 
249.13

Released
(123
)
 
171.42

Forfeited
(10
)
 
202.48

Outstanding at September 30, 2020
63

 
$
311.91


The following table summarizes the RSUs activity during fiscal 2020: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted-average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at September 30, 2019
998

 
$
159.99

Granted
218

 
356.66

Released
(434
)
 
138.04

Forfeited
(61
)
 
200.38

Outstanding at September 30, 2020
721

 
$
229.10


Summary of Performance Stock Unit Activity
The following table summarizes the PSUs activity during fiscal 2020: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted- average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at September 30, 2019
195

 
$
163.38

Granted
53

 
354.18

Released
(101
)
 
152.45

Forfeited
(20
)
 
175.50

Outstanding at September 30, 2020
127

 
$
248.97


Assumptions Used to Estimate Fair Value of Market Stock Units We used the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of our MSUs during fiscal 2020, 2019 and 2018:
 
Year Ended September 30,
 
2020
 
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expected volatility in FICO’s stock price
25.2
%
 
24.6
%
 
24.6
%
Expected volatility in Russell 3000 Index
12.9
%
 
12.8
%
 
12.7
%
Correlation between FICO and the Russell 3000 Index
64.0
%
 
66.6
%
 
63.1
%
Risk-free interest rate
1.67
%
 
2.73
%
 
1.92
%
Average expected dividend yield
%
 
%
 
%