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Stock-Based Employee Benefit Plans (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2019
Share-based Payment Arrangement [Abstract]  
Assumptions Used to Estimate Fair Value of Stock Options We used the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of our stock options during fiscal 2019, 2018 and 2017:
 
 
Year Ended September 30,
 
2019
 
2018
 
2017
Stock Options:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted average expected term (years)
 
 
4.26
 
 
 
4.78
 
5.00

Expected volatility (range)
31.1
-
32.4
%
 
33.6
-
35.1
%
 
35.3
%
Weighted average volatility
 
 
32.2
%
 
 
 
34.6
%
 
35.3
%
Risk-free interest rate (range)
2.50
-
2.68
%
 
2.03
-
2.65
%
 
2.02
%
Weighted average expected dividend yield
 
 
%
 
 
 
%
 
0.07
%
Expected dividend yield (range)
 
 
%
 
 
 
%
 
0.07
%

Summary of Option Activity
The following table summarizes option activity during fiscal 2019: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted-
average
Exercise
Price
 
Weighted-
average
Remaining
Contractual
Term
 
Aggregate
Intrinsic Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
 
(In years)
 
(In thousands)
Outstanding at October 1, 2018
996

 
$
63.13

 
 
 
 
Granted
81

 
196.43

 
 
 
 
Exercised
(456
)
 
50.03

 
 
 
 
Forfeited
(5
)
 
178.09

 
 
 
 
Outstanding at September 30, 2019
616

 
$
89.36

 
2.76
 
$
131,921

Exercisable at September 30, 2019
533

 
$
73.89

 
2.25
 
$
122,381

Vested and expected to vest at September 30, 2019
613

 
$
88.84

 
2.74
 
$
131,509


Summary of Restricted Stock Unit and Market Stock Unit Activity
The following table summarizes the MSUs activity during fiscal 2019:
 
Shares
 
Weighted- average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at October 1, 2018
114

 
$
159.34

Granted
105

 
169.46

Released
(119
)
 
143.57

Outstanding at September 30, 2019
100

 
$
188.63


The following table summarizes the RSUs activity during fiscal 2019: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted-average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at October 1, 2018
1,113

 
$
127.34

Granted
370

 
206.29

Released
(448
)
 
118.73

Forfeited
(37
)
 
140.17

Outstanding at September 30, 2019
998

 
$
159.99


Summary of Performance Stock Unit Activity
The following table summarizes the PSUs activity during fiscal 2019: 
 
Shares
 
Weighted- average Grant-date Fair Value
 
(In thousands)
 
 
Outstanding at October 1, 2018
210

 
$
133.76

Granted
91

 
185.05

Released
(106
)
 
123.04

Outstanding at September 30, 2019
195

 
$
163.38


Assumptions Used to Estimate Fair Value of Market Stock Units We used the following assumptions to estimate the fair value of our MSUs during fiscal 2019, 2018 and 2017:
 
Year Ended September 30,
 
2019
 
 
2018
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Expected volatility in FICO’s stock price
24.6
%
 
24.6
%
 
27.4
%
Expected volatility in Russell 3000 Index
12.8
%
 
12.7
%
 
13.6
%
Correlation between FICO and the Russell 3000 Index
66.6
%
 
63.1
%
 
59.8
%
Risk-free interest rate
2.73
%
 
1.92
%
 
1.40
%
Average expected dividend yield
%
 
%
 
0.07
%