EX-99.1 2 swisshelv-ex991_061610.htm ANNUAL MEETING OF STOCKHOLDERS swisshelv-ex991_061610.htm
The Swiss Helvetia Fund, Inc.
Annual Meeting of Stockholders
June 16, 2010
 
 

 
2
2
Macro-Economic Conditions
 
 

 
3
3
Swiss Highlights
 
 

 
4
Switzerland: differentiating factors (I)
 Switzerland resilience attributable to business friendly policies and low tax rates, attracting
 foreign corporations, wealthy individuals and high value added jobs
supporting domestic
 spending and real estate prices
 Monetary policy independent from Europe
 Strength of the mid and small caps sector which exhibits
 ü Strong exposure to emerging markets
 ü Leadership in global niche markets
 ü Repositioning into high value added industries away from low tech to mitigate
 appreciation of domestic currency and to reduce pressure from international
 competition
 Public debt at only 40% of GDP, balanced budget in 2009, close to balanced in 2010-2011
 Internal reforms aimed at constantly strengthening international competitiveness, and by
 concluding free trade agreements with non-EU countries
 
 

 
Unlike in the EU, broad monetary supply is still showing positive growth
Switzerland: differentiating factors (II)
5
 
 

 
 
Swiss economy less impacted by the subprime crisis
and in reasonably good shape
 Swiss government debt has never been excessive compared to other economies
 Fiscal surplus in 2009 with a very limited deficit expected in 2010
 Swiss debt-to-GDP likely to be below 50% over the next few years, while major deficits
 are being experienced throughout the world, particularly in developed economies
 Improvement in government finances increased Switzerland’s room to react to the
 financial crisis
Switzerland
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7
 
Relatively robust recovery in the Swiss economy
  Swiss GDP was reduced by 1.5% in 2009
  Swiss economic recovery outpaced the recovery in Eurozone
% change of real GDP over previous year
 
 

 
Switzerland economic growth
Quarterly growth contributions
 Swiss export sector recovered dramatically in last four quarters
 Solid state of Swiss private consumption
 Massive drop in the inventories component
 Component weight to GDP: private consumption (59%), government
 consumption (11%), fixed investment (21%), exports (54%), imports (44%)
Exports
contribution: 4.8%
in Q1 2010 GDP
8
 
 

 
Switzerland consumer sentiment picking up since mid 2009
Private consumption throughout the financial crisis remarkably resilient
% change of real private consumption and consumer sentiment
 
 

 
Switzerland leading economic indicator recovering since mid 2009
 State of the business sector confirmed the positive trend in place for a couple of
 months reaching the highest level since September 2006
 The most recent strengthening of the CHF has only had a limited impact on
 companies’ results
 May PMI managed to push further into record territory
 Business activities have moved back above their long-term trend with continued
 improvement of the Swiss business sentiment
% change over previous years
 
 

 
Impressive intervention from the Swiss National Bank
on foreign exchange
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Currencies
Swiss Franc vs. Euro / Swiss Franc vs. USD (12/31/09 - 6/4/10)
 Swiss Franc benefits from safe haven status on the back of Eurozone sovereign debt
 crisis and related unwind CHF carry trade from Eastern Europe
 SNB remains committed to its policy to prevent an excessive strengthening of the franc
 SNB expected to normalize the monetary policy sooner than ECB
 Gradual appreciation expected versus Euro in 2010
 SNB limits the CHF appreciation against the Euro through intervention corresponding to
 an appreciation of the USD against Swiss Franc
112.26
93.81
Source: Bloomberg
 
 

 
13
Europe sovereign debt crisis
 The Euro 750 billion Europe stabilization package resolves the near-term funding
 squeeze in Greece and overall liquidity issue in Europe
 It doesn’t address the solvency problem in the long run as fiscal integration is still
 lacking in Europe
 A debt restructuring for Greece is almost unavoidable
 The fiscal tightening measures based on the austerity plans that will be put in place
 by most European countries will weigh on Eurozone economic growth for the next
 years
 Most of the fiscal efforts announced involve cutting expenses rather than increasing
 taxes involving an annual spending cut of 0.5% of GDP for France and Germany
 Tax hikes if any fall on the consumer, VAT as an example, rather than on corporate
 ECB has started buying corporate and government bonds on the secondary market
 in an attempt to lower bond yields in Portugal, Spain and Greece
 
 

 
14
 
Europe: money growth and inflation
 ECB will remain on hold in the coming months as inflation pressures remain
 subdued
 Broad money growth still contracting resulting in lagging economic recovery
 
 

 
China’s main macro-drivers
Future economic growth and liquidity fading
15
 
 

 
Swiss financial sector
Key highlights
Banking secrecy
 Private Banks’ foreign subsidiaries captured a large part of money repatriated after various amnesties
 Renewed interest in moving tax-declared money to Switzerland mainly coming from EU countries
 Hope that the automatic data exchange could be avoided
Basel III
 Set of rules on raising the quality, consistency and transparency of bank capital not implemented before 2012
 Introduction of some counter-cyclical rules forcing banks to build buffers in the good times
 Market pressure already forced the banking system to raise the level and quality of the capital and liquidity
 and be more cautious with leverage
 In Switzerland, macro-risks posed by financial intermediaries require reforms to be implemented earlier
 Therefore, capital adequacy and leverage ratios for the two big banks close to the highest ratios of major
 international banks
UBS Federal investigation
 The Swiss Parliament scheduled to vote on the US-Swiss Government Agreement regarding the exchange
 of US taxpayer information over 4’500 accounts to the US Tax Authorities in accordance with agreement
 signed last August
 Upper house of Parliament already voted in favor of the hand over, while the Lower House backed the
 UBS/US treaty on June 15in in its second vote called again for a referendum, sending the deal back to the
 upper house and delaying a binding decision
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17
Macro-economic conclusions
 Swiss economy emerging from the global economic crisis in better shape:
 ü More prudent fiscal policy
 ü Resilient consumer spending
 ü Robust exports
 Market went from euphoric to very risk adverse in few weeks:
 ü US early recovery with China still growing fast
 ü Underestimated Europe Sovereign Debt issue in Q1 2010
 Central banks forced to withdraw liquidity in order to contain inflation risk going
 forward implying structural higher volatility
 Solvency crisis rather than a liquidity crisis (2008) implying lower risk of meltdown
Identified risks
 Economic recovery fading as Governments act fast to reduce public debt:
 ü Lower-than- expected earnings and margins due to low capacity utilization
 ü Deflation threats
 Unexpected increase in volatility weighing on equities’ valuation
 ü Financial companies particularly affected
 Hard landing in China
 Currencies volatility increases removing automatic stabilizers to adjust global
 imbalances
 
 

 
18
Review
 Based on macro-economic scenario and risks, reduction of economic sensitivity
 and market beta of the portfolio
 ü Lowered exposure to industrial companies
 ü Maintained underweight in financials
 ü Raised exposure to technology sector
Outlook
 Attractive equity valuation versus government and corporate bonds
 Short and long term negative impact of excess public debt on growth not yet
 discounted in the market
 ü Trigger point approaching
 Future investments focusing on key themes
 ü Growth in emerging market consumers spending (luxury goods)
 ü Growth in energy efficiency investments and green tech
 ü Domestic real estate due to strength of domestic economy and immigration
 ü Resumptions of capital expenditure in traditional energy sector
 ü Companies with high market share in specific industries and pricing power:
   Focus on balance sheet quality because financing cost is rising
Investment strategy
 
 

 
19
Market Return and Analysis
 
 

 
Swiss performance index valuation
Dividend Discount Model
Price to Book Valuation
 
20
 
 

 
21
Bloomberg estimates
 
Indexes comparison
 
SPI
STOXX 600
SP 500
Estimated PE
11.5
11.0
12.5
Price to book
1.8
1.5
2.1
Price to sales
1.3
0.9
1.2
Dividend yield
2.8
3.5
2.0
 
 

 
Swiss performance earnings yield versus
European corporate and government yield
22
 
 

 
SPI industry group performance
12/31/09 - 6/4/10
Source: Bloomberg
 
 

 
24
SWZ Positioning
 
 

 
25
SWZ sector exposure
Situation as of 4 June 2010
 
SWZ
SPI
Beta
0.78
1
Volatility 1
9.78%
10.26%
Tracking Error 2
3.19%
 
1) 100 days annualized
2) Standard deviation of daily performance
 YTD annualized vs. SPI annualized
 
 

 
 
 

 
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SWZ factors exposure
Weight versus the SPI
Breakdown by size and cyclicality
components
SPI
SWZ
 
 
 
 Defensive
50.95%
42.86%
 
 
 
 Mid Cap growth
2.54%
5.20%
 
 
 
 Large Cap Industrial Cyclical
9.92%
4.11%
 
 
 
 Large Cap consumer (luxury)
3.38%
4.16%
 
 
 
 Small and Mid Cap Industrial Cyclical
4.78%
7.03%
 
 
 
 Banks and Asset Managers
16.38%
9.42%
 
 
 
 Insurance
6.58%
4.24%
 
 
 
 Real Estate
0.91%
3.85%
 
 
 
 Utilities
0.15%
0.72%
 
 
 
 Private Equity
0.00%
3.75%
 
 

 
Sector highlights (I)
Consumers
 The discretionary segment of goods and services benefited from the emerging market
 demand
 Watch exports were particularly strong growing at a double digit rate. The luxury industry
 will continue to benefit from an attractive brand portfolio
 Demand from Asia ex-Japan will continue to be a growth driver for the luxury segment
 and in particular for Swatch and Richemont, which draw about 40% of their profits
 outside the developed countries
Healthcare
 The financial crisis has been disruptive to pharmaceutical markets too
 Companies are adapting their models in response to healthcares regulations, increased
 competitions from generics and “me-too” products, regulatory pathway for drug approval
 Potential development in the emerging markets will be a central theme for the
 pharmaceutical and medical technology industry
 Healthcare will continue to be seen as a defensive play
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Sector highlights (II)
Industrials
 Encouraging signs of recovery was seen in the second half of 2009 already. Order
 intakes have improved and the small and mid cap segment turned back to profitability
 With a low cost basis and adjusted structure, industrials have reinforced their balance
 sheet and have higher operating leverage
 The strong Swiss Franc may affect the top line of Swiss industries to some degree
Banks
 Banks are shrinking balance sheets to meet new regulations driving down most financial
 asset prices
 New capital requirements could structurally depress ROEs reaching 18% in the past
 cycle to below 11%
 Banks are reluctant to lend to one another, while central banks have immediately offered
 liquidity to banks that need it
 Swiss private banks could benefit from a flight-to-safety trend given the low tax
 environment, strong currency within a stable political environment
 The sector should continue to suffer from multiple compression, lower structural profits,
 rising capital requirements and structural cost pressure
 In a European context, Swiss banks could relatively benefit from very high capitalization
 levels and regulation norms that are already ahead of the curve
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30
SWZ largest holdings
 
       
               
Nestlé
Consumers
14.9
14.4
3.1
3.0
3.3
2.6
Novartis
Healthcare
8.8
11.0
1.6
3.0
4.8
3.7
Roche
Healthcare
10.8
11.0
10.5
3.0
4.2
3.7
Credit Suisse
Financials
6.8
11.0
1.3
0.8
4.9
3.0
Zurich Financial
Insurances
6.7
7.7
1.0
0.8
7.4
4.1
ABB
Const. & Materials
13.0
11.4
2.7
1.4
3.0
3.5
UBS
Financials
7.8
11.0
1.2
0.8
0.7
3.0
Swatch
Personal & Goods
15.1
14.8
2.4
2.8
1.5
2.8
Rieter
Automobiles & Parts
17.3
20.8
2.1
1.0
0
0.8
PSP
Real Estate
19.1
12.6
1.0
0.93
4.2
5.3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
* sector: STOXX Europe 600
 
 
 
 
 
 
Situation as of 4 June 2010
 
 

 
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SPI sectors valuation and growth
Bloomberg estimates
 
 

 
32
SWZ Performance
 
 

 
SWZ total return comparison versus the SPI
12/31/09 - 6/4/10 (CHF)
-0.91%
-1.43%
SWZ Performance Spread
+0.52%
33
 
 

 
34
SWZ performance analysis
YTD 12/31/09 - 5/31/10 (USD)
Share price total return in USD: - 12.22 %
S&P 500 total return : - 1.49 %
Performance of Fund
in local currency:
-1.01%
Swiss Francs
vs. USD:
-11.97%
Discount
Impact:
+0.73%
 
 

 
35
SWZ performance analysis
1 calendar year 12/31/08 - 12/31/09 (USD)
Performance of Fund
In local currency :
-5.05%
Swiss Francs
vs. USD:
+2.87%
Discount
Impact:
+1.15%
Share price total return in USD: - 1.20 %
S&P 500 total return : + 26.47 %
 
 

 
36
SWZ performance analysis
5 calendar years 12/31/04 - 12/31/09 (USD)
Performance of Fund
In local currency :
+7.12%
Swiss Francs
vs. USD:
+9.09%
Discount
Impact:
-1.75%
Share price total return in USD: + 14.81 %
S&P 500 total return : + 2.15 %
 
 

 
37
SWZ Private Equity Portfolio
 
 

 
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38
38
Private equity holdings
Limited Partnerships
  Zurmont Madison Private Equity LP: May 2007
  Aravis Biotech II: October 2007
Illiquid Direct Investments
  Synosia Therapeutics: October 2008
  Kuros Biosurgery: August 2009
  NovImmune: Oct. & Dec. 2009
Total commitments
  CHF 25.7mn; 5.9% of SWZ (as a percent of net assets)
Total draw-downs
  CHF 18.4mn; 4.3% of SWZ (as percent of net assets)
Situation as of 6 June 2010
 
 

 
NAV development on the private equity portfolio
 The Net Asset Value development depends on:
 ü Investments in portfolio companies
 ü Companies valuation
 ü Fees and expenses in Limited Partnerships
 Net Asset Value as a percent of Net Capital Contributed (NCC) has improved with the lowest
 level reached on 06.30.09 (71% in the graph below)
 As of 03.31.10, the NAV as a percent of NCC was 86% and is expected to further increase with
 (J-curve phenomenon):
 ü New added portfolio companies in the Limited Partnerships Zurmont and Aravis
 ü The relative reduction
  in expenses and fees
 ü An increase in valuation
  of portfolio companies
 ü New investments in
  illiquid direct companies
 
 

 
40
SWZ Peer Group Comparison
 
 

 
41
Peer group performance comparison
Swiss Francs as of 5/31/10
 
 

 
6.91%
 
 

 
43
Marketing
 
 

 
Marketing efforts since June 2009
 The Fund participated in the annual Swiss National Day Celebration in New
 York City on August 1, 2009 The event attracted approximately 3,000
 attendees. Information on the Fund was distributed and staff were on hand
 to answer questions on Fund performance and investments
 Monthly advertisement in The New Swiss Journal
 Ongoing efforts in keeping www.swz.com up to date with current news and
 statistics
 Mailing of quarterly reports to all Swiss Consulates in the U.S.
44
 
 

 
Stock Repurchase Program
Basic Data
45
 
 

 
Stock repurchase program 2009 - 2010
Outstanding shares as of 12/23/09    32,466,127
Outstanding shares as of 6/4/10    31,356,426  
   
Shares repurchased     1,109,700
   
Average purchase price     $11.26
Average discount    14.12%
   
Net gain for the Fund     $ 2,042,932
On December 23, 2009 the Board of Directors of The Swiss Helvetia Fund, Inc. announced that it approved a stock repurchase program
for the Fund. Under the program the Fund is authorized to make open-market repurchases of its common stock of up to $30 million (8%
of its then current net assets). Based on the closing price of the Fund's common stock on the NYSE on December 22, 2009, the program
could result in a maximum repurchase of approximately 2.62 million shares of the Fund. Based on these amounts, the repurchase
program, if fully executed, would reduce the number of issued and outstanding shares of the Fund by approximately 8%.
46
 
 

 
Morningstar 1 awarded The Swiss Helvetia Fund, Inc.:
Analysts report
1 Morningstar is an independent fund performance monitor. Its ratings reflect historic risk-adjusted performance and may change monthly.
Its ratings of one (low) and five (high) stars are based on a fund’s three year five year, ten year and overall average annual total returns with fee
adjustments, and a risk factor that reflects fund performance relative to three-month Treasury Bill monthly returns. Only 33% of the funds in an
investment category may receive four or five stars.
As of March 8, 2010 there were 8 funds in the Fund’s asset category rated by Morningstar.
47