10-K 1 cgi-10k.htm FORM 10-K FOR DECEMBER 31, 2005

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 10-K

 

(Mark One)

[X]

ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2005

 

OR

 

[   ]

TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the transition period from _______ to _______.

 

Commission file number 001-13672

 

The Commerce Group, Inc.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Massachusetts

04-2599931

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)

(IRS Employer Identification No.)

211 Main Street

Webster, Massachusetts

01570

(Address of principal executive offices)

(Zip Code)

 

Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (508) 943-9000

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each Class

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common stock, $.50 par value per share

New York Stock Exchange

 

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None

 

      Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.

Yes [X]      No [   ]

 

      Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.

Yes [   ]      No [X]

 

      Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.

Yes [X]      No [   ]

 

      Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant's knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K. [ ]

 

      Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of "accelerated filer and large accelerated filer" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.

Large accelerated filer [X]

Accelerated filer [   ]

Non-accelerated filer [   ]

 

      Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).

Yes [   ]       No [X]

 

      The aggregate market value of the voting common equity held by non-affiliates computed by reference to the price at which the common stock was last sold as of June 30, 2005 was $1,668,943,711.

<PAGE>  1

      As of February 28, 2006, the number of shares outstanding of the registrant's common stock (exclusive of treasury shares) was 33,844,699.

 

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE

 

      Portions of the registrant's definitive Proxy Statement for its annual meeting of stockholders, which the registrant intends to file within 120 days after the end of the registrant's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005, are incorporated by reference into Part III hereof as provided therein.

<PAGE>  2

GLOSSARY OF SELECTED INSURANCE TERMS

 

Affinity group marketing program

In Massachusetts, an "affinity group marketing program" is any system, design or plan whereby motor vehicle or homeowner insurance is afforded to employees of an employer or to members of a trade union, association or organization in accordance with those provisions of M.G.L. c. 175, s. 193R, distinguishing such plans from a "mass-merchandising plan." Specifically, an affinity group marketing program contemplates the issuance of such insurance through standard policies that generally preclude individual underwriting, contain an option to continue coverage at a standard rate upon termination of employment or membership, restrict cancellation, require the continuance of certain participation in ways not applicable to standard policies, and provide for the downward modification of rates based upon the experience of the insured group.

A.M. Best

A.M. Best Company, Inc. is a rating agency reporting on the financial condition of insurance companies. A.M. Best's statistics cited in this Form 10-K are based upon information voluntarily submitted to it by insurers.

Combined ratio

A combination of the underwriting expense ratio and the loss and loss adjustment expense ratio. The underwriting expense ratio measures the ratio of underwriting expenses (including corporate expenses) to net premiums written. The loss and LAE ratio measures the ratio of incurred losses and LAE to earned premiums (including corporate expenses).

Commissioner

The Commissioner of the Division of Insurance of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts.

Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers (CAR)

CAR is a Massachusetts mandated reinsurance mechanism, under which all premiums, expenses and losses on ceded business are shared by all insurers. It is similar to a joint underwriting association because a number of insurers act as Servicing Carriers for the private passenger and/or commercial automobile risks insured.

Deficiency

The shortfall between (1) the current estimated cost of all claim payments and related expenses that an insurer ultimately will be required to pay and (2) the reserves previously established by the insurer for those future payments.

Direct

Refers to premiums, losses, LAE and underwriting expenses on policies which a company writes before accounting for business ceded and assumed through reinsurance.

Direct written premiums

Total premiums for insurance sold to insureds, as opposed to, and not including, assumed reinsurance premiums.

Domestic insurer

An insurance company that operates in the state in which it is incorporated.

Earned premiums

The portion of net premiums written that is equal to the expired portion of policies recognized for accounting purposes as income during a period. Also known as premiums earned.

Exclusive representative producer (ERP)

A Massachusetts automobile insurance agency which does not have a voluntary agency automobile insurance relationship with an insurer and which is assigned by CAR to an insurer who is a Servicing Carrier.

<PAGE>  3

Exposure

An insurable unit defined as one automobile for a one-year term.

Frequency

The relative incidence of number of claims in relation to an exposure or group of exposures.

Hard market

An insurance market in which the demand for insurance exceeds the readily available supply and premiums are relatively high or increasing.

Incurred losses

The total losses sustained by an insurance company under a policy or policies, whether paid or unpaid. Incurred losses include a provision for losses not yet reported and salvage and subrogation.

Limited servicing carrier

An insurer designated by CAR to write and service commercial automobile policies which are reinsured through CAR. Limited servicing carriers provide a market for commercial automobile policies that no carrier will write voluntarily.

Loss adjustment expenses (LAE)

The expenses relating to settling claims, including legal and other fees and the portion of general company expenses allocated to claim settlement costs.

Loss and LAE ratio

The ratio of incurred losses plus LAE (including corporate expenses), net of reinsurance recoveries, to earned premiums.

Loss reserves

Liabilities established by insurers to reflect the estimated cost of claim payments and the related expenses that the insurer will ultimately be required to pay in respect of insurance it has written. Reserves are established for losses and for LAE.

Net premiums written

Direct premiums written for a given period less premiums ceded to reinsurers during such period plus premiums assumed during such period.

Participation ratio

A Massachusetts insurer's share of the CAR deficit. For private passenger automobile, the participation ratio is based upon the insurer's market share of automobile risks not reinsured through CAR, adjusted for utilization of CAR and credits for voluntarily writing less desirable under-priced business and ceded exclusions.

Premium-to-surplus ratio

The ratio of net premiums written to policyholders' surplus.

Quota share reinsurance

Reinsurance in which the reinsurer shares a proportion of the original premiums and losses under the reinsured policy. Also known as pro-rata insurance.

Redundancy

The excess between (1) the reserves previously established by an insurer and (2) the current estimated cost of all claim payments and related expenses that the insurer ultimately will be required to pay.

Reinsurance

The acceptance by one or more insurers, called reinsurers, of all or a portion of the risk underwritten by another insurer who has directly written the coverage. However, the legal rights of the insured generally are not affected by the reinsurance transaction and the insurance company issuing the insurance policy remains liable to the insured for payment of policy benefits.

Salvage

The sale of damaged goods for which the insured has been indemnified by the insurance company.

Servicing carrier

An automobile insurer writing business in Massachusetts which can

<PAGE>  4

reinsure risks through CAR while remaining responsible for servicing the related private passenger automobile policies and which must provide a market for ERPs assigned to it by CAR.

Severity

The relative magnitude of the dollar amount of a claim or group of claims.

Soft market

An insurance market in which the supply of insurance exceeds the current demand and premiums are relatively low or decreasing.

Statutory surplus

The excess of admitted assets over total liabilities (including loss reserves), determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices.

Subrogation

The substitution of the insurer's right to recover in place of the insured's right to recover from a third party responsible for a loss paid by the insurer.

Take-all-comers

A phrase used to characterize the Massachusetts personal automobile insurance system under which all servicing carriers are required to underwrite and accept virtually all risks submitted to them.

Underwriting

The insurer's process of reviewing applications submitted for insurance coverage, deciding whether to accept all or part of the coverage requested, and determining the applicable premiums.

Underwriting expenses

The aggregate of policy acquisition costs, including commissions, and the portion of administrative, general and other expenses attributable to underwriting operations.

Underwriting expense ratio

The ratio of underwriting expenses (including corporate expenses), adjusted for the change in deferred acquisition costs, to net premiums written.

Unearned premiums

The portion of written premium representing the unexpired amount of the contract term as of a certain date.

<PAGE>  5

Unless otherwise stated, "we," "our," "us" or "the Company" means The Commerce Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries. "Commerce" refers to The Commerce Insurance Company, "Commerce West" refers to Commerce West Insurance Company, "American Commerce" or "ACIC" refers to American Commerce Insurance Company, "Citation" refers to Citation Insurance Company, and "AHC" refers to ACIC Holding Co., Inc. In addition, unless otherwise stated, all references to "year ended" are for our fiscal year which ends December 31. Dollar amounts are in thousands, except per share data and as otherwise noted.

 

PART I

(Dollars in thousands, except for ratios and per share data, unless noted otherwise)

 

ITEM 1. BUSINESS

 

      Our principal line of business is writing personal automobile insurance. We were incorporated in 1976. We write insurance through our principal subsidiary, Commerce, which was incorporated in 1971 and began writing business in Massachusetts in 1972. We also write insurance through three other subsidiaries - Citation, Commerce West and American Commerce. Citation was incorporated in Massachusetts on September 24, 1981. We acquired Commerce West on August 31, 1995 and we acquired American Commerce on January 29, 1999. Citation writes insurance in Massachusetts. Commerce West writes insurance in California, Oregon and Arizona. American Commerce, a wholly-owned subsidiary of AHC, is located in Columbus, Ohio and actively writes insurance in 11 states. We own 95% of AHC's common stock; 5% is owned by AAA Southern New England.

 

      We provide personal and commercial property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts and, to a lesser extent, in other states. We market our products primarily through our network of independent agents. Our core product line is personal automobile insurance. We also write commercial automobile and homeowners insurance. We have been the largest writer of personal property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts in terms of direct premiums written since 1990. At the end of 2005, our estimated share of the Massachusetts personal automobile market was 29.9%, up from 29.1% at the end of 2004. Beginning with year end 2003, we became the largest writer of homeowners insurance in Massachusetts. In 2005, we were the second largest writer of commercial automobile insurance in Massachusetts. On a consolidated basis, we were ranked the 19th largest personal automobile insurance group in the country by A.M. Best, based on 2004 direct written premium information.

 

      We manage our business in four reporting segments. Our primary business strategy is to focus on the personal automobile market in Massachusetts and the other states where we write business, which comprise our first two reporting segments. An overview of our business is summarized in the table which follows for our two primary segments. Our other segments are "Real Estate and Commercial Lending" and "Corporate and Other." We originate and service residential and commercial mortgages in Massachusetts and Connecticut through Bay Finance Company, Inc., our wholly-owned real estate and commercial lending subsidiary. Our Corporate and Other segment captures activities which are not related to our other segments, including activities of the parent company. For the information about our reportable segments required by this Item and not provided here, please refer to Note P of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

<PAGE>  6

Insurance Business Overview

 
 

Property and Casualty Insurance -
Massachusetts

Property and Casualty Insurance - Other Than
Massachusetts


Subsidiaries
(A.M. Best's
rating*)

*  Commerce (A+ Superior)
*  Citation (A+ Superior)

*  American Commerce (A+ Superior)
*  Commerce West (A+ Superior)
*  Commerce (New Hampshire only)

Insurance
Products

*  Personal Automobile
*  Commercial Automobile
*  Homeowners
*  Other

*  Personal Automobile
*  Commercial Automobile
*  Homeowners
*  Other

Principal Markets

*  Massachusetts

*  California
*  Washington
*  Rhode Island
*  Oklahoma

*  Oregon
*  Ohio
*  Kentucky
*  Arizona

Market Position

Commerce:
*  Largest writer of personal automobile
     insurance
*  Largest writer of homeowners insurance
*  Second largest writer of commercial
     automobile insurance

American Commerce:
*  Less than 3% of personal automobile
     market in several states
Commerce West:
*  Less than 1% of personal automobile
     market in California

Principal
Competitors
(personal
automobile market
share)(a)

*  Safety Insurance Companies (11.3%)
*  Arbella Insurance Co. (9.1%)
*  Liberty Mutual (7.7%)
*  The Premier Insurance Company of
     Massachusetts (7.1%)

American Commerce:
*  State Farm (18.2% of U.S. market)
*  Allstate (10.4% of U.S. market)
Commerce West:
*  Mercury Insurance (9.2% of California
     market)
*  Unitrin (1.0% of California market)

In-force Policies
at December 31,
2005

*  1,113,657

American Commerce:
*  159,282
Commerce West:
*  37,438
Commerce (New Hampshire Only):
*  8,789


*

Consolidated rating is based on our Inter-affiliate Pooling Agreement.

(a)

The market share measures for competitors of our Massachusetts segment represent the Massachusetts market at December 31, 2005 as reported by CAR. The market share measures for competitors of our Other Than Massachusetts segment were reported by A.M. Best and represent the market share at December 31, 2004.

 

      Our direct premiums written for the years ended December 31, 2005 and 2004 follows (dollars in millions):

 
 

Massachusetts

 

All Other States

 

Total

 

% of Total

 


 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 

2005

 

2004

 


                               

Personal Automobile

$1,366

 

$1,327

 

$185

 

$201

 

$1,551

 

$1,528

 

82.8%

 

83.1%

Homeowners

136

 

121

 

42

 

43

 

178

 

164

 

9.5   

 

8.9   

Commercial Automobile

95

 

97

 

10

 

9

 

105

 

106

 

5.6   

 

5.8   

Other Lines

39

 

39

 

1

 

1

 

40

 

40

 

2.1   

 

2.2   

 


        Total

$1,636

 

$1,584

 

$238

 

$254

 

$1,874

 

$1,838

 

100.0%

 

100.0%

 


        Percentage of Total

87.3%

 

86.2%

 

12.7%

 

13.8%

 

100.0%

 

100.0%

       
 


       

<PAGE>  7

      We attribute our success primarily to the following factors:

*

our strong relationships with independent insurance agencies that provide us with quality business;

*

a highly experienced management team with a proven track record;

*

our in-depth understanding of the Massachusetts regulatory and underwriting environments;

*

our ability to operate efficiently with significant economies of scale;

*

our strong relationships with various AAA organizations;

*

our ability to compete in an affinity group marketing environment;

*

our advanced information systems with an extensive underwriting database; and

*

our history of maintaining a strong financial condition.

 

      Our relationships with our independent insurance agencies are critical to our continued success. We believe that we are the preferred provider for most of our agencies and that, as a result, we have gained access to policyholders with above average underwriting profit characteristics. We focus on selecting and retaining agencies with premium volume and loss ratios that meet our criteria, and we devote substantial resources to maintaining strong relationships with our existing agencies. We pay our agencies significant compensation in the form of profit sharing, which is primarily based on the underwriting profits of each agency's business written with us. In addition, we occasionally sponsor incentive award trips for agents to encourage profitability and growth. See "Marketing."

 

      Based on agency surveys that we conduct several times a year, we believe that we are attentive to the needs of our agencies and insureds. We emphasize our commitment to the Massachusetts insurance market by our responsiveness in servicing claims and our internal support for agency operations, including direct billing of insureds, direct claim reporting, agency upload and download systems, on-line inquiry systems for our agents and insureds, and by providing competitively priced automobile and property insurance programs and products.

 

      Massachusetts Business. We believe that a significant factor in our success is our focus on the personal automobile insurance market in Massachusetts, which accounted for 72.9% of our total direct premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2005. The terms, conditions, and rates of personal automobile insurance are subject to extensive regulation in Massachusetts. As a consequence of our focus on the Massachusetts market, we have both an in-depth understanding of this market and the ability to respond effectively to shifts in the state's regulatory and underwriting environments. Currently, we are required by law to accept virtually all private passenger automobile insurance business submitted to us by our agencies in Massachusetts. Our ability to underwrite this business profitably, however, depends on our understanding of the risks in the business as well as our management of reinsurance through CAR.

 

      We have actively pursued affinity group marketing programs since 1995. Our affinity group marketing programs provide members of participating groups and associations with a convenient means of purchasing discounted private passenger automobile insurance. We emphasize writing insurance for larger affinity groups, although we consider accounts with as few as 25 participants. Affinity groups are eligible for rate discounts, which must be filed annually with the Massachusetts Division of Insurance. In general, we look for affinity groups with mature, stable membership, favorable driving records and below average turnover ratios. Participants who leave the sponsoring group during the term of the policy are allowed to maintain the policy until expiration. At expiration, we will issue through the agency a non-discounted policy at the insured's option.

 

      We believe our long-term commitment to providing consistent markets for Massachusetts insurance agencies is a significant factor in enabling us to increase and maintain our market share by contracting with agencies that meet our agency criteria. We believe that Massachusetts insurance agencies are more likely to seek to develop and expand relationships with domestic insurers that, like us, have a long-term commitment to, and focus on, the Massachusetts personal automobile market.

 

      Business in Other States. American Commerce predominantly writes private passenger automobile and homeowners insurance in 11 states through 158 independent insurance agencies, 21 of which are owned and operated by AAA clubs. This is an increase from 21 agencies a year ago, all of which owned and operated by AAA clubs. During 2005, American Commerce began using independent agents in Arizona and Indiana, most principally due to the cessation of

<PAGE>  8

business with AAA Arizona. Products are similar to those offered by us in Massachusetts, although pricing of products is determined on a state-by-state basis. All of ACIC's business is underwritten at its headquarters in Columbus, Ohio. American Commerce primarily targets preferred insurance risks.

 

      In February 2005, AAA Arizona, Inc. stopped writing new business with American Commerce. As indicated in the following table, AAA Arizona was American Commerce's largest agent in 2004 in terms of direct written premiums. American Commerce wrote renewal business with AAA Arizona, Inc. through mid-August 2005 for personal automobiles and mid-September 2005 for homeowners. American Commerce now writes business in Arizona through independent agents but no longer markets its products through AAA Arizona. Commerce West began writing business in Arizona through independent agencies in early 2005.

 

      Commerce West predominantly writes preferred private passenger automobile insurance in California. All of Commerce West's business is underwritten at its headquarters in Pleasanton, California. Commerce West also writes standard and non-standard private passenger and commercial automobile business in California and non-standard business in Oregon. Commerce West writes its business through 1,231 independent insurance agencies and brokers in California, Oregon and Arizona.

 

      A listing of direct written premiums for those states in which American Commerce and Commerce West write insurance, and the one state other than Massachusetts in which Commerce writes insurance, for the years ended December 31 follow:

Company

 

State

 

2005

 

2004

 

2003


                 

American Commerce:

 

Washington

 

$  36,919

 

$  30,583

 

$  21,592

   

Arizona(a)

 

31,790

 

49,494

 

47,740

   

Oklahoma

 

25,814

 

23,467

 

18,536

   

Rhode Island

 

25,299

 

24,126

 

21,138

   

Oregon

 

17,026

 

15,338

 

14,861

   

Ohio

 

13,458

 

18,295

 

20,375

   

Kentucky

 

9,625

 

10,166

 

9,861

   

Indiana

 

4,330

 

5,364

 

6,268

   

Tennessee

 

4,299

 

4,939

 

4,526

   

Idaho

 

3,283

 

3,392

 

3,326

   

South Dakota

 

1,164

 

1,110

 

1,032

   

Other states(b)

 

1,959

 

5,538

 

11,234

       


 


 


   

Total

 

$174,966

 

$191,812

 

$180,489

       


 


 


Commerce West:

 

California

 

$  51,500

 

$  49,327

 

$  47,648

   

Oregon

 

3,399

 

4,769

 

5,518

   

Arizona      

 

805

 

-

 

-

       


 


 


   

Total      

 

$  55,704

 

$  54,096

 

$  53,166

       


 


 


Commerce:

 

New Hampshire      

 

$    7,610

 

$    7,654

 

$    5,907

       


 


 


 

(a)

As noted above, AAA Arizona stopped writing business with American Commerce in 2005.

(b)

Represents states from which American Commerce is discontinuing writing.

 

      Inter-Affiliate Pooling Agreement. We implemented an inter-affiliate reinsurance pooling agreement, which we refer to as a "pool" or "pooling agreement," that was effective January 1, 2004. The pool consists solely of our four insurance subsidiary companies. The pool permits each insurance subsidiary to rely on the capacity of the entire pool, rather than its own capital and surplus, and it prevents any one insurance subsidiary from suffering any undue losses, as all insurance subsidiaries will share underwriting profits and losses in proportion to their pool participation percentages. It produces a more uniform and stable underwriting result than the companies would otherwise experience individually, and, we believe, permits a more efficient use of our surplus. We expect the pool to provide greater diversification for each subsidiary, both geographic and, to a lesser extent, by product mix. The pool has permitted all of our insurance subsidiaries to obtain a group rating from each of A.M. Best, Moody's Investors Service and Standard & Poor's.

<PAGE>  9

      The pool participation percentage of each insurance subsidiary reflects the ratio of that subsidiary's year end 2003 policyholders' surplus to our aggregate policyholders' surplus. We have used the same pooling percentages in 2004 and 2005 as follows:

 
 

Commerce Insurance

79.6%

 
 

Citation Insurance

10.0%

 
 

American Commerce

7.2%

 
 

Commerce West

3.2%

 
 

      Through the pooling agreement, Commerce assumed from all the other insurance subsidiaries all of their combined premiums, losses, loss expenses and underwriting expenses. In addition, Commerce combined this business with its own direct business, and then ceded back to the other insurance subsidiaries, net of applicable reinsurance, their respective percentage of the combined premiums, losses, loss expenses and underwriting expenses of all of our insurance subsidiaries, including Commerce. Accounts are rendered quarterly with inter-company balances settled within the next quarter. The pool may be terminated in the event of an uncured breach or by mutual agreement of all of the parties.

 

Our Products

 

      Automobile Insurance Lines. Our principal insurance line is personal automobile insurance. We offer automobile policyholders the following types of coverage: bodily injury liability coverage, including underinsured and uninsured motorist coverage, personal injury protection coverage, property damage liability coverage, collision and comprehensive coverage, including fire, theft and other hazards specified in the policy. In Massachusetts and New Hampshire, our policies have one-year terms. Personal automobile insurance policies written by Commerce West and American Commerce usually have policy terms of six months.

 

      Our published maximum automobile liability limits by state follow (in thousands):

 
   

Maximum Liability Limits

 

Most Commonly Purchased Limits

   


   

Per
Person

 

Per
Accident

 

Property
Damage

 

Per
Person

 

Per
Accident

 

Property
Damage

   


Commerce and Citation:

                       

Massachusetts personal

 

$   500

 

$1,000

 

$   250

 

$100

 

$300

 

$100

New Hampshire personal

 

250

 

500

 

250

 

100

 

300

 

100

Massachusetts voluntary

               

  commercial(a)

 

1,000

 

1,000

 

500

 

($1,000 combined single limit)

Commerce West:

                       

California personal

 

500

 

500

 

100

 

15

 

30

 

10

Oregon personal

 

250

 

500

 

100

 

25

 

50

 

10

Arizona personal

 

250

 

500

 

100

 

15

 

30

 

10

California commercial

 

($1,000 combined single limit)

 

($1,000 combined single limit)

American Commerce:

                       

Majority of states

 

1,000

 

1,000

 

1,000

 

100

 

300

 

50

 

___________________

(a)

Our Massachusetts voluntary commercial accounts have a choice between the separate limits indicated and a maximum liability limit of $1,000 for combined single limit, which is the most common choice.

 

      Citation also provides a separate rating tier for preferred commercial automobile business. Citation wrote approximately 10% of our Massachusetts commercial automobile premium produced during 2005. We expect that these secondary rating tiers will continue to assist us in retaining better commercial automobile and homeowner accounts. Although we were the second largest writer of commercial automobile insurance in Massachusetts, we were the largest writer of voluntary commercial automobile insurance, as reported by CAR through October 2005.

 

      Homeowners Insurance. We also offer homeowners insurance in Massachusetts, including policies in company-designated coastal areas, which were less than 3.0% of our total Massachusetts homeowners policies at year end. Our average homeowners policy is an all risk, replacement cost insurance policy covering a dwelling and its contents. Our published limits of liability for property damage to a dwelling in Massachusetts are a minimum coverage of $100, a maximum coverage of $1,000, and the most commonly purchased amounts per policy are between $150 and $250. Some policies over this amount are written after underwriting review. For personal liability, the minimum coverage is $100, the maximum coverage is $1,000 and the most commonly purchased amount per policy in Massachusetts written by Commerce

<PAGE>  10

and Citation is $500. Generally, the average amount of contents coverage is 70% of the amount of coverage for the dwelling, with limitations on the amount of coverage per item placed on securities, cash, jewelry, furs, silverware, computer equipment, and firearms. However, additional coverage for such items can be purchased. We also offer personal liability umbrella coverage of $1,000, $2,000, and $3,000, which is reinsured through Swiss Re America.

 

      We offer a preferred risk homeowners product through Citation, which has an alternative pricing schedule for selected insureds meeting more restrictive underwriting guidelines. Citation produced approximately 54% of our Massachusetts homeowner business during 2005, calculated based on direct premiums written.

 

      American Commerce writes homeowners insurance as well. The maximum liability limit for homeowners insurance written by American Commerce is $750, and the most commonly purchased coverages are between $100 and $200. Commerce West does not write homeowners insurance.

 

      Homeowners business is reinsured through a 75% quota share agreement. Refer to Note M to the audited consolidated financial statements in this Form 10-K.

 

Massachusetts Automobile Business

 

      Massachusetts automobile business is the principal component of our Massachusetts property and casualty operations. For the two-year period of 2003 and 2004, average mandated Massachusetts personal automobile insurance premium rates increased an average of 2.6% per year. However, the Commissioner approved average decreases of 8.7% in personal automobile premiums for 2006 and 1.7% for 2005. Coinciding with the 2006 and 2005 rate decisions, the Commissioner also approved a 1.5% and 4.8% increase, respectively, in the commission agents receive for selling private passenger automobile insurance. The following table shows the state-mandated average rate change, the actual average revenue change per exposure and our average revenue change per exposure as estimated for 2006 and for the three previous years in Massachusetts.

 

Year

 

State Mandated
Average Rate Change (2)

 

Actual State Average
Revenue
Change
Per Exposure (2)

 

Commerce Average
Revenue Change Per
Exposure


             

2006 (1)

 

(8.7)%

 

(5.5)%

 

(5.8)%

2005

 

(1.7)%

 

1.5%

 

0.4%

2004

 

2.5%

 

7.0%

 

5.8%

2003

 

2.7%

 

8.1%

 

7.9%

 

___________________

(1)

Estimated for actual state and Commerce average revenue change per exposure.

(2)

Based on Massachusetts Division of Insurance filings.

 

      The actual state average revenue change per exposure represents the change in the average premium paid by drivers in Massachusetts, as opposed to the state mandated average rate change. As can be seen above, our average revenue change per exposure corresponds more closely to the actual state average revenue change. The reason for this is that both take into account newer vehicles, as compared to the state mandated average rate change which does not consider revenue arising from the mandated rate applied to new vehicle purchases.

 

      The Commissioner approved an 8.7% decrease in the state mandated average personal automobile insurance premium rate for 2006. Management estimates that this will translate into a 5.8% decline in the average revenue per exposure for the upcoming year. We estimate the 2006 net pre-tax impact of the 5.8% decrease in our 2006 average revenue per exposure partially offset by the remaining effects of the 2005 0.4% increase in average revenue per exposure to be approximately $27,000. The majority of the impact will occur during the last two quarters of 2006 as premiums for policies with 2006 effective dates become earned.

 

      Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers. A significant aspect of our automobile insurance business relates to our interaction with CAR. CAR enables Commerce and the other participating insurers to reinsure any automobile risk that the insurer perceives to be under-priced. CAR is responsible for the administration of the personal and commercial automobile reinsurance mechanisms in Massachusetts. Participating insurers, which are responsible for over 99% of total direct premiums written for personal automobile insurance in Massachusetts, are required to offer automobile insurance coverage to all eligible applicants pursuant to "take-all-comers" regulations, but may reinsure under-priced business with CAR. In addition, participating insurers are obligated to accept ERPs from CAR and to provide an automobile insurance market in Massachusetts for those agencies. ERP assignments occur by line of business and may apply to personal automobile only, commercial automobile only, or both lines.

<PAGE>  11

      CAR maintains separate pools for personal and commercial automobile risks. All companies writing automobile insurance in Massachusetts share in the underwriting results of CAR business for their respective product line or lines, whether or not they are servicing carriers. CAR has annually generated underwriting losses, primarily in the personal automobile pool. Accordingly, each automobile insurer attempts to develop and implement underwriting strategies that will minimize its relative share of the CAR deficit while maintaining acceptable loss ratios on risks not reinsured through CAR. In 2005 and continuing into 2006, CAR began using a credit matrix which had the effect of moving our participation ratio closer to our market share. The gap between our market share and participation ratio has therefore decreased from 5.9% for 2004 to 3.7% for 2005.

 

      Effective for January 1, 2006, the Commissioner approved the CAR plan to implement a limited servicing carrier (LSC) program for the commercial automobile residual market. The program is an attempt to streamline the handling of commercial automobile risks by reducing the number of servicing carriers while equalizing access for agents to the residual market. The plan calls for six companies, including Commerce, to be appointed LSCs. All agents were assigned to one of the LSCs for processing ceded policies, after unsuccessful attempts to place the policy in the voluntary market. While only six carriers were appointed LSCs, CAR deficits will be distributed to the industry based upon retained voluntary market share. We expect to write up to an additional $8,000 of commercial automobile business in 2006 through the LSC program.

 

      On September 30, 2005, the Commissioner directed that CAR implement a plan to redistribute personal automobile ERPs in an attempt to establish, for all Servicing Carriers, overall parity in the quantity and quality of ERP exposures. The redistribution plan sought to achieve parity in average loss ratio by giving each Servicing Carrier a proportionate mix of the ERPs with high and low loss ratios commensurate with the Servicing Carrier's voluntary Massachusetts business. The final plan called for about 133 ERPs statewide, who are writing business only with CAR, to be redistributed among different carriers. The redistribution plan for ERPs, as adopted by the CAR Governing Committee on November 16 and December 14, 2005, was approved by the Commissioner on January 27, 2006. The plan is effective March 1, 2006 for all new business and May 1, 2006 for all renewal business with all market activity through the close of business January 26, 2006 being reflected in the redistribution. The redistribution plan called for 58 ERPs to be re-assigned from us to other carriers. These ERPs collectively had 61,674 written exposures, with loss ratios lower than the three-year average loss ratio for all ERPs statewide. Of these 58 ERPs, we offered 51 voluntary contracts, and 49 of the ERPs accepted the offer. These 49 ERPs, who are now our voluntary agents, have 52,796 written exposures. Also resulting from the redistribution plan, 27 new ERPs with loss ratios greater than the three-year average loss ratio for all ERPs, whose written exposures totaled 56,888, were re-assigned from other carriers to us.

 

      While we believe it is premature to estimate the impact of the redistribution plan on our future financial results, we have estimated the pro-forma impact of the distribution plan on our 2005 results utilizing currently available information as if the redistribution plan became effective on January 1, 2005. Based on our analysis of the impact of the redistribution, we estimate that Commerce would have incurred additional pre-tax expense ranging between $7,600 and $10,300, depending upon the level of exposures that would be ceded to CAR. These amounts are significantly affected by the loss ratios of the ERPs assigned to us and the size of the CAR deficit, which CAR currently estimates at $155,000 for CAR policy year 2005, and we do not include the financial impact of future assignment of additional ERPs that we may have received due to providing voluntary contracts to certain low loss ratio ERPs as noted above. Lastly, offsetting the estimated increased pre-tax expense, we expect that our agent profit sharing expenses would have declined between $2,800 and $3,800, resulting in a net estimated pro-forma impact of between $4,800 and $6,500 additional pre-tax expense for the redistribution plan.

 

      Our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in this Form 10-K has additional information about CAR.

 

Marketing

 

      We market our insurance products exclusively through a network of licensed independent agents in all states, except in California where we also utilize some brokers. As of December 31, 2005, we had 607 agents throughout Massachusetts (of which 207 are ERPs), 51 agents writing business in New Hampshire, 1,231 agents and brokers in California, Oregon and Arizona for Commerce West, and 738 agents in 11 states for American Commerce. Our voluntary, non-ERP independent agencies may also represent other insurance companies, some of which may compete directly with us. The ERPs may represent other companies for lines of business other than personal or commercial automobile and, for these other lines, the ERPs may represent companies that compete with us. The independent insurance agencies are under contract with our subsidiaries and must conduct their business according to the provisions of their contracts. Voluntary contracts for Massachusetts agencies may be terminated by us upon 180 days notice to the agency or at will by the agency. Commerce and Citation may extend the termination date for renewal business to 13 months. ERP contracts may be terminated by us with 30 days notice if the ERP violates CAR rules and our actions are upheld by the CAR Governing Committee.

 

      Massachusetts Business. We seek to establish long-term relationships with voluntary agencies that can generate a sizable volume of business with profitable underwriting characteristics and for which we will be among the top one or two preferred writers of private passenger automobile policies. Of the 607 licensed independent agencies currently in our Massachusetts network, 223 agencies have been licensed with us for less than five years. This is primarily the result of 143 new appointments in 2002, most of whom came from our acquisition of the Massachusetts personal automobile business written by Berkshire Mutual Insurance Company and MassWest Insurance Company. We also have 47 agencies with licenses from six to ten years and 337 licensed agencies that have been writing business with us for over ten years, of which 217 have been associated with us for over 15 years.

<PAGE>  12

      We also assess whether the mix of a prospective agency's business will expand our presence in one or more of our core product lines. In 2005, the agencies representing us in Massachusetts produced an average of approximately $2,627 of our direct written premiums per agency, a 5.4% increase as compared to 2004. Direct premiums written in 2005 and 2004 by our Massachusetts agencies follow:

 
     

No. of Agencies

 
     


 
 

Premium Range

 

2005

 

2004

 
 


 
             
 

Under $1,000

 

158

 

183

 
 

$1,000 to $2,000

 

206

 

200

 
 

$2,000 to $3,000

 

104

 

102

 
 

$3,000 to $4,000

 

  46

 

  47

 
 

Over $4,000

 

  93

 

  90

 
 

Our three largest agencies produced $108,606, $24,271 and $20,224 of our Massachusetts direct premiums written, or approximately 6.6%, 1.5% and 1.3% of total Massachusetts direct premiums written, respectively.

 

      Included in the increase for Massachusetts personal automobile direct premiums written are premiums that were the result of appointments of new agents. During 2005, Commerce had 19 new appointments. Of these new appointments, 10 were voluntary agents resulting in an additional $2,513 in premiums. The remainder of the new appointments were ERPs assigned to Commerce by CAR. Business obtained from these new ERPs amounted to $5,197 during 2005.

 

      We carefully monitor an agency's performance. An Agency Evaluation Committee, composed of representatives of our Marketing, Underwriting, and Premium Accounting departments, uses a host of pre-established criteria (loss ratio, premium volume, business distributions, etc.) to continuously evaluate agencies. Generally, we will counsel an agency on how to improve its underwriting and profitability before we consider terminating the agency. During 2005, we terminated 34 non-ERP agencies, primarily due to low premium volume, from former agents of Berkshire Mutual. These terminated agencies wrote $12,600 in premiums during 2005.

 

      Our agencies receive commissions on policies written for us and are eligible to receive additional compensation through a profit sharing arrangement. The Commissioner annually establishes a minimum average direct commission for personal automobile insurance, which in 2005 was 10.9%. For qualified agents, we pay a bonus to increase compensation paid on an agent-by-agent basis, varying the amount based on premium volume, risk distribution, length of time with us, and historical profitability. Our agents' profit sharing is tied to the underwriting profit on policies written by an agency. We generally pay a qualifying agency up to 45% of the rolling three-year underwriting profit attributable to the agency's business. The arrangement for profit sharing on Massachusetts policies utilizes a three-year rolling plan, with one-third of each of the current and the two prior years' profit or loss calculations, summed to a single amount. This amount, if positive, is multiplied by the profit sharing rate and paid to the agent. To qualify for profit sharing, an agent generally must have a three-year average loss ratio of 60% or better. CAR credits for voluntary business written in under-priced territories and credits for writing youthful operators on a voluntary basis can increase the loss ratio eligibility for profit sharing. Books of business with limited credits must achieve a lower loss ratio, generally around 55%, to qualify. In 2005, our total commissions to our agencies were 19.1% of direct premiums written, of which direct commissions and profit sharing were 12.1% and 7.0%, respectively, versus total compensation expensed of 17.7%, of which 12.2% was direct commissions and 5.5% was profit sharing in 2004. Direct commissions are higher than the personal automobile minimum commission rates primarily due to negotiated commissions in 2005 to agencies with better performing private passenger automobile books of business, coupled with higher commissions on non-automobile lines of business.

 

      We also occasionally sponsor incentive award trips to encourage and reward agency profitability and growth. Expenses in 2005 related to sales incentive contests were $637. No award trips are currently planned.

 

      We devote substantial time and resources to the development of our information systems, which we believe have enhanced both our underwriting and our agency support. Through the use of several customized software programs, we have the ability to analyze our internal historical underwriting data and use such information in making, in our belief, more informed underwriting decisions. Our information systems also enable us to provide extensive support to our agencies. This support includes a direct billing system, which covers approximately 99% of our policyholders, and an on-line inquiry system, which allows agencies to ascertain the status of pending claims and direct bill information via the Internet. We also have over 200,000 policyholders utilizing Electronic Funds Transfer (EFT) which carry no billing service fees. The system also allows agents on-line access to manuals, reports and forms. We also offer an agency upload for personal and commercial automobile and an agency download product for personal and commercial automobile, as well as homeowners. We expect to expand these offerings from time to time. During 2005, approximately 99% of our agents had access to one or

<PAGE>  13

more of these systems. In early 2005, we began offering on-line access to insureds for certain premium billing and claim information.

 

      We believe that, because of our compensation arrangements and our emphasis on service, we are the preferred provider for most of our agencies. Although we believe, based on annual surveys of our agencies, that our relationships with our independent agencies are excellent, any disruption in these relationships could adversely affect our business.

 

      Affinity Programs in Massachusetts. Since 1995, we have been a leader in affinity group marketing in Massachusetts by providing discounts to members of the AAA clubs. Based on information provided to us by the AAA clubs operating in Massachusetts, we believe that membership in these clubs represents approximately one-third of the Massachusetts motoring public. In 2005, we increased our total Massachusetts private passenger automobile written insurance exposures by 2.9%, ending 2005 with approximately 29.9% of the Massachusetts private passenger automobile market, up from 29.1% at the end of 2004. We estimate a 42% penetration of AAA members in Massachusetts. The AAA Affinity group discount has been established at 5% for 2006. The rate for 2005, 2004 and 2003 was also 5%.

 

      Programs in Other States. Both American Commerce and Commerce West file and seek approval for premium rates with the respective divisions of insurance in the states where they do business. American Commerce competes for business primarily by using AAA-owned and operated independent agencies that offer competitively priced products and provide quality service. The independent agencies are offered compensation in the form of commission and profit sharing, based primarily on loss ratios. In addition, the AAA-owned agencies are also offered stock options and bonuses based on the year-over-year increase in the volume of agency business written with American Commerce. Commerce West competes for business by using independent insurance agencies and brokers that offer competitively priced products and provide quality service. Commerce West offers compensation to agents and brokers in the form of commissions and profit sharing, which are based in part on the underwriting profits and losses of the agency business written with us. Commerce offers competitively priced products and commissions to agents in New Hampshire. Profit sharing, based on loss experience, is also offered as an inducement for exceptional business.

 

      During 2005, we invested approximately $7,500 in several software implementation projects for the primary purpose of strengthening our business in states other than Massachusetts. Our largest initiative toward achieving this goal involves a comprehensive upgrade of our information systems. The specific objectives of this upgrade are to:

 

*

provide flexibility to support independent business decisions and processing needs of American Commerce and New Hampshire business users;

*

consolidate processing of our other-than-Massachusetts, multi-state business written through American Commerce, Commerce, and Citation on one system;

*

enhance data integrity and control mechanisms; and

*

enhance functionality.

 

Another major initiative, Agency Port, will significantly improve, we believe, the way in which we serve our agents and insureds at American Commerce, Commerce and Citation. American Commerce licensed and is implementing the Agency Port web portal for use by its club and agent partners. Commerce and Citation plan to use this product for Massachusetts homeowners as well as New Hampshire business. We believe the implementation will provide automated underwriting and an easy-to-use web-enabled interface for quoting and servicing American Commerce products. We anticipate implementing these initiatives beginning 2006 and into 2007.

 

Underwriting

 

      We seek to achieve an underwriting profit, as measured by a statutory combined ratio of less than 100%, in each of our product lines. Our strategy is designed to achieve consistent profitability with substantial growth in net premiums written during hard markets and growth that is more modest during soft markets. All of our policies have been written on a "claims incurred basis," meaning that we cover claims based on occurrences that take place during the policy period.

 

      Agencies are authorized to bind us on risks as limited by our written underwriting rules and practices, which establish eligibility rules for various policies and coverages, unacceptable risks, and maximum and minimum limits of liability. For non-automobile policies, other than certain umbrella policies, our agencies have the ability to bind us for a limited period, typically 60 days, during which time we review all risks to determine whether we will accept or reject the policy. During this review period, we are obligated to pay any claim that would be covered under the policy. Violation of our underwriting rules and practices is grounds for termination of the agency's contract with us.

<PAGE>  14

      In Massachusetts, we and each of the other servicing carriers of CAR must write virtually all private passenger automobile risks submitted to us. Massachusetts personal automobile insurance rates are fixed annually by the Commissioner. All companies writing personal automobile policies are required to use such mandated rates, unless they have received prior approval from the Commissioner to offer a lower rate such as what we have done with our AAA affinity program. The actual premium paid by a particular policyholder, however, is adjusted, either up or down, based upon the driving record of the insured operator. Moving violations and accidents for which the insured was at fault within the most recent six year period are used to determine each operator's safe driver surcharge or credit. In 2006, the Massachusetts Safe Driver Insurance Plan (SDIP) has changed to a point-based system, the impact of which is not currently known or estimable.

 

      We set our voluntary Massachusetts commercial automobile insurance rates competitively, subject to the Commissioner's authority to disapprove such rates. CAR files the rates for commercial automobile risks reinsured through CAR, subject to the authority of the Commissioner to disapprove the rates, except for private passenger type non-fleet business which is filed by insurance companies and approved by the Commissioner.

 

      For our business written outside of Massachusetts and other product lines within Massachusetts, including homeowners and commercial lines of general liability and property insurance, rates are based in part on loss cost data from the Insurance Services Office, or ISO, which is an industry bureau providing policy forms and rate making data, and in part, on our own experience and other companies' price levels. We are not obligated by statute to accept every homeowners risk submitted to us. Accordingly, risks meeting our underwriting guidelines are accepted, and all other risks are declined or not renewed. We use ISO policy forms and have added special coverage features to meet our product needs. Rates and forms must be filed with and approved or not disapproved by the insurance commissioner in each state where we do business.

 

Reinsurance

 

      In addition to participating in CAR, we reinsure with other insurance companies, on a claims incurred basis, a portion of our potential exposure under the policies we have written. The objective of this reinsurance is to mitigate the adverse financial consequences of a severe loss under individual policies, or catastrophic occurrences where a number of claims can produce an extraordinary aggregate loss. Reinsurance does not legally discharge us from our primary liability to the insured for the full amount of the policies, but it does make the reinsurer liable to us to the extent of the reinsured portion of any loss ultimately suffered. We seek to utilize reinsurers that we consider adequately capitalized and financially able to meet their respective obligations under reinsurance agreements with us. We use a variety of reinsurance mechanisms to protect ourselves against loss. For additional information, please refer to Note M to the audited consolidated financial statements included in this Form 10-K.

 

Involuntary Pool

 

      Our insurance subsidiaries are required to participate in various Property Insurance Underwriting Associations, the most significant of which is the Fair Access to Insurance Requirements Plan (FAIR Plan) in Massachusetts. The federal government reinsures those insurers participating in FAIR Plans against excess losses sustained from riots and civil disorders. The Massachusetts FAIR Plan has coastal policies which could result in losses which could be material to the FAIR Plan and participating insurance companies. The Massachusetts FAIR Plan does not purchase catastrophe reinsurance; consequently, we have exposure for our proportionate share of catastrophic events occurring in the FAIR Plan. Effective July 1, 2005, we purchased a one-year Catastrophe Treaty for our exposure to FAIR Plan losses in excess of $100,000 up to a total FAIR Plan loss of $1,000,000. We purchased 6% of this treaty which will afford us a recovery of $54,000 excess of a $6,000 retention if the FAIR Plan should suffer a $1,000,000 or greater loss. The estimated 250-year probable maximum loss for the FAIR Plan is approximately $1,000,000. This loss estimate is the average of the two catastrophe models utilized by the FAIR Plan.

 

Settlement of Claims

 

      Claims under insurance policies written by us are investigated and settled primarily by our claims adjusters at our Webster, Massachusetts headquarters. Commerce also employs investigators to address suspected insurance fraud and abuse. American Commerce settles claims at its home office in Ohio, the Webster, Massachusetts headquarters and three regional claims offices located around the country. In addition to these individuals, American Commerce uses the services of independent appraisal firms and independent property adjusting companies, which are also located around the country. Commerce West settles claims at its home office. In addition, Commerce West uses the services of independent appraisal firms located in California, Oregon and Arizona. If a claim or loss cannot be settled and results in litigation, we retain outside counsel to represent us.

 

      We believe that, based on surveys of our agency force and insureds, through our claims staff of experienced adjusters, appraisers, managers, and administrative staff, we have higher customer satisfaction than many of our competitors.

<PAGE>  15

All claims office staff members work closely with agents, insureds and claimants with a goal of settling claims fairly, rapidly and cost effectively.

 

      Commerce has a 24-hour claim reporting service in Massachusetts to third-party claimants and insureds of interested agencies. This service allows customers to report their first notice of a loss at any time of the day, 365 days a year. This reporting methodology allows us to improve customer satisfaction by making the initial claim handling much faster and ultimately reducing indemnity payments such as rental and storage.

 

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE) Reserves

 

      The following table represents the development of reserves, net of reinsurance, for 1995 through 2005. The top line of the table shows the reserves at the balance sheet date for each of the indicated years, representing the estimated losses and LAE for claims arising in all years that were unpaid at the balance sheet date, including losses that had been incurred but not yet reported to us. The upper portion of the table shows the cumulative amounts paid as of successive years expressed as a percentage with respect to that year's ending reserve liability. The lower portion of the table shows the re-estimated amount as a percentage of the previously recorded reserves based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year, including cumulative payments made since the end of the respective year. The estimate changes as more information becomes known about the payments and the frequency and severity of claims for individual years. Favorable loss development exists when the original reserve estimate is greater than the re-estimated reserves at December 31, 2005. Favorable development is depicted as a positive number in the line "Redundancy expressed as a percentage of year end reserves." The table shows that we have redundancies in each of the last ten years.

 

      For additional information, please refer to "Critical Accounting Policies" in Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, of this Form 10-K.

 

      In evaluating the cumulative information in the following table, it should be noted that each year's amount includes the cumulative effects of all changes in amounts for prior periods. This table does not present accident or policy year development data. Conditions and trends that have affected development of the liability in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it is not appropriate to extrapolate future development based on the following table.

 

Loss and LAE Reserve Development (dollars in millions)

 
 

2005

2004

2003

2002

2001

2000

1999

1998(1)

1997

1996

1995

 


 

(Dollars stated in millions)

                       

Reserves for losses and loss

                     

  adjustment expenses

$834.7   

$830.1   

$792.3   

$678.3   

$594.2   

$585.9   

$558.8   

$561.2   

$529.8   

$534.0   

$493.9   

 


   

Paid (cumulative) as a percentage

                     

  of current reserves as of:

                     

    One year later

 

48.5%

51.4%

52.6%

52.6%

53.8%

52.4%

49.3%

53.6%

52.5%

49.9%

    Two years later

   

71.4   

72.8   

73.4   

73.9   

74.5   

72.8   

78.0   

75.3   

72.3   

    Three years later

     

85.8   

85.7   

85.5   

85.7   

84.3   

93.0   

88.1   

86.5   

    Four years later

       

92.2   

92.7   

91.9   

89.8   

99.3   

96.7   

93.3   

    Five years later

         

96.2   

96.2   

92.9   

102.3   

99.7   

98.6   

    Six years later

           

98.1   

94.8   

103.6   

100.9   

99.5   

    Seven years later

             

95.6   

104.6   

101.5   

100.3   

    Eight years later

               

105.1   

102.2   

100.7   

    Nine years later

                 

102.6   

100.9   

    Ten years later

                   

101.2   

Reserves re-estimated as a

                     

  percentage of initial reserves as of:

                     

    One year later

 

92.6%

92.8%

96.3%

97.6%

94.0%

92.4%

92.9%

88.4%

84.3%

82.2%

    Two years later

   

90.7   

93.8   

93.9   

93.7   

90.3   

91.9   

85.6   

79.3   

74.1   

    Three years later

     

92.7   

92.7   

91.8   

90.3   

91.3   

85.1   

77.4   

71.5   

    Four years later

       

91.6   

91.4   

89.3   

91.3   

84.7   

77.3   

69.7   

    Five years later

         

90.6   

89.1   

88.8   

84.4   

77.1   

70.4   

    Six years later

           

87.8   

88.8   

81.0   

76.8   

70.1   

    Seven years later

             

88.0   

80.7   

74.5   

69.9   

    Eight years later

               

80.1   

74.2   

68.3   

    Nine years later

                 

73.9   

68.3   

    Ten years later

                   

68.0   

Redundancy expressed as a

                     

  percent of year end reserves

 

7.4%

9.3%

7.3%

8.4%

9.4%

12.2%

12.0%

19.9%

26.1%

32.0%

                       

Gross liability, end of year

$989.2   

$990.3   

$957.4   

$815.6   

$695.2   

$684.8   

$671.0   

$657.0   

$639.7   

$658.0   

$620.9   

Reinsurance recoverables

154.5   

160.2   

165.1   

137.3   

101.0   

98.9   

112.2   

95.8   

109.9   

124.0   

127.0   

 


Net liability, end of year

$834.7   

$830.1   

$792.3   

$678.3   

$594.2   

$585.9   

$558.8   

$561.2   

$529.8   

$534.0   

$493.9   

 


Gross re-estimated liability - latest

$        -   

$912.1   

$847.8   

$787.4   

$682.8   

$667.6   

$619.0   

$619.1   

$563.2   

$576.5   

$519.3   

Re-estimated recoverable - latest

-   

143.4   

128.8   

158.9   

138.7   

137.1   

128.2   

124.9   

138.9   

182.0   

183.4   

 


Net re-estimated liability - latest

$        -   

$768.7   

$719.0   

$628.5   

$544.1   

$530.5   

$490.8   

$494.2   

$424.3   

$394.5   

$335.9   

 


                       

___________________

(1)

The 1998 amount includes an adjustment to add $63.1 million in loss and LAE reserves related to the purchase of American Commerce at January 29, 1999. For additional information about losses and LAE, gross and net of reinsurance, see Note F to the audited consolidated financial statements included in this Form 10-K.

<PAGE>  17

      Included in our loss reserves are liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses for environmental related claims such as lead paint, oil spills and mold. We held reserves in the amount of $3,665 for lead paint related claims at December 31, 2005. Our reserves for environmental claims such as oil spills and mold were $3,552 and $555 respectively, at December 31, 2005. These reserves have been established to cover claims for known losses. Because of our limited exposure to these types of claims, we believe they will not have a material impact on our financial position.

 

Operating Ratios

 

      Loss and Underwriting Expense Ratios. Loss and underwriting expense ratios are used to interpret the underwriting experience of property and casualty insurance companies on a statutory basis. Certain corporate expenses included in our loss adjustment expenses and policy acquisition costs do not impact the statutory loss and LAE ratio or the statutory underwriting ratio because they are not expenses borne by our insurance subsidiaries. Underwriting profit margins are reflected by the extent to which the sum of the loss and underwriting expense ratios, which we refer to as the combined ratio, is less than 100%. The combined ratio is considered the best simple index of current underwriting performance of an insurer. The ratios which follow include lines of insurance other than automobile. Data for the property and casualty industry generally may not be directly comparable to our data. This is because we conduct our business primarily in Massachusetts, where approximately 87.3% of our direct premiums were written for the year ended December 31, 2005, and, secondly, we primarily write personal automobile insurance.

 
 

Year Ended December 31,

 


 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

2001

 


                   

Company group statutory ratios (unaudited)

                 

    Loss and LAE ratio

60.8%

 

62.8%

 

73.4%

 

75.1%

 

74.5%

    Underwriting expense ratio

26.5%

 

24.9%

 

22.9%

 

23.6%

 

24.2%

 


    Combined ratio

87.3%

 

87.7%

 

96.3%

 

98.7%

 

98.7%

 


                   

    Industry combined ratio (all writers) (1)

96.0%

 

94.4%

 

94.4%

 

104.5%

 

109.5%

 


                   

___________________

(1)

Source: A.M. Best's Review/Preview (January 2006), as reported by A.M. Best for all property and casualty insurance companies and adjusted to reflect our relative product mix. The 2005 industry information is estimated by A.M. Best.

 

      Premiums-to-Surplus Ratio. While there is no regulatory requirement applicable to us which establishes a permissible statutory net premiums-to-surplus ratio, guidelines established by the NAIC provide that this ratio should be no greater than 300%.

 

      The premium-to-surplus ratios for the five years ended 2005 for our industry and us follow (in millions of dollars):

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

2001

 


                   

Net premiums written by us

$1,736.2   

 

$1,712.5   

 

$1,555.5   

 

$1,313.0   

 

$1,079.0   

Policyholders' surplus of our

                 

  insurance subsidiaries(1)

$1,477.3   

 

$1,290.1   

 

$1,075.1   

 

$   662.0   

 

$   715.9   

Our ratio

117.5%

 

132.8%

 

144.7%

 

198.3%

 

150.7%

Industry ratio(2)

102.9%

 

108.5%

 

117.4%

 

130.5%

 

112.0%

                   

___________________

(1)

The increase in policyholders' surplus from 2002 to 2003 was primarily the result of our $300 million debt offering. The proceeds from the offering were used as additional paid-in capital for Commerce.

(2)

Source: A.M. Best's Review/Preview (January 2006), for all property and casualty insurance companies. The 2005 industry information is estimated by A.M. Best.

 

Investments

 

      Investment income is an important source of revenue for us, and the return on our investment portfolio has a material effect on our net earnings. Our investment strategy emphasizes investment yield while maintaining investment quality. The focus of our investment objectives continues to be maximizing after-tax investment income through investing in high quality diversified investments structured to maximize after-tax investment income while minimizing risk. A secondary objective is to achieve above average after-tax total return. Our funds are generally invested in securities with maturities intended to provide adequate funds to pay claims and meet other operating needs without the forced sale of investments.

<PAGE>  18

      For additional information on our investment income and investment portfolio, please refer to "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" and Note C to the audited consolidated financial statements included in this Form 10-K.

 

Regulation

 

      Our business is subject to extensive regulation. In Massachusetts, the Commissioner of Insurance is appointed by the Governor and has broad authority. The Commissioner sets maximum policy rates and establishes minimum agent commission levels on personal automobile insurance. In addition, the Commissioner grants and revokes licenses to write insurance, approves policy forms, sets reserve requirements, determines the form and content of statutory financial statements and establishes the type and character of portfolio investments. The Commissioner also approves company submissions regarding affinity group insurance programs and corresponding discounts along with safe driver deviations. Consequently, the policies and regulations set by the Commissioner are an important element of writing insurance in Massachusetts. In states other than Massachusetts, premium rates generally must be filed with, and approved or not disapproved by the Commissioner of Insurance in that particular state. In general, minimum commissions to agents are not set by the other state commissioners.

 

      State insurance regulators are responsible for conducting periodic examinations of insurance companies. Massachusetts Division of Insurance regulations provide that insurance companies will be examined every five years or more frequently as deemed prudent by the Commissioner. California Department of Insurance regulations provide that insurance companies will be examined every three years. Ohio Department of Insurance regulations provide that insurance companies will be examined at least every five years. Both Commerce and Citation were examined for the five-year period ended December 31, 2003. Commerce West was last examined in 2004 by the California Department of Insurance for the four-year period ended December 31, 2003. American Commerce was examined in 2004 by the Ohio Department of Insurance for the five-year period ended December 31, 2002. These examinations produced no material findings.

 

      At the state level, various forms of automobile insurance reform are continuously debated. In Massachusetts, for example, new regulations and legislation are often proposed with the goal of reducing the need for premium increases or to alter CAR deficit sharing. See Massachusetts Automobile Business section of Item 1, Business, and Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers section of Item 7, Management Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, for further discussion.

 

      Although the U.S. federal government does not directly regulate the insurance industry, federal initiatives often have an impact on the industry. Proposed legislation currently exists in Congress, the State Modernization and Regulatory Transparency (SMART) Act, which would force states to comply with uniform standards and resolve disputes, speed up the process of getting new products to the market and move toward a system of market-based rates. Congress and certain federal agencies continue to investigate the current condition of the insurance industry, encompassing both life and health and property and casualty insurance, in the United States in order to decide whether some form of federal role in the regulation of insurance companies would be appropriate. Congress conducts hearings relating, in general, to the solvency of insurers and has proposed federal legislation from time to time on this and other subjects.

 

      New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer and his staff have been challenging two separate but related insurance industry practices - fraudulent bid fixing and certain contingent commission payments. Mr. Spitzer and his staff have taken legal action against several companies as a result of these challenges. No such action has been taken against us or any of our subsidiaries by any regulator in regards to these practices, nor do we expect any such action to occur.

 

      Automobile Insurance Regulation Overview. Massachusetts has required compulsory automobile insurance coverage since 1925. States other than Massachusetts generally have varying levels of minimum compulsory insurance. Under current law, all Massachusetts motorists are required to carry certain minimum coverages mandated by the state. With very limited exceptions, each servicing carrier writing automobile insurance in Massachusetts must accept all risks submitted to the servicing carrier for the compulsory coverage, but is permitted to reinsure these risks (including affinity group marketing insurance risks) through CAR.

 

      Compulsory Coverage. Compulsory coverage includes no-fault coverage, limited bodily injury coverage, property damage coverage and coverage against uninsured or hit and run motorists. The Massachusetts no-fault statute provides for personal injury protection coverage, which entitles a party to be reimbursed directly by the party's own insurer for certain medical expenses, lost wages and other defined expenses arising from an automobile accident, up to a specific amount, even if another party caused the accident.

<PAGE>  19

      Rates and Commissions. Massachusetts personal automobile insurance rates are fixed and established annually by the Commissioner. Affinity group marketing insurance programs and safe driver rate deviations must be annually approved by the Commissioner. We set our voluntary Massachusetts commercial automobile insurance rates competitively, subject to the Commissioner's authority to disapprove such rates. CAR files the rate for commercial automobile risks reinsured through CAR, subject to the authority of the Commissioner to disapprove the rates, except for private passenger type non-fleet business which is filed by insurance companies and approved by the Commissioner. For additional information, see "Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers."

 

      Massachusetts personal automobile premiums charged to a policyholder are adjusted based upon the safe driver rating of the operator. Moving violations and at-fault accidents affect each driver's safe driver rating. In addition, the Extra Risk Rating regulations permit insurers to deny coverage or charge surcharged rates for physical damage coverage to both high risk vehicles and insureds with excessive prior loss or violation activity.

 

      The Commissioner sets an average minimum direct agency commission rate for personal automobile insurance. With respect to risks reinsured through CAR, the maximum amount of commissions that CAR will reimburse, as part of their expense allowance structure, is fixed at that prescribed rate.

 

      Rates and commissions in states other than Massachusetts are set competitively on a company-by-company and state-by-state basis.

 

      Mandatory Underwriting. With minimal exception, Massachusetts law specifies that all individuals holding a valid driver's license be entitled to purchase the mandatory automobile insurance coverages regardless of their driving experience or accident record. Massachusetts law also places certain restraints on insurers' discretion to refuse to renew automobile insurance policies. Policyholders are generally entitled to renew except in cases of fraud, material misrepresentation, revocation or suspension of an operator's license or nonpayment of premiums. With very limited exceptions, servicing carriers that participate in CAR in Massachusetts must accept every automobile risk submitted to them.

 

      Under the Massachusetts system of rate regulation, some personal automobile insurance risks are purposefully under-priced by the Commissioner, and therefore, absent state-intervention, insurers would not ordinarily choose to write those risks. The CAR reinsurance program described below is intended to mitigate the burden imposed by under-pricing and the Massachusetts take-all-comers system, by allowing insurers to transfer the exposure for under-priced risks to an industry pool, and by granting participation credits for certain under-priced risks. These credits are required by statute.

 

      Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers. CAR is a Massachusetts state-mandated reinsurance mechanism, under which all premiums, expenses and losses on ceded business are pooled and shared by all insurers. It is similar to a joint underwriting association because a limited number of insurers participate in the program as servicing carriers. At December 31, 2005, there were a total of 19 companies, including Commerce, that were servicing carriers for the personal automobile pool. Effective January 1, 2006, six insurers, including Commerce, were limited servicing carriers for the commercial automobile market. See the previous discussion of CAR's new commercial program in the Massachusetts Automobile Business section.

 

      In general, agencies licensed to issue automobile insurance policies are entitled to be assigned to at least one servicing carrier. There are two categories of agencies: (1) those that have voluntary agreements with one or more servicing carriers, and (2) those that do not. The latter are assigned by CAR, generally to a single servicing carrier and are known as ERPs. There can be ERPs for private passenger automobile or commercial automobile or both.

 

      An insurer may terminate its participation in CAR by surrendering its license to write automobile policies in Massachusetts. Termination does not discharge or otherwise affect liability of an insurer incurred prior to termination. A withdrawing insurer is assessed a share of CAR's projected deficits for future years based on the insurer's prior years' participation in CAR. The assessment paid by the withdrawing insurer is redistributed to the remaining insurers based on their participation ratios.

 

      An insurer can transfer its obligations for its personal insurance policies to another insurer who formally agrees to assume these obligations. The transferring insurer is thereby relieved of future CAR obligations which otherwise would have arisen as a consequence of the business transferred. As previously noted, additional information about CAR, including regulatory reform, is in Item 7 of this Form 10-K.

 

      Insurance Holding Company Structure. As an insurance holding company, we are subject to regulation under the insurance holding company statutes of the states in which our subsidiary insurance companies are incorporated. Because our subsidiaries are members of an insurance holding company system, they are required to register with their respective Divisions of Insurance and to submit reports describing:

<PAGE>  20

 

*

the capital structure;

     
 

*

general financial condition;

     
 

*

ownership and management of each insurer and any person or entity controlling the insurer;

     
 

*

the identity of every member of the insurance holding company system; and

     
 

*

the material outstanding transactions between the insurer and its affiliates.

 

California and Ohio have insurance holding company laws similar to those in Massachusetts.

 

      Each member of the insurance holding company system must keep current the information required to be disclosed by reporting all material changes or additions within 15 days of the end of the month in which it learns of such change or addition.

 

      Massachusetts law prohibits a party that is not a domestic insurer from acquiring "control" of a domestic insurer or of a company controlling a domestic insurer without prior approval of the Commissioner. Control is presumed to exist if a party directly or indirectly holds, owns or controls ten percent or more of the voting stock of another party, but may be rebutted by showing that control does not exist. California and Ohio have laws similar to those in Massachusetts.

 

      In the event of the insolvency, liquidation or other reorganization of any of our insurance subsidiaries, our creditors and stockholders will have no right to proceed against the assets of those subsidiaries, or to cause the liquidation or bankruptcy of any company under federal or state bankruptcy laws. State laws govern such liquidation or rehabilitation proceedings and the Division of Insurance would act as receiver for the particular company. Creditors and policyholders of the insurance subsidiaries would be entitled to payment in full from such assets before a stockholder, such as Commerce Holdings in our case, would be entitled to receive any distribution therefrom.

 

      Payment of Dividends. Under Massachusetts law, an insurer may pay cash dividends only from earnings and statutory surplus, and the insurer's remaining surplus must be both reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities and adequate in relation to its financial needs. Following the declaration and payment of such dividends, the insurer must file a report with the Commissioner. A Massachusetts insurance company may not pay an extraordinary dividend or distribution unless the insurer gives the Commissioner at least 30 days' prior notice of the declaration and the Commissioner does not disapprove of the plan of payment prior to the date of such payment. An extraordinary dividend or distribution includes any dividend or distribution whose fair market value together with other dividends or distributions made within the preceding 12 months exceeds the greater of 10% of surplus, or net income for the 12 month period ending the 31st day of December. California and Ohio have laws similar to those in Massachusetts regulating the payment of dividends by insurance companies.

 

      The aggregate amount of dividends calculated in accordance with regulations in Massachusetts, California and Ohio that could have been paid in 2005 from all of our insurance subsidiaries without prior regulatory approval was approximately $241,062, of which $68,410 was declared and paid during 2005.

 

      Protection Against Insurer Insolvency. All insurance companies are required to participate in insurance insolvency fund programs in the states in which they write. For further information, please refer to Note L to the audited consolidated financial statements included in this Form 10-K.

 

      National Association of Insurance Commissioners Guidelines. The NAIC Insurance Regulatory Information System, or IRIS, was developed by a committee of state insurance regulators and is intended primarily to assist state insurance regulators in executing their statutory mandates to oversee the financial condition of insurance companies operating in their respective states. IRIS identifies eleven industry ratios and specifies "usual values" for each ratio. Departure from the "usual values" on four or more of the ratios can lead to inquiries from individual state insurance commissioners as to certain aspects of an insurer's business. For the year ended December 31, 2005, our consolidated property and casualty operations had no ratios outside the "usual values."

 

      In order to enhance the regulation of insurer insolvency, the NAIC developed a formula and model law to provide for risk-based capital, or RBC, requirements for property and casualty insurance companies. The model law has since been adopted in all states. RBC requirements are designed to assess capital adequacy and to raise the level of protection that

<PAGE>  21

statutory surplus provides for policyholder obligations. The RBC model for property and casualty insurance companies measures three major areas of risk facing property and casualty insurers:

 

(1)

underwriting, which encompasses the risk of adverse loss development and inadequate pricing;

(2)

declines in asset values arising from credit risk; and

(3)

other business risks from investments.

 

      Insurers having less statutory surplus than required by the RBC calculation will be subject to varying degrees of regulatory action, depending on the level of capital inadequacy. The RBC model formula has four levels of regulatory action. The extent of regulatory intervention and action increases as the percentage of surplus to RBC falls. The first level, defined by the NAIC as the "Company Action Level," requires an insurer to submit a plan of corrective actions to the regulator if surplus falls below 200% of the RBC amount. As indicated in the following table, the RBC level of each of our insurance subsidiaries at December 31, 2005 significantly exceeded the 200% RBC level requirements.

 
   

Commerce

 

Citation

 

American
Commerce

 

Commerce
West

   


                 

Statutory surplus

 

$1,172,986   

 

$140,578   

 

$112,073   

 

$51,671   

200% RBC Company Action Level

 

193,025   

 

22,452   

 

16,225   

 

7,214   

   


Statutory surplus in excess of RBC

               

  Company Action Level

 

$   979,961   

 

$118,126   

 

$  95,848   

 

$44,457   

   


RBC amounts

 

$     96,513   

 

$  11,226   

 

$    8,112   

 

$  3,607   

   


Percent of surplus to RBC amounts

 

1,215%

 

1,252%

 

1,382%

 

1,433%

   


                 

Competition

 

      The property and casualty insurance industry is highly cyclical, characterized by periods of increasing premium rates and limited underwriting capacity, followed by periods of intensive price competition and abundant underwriting capacity. This industry also is highly competitive, with a large number of companies, many of which operate in more than one state, offering automobile, homeowners, commercial property and other lines of insurance. Some of our competitors have larger volumes of business and greater financial resources than we have and some sell insurance directly to policyholders rather than through independent agents.

 

      Massachusetts. Our insurance products are marketed exclusively through independent agencies, including ERPs. Because most of our voluntary agencies represent more than one company, we face competition within each of these agencies. We compete for business within independent agencies by offering a more attractively priced product through our AAA discount to the consumer and by paying agents significant compensation in the form of commissions and profit sharing. We also seek to provide a consistent market, prompt servicing of policyholder claims and effective agency support services. We have agreed that we shall be the AAA clubs' exclusive underwriter of Massachusetts personal automobile group programs, and we have a rolling three-year contract with the AAA clubs. This contract automatically renews annually and may be terminated upon a minimum of two years written notice to us.

 

      We believe that the Massachusetts regulatory environment has discouraged certain companies with more traditional underwriting and pricing approaches from establishing a presence or expanding their market share in Massachusetts. We believe that proposed changes to CAR rules and the Massachusetts personal auto system reflect a desire expressed by the Commissioner and the Massachusetts Governor to change the Massachusetts system for regulating automobile insurance to one that is comparable to the regulatory framework in most other states. Any material change to the regulatory environment in Massachusetts could adversely affect our business. For additional information, see "Massachusetts Personal Automobile Insurance" in Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, in this Form 10-K.

 

      Other States. We compete with various regional and domestic insurers, national agency companies and direct writers. Any of these competitors could undertake actions that could adversely affect our profitability, such as pricing automobile insurance premiums more aggressively or offering greater compensation to independent agencies.

<PAGE>  22

Our Employees

 

      As of December 31, 2005, we employed 2,166 people. Commerce employed 1,842 people; American Commerce employed 239 people; Commerce West employed 85 people; and Citation had no employees. We are not a party to any collective bargaining agreements, and we believe our relationships with our employees are very good.

 

Information Available on Our Website

 

      We make available, free of charge, on our website (http://www.commerceinsurance.com) our annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the United States Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as soon as reasonably practicable after we electronically file such material with, or furnish it to, the Securities and Exchange Commission. The following are also posted on our website and are available in print to any stockholder upon request:

 

*

Corporate Governance Guidelines

*

Code of Ethics

*

Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee Charter

*

Audit Committee Charter

*

Compensation Committee Charter

*

Procedures to Contact Non-Management Directors

*

Procedures to Contact the Board of Directors

 

Executive Officers of the Registrant

 

      The information regarding executive officers called for by regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission is incorporated by reference from information about our executive officers in Item 10 of this Form 10-K.

 

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

 

      There are various risks involved in investing in the Company, some of which are described below. Investors should carefully consider each of the following factors and all of the other financial information in this annual report, including the information incorporated by reference.

 
 

Regulatory or legislative changes to enhance competition in Massachusetts are being considered and, if enacted, could adversely affect our market share and profitability.

 

      From time to time, the Massachusetts Division of Insurance considers potential changes and reforms to the Massachusetts personal automobile insurance system that would have the goal of enhancing competition. Massachusetts is currently the only state that we write business in where personal automobile insurance rates are set by state regulators. The Massachusetts Governor has proposed changes to the state laws that include allowing companies to set their own premiums subject to state oversight. Insurers would have flexibility in their rates but would be subject to a 15% maximum annual increase in premiums.

 

      The Massachusetts regulatory environment currently:

 

*

requires personal automobile insurers to issue a policy to any eligible applicant who seeks one, known as the "take all comers" law,

*

fixes maximum personal automobile rates, which has the effect of keeping premiums artificially low on specific high risk segments of the market, such as urban and youthful drivers, effectively imposing higher premiums on lower risk segments,

*

fixes the SDIP point assignment criteria and rating factors,

*

assigns certain agents that have not been able to obtain a voluntary contract with another insurer, known as Exclusive Representative Producers, or ERPs, to servicing carriers on the basis of market share,

*

apportions losses incurred by the state-mandated residual market run by Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers, known as CAR,

<PAGE>  23

*

mandates that higher compulsory and optional coverages be offered to all eligible drivers, and

*

establishes minimum agency commissions.

      Our marketing and underwriting strategies are limited by maximum premium rates and minimum agency commission levels for personal automobile insurance, which are mandated by the Commissioner. Rate decisions by the Commissioner are based upon claims experience and other data which are several years old and may not reflect current conditions. If the Commissioner sets inadequate premium rates, our results of operations could be adversely affected. Future increases in commission rates would also adversely affect our results of operations unless there were corresponding increases in premiums.

      Changes in the prevailing regulatory environment could adversely affect our competitive position. We are unable to predict what, if any, changes to the regulatory system the Division may implement and, therefore are unable to determine whether the impact would be favorable or unfavorable to us, and the effect, if any, that it would have on competition, nor can we predict when any changes would take effect.

We are primarily a personal automobile insurance carrier, and therefore our business may be affected by conditions in the industry.

      Approximately 82.8% of our direct premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2005 were generated from personal automobile insurance policies. As a result of our focus on that line of business, negative developments in the economic, competitive or regulatory conditions affecting the personal automobile insurance industry could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. Factors that negatively affect cost trends and our profitability include inflation in automobile repair costs, automobile parts costs, used car prices and medical care. Increased litigation of claims may also adversely affect loss costs. In addition, these developments in the personal automobile insurance industry would have a disproportionate effect on us, compared to insurers that are more diversified across multiple business lines.

We write a substantial portion of our business in Massachusetts, and therefore our business may be adversely affected by changing conditions and adverse legislative, regulatory and judicial decisions in Massachusetts.

      Approximately 87.3% of our direct premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2005 were generated in Massachusetts. Therefore, our revenues and profitability are subject to prevailing regulatory, economic, demographic, competitive and other conditions, including weather-related events as described below, and regulatory and judicial decisions in Massachusetts. Changes in any of these conditions or the rendering of an adverse regulatory and judicial decision could make it more costly or difficult for us to conduct our business. In addition, these developments would have a disproportionate effect on us, compared to insurers that do not have such a geographic concentration.

Our financial performance may be materially adversely affected by severe weather conditions or other catastrophic losses.

      We are exposed to the risk of severe weather conditions and other catastrophes. Catastrophes can be caused by natural events, such as hurricanes, coastal storms, severe ice or snow storms, tornadoes, windstorms, earthquakes, hailstorms and fires, and man-made events, such as explosions, terrorist attacks or riots. The incidence and severity of such catastrophes are inherently unpredictable and our losses from catastrophes could be substantial. The occurrence of claims from catastrophic events is likely to result in substantial volatility in our financial condition or results of operations and our ability to write new business. This volatility is compounded by accounting regulations that do not permit reinsurers to reserve for such catastrophic events until they occur.

      The occurrence of severe weather conditions is inherently unpredictable. There is generally an increase in claims frequency and severity under the personal automobile insurance we write when severe weather occurs because of a higher incidence of vehicular accidents and other insured losses tend to occur as a result of severe weather conditions. Except for policies that are covered under the Fair Access to Insurance Requirements Plan in Massachusetts, we do not carry reinsurance for physical damage or comprehensive catastrophic-related losses for our personal or commercial automobile product lines.

      In addition, we have exposure to an increase in claims frequency and severity under the homeowners and other property insurance we write because property damage may result from severe weather conditions. Some catastrophes are restricted to small geographic areas; however, hurricanes, coastal storms, tornadoes, winter storms, windstorms, earthquakes, terrorist attacks and other man-made catastrophes may produce significant damage over large, heavily populated areas.

<PAGE>  24

Although we participate in a quota share reinsurance program to limit our exposure to these types of natural catastrophes, we would have no reinsurance recoveries for a single event catastrophe to the extent that the total loss exceeds $484,000. This calculation is based on the annual estimated amount of premiums subject to 75% quota share reinsurance program effective July 1, 2005. Several limitations are included in this program specific to losses related to nuclear, chemical and biological terrorist events. Our maximum loss recovery in case of these types of events is estimated at $30,000. Although we attempt to manage our exposure to such events, a single catastrophic event could affect multiple geographic zones or the frequency or severity of catastrophic events could exceed our estimates. As a result, the occurrence of one more catastrophic events could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.

 

      We are part of a joint underwriting association that provides excess loss coverage to nuclear power plants and related facilities. Our maximum exposure in the event of a catastrophic loss at an insured nuclear facility is $5,000.

 
 

If we are not able to attract and retain independent agents, our business could be adversely affected.

 

      We market our insurance primarily through independent agents. We must compete with other insurance carriers for the business of these independent agents. Additionally, most agents represent more than one company, which means we face competition within each agency. Some of our competitors offer a larger variety of products, lower prices for insurance coverage or higher compensation. While we believe that the compensation and services we provide to our agents are competitive with other insurers, changes in compensation, services or products offered by our competitors could make it harder for us to attract and retain independent agents to sell our insurance products.

 
 

If our affinity relationship with one or more AAA clubs, especially in Massachusetts, were to be terminated, we would lose a significant avenue for our affinity programs, which would likely lead to a decline in our sales of personal automobile insurance products, that would then adversely affect our business and results of operations.

 

      Since 1995, we have actively pursued affinity group marketing programs, which provide participating groups with a means of purchasing discounted private passenger automobile insurance through associations and employer groups. The AAA affinity program is the largest of these affinity programs. This is especially true in Massachusetts.

 

      In Massachusetts, we are the exclusive underwriter of personal automobile group programs for three AAA clubs. We have a rolling three-year contract with each of these AAA clubs that may be terminated by them upon a minimum of two years' written notice. A significant portion of our Massachusetts premiums written is derived through the AAA affinity program. Direct written premiums written through the AAA affinity program during 2005 totaled $727,200, or 38.8% of total direct written premiums or 44.5% of Massachusetts direct written premiums.

 

      Direct premiums written by American Commerce in the top five states in which American Commerce does business, excluding Arizona, represented $118,500, or 67.7% of American Commerce's direct premiums written and 6.3% of our total direct premiums written in 2005. Furthermore, all of American Commerce's business in each of these states is generated by one or more insurance agencies owned by a single AAA club in that state, with limited exceptions.

 

      We have particularly significant relationships with AAA Southern New England that are important to various aspects of our business. Since 1995 we have maintained an exclusive affinity group marketing relationship with a Massachusetts agency controlled by AAA Southern New England. In 2005, that agency wrote the greatest amount of our Massachusetts personal automobile business, accounting for $108,600, or 5.8% of our total direct premiums written. AAA Southern New England also controls a Rhode Island insurance agency that in 2005 produced $25,200 of direct premiums written for our subsidiary American Commerce, representing 1.3% of our total direct premiums written for that year. In addition, AAA Southern New England owns a 5% equity interest in ACIC Holding, the holding company of American Commerce that is 95% owned by us.

 

      Should one or more of the significant AAA clubs elect to terminate its exclusive agreement, we would lose a significant avenue for offering affinity discounts, and we may not be able to achieve comparable sales through different affinity programs or otherwise. We also expect that we would lose the business written through any insurance agency owned by an AAA club that elects to terminate its exclusive arrangement with us. A termination of relationships with AAA Southern New England agencies could also adversely affect our ability to develop or maintain relationships with other AAA clubs. For these reasons, the termination of our exclusive arrangement with one or more of the AAA clubs may have an adverse effect on our business and results of operations.

 
 

Established competitors with greater resources may make it difficult for us to market our products effectively and offer our products at a profit.

<PAGE>  25

      We compete with various regional and domestic insurers, national agency companies and direct writers. Some of these competitors have financial resources greater than ours. Any of these competitors could undertake actions that could adversely affect our profitability, such as pricing automobile insurance premiums more aggressively or offering greater compensation to independent agencies. Our present soft market augments the risk of these competitive actions.

 
 

We may not be able to preclude other companies from engaging in insurance-related business in Massachusetts using the words "Commerce" and "Insurance" in its name or service marks; and we believe that our business will be harmed if any other company in fact conducts insurance-related business in Massachusetts using the words "Commerce" and "Insurance" in its name or service marks.

   

      Commerce Insurance, which has been writing business in Massachusetts for more than 33 years under the names and marks The Commerce Insurance Company and Commerce Insurance Company, holds Massachusetts state registrations for those marks, but no federal registrations. We have reason to believe that Commerce Bancorp, Inc. a New York Stock Exchange-listed financial services company, and its subsidiary Commerce Insurance Services, Inc. d/b/a Commerce Insurance Brokerage Services, both of Cherry Hill, New Jersey, are now in, or are on the verge of entering, Massachusetts to provide a variety of insurance services under variants of the mark Commerce Insurance. Commerce Bancorp has acquired or is seeking to acquire federal registrations for marks including the words "Commerce" and "Insurance." In August 2003, Commerce Bancorp filed applications in the United States Patent and Trademark Office to register the mark Commerce Insurance Services and the mark Commerce C Insurance Services and related design. Moreover, we understand that Commerce Bancorp acquired by assignment from the original owner of a federal registration for the mark Commerce for use in connection with "insurance agencies featuring home, accident, life, property, casualty and business insurance" that was issued in 1997.

 

      We are opposing Commerce Bancorp in two separate proceedings, one now pending in Federal District Court, and the other before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board of the United States Patent and Trademark Office. On February 22, 2006, our subsidiary Commerce Insurance filed a complaint in the Federal District Court for the District of Massachusetts, seeking preliminary and permanent injunctions and damages against Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services for trade name and service mark infringement and unfair competition under federal statutory law and for trade name and service mark infringement and unfair competition under federal statutory law and for trade name and service mark infringement, unfair competition, and dilution under Massachusetts statutory and common law. The Commerce Insurance complaint alleges, among other things, that the use in Massachusetts by Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services of marks including the words "Commerce" and "Insurance" will create the likelihood of dilution of our Commerce Insurance marks, because our marks (1) are either inherently distinctive or have acquired secondary meaning, and (2) are likely to be confused with the Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services use of their marks. A hearing is scheduled for March 20, 2006 on our motion for a preliminary injunction. In May, 2005, we began opposing both of the applications filed by Commerce Bancorp in a proceeding before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board. We have asked the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board to suspend the proceeding before it, pending resolution of the Federal District Court case. We cannot predict whether we will be successful in opposing Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services either in Federal District Court or before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board.

 

      If our opposition is unsuccessful, we believe that we will continue to be able to use the marks Commerce Insurance, The Commerce Insurance Company and Commerce Insurance Company in Massachusetts, but that our business will be harmed if Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services in fact conduct insurance-related business in Massachusetts using the words "Commerce" and "Insurance".

 
 

We are subject to comprehensive regulation by Massachusetts as well as the other states in which we operate, and our ability to earn profits may be restricted by changes to these regulations.

 

      General Regulation. We are subject to regulation by government agencies in Massachusetts, as well as in the other states in which we operate, and we must obtain prior approval for certain corporate actions. In Massachusetts, for example, we must comply with regulations involving:

 

*

mandatory underwriting, commonly known as take-all comers regulations;

*

transactions between an insurance company and any of its affiliates;

*

the payment of dividends;

*

the acquisition of an insurance company or of any company controlling an insurance company;

*

approval or filing of premium rates and policy forms;

*

approval of the SDIP and rating factors;

*

solvency standards;

*

minimum amounts of capital and surplus that must be maintained;

*

limitations on types and amounts of investments;

*

restrictions on the size of risks that may be insured by a single company;

*

limitations on the right to cancel or choose not to renew policies in some lines;

*

regulation of the right to withdraw from markets or terminate involvement with agencies;

*

requirements to participate in residual markets, such as CAR, or other state-mandated insurance pools;

*

licensing of insurers and agents;

*

deposits of securities for the benefit of policyholders; and

*

reporting with respect to financial condition.

      The other states in which we operate have similar regulations. In addition, insurance department examiners from Massachusetts, California and Ohio perform periodic financial and market conduct examinations of insurance companies. Such regulation is generally intended for the protection of policyholders rather than security holders.

      Massachusetts requires that all licensed property and casualty insurers bear a portion of the losses suffered by some insureds as a result of impaired or insolvent insurance companies. In 2005, 2004 and 2003, we were assessed $128, $6,304 and $8,106, respectively, by the Massachusetts Insurance Insolvency Fund (MIIF) as our portion of these losses. In addition, Massachusetts has established an underwriting association in order to ensure that property insurance is available for owners of high risk property who are not able to obtain insurance from private insurers. The losses of this underwriting association are shared by all insurers that write property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts. We are assessed from time to time to pay those losses. The effect of these assessments could reduce our profitability in any given period and limit our ability to grow our business. Additionally, Commerce West and American Commerce are domiciled in California and Ohio, respectively, and are both covered by similar associations in the states in which they do business. These associations operate similarly to the Massachusetts association described above. In 2005, 2004 and 2003, we were assessed $76, $126 and $190, respectively, by these associations.

<PAGE>  26

      We are unable to predict future changes in the political, economic or regulatory environments in Massachusetts and other states. We cannot assure you that existing insurance-related laws and regulations will not become more restrictive in the future or that new restrictive laws will not be enacted, and we cannot predict the potential effects on us of any such laws and regulations.

 

      Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers Program. We are subject to the extensive regulation of the private passenger automobile insurance industry in Massachusetts, and our ability to earn profits may be restricted by these requirements. Owners of automobiles are required to demonstrate minimum automobile insurance coverage prior to registration. Generally, we are required by law to issue a policy to any applicant who seeks it. On the basis of our market share, we are assigned ERPs. In addition, we are required to participate in the state-mandated reinsurance program run by CAR, to which we may cede risks that we believe are underpriced and from which we are allocated a portion of the program's overall losses. Since its inception, CAR has annually generated underwriting losses, primarily in the personal automobile pool. All companies underwriting automobile insurance in Massachusetts share in the underwriting results of the CAR business for their respective product line or lines. A company's proportionate share of the CAR personal automobile deficit is based on its market share, adjusted by a utilization formula such that, in general, a company's participation ratio is disproportionately and adversely affected if its relative use of CAR reinsurance exceeds that of the industry, and favorably affected if its relative use of CAR reinsurance is less than that of the industry. Participation in the CAR commercial automobile deficit is based on a company's voluntary market share. Finally, for the personal automobile CAR pool, an insurer's participation ratio may be affected by credits received for not reinsuring through CAR automobile risks in selected underpriced classes and territories. An insurer's participation ratio will be favorably affected if its relative use of credits exceeds that of the Massachusetts industry. Credit values are set annually by CAR, and we cannot forecast whether the yearly changes will be beneficial or detrimental to the results of our personal automobile insurance business.

 

      Member companies of CAR have joint and several liabilities for the obligations of CAR. If one member of CAR fails to pay its assessments, each of the remaining members of CAR will be required to pay its pro-rata share of the member who fails to pay its obligations. As a result of the concentration of the Massachusetts market for personal automobile insurance, the assessment could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations if one of the leading companies were to fail. At the present time, we are not aware of any CAR member company who has failed to meet its obligation.

 

      Proposals to change certain of CAR's rules are under consideration. For further discussion, see the CAR Regulatory Reform section of Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.

 
 

If we unexpectedly lose certain key personnel, or are unable to attract and retain talented employees and executives, our ability to conduct business successfully could be hindered.

 

       Our future success depends significantly upon the continued contributions of certain key management personnel. We do not have employment agreements with any of our executive officers, nor do we have key man life insurance policies covering them. The unexpected loss of the services and the institutional knowledge of any one of these officers could adversely affect our business and harm our results of operations and financial condition. Additionally, our ability to continue profitable growth and to remain a competitive force in the marketplace depends, in part, on our ability to hire and retain talented employees. Arthur J. Remillard, Jr., our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, has announced his intention to retire effective July 28, 2006. The Board of Directors has appointed Gerald Fels, our current Executive Vice President, as President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board effective upon Mr. Remillard, Jr.'s retirement. We have employed Mr. Remillard, Jr. and Gerald Fels for approximately 30 years. Randall V. Becker, employed at Commerce since 1986, has been elected to succeed Mr. Fels as Chief Financial Officer, effective February 17, 2006. We have employed our other executive officers for an average of approximately 16 years each.

 
 

New claim, coverage and regulatory issues in the insurance industry may adversely affect us.

 

      As insurance industry practices and regulatory, judicial, and consumer conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to claims, coverage and underwriting may emerge. The issues can have a negative effect on our business by either extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent or by increasing the size of claims. Recent examples of emerging claims, coverage and underwriting issues include:

 
 

*

a growing trend of plaintiffs targeting automobile insurers in purported class action litigation relating to claims-handling practices such as total loss evaluation methodology and cases outside of Massachusetts alleging that insureds are entitled to recover the inherent diminution in the value of their vehicles involved in accidents;

<PAGE>  27

 

*

increases in the number and size of water damage claims, including those related to expenses for testing and remediation of mold conditions;

     
 

*

the use of an applicant's credit rating as a factor in making risk selection and pricing decisions; and

     
 

*

the availability of coverages that pay different commission levels to agents depending upon premium level.

 

These and other unforeseen emerging claim, coverage and underwriting issues could negatively affect our results of operations or our methods of doing business.

 
 

We cannot assure you that our diversification strategy will be effective.

 

      We expect that our primary focus will continue to be our core business in Massachusetts and on enhancing our geographic diversity by increasing the proportion of business that we originate from the other states where we now have a significant presence. In addition, we have sought and may continue to seek to take advantage of opportunities that may arise to expand our core business into other states where we believe the independent agent distribution channel is strong or where American Commerce is able to establish new relationships with AAA clubs. We do not have expansion plans, other than in the states in which we currently write business. As a result of a number of factors, including the difficulties of finding appropriate expansion opportunities and the challenges of operating in an unfamiliar market, we may not be successful in finding opportunities to expand into other states or in taking advantage of opportunities that we may identify. We have not dedicated a specific amount of resources toward any of those diversification strategies for states in which we do not have a presence. There can be no assurance that any of the aforementioned strategies will ultimately be successful.

 
 

Our failure to maintain a commercially acceptable financial strength rating would significantly and negatively affect our ability to implement our business strategy successfully.

 

      An important factor in an insurer's ability to compete effectively is its financial strength rating. A.M. Best generally is considered to be a leading authority on insurance company ratings and information. A.M. Best assigns 15 ratings to insurance companies, which currently range from "A++ Superior" to "F in liquidation." A.M. Best has currently assigned each of our insurance subsidiaries a combined "A+ Superior" rating, which is the second highest rating issued by A.M. Best. According to A.M. Best, an insurer with a Superior rating has, in A.M. Best's opinion, a superior ability to meet its ongoing obligations to policyholders. Each of the insurance subsidiaries has also been assigned a stable outlook by A.M. Best, which indicates a company is experiencing stable financial/market trends, and there is a low likelihood that its rating will change in the near term.

 

      Moody's Investor Services also rates the financial strength of insurance companies, and has assigned an A2 ("Good") rating to Commerce, which is Moody's third highest rating. According to Moody's an insurer with an A2 ("Good") rating offers good financial security, with elements present which suggest a susceptibility to impairment sometime in the future. Moody's assigns nine ratings to insurance companies, which currently range from Aaa to C, with a numerical modifier in each generic rating classification to refer to the ranking in the group, with 1 being the highest and 3 being the lowest. Moody's divides their ratings into "strong" and "weak" companies, with companies in one of the top four rating categories being considered "strong" companies.

 

      Additionally, Standard & Poor's rates the financial strength of insurance companies and assigns eight ratings, which currently range from AAA to CC, and may further modify that rating with a "+" or a "-" to show relative standing within the category. S&P has assigned an "A" rating, its third highest rating, to Commerce and Citation. According to S&P, an insurer with an "A" rating has strong financial security characteristics, but is somewhat more likely to be affected by adverse business conditions than are insurers with higher ratings.

 

      A.M. Best, Moody's and S&P base their ratings on factors that concern policyholders and not upon factors concerning investor protection. Such ratings are subject to change and are not recommendations to buy, sell or hold securities. Any future decrease in the ratings of one of our subsidiaries could adversely affect our competitive position.

 

      In addition, reinsurance companies and financial institutions use A.M. Best and other insurance ratings to help assess the financial strength and quality of insurance companies. A decline in the ratings of our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries may dissuade a reinsurance company or financial institution from conducting business with us or increase our reinsurance or interest costs.

 
 

Our losses and loss adjustment expenses may exceed our reserves, which could adversely affect our results of operations and financial condition.

<PAGE>  28

      The reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses, or LAE, that we have established are estimates of amounts needed to pay reported and unreported claims and related expenses based on facts and circumstances known to us as of the time we establish the reserves. Reserves are based on historical claims information, industry statistics and other factors. The establishment of appropriate reserves is an inherently uncertain process. This uncertainty arises from a number of factors, including the difficulty in predicting the rate of inflation and the rate and direction of changes in trends, interpretation of insurance policy provisions by courts, inconsistent decisions in lawsuits regarding coverage and expanded theories of liability. In addition, changes in claims settlement practices can lead to changes in loss payment patterns, which are used to estimate reserve levels. There can be no assurance that our ultimate liability will not materially exceed our reserves.

 

      Due to the inherent uncertainty of estimating reserves, it has been necessary, and will over time continue to be necessary, to revise estimated future liabilities as reflected in our reserves for claims and policy expenses. If our reserves subsequently are found to be inadequate and therefore must be strengthened, we would be required to treat the amount of such increase as a charge to our earnings in the period that the deficiency is recognized, which would have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.

 

      The historical development of reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses may not necessarily reflect future trends in the development of these amounts. Accordingly, it is not appropriate to extrapolate redundancies or deficiencies based on historical information.

 
 

Market fluctuations and changes in interest rates have had, and may continue to have, significant and negative effects on our investment portfolio.

 

      Our results of operations depend in part on the performance of our invested assets. We had fixed income, preferred stock and preferred stock mutual fund investments with a market value of $2.5 billion at December 31, 2005 that are subject to:

 

*

market value risk, which is the risk that our invested assets will decrease in value, due to a change in the prevailing market yields on our investments, an unfavorable change in the liquidity of an investment or an unfavorable change in the financial prospects or a downgrade in the credit rating of the issuer of an investment or one or more other factors;

*

reinvestment risk, which is the risk that interest rates will decline, an investment will be redeemed and we will not be able to reinvest the proceeds in a comparable investment that provides a yield equal to or greater than the investment which was redeemed; and

*

liquidity risk, which is the risk that we may have to sell assets at an undesirable time and/or price to provide for payment of claims.

 

      In addition, our investment portfolio is subject to risks inherent in the domestic and international capital markets. The functioning of those markets, the value of our investments and our ability to liquidate investments on short notice may be adversely affected if those markets are disrupted by national or international events including, without limitation, wars, terrorist attacks, recessions or depressions, high inflation or a deflationary environment, the collapse of governments or financial markets, and other factors or events.

 

      Our fixed-income investment portfolio includes mortgage-backed and other asset-backed securities. As of December 31, 2005, mortgage-backed securities and other asset-backed securities constituted approximately 17.1% of our cash and invested assets. As with other fixed income investments, the fair value of these securities fluctuates depending on market and other general economic conditions and the interest rate environment. Changes in interest rates can expose us to prepayment risks on these investments. In periods of declining interest rates, mortgage prepayments generally increase and mortgage-backed securities and other asset-backed securities are paid more quickly, requiring us to reinvest the proceeds at the then current market rates.

 

      We seek to maintain a proper amount of diversity and liquidity in our portfolio; however, there can be no assurance that we will be successful in this regard. If our portfolio were to be impaired by market or issuer-specific conditions to a substantial degree, our liquidity, financial position and financial results could be materially adversely affected. Further, our income from these investments could be materially reduced, and write-downs of the value of certain securities could further reduce our profitability. In addition, a decrease in value of our investment portfolio could put our subsidiaries at risk of failing to satisfy regulatory capital requirements. If we were not at that time able to supplement our capital by issuing debt or equity securities on acceptable terms, our ability to continue growing could be adversely affected.

<PAGE>  29

      We continue to monitor the effects of changing interest rates on the value of our fixed income and preferred stock investments. We estimate that a 200 basis point immediate increase in market interest rates would decrease the fair value of those investments at December 31, 2005 by 11.7%, or $283,888.

 
 

Our ownership interests in closed-end preferred stock mutual funds may cause our capital gains (losses) and corresponding net earnings to be more volatile than many other similar companies.

 

      Our net earnings has been significantly affected by our ownership interests in closed-end preferred stock mutual funds that we account for using the equity method of accounting. For our investment in any fund in which we own 20% or more of the fund's share, the equity method of accounting requires us to categorize as a realized investment gain or loss the change in the net asset value of that fund as compared to the end of the immediately preceding fiscal quarter. Those funds primarily invest in preferred stock and, therefore, an increase in interest rates would cause a significant decrease in the respective net asset values of those funds and, as a direct consequence, a significant increase in the net realized investment losses that we would recognize for those investments. As of December 31, 2005, we had investments in two funds, with a carrying value of $96,332, in which we own more than 20% of the funds' shares and therefore account for them under the equity method of accounting.

 
 

We may not be able to successfully alleviate risk through reinsurance arrangements, which could cause us to reduce our premiums written in certain lines or could result in losses.

 

      In order to reduce risk and increase our underwriting capacity, we purchase reinsurance. The availability and the cost of reinsurance protection is subject to market conditions, which are outside of our control. A catastrophe, even if it primarily affects a geographic area outside of our markets, could significantly limit the availability of reinsurance, which would adversely affect our ability to obtain reinsurance. As a result, we may not be able to successfully alleviate risk through these arrangements. In addition, we are subject to credit risk with respect to our reinsurance because the ceding of risk to reinsurers does not relieve us of our liability to our policyholders. A significant reinsurer's insolvency or inability to make payments under the terms of a reinsurance treaty could have a material adverse affect on our results of operations and financial condition.

 
 

Our results may fluctuate due to the highly cyclical nature of the insurance industry.

 

      Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical patterns of soft markets followed by hard markets. Although an individual insurance company's financial performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty insurance companies tends to follow this cyclical market pattern. We cannot predict with certainty how long any soft or hard market will last.

 
 

The failure of a key third party service vendor would adversely affect our ability to timely write Massachusetts automobile policies, which would adversely affect our results of operations.

 

      We use an unrelated third party service vendor, CGI Information Systems & Management Consultants, Inc., to provide rating and policy production data to us for use in underwriting our Massachusetts personal and commercial automobile policies. CGI Information Systems is a wholly-owned subsidiary of CGI Group, Inc., a provider of information technology services with which we have done business since the 1970s. On November 20, 2003, we renewed our service agreement with CGI Information Systems; the term of the agreement now runs until December 31, 2009. CGI Information Systems may terminate the service agreement only in the event of a material breach of the agreement by us or upon our insolvency. The agreement also provides that if CGI Information Systems is no longer able to make the service available, we have the option to license immediately the software used by CGI Information Systems for a fee of $250.

 

      In the event that CGI Information Systems becomes unable to provide us these services and we were to exercise the option to license the software, we would have to transition either to our own mainframe or to leased computer facilities, which we believe could take up to 30 days and possibly longer, depending primarily on availability of computer hardware and information technology personnel. During this period, we would have to process manually renewals and new applications in-house, which would significantly slow our processing time. Due to the variables involved, we are unable to estimate the length of the interruption or the expense we would incur in such a case, but we expect that such a disruption would adversely affect our future customer and agency relations and may materially and adversely affect our results of operations.

<PAGE>  30

      If we were to lose the services of CGI Information Systems and determine that licensing their software was not practicable, we do believe that alternative sources for these services would be available. We are unable to estimate whether the annual cost for these services would be higher or lower than our costs under the current agreement, though we do not believe that the difference for these services would materially affect our results of operations in future period. We expect, however, that a transition to an alternate vendor would take a significant amount of time and expense. Due to the variables involved, we are unable to estimate the length of the interruption or the expense we would incur in such a case, but we expect that such an interruption could adversely affect our customer and agency relations, and may materially and adversely affect our results of operations.

 
 

We rely on our information technology and telecommunication systems, and the failure of these systems could materially and adversely affect our business.

 

      Increasingly, our businesses are dependent on computer and Internet-enabled technology. Although we have and test various disaster recovery plans, a sustained shutdown on one or more of our facilities, or a failure of one or more of our information technology, telecommunications or other business systems, could significantly impair our ability to perform our normal functions on a timely basis. In addition, because our information technology and telecommunications systems interface with and depend on third party systems, we could experience service denials if demand for such service exceeds capacity or third party systems fail or experience interruptions. If sustained or repeated, such a business interruption, systems failure or service denial could result in a deterioration of our ability to write and process new or renewal business, provide customer service, pay claims in a timely manner or perform other necessary corporate functions. This could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and future customer relations.

 

      We maintain insurance on our real property and other physical assets. This insurance will not fully compensate us for losses that may occur due to disruptions in service as a result of a computer, data processing or telecommunications system failure that is unrelated to covered property damage, nor will such insurance necessarily compensate us adequately for all losses resulting from covered events. Although we have an agreement that provides us with off-site disaster recovery back-up systems, we do not have a contingency plan to relocate employees to an alternate location.

 

ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

 

      We do not have any unresolved written comments regarding our periodic or current reports that were received from the staff of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission not less than 180 days before December 31, 2005.

 

ITEM 2. PROPERTIES

 

      We conduct our operations for our property and casualty - Massachusetts segment from approximately 436,000 square feet of space in several buildings that we own in Webster, Massachusetts, which is located approximately 50 miles southwest of Boston. Our data processing and operational departments are housed in modern office buildings. Our property and casualty - Other than Massachusetts segment consists primarily of the operations of Commerce West and American Commerce. Commerce West currently leases approximately 22,000 square feet of office space in Pleasanton, California. American Commerce conducts its operations from approximately 40,000 square feet of space in a building it owns located on a two acre site in Columbus, Ohio. American Commerce also leases property at three district claims offices.

 

ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

 

      As is common with property and casualty insurance companies, we are a defendant in various legal actions arising from the normal course of our business, including claims based on Massachusetts Chapter 176D and Chapter 93A. See "Settlement of Claims." Similar provisions exist in other states where we do business. We consider these proceedings to be ordinary to operations or without foundation in fact. We believe that these actions will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial position.

 

      On January 5, 2005, Commerce filed an action against the Commissioner in Massachusetts Superior Court appealing an order by the Commissioner adopting new rules that, among other things, replace the current loss-pooling residual market entity, CAR, with an assigned risk plan. Commerce contends that the new rules implemented by the Commissioner's order are inconsistent with existing Massachusetts insurance laws. Following a hearing on May 2, 2005, the Superior Court ruled, on June 20, 2005, that the Commissioner did not have the statutory authority to implement an assigned risk plan. The court's ruling annulled the Commissioner's order and vacated the new rules adopted pursuant to the order. The Commissioner appealed the Superior Court's decision to the Massachusetts Appeals Court. Commerce and the Commissioner then both petitioned for direct appellate review by the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court (the SJC). The SJC agreed on October

<PAGE>  31

26, 2005 to hear the appeal directly. The parties have submitted briefs to the SJC, and the SJC is expected to hear oral arguments in April or May, 2006. We cannot predict how the SJC will rule on the appeal, nor can we predict when this matter will be resolved.

 

AAA Arizona

 

      As previously disclosed, in AAA Arizona, Inc. v. American Commerce Insurance Company (United States District Court for the District of Arizona), originally filed on May 16, 2005, AAA Arizona alleges, among other claims, that American Commerce has violated its contract with AAA Arizona by failing to pay approximately $1,700 in profit sharing that AAA Arizona claims to have earned during 2004. AAA Arizona also alleges that American Commerce is interfering with AAA Arizona's relationship with its members. AAA Arizona seeks an order from the court and an award of actual and consequential damages. We cannot estimate, as of the date of this Form 10-K, the amount of consequential damages that may be awarded to AAA Arizona if it is successful. American Commerce intends to vigorously defend this action, unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate.

 

      In the third quarter of 2005, American Commerce filed a counterclaim against AAA Arizona and a complaint against the President and Chief Executive Officer of AAA Arizona, who formerly served as a Director of American Commerce, alleging breach of fiduciary duties, civil conspiracy, breach of duty of good faith and fair dealing, and other claims relating to the business relationship between AAA Arizona and a competitor of American Commerce. We cannot predict how the court will rule on this counterclaim nor can we predict when this matter will be resolved.

 

Commerce Bancorp

 

      Commerce Insurance, which has been writing business in Massachusetts for more than 33 years under the names and marks The Commerce Insurance Company and Commerce Insurance Company, holds Massachusetts state registrations for those marks, but no federal registrations. We have reason to believe that Commerce Bancorp, Inc., a New York Stock Exchange-listed financial services company, and its subsidiary Commerce Insurance Services, Inc. d/b/a Commerce Insurance Brokerage Services, both of Cherry Hill, New Jersey, are now in, or are on the verge of entering, Massachusetts to provide a variety of insurance services under variants of the mark Commerce Insurance. Commerce Bancorp has acquired or is seeking to acquire federal registrations for marks including the words "Commerce" and "Insurance." In August 2003, Commerce Bancorp filed applications in the United States Patent and Trademark Office to register the mark Commerce Insurance Services and the mark Commerce C Insurance Services and related design. Moreover, we understand that Commerce Bancorp acquired by assignment from the original owner of a federal registration for the mark Commerce for use in connection with "insurance agencies featuring home, accident, life, property, casualty and business insurance" that was issued in 1997.

 

      We are opposing Commerce Bancorp in two separate proceedings, one now pending in Federal District Court, and the other before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board of the United States Patent and Trademark Office. On February 22, 2006, our subsidiary Commerce Insurance filed a complaint in the Federal District Court for the District of Massachusetts, seeking preliminary and permanent injunctions and damages against Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services for trade name and service mark infringement and unfair competition under federal statutory law and for trade name and service mark infringement and unfair competition under federal statutory law and for trade name and service mark infringement, unfair competition, and dilution under Massachusetts statutory and common law. The Commerce Insurance complaint alleges, among other things, that the use in Massachusetts by Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services of marks including the words "Commerce" and "Insurance" will create the likelihood of dilution of our Commerce Insurance marks, because our marks (1) are either inherently distinctive or have acquired secondary meaning, and (2) are likely to be confused with the Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services use of their marks. A hearing is scheduled for March 20, 2006 on our motion for a preliminary injunction. In May 2005, we began opposing both of the applications filed by Commerce Bancorp in a proceeding before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board. We have asked the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board to suspend the proceeding before it, pending resolution of the Federal District Court case. We cannot predict whether we will be successful in opposing Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services either in Federal District Court or before the Trademark Trial and Appeal Board.

 

      If our opposition is unsuccessful, we believe that we will continue to be able to use the marks Commerce Insurance, The Commerce Insurance Company and Commerce Insurance Company in Massachusetts, but that our business will be harmed if Commerce Bancorp and Commerce Insurance Services in fact conduct insurance-related business in Massachusetts using the words "Commerce" and "Insurance".

 

ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS

 

      There were no matters submitted to a vote of security holders during the fourth quarter of 2005.

<PAGE>  32

PART II

 

ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

 

      Our common stock trades on the NYSE under the symbol "CGI." The high, low and close prices for shares, as quoted on Bloomberg.com, of our common stock for 2005 and 2004 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


 


   

High

 

Low

 

Close

 

High

 

Low

 

Close

   


 


                         

First Quarter

 

$70.00

 

$57.75

 

$61.98

 

$48.54

 

$39.27

 

$48.00

Second Quarter

 

64.34

 

57.50

 

62.11

 

49.95

 

42.98

 

49.37

Third Quarter

 

64.23

 

53.25

 

58.02

 

50.94

 

46.84

 

48.40

Fourth Quarter

 

59.52

 

53.63

 

57.28

 

62.68

 

46.98

 

61.04

                         

      As of February 28, 2006, there were approximately 900 stockholders of record of our common stock. This number does not include beneficial owners whose shares are held in "street name" or held in accounts for approximately 2,400 participants of our Employee Stock Ownership Plan.

 

      Our Board of Directors voted to declare four quarterly dividends to stockholders of record totaling $1.47 per share and $1.31 per share in 2005 and 2004, respectively. On May 20, 2005, the Board voted to increase the quarterly stockholder dividend from $0.33 to $0.38 per share to stockholders of record as of May 31, 2005. Prior to that declaration, we had paid quarterly dividends of $0.33 per share dating back to May 21, 2004 when the Board voted to increase the dividend from $0.32 to $0.33 per share. On February 17, 2006, the Board approved an increase in the quarterly dividend from $0.38 per share to $0.45 per share to stockholders of record as of February 27, 2006. We have paid dividends on our common stock each year since 1994, but there can be no assurance that we will continue to pay dividends in the future or, if dividends are paid, that they will be in amounts similar to dividends that we have paid in recent periods.

 

      In November 2001, the Board of Directors authorized a stock buy-back program to purchase 2,000,000 shares of our common stock of which 1,141,700 shares have been purchased. During the period from January 1, 2005 through December 31, 2005, we did not purchase any of our common stock under this authorization.

 

      At times, we acquire shares of our common stock through transactions which involved the exercise of stock options by our officers. Instead of paying us cash to exercise their stock options, some officers tendered their previously owned shares of common stock in our Company, in accordance with the stock option agreement. The average price paid per share is calculated in accordance with the stock option agreement, and represents the five-day average of our common stock's daily high and low trading prices prior to exercise. The maximum number of shares that may yet be purchased under publicly announced plans are not affected by these transactions as our Board of Directors determined that such transactions do not apply to its stock buy-back authorization. A summary of all treasury stock transactions for the fourth quarter of 2005 follows:

 

2005
Period

Total
Number
of Shares

Average
Price Paid
Per Share

Total Number of Shares
Purchased as Part of
Publicly Announced Plan

Maximum Number of
Shares that May Yet be
Purchased Under the Plan


 

October

--

--

--

858,300

November

--

--

--

858,300

December

--

--

--

858,300

         

      A portion of our cash flow consists of dividends received from Commerce Holdings, Inc. (CHI), which receives dividends from Commerce and Citation. The payment of any cash dividends to holders of common stock by us therefore depends on the receipt of dividend payments from CHI. To the extent Commerce and Citation are restricted from paying dividends, CHI will be limited in its ability to pay dividends to us. The payment of dividends by Commerce and Citation is subject to limitations imposed by Massachusetts law, as discussed in Item 1 of this report under "Regulation."

 

      We will provide, upon written request and without charge, a copy of this Form 10-K. Requests must be directed to:

 
 

Name:

Randall V. Becker

 

Title:

Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

 

Address:

211 Main Street

   

Webster, MA 01570

<PAGE>  33

ITEM 6. SELECTED CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL DATA

 

      The data below should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements, related footnotes, and other financial information included herein. All dollar amounts in the following tables are in thousands, except per share data.

 
   

2005

   

2004

   

2003

   

2002

   

2001

 


                             

Statement of Earnings Data:

                           

    Net premiums written

$

1,736,191 

 

$

1,712,543 

 

$

1,555,499 

 

$

1,313,014 

 

$

1,078,967 

    Increase in unearned premiums

 

(26,267)

   

(73,710)

   

(109,871)

   

(102,974)

   

(35,315)

 


    Earned premiums

 

1,709,924 

   

1,638,833 

   

1,445,628 

   

1,210,040 

   

1,043,652 

    Net investment income

 

123,211 

   

115,711 

   

92,183 

   

98,466 

   

99,563 

    Premium finance and service fees

 

28,298 

   

28,281 

   

26,908 

   

21,498 

   

17,819 

    Amortization of excess of book value of

                           

      subsidiary interest over cost

 

   

-

   

   

   

3,389 

    Net realized investment gains (losses)

 

22,907 

   

23,628 

   

76,103 

   

(82,385)

   

(10,633)

    Other income

 

41 

   

118 

   

   

9,500 

   

 


        Total revenues

 

1,884,381 

   

1,806,571 

   

1,640,822 

   

1,257,119 

   

1,153,790 

 


    Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

1,050,186 

   

1,044,840 

   

1,070,147 

   

909,769 

   

781,631 

    Policy acquisition costs

 

463,297 

   

439,232 

   

350,250 

   

295,324 

   

264,377 

    Interest expense and amortization of bond fees

 

18,293 

   

18,313 

   

1,120 

   

   

 


        Total expenses

 

1,531,776 

   

1,502,385 

   

1,421,517 

   

1,205,093 

   

1,046,008 

 


    Earnings before income taxes, minority interest

                           

      and change in accounting principle

 

352,605 

   

304,186 

   

219,305 

   

52,026 

   

107,782 

    Income taxes

 

107,768 

   

89,003 

   

58,068 

   

17,063 

   

18,392 

 


    Earnings before minority interest and

                           

      change in accounting principle

 

244,837 

   

215,183 

   

161,237 

   

34,963 

   

89,390 

    Minority interest in net (earnings) loss of subsidiary

 

(925)

   

(752)

   

(294)

   

555 

   

863 

 


    Earnings before change in accounting principle

 

243,912 

   

214,431 

   

160,943 

   

35,518 

   

90,253 

    Change in accounting principle, net of taxes

 

   

   

-

   

11,237 

   

 


        Net earnings

$

243,912 

 

$

214,431 

 

$

160,943 

 

$

46,755 

 

$

90,253 

 


        Comprehensive income

$

220,699 

 

$

201,751 

 

$

164,762 

 

$

59,625 

 

$

90,814 

 


Basic earnings per share:

                           

    Before change in accounting principle

$

7.26 

 

$

6.54 

 

$

5.03 

 

$

1.09 

 

$

2.69 

    Change in accounting principle

 

-

   

   

   

0.34 

   

 


    Net earnings

$

7.26 

 

$

6.54 

 

$

5.03 

 

$

1.43 

 

$

2.69 

 


Diluted earnings per share:

                           

    Before change in accounting principle

$

7.21 

 

$

6.51 

 

$

4.99 

 

$

1.08 

 

$

2.67 

    Change in accounting principle

 

   

-

   

   

0.34 

   

 


    Net earnings

$

7.21 

 

$

6.51 

 

$

4.99 

 

$

1.42 

 

$

2.67 

 


    Cash dividends paid per share

$

1.47 

 

$

1.31 

 

$

1.27 

 

$

1.23 

 

$

1.19 

 


                             
   

2005

   

2004

   

2003

   

2002

   

2001

 


                             

Balance Sheet Data:

                           

    Total investments

$

2,765,329 

 

$

2,527,733 

 

$

2,211,099 

 

$

1,613,439 

 

$

1,530,713 

    Premiums receivable

 

475,112 

   

459,775 

   

408,894 

   

297,610 

   

246,221 

    Total assets

 

3,927,010 

   

3,612,243 

   

3,211,286 

   

2,419,073 

   

2,187,143 

    Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

989,196 

   

990,260 

   

957,353 

   

815,626 

   

695,192 

    Unearned premiums

 

933,160 

   

902,566 

   

810,462 

   

687,148 

   

563,456 

    Bonds payable

 

298,388 

   

298,186 

   

297,984 

   

   

    Stockholders' equity

 

1,305,069 

   

1,116,156 

   

912,211 

   

790,052 

   

809,433 

    Stockholders' equity per share

 

38.78 

   

33.50 

   

28.45 

   

24.60 

   

24.43 

<PAGE>  34

ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

 

      The purpose of the following discussion and analysis is to provide you with information that will assist you in understanding our financial condition and results of operations as reported in our consolidated financial statements. Therefore, the following should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements in this Form 10-K.

 

Business Overview

 

      We provide personal and commercial property and casualty insurance primarily in Massachusetts and in other states. Our core product lines are personal automobile, homeowners, and commercial automobile. We market our products exclusively through our network of independent agents in all states, except California, where we use agents and brokers. Our primary business strategy is to focus on the personal automobile insurance market in Massachusetts and to grow and diversify by increasing the proportion of our business written in other states in which we currently have a significant presence, primarily from Commerce West and American Commerce.

 

      We manage our business in four reportable segments: property and casualty insurance - Massachusetts; property and casualty insurance - other than Massachusetts; real estate and commercial lending; and, corporate and other.

 

      Our ability to capitalize on our business strengths and implement our strategies is subject to particular risks. For a discussion of these risks, see Item 1A, Risk Factors, contained elsewhere in this Form 10-K.

 

Massachusetts Regulatory Environment and Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers (CAR)

 

Overview

 

      The Massachusetts regulatory environment for personal automobile insurance is characterized by the following key principles:

 

*

requiring personal automobile insurers to issue a policy to any eligible applicant who seeks one, known as the "take all comers" law,

*

fixing maximum personal automobile rates, which has the effect of keeping premiums artificially low on specific high risk segments of the market, such as urban and youthful drivers, effectively imposing higher premiums on lower risk segments,

*

assigning certain agents that have not been able to obtain a voluntary contract with another insurer, known as Exclusive Representative Producers, or ERPs, to servicing carriers on the basis of market share,

*

apportioning losses incurred by the state-mandated residual market run by Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers, known as CAR,

*

mandating that higher compulsory and optional coverages be offered to all eligible drivers, and

*

establishes minimum agency commissions.

 

      A significant aspect of our automobile insurance business relates to our interaction with CAR, which enables us and the other participating servicing carriers to reinsure any automobile risk which is perceived to be under-priced. Since its inception, CAR has annually generated significant underwriting losses, primarily in the personal automobile pool. All companies writing automobile insurance in Massachusetts share in the underwriting results of CAR business for their respective product line or lines.

 

      Member companies of CAR have joint and several liabilities for the obligations of CAR. If one member of CAR fails to pay its assessments, the remaining members will be required to pay the pro-rata share of the member who fails to pay its obligations. As of December 31, 2005, we were not aware of any current CAR member company which has failed to meet its obligations.

<PAGE>  35

CAR Regulatory Reform

 

      There have been three related initiatives in recent periods to change significantly the manner in which the Massachusetts regulation of personal automobile insurance addresses risks which the industry perceives to be under-priced in the current regulatory environment. In December 2004, the Massachusetts Insurance Commissioner adopted new regulations that, among other things, would have replaced the CAR loss-pooling residual market structure with an assigned risk plan. We appealed the Commissioner's order in January 2005, contending that the new regulations are inconsistent with existing Massachusetts insurance laws. The Superior Court ruled in June 2005 that the Commissioner did not have the statutory authority to implement an assigned risk plan. The court's ruling annulled the Commissioner's order and vacated the new regulations adopted pursuant to the order. The Commissioner appealed the Superior Court's decision to the Massachusetts Appeals Court. We and the Commissioner both petitioned for direct appellate review by the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court (the SJC). The SJC agreed on October 26, 2005 to hear the appeal directly. The parties have submitted briefs to the SJC and the SJC is expected to hear oral arguments in April or May, 2006. We cannot predict how the SJC will rule on the appeal, nor can we predict when this matter will be resolved. However, we believe that even if the Commissioner's appeal is upheld by the SJC, it is unlikely that the new regulations in the Commissioner's order will be implemented retroactive to January 1, 2005 in light of the recent ERP redistribution discussed below. In our 2004 Form 10-K, we provided an estimate of the impact of the December 31, 2004 Commissioner's order. However, based on the uncertainty of the resolution of the court case and the impact of the redistribution, the prior estimate is no longer valid and we are unable to provide a new estimate of the impact of the Commissioner's order.

 

      In addition to the Commissioner's order under appeal, the Massachusetts Governor has introduced legislation intended to reform CAR. Among other things, this proposed legislation would give the Commissioner the authority to create an assigned risk plan and allow for the gradual phase-in of competitively set personal automobile rates. We cannot determine at this time whether the Governor's reform proposal will be acted on by the Legislature or, if passed, how it may affect our financial condition and results of operations.

 

      On September 30, 2005, the Commissioner directed that CAR implement a plan to redistribute personal automobile ERPs in an attempt to establish, for all Servicing Carriers, overall parity in the quantity and quality of ERP exposures. The redistribution plan sought to achieve parity in average loss ratio by giving each Servicing Carrier a proportionate mix of the ERPs with high and low loss ratios commensurate with the Servicing Carrier's voluntary Massachusetts business. The final plan called for about 133 ERPs statewide, who are writing business only with CAR, to be redistributed among different carriers. The redistribution plan for ERPs, as adopted by the CAR Governing Committee on November 16 and December 14, 2005, was approved by the Commissioner on January 27, 2006. The plan is effective March 1, 2006 for all new business and May 1, 2006 for all renewal business with all market activity through the close of business January 26, 2006 being reflected in the redistribution. The redistribution plan called for 58 ERPs to be re-assigned from us to other carriers. These ERPs collectively had 61,674 written exposures, with loss ratios lower than the three-year average loss ratio for all ERPs statewide. Of these 58 ERPs, we offered 51 voluntary contracts, and 49 of the ERPs accepted the offer. These 49 ERPs, who are now our voluntary agents, have 52,796 written exposures. Also resulting from the redistribution plan, 27 new ERPs with loss ratios greater than the three-year average loss ratio for all ERPs, whose written exposures totaled 56,888, were re-assigned from other carriers to us.

 

      While we believe it is premature to estimate the impact of the redistribution plan on our future financial results, we have estimated the pro-forma impact of the distribution plan on our 2005 results utilizing currently available information as if the redistribution plan became effective on January 1, 2005. Based on our analysis of the impact of the redistribution, we estimate that Commerce would have incurred additional pre-tax expense ranging between $7,600 and $10,300, depending upon the level of exposures that would be ceded to CAR. These amounts are significantly affected by the loss ratios of the ERPs assigned to us and the size of the CAR deficit, which CAR currently estimates at $155,000 for CAR policy year 2005, and we do not include the financial impact of future assignment of additional ERPs that we may have received due to providing voluntary contracts to certain low loss ratio ERPs as noted above. Lastly, offsetting the estimated increased pre-tax expense, we expect that our agent profit sharing expenses would have declined between $2,800 and $3,800, resulting in a net estimated pro-forma impact of between $4,800 and $6,500 additional pre-tax expense for the redistribution plan.

 

Our Revenues and Expenses

 

      Our revenue principally reflects:

 
 

*

earned premiums, consisting of:

 

-

premiums that we receive from sales by our agents of property and casualty insurance policies, primarily personal automobile, homeowners and commercial automobile, which we refer to as direct premiums written, plus

-

premiums we receive from insurance policies that we assume, primarily from CAR, which we refer to as assumed premiums, less

<PAGE>  36

-

the portion of our premiums that is ceded to CAR and other reinsurers, which we refer to as ceded premiums, less

-

the change in the portion of premiums that will not be recognized as income for accounting purposes until a future period, which we refer to as unearned premiums;

*

investment income that we earn on our invested assets;

*

premium finance charges and service fee income that we earn in connection with the billing and deferral of premium payments; and

*

realized investment gains and losses.

      Our expenses principally reflect:

*

incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses (which we sometimes refer to as LAE), including estimates for losses incurred during the period but not yet reported to us and changes in estimates from prior periods related to direct and assumed business, less the portion of those incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses that are ceded to other insurers; and

*

policy acquisition costs, including agent compensation and general and administrative costs, such as salaries and benefits, and advertising that are not deferred for accounting purposes to a future period.

Our Critical Accounting Policies

      The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates. We consider the following accounting policies, which are especially dependent upon our judgments and estimates, to be critical to the preparation of our financial statements.

      Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. The liability for loss and loss adjustment expenses represents our best estimate of the ultimate net cost of all loss and loss adjustment expenses incurred after reinsurance and amounts estimated to be recoverable through salvage and subrogation. The estimate for the ultimate net cost of all losses incurred through the balance sheet date includes the adjusted case estimates for losses, incurred but not reported (IBNR) losses, salvage and subrogation recoverable and a reserve for LAE. In arriving at our best estimate, we begin with the aggregate of individual case reserves and then make adjustments to these amounts on a line of business basis. These adjustments to the aggregate case reserves by line of business are made based on analyses performed by us. The entire liability for unpaid losses and LAE is also separately reviewed quarterly and annually by our actuarial department. Liability estimates are continually analyzed and updated, and therefore, the ultimate liability may be more or less than the current estimate. The effects of changes in the estimates are included in the results of operations in the period in which the estimates are revised.

      The claim cycle begins when a claim is reported to us and claims personnel establish a "case reserve" for the estimated amount of our exposure without regard to injury causality, third party liability or potential recoveries. The amount of the reserve is primarily based upon an evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding the claim and the policy provisions relating to the loss. This estimate reflects the informed judgment of such personnel based on the experience and knowledge of the claims personnel adjusting the claim. During the loss adjustment period, these case basis estimates are revised as deemed necessary by our claims department personnel based on subsequent developments and periodic reviews of the claim.

      In accordance with industry practice, we also maintain reserves for estimated IBNR, salvage and subrogation recoverable and LAE. These reserves are determined based on historical information and our experience. Adjustments to these reserves are made periodically to take into account changes in the volume of policies written, claims frequency, severity and payment patterns, the mix of business, claims processing and other items that can be expected to affect our liability for losses and LAE over time.

      When reviewing the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, we analyze historical data and estimate the impact of various factors such as:

*

payment trends;

<PAGE>  37

*

loss expense per exposure;

*

our historical loss experience and that of the industry;

*

frequency and severity trends; and

*

legislative enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in the imposition of damages, and changes and trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation and recession.

      This process assumes that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future events. There is no precise method, however, for subsequently evaluating the impact of any specific factor on the adequacy of reserves, because the eventual development of reserves is affected by many factors, as noted above.

      We determine our net liability estimate for losses and LAE by using individual estimates of reported claims adjusted for our best estimate by line of business and a review of these results by our actuarial area using generally accepted actuarial reserving techniques. After taking into account all relevant factors, we believe that, based on existing information, the provision for losses and LAE at December 31, 2005 is adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of losses and claims incurred as of that date. The ultimate liability, however, may be greater or lower than established reserves. If the ultimate payment is greater than or less than our estimated liability for losses and LAE, we will incur additional expense or income, as appropriate, which may have a material impact on our results of operations.

      Our financial management personnel calculate our estimate independently from those amounts calculated by our actuaries, and therefore, the final results are usually different. We estimate our amounts primarily by reviewing historical loss and LAE data, focusing mainly on payment data. We also review and compare the most recent loss frequency, severity, and payment data to historical trends in an attempt to determine if patterns are remaining consistent or not. We attempt to establish our reserve estimate as close as possible to the amount required for the ultimate future payments necessary to settle all losses. Our aggregate actuarial estimate for the loss and LAE reserves, on a consolidated basis and net of reinsurance recoverable, ranges from a low of $764,600 to a high of $877,900, as of December 31, 2005. Our financial statement loss and LAE reserves net of reinsurance, based on our best estimate, were established at $834,699 for that date.

      Investments and Other-than-Temporary Impairments. The carrying values of investments in fixed maturities, which include taxable and non-taxable bonds, and investments in common and preferred stocks, are derived from market prices supplied by our investment custodian or, when no price is provided by the custodian, from a third party valuation. Fair market value of fixed maturities and equity securities is based on quoted market prices. Unrealized investment gains and losses on common and preferred stocks and fixed maturities, to the extent that there is no other-than-temporary impairment of value, are credited or charged, net of any tax effect, to a separate component of stockholders' equity, known as "net accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)," until realized.

      We review all security holdings on a quarterly basis for potential other-than-temporary impairments due to declines in market value in accordance with GAAP. In general, unrealized losses resulting from an increase in interest rates will not necessarily lead to an other-than-temporary write-down. As part of this process, we consider any significant market declines in the context of the overall market and also in relation to the outlook for the specific issuer of the security and the issuer's industry. Each quarter, we review all securities whose market values have declined below book price. From a quantitative standpoint, we review all securities that have declined more than 20% below book price and have remained so for two consecutive quarters as potentially in need of a write-down. Any other security that we view as impaired for a significant period of time is also a candidate for a write-down, even if the percentage decline is less than 20%. In addition, we perform the following quarterly impairment review of our portfolio:

*

We review all holdings with an unrealized loss of over $250, or a fair market value that is more than 20% below cost.

*

We review all holdings with unrealized losses over $100, or a fair market value that is more than 10% below cost, for securities at a continuous loss position period of 12 to 36 months.

*

We review all securities that have been at a continuous loss position for 36 months or more.

<PAGE>  38

*

We review both issue specific data and general market data for all perpetual preferred stocks that have been at a continuous loss position for over 12 months.

*

Generally, we consider all AAA/AA rated U.S. Government securities with market values less than cost as temporarily impaired due to our intent and ability to hold these securities to recovery.

*

We consider market activity between our quarter-end date and earnings release date in our evaluation.

      If a security is deemed other-than-temporarily impaired, we adjust the security's cost basis to market value through realized loss based on publicly available prices or, in the absence of such information, on a price supplied by a broker. There is a risk that we may assess an other-than-temporary decline in market value as being temporary and, consequently, not charge the impairment to our earnings, which could have a significant impact on our future earnings and financial position.

      For our investment in any closed-end preferred stock mutual fund in which we own 20% or more of the fund's shares, the equity method of accounting requires us to categorize as a realized investment gain or loss the change in the net asset value of that fund from the beginning of the current fiscal year. Our investment in these funds has had a material effect on our realized gains and losses in recent years and may have caused our net earnings to be more volatile than those of similar companies. During 2004, we decreased our ownership below 20% in all but one closed-end preferred stock mutual fund. During 2005, one additional mutual fund exceeded the 20% threshold. At December 31, 2005, we had two closed-end preferred stock mutual funds in which we owned more than 20%.

Massachusetts Personal Automobile Insurance

      Overview. We have been the largest writer of personal property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts in terms of market share of direct premiums written since 1990. Our estimated share of the Massachusetts personal automobile market increased to 29.9% for the year ended December 31, 2005, significantly exceeding our two nearest competitors, Safety Insurance Group, Inc. and Arbella Insurance Group, who maintained an estimated 11.3% and 9.1% market shares, respectively.

      In Massachusetts, private passenger automobile insurance is subject to extensive regulation. Owners of automobiles are generally required to demonstrate certain minimum automobile insurance coverages as a prerequisite to registering any automobile. With very limited exceptions, private passenger automobile insurers are required by law to issue a policy to any applicant seeking to obtain such coverages, commonly known as the "take all comers" law. Marketing and underwriting strategies for companies operating in Massachusetts are limited by maximum premium rates and minimum agency commission levels for personal automobile insurance, both of which are mandated by the Commissioner.

      Changes in Premium Rates. For the two-year period of 2003 and 2004, average mandated Massachusetts personal automobile insurance premium rates increased an average of 2.6% per year. However, the Commissioner approved average decreases of 8.7% for 2006 and 1.7% for 2005. Coinciding with the 2006 and 2005 rate decisions, the Commissioner also approved a 1.5% and 4.8% increase, respectively, in the commission agents receive for selling private passenger automobile insurance. The following table shows the state-mandated average rate change, the actual average revenue change per exposure and our average revenue change per exposure as estimated for 2006 and for the three previous years in Massachusetts.

Year

State Mandated
Average
Rate Change (2)

Actual State Average
Revenue Change
Per Exposure (2)

Commerce
Average Revenue
Change Per Exposure


       

2006(1)

(8.7)%

(5.5)%

(5.8)%

2005

(1.7)%

1.5 %

0.4 %

2004

2.5 %

7.0 %

5.8 %

2003

2.7 %

8.1 %

7.9 %

       

___________________

(1)

Estimated for actual state and Commerce average revenue change per exposure.

(2)

Based on Massachusetts Division of Insurance filings.

<PAGE>  39

      Although mandated average personal automobile premium rates decreased 1.7% in 2005, our average revenue per exposure increased 0.4%. We believe that the relative increase for 2005 as compared to the Commissioner's state mandated average rate resulted primarily from:

 

*

the fact that our mix of personal automobile coverage differs from that of the industry; and

*

changes to our distribution of risks by class, territory and coverage, including changes resulting from the purchase of new, more expensive automobiles, which were not factored into the Commissioner's rate increase.

 

The actual state average revenue change per exposure represents the change in the average premium paid by drivers in Massachusetts, as opposed to the state mandated average rate change. As can be seen above, our 2006 average revenue change per exposure corresponds more closely to the actual state average revenue change. The primary reason for this is that both take into account newer vehicles, as compared to the state mandated average rate change, which does not.

 

      The Commissioner approved an 8.7% decrease in state mandated average personal automobile insurance premium rate for 2006. Management estimates that this will translate into a 5.8% decline in the average revenue per exposure for the upcoming year. We estimate the 2006 net pre-tax impact of the 5.8% decrease in our 2006 average revenue per exposure, partially offset by the remaining effects of the 2005 0.4% increase in average revenue per exposure, to be approximately $27,000. The majority of the impact will occur during the last two quarters of 2006 as premiums for policies with 2006 effective dates become earned.

 

      Affinity Group Marketing. Since 1995, we have been a leader in affinity group marketing in Massachusetts, through agreements with the three American Automobile Association Clubs operating in Massachusetts, offering discounts on private passenger automobile insurance to the clubs' members who reside in the state. A 5% discount was approved by the Commissioner for policies effective January 1, 2006. This same discount existed in 2005. Based on information provided to us by the AAA clubs operating in Massachusetts, we believe that membership in these clubs represents approximately one-third of the Massachusetts motoring public. The following table presents total direct premiums written attributable to the AAA clubs' group business in Massachusetts for the years ended December 31:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


             

Total AAA-Massachusetts direct premiums written

 

$727,200   

 

$725,600   

 

$691,700   

Percentage of total direct premiums written

 

38.8%

 

39.5%

 

41.7%

Percentage of Massachusetts direct personal automobile premiums written

 

53.2%

 

54.7%

 

58.0%

Total AAA-Massachusetts exposures

 

647,000   

 

645,000   

 

649,000   

Percentage of Massachusetts exposures

 

53.9%

 

55.0%

 

58.1%

             

      The decreasing percentages since 2003 are attributed to a higher rate of increase in non-affinity group business. Of the total Massachusetts automobile exposures written through the AAA affinity group program by us in 2005, approximately 14.8% were written through insurance agencies owned by the AAA clubs (8.0% of our total Massachusetts automobile exposures). The remaining 85.2% of the AAA group program was written through our network of independent agents.

 

Our Performance Measures

 

      We evaluate our operations by monitoring key measures of growth and profitability. We measure our growth by examining our direct premiums written as well as increases in exposures and policies. We generally measure our operating results in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP) by examining our net earnings, return on equity (ROE), and our loss and LAE, underwriting expense and combined ratios on a consolidated basis. Our key measures include:

 

*

Return on Equity. Return on equity is net earnings divided by stockholders' equity at the beginning of the period.

*

Direct Premiums Written. Direct premiums written is the sum of the total policy premiums, net of cancellations, associated with policies underwritten and issued by our insurance subsidiaries. We use direct premiums written, which includes premiums that we cede to CAR and other reinsurers, as a measure of the underlying growth of our insurance business from period to period.

<PAGE>  40

*

Direct Earned Premiums. Direct earned premiums are the portion of direct premiums written over the preceding twelve-month period equal to the expired portion of policies and recognized as income during an accounting period.

*

Net Investment Income. Net investment income represents earnings on our investment portfolio less expenses. We rely on after-tax investment income as a significant source of net earnings since we generally achieve a combined ratio (see below) of slightly less than 100%.

*

Loss and LAE Ratio. The loss and LAE ratio is the percentage of losses and loss adjustment expenses (including corporate expenses) incurred to earned premiums. We calculate this ratio net of our reinsurance recoveries. We use this ratio as a measure of the overall underwriting profitability of the insurance business we write and to assess the adequacy of our pricing.

*

Underwriting Expense Ratio. The underwriting expense ratio is the percentage of underwriting expenses (including corporate expenses) incurred to net premiums written. Underwriting expenses are the aggregate of policy acquisition costs, including commissions, and the portion of administrative, general and other expenses attributable to underwriting operations. In addition, underwriting expenses are grossed-up for any change in deferred acquisition costs.

*

Combined Ratio. The combined ratio is the sum of the loss and LAE ratio and the underwriting expense ratio and measures a company's overall underwriting profit. If the combined ratio is at or above 100%, an insurance company cannot be profitable without investment income, and may not be profitable if investment income is insufficient. We use the combined ratio in evaluating our overall underwriting profitability and for comparing our profitability to that of our competitors.

Results of Operations

      Our key operating measures for the years ended December 31 follow (dollars in millions, except earnings per share):

     

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 
   


 
                 
 

Diluted earnings per share

 

$     7.21   

 

$     6.51   

 

$     4.99   

 
 

Return on equity

 

21.9%

 

23.5%

 

20.4%

 
 

Direct premiums written

 

$1,874.2   

 

$1,838.2   

 

$1,659.0   

 
 

Direct earned premiums

 

1,849.8   

 

1,753.3   

 

1,544.1   

 
 

Net investment income

 

123.2   

 

115.7   

 

92.2   

 
 

Underwriting expense ratio

 

27.3%

 

26.2%

 

23.5%

 
 

Loss and LAE ratio

 

61.4%

 

63.8%

 

74.0%

 
 

Combined ratio

 

88.7%

 

90.0%

 

97.5%

 
                 

Year Ended 2005 Compared to Year Ended 2004

 

      The significant increase in earnings in 2005 over 2004 was primarily due to the decrease in our loss ratio. We attribute the improvement in our loss ratio to several factors:

 

*

improved current year results and continued favorable prior years' loss development from CAR,

*

an increase in average earned premium revenue per automobile (see discussion regarding premium results), and

*

a decrease in the current year personal and commercial automobile bodily injury claim frequency.

 

These items were partially offset by reduced favorable voluntary loss reserve development compared to 2004.

 

      The effect of our improved loss ratio on 2005 earnings was partially offset by the increase in our underwriting ratio. This increase was driven by a significant increase in our agents' profit sharing expense in 2005 and slightly higher 2005 policy year mandated Massachusetts personal automobile commission rates, both partially offset by a decrease in our assessment from the Massachusetts Insurance Insolvency Fund. The increase in agents' profit sharing expense is the result of improved underwriting results in 2005 versus 2004.

<PAGE>  41

      The market price for our common stock and our financial results directly affects our expense related to stock options, book value awards (BVAs) and incentive awards (IAs), respectively. Our stock option expense primarily represents options granted to both employees and American Commerce agents. The majority of this expense is related to options granted to American Commerce agents. See Note I of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information. An increase in the market value of our stock will increase the expense we recognize for options subject to variable accounting. Similarly, an increase in our net income will increase the value of, and therefore the expense we recognize for, outstanding BVAs and IAs. We record these expenses in three separate line items on our income statement - losses and loss adjustment expenses, policy acquisition costs and net investment income. The stock option, BVA and IA expenses recorded in each line item for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
     

2005

 

2004

 
   


 
             
 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

$16,303

 

$20,383

 
 

Policy acquisition costs

 

13,963

 

17,161

 
 

Net investment income

 

187

 

185

 
   


 
 

      Total stock option, BVA and IA expenses

 

$30,453

 

$37,729

 
   


 

Premium Results

 

      For a detailed breakdown on direct premiums written and earned, see Note P - Segment Information in Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Massachusetts Segment

 

      We experienced growth in direct premiums written in the Massachusetts segment of 3.2%, with increases in our personal automobile and homeowners lines of business. Growth in personal automobile business accounted for approximately 75% of the segment's increase. Personal automobile business growth was a result of a 2.2% increase in the number of written exposures coupled with a 0.4% increase in average written premium per written exposure. The agents assigned to us by CAR accounted for 54.4% of the written exposure increase. We believe that voluntary agents are currently very cautious in moving books of business between carriers due to the uncertainties created by CAR reform proposals.

 

      Our year-to-date homeowners growth was from a 10.5% increase in average premium per policy partially offset by a 0.6% decrease in the number of policies written. Our year-to-date commercial automobile decline was from a 2.0% decrease in average premium per policy partially offset by a 0.7% increase in policies written. Average premium per policy has declined due to more competitive pricing in a softening market.

 

Other Than Massachusetts Segment

 

      Total direct written premiums for the other-than-Massachusetts segment declined $15,297, or 6.0%. The personal automobile decline accounted for the majority of this decrease, primarily as the result of the decline in premiums in Arizona due to the loss of AAA Arizona's affinity business. Direct written premiums from personal automobile policies in Arizona declined $14,400, or 36.6%, and policies in force declined 65.5%.We project an additional decline of $14,000, or 56.5%, during 2006. American Commerce and Commerce West will continue to write business in Arizona; however, ACIC will no longer market its products through AAA Arizona. In general, we are lowering rates in states in which we write business in response to competitive pressures. Commercial automobile premiums increased over 9.0% while homeowners and other lines were basically unchanged. The increase in the commercial automobile category primarily resulted from an 11.9% increase in the number of policies in force at Commerce West.

 

Net Investment Income

 

      Our net investment income for the year ended 2005 increased $7,500, or 6.5% compared to 2004. Net investment income is affected by the composition of our investment portfolio and yields on those investments.

<PAGE>  42

      The composition of our investment portfolio, at cost, at December 31 follows:

 
 

2005

 

% of Total

 

2004

 

% of Total

 


               

Fixed maturities(a)

$2,037,127

 

73.6%

 

$1,674,849

 

66.7%

Preferred stocks

395,099

 

14.3

 

421,247

 

16.9

Common stocks

103,472

 

3.8

 

74,865

 

3.0

Preferred stock mutual funds

88,859

 

3.2

 

54,653

 

2.2

Mortgages and collateral notes

17,801

 

0.6

 

15,107

 

0.6

Cash and cash equivalents

97,942

 

3.5

 

220,988

 

8.9

Other investments

28,976

 

1.0

 

32,277

 

1.3

 


      Total investments

$2,769,276

 

100.0%

 

$ 2,493,986

 

100.0%

 


               

___________________

(a)

Fixed maturities include mortgage-backed bonds, corporate bonds, U.S. Treasury bonds and notes and tax-exempt state and municipal bonds.

 

      Key measures of net investment income for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
 

Years Ended

 


 

2005

 

2004

 


       

Investment Return:

     

Average month-end investments (at cost)

$2,661,190   

 

$2,319,170   

Net investment income before tax

123,211   

 

115,711   

Net investment income after-tax

95,359   

 

90,756   

Net investment income as a percentage of average net investments (at cost)

4.6%

 

5.0%

Net investment income after-tax as a percentage of average net investments (at cost)

3.6%

 

3.9%

       

      The increase in our net investment income in 2005 was primarily due to increased invested assets partially offset by lower overall yields. The increase in invested assets is primarily attributable to increased operating cash flows. The decrease in yields corresponds with the decline in duration of our fixed maturity portfolio in which we sold higher yielding investment securities. This is particularly true in the corporate and municipal bonds segments, where pre-tax yields declined 120 to 70 basis points, respectively.

 

Realized Investment Gains and Losses

 

      Net realized investment gains (losses) for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

Change

 


           

Transaction net gains (losses):

         

Fixed maturity securities

$ 21,135 

 

$ 12,733 

 

$   8,402 

Equity securities

4,464 

 

19,085 

 

(14,621)

Venture capital funds

837 

 

3,668 

 

(2,831)

Other investments

627 

 

(205)

 

832 

 


      Transaction net gains

27,063 

 

35,281 

 

(8,218)

 


Other-than-temporary impairment losses:

         

Fixed maturity securities

(305)

 

(14,189)

 

13,884 

Equity securities

(4,547)

 

(760)

 

(3,787)

 


      Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

(4,852)

 

(14,949)

 

10,097 

 


Equity in earnings of closed-end preferred stock mutual funds

696 

 

3,296 

 

(2,600)

 


      Net realized investment gains included in net earnings

$ 22,907 

 

$ 23,628 

 

$     (721)

 


           

      Total realized gains were relatively flat from 2005 as compared to 2004. Impairment losses decreased by $10,097 but were offset by a $8,218 decline in transaction gains and a $2,600 decline in the equity in earnings of the closed-end preferred stock mutual funds. Once again in 2005, we were able to realize significant investment gains in long duration municipal bonds and asset-backed investments. We maintain the flexibility to realize capital gains when we feel it is a benefit for our long-term, after-tax return.

<PAGE>  43

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

      Our loss ratio declined to 61.4% for 2005 from 63.8% the prior year. The improvement was the result of several factors, including:

 

*

improved current year results and continued favorable prior years' loss development from CAR,

*

an increase in average earned premium revenue per automobile, and

*

a decrease in the current year personal and commercial automobile bodily injury claim frequency.

 

Redundancies related to prior years for CAR Private Passenger Auto Liability accounted for approximately one-half of the 2.4% decrease in the loss ratio from 2004. These items were partially offset by reduced favorable voluntary loss reserve development compared to 2004.

 

      A reconciliation of beginning and ending reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses for the years ended December 31, net of reinsurance deductions from all reinsurers including CAR, follows:

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


           

Incurred losses and LAE:

         

   Provision for insured events of the current year

$1,111,583 

 

$1,101,871 

 

$1,095,371 

   Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years

(61,397)

 

(57,031)

 

(25,224)

 


      Total incurred losses and LAE

1,050,186 

 

1,044,840 

 

1,070,147 

 


Payments:

         

   Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of the current year

672,894 

 

637,373 

 

625,803 

   Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of prior years

372,719 

 

369,684 

 

330,349 

 


      Total payments

1,045,613 

 

1,007,057 

 

956,152 

 


Change in loss and LAE reserves during the year

4,573 

 

37,783 

 

113,995 

Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance

         

  recoverable, beginning of year

830,126 

 

792,343 

 

678,348 

 


Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance

         

  recoverable, end of year

834,699 

 

830,126 

 

792,343 

Ceded reinsurance recoverable

154,497 

 

160,134 

 

165,010 

 


Loss and LAE reserves, end of year

$   989,196 

 

$   990,260 

 

$   957,353 

 


   

      As a result of changes in estimates of insured events in prior years, the provision for loss and LAE decreased $61,397 for the year ended 2005 and $57,031 for the year ended 2004. The favorable development is due primarily to lower than anticipated losses related to the personal automobile liability, the automobile physical damage and the commercial multiple peril lines of business. Conditions and trends that have affected development in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based upon these developments. The amounts we will ultimately incur from loss and loss adjustment expenses could differ materially in the near term from the amounts recorded.

 

      Approximately $54,370 in personal automobile liability redundancies developed for the year ended 2005, with 92% of this amount coming from the 2004, 2003 and 2002 accident years. The primary reason for the redundancies in this area is that claim severity came in better than we anticipated, coupled with significant redundancies from CAR, which accounted for approximately 37% of the total automobile liability redundancy. Automobile physical damage had approximately $7,447 in redundancies chiefly related to the 2004 accident year, approximately 60% of which was related to CAR. In 2005, we also experienced redundancies of $1,733 for the commercial multiple peril line of business, 62% of which related to the 2004 accident year. Partially offsetting these redundancies was a $3,467 deficiency in commercial automobile business, primarily related to CAR for the 2004 accident year. Various redundancies and deficiencies for the other lines of business and accident years combined for the remaining approximately $1,314 net redundancy.

 

      As a result of changes in estimates of insured events in prior years, the provision for loss and LAE decreased $57,031 for the year ended 2004 and $25,224 for the year ended 2003. The favorable development is due primarily to lower than anticipated losses related to the personal automobile liability, the automobile physical damage and the commercial multiple peril lines of business. Conditions and trends that have affected development in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based upon these developments. The amounts we will ultimately incur from loss and loss adjustment expenses could differ materially in the near term from the amounts recorded.

<PAGE>  44

      Approximately $51,027 in personal automobile liability redundancies developed for the year ended 2004, with 98.0% of this amount coming from the 2003, 2002 and 2001 accident years. The primary reason for the redundancies in this area is that claim severity came in better than we anticipated. The redundancy for personal automobile liability that related to CAR accounted for approximately 2.5% of the total. Automobile physical damage had approximately $2,334 in redundancies related to the 2003 accident year approximately 98% of which was related to CAR. In 2004, we also experienced redundancies of $2,222 for the commercial multiple peril line of business, half of which related to the 1996 accident year. Various redundancies and deficiencies for the other lines of business and accident years combined for the remaining approximately $1,448 net redundancy.

 

      The following sensitivity analysis presents the pro forma effect of a one percentage point change in our loss and LAE reserves (prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance recoverable) at December 31, 2005:

 
   

Loss and LAE

 

Pro forma

 

Pro forma Percentage

Hypothetical Change in Loss

 

Reserve

 

Increase (Decrease)

 

Increase (Decrease) in

and LAE Reserve Estimate

 

Estimate, Net

 

in Net Earnings(1)

 

Stockholders' Equity(1)


             

1% increase

 

$843,046

 

$(5,426)

 

(0.4)%

No change

 

  834,699

 

-

 

-

1% decrease

 

  826,352

 

  5,426

 

 0.4 %

             

___________________

(1)

Net of income taxes at an assumed rate of 35%.

 

Management considers many factors, as disclosed in the Critical Accounting Policies section of this report, in establishing its best estimate for loss and LAE reserves. We believe that our loss and LAE reserve estimate is a true and reasonable representation of the ultimate future payment amounts necessary to settle all of our insured losses incurred as of December 31, 2005. In addition, we believe this pro forma analysis is a reasonable depiction of our sensitivity related to our estimate, based on our reserving methodology and the short-tail nature of the business that we write. However, the ultimate liability may be greater or lower than the established reserves for losses and LAE. If the ultimate payments are greater or less than our estimated liability for losses and LAE, we will either incur additional or less expenses, respectively, in future periods which may have a material effect on our future results of operations.

 

Policy Acquisition Costs

 

      Our underwriting ratio increased to 27.3% for 2005 from 26.2% in the prior year, primarily as a result of significantly higher accrued agents' profit sharing and slightly higher 2005 policy year mandated Massachusetts personal automobile commission rates, both partially offset by a decrease in our assessment from the Massachusetts Insurance Insolvency Fund. In addition to the increase in agents' profit sharing expense in 2005, policy acquisition cost increases are also due to our premium growth. The increase in agents' profit sharing is due to improved underwriting results versus the previous year. Premium growth results in additional expense in commission, premium tax, and other variable costs. Partially offsetting these increases was a decline in stock option, BVA and IA expense.

 

Income Taxes

 

      Our overall effective tax rate for the year ended 2005 was 30.6% as compared to 29.3% for 2004. In both years, our effective rate was lower than the statutory rate of 35.0% primarily due to tax-exempt interest and the corporate dividends received deduction. Our effective tax rate increased in 2005 due to improved underwriting results which are taxed at 35%.

 

New Accounting Pronouncements

 

      The Financial Accounting Standards Board issued in December 2004 revised rules for accounting for stock options and other equity-based remuneration, SFAS No. 123R, Share-Based Payment. SFAS No. 123R is applicable for employee options and not for non-employee options, such as ACIC agents' options. We will adopt these revised rules in the first quarter of 2006 when they become effective. This change will not impact our results of operations and financial condition for the stock options we awarded through 2001 under the Plan because application of the revised rules is on a prospective basis. The revised rules will not change our accounting for BVAs, IAs and the stock options we award under the ACIC Plan.

 

      In September 2005, the AICPA issued a new accounting pronouncement, Statement of Position (SOP) 05-01, Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts. This SOP provides guidance on accounting for deferred acquisition costs on internal replacements of

<PAGE>  45

insurance and investment contracts other than those specifically described in Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 97. Internal replacements are modifications in product benefits, features, rights, or coverages that occur by the exchange of a contract for a new contract, or by amendment, endorsement, or rider to a contract, or by the election of a feature or coverage within a contract. The provisions of this SOP are effective for internal replacements occurring in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006. We will adopt this SOP during the first quarter of 2007. Financial statement application of this SOP is prospective and initial application would generally occur as of the beginning of the fiscal year. We believe the adoption of this SOP will not have a material impact on our future financial statements.

 

      In November 2005, the FASB issued Staff Position (FSP) 115-1 and 124-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments. This FSP addresses the determination as to when an investment is impaired, whether that impairment is other-than-temporary, and the measurement of an impairment loss. The guidance in this FSP shall be applied to reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2005; however, early application is permitted. We will adopt this FSP during the first quarter of 2006. We believe the application of the provisions of this FSP will not have a material impact on our financial statements.

 

Year Ended 2004 Compared to Year Ended 2003

 

      The significant increase in earnings and ROE in 2004 over 2003 was primarily due to the decrease in our loss ratio. We attribute the improvement in our loss ratio primarily to several factors:

 
 

*

an increase in average earned premium revenue per automobile (see discussion regarding premium results),

     
 

*

a decrease in the current year personal automobile physical damage claim frequency,

     
 

*

more favorable loss reserve development compared to 2003, and

     
 

*

improved results from CAR.

 

      The effect of our improved loss ratio on 2004 earnings was partially offset by the increase in our underwriting ratio. This increase was driven by a significant increase in our agents' profit sharing expense in 2004. The increase in agents' profit sharing expense is the result of substantially better underwriting results in 2004 than in 2003. The impact of our increased agents' profit sharing expense on our underwriting ratio was partially offset by lower 2004 policy year mandated agency commission rates for Massachusetts personal automobile policies.

 

      The market price for our common stock and our financial results directly affects our expense related to stock options and BVAs, respectively. Our stock option expense represents options granted to both employees and American Commerce agents. An increase in the market value of our stock will increase the expense we recognize for options subject to variable accounting. Similarly, an increase in our net income will increase the value of, and therefore the expense we recognize for, outstanding BVAs. We record these expenses in three separate line items on our income statement - losses and loss adjustment expenses, policy acquisition costs and net investment income. The stock option and BVA expenses recorded in each line item for the years ended 2004 and 2003 follow:

 
   

2004

 

2003

 
   


 
           
 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

$20,383

 

$12,306

 
 

Policy acquisition costs

17,161

 

10,364

 
 

Net investment income

185

 

92

 
   


 
 

      Total stock option and BVA expenses

$37,729

 

$22,762

 
   


 
           

Premium Results

 

      Direct premiums written and earned for the years ended 2004 and 2003 can be found in Note P - Segment Information in Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.

 

Massachusetts Segment

 

      We experienced growth in direct premiums written in all of our insurance categories in Massachusetts, with growth in personal automobile accounting for approximately 82% of the segment's increase. Personal automobile business growth was a result of a 6.2% increase in average written premium per written exposure coupled with a 4.9% increase in the number of exposures written during 2004. Our year-to-date homeowners growth was from a 12.2% increase in average premium per policy coupled with a 1.9% increase in the number of policies. Our year-to-date commercial automobile growth was from a 3.1% increase in average premium per policy coupled with a 4.3% increase in the number of policies.

<PAGE>  46

Other than Massachusetts Segment

 

      Personal automobile and homeowners growth accounted for approximately 91% of the increase in direct premiums written in states other than Massachusetts. The increase in personal automobile and homeowners business was primarily due to additional rate per policy, partially offset by a decrease in the number of policies. The policy count decrease was primarily due to increased levels of competition, our desire to maintain appropriate underwriting results and withdrawal from several states as previously reported.

 

Net Investment Income

 

      Our net investment income for the year ended 2004 increased $23,528, or 25.5% compared to 2003. Net investment income is affected by the composition of our investment portfolio and yields on those investments.

 

      The composition of our investment portfolio, at cost, at December 31, 2004 and 2003 follows:

 
 

2004

 

% of Total

 

2003

 

% of Total

 


               

Fixed maturities(a)

$1,674,849

 

67.1%

 

$1,478,737

 

67.8%

Preferred stocks

421,247

 

16.9   

 

283,423

 

13.0   

Common stocks

74,865

 

3.0   

 

95,412

 

4.4   

Preferred stock mutual funds

54,653

 

2.2   

 

50,795

 

2.3   

Mortgages and collateral notes

15,107

 

0.6   

 

16,774

 

0.8   

Cash and cash equivalents

220,988

 

8.9   

 

215,541

 

9.9   

Other investments

32,277

 

1.3   

 

38,826

 

1.8   

 


      Total investments

$2,493,986

 

100.0%

 

$2,179,508

 

100.0%

 


               

___________________

(a)

Fixed maturities include mortgage-backed bonds, corporate bonds, U.S. Treasury bonds and notes and tax-exempt state and municipal bonds.

 

      Key measures of net investment income for the years ended 2004 and 2003 follow:

 
 

Years Ended

 


 

2004

 

2003

 


       

Investment Return:

     

Average month-end investments (at cost)

$2,319,170   

 

$1,742,869   

Net investment income before tax

115,711   

 

92,183   

Net investment income after-tax

90,756   

 

73,210   

Net investment income as a percentage of average net investments (at cost)

5.0%

 

5.3%

Net investment income after-tax as a percentage of average net investments (at cost)

3.9%

 

4.2%

       

      The increase in our net investment income in 2004 was primarily due to increased invested assets partially offset by lower overall yields, particularly lower yields on preferred stocks. The increase in invested assets is primarily attributable to proceeds from the issuance of our senior notes in December 2003 and operating cash flows. The decrease in yields is primarily due to the sale and redemption of higher yielding investment securities coupled with lower yields on new investments due primarily to tighter credit spreads. Pre-tax and after-tax yields remained consistent on a quarterly basis throughout 2004.

<PAGE>  47

Realized Investment Gains and Losses

 

      Net realized investment gains (losses) for the years ended 2004 and 2003 follow:

 
 

2004

 

2003

 

Change

 


           

Transaction net gains (losses):

         

Fixed maturity securities

$ 12,733 

 

$ 22,800 

 

$(10,067)

Equity securities

19,085 

 

33,525 

 

(14,440)

Venture capital funds

3,668 

 

32 

 

3,636 

Other investments

(205)

 

(333)

 

128 

 


      Transaction net gains

35,281 

 

56,024 

 

(20,743)

 


Other-than-temporary impairment losses:

         

Fixed maturity securities

(14,189)

 

(9,566)

 

(4,623)

Equity securities

(760)

 

(8,050)

 

7,290 

 


      Total other-than-temporary impairment losses

(14,949)

 

(17,616)

 

2,667 

 


Equity in earnings of closed-end preferred stock mutual funds

3,296 

 

37,695 

 

(34,399)

 


      Net realized investment gains included in net earnings

$ 23,628 

 

$ 76,103 

 

$(52,475)

 


           

      Our gains on investment securities were partially offset by write-downs for other-than-temporary declines in the market value of certain fixed maturities, preferred stocks and common stocks totaling $14,949 and $17,616 for the years ended 2004 and 2003, respectively. The other-than-temporary write-downs for the 2004 period consisted of $1,398 for eight municipal bonds, $12,791 for sixteen corporate bonds and $760 for four preferred stocks. The other-than-temporary write-downs for the 2003 period consisted of $2,433 for one municipal bond, $7,133 for four corporate bonds, $7,240 for three preferred stocks and $810 for five common stocks.

 

      The decrease in transaction net realized gains for the year ended 2004 is primarily due to lower portfolio turnover. Portfolio turnover was relatively high in 2003 as we realigned our portfolio with the changing interest rate environment. The product of this turnover in 2003 was a significant amount of net realized gains. As part of this realignment in 2003, we sold a significant portion of our closed-end preferred stock mutual funds. The decline in interest rates during much of 2003 caused a significant increase in the net asset value of our closed-end preferred stock mutual funds and, as a direct consequence, an increase in the net realized investment gains that we recognized for those investments in 2003.

 

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 

      A reconciliation of beginning and ending reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses for the years ended 2004 and 2003, net of reinsurance deductions from all reinsurers including CAR, follows:

 
 

2004

 

2003

 


       

Incurred losses and LAE:

     

    Provision for insured events of the current year

$1,101,871 

 

$1,095,371 

    Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years

(57,031)

 

(25,224)

 


        Total incurred losses and LAE

1,044,840 

 

1,070,147 

 


Payments:

     

    Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of the current year

637,373 

 

625,803 

    Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of prior years

369,684 

 

330,349 

 


        Total payments

1,007,057 

 

956,152 

 


Increase in loss and LAE reserves during the year

37,783 

 

113,995 

Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance recoverable,

     

  beginning of year

792,343 

 

678,348 

 


Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance recoverable,

     

  end of year

830,126 

 

792,343 

Ceded reinsurance recoverable

160,134 

 

165,010 

 


Loss and LAE reserves, end of year

$   990,260 

 

$   957,353 

 


       

      As a result of changes in estimates of insured events in prior years, the provision for loss and LAE decreased $57,031 for the year ended 2004 and $25,224 for the year ended 2003. The favorable development is due primarily to lower than anticipated losses related to the personal automobile liability, the automobile physical damage and the commercial multiple peril lines of business. Conditions and trends that have affected development in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based upon these

<PAGE>  48

developments. The amounts we will ultimately incur from loss and loss adjustment expenses could differ materially in the near term from the amounts recorded.

 

      Approximately $51,027 in personal automobile liability redundancies developed for the year ended 2004, with 98.0% of this amount coming from the 2003, 2002 and 2001 accident years. The primary reason for the redundancies in this area is that claim severity came in better than we anticipated. The redundancy for personal automobile liability that related to CAR accounted for approximately 2.5% of the total. Automobile physical damage had approximately $2,334 in redundancies related to the 2003 accident year, approximately 98% of which was related to CAR. In 2004, we also experienced redundancies of $2,222 for the commercial multiple peril line of business, half of which related to the 1996 accident year. Various redundancies and deficiencies for the other lines of business and accident years combined for the remaining approximately $1,448 net redundancy.

 

      Total unpaid losses and LAE by line of business at December 31, 2004 and 2003 follow (in millions):

 
   

2004

 

2003

 
   


 
           
 

Private passenger automobile

$595.3

 

$575.3

 
 

Commercial automobile

51.8

 

47.0

 
 

CAR

244.2

 

240.3

 
 

Homeowners

57.4

 

58.4

 
 

Other

41.6

 

36.4

 
   


 
 

Total

$990.3

 

$957.4

 
   


 
           

      Ceded unpaid losses and LAE recoverable by line of business at December 31, 2004 and 2003 follow (in millions):

 
   

2004

 

2003

 
   


 
           
 

CAR

$100.1

 

$107.1

 
 

Homeowners

32.7

 

34.4

 
 

Other

27.4

 

23.6

 
   


 
 

Total

$160.2

 

$165.1

 
   


 
       

      Unpaid losses and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance recoverable, by line of business, at December 31, 2004 and 2003, and the actuarial low and high range estimates at December 31, 2004 follow (in millions):

 
         

2004

         

Actuarial Estimate

         


 

2004

 

2003

 

Low

 

High

 


               

Private passenger automobile

$595.3

 

$575.3

 

$540.5

 

$620.7

Commercial automobile

51.8

 

47.0

 

48.5

 

55.7

CAR

144.1

 

133.2

 

136.7

 

158.3

Homeowners

24.7

 

24.0

 

19.1

 

22.0

Other

14.2

 

12.8

 

16.1

 

18.4

 


Total

$830.1

 

$792.3

 

$760.9

 

$875.1

 


   

Policy Acquisition Costs

 

      In addition to the increase in agents' profit sharing expense in 2004, policy acquisition cost increases are due to our premium growth. Increases in stock option and BVA expenses in the 2004 periods have similarly affected policy acquisition costs.

 

Interest Expense and Amortization of Bond Fees

 

      Interest expense and amortization of bond fees are from our senior notes which we issued in December 2003.

 

Income Taxes

 

      Our overall effective tax rate for the year ended 2004 was 29.3% as compared to 26.5% for 2003. In both years, our effective rate was lower than the statutory rate of 35.0% primarily due to tax-exempt interest and the corporate dividends

<PAGE>  49

received deduction. Our effective tax rate increased in 2004 due to improved underwriting results which are taxed at 35%. Our income tax rate for 2003 was benefited 1.8% by the reversal of a $3,936 tax valuation allowance related to investments which we established in 2002.

 

Financial Condition

 

      Our financial condition improved significantly in 2005. Our stockholders' equity per share increased 15.8% from $33.50 at December 31, 2004 to $38.78 at December 31, 2005. Our ratio of total liabilities to stockholders' equity decreased nearly 23 percentage points at December 31, 2005 from the prior year end, despite total liability growth of 5.0%. This decrease is primarily due to the 16.9% increase in equity from current year earnings and growth in paid-in capital from stock option exercises, partially offset by dividends paid and the change in net accumulated other comprehensive income.

 

      Total assets increased $314,767, or 8.7%, versus the prior year end. Predictably, as they comprise 70% of total assets, investment growth presented the majority, or 75%, of the increase. Investments increased $237,596, or 9.4%, from increased operating cash flows from premium growth and retained net earnings. We continue to maintain our cash and fixed maturity investments at levels to both service our liabilities and optimize after-tax returns. Increases in premiums receivable and deferred policy acquisition costs correspond to the growth in direct written premiums, with deferred policy acquisition costs also being impacted by increased profit sharing expenses in 2005. Deferred income taxes increased primarily due to the resulting deferred tax benefit of the decline in value of available for sale securities and the application for a change in tax accounting method on file with the IRS for deferred profit sharing.

 

      Total unpaid losses and LAE by line of business at December 31, 2005 and 2004 follow (in millions):

 

2005

 

Case

 

IBNR

 

LAE

 

Total


                 

Private passenger automobile

 

$367.9

 

$131.7

 

$109.4

 

$609.0

Commercial automobile

 

39.2

 

9.9

 

8.9

 

58.0

CAR

 

174.5

 

40.6

 

9.5

 

224.6

Homeowners

 

40.0

 

9.8

 

8.9

 

58.7

Other

 

25.3

 

8.9

 

4.7

 

38.9

   


Total

 

$646.9

 

$200.9

 

$141.4

 

$989.2

   


                 

2004

 

Case

 

IBNR

 

LAE

 

Total


                 

Private passenger automobile

 

$360.7

 

$132.3

 

$102.3

 

$595.3

Commercial automobile

 

34.4

 

9.5

 

7.9

 

51.8

CAR

 

188.6

 

46.4

 

9.2

 

244.2

Homeowners

 

39.1

 

9.3

 

9.0

 

57.4

Other

 

26.2

 

10.3

 

5.1

 

41.6

   


Total

 

$649.0

 

$207.8

 

$133.5

 

$990.3

   


                 

      Ceded unpaid losses and LAE recoverable by line of business at December 31, 2005 and 2004 follow (in millions):

 
   

2005

 

2004

 
   


 
           
 

Commercial automobile

$    0.4

 

$       -

 
 

CAR

93.5

 

100.1

 
 

Homeowners

34.7

 

32.7

 
 

Other

25.9

 

27.4

 
   


 
 

Total

$154.5

 

$160.2

 
   


 
           

<PAGE>  50

      Unpaid losses and LAE reserves net of ceded reinsurance recoverable, by line of business, at December 31, 2005 and 2004, and the actuarial low and high range estimates at December 31, 2005 follow (in millions):

 
         

2005

         

Actuarial Estimate

         


 

2005

 

2004

 

Low

 

High

 


               

Private passenger automobile

$609.0

 

$595.3

 

$553.7

 

$634.7

Commercial automobile

57.6

 

51.8

 

50.3

 

57.7

CAR

131.1

 

144.1

 

124.5

 

144.1

Homeowners

24.0

 

24.7

 

22.7

 

26.0

Other

13.0

 

14.2

 

13.4

 

15.4

 


Total

$834.7

 

$830.1

 

$764.6

 

$877.9

 


   

      Unearned premiums rose due to the increase in direct written premiums. The total amount of a policy's premium is recorded as written premium on the first day on which the policy is effective; however, the policy's premium is earned ratably over the ensuing year. Accrued agents' profit sharing liability increased $78,328, or 71.6%, due to the combination of increased premiums and improved underwriting results as compared to the prior year.

 

Contractual Obligations and Commercial Commitments

 

      Our contractual obligations and commercial commitments as of December 31, 2005 by maturity follow:

 
       

Payments Due by Fiscal Period

       


Contractual Obligations

 

Total

 

2006

 

2007-08

 

2009-10

 

Thereafter


                     

Bond indebtedness principal

 

$   300,000

 

$           -

 

$           -

 

$           -

 

$300,000

Bond indebtedness interest

 

142,800

 

17,850

 

35,700

 

35,700

 

53,550

Unpaid losses and LAE (a)

 

989,196

 

479,760

 

368,970

 

102,876

 

37,590

Accrued agents' profit sharing

 

187,760

 

87,486

 

100,274

 

-

 

-

   


        Total contractual obligations

 

$1,619,756

 

$585,096

 

$504,944

 

$138,576

 

$391,140

   


     
       

Commitment Expiration

       


Commercial Commitments

 

Total

 

2006

 

2007-08

 

2009-10

 

Thereafter


                     

Venture capital partnerships

 

$     16,636

 

$           --

 

$       945

 

$           --

 

$  15,691

   


                     

___________________

(a)

The liability for unpaid losses and LAE represents the accumulation of individual case estimates for reported losses, adjustments to this amount on a line of business basis and estimates for incurred but not reported losses and LAE, net of salvage and subrogation recoverable. The liability is intended to cover the ultimate net cost of all losses and LAE incurred through the balance sheet date. Payment amounts are estimated, based on payment patterns experienced through 2005.

 

      We have commitments in two venture capital fund investments. These investments are made in limited partnerships and our exposure to loss is limited to our actual investment. One limited partnership investment required a commitment by us to invest up to $50,000 into the partnership. As of December 31, 2005, we invested $34,309 into the partnership. The partnership was formed to operate as an investment fund principally for the purpose of making investments primarily in equity, equity-related and other securities issued in expansion financing, start-ups, buy-outs and recapitalization transactions relating to companies in the areas of insurance, financial services, e-commerce, healthcare, and related businesses, including, without limitation, service and technology enterprises supporting such businesses.

 

      The other limited partnership interest required a commitment by us to invest up to $3,500 into the partnership. As of December 31, 2005, we invested $2,555 into the partnership. The partnership was formed to operate as an investment fund principally for the purpose of making investments in equity and equity related securities of companies operating in the area of insurance distribution and distribution related activities.

 

      On June 30, 2005, our 70% one-year quota share reinsurance program expired. This program covered all non-automobile property and liability business, except umbrella policies. This program was extended another year, effective July 1, 2005, with the primary change in terms being an increase in the quota share rate to 75%. In the event of a catastrophe, recovery is limited to 75% of the loss with a maximum recovery estimated at $363,000, equating to a total loss to us of

<PAGE>  51

$484,000. There are several limitations in the contract regarding losses related to nuclear, chemical, and biological terrorist events. Our maximum loss recovery in case of these types of events is estimated at $30,000. Our estimated total loss, before reinsurance, on our other than automobile business for 100 and 250-year hurricanes is approximately $340,000 and $640,000, respectively. We derived our estimates through the services of Holborn Corporation on our December 31, 2005 other-than-automobile exposures, which utilized the RMS (Risk Management Solutions) risk assessment system. We believe that most property and casualty insurance companies establish their catastrophe reinsurance programs between the 100-year and 250-year storm estimates. Note M to our consolidated financial statements provides additional information about our reinsurance.

 

Liquidity and Capital Resources

 

      The primary sources of our liquidity are funds generated from insurance premiums, net investment income, premium finance and service fees and the maturing and sale of investments. The primary uses of our liquidity are payment of policy claims, operating costs, interest on our senior notes, and payment of dividends to our stockholders. We believe our capital resources are sufficient toward meeting our short and long-term liquidity needs.

 

      In April 2005, Commerce Insurance became a member of the Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) of Boston, providing Commerce Insurance with a significant new source of liquidity. The FHLB of Boston, which is one of 12 regional FHLBs, serves as a reserve or central bank for its members within its assigned region. The FHLB of Boston makes loans, which are referred to as advances, to members in accordance with policies and procedures established by its board of directors. These policies and procedures are subject to the regulation and oversight of the Federal Housing Finance Board. All advances from the FHLB of Boston to Commerce Insurance are required to be fully secured by sufficient collateral as determined by the FHLB. We estimate that FHLB membership provides Commerce Insurance with the capacity to borrow approximately $400,000 from the FHLB of Boston. We have not borrowed from the FHLB and have no current plans to do so.

 

      We expect to pay significantly more for agent profit sharing in 2006 than we paid in 2005. We paid approximately $47,134 for agent profit sharing in 2005. Due to our improved underwriting results during 2005, we estimate paying $87,486 in the second quarter of 2006.

 

      Industry and regulatory guidelines suggest that the ratio of a property and casualty insurer's annual net premiums written to statutory policyholders' surplus should not exceed 3.00 to 1.00. The following table presents, on a consolidated basis, our net premiums written to statutory surplus ratio:

 
   

For the Year Ended

   


   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Net premiums written to statutory surplus ratio

 

1.18:1.00

 

1.33:1.00

 

1.45:1.00

             

Market Risk: Interest Rate Sensitivity and Equity Price Risk

 

      The primary focus of our investment objectives continues to be maximizing after-tax investment income through investing primarily in high-quality diversified fixed income investments structured to maximize after-tax investment income while minimizing risk. We generally invest in securities with maturities intended to provide adequate cash flow to pay claims and meet other operating needs without the forced sale of investments. When the appropriate opportunity arises, we will recognize investment gains to increase after-tax total return. We held no derivatives, emerging market securities or hedge funds at December 31, 2005 and 2004.

 

      In conducting investing activities, we are subject to, and assume, market risk. Market risk is the risk of an adverse financial impact from changes in interest rates and market prices. The level of risk assumed by us is a function of our overall objectives, liquidity needs and market volatility.

 

      We manage our market risk by focusing on higher quality equity and fixed income investments, by periodically monitoring the credit strength of companies in which investments are made, by limiting exposure in any one investment and by monitoring the quality of the investment portfolio taking into account, among other factors, credit ratings assigned by recognized rating organizations. Our portfolio included three corporate bonds in default with a total carrying value of $117 at December 31, 2005. Of our bonds and preferred stocks, 91% of the market value was rated in either of the two highest quality categories provided by the NAIC as of December 31, 2005, as compared to 94% at December 31, 2004. Although we have significant holdings of various closed-end preferred stock mutual funds, these funds are comprised primarily of preferred and common stocks traded on national stock exchanges, thus limiting exposure to any one obligor.

 

<PAGE>  52

      Interest Rate Sensitivity. As part of our investing activities, we assume positions in fixed maturity, equity, short-term and cash equivalents markets. Therefore, we are exposed to the impacts of interest rate changes in the market value of investments. We estimate our exposure to interest rate changes and equity price risk using sensitivity analysis. The interest rate impact is defined as the effect of a hypothetical interest rate change of plus-or-minus 200 basis points on the market value of fixed maturities and preferred stocks.

 

      Changes in interest rates would result in unrealized gains or losses in the market value of the fixed maturity and preferred stock portfolio due to differences between current market rates and the stated rates for these investments. The following table summarizes our interest rate risk, based on the results of the sensitivity analysis at December 31, 2005. The table also reflects the changes in market value and stockholders' equity that would be attributable to realized investment gains (losses) that we would recognize under the equity method of accounting with respect to the change in the net asset value of the mutual funds in which we own 20% or more of the shares outstanding. See "Critical Accounting Policies - Investments and Other-than-Temporary Impairments."

 

Hypothetical Change in Interest Rates

 

Estimated Market
Value of Fixed
Income and
Preferred Stock
Investments

 

Estimated
Increase
(Decrease) in
Market Value

 

Hypothetical Percentage
Increase (Decrease) in
Stockholders' Equity (1)


             

December 31, 2005:

           

    200 basis point increase

 

$2,138,966

 

$(283,888)

 

(14.1)%

    100 basis point increase

 

  2,285,278

 

  (137,576)

 

  (6.9)%

    No change

 

  2,422,854

 

-

 

-

    100 basis point decrease

 

  2,548,494

 

  125,640

 

   6.3 %

    200 basis point decrease

 

  2,684,096

 

  261,242

 

13.0%

December 31, 2004:

           

    200 basis point increase

 

  1,925,625

 

   (189,242)

 

(11.0)%

    No change

 

  2,114,867

 

-

 

-

    200 basis point decrease

 

  2,308,995

 

  194,128

 

 11.3 %

             

___________________

(1)

Net of income taxes at an assumed rate of 35%.

 

      Our fixed income portfolio's weighted average duration (which includes all fixed maturities and preferred stocks) as of December 31, 2005 and 2004 was 4.9 years and 5.6 years, respectively. The "duration" of a security is the time-weighted present value of the security's expected cash flows and is used to measure a security's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration reflects industry prepayment assumptions. The analytic systems we used to calculate the above duration data utilize optional call dates and sinking fund requirements and assume a non-static prepayment pattern in deriving these averages.

 

      Equity Price Risk. The equity price risk is defined as a hypothetical change of plus-or-minus 10% in the carrying value of common stocks. This total includes common stocks at market value and two closed-end preferred stock mutual funds at equity value. The following table summarizes our equity price risk, based on the results of the sensitivity analysis at December 31, 2005:

 

Hypothetical Change in Market Price

 

Carrying Value of
Common Equity
Investments

 

Increase
(Decrease) in
Carrying Value

 

Hypothetical Percentage
Increase (Decrease) in
Stockholders' Equity (1)


             

December 31, 2005:

           

    20% price increase

 

$238,411

 

$ 39,735 

 

 2.0 %

    10% price increase

 

  218,544

 

  19,868

 

 1.0 %

    No change

 

  198,676

 

-

 

-

    10% price decrease

 

  178,808

 

  (19,868)

 

(1.0)%

    20% price decrease

 

  158,941

 

  (39,735)

 

(2.0)%

December 31, 2004:

           

    20% price increase

 

  171,434

 

  28,572

 

 1.7 %

    10% price increase

 

  157,148

 

  14,286

 

 0.8 %

    No change

 

  142,862

 

-

 

-

    10% price decrease

 

  128,576

 

  (14,286)

 

(0.8)%

    20% price decrease

 

  114,290

 

  (28,572)

 

(1.7)%

             

___________________

(1)

Net of income taxes at an assumed rate of 35%.

<PAGE>  53

      The preceding sensitivity analysis does not represent a forecast and should not be relied upon as being indicative of expected results. These hypothetical estimates are based upon numerous assumptions such as the nature and timing of interest rate levels including the yield curve shape, prepayments on loans and securities, reinvestment and replacement of asset and liability cash flows and other assumptions. While assumptions are developed based upon current economic conditions, we cannot provide any assurance as to the predictive nature of these assumptions. Also, as market conditions vary from those assumed in the sensitivity analysis, actual results will also differ due to prepayment and refinancing levels likely deviating from those assumed and other internal and external variables. Furthermore, the sensitivity analysis does not reflect actions that management might take in responding to or anticipating changes in interest rates.

 

Effects of Inflation and Recession

 

      We generally are unable to recover the costs of inflation in our personal automobile insurance line since the premiums charged for personal automobile insurance in Massachusetts, our principal business segment, are subject to state regulation. Additionally, the premium rates that we charge for personal automobile insurance in Massachusetts are adjusted by the Commissioner only at annual intervals. Such annual adjustments in premium rates may lag behind related cost increases. Economic recessions can have an impact upon us, primarily through the policyholder's election to decrease non-compulsory coverages afforded by the policy and decreased driving, each of which tends to decrease claims.

 

      To the extent inflation and economic recession influence yields on investments, we are also affected. As each of these environments affect current market rates of return, previously committed investments may rise or decline in value depending on the type and maturity of investment.

 

      Inflation and recession must also be considered by us in the creation and review of loss and LAE reserves since portions of these reserves are expected to be paid over extended periods of time. The anticipated effect of economic conditions is implicitly considered when estimating liabilities for losses and LAE. The importance of continually adjusting reserves is even more pronounced in periods of changing economic circumstances.

 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

      This annual report and Form 10-K may contain statements that are not historical fact and constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act. Statements about our expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance are not historical facts and may be forward-looking. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipates," "estimates," "plans," "projects," "continuing," "ongoing," "expects," "may," "will," "could," "likely," "should," "management believes," "we believe," "we intend," and similar words or phrases. These statements may address, among other things, our strategy for growth, business development, regulatory approvals, market position, expenditures, financial results and reserves. Accordingly, these statements involve estimates, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them. All forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by reference to the factors discussed throughout this annual report on Form 10-K and in our Forms 10-Q and other documents filed with the SEC. Among the key factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements:

 

*

the possibility of severe weather, terrorism and other adverse catastrophic experiences;

*

adverse trends in claim severity or frequency and uncertainties in estimating property and casualty losses;

*

adverse state and federal regulations and legislation;

*

adverse judicial decisions;

*

adverse changes to the laws, regulations and rules governing CAR in Massachusetts;

*

fluctuations in interest rates and the performance of the financial markets in relation to the composition of our investment portfolio;

*

premium rate making decisions for private passenger automobile policies in Massachusetts;

*

potential rate filings;

<PAGE>  54

*

heightened competition;

*

our concentration of business within Massachusetts and within the personal automobile line of business;

*

market disruption in Massachusetts, if competitors exited the market or become insolvent;

*

the cost and availability of reinsurance;

*

our ability to collect on reinsurance and the solvency of our reinsurers;

*

the effectiveness of our reinsurance strategies;

*

telecommunication and information system problems, including failures to implement information technology projects timely and within budget;

*

our ability to maintain favorable ratings from rating agencies, including A.M. Best, S&P, Moody's and Fitch;

*

our ability to attract and retain independent agents;

*

our ability to retain our affinity relationships with AAA clubs, especially in Massachusetts;

*

our dependence on a key third party service vendor for other business in Massachusetts;

*

our dependence on our executive officers; and

*

the economic, market or regulatory conditions and risks associated with entry into new markets and diversification.

      You should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statement. The risk factors referred to above, as well as those elsewhere in the Annual Report on Form 10-K, could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement made by us or on our behalf (see Part I, Item 1, "Risks Related to Our Business" of this Form 10-K). Further, any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made, and we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for us to predict which factors will arise. In addition, we cannot assess the impact of each factor on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements.

ITEM 7A. QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

      For the information required by this Item, please refer to "Part II, Item 7, Market Risk: Interest Rate Sensitivity and Equity Price Risk" section (MD&A).

ITEM 8. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA

 

REPORT OF MANAGEMENT

 

      Our management is responsible for the consolidated financial statements and all other information presented in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. The financial statements have been prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America determined by management to be appropriate in the circumstances and include amounts based on management's informed estimates and judgments. Financial information presented elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K is consistent with the financial statements.

 

Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting

 

      Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting as defined in Rule 13a-15(f) under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934. Management assessed the effectiveness of the Company's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005. In making this assessment, management used the criteria set forth by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission in Internal Control -

<PAGE>  55

Integrated Framework. Based on this assessment, management concluded the Company maintained effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005.

 

      Our management's assessment of the effectiveness of the Company's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005 has been audited by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, an independent registered public accounting firm, as stated in their report which appears herein.

<PAGE>  56

Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm

 

To the Board of Directors and Shareholders of

  The Commerce Group, Inc.:

 

We have completed integrated audits of The Commerce Group, Inc.'s December 31, 2005 and 2004 consolidated financial statements and of its internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, and an audit of its December 31, 2003 consolidated financial statements in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Our opinions, based on our audits, are presented below.

 

Consolidated financial statements and financial statement schedules

 

In our opinion, the consolidated financial statements listed in the index appearing under Item 15(a)(1) present fairly, in all material respects, the financial position of The Commerce Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries at December 31, 2005 and 2004, and the results of their operations and their cash flows for each of the three years in the period ended December 31, 2005 in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. In addition, in our opinion, the financial statement schedules listed in the index under Item 15(a)(2) present fairly, in all material respects, the information set forth therein when read in conjunction with the related consolidated financial statements. These financial statements and financial statement schedules are the responsibility of the Company's management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these financial statements and financial statement schedules based on our audits. We conducted our audits of these statements in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are free of material misstatement. An audit of financial statements includes examining, on a test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in the financial statements, assessing the accounting principles used and significant estimates made by management, and evaluating the overall financial statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a reasonable basis for our opinion.

 

Internal control over financial reporting

 

Also, in our opinion, management's assessment, included in Management's Report on Internal Control Over Financial Reporting appearing under Item 8, that the Company maintained effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005 based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (COSO), is fairly stated, in all material respects, based on those criteria. Furthermore, in our opinion, the Company maintained, in all material respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2005, based on criteria established in Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the COSO. The Company's management is responsible for maintaining effective internal control over financial reporting and for its assessment of the effectiveness of internal control over financial reporting. Our responsibility is to express opinions on management's assessment and on the effectiveness of the Company's internal control over financial reporting based on our audit. We conducted our audit of internal control over financial reporting in accordance with the standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control over financial reporting was maintained in all material respects. An audit of internal control over financial reporting includes obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial reporting, evaluating management's assessment, testing and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal control, and performing such other procedures as we consider necessary in the circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable basis for our opinions.

 

A company's internal control over financial reporting is a process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. A company's internal control over financial reporting includes those policies and procedures that (i) pertain to the maintenance of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the company; (ii) provide reasonable assurance that transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company are being made only in accordance with authorizations of management and directors of the company; and (iii) provide reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the company's assets that could have a material effect on the financial statements.

<PAGE>  57

Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements. Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future periods are subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.

 
 

/s/  PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP

 

Boston, MA

March 14, 2006

<PAGE>  58

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Balance Sheet

December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


ASSETS

       

Investments (Note C):

       

    Fixed maturities, at market (amortized cost: $2,037,127 and $1,674,849)

 

$2,029,173 

 

$1,692,523 

    Preferred stocks, at market (cost: $395,099 and $421,247)

 

393,681 

 

422,344 

    Common stocks, at market (cost: $103,472 and $74,865)

 

102,344 

 

81,433 

    Preferred stock mutual funds, at equity (cost: $88,859 and $54,653)

 

96,332 

 

61,429 

    Mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable (less

       

      allowance for possible loan losses of $55 and $372)

 

17,746 

 

14,735 

    Cash and cash equivalents

 

97,942 

 

220,988 

    Other investments, at equity (cost: $28,976 and $32,277)

 

28,111 

 

34,281 

   


        Total cash and investments

 

2,765,329 

 

2,527,733 

Accrued investment income

 

22,267 

 

18,643 

Premiums receivable (less allowance for doubtful receivables of

       

  $2,254 and $2,254)

 

475,112 

 

459,775 

Deferred policy acquisition costs (Note D)

 

174,415 

 

163,645 

Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation (Note E)

 

61,625 

 

53,757 

Residual market receivable (Note M)

 

191,309 

 

193,618 

Due from reinsurers (Note M)

 

142,923 

 

133,328 

Deferred income taxes (Note K)

 

68,926 

 

43,372 

Other assets

 

25,104 

 

18,372 

   


        Total assets

 

$3,927,010 

 

$3,612,243 

   


         

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

       

Liabilities:

       

    Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses (Note F)

 

$   989,196 

 

$   990,260 

    Unearned premiums (Note J)

 

933,160 

 

902,566 

    Bonds payable ($300,000 face less discounts of $1,612 and $1,814) (Note G)

 

298,388 

 

298,186 

    Current income taxes (Note K)

 

9,601 

 

5,115 

    Deferred income (Note M)

 

8,757 

 

9,906 

    Accrued agents' profit sharing (Note H)

 

187,760 

 

109,432 

    Other liabilities and accrued expenses

 

189,122 

 

175,496 

   


        Total liabilities

 

2,615,984 

 

2,490,961 

   


Minority interest (Note A)

 

5,957 

 

5,126 

   


Stockholders' equity (Note I):

       

    Preferred stock, authorized 5,000,000 shares at $1.00 par value

 

 

    Common stock, authorized 100,000,000 shares at $0.50 par value;

       

      40,915,773 and 40,728,715 shares issued

 

20,458 

 

20,364 

    Paid-in capital

 

148,130 

 

134,943 

    Net accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income, net of income

       

      taxes (benefits) of $(3,649) and $8,833

 

(6,810)

 

16,403 

    Retained earnings

 

1,363,507 

 

1,169,009 

   


        Total stockholders' equity before treasury stock

 

1,525,285 

 

1,340,719 

Treasury stock, 7,262,571 and 7,405,966 shares, at cost

 

(220,216)

 

(224,563)

   


        Total stockholders' equity

 

1,305,069 

 

1,116,156 

   


        Total liabilities, minority interest and stockholders' equity

 

$3,927,010 

 

$3,612,243 

   


         

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

<PAGE>  59

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statement of Earnings

For the years ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, Except Share and Per Share Data)

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Revenues:

           

    Earned premiums (Note J)

 

$1,709,924 

 

$1,638,833 

 

$1,445,628 

    Net investment income (Note C)

 

123,211 

 

115,711 

 

92,183 

    Premium finance and service fees

 

28,298 

 

28,281 

 

26,908 

    Net realized investment gains (Note C)

 

22,907 

 

23,628 

 

76,103 

    Other income

 

41 

 

118 

 

   


        Total revenues

 

1,884,381 

 

1,806,571 

 

1,640,822 

   


Expenses:

           

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses (Notes F and M)

 

1,050,186 

 

1,044,840 

 

1,070,147 

    Policy acquisition costs (Note D)

 

463,297 

 

439,232 

 

350,250 

    Interest expense and amortization of bond fees (Note G)

 

18,293 

 

18,313 

 

1,120 

   


        Total expenses

 

1,531,776 

 

1,502,385 

 

1,421,517 

   


Earnings before income taxes and minority interest

 

352,605 

 

304,186 

 

219,305 

    Income taxes (Note K)

 

107,768 

 

89,003 

 

58,068 

   


Earnings before minority interest

 

244,837 

 

215,183 

 

161,237 

    Minority interest in net earnings of subsidiary (Note A)

 

(925)

 

(752)

 

(294)

   


NET EARNINGS

 

$   243,912 

 

$   214,431 

 

$   160,943 

   


             

Net earnings per common share (Note I):

           

    Basic

 

$         7.26 

 

$         6.54 

 

$         5.03 

   


    Diluted

 

$         7.21 

 

$         6.51 

 

$         4.99 

   


             

Cash dividends paid per share

 

$         1.47 

 

$         1.31 

 

$         1.27 

   


Weighted average number of common shares outstanding:

           

    Basic

 

33,585,858 

 

32,802,023 

 

32,000,220 

   


    Diluted

 

33,847,665 

 

32,952,714 

 

32,254,663 

   


             

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

<PAGE>  60

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statement of Stockholders' Equity

For the years ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, except share and per share amounts)

 
   

Common
Stock

 

Paid-In
Capital

 

Net
Accumulated
Other
Comprehensive
Income/(Loss)

 

Retained
Earnings

 

Treasury
Stock

 

Total

   


Balance, January 1, 2003

 

$19,141

 

$  39,570

 

$ 25,264 

 

$   877,308 

 

$(171,231)

 

$   790,052 

                       


  Net earnings

             

160,943 

     

160,943 

                       


  Other comprehensive income:

                       

    Unrealized holding gains

                       

      arising during the year,

                       

      net of tax of $5,441

         

10,097 

         

10,097 

    Reclassification adjustment,

                       

      net of tax benefit

                       

      of $(3,380)

         

(6,278)

         

(6,278)

           


         


  Other comprehensive income

         

3,819 

         

3,819 

           


         


  Comprehensive income

                     

164,762 

  Stockholder dividends

             

(40,641)

     

(40,641)

  Capital stock issued (1)

 

174

 

12,520

             

12,694 

  Treasury stock purchased

                 

(14,656)

 

(14,656)

   


 


 


 


 


 


Balance, December 31, 2003

 

19,315

 

52,090

 

29,083 

 

997,610 

 

(185,887)

 

912,211 

                       


  Net earnings

             

214,431 

     

214,431 

                       


  Other comprehensive loss:

                       

    Unrealized holding gains

                       

      arising during the year,

                       

      net of tax of $7,012

         

13,028 

         

13,028 

    Reclassification adjustment,

                       

      net of tax benefit of $(13,843)

         

(25,708)

         

(25,708)

           


         


  Other comprehensive loss

         

(12,680)

         

(12,680)

           


         


  Comprehensive income

                     

201,751 

  Stockholder dividends

             

(43,032)

     

(43,032)

  Capital stock issued (2)

 

1,049

 

82,853

             

83,902 

  Treasury stock purchased

                 

(38,676)

 

(38,676)

   


 


 


 


 


 


Balance, December 31, 2004

 

20,364

 

134,943

 

16,403 

 

1,169,009 

 

(224,563)

 

1,116,156 

                       


  Net earnings

             

243,912 

     

243,912 

                       


  Other comprehensive loss:

                       

    Unrealized holding losses

                       

      arising during the year,

                       

      net of tax benefit

                       

      of $(7,091)

         

(13,201)

         

(13,201)

    Reclassification adjustment,

                       

      net of tax benefit

                       

      of $(5,391)

         

(10,012)

         

(10,012)

           


         


  Other comprehensive loss

         

(23,213)

         

(23,213)

           


         


  Comprehensive income

                     

220,699 

  Stockholder dividends

             

(49,414)

     

(49,414)

  Capital stock issued (3)

 

94

 

7,884

             

7,978 

  Treasury stock reissued

     

5,303

         

4,347 

 

9,650 

   


 


 


 


 


 


Balance, December 31, 2005

 

$20,458

 

$148,130

 

$  (6,810)

 

$1,363,507 

 

$(220,216)

 

$1,305,069 

   


 


 


 


 


 


                         


 

(1)

Due to the exercise of 348,037 employee stock options.

(2)

Due to the exercise of 1,747,163 employee stock options and 1,500,250 American Commerce agents' options (351,888 shares).

(3)

Due to the exercise of 54,221 employee stock options and 292,955 American Commerce agents' options (132,797 shares).

   

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

<PAGE>  61

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows and Reconciliation

of Net Earnings to Cash From Operating Activities

For the years ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Operating Activities:

           

    Premiums collected

 

$1,709,573 

 

$1,678,313 

 

$1,494,514 

    Net investment income received

 

121,279 

 

110,643 

 

87,081 

    Premium finance and service fees received

 

28,298 

 

28,281 

 

26,908 

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses paid

 

(1,031,567)

 

(996,493)

 

(957,763)

    Policy acquisition costs paid

 

(381,923)

 

(375,757)

 

(346,320)

    Federal income taxes

 

(116,354)

 

(102,756)

 

(46,882)

    Interest paid

 

(17,850)

 

(17,850)

 

    Other receipts

 

41 

 

118 

 

   


        Cash from operating activities

 

311,497 

 

324,499 

 

257,538 

   


Investing Activities:

           

    Investment sales, repayments and maturities

 

2,036,214 

 

2,120,964 

 

1,364,376 

    Investment purchases

 

(2,412,949)

 

(2,418,402)

 

(1,874,119)

    Mortgage loans and collateral notes receipts

 

3,984 

 

4,087 

 

13,471 

    Mortgage loans and collateral notes originated

 

(6,978)

 

(2,319)

 

(3,072)

    Property and equipment purchases

 

(15,064)

 

(6,540)

 

(7,528)

    Other investing activities

 

4,300 

 

4,161 

 

2,908 

   


        Cash for investing activities

 

(390,493)

 

(298,049)

 

(503,964)

   


Financing Activities:

           

    Dividends paid to stockholders

 

(49,414)

 

(43,032)

 

(40,641)

    Capital stock purchases

 

 

 

(8,058)

    Capital stock issued

 

2,437 

 

22,606 

 

5,586 

    Proceeds from bond issuance

 

 

 

297,972 

    Bond issue costs

 

 

(454)

 

(2,317)

    Outstanding checks payable

 

2,927 

 

(123)

 

3,110 

   


        Cash (for) from financing activities

 

(44,050)

 

(21,003)

 

255,652 

   


(Decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents

 

(123,046)

 

5,447 

 

9,226 

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year

 

220,988 

 

215,541 

 

206,315 

   


Cash and cash equivalents at end of year

 

$     97,942 

 

$   220,988 

 

$   215,541 

   


             

Reconciliation of net earnings to cash from operating activities:

           

    Net earnings

 

$   243,912 

 

$   214,431 

 

$   160,943 

    Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to cash from operating activities:

           

        Premiums receivable

 

(15,404)

 

(47,746)

 

(64,229)

        Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(10,770)

 

(10,040)

 

(15,364)

        Residual market receivable

 

2,309 

 

(874)

 

(28,267)

        Due from reinsurers

 

(9,595)

 

(15,542)

 

(19,383)

        Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

(1,064)

 

32,907 

 

142,217 

        Unearned premiums

 

30,594 

 

92,104 

 

123,314 

        Current income taxes

 

4,486 

 

(9,976)

 

15,753 

        Deferred income taxes

 

(13,072)

 

(3,777)

 

(4,567)

        Deferred income

 

(1,149)

 

1,960 

 

(475)

        Accrued agents' profit sharing

 

78,328 

 

71,545 

 

5,337 

        Net realized investment gains

 

(22,907)

 

(23,628)

 

(76,103)

        Stock option exercises

 

15,191 

 

22,620 

 

510 

        Other - net

 

10,638 

 

515 

 

17,852 

   


            Cash from operating activities

 

$   311,497 

 

$   324,499 

 

$   257,538 

   


     

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these consolidated financial statements.

<PAGE>  62

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note A - Organization and Basis of Presentation

 

      We provide personal and commercial property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts and, to a lesser extent, in other states. In addition, we originate and service residential and commercial mortgages in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Our primary business is property and casualty insurance in Massachusetts.

 

      Our consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Our consolidated financial statements include the accounts of The Commerce Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries, Bay Finance Company, Inc., Clark-Prout Insurance Agency, Inc. and Commerce Holdings, Inc. (CHI). The Commerce Insurance Company (Commerce), Commerce West Insurance Company (Commerce West) and Citation Insurance Company (Citation) are wholly-owned subsidiaries of CHI. American Commerce Insurance Company (American Commerce) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ACIC Holding Co., Inc. (AHC). AHC is owned jointly with AAA Southern New England (AAA SNE) with CHI maintaining a 95% common stock interest and AAA SNE maintaining a 5% common stock interest. All inter-company transactions and balances have been eliminated in consolidation. Certain prior year account balances have been reclassified to conform to the 2005 presentations.

 

      The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could differ from those estimates.

 

Note B - Pro Forma Net Earnings

 

      Pro forma net earnings and earnings per share as if we had applied the fair value method of accounting for our stock-based compensation plans accounted for under the intrinsic value method for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Net earnings, as reported

 

$243,912

 

$214,431

 

$160,943

Deduct: Stock-based employee compensation expense determined

           

  under fair value method for awards granted in 2001, net of taxes

 

-

 

452

 

1,807

   


Pro forma net earnings under fair value accounting

 

$243,912

 

$213,979

 

$159,136

   


Basic earnings per share:

           

    As reported

 

$      7.26

 

$      6.54

 

$      5.03

   


    Pro forma

 

$      7.26

 

$      6.52

 

$      4.97

   


Diluted earnings per share:

           

    As reported

 

$      7.21

 

$      6.51

 

$      4.99

   


    Pro forma

 

$      7.21

 

$      6.49

 

$      4.93

   


             

      All stock option based awards accounted for under the intrinsic value method were earned as of the first quarter of 2004; therefore, no additional expense was required after that date.

 

Note C - Investments

 

      All investment transactions have credit exposure to the extent that a counter party may default on an obligation. Credit risk is a consequence of carrying investment positions. We manage credit risk by focusing on higher quality fixed-income securities and preferred stocks, reviewing the credit strength of all companies in which we invest, limiting our exposure in any one investment category and monitoring the portfolio quality, taking into account credit ratings assigned by recognized statistical rating organizations.

 

      Carrying values of investments in fixed maturities, which include taxable and non-taxable bonds and investments in common and preferred stocks, are derived from market prices supplied by our investment custodian, or in the few cases where no price is provided by the custodian, we obtain a third party valuation.

<PAGE>  63

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

      We account for venture capital fund investments, which is included in other investments, in which we own more than a 5% interest on the equity method. The operating results of these venture capital fund investments have been reflected in realized gains and losses.

 

      All of our investments in fixed maturity and equity securities at December 31, 2005 and 2004 were classified as available-for-sale. Realized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities were determined by using the specific identification method. We have not invested more than 5% of fixed maturities in any one state or political subdivision.

 

Cash and Cash Equivalents

 

      Cash equivalents include short-term, liquid investments that are readily convertible to known amounts of cash and so near their maturity that they present insignificant risk of changes in value because of changes in interest rates.

 

      The cash and cash equivalent balances at December 31, 2005 and 2004 are grossed up by $42,283 and $39,356, respectively, which represents outstanding checks for which there was no right of offset. These amounts are included in other liabilities and accrued expenses for the respective years.

 

Fixed Maturity Securities

 

      Fair market value and amortized cost of our fixed maturity securities at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


 


   

Fair Market
Value

 

Amortized
Cost

 

Fair Market
Value

 

Amortized
Cost

   


                 

U.S. government and agency

 

$   273,820

 

$   276,386

 

$     52,817

 

$     53,060

State and political subdivision

 

732,617

 

725,556

 

720,575

 

705,272

Corporate

 

550,654

 

558,191

 

333,166

 

327,871

Mortgage-backed

 

472,082

 

476,994

 

585,965

 

588,646

   


    Total fixed maturity securities

 

$2,029,173

 

$2,037,127

 

$1,692,523

 

$1,674,849

   


                 

      The fair market value and amortized cost of fixed maturities, by contractual maturity, at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


 


   

Fair Market
Value

 

Amortized
Cost

 

Fair Market
Value

 

Amortized
Cost

   


                 

Due in one year or less

 

$     19,521

 

$     19,719

 

$       9,843

 

$       9,843

Due after one year through five years

 

394,358

 

400,456

 

131,624

 

130,276

Due after five years through ten years

 

275,194

 

278,937

 

233,996

 

233,682

Due after ten years

 

868,018

 

861,021

 

731,095

 

712,402

   


   

1,557,091

 

1,560,133

 

1,106,558

 

1,086,203

Mortgage-backed

 

472,082

 

476,994

 

585,965

 

588,646

   


        Total fixed maturities

 

$2,029,173

 

$2,037,127

 

$1,692,523

 

$1,674,849

   


                 

      Expected maturities may differ from contractual maturities because issuers may have the right to call or prepay obligations. The carrying value of fixed maturities on deposit for state regulating authorities at December 31, 2005 was $8,026.

 

Closed-end Preferred Stock Mutual Funds

 

      We record our equity in the change in net assets of closed-end preferred stock mutual funds for which our ownership is greater than 20% as a component of realized gains and losses. These investments are valued at original cost plus the cumulative undistributed equity in earnings and losses of the fund.

<PAGE>  64

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

      Our closed-end preferred stock mutual fund holdings at December 31, 2005 and 2004 accounted for under the equity method follow:

 
   

Fund Shares
Held

 

% of
Ownership

 

Carrying
Value at
Equity

 

Cost

 

Quoted Market
Value

   


                     

December 31,2005

                   

PDT(1)

 

6,075,000

 

40.4%

 

$72,232

 

$66,553

 

$61,661

PGD(1)

 

1,768,200

 

21.2%

 

  24,100

 

  22,306

 

  21,219

           


           

$96,332

 

$88,859

 

$82,880

           


December 31, 2004

           

PDT(1)

 

5,043,400

 

33.5%

 

$61,429

 

$54,653

 

$58,050

           


     


 

(1)

John Hancock Patriot Premium Dividend II Fund (PDT) and John Hancock Patriot Global Dividend Fund (PGD). The quoted market values of these investments are less than carrying value at year end 2005 and 2004. The carrying value is the net asset value of the underlying securities, which would be the value we would receive if the fund liquidates. We intend to hold these investments to recovery.

   

Mortgage Loans on Real Estate and Collateral Notes Receivable

 

      We originate and hold real estate mortgage loans on properties located in Massachusetts and Connecticut. Mortgage loans are collateralized by the related real estate. Agency loans are generally collateralized by the assets of the agency. We control credit risk through credit approvals, credit limits and monitoring procedures. We perform in-depth credit evaluations on all new mortgage customers. We have not incurred any bad debt expense on mortgage loans during the three years ended 2005.

 

      Our exposure is generally 80% or less of the appraised value of any collateralized real property at the time of the loan origination. The ability and willingness of residential and commercial borrowers to honor their repayment commitments is generally dependent upon the level of overall economic activity and real estate values. During the three years ended 2005, we did not acquire any property through foreclosure of mortgages.

 

      Mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable are stated at the amount of unpaid principal, less an allowance for possible loan losses. The adequacy of the allowance for possible loan losses is evaluated on a regular basis. Loan losses are charged against the allowance when management believes the collectibility of the principal is unlikely and recoveries are credited to the allowance when received.

 

      Interest on mortgage loans is included in income as earned based upon rates applied to principal amounts outstanding. Accrual of interest on mortgage loans is discontinued either when reasonable doubt exists as to the full, timely collection of interest or principal, or when a loan becomes contractually past due more than 90 days. When a loan is placed on non-accrual status, all unpaid interest previously accrued is reversed against current period earnings.

 

      Mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable at December 31 follows:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


         

    Residential (1st Mortgages)

 

$10,995 

 

$  7,456 

    Residential (2nd Mortgages)

 

106 

 

117 

    Commercial (1st Mortgages)

 

4,888 

 

5,453 

   


   

15,989 

 

13,026 

    Collateral notes receivable

 

1,812 

 

2,081 

   


   

17,801 

 

15,107 

    Allowance for possible loan losses

 

(55)

 

(372)

   


    Mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable

 

$17,746 

 

$14,735 

   


     

      Fair value of our mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable is estimated by discounting the future cash flows using the current rates at which similar loans would be made to borrowers with similar credit and for the same remaining maturities. The future cash flows associated with certain non-performing loans are estimated based on expected payments from borrowers either through work out arrangements or the disposition of collateral. The estimated fair value of mortgage loans on real estate and collateral notes receivable at December 31, 2005 and 2004, prior to the allowance for possible loan losses, was $19,029 and $16,044, respectively.

<PAGE>  65

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

      At December 31, 2005 and 2004, mortgage loans on non-accrual status totaled $149 and $357, respectively. Allowances of $13 and $37 were established in 2005 and 2004, respectively, for these non-accrual status loans. The reduction in interest income associated with non-accrual loans was $8, $15 and $36 for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

 

      Changes in the allowance for possible loan losses for the years ended December 31 follows:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Balance, beginning of year

 

$372 

 

$379 

 

$418 

    Decrease in allowance for possible loan losses credited to earnings

 

(317)

 

(7)

 

(39)

   


Balance, end of year

 

$  55 

 

$372 

 

$379 

   


     

      Mortgage principal and collateral notes receivable balances at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


         

Fixed rate mortgages and collateral notes maturing:

       

    One year or less

 

$       18

 

$       36

    More than one year to five years

 

810

 

924

    More than five years to ten years

 

679

 

763

    Over ten years

 

9,750

 

6,329

   


        Total fixed mortgages

 

11,257

 

8,052

   


Adjustable rate mortgages and collateral notes maturing:

       

    One year or less

 

2

 

-

    More than one year to five years

 

723

 

352

    More than five years to ten years

 

435

 

1,506

    Over ten years

 

5,384

 

5,197

   


        Total adjustable mortgages

 

6,544

 

7,055

   


            Total mortgages

 

$17,801

 

$15,107

   


        Past due over 90 days

 

$       149

 

$     357

   


        Mortgages in foreclosure, included in past due over 90 days

 

$           -

 

$     105

   


     

Net Investment Income

 

      The components of net investment income for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Interest on fixed maturities

 

$  87,409

 

$  82,052

 

$49,909

Dividends on common and preferred stocks

 

26,387

 

25,278

 

23,393

Dividends on preferred stock mutual funds

 

8,187

 

8,342

 

18,199

Interest on cash and cash equivalents

 

2,511

 

1,510

 

1,563

Interest on mortgage loans

 

1,306

 

1,386

 

1,767

Other

 

512

 

126

 

640

   


        Total investment income

 

126,312

 

118,694

 

95,471

Investment expenses

 

3,101

 

2,983

 

3,288

   


        Net investment income

 

$123,211

 

$115,711

 

$92,183

   


     

      The carrying value of our fixed maturity investments which have not produced any income during 2005 was $118 at December 31, 2005.

<PAGE>  66

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

Net Realized Investment Gains

 

      Net realized investment gains for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Transaction gains (losses):

           

Fixed maturity securities gains

 

$ 31,652 

 

$ 40,308 

 

$ 28,701 

Fixed maturity securities losses

 

(10,517)

 

(27,575)

 

(5,901)

Equity securities gains

 

9,320 

 

23,134 

 

49,485 

Equity securities losses

 

(4,856)

 

(4,049)

 

(15,960)

Venture capital fund gains

 

1,013 

 

3,668 

 

428 

Venture capital fund losses

 

(176)

 

 

(396)

Other investments gains

 

740 

 

 

76 

Other investments losses

 

(113)

 

(213)

 

(409)

   


        Net transaction gains

 

27,063 

 

35,281 

 

56,024 

   


Impairment losses:

           

Fixed maturity securities

 

(305)

 

(14,189)

 

(9,566)

Equity securities

 

(4,547)

 

(760)

 

(8,050)

   


        Total impairment losses

 

(4,852)

 

(14,949)

 

(17,616)

   


Equity in earnings of closed-end preferred stock mutual funds

 

696 

 

3,296 

 

37,695 

   


        Net realized investment gains included in net earnings

 

$ 22,907 

 

$ 23,628 

 

$ 76,103 

   


     

      Proceeds from investment sales, calls, maturities and paydowns for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Sales:

           

    Closed-end preferred stock mutual funds

 

$          244

 

$               -

 

$   172,378

    Equity securities

 

457,496

 

267,624

 

345,535

    Fixed maturity securities

 

1,239,329

 

1,231,136

 

488,750

   


        Total sales

 

1,697,069

 

1,498,760

 

1,006,663

   


Calls, maturities and paydowns:

           

    Fixed maturity securities

 

282,581

 

581,246

 

291,460

    Equity securities

 

46,533

 

38,895

 

62,817

   


        Total calls, maturities and paydowns

 

329,114

 

620,141

 

354,277

   


Other:

           

    Venture capital fund investments

 

10,031

 

2,063

 

3,436

    Mortgage loans and collateral notes

 

3,984

 

4,087

 

13,471

   


        Total other

 

14,015

 

6,150

 

16,907

   


        Proceeds from sales, calls, maturities and paydowns

 

$2,040,198

 

$2,125,051

 

$1,377,847

   


     

Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses)

 

      Gross and net unrealized investment gains and losses, excluding minority interest, from fixed maturity and equity securities at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


 


   

Gains

 

Losses

 

Gains

 

Losses

   


                 

Fixed maturity securities:

               

U.S. government and agency

 

$      155 

 

$  (2,721)

 

$       46

 

$   (289)

State and political subdivision

 

12,618 

 

(5,557)

 

17,069

 

(1,766)

Corporate

 

1,634 

 

(9,171)

 

6,734

 

(1,439)

Mortgage-backed

 

1,079 

 

(5,991)

 

1,682

 

(4,363)

   


    Fixed maturity securities unrealized gains (losses)

 

$15,486 

 

$(23,440)

 

$25,531

 

$(7,857)

   


Equity securities unrealized gains (losses)

 

$   5,029 

 

$ (7,575)

 

$14,148

 

$(6,483)

   


    Net unrealized gains (losses)

 

$(10,500)

     

$25,339

   
   


 

      We review all security holdings on a quarterly basis for potential other-than-temporary declines in market value in accordance with GAAP. In general, unrealized losses resulting from an increase in interest rates will not necessarily lead to an other-than-temporary impairment write-down. As part of this process, we consider any significant market declines in the context of the overall market and also in relation to the outlook for the specific issuer of the security and the issuer's industry. Each quarter, we review all securities whose market values have declined below book price. From a quantitative standpoint,

<PAGE>  67

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

we view all securities that have declined more than 20% below book price and have remained so for two quarters as potentially in need of a write-down. Any other security that we view as impaired for a significant period of time is also a candidate for a write-down, even if the percentage decline is less than 20%. In addition, we perform the following quarterly review of our portfolio:

 
 

*

We review all holdings with an unrealized loss of over $250, or a fair market value that is more than 20% below cost.

     
 

*

We review all holdings with unrealized losses over $100, or a fair market value that is more than 10% below cost, for securities at a continuous loss position period of 12 to 36 months.

     
 

*

We review all securities that have been at a continuous loss position for 36 months or more.

     
 

*

We review both issue specific data and general market data for all perpetual preferred stocks that have been at a continuous loss position for over 12 months.

     
 

*

Generally, we consider all AAA/AA rated U.S. Government securities with market values less than cost as temporarily impaired due to our intent and ability to hold these securities to recovery.

     
 

*

We consider market activity between our quarter-end date and earnings release date in our evaluation.

     

      If a security is deemed other-than-temporarily impaired, we adjust the security's cost basis to market value through realized loss based on publicly available prices or, in the absence of such information, on a price supplied by a broker. During 2005, our other-than-temporary impairment charge for our bond and preferred and common stock holdings was $4,852.

 

      Gross unrealized losses on our fixed maturity and equity securities at December 31, 2005 by duration of unrealized loss and by credit quality (for fixed maturity securities) follow:

 
   

Total

 

0 - 6
Months

 

7 - 12
Months

 

13 - 24
Months

 

Over 24
Months

   


                     

Total equity and fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

408 

 

198 

 

135 

 

70 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$1,605,321 

 

$846,546 

 

$522,189 

 

$230,542 

 

$6,044 

    Total amortized cost

 

1,636,336 

 

860,721 

 

532,839 

 

236,592 

 

6,184 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$    (31,015)

 

$ (14,175)

 

$ (10,650)

 

$   (6,050)

 

$  (140)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.9%

 

1.7%

 

2.0%

 

2.6%

 

2.3%

   


 

Equity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

59 

 

41 

 

14 

 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$   228,828 

 

$182,722 

 

$  41,689 

 

$    3,568 

 

$   849 

    Total amortized cost

 

236,403 

 

189,088 

 

42,823 

 

3,617 

 

875 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$      (7,575)

 

$   (6,366)

 

$   (1,134)

 

$        (49)

 

$    (26)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

3.3%

 

3.5%

 

2.7%

 

1.4%

 

3.1%

   


 

Total fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

349 

 

157 

 

121 

 

67 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$1,376,493 

 

$663,824 

 

$480,500 

 

$226,974 

 

$5,195 

    Total amortized cost

 

1,399,933 

 

671,633 

 

490,016 

 

232,975 

 

5,309 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$    (23,440)

 

$   (7,809)

 

$   (9,516)

 

$   (6,001)

 

$  (114)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.7%

 

1.2%

 

2.0%

 

2.6%

 

2.2%

   


<PAGE>  68

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

Investment grade fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

327 

 

142 

 

115 

 

66 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$1,290,285 

 

$599,150 

 

$461,041 

 

$224,899 

 

$5,195 

    Total amortized cost

 

1,311,280 

 

605,920 

 

469,268 

 

230,783 

 

5,309 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$    (20,995)

 

$   (6,770)

 

$   (8,227)

 

$   (5,884)

 

$  (114)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.6%

 

1.1%

 

1.8%

 

2.6%

 

2.2%

   


                     

Below investment grade fixed maturity
  securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

22 

 

15 

 

 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$     86,208 

 

$  64,674 

 

$  19,459 

 

$    2,075 

 

$        - 

    Total amortized cost

 

88,653 

 

65,713 

 

20,748 

 

2,192 

 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$      (2,445)

 

$   (1,039)

 

$   (1,289)

 

$      (117)

 

$        - 

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

2.8%

 

1.6%

 

6.6%

 

5.6%

 

   


                     

      Our unrealized losses from below investment grade fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2005 were from corporate securities with a credit quality of BB.

 

      We reviewed our investment holdings at December 31, 2005 for other-than-temporary declines in market value, in accordance with our previously stated accounting policy. Based on this analysis, we determined that the impairments represented in the above gross unrealized loss table are temporary. These temporary impairments are primarily due to interest rates and general market conditions. We have the intent and ability to hold to recovery or maturity our temporarily impaired equity or fixed maturity securities, respectively.

 

      In November 2005, the FASB issued Staff Position (FSP) 115-1 and 124-1, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments. This FSP addresses the determination as to when an investment is impaired, whether that impairment is other-than-temporary, and the measurement of an impairment loss. The guidance in this FSP shall be applied to reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2005; however, early application is permitted. We will adopt this FSP during the first quarter of 2006. We believe the application of the provisions of this FSP will not have a material impact on our financial statements.

 

      Gross unrealized losses on our equity and fixed maturity securities at December 31, 2004, by duration of unrealized loss, follow:

 
   

Total

 

0 - 6
Months

 

7 - 12
Months

 

13 - 24
Months

 

Over 24
Months

   


                     

Total equity and fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

231 

 

141 

 

66 

 

20 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$1,007,625 

 

$584,494 

 

$345,751 

 

$74,509 

 

$2,871 

    Total amortized cost

 

1,021,965 

 

588,678 

 

353,367 

 

77,028 

 

2,892 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$    (14,340)

 

$   (4,184)

 

$   (7,616)

 

$ (2,519)

 

$    (21)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.4%

 

0.7%

 

2.2%

 

3.4%

 

0.7%

   


                     

Equity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

57 

 

26 

 

23 

 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$   220,106 

 

$115,395 

 

$  86,234 

 

$16,290 

 

$2,187 

    Total amortized cost

 

226,589 

 

116,732 

 

90,285 

 

17,368 

 

2,204 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$      (6,483)

 

$   (1,337)

 

$   (4,051)

 

$ (1,078)

 

$    (17)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

2.9%

 

1.2%

 

4.7%

 

6.6%

 

0.8%

   


                     

Fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

174 

 

115 

 

43 

 

14 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$   787,519 

 

$469,099 

 

$259,517 

 

$58,219 

 

$   684 

    Total amortized cost

 

795,376 

 

471,946 

 

263,082 

 

59,660 

 

688 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$      (7,857)

 

$   (2,847)

 

$   (3,565)

 

$ (1,441)

 

$      (4)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.0%

 

0.6%

 

1.4%

 

2.5%

 

0.6%

   


<PAGE>  69

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note C - Investments (Continued)

 

Investment grade fixed maturity securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

171 

 

113 

 

42 

 

14 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$   770,033 

 

$461,363 

 

$249,767 

 

$58,219 

 

$   684 

    Total amortized cost

 

777,547 

 

464,117 

 

253,082 

 

59,660 

 

688 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$      (7,514)

 

$   (2,754)

 

$   (3,315)

 

$ (1,441)

 

$      (4)

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

1.0%

 

0.6%

 

1.3%

 

2.5%

 

0.6%

   


 

Below investment grade fixed maturity
  securities:

                   

    Number of positions

 

 

 

 

 

   


    Total fair market value

 

$     17,486 

 

$    7,736 

 

$9,750

 

$          - 

 

$        - 

    Total amortized cost

 

17,829 

 

7,829 

 

10,000

 

 

   


Unrealized loss

 

$         (343)

 

$        (93)

 

$ (250)

 

$        - 

 

$        - 

   


Unrealized loss percentage to

                   

  fair market value

 

2.0%

 

1.2%

 

2.6%

 

 

   


                     

Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

      Other comprehensive income (loss), less applicable income tax expense, for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Other comprehensive income (loss):

           

    Fixed maturities

 

$(25,629)

 

$  (1,321)

 

$  2,093 

    Preferred stocks

 

(2,514)

 

(14,673)

 

11,854 

    Common stocks

 

(7,696)

 

(3,543)

 

(8,104)

    Impact of minority interest

 

144 

 

26 

 

37 

   


        Total

 

(35,695)

 

(19,511)

 

5,880 

   


Tax benefit (expense)

 

12,532 

 

6,840 

 

(2,048)

Tax impact of minority interest

 

(50)

 

(9)

 

(13)

   


    Total tax benefit (expense)

 

12,482 

 

6,831 

 

(2,061)

   


    Total other comprehensive (loss) income

 

$(23,213)

 

$(12,680)

 

$  3,819 

   


 

Net Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (Loss)

 

      Unrealized investment gains and losses on common and preferred stocks and fixed maturities, to the extent that there is no other-than-temporary impairment of value, are credited or charged, net of any tax effect, to a separate component of stockholders' equity, known as "net accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income," until realized.

 

      Net accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) on stocks and fixed maturity investments follows:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Accumulated other comprehensive income

 

$ 20,515 

 

$ 39,679 

 

$ 59,876 

Accumulated other comprehensive losses

 

(31,015)

 

(14,340)

 

(15,000)

Impact of minority interest

 

41 

 

(103)

 

(129)

   


    Net accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

 

(10,459)

 

25,236 

 

44,747 

   


Tax benefit (expense)

 

3,663 

 

(8,869)

 

(15,709)

Tax impact of minority interest

 

(14)

 

36 

 

45 

   


    Net tax benefit (expense)

 

3,649 

 

(8,833)

 

(15,664)

   


    Total

 

$  (6,810)

 

$ 16,403 

 

$ 29,083 

   


 

Note D - Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs

 

      Policy acquisition costs are calculated by line of business as a percentage of unearned premiums by multiplying the sum of current commission rates plus current premium tax rates plus an estimate of the percentage of other underwriting expenses incurred at policy issuance. These costs are deferred and amortized over the period in which the related premiums are earned, the amount being reduced by any potential premium deficiency. If any potential premium deficiency exists, it represents future estimated losses, loss adjustment expenses and amortization of deferred acquisition costs in excess of the

<PAGE>  70

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note D - Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs (Continued)

 

related unearned premiums. There was no premium deficiency in 2005, 2004 and 2003. In determining whether a premium deficiency exists, we consider anticipated investment income on the unearned premium reserve.

 

      Policy acquisition costs incurred and amortized to income follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Balance, January 1

 

$ 163,645 

 

$ 153,605 

 

$ 138,241 

Costs deferred during the year

 

474,067 

 

449,272 

 

365,614 

Amortization charged to expense

 

(463,297)

 

(439,232)

 

(350,250)

   


Balance, December 31

 

$ 174,415 

 

$ 163,645 

 

$ 153,605 

   


 

      In September 2005, the AICPA issued a new accounting pronouncement, Statement of Position (SOP) 05-01, Accounting by Insurance Enterprises for Deferred Acquisition Costs in Connection with Modifications or Exchanges of Insurance Contracts. This SOP provides guidance on accounting for deferred acquisition costs on internal replacements of insurance and investment contracts other than those specifically described in Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 97. Internal replacements are modifications in product benefits, features, rights, or coverages that occur by the exchange of a contract for a new contract, or by amendment, endorsement, or rider to a contract, or by the election of a feature or coverage within a contract. The provisions of this SOP are effective for internal replacements occurring in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006. We will adopt this SOP during the first quarter of 2007. Financial statement application of this SOP is prospective and initial application would generally occur as of the beginning of the fiscal year. We believe the adoption of this SOP will not have a material impact on our future financial statements.

 

Note E - Property and Equipment

 

      Our property and equipment at December 31 follows:

 
     

2005

 

2004

 
     


 
             
 

Buildings

 

$  56,133 

 

$  55,701 

 
 

EDP equipment and copiers

 

34,247 

 

33,584 

 
 

Equipment and office furniture

 

13,481 

 

13,337 

 
 

Software

 

9,085 

 

 
 

Automobiles

 

1,781 

 

1,589 

 
 

Building improvements

 

1,080 

 

1,019 

 
     


 
     

115,807 

 

105,230 

 
 

    Less accumulated depreciation

 

(59,473)

 

(55,358)

 
     


 
     

56,334 

 

49,872 

 
 

Land

 

5,291 

 

3,885 

 
     


 
     

$  61,625 

 

$  53,757 

 
     


 
         

      Property and equipment are stated at cost and are depreciated on the straight-line method over the estimated useful lives of the assets using the following rates and lives:

 
   

Percent Per
Annum

 

Useful Life
(Years)

   


         

Buildings

 

  2.5

 

40

Building improvements (prior to 1992)

 

  2.5

 

40

Building improvements (1992 and subsequent)

 

  5.0

 

20

Equipment and office furniture

 

10.0

 

10

EDP equipment and copiers

 

20.0

 

  5

Automobiles

 

20.0

 

  5

Software

 

33.3

 

  3

         

      Maintenance and repairs are charged to operations; betterments are capitalized. The cost of property sold or otherwise disposed and the accumulated depreciation thereon is eliminated from the related property and accumulated depreciation accounts and any resulting gain or loss is credited or charged to income. We capitalize tangible property and equipment having an economic life of more than one year with a dollar value of $2.5 or greater.

<PAGE>  71

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note E - Property and Equipment (Continued)

 

      The cost of computer software developed or obtained for internal use in excess of $150 is capitalized in accordance with SOP 98-1, Accounting for the Costs of Computer Software Developed or Obtained for Internal Use. Amounts below the $150 threshold are expensed in the period the costs are incurred. Capitalized costs are generally amortized on a straight-line basis over a three-year period, unless another rational basis is more representative of the software's use.

 

      Depreciation expense was $6,091, $5,975 and $5,893 for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. Depreciation expense is allocated evenly between loss adjustment expenses and policy acquisition costs.

 

Note F - Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (LAE)

 

      The liability for unpaid losses and LAE represents our best estimate of the ultimate net cost of all losses and LAE incurred through the balance sheet date. This estimate includes the adjusted case estimates for losses, incurred but not reported losses, salvage and subrogation recoverable and a reserve for LAE. In arriving at our best estimate, we begin with the aggregate of individual case reserves and then make adjustments to these amounts on a line of business basis. These adjustments to the aggregate case reserves by line of business are made based on our analysis as further described below. The entire liability for unpaid losses and LAE is also independently reviewed quarterly and annually by our Actuarial Department. Liability estimates are continually analyzed and updated, and therefore, the ultimate liability may be more or less than the current estimate. The effects of changes in the estimates are included in the results of operations in the period in which the estimates are revised.

 

      Significant time can elapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to the insurer and the insurer's payment of that loss. We recognize liabilities for unpaid losses by establishing reserves as balance sheet liabilities representing estimates of amounts needed to pay reported and unreported losses and LAE. We review these reserves quarterly. Regulations of the Divisions of Insurance require us to obtain a certification annually from either a qualified actuary or an approved loss reserve specialist that our loss and LAE reserves are reasonable.

 

      When a claim is reported to us, we establish a "case reserve" for the estimated amount of our ultimate exposure. The amount of the reserve is primarily based upon an evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding the claim and the policy provisions relating to the loss. This estimate reflects our informed judgment based on general insurance reserving practices and on our experience and knowledge. During the loss adjustment period, these estimates are revised as deemed necessary based on subsequent developments and periodic reviews of the cases.

 

      In accordance with industry practice, we also maintain reserves for estimated incurred but not reported (IBNR) and LAE net of salvage and subrogation recoverable. These reserves are determined based on historical information and experience. Adjustments to these reserves are made periodically to take into account changes in the volume of business written, claims frequency and severity, the mix of business, claims processing and other items that can be expected to affect our liability for losses and LAE.

 

      When reviewing the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, we analyze historical data and estimate the impact of various factors, including:

 
 

*

payment trends;

     
 

*

loss expense per exposure;

     
 

*

our historical loss experience and that of the industry;

     
 

*

frequency and severity trends;

     
 

*

legislative enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in the imposition of damages; and

     
 

*

changes and trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation and recession.

 

This process assumes that past experience, adjusted for the effects of current developments and anticipated trends, is an appropriate basis for predicting future events. There is no precise method, however, for subsequently evaluating the impact of any specific factor on the adequacy of reserves, because the eventual development of reserves is affected by many factors.

<PAGE>  72

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note F - Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (LAE) (Continued)

 

      By using both individual estimates of reported claims and generally accepted actuarial reserving techniques, we estimate the ultimate net liability for losses and LAE. After taking into account all relevant factors, we believe that, based on existing information, the provision for losses and LAE at December 31, 2005 is adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of losses and claims incurred as of that date. The ultimate liability, however, may be greater or lower than established reserves. If the ultimate exposure is greater than (or less than) our estimated liability for losses and LAE, we will incur additional expense (income) which may have a material impact on our consolidated financial position. We do not discount to present value that portion of our loss reserves expected to be paid in future periods.

 

      Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses for environmental related claims such as oil spills, mold and lead paint are included in the loss reserve methodologies described above. Reserves have been established to cover these claims for known losses. Because of our limited exposure to these types of claims, we believe they will not have a material impact on our consolidated financial position in the future. Loss reserves on environmental related claims amounted to $7,772 and $6,646 at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

 

      Liabilities for unpaid losses and LAE at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


         

Net voluntary unpaid loss and LAE reserves

 

$ 806,552 

 

$ 783,159 

Voluntary salvage and subrogation recoverable

 

(102,878)

 

(97,218)

Assumed unpaid loss and LAE reserves from Commonwealth Automobile

       

  Reinsurers (CAR)

 

152,506 

 

167,502 

Assumed salvage and subrogation recoverable from CAR

 

(21,481)

 

(23,317)

   


      Total voluntary and assumed unpaid loss and LAE reserves

 

834,699 

 

830,126 

Adjustment for ceded unpaid loss and LAE reserves

 

163,497 

 

169,134 

Adjustment for ceded salvage and subrogation recoverable

 

(9,000)

 

(9,000)

   


      Total unpaid loss and LAE reserves

 

$ 989,196 

 

$ 990,260 

   


 

      The change in reserves for unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance deductions from all reinsurers, including CAR, for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Incurred losses and LAE:

           

    Provision for insured events of the current year

 

$1,111,583 

 

$1,101,871 

 

$1,095,371 

    Decrease in provision for insured events of prior years

 

(61,397)

 

(57,031)

 

(25,224)

   


        Total incurred losses and LAE

 

1,050,186 

 

1,044,840 

 

1,070,147 

   


Payments:

           

Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of the current year

 

672,894 

 

637,373 

 

625,803 

Losses and LAE attributable to insured events of prior years

 

372,719 

 

369,684 

 

330,349 

   


Total payments

 

1,045,613 

 

1,007,057 

 

956,152 

   


Change in loss and LAE reserves during the year

 

4,573 

 

37,783 

 

113,995 

Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance

           

  recoverable, beginning of year

 

830,126 

 

792,343 

 

678,348 

   


Loss and LAE reserves prior to the effect of ceded reinsurance

           

  recoverable, end of year

 

834,699 

 

830,126 

 

792,343 

Ceded reinsurance recoverable

 

154,497 

 

160,134 

 

165,010 

   


Loss and LAE reserves, end of year

 

$   989,196 

 

$   990,260 

 

$   957,353 

   


 

      As a result of changes in estimates of insured events in prior years, the provision for loss and LAE decreased $61,397 for the year ended 2005 and $57,031 for the year ended 2004. The favorable development is due primarily to lower than anticipated losses related to the personal automobile liability, the automobile physical damage and the commercial multiple peril lines of business. Conditions and trends that have affected development in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based upon these developments. The amounts we will ultimately incur from loss and loss adjustment expenses could differ materially in the near term from the amounts recorded.

 

      Approximately $54,370 in personal automobile liability redundancies developed for the year ended 2005, with 92% of this amount coming from the 2004, 2003 and 2002 accident years. The primary reason for the redundancies in this area is that claim severity came in better than we anticipated, coupled with significant redundancies from CAR. Automobile physical damage had approximately $7,447 in redundancies chiefly related to the 2004 accident year, approximately 60% of which related to CAR. In 2005, we also experienced redundancies of $1,733 for the commercial multiple peril line of business, 62% of which related to the 2004 accident year. Partially offsetting these redundancies was a $3,467 deficiency in

<PAGE>  73

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note F - Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses (LAE) (Continued)

 

commercial automobile business, primarily related to CAR for the 2004 accident year. Various redundancies and deficiencies for the other lines of business and accident years combined for the remaining approximately $1,314 net redundancy.

 

      As a result of changes in estimates of insured events in prior years, the provision for loss and LAE decreased $57,031 for the year ended 2004 and $25,224 for the year ended 2003. The favorable development is due primarily to lower than anticipated losses related to the personal automobile liability, the automobile physical damage and the commercial multiple peril lines of business. Conditions and trends that have affected development in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based upon these developments. The amounts we will ultimately incur from loss and loss adjustment expenses could differ materially in the near term from the amounts recorded.

 

      Approximately $51,027 in personal automobile liability redundancies developed for the year ended 2004, with 98% of this amount coming from the 2003, 2002 and 2001 accident years. The primary reason for the redundancies in this area is that claim severity came in better than we anticipated. The redundancy for personal automobile liability that related to CAR accounted for approximately 2.5% of the total. Automobile physical damage had approximately $2,334 in redundancies related to the 2003 accident year approximately 98% of which was related to CAR. In 2004, we also experienced redundancies of $2,222 for the commercial multiple peril line of business, half of which related to the 1996 accident year. Various redundancies and deficiencies for the other lines of business and accident years combined for the remaining approximately $1,448 net redundancy.

 

      Our aggregate actuarial estimate for the loss and LAE reserves, on a consolidated basis and net of reinsurance recoverable, ranges from a low of $764,600 to a high of $877,900, as of December 31, 2005. Our financial statement loss and LAE reserves net of reinsurance, based on our best estimate, was established at $834,699 for that date. We calculate our estimate independently from those amounts as calculated by our actuaries and, therefore, the final results are most often not the same. We estimate amounts primarily by reviewing historical loss and LAE data, focusing mainly on payment data. We also review and compare most recent loss frequency, severity and payment data to historical trends in an attempt to determine if patterns are remaining consistent or not. We attempt to establish our reserve estimate as close to the amount required for the ultimate future payments necessary to settle all losses. The accuracy of this estimate is reflected by the line noted in the above table entitled "decrease in provision for insured events of prior years."

 

      Our loss and LAE reserves reflect our share of the aggregate loss from CAR and our LAE reserves and the other writers of automobile insurance in Massachusetts that participate in CAR (Servicing Carriers).

 

Note G - Bonds Payable

 

      On December 9, 2003, we issued $300,000 face value of senior unsecured and unsubordinated debt (the Senior Notes) which matures December 9, 2013. The Senior Notes were issued at 99.3% to yield 6.04% and bear a coupon interest rate of 5.95%, payable semi-annually on June 9 and December 9. Proceeds from the issuance were $298,000. Costs related to the issuance of the Senior Notes have been deferred and recorded in other assets on the balance sheet. The deferred costs and the original issue discount will be amortized into interest expense over the life of the Senior Notes. The fair market value of the Senior Notes at December 31, 2005 was estimated at $303,900.

 

Note H - Commitments

 

      In 2000, Commerce entered into a Limited Partnership Agreement with Conning Partners VI, L.P., a Delaware Limited Partnership. This partnership agreement required our commitment to invest up to $50,000 into the partnership. In 2005, we received $1,245 of our principal from the partnership. In 2004 and 2003, we invested $10,688 and $5,250, respectively, into the partnership. As of December 31, 2005, we have invested $34,309 into the partnership, leaving a commitment balance to the partnership of $15,691. The partnership was formed to operate as an investment fund principally for the purpose of making investments primarily in equity, equity-related and other securities issued in expansion financing, start-ups, buy-outs and recapitalization transactions. The fund targets companies in the areas of insurance, financial services, e-commerce, healthcare, and related businesses, including, without limitation, service and technology enterprises supporting such businesses, in order to realize long-term capital returns, all as determined and managed by the General Partner for the benefit of the Partners.

 

      Also in 2000, Commerce entered into a Limited Partnership Agreement with Distribution Partners Investment Capital, L.P. a Delaware Limited Partnership. This partnership agreement required our commitment to invest up to $3,500 into the partnership. We have not invested in the partnership since 2002. As of December 31, 2005, we have invested $2,555 into the partnership leaving a balance of $945 for funds still committed. The partnership was formed to operate as an investment fund principally for the purpose of making investments primarily in equity and equity-related securities of

<PAGE>  74

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note H - Commitments (Continued)

 

companies operating in the area of insurance distribution and distribution related activities, all as determined and managed by the General Partner for the benefit of the Partners.

 

      In addition to state mandated minimum and other commissions on policies written, we pay certain of our agencies compensation in the form of profit sharing. This is based primarily on the underwriting profits of an individual agents' business written with us. The arrangement for Massachusetts and New Hampshire business utilizes a three-year rolling plan, with one third of the agents' profit or loss for each of the current and the two prior years' calculations summed to a single amount. This amount, if positive, is multiplied by the profit sharing commission rate and paid to the agent. Outside of Massachusetts and New Hampshire, Commerce West and American Commerce each have profit sharing plans tailored to their specific markets.

 

Note I - Stockholders' Equity

 

      The amount of consolidated retained earnings at December 31, 2005 represented by undistributed earnings of 50% or less owned investments that are accounted for using the equity method follows:

 
   

Carrying
Value

 

Cost

 

Undistributed
Earnings
(Loss)

   


             

Preferred stock mutual fund

 

$  96,332

 

$  88,859

 

$ 7,473 

Other investments in venture capital partnerships

 

28,111

 

28,976

 

(865)

   


   

$124,443

 

$117,835

 

6,608 

   


   

Income tax benefit (at 35%)

     

(2,313)

       


Undistributed equity method earnings included in consolidated

       

  retained earnings

     

$ 4,295 

       


         

Book Value Awards, Incentive Awards and Stock Option Programs

 

      The Incentive Compensation Plan. During 2002, our stockholders approved the Incentive Compensation Plan (the Plan) which provides for the award of incentive stock options, non-qualified stock options, book value awards (BVAs), stock appreciation rights, restricted stock and performance stock units. Up to 5,000,000 shares of common stock (subject to increase for anti-dilution adjustments) may be issued under the Plan, including awards of restricted stock or upon the exercise of common stock equivalent awards such as stock options and stock appreciation rights payable in the form of common stock (not in the form of cash). At the discretion of the Compensation Committee, all of our directors, officers and other senior management employees, including those of our subsidiaries, are eligible to participate in the Plan.

 

      In May 2005, the Compensation Committee of the Board of Directors authorized, under the 2002 Incentive Compensation Plan, the grant of Incentive Awards (IAs) to officers and directors in lieu of BVAs which were granted in the past. IAs entitle officers and directors to cash payments at a specified settlement date, subject to certain specified conditions. The 2005 Incentive Award Agreement is substantially the same as the previously granted Book Value Award Agreement. The cash payment is based on cumulative net earnings per basic share of common stock over a three-year period, except for certain early retirement and change in control circumstances.

 

      IAs issued relating to the Plan totaled 1,208,631 in 2005. BVAs issued related to the Plan totaled 1,489,111 in 2004 and 1,408,675 in 2003. Expenses relating to BVAs and IAs were $29,043, $18,904 and $11,162 in 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The outstanding BVAs entitle the holders to cash payments based upon the extent to which, if at all, the per share book value exceeds certain thresholds set at the time the award was granted.

 

      Employee stock options (options) granted from 1999 through 2001 relating to a previously approved plan totaled 2,529,042, including the issuance of options previously terminated. No employee stock options were granted after 2001 under the Plan. The outstanding options entitle the recipient to purchase our common stock based upon the extent to which, if at all, the per share market value of the common stock exceeds certain thresholds set at the time the option was granted. Unexercised options terminate not later than eight years after the date of grant. The average contractual life of the remaining 11,288 options outstanding at December 31, 2005 was 3.3 years.

 

      The market price for our common stock and our financial results directly affect our expense related to stock options, BVAs and IAs, respectively. Our stock option expense represents options granted to both employees and American Commerce agents. An increase in the market value of our stock will increase the expense we recognize for options subject to variable accounting. Similarly, an increase in our net income will increase the value of, and therefore the expense we recognize for, outstanding BVAs and IAs.

<PAGE>  75

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note I - Stockholders' Equity (Continued)

 

      We record our expenses related to stock options, BVAs and IAs in three separate line items on our income statement - losses and loss adjustment expenses, policy acquisition costs and net investment income. The stock option, BVA and IA expenses recorded in each line item for the years ended December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


         

Losses and loss adjustment expenses - BVA/IA

 

$15,528

 

$10,086

 

$  5,958

Policy acquisition costs - BVA/IA

 

13,328

 

8,652

 

5,125

Net investment income - BVA/IA

 

187

 

166

 

79

   


        Total BVA/IA expense

 

29,043

 

18,904

 

11,162

   


Losses and loss adjustment expenses - employee options

 

8

 

1,888

 

1,382

Policy acquisition costs - employee options

 

7

 

1,627

 

1,175

Net investment income - employee options

 

-

 

19

 

13

   


        Total employee option expense

 

15

 

3,534

 

2,570

   


Losses and loss adjustment expenses - agents' options

 

767

 

8,410

 

4,966

Policy acquisition costs - agents' options

 

628

 

6,881

 

4,064

   


        Total agents' options expenses

 

1,395

 

15,291

 

9,030

   


        Total stock option BVA and IA expenses

 

$30,453

 

$37,729

 

$22,762

   


 

      Liabilities for the BVAs, IAs and employee stock option programs were $48,193 and $29,654 at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. Plan activity, related to employee options, for the three years ended 2005 follows:

 
   

Shares

 

Weighted Average
Exercise Price

   


         

Options outstanding at January 1, 2003

 

2,160,709 

 

$31.35

    Exercised

 

(348,037)

 

  31.79

   


   

Options outstanding at December 31, 2003

 

1,812,672 

 

  31.27

    Exercised

 

(1,747,163)

 

  31.28

   


   

Options outstanding at December 31, 2004

 

65,509 

 

  30.98

    Exercised

 

(54,221)

 

  31.01

   


   

Options outstanding at December 31, 2005

 

11,288 

 

  30.80

   


   

Options exercisable at December 31, 2003

 

628,329 

 

  32.15

   


   

Options exercisable at December 31, 2004

 

65,509 

 

  30.98

   


   

Options exercisable at December 31, 2005

 

11,288 

 

  30.80

   


   
         

      At December 31, 2005, 2,557,664 shares of common stock may be awarded in the future under the Plan. Our Compensation Committee has not granted stock options to employees under the plan since 2001. We follow variable accounting treatment for options granted in 1999 and 2000 in accordance with APB Opinion 25 and related interpretations.

 

      The American Commerce Agents' Plan. Additionally, we grant options to certain agents (ACIC agents' options) of American Commerce (the ACIC Plan). The right of the recipient to exercise these ACIC agents' options is contingent upon the average volume of other-than-Massachusetts private passenger automobile and homeowners direct written premiums placed and maintained with American Commerce for a five year period specified in the ACIC agents' option agreement. If qualified, the recipient may purchase our common stock at the exercise price for a period of five years beginning five years after the date of the grant (the confirmation date). Unexercised ACIC agents' options terminate not later than ten years after the date of the grant (the expiration date). In conjunction with meeting specified premium growth levels over the term of the ACIC agents' options, we provided "put rights" to the holders of the ACIC agents' options granted in 1999. These put rights permit the agents' option holders to require us to purchase the ACIC agents' options at the difference between $40.00 less the exercise price, at any time from and after the confirmation date through and including the expiration date. Approximately 150,000 options remain outstanding from the 1999 grant. Options cannot be exercised using cash. Options can only be exercised using a net share purchase such that the dollar value that the option is in the money is divided by the fair market value of the stock at the date of exercise to arrive at the number of shares received by the option holder. We record our expenses associated with the ACIC Plan over each award's vesting period, based on our estimate of the fair value of each award. Expenses related to these options were $1,395 in 2005, $15,291 in 2004 and $9,030 in 2003. The ACIC Plan has not been, and is not required to be, approved by our stockholders.

<PAGE>  76

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note I - Stockholders' Equity (Continued)

 

      The ACIC Plan activity for the three years ended 2005 follows:

 
   

Shares

 

Weighted Average
Exercise Price

   


         

Agents' options outstanding at January 1, 2003

 

2,697,380 

 

$39.24

  Granted

 

1,100,000 

 

  46.27

   


   

Agents' options outstanding at December 31, 2003

 

3,797,380 

 

  41.28

  Granted

 

625,000 

 

  58.63

  Exercised

 

(1,500,250)

 

  36.32

   


   

Agents' options outstanding at December 31, 2004

 

2,922,130 

 

  47.54

  Granted

 

475,000 

 

  72.53

  Exercised

 

(292,955)

 

  35.74

  Forfeited

 

(700,000)

 

  49.82

   


   

Agents' options outstanding at December 31, 2005

 

2,404,175 

 

  53.25

   


   
         

      There were 154,175 and 372,130 exercisable ACIC agents' options at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively. None were exercisable at December 31, 2003. The weighted average remaining contractual life of ACIC agents' options outstanding at December 31, 2005 was 7.4 years.

 

      On February 10, 2005, 700,000 of the ACIC agents' options that were outstanding at December 31, 2004 were forfeited as a result of AAA Arizona terminating its relationship with American Commerce. None of these options were exercisable at the end of 2004. Accrued expenses for these options were $3,487 at December 31, 2004. This amount was taken into income during the first quarter of 2005.

 

      The fair value of each of the ACIC agents' options granted under the ACIC Plan was estimated using the Black-Scholes option-pricing model, with the following weighted average assumptions:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             
 

Dividend yield

2.65%

 

2.38%

 

3.20%

 

Expected volatility

19.80%

 

21.50%

 

22.40%

 

Risk-free interest rate

4.40%

 

3.64%

 

3.04%

 

Expected option life in years

5-9.5   

 

5-9.5   

 

5-9.5   

             

      The exercise prices for ACIC agents' options granted in 2005, 2004, and 2003 were $72.53, $58.63 and $46.27, respectively. The estimated weighted average fair values per share of the ACIC agents' options were $13.80, $17.39 and $6.82 for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The ACIC agents' option liability at December 31, 2005 and 2004 was $17,398 and $19,835, respectively.

 

New Accounting Pronouncements

 

      The Financial Accounting Standards Board issued in December 2004 revised rules for accounting for stock options and other equity-based remuneration, SFAS No. 123R, Share-Based Payment. SFAS No. 123R is applicable for employee options and not for non-employee options, such as ACIC agents' options. We will adopt these revised rules in the first quarter of 2006 when they become effective. This change will not impact our results of operations and financial condition for the stock options we awarded through 2001 under the Plan because application of the revised rules is on a prospective basis. The revised rules will not change our accounting for BVAs, IAs and the stock options we award under the ACIC Plan.

 

Treasury Stock

 

      Effective July 1, 2004, Massachusetts corporate law eliminated the distinction between treasury shares and authorized but unissued shares, by providing that common shares that we acquire automatically are restored to the status of authorized but unissued shares. We have continued to reflect treasury shares on our balance sheet and in our notes to the financial statements in part because the concept of treasury shares continues to be relevant under the New York Stock Exchange Rules. Also effective July 1, 2004 Massachusetts corporate law eliminated the concept of par value. The effect of that change was to supersede the historic prohibition against issuing par value stock for less than par. There is no minimum price at which we may issue shares. We have continued to show on our balance sheet the most recent par value per share of our common stock ($0.50), as well as the aggregate amount of par value for which the shares of our common stock now outstanding were issued, because we believe that presentation facilitates an understanding of the stockholders' equity section of our consolidated balance sheet.

<PAGE>  77

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note I - Stockholders' Equity (Continued)

 

      In 2005, we issued 143,395 shares of our common stock from treasury to fund the Company's contribution to the Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP). We did not acquire any of our common stock under our authorized buy-back program during 2005. At December 31, 2005, we had authority to purchase a total of 858,300 additional shares of our common stock under our buy-back program.

 

Net Earnings Per Common Share (EPS)

 

      Basic EPS is computed based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Diluted EPS is computed based on the weighted average number of common shares outstanding adjusted by the number of additional common shares that would have been outstanding had the potentially dilutive common shares been issued and reduced by the number of common shares we could have repurchased from the proceeds of the potentially dilutive shares. Our only dilutive instruments are stock options outstanding. Basic and diluted EPS are calculated for the years ended December 31, as follows:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Net earnings for basic and diluted EPS

 

$     243,912

 

$     214,431

 

$     160,943

   


             

Common share information:

           

    Average shares outstanding for basic EPS

 

33,585,858

 

32,802,023

 

32,000,220

    Dilutive effect of stock options

 

261,807

 

150,691

 

254,443

   


    Average shares outstanding for dilutive EPS

 

33,847,665

 

32,952,714

 

32,254,663

   


             

Basic EPS

 

$           7.26

 

$           6.54

 

$           5.03

   


Diluted EPS

 

$           7.21

 

$           6.51

 

$           4.99

   


             

      The computation of diluted EPS did not include stock options that were anti-dilutive, as their exercise price was greater than the average market price of our common stock during the year. The number of such options was 400,000, 1,100,000 and 1,850,000 for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively.

 

Payments of Dividends

 

      Under Massachusetts law, an insurer may pay cash dividends only from earnings and statutory surplus, and the insurer's remaining surplus must be both reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities and adequate to its financial needs. Following the declaration and payment of such dividends, the insurer must file a report with the Commissioner. A Massachusetts insurance company may not pay an extraordinary dividend or distribution unless the insurer gives the Commissioner at least 30 days prior notice of the declaration and the Commissioner does not disapprove of the plan of payment prior to the date of such payment. An extraordinary dividend or distribution includes any dividend or distribution whose fair market value together with other dividends or distributions made within the preceding 12 months exceeds the greater of 10% of surplus, or net income for the 12 month period ending the 31st day of December. California and Ohio have laws similar to those in Massachusetts regulating the payment of dividends by insurance companies.

 

      The aggregate amount of dividends calculated in accordance with regulations in Massachusetts, California and Ohio that could have been paid in 2005 from all of our insurance subsidiaries without prior regulatory approval was approximately $241,062, of which $68,410 was declared and paid as of December 31, 2005.

 

      Our Board of Directors voted to declare four quarterly dividends to stockholders of record totaling $1.47 per share and $1.31 per share in 2005 and 2004, respectively. On May 20, 2005, the board voted to increase the quarterly stockholder dividend from $0.33 to $0.38 per share to stockholders of record as of May 31, 2005. Prior to that declaration, we paid quarterly dividends of $0.33 per share dating back to May 21, 2004 when the board voted to increase the dividend from $0.32 to $0.33 per share.

 

Note J - Premiums

 

      Insurance premiums are recognized as income ratably over the terms of the policies. Unearned premiums are determined by prorating written premiums on a daily basis over the terms of the policies.

 

      Approximately 82.8% of our direct premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2005 were generated from personal automobile insurance policies. Approximately 87.3% of our direct premiums written for the year ended December 31, 2005 were generated in Massachusetts.

<PAGE>  78

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note J - Premiums (Continued)

 

      A significant portion of our Massachusetts premiums written is derived through the American Automobile Association Clubs of Massachusetts (AAA Clubs) affinity group marketing program. Direct premiums written by the AAA affinity group marketing program in Massachusetts were $727,206 or 38.8% of our total direct premiums written in 2005, $725,579 or 39.5% in 2004 and $691,694 or 41.7% in 2003. Insurance agencies owned by the AAA Clubs wrote 15.2 % and our network of independent agents wrote 84.8% of total AAA affinity direct written premium in 2005. During 2004, AAA Club-owned agencies wrote 14.5% and our network wrote 85.5%.

 

Note K - Income Taxes

 

      As a member of a consolidated group for tax purposes, The Commerce Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries (Affiliated Group) elect to file a consolidated federal income tax return. As such, they are jointly and severally liable for federal income taxes of the Affiliated Group. We have entered into an agreement establishing an allocation of tax liability and for compensation of the respective members of the Affiliated Group for use of their tax losses and credits.

 

      The method of allocation calls for current taxes to be allocated among all affiliated companies based on a written tax-sharing agreement. Under this agreement, allocation is made primarily on a separate return basis with current payment for losses and other tax items utilized in the consolidated return.

 

      We use an asset and liability approach that requires the recognition of deferred tax assets and liabilities for the expected future tax consequences of events that have been recognized in our financial statements or tax returns. In estimating future tax consequences, we consider all expected future events other than changes in the tax law or rates, unless enacted. Valuation allowances are established when necessary to reduce deferred tax assets to the amount expected to be realized.

 

      Our federal income tax expense (benefit) for the years ended December 31 follows:

 
     

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 
     


 
                 
 

Current

 

$120,781 

 

$92,298 

 

$63,852 

 
 

Deferred

 

(13,013)

 

(3,295)

 

(5,784)

 
     


 
 

    Income taxes

 

$107,768 

 

$89,003 

 

$58,068 

 
     


 
         

      Realization of a deferred tax asset is dependent on generating sufficient taxable income in future years. Although realization is not assured, we believe it is more likely than not that all of the deferred tax assets will be realized. GAAP requires a valuation allowance to be recorded when it is more likely than not that some or all of the deferred tax assets will not be realized. We did not have a valuation allowance for deferred taxes at December 31, 2005 and 2004.

 

      Deferred tax liabilities (assets) at December 31 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

   


         

Unearned premiums

 

$  (55,804)

 

$  (53,965)

Discounting of loss reserves

 

(22,460)

 

(27,145)

Deferred profit sharing

 

(18,925)

 

Deferred income

 

(13,317)

 

(12,853)

Book value and incentive awards expense

 

(8,566)

 

(6,782)

Investment write-downs

 

(7,944)

 

(8,381)

Agents' stock option expense

 

(6,089)

 

(7,026)

Net accumulated comprehensive loss

 

(3,675)

 

Directors' retirement compensation expense

 

(1,393)

 

(1,082)

Other

 

(4,236)

 

(3,560)

   


    Deferred tax assets

 

(142,409)

 

(120,794)

   


Deferred policy acquisition costs

 

61,045 

 

57,275 

Preferred stock mutual funds

 

4,602 

 

4,367 

Tax depreciation in excess of book depreciation

 

3,400 

 

3,642 

Salvage and subrogation recoverable

 

2,360 

 

2,120 

Net accumulated comprehensive income

 

 

8,841 

Other

 

2,076 

 

1,177 

   


    Deferred tax liabilities

 

73,483 

 

77,422 

   


    Net deferred tax asset

 

$  (68,926)

 

$  (43,372)

   


<PAGE>  79

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note K - Income Taxes (Continued)

 

      Federal income tax is less than the amount computed by applying the statutory rate of 35% for the years ended December 31 for the following reasons:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


 


 


                         

Tax at statutory rate

 

$123,412 

 

35.0%

 

$106,467 

 

35.0%

 

$76,757 

 

35.0%

Tax exempt interest

 

(10,052)

 

(2.9)  

 

(10,239)

 

(3.4)  

 

(4,933)

 

(2.2)  

Dividends received deduction

 

(5,429)

 

(1.5)  

 

(5,306)

 

(1.7)  

 

(7,942)

 

(3.6)  

Dividends paid to ESOP

                       

  participants

 

(1,510)

 

(0.4)  

 

(1,342)

 

(0.4)  

 

(1,211)

 

(0.6)  

Valuation allowance

 

 

-   

 

 

-   

 

(3,936)

 

(1.8)  

Tax contingency reserve

 

266 

 

0.1   

 

(1,038)

 

(0.3)  

 

 

-  

Other

 

1,081 

 

0.3   

 

461 

 

0.1   

 

(667)

 

(0.3)  

   


Tax and effective rate

 

$107,768 

 

30.6%

 

$  89,003 

 

29.3%

 

$58,068 

 

26.5%

   


                         

      During 2004, our 2001 and 2002 federal income tax returns were audited by the IRS; there were no material findings.

 

Note L - Insolvency Fund Assessments

 

Protection Against Insurer Insolvency - Massachusetts

 

      All of the insurers writing the types of insurance covered by the Massachusetts Insurers Insolvency Fund (MIIF) are MIIF members. MIIF is obligated to pay any unpaid claim, up to $300, against an insolvent insurer if the claims existed prior to the declaration of insolvency or arose within 60 days thereafter. MIIF assesses members the amounts it deems necessary to pay both its obligations and the expenses of handling covered claims. Subject to certain limitations, assessments are made in the proportion that each member's net written premiums for the preceding calendar year for all property and casualty lines of business to the corresponding net written premiums for all members for the same period. The statute that established MIIF also provides for the recoupment by insurers of amounts paid to MIIF. Historically, the Commissioner has allowed insurers to recoup the amounts they paid MIIF through rate adjustments.

 

      It is anticipated that there will be additional assessments from time to time relating to various insolvencies. By statute, no insurer may be assessed in any year an amount greater than two percent of that insurer's direct written premiums for the calendar year preceding the assessment. MIIF assessed Commerce and Citation $128, $6,304, and $8,106 for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. These amounts are net of credits for prior year assessments on numerous insurer insolvencies.

 

Protection Against Insurer Insolvency - Other States

 

      All companies are also covered by similar associations in the states where they do business. These associations operate similarly to the MIIF. Commerce West, domiciled in California, is covered by the California Insurance Guarantee Association, as well as associations in Arizona and Oregon. American Commerce, domiciled in Ohio, is covered by the Ohio Guarantee Association, as well as associations in the other states in which they do business. Payments made by American Commerce, Commerce West and Commerce (for New Hampshire only) to the associations that they are covered under were $76 in 2005, $126 in 2004 and $190 in 2003. These amounts are net of credits for prior year assessments.

 

Note M - Reinsurance

 

      We reinsure with other insurance companies on a claims incurred basis a portion of our potential exposure under the policies we have written. The objective of this reinsurance is to mitigate the adverse financial consequences of a severe loss under individual policies, or catastrophic occurrences where a number of claims can produce an extraordinary aggregate loss. Reinsurance does not legally discharge us from our primary liability to the insured for the full amount of the policies, but it does make the reinsurer liable to us to the extent of the reinsured portion of any loss ultimately suffered. We seek to utilize reinsurers that we consider adequately capitalized and financially able to meet their obligations under reinsurance agreements with us. We use a variety of reinsurance mechanisms to protect against loss.

 

Quota Share Reinsurance

 

      On June 30, 2005, our 70% one-year quota share reinsurance program expired. This program covered all non-automobile property and liability business, except umbrella policies. This program was extended another year, effective July 1, 2005, with the primary change in terms being an increase in the quota share rate to 75%. Quota share reinsurance refers to

<PAGE>  80

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note M - Reinsurance (Continued)

 

a form of pro rata reinsurance arrangement pursuant to which the reinsurer participates in a specified percentage of the premiums and losses on every risk that comes within the scope of the reinsurance agreement. The current program is split among American Re-Insurance Corporation, rated "A Excellent" by A.M. Best (its third highest rating), Swiss Re America Corporation, rated "A+ Superior" by A.M. Best (its second highest rating), and Transatlantic Insurance Company, rated "A+ Superior" by A.M. Best. The maximum per occurrence dollar recovery is equal to 225% of the annual net premiums ceded to the quota share arrangement in the contract year. The maximum aggregate per year dollar recovery under the quota share contract is equal to 325% of the annual net premium ceded to the quota share arrangement in the contract year. A sliding scale commission, based on loss ratio, is utilized under this program. This program provides us with sufficient protection for catastrophe coverage to enable us to forego pure catastrophe reinsurance coverage.

 

      The table below provides information depicting the approximate recovery under the quota share contract at various loss scenarios, if a single catastrophe were to strike through June 30, 2006:

 
         

Net Loss

 
     

Reinsurance

 

Retained by

 
 

Total Loss

 

Recovery

 

Commerce

 
 


 
             
 

$  50,000

 

$  37,500

 

$  12,500

 
 

  100,000

 

    75,000

 

    25,000

 
 

  150,000

 

  112,500

 

    37,500

 
 

  200,000

 

  150,000

 

    50,000

 
 

  250,000

 

  187,500

 

    62,500

 
 

  300,000

 

  225,000

 

    75,000

 
 

  350,000

 

  262,500

 

    87,500

 
 

  400,000

 

  300,000

 

  100,000

 
 

  450,000

 

  337,500

 

  112,500

 
             

      Under the above scenario and based on the twelve month projected premiums to be ceded under the program, we have no reinsurance recoveries for a single event catastrophe in excess of a total loss of approximately $484,000. The level of reinsurance protection increases (decreases) when we cede more (less) premium to the reinsurers.

 

      It is customary for property and casualty companies to evaluate their exposure to a weather-related catastrophe by estimating the losses that would be incurred if a storm equivalent to the most destructive storm that has occurred during a given period were to occur during a current fiscal year or reinsurance policy period. If the estimate focuses on hurricanes during the past 100 years, for example, the most destructive hurricane during that period is referred to as a "100-year hurricane." Our estimated total loss, before reinsurance, on our other-than-automobile business for 100 and 250-year hurricanes is approximately $340,000 and $640,000, respectively. Our estimates were derived through the services of Holborn Corporation on our December 31, 2005 other-than-automobile policies, which utilized the RMS (Risk Management Solutions) risk assessment system. We believe that most property and casualty insurance companies establish their catastrophe reinsurance programs between the 100-year and 250-year storm estimates.

 

      Written premiums ceded in 2005, 2004 and 2003 under the current and prior quota share programs combined were $150,461, $133,562 and $107,313, respectively. The 12.7% increase in written premiums ceded in 2005 versus 2004 in this program was primarily the result of a $14,908, or 12.3% increase in Massachusetts homeowner direct written premium. In addition, the increase on the quota share participation rate from 70% to 75% on July 1, 2005 contributed to the increased cessions. Ceding commission income is calculated on a ceded earned premium basis.

 

FAIR Plan

 

      Our insurance subsidiaries are required to participate in various Property Insurance Underwriting Associations, the most significant of which is the Fair Access to Insurance Requirements Plan (FAIR Plan) in Massachusetts. The federal government reinsures those insurers participating in FAIR Plans against losses sustained from riots and civil disorders. The Massachusetts FAIR Plan has coastal policies which could result in losses which could be material to the FAIR Plan and participating insurance companies. The Massachusetts FAIR Plan does not purchase catastrophe reinsurance; consequently, we have exposure for our proportionate share of catastrophic events occuring in the FAIR plan.

 

      Effective July 1, 2005, we purchased a one-year Catastrophe Treaty for our exposure to FAIR Plan losses in excess of $100,000 up to a total FAIR Plan loss of $1,000,000. We purchased 6% of this treaty, which will afford us a recovery of $54,000 excess of a $6,000 retention if the FAIR Plan should suffer a $1,000,000 or greater loss. The estimated 250-year probable maximum loss for the FAIR Plan is approximately $1,000,000. This loss estimate is the average of the two catastrophe models utilized by the FAIR plan.

 

<PAGE>  81

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note M - Reinsurance (Continued)

 

Casualty Reinsurance

 

      Casualty reinsurance, excluding umbrella policies, is written on an excess of loss basis for any one event or occurrence with a maximum recovery of $8,000 over a net retention of $2,000. This coverage is placed with Swiss Re America Corporation.

 

Personal and Commercial Umbrella

 

      Personal and commercial liability umbrella policies are reinsured on a 95% quota share basis in regard to limits up to $1,000 and 100% quota share basis for limits in excess of $1,000 but not exceeding $5,000 for policies with underlying automobile coverage of $250/$500 or more. We also have personal liability umbrella reinsurance coverage for policies with underlying automobile coverage of $100/$300 on a 65% quota share basis for limits up to $1,000 and 100% quota share basis for limits in excess of $1,000 but not exceeding $3,000. These coverages were placed with Employers Reinsurance Corporation, rated "A" by A.M. Best (its third highest rating), through July 31, 2005. Effective August 1, 2005, this program was placed with Swiss Re America Corporation.

 

      Earned premiums and losses and loss adjustment expenses are stated in the accompanying consolidated financial statements after deductions for reinsurance. Those deductions for reinsurance, other than CAR, follow for the years ended December 31:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Income Statement:

           

    Written premiums

 

$156,154

 

$138,084

 

$111,119

    Earned premiums

 

147,578

 

124,975

 

108,249

    Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

65,595

 

57,199

 

68,139

Balance Sheet:

           

    Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

60,560

 

58,608

 

58,074

    Unearned premiums

 

81,275

 

72,699

 

59,712

             

      We, as primary insurer, would be required to pay losses in their entirety in the event that the reinsurers were unable to discharge their obligations under the reinsurance agreements.

 

Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers

 

      CAR, a state-mandated reinsurance mechanism, enables us and other servicing carriers to reinsure any automobile risk that the insurer perceives to be under-priced at the premium level permitted by the Commissioner of Insurance. Servicing carriers, which are responsible for over 99.0% of total direct premiums written for personal automobile insurance in Massachusetts, are required to offer automobile insurance coverage to all eligible applicants pursuant to "take-all-comers" regulations, but may reinsure business with CAR.

 

      Since its inception, CAR has annually generated multi-hundred million dollar underwriting losses, primarily in the personal automobile pool. We are required to share in the underwriting results of CAR business for our respective product lines. Under current regulations, our share of the CAR personal or commercial deficit is based upon our market share of automobile risks for the particular pool, adjusted by a "utilization" concept, such that, in general, we are disproportionately and adversely affected if our relative use of CAR reinsurance exceeds that of the industry, and favorably affected if our relative use of CAR reinsurance is less than that of the industry. For personal automobile writers, companies can reduce their participation ratio by writing credit eligible business voluntarily. Companies are provided credits against their participation ratio for writing those classes and territories of business that are purposefully under-priced in the Massachusetts rate setting process. Companies are also penalized for ceding certain business to CAR. Our strategy has been to maintain above average voluntary retention levels, as well as to retain private passenger automobile business voluntarily that receives credits. This favorably affects our participation ratio compared to our market share, but adversely impacts our voluntary loss ratio. Through 2004, the CAR utilization-based participation ratio had remained the same for the personal automobile market. In 2005 and continuing into 2006, CAR began using a credit matrix which had the effect of moving our participation ratios closer to our market share. During 2005, 2004 and 2003, our net participation in the CAR personal automobile pool approximated 26.2%, 23.2% and 20.2%, respectively, as estimated by us for 2005 and as reported by CAR for 2004 and 2003. This is as compared to our estimated market share in those years of 29.9%, 29.1% and 27.7%, respectively. During 2005, 2004 and 2003, the amount of personal automobile exposure we reinsured through CAR approximated 4.7%, 5.2%, and 5.1%, respectively, as compared to industry averages of 6.2%, 6.8% and 7.0%, respectively. A CAR reform proposal approved by the Commissioner on December 31, 2004 would, if implemented, substantially change the existing CAR utilization allocation. See Note R for additional information.

<PAGE>  82

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note M - Reinsurance (Continued)

 

      Reinsurance activity with CAR for fiscal years 2005, 2004 and 2003 follows:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


 


 


   

Ceded

 

Assumed

 

Ceded

 

Assumed

 

Ceded

 

Assumed

   


                         

Income Statement:

                       

    Written premiums

 

$113,984

 

$132,098

 

$115,766

 

$128,152

 

$104,898

 

$112,547

    Earned premiums

 

118,307

 

125,982

 

110,833

 

121,379

 

96,150

 

104,297

    Losses and LAE incurred

 

105,409

 

104,459

 

105,405

 

137,822

 

119,128

 

144,252

    Underwriting expenses

 

-

 

40,401

 

-

 

42,763

 

-

 

35,474

                         

Balance Sheet:

                       

    Unpaid losses and LAE

 

93,418

 

131,026

 

99,990

 

144,184

 

106,936

 

133,175

    Unearned premiums

 

54,142

 

68,513

 

58,465

 

62,397

 

53,532

 

55,624

                         

      We pay to CAR all of the premiums generated by the policies we have ceded and CAR reimburses us for all losses incurred on ceded policies. In addition, we receive a fee for servicing ceded policies based on the expense structure established by CAR. For the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003, these servicing fees amounted to $24,102, $21,160 and $18,938, respectively.

 

      We present assets and liabilities gross of reinsurance. The residual market receivable represents the gross amount of reinsurance recoverable from CAR, including unpaid losses, unearned premiums, paid losses recoverable and unpaid ceded and assumed premiums.

 

      Our two largest reinsurance components, quota share and CAR, settle on a quarterly basis. Quota share settles 45 days after the end of each quarter and CAR settles 90 days after the end of each quarter. There were no balances in dispute for the years ended 2005 and 2004 for either component.

 

      Income consisting of expense reimbursements, which include servicing carrier fees from CAR on policies written for CAR, is deferred and amortized over the term of the related insurance policies.

 

Note N - Employee Stock Ownership Plan

 

      We offer an ESOP for the benefit of substantially all employees, including those of our subsidiaries. The ESOP is noncontributory on the part of participants and contributions are made at the discretion of the Board of Directors. We are under no obligation to make contributions or maintain the ESOP for any length of time and may completely discontinue or terminate the ESOP at any time without liability. Contribution expense for the ESOP for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003 were $10,371, $9,651 and $8,850, respectively. In 2006 and 2005, the 2005 and 2004 contributions, respectively, were funded entirely with 191,497 and 143,395 treasury stock shares, respectively. ESOP contributions in previous years were made in cash. The increase in the contribution in 2005 over 2004 and in 2004 over 2003 was primarily due to an increase in employees and wages paid to them. The ESOP held 2,871,257 and 2,819,951 shares of our common stock at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

 

      Contributions are allocated among the participants' accounts in the ratio of each participant's eligible Form W-2 compensation to the total of all participants' covered compensation for the year. Dividends on ESOP shares are fully earned, and participants can elect to either receive cash or apply the dividend to their ESOP account. ESOP shares are treated as outstanding shares for the purpose of our earnings per share calculations.

 

      ESOP participants who are current employees and who are 100% vested in their ESOP accounts can annually elect to transfer out of the ESOP up to 100% of their allocated Company stock in the form of an eligible rollover distribution into another eligible retirement plan, such as a qualified individual retirement arrangement. Approximately 2,177,000 shares owned by participants in the ESOP at December 31, 2005 are allocated to the ESOP accounts of these individuals. ESOP accounts vest at a rate of 20% per service year beginning with a participant's third year of service.

<PAGE>  83

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note N - Employee Stock Ownership Plan (Continued)

 

      ESOP participants who are former employees of the Company may generally elect to withdraw from the ESOP the total amount of shares allocated to their accounts at any time. Approximately 534,000 shares held by the ESOP at December 31, 2005 are allocated to the ESOP accounts of these individuals.

 

      The remaining approximately 160,000 shares held by the ESOP at December 31, 2005 are allocated to the ESOP accounts of participants who have not yet reached 100% vesting in their account balances. The fair value of the ESOP shares held by participants that are less than 100% vested at December 31, 2005 was approximately $9,200. Disposition of these unvested shares is restricted under the ESOP. We pay for administration of the ESOP.

 

      In 2003, our 401(k) Plan was merged into the ESOP. The ESOP is administered by Fidelity Investments. The 401(k) component of the ESOP enables eligible employees to contribute up to 60% of eligible compensation on a pre-tax basis up to the annual maximum limits under federal tax law. We incur no expenses in the form of matching contributions but we pay for administration of the plan.

 

Note O - Directors' Retirement Compensation Plan

 

      During 2000, our directors approved a Directors' Retirement Compensation Plan (the Retirement Plan). The Retirement Plan becomes effective for each director upon terminating service from our Board of Directors (the Board) providing that such termination was not made under conditions adverse to our interest. Effective with the annual meeting wherein the director is not reappointed to the Board, and provided benefits are not paid until such time as the director has attained the age of 65, we will pay an annual retirement benefit equal to 50% of the average annual total compensation of the director for the highest three full years (the three year average compensation). The annual retirement benefit of 50% of the three year average compensation vests at the rate of 4.0% for each year of Board service up to a maximum of 100% vesting through termination of service. Payments continue for a maximum of ten years over the remaining life of the terminated director, or his or her then spouse, if the director pre-deceases the spouse. No payments are to be made after the death of the director and spouse. Expenses related to the Retirement Plan in 2005, 2004 and 2003 were $887, $273 and $286, respectively. We paid $78, $55 and $36 under the Retirement Plan in 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. The liability for the Retirement Plan, as calculated based on a discounted cash flow basis, was $3,980 and $3,093 at December 31, 2005 and 2004, respectively.

 

Note P - Segment Information

 

      We have four reportable segments: (1) property and casualty insurance - Massachusetts; (2) property and casualty insurance - other than Massachusetts; (3) real estate and commercial lending; and, (4) corporate and other. Our property and casualty insurance operations are written through Commerce, Citation, Commerce West, and American Commerce and are marketed to affinity groups, individuals, families and businesses through our relationships with professional independent insurance agencies. Our wholly-owned subsidiary, Bay Finance Company, Inc., originates and services residential and commercial mortgages in Massachusetts and Connecticut. The corporate and other segment represents the remainder of our activities, including those of the parent company.

 

      We evaluate performance and allocate resources based primarily on the property and casualty insurance segments, which represents over 99% of our total revenue for the past three years. The accounting policies of the reportable segments are the same as those described in these notes to consolidated financial statements.

 

      Selected segment information for 2005, 2004 and 2003 follows. Earnings are before income taxes and change in accounting principle and include minority interest.

 
   

Revenue

 

Earnings

 

Assets

   


             

2005:

           

    Property and casualty insurance

           

        Massachusetts

 

$1,654,217 

 

$361,273 

 

$3,512,861

        Other than Massachusetts

 

230,121 

 

32,886 

 

368,843

    Real estate and commercial lending

 

454 

 

454 

 

17,963

    Corporate and other

 

(411)

 

(42,933)

 

27,343

   


        Consolidated

 

$1,884,381 

 

$351,680 

 

$3,927,010

   


             

<PAGE>  84

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note P - Segment Information (Continued)

 
   

Revenue

 

Earnings

 

Assets

   


             

2004:

           

    Property and casualty insurance

           

        Massachusetts

 

$1,565,990 

 

$318,594 

 

$3,218,090

        Other than Massachusetts

 

240,338 

 

36,322 

 

350,813

    Real estate and commercial lending

 

731 

 

731 

 

15,207

    Corporate and other

 

(488)

 

(52,213)

 

28,133

   


        Consolidated

 

$1,806,571 

 

$303,434 

 

$3,612,243

   


             

2003

           

    Property and casualty insurance

           

        Massachusetts

 

$1,413,074 

 

$224,092 

 

$2,829,257

        Other than Massachusetts

 

226,978 

 

16,182 

 

334,933

    Real estate and commercial lending

 

1,233 

 

1,233 

 

16,924

    Corporate and other

 

(463)

 

(22,496)

 

30,172

   


        Consolidated

 

$1,640,822 

 

$219,011 

 

$3,211,286

   


             

      Direct premiums written and earned for the years ended 2005, 2004 and 2003 follow:

 
   

2005

 

2004

 

2003

   


             

Massachusetts Direct Premiums Written:

           

Personal automobile

 

$1,365,887

 

$1,327,375

 

$1,191,123

Commercial automobile

 

94,963

 

96,646

 

89,862

Homeowners

 

136,130

 

121,222

 

102,951

Other lines

 

38,971

 

39,421

 

35,468

   


        Massachusetts Direct Premiums Written

 

1,635,951

 

1,584,664

 

1,419,404

   


Other Than Massachusetts Direct Premiums Written:

           

Personal automobile

 

184,573

 

200,700

 

194,409

Commercial automobile

 

9,974

 

9,131

 

8,067

Homeowners

 

42,483

 

42,561

 

36,098

Other lines

 

1,250

 

1,185

 

991

   


        Other Than Massachusetts Direct Premiums Written

 

238,280

 

253,577

 

239,565

   


        Total Direct Premiums Written

 

$1,874,231

 

$1,838,241

 

$1,658,969

   


Massachusetts Direct Earned Premiums:

           

Personal automobile

 

$1,343,247

 

$1,260,307

 

$1,111,551

Commercial automobile

 

95,197

 

93,994

 

82,382

Homeowners

 

128,495

 

111,355

 

92,459

Other lines

 

38,891

 

37,717

 

31,887

   


        Massachusetts Direct Earned Premiums

 

1,605,830

 

1,503,373

 

1,318,279

   


Other Than Massachusetts Direct Earned Premiums:

           

Personal automobile

 

190,123

 

200,715

 

186,123

Commercial automobile

 

9,597

 

8,536

 

6,992

Homeowners

 

43,032

 

39,558

 

31,777

Other lines

 

1,245

 

1,079

 

888

   


        Other Than Massachusetts Direct Earned Premiums

 

243,997

 

249,888

 

225,780

   


        Total Direct Earned Premiums

 

$1,849,827

 

$1,753,261

 

$1,544,059

   


     

Note Q - Related-Party Transactions

 

      We have made loans to insurance agencies with which Commerce transacts business on a regular basis. At December 31, 2005, five loans with an aggregate outstanding principal balance of $1,812 were collateralized by the assets of the agencies. At December 31, 2004, six loans with an aggregate outstanding balance of $2,081 were collateralized by the assets of the agencies. There were no loans to insurance agencies collateralized solely by real estate in 2005 and 2004. At December 31, 2003, ten loans with an aggregate outstanding balance of $2,537 were collateralized by the assets of the agencies and one loan with an outstanding balance of $281 was collateralized by real estate as the primary collateral and the assets of the agency as second collateral.

 

      The immediate family of Raymond J. Lauring, a director of the Company, owns more than a 10% equity interest in Lauring Construction Company. Mr. Lauring has no ownership interest in the construction company. During 2003, the

<PAGE>  85

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note Q - Related-Party Transactions (Continued)

 

construction company provided construction and construction management services in connection with a contract for the estimated $13,000 renovation of a 130,000 square foot building we purchased. Terms of the contract provided for a fixed fee of $650 for supervision of management of the project. Total payments on the supervision and management services portion of the contract in 2003 were $375. Payments to the construction company in 2003 for actual materials used and construction work performed on this project were $335, and payments for other work unrelated to the project were $222 in 2005, $285 in 2004, and $45 in 2003. No payments were made to the construction company in 2004 or 2005 for the renovation project as the project was completed in 2003.

 

Note R - Contingencies

 

      As is common with property and casualty insurance companies, we are a defendant in various legal actions arising from the normal course of our business, including claims based on the Massachusetts Unfair Claims Settlement Practices Act, or Chapter 176D and the Massachusetts Consumer Protection Act, or Chapter 93A. Similar provisions exist in other states where we do business. These proceedings are considered ordinary to operations or without foundation in fact. We are of the opinion that these actions will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial position.

 

Potential Liability for CAR Obligation

 

      Member companies of CAR have joint and several liabilities for the obligations of CAR, the Massachusetts-mandated personal automobile reinsurance mechanism that enables us and other participating insurers to reinsure in CAR any risk. If one member of CAR fails to pay its assessments, the remaining members of CAR will be required to pay the pro-rata share of the member who fails to pay its obligations. As of December 31, 2005, we were not aware of any CAR member company which has failed to meet its obligations.

 

CAR Regulatory Reform

 

      On January 5, 2005, we filed an action against the Insurance Commissioner in Massachusetts Superior Court appealing a December 31, 2004 order by the Commissioner adopting new regulations that, among other things, would replace the current loss-pooling residual market entity, CAR, with an assigned risk plan. We contend that the Commissioner's new regulations are inconsistent with existing Massachusetts insurance laws. Following a hearing on May 2, 2005, the Superior Court ruled, on June 20, 2005, that the Commissioner did not have the statutory authority to implement an assigned risk plan. The court's ruling annulled the Commissioner's order and vacated the new regulations adopted pursuant to the order. The Commissioner appealed the Superior Court's decision to the Massachusetts Appeals Court. We and the Commissioner both petitioned for direct appellate review by the Massachusetts Supreme Judicial Court (the SJC). The SJC agreed on October 26, 2005 to hear the appeal directly. The parties have submitted briefs to the SJC and the SJC is expected to hear oral arguments in April or May, 2006. We cannot predict how the SJC will rule on the appeal, nor can we predict when this matter will be resolved. However, we believe that even if the Commissioner's appeal is upheld by the SJC, it is unlikely that the new rules in the Commissioner's order will be implemented retroactive to January 1, 2005.

 

Note S - Statutory Financial Information

 

      The insurance subsidiaries, Commerce, Citation, Commerce West and American Commerce, prepare statutory financial statements in accordance with accounting practices prescribed or permitted by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners and the Division of Insurance of The Commonwealth of Massachusetts, the State of California, and the State of Ohio. Statutory accounting principles differ in some respects from GAAP.

 

      Our consolidated net income on a statutory basis for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003 was $238,122, $241,062 and $136,438, respectively. Our statutory policyholders' surplus as reported to various state insurance departments at December 31, 2005 and 2004 was $1,477,307 and $1,290,075, respectively.

<PAGE>  86

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements

(Thousands of Dollars, Except for Per Share Data)

 

Note T - Quarterly Results of Operations (unaudited)

 

      An unaudited summary of our 2005 and 2004 quarterly performance follows:

 
 

First

 

Second

 

Third

 

Fourth

2005

Quarter

 

Quarter

 

Quarter

 

Quarter


               

Total revenues

$467,809

 

$478,369

 

$465,732

 

$472,471

Net earnings

58,038

 

62,562

 

59,830

 

63,482

Comprehensive income

32,970

 

84,352

 

45,029

 

58,348

Net earnings per common share:

             

    Basic

1.73

 

1.86

 

1.78

 

1.89

    Diluted

1.72

 

1.85

 

1.77

 

1.87

Cash dividends paid per share

0.33

 

0.38

 

0.38

 

0.38

               
 

First

 

Second

 

Third

 

Fourth

2004

Quarter

 

Quarter

 

Quarter

 

Quarter


               

Total revenues

$450,886

 

$430,937 

 

$448,839

 

$475,909

Net earnings

51,040

 

37,390 

 

54,314

 

71,687

Comprehensive income (loss)

58,441

 

(20,915)

 

87,923

 

76,302

Net earnings per common share:

             

    Basic

1.58

 

1.14 

 

1.65

 

2.16

    Diluted

1.56

 

1.14 

 

1.64

 

2.14

Cash dividends paid per share

0.32

 

0.33 

 

0.33

 

0.33

<PAGE>  87

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMBINED BALANCE SHEET OF INSURANCE SUBSIDIARIES AND RECONCILIATION TO

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, Unaudited)

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

2001

 

2000

 

1999

 


ASSETS

Cash and short-term investments

$     97,445 

 

$   220,245

 

$   213,033 

 

$   205,907 

 

$   180,930 

 

$     95,217 

 

$     42,971 

Bonds, at market (at amortized

                         

 cost prior to 1993)

2,029,055 

 

1,692,364 

 

1,497,016 

 

683,811 

 

626,482 

 

669,935 

 

647,338 

Preferred stocks, at market (at

                         

 amortized cost prior to 1993)

393,681 

 

422,344 

 

298,721 

 

305,057 

 

248,101 

 

200,083 

 

211,049 

Common stocks, at market

102,344 

 

81,433 

 

105,523 

 

99,818 

 

107,458 

 

115,827 

 

77,348 

Preferred stock mutual funds (at equity)

96,332 

 

61,429 

 

54,274 

 

270,616 

 

309,282 

 

337,733 

 

251,135 

Mortgage loans on real estate

7,396 

 

10,536 

 

10,996 

 

17,693 

 

26,237 

 

35,340 

 

42,479 

Other investments

28,111 

 

34,281 

 

22,914 

 

21,068 

 

18,743 

 

26,802 

 

14,139 

Premium balances receivable

474,971 

 

459,660 

 

410,713 

 

341,858 

 

246,095 

 

230,450 

 

195,047 

Investment income receivable

22,218 

 

18,611 

 

19,271 

 

13,903 

 

15,460 

 

18,118 

 

14,531 

Residual market receivable

191,309 

 

193,618 

 

192,743 

 

164,476 

 

131,670 

 

134,141 

 

149,620 

Reinsurance receivable

142,923 

 

133,328 

 

117,786 

 

98,403 

 

74,359 

 

65,319 

 

51,532 

Deferred acquisition costs

174,415 

 

163,645 

 

153,605 

 

138,241 

 

116,557 

 

111,305 

 

98,500 

Current income taxes

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deferred income taxes

47,780 

 

22,781 

 

14,238 

 

24,880 

 

16,550 

 

10,901 

 

37,612 

Non-compete agreement

 

 

 

2,129 

 

2,479 

 

2,829 

 

3,179 

Real estate, furniture and equipment

61,878 

 

54,168 

 

53,511 

 

50,182 

 

38,764 

 

33,498 

 

27,321 

Receivable for investments sold

10 

 

10 

 

6,871 

 

 

 

 

 


Total insurance company assets

3,869,868 

 

3,568,453 

 

3,171,215 

 

2,438,042 

 

2,159,167 

 

2,087,498 

 

1,863,801 

Total non-insurance company assets

57,142 

 

43,790 

 

42,029 

 

25,419 

 

27,976 

 

12,941 

 

34,779 

 


    Total combined assets

$3,927,010 

 

$3,612,243 

 

$3,213,244 

 

$2,463,461 

 

$2,187,143 

 

$2,100,439 

 

$1,898,580 

 


 

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

Unpaid losses and loss expenses

$   948,622 

 

$   958,578 

 

$   933,645 

 

$   804,968 

 

$   685,725 

 

$   680,502 

 

$   670,446 

Unearned premiums

933,160 

 

902,566 

 

810,462 

 

687,148 

 

563,456 

 

519,885 

 

457,095 

Excess of book value of subsidiary

                         

 interest over cost

 

 

 

 

5,719 

 

8,431 

 

10,758 

Deferred income

8,466 

 

9,798 

 

7,684 

 

8,421 

 

7,015 

 

7,703 

 

7,464 

Accounts payable, accrued and other

                         

 liabilities

278,910 

 

172,194 

 

122,721 

 

75,361 

 

75,151 

 

72,333 

 

48,505 

Current income taxes

26,433 

 

29,135 

 

10,886 

 

769 

 

3,817 

 

15,829 

 

11,821 

Deferred income taxes

 

 

 

 

 

 

Payable for securities purchased

8,019 

 

11,871 

 

13,610 

 

 

 

 

Advance premium and commissions

                         

 payable

50,123 

 

50,190 

 

49,013 

 

44,388 

 

 

 

Outstanding checks payable

42,283 

 

39,356 

 

39,479 

 

36,369 

 

32,512 

 

24,825 

 

20,561 

 


Total insurance company liabilities

2,296,016 

 

2,173,688 

 

1,987,500 

 

1,657,424 

 

1,373,395 

 

1,329,508 

 

1,226,650 

Total non-insurance company liabilities

319,968 

 

317,273 

 

309,143 

 

11,879 

 

4,315 

 

(12,018)

 

2,561 

 


    Total combined liabilities

2,615,984 

 

2,490,961 

 

2,296,643 

 

1,669,303 

 

1,377,710 

 

1,317,490 

 

1,229,211 

 


Minority interest (1)

5,957 

 

5,126 

 

4,390 

 

4,106 

 

 

1,068 

 

1,364 

 


Capital stock

10,159 

 

9,621 

 

9,621 

 

3,600 

 

3,600 

 

3,600 

 

3,600 

Paid-in capital

260,966 

 

260,966 

 

260,966 

 

45,050 

 

45,050 

 

45,050 

 

45,050 

Retained earnings:

                         

  Balance, January 1

1,124,178 

 

913,128 

 

796,447 

 

737,122 

 

708,272 

 

587,137 

 

606,149 

  Net earnings

270,866 

 

247,402 

 

174,456 

 

49,433 

 

94,358 

 

136,425 

 

85,242 

  Other

(538)

 

 

7,774 

 

 

 

 

  Other comprehensive income (loss)

(23,369)

 

(12,462)

 

603 

 

12,871 

 

560 

 

36,490 

 

(47,948)

  Dividends paid

(68,410)

 

(23,890)

 

(66,152)

 

(71,564)

 

(66,068)

 

(51,780)

 

(56,306)

 


Balance, December 31

1,302,727 

 

1,124,178 

 

913,128 

 

727,862 

 

737,122 

 

708,272 

 

587,137 

 


    Total insurance company equity

1,573,852 

 

1,394,765 

 

1,183,715 

 

776,512 

 

785,772 

 

756,922 

 

635,787 

    Total non-insurance company

                         

     equity (2)

(268,783)

 

(278,609)

 

(271,504)

 

13,540 

 

23,661 

 

24,959 

 

32,218 

 


    Total combined stockholders' equity

1,305,069 

 

1,116,156 

 

912,211 

 

790,052 

 

809,433 

 

781,881 

 

668,005 

 


    Total combined liabilities, minority

                         

     interest and stockholders' equity

$3,927,010 

 

$3,612,243 

 

$3,213,244 

 

$2,463,461 

 

$2,187,143 

 

$2,100,439 

 

$1,898,580 

 


                           


 

(1)

Due to the internal reorganization in 2003, minority interest is no longer part of our insurance operation. Minority interest is included since then for comparative purposes and to reconcile to our consolidated balance sheet.

   

(2)

Since 2003, non-insurance company equity reflects the issuance of the $300 million senior debt offering offset by equity of the non-insurance subsidiaries.

<PAGE>  88

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMBINED BALANCE SHEETS OF INSURANCE SUBSIDIARIES AND RECONCILIATION TO

CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, Unaudited)

 
 

1998

 

1997

 

1996

 

1995

 

1994

 

1993

 

1992

 

1991

 


ASSETS

Cash and short-term investments

$     94,921 

 

$   254,894 

 

$   154,817 

 

$     62,209 

 

$     16,248 

 

$     22,858 

 

$     35,938 

 

$     6,843 

Bonds, at market (at amortized

                             

 cost prior to 1993)

619,267 

 

590,597 

 

716,702 

 

815,277 

 

745,010 

 

649,491 

 

505,565 

 

329,935 

Preferred stocks, at market (at

                             

 amortized cost prior to 1993)

197,425 

 

148,499 

 

147,680 

 

111,220 

 

85,574 

 

80,059 

 

2,261 

 

869 

Common stocks, at market

111,482 

 

58,652 

 

63,156 

 

40,359 

 

9,656 

 

47,462 

 

43,545 

 

30,055 

Preferred stock mutual funds (at equity)

177,079 

 

123,246 

 

22,727 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgage loans on real estate

46,573 

 

57,425 

 

45,398 

 

31,404 

 

35,715 

 

42,042 

 

60,697 

 

66,122 

Other investments

7,825 

 

3,783 

 

127 

 

 

 

 

 

Premium balances receivable

162,704 

 

169,311 

 

157,673 

 

126,090 

 

101,529 

 

94,333 

 

67,876 

 

55,510 

Investment income receivable

13,544 

 

12,103 

 

12,655 

 

14,440 

 

13,285 

 

10,205 

 

9,710 

 

6,063 

Residual market receivable

147,854 

 

169,267 

 

188,943 

 

193,625 

 

207,003 

 

208,156 

 

258,416 

 

260,409 

Reinsurance receivable

38,984 

 

19,899 

 

21,120 

 

23,254 

 

18,198 

 

12,868 

 

365 

 

Deferred acquisition costs

88,759 

 

85,264 

 

82,968 

 

67,160 

 

59,066 

 

53,647 

 

55,442 

 

33,981 

Current income taxes

2,773 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deferred income taxes

 

 

 

2,100 

 

38,180 

 

 

 

883 

Non-compete agreement

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Real estate, furniture and equipment

27,885 

 

29,060 

 

26,011 

 

24,642 

 

25,246 

 

22,371 

 

23,183 

 

24,163 

Receivable for investments sold

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Total insurance company assets

1,737,075 

 

1,722,000 

 

1,639,977 

 

1,511,780 

 

1,354,710 

 

1,243,492 

 

1,062,998 

 

814,833 

Total non-insurance company assets

29,774 

 

33,771 

 

38,062 

 

42,865 

 

34,358 

 

56,764 

 

43,581 

 

(245,337)

 


    Total combined assets

$1,766,849 

 

$1,755,771 

 

$1,678,039 

 

$1,554,645 

 

$1,389,068 

 

$1,300,256 

 

$1,106,579 

 

$ 569,496 

 


 

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

Unpaid losses and loss expenses

$   589,105 

 

$   627,291 

 

$   653,045 

 

$   613,649 

 

$   585,864 

 

$   555,641 

 

$   479,790 

 

$ 422,764 

Unearned premiums

391,424 

 

379,599 

 

367,991 

 

330,454 

 

314,719 

 

283,526 

 

264,567 

 

192,785 

Excess of book value of subsidiary

                             

 interest over cost

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deferred income

6,948 

 

7,271 

 

7,974 

 

8,954 

 

10,451 

 

7,351 

 

8,384 

 

12,918 

Accounts payable, accrued and other

                             

 liabilities

70,558 

 

60,332 

 

41,368 

 

34,351 

 

43,433 

 

16,564 

 

20,863 

 

7,677 

Current income taxes

 

9,635 

 

2,726 

 

1,596 

 

10,254 

 

4,867 

 

9,249 

 

5,811 

Deferred income taxes

4,955 

 

9,218 

 

2,071 

 

 

 

13,669 

 

4,400 

 

Payable for securities purchased

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Advance premium and commissions

                             

 payable

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Outstanding checks payable

19,266 

 

16,209 

 

14,715 

 

9,901 

 

11,688 

 

10,243 

 

10,129 

 

(4,347)

 


Total insurance company liabilities

1,082,256 

 

1,109,555 

 

1,089,890 

 

998,905 

 

976,409 

 

891,861 

 

797,382 

 

637,608 

Total non-insurance company liabilities

(26,259)

 

(6,608)

 

1,174 

 

16,026 

 

(930)

 

25,047 

 

27,264 

 

(249,586)

 


    Total combined liabilities

1,055,997 

 

1,102,947 

 

1,091,064 

 

1,014,931 

 

975,479 

 

916,908 

 

824,646 

 

388,022 

 


Minority interest (1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Capital stock

3,620 

 

3,600 

 

3,600 

 

3,450 

 

3,450 

 

3,450 

 

3,450 

 

3,450 

Paid-in capital

45,050 

 

45,050 

 

45,050 

 

23,700 

 

23,700 

 

8,700 

 

8,700 

 

8,700 

Retained earnings:

                             

  Balance, January 1

563,795 

 

501,437 

 

485,725 

 

351,151 

 

339,481 

 

253,466 

 

165,075 

 

112,016 

  Net earnings

95,661 

 

106,718 

 

74,543 

 

110,450 

 

113,892 

 

79,837 

 

91,980 

 

55,214 

  Other

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  Other comprehensive income (loss)

(1,669)

 

2,055 

 

6,399 

 

58,919 

 

(77,622)

 

21,928 

 

9,811 

 

2,545 

  Dividends paid

(51,638)

 

(46,415)

 

(65,230)

 

(34,795)

 

(24,600)

 

(15,750)

 

(13,400)

 

(4,700)

 


Balance, December 31

606,149 

 

563,795 

 

501,437 

 

485,725 

 

351,151 

 

339,481 

 

253,466 

 

165,075 

 


    Total insurance company equity

654,819 

 

612,445 

 

550,087 

 

512,875 

 

378,301 

 

351,631 

 

265,616 

 

177,225 

    Total non-insurance company

                             

     equity (2)

56,033 

 

40,379 

 

36,888 

 

26,839 

 

35,288 

 

31,717 

 

16,317 

 

4,249 

 


    Total combined stockholders' equity

710,852 

 

652,824 

 

586,975 

 

539,714 

 

413,589 

 

383,348 

 

281,933 

 

181,474 

 


    Total combined liabilities, minority

                             

     interest and stockholders' equity

$1,766,849 

 

$1,755,771 

 

$1,678,039 

 

$1,554,645 

 

$1,389,068 

 

$1,300,256 

 

$1,106,579 

 

$ 569,496 

 


<PAGE>  89

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMBINED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS OF INSURANCE OPERATIONS AND RECONCILIATION

TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Years Ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, Unaudited)

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 

2002

 

2001

 

2000

 

1999

 

1998

 


                               

Underwriting:

                             

    Direct premiums written

$1,874,231 

 

$1,838,241 

 

$1,658,969 

 

$1,406,856 

 

$1,152,407 

 

$1,071,649 

 

$ 948,149 

 

$ 796,858 

    Assumed premiums

132,098 

 

128,152 

 

112,547 

 

96,269 

 

79,360 

 

81,659 

 

87,241 

 

74,644 

    Ceded premiums

(270,138)

 

(253,850)

 

(216,017)

 

(190,111)

 

(152,800)

 

(144,397)

 

(123,397)

 

(126,454)

 


    Net premiums written

1,736,191 

 

1,712,543 

 

1,555,499 

 

1,313,014 

 

1,078,967 

 

1,008,911 

 

911,993 

 

745,048 

    Increase (decrease) in unearned

                             

      premiums

26,267 

 

73,710 

 

109,871 

 

102,974 

 

35,315 

 

54,428 

 

40,163 

 

(572)

 


        Earned premiums

1,709,924 

 

1,638,833 

 

1,445,628 

 

1,210,040 

 

1,043,652 

 

954,483 

 

871,830 

 

745,620 

 


                               

Expenses:

                             

    Losses and loss expenses

1,039,518 

 

1,029,806 

 

1,060,935 

 

908,227 

 

777,828 

 

682,805 

 

628,087 

 

533,523 

    Underwriting expenses

462,633 

 

434,486 

 

356,579 

 

314,150 

 

264,800 

 

251,697 

 

238,458 

 

200,525 

    (Increase) decrease in deferred

                             

      acquisition costs

(10,770)

 

(10,037)

 

(15,364)

 

(21,684)

 

(5,252)

 

(12,805)

 

(3,374)

 

(3,495)

 


        Total expenses

1,491,381 

 

1,454,255 

 

1,402,150 

 

1,200,693 

 

1,037,376 

 

921,697 

 

863,171 

 

730,553 

 


Underwriting income

218,543 

 

184,578 

 

43,478 

 

9,347 

 

6,276 

 

32,786 

 

8,659 

 

15,067 

Net investment income

124,983 

 

118,210 

 

94,857 

 

99,611 

 

100,384 

 

96,739 

 

90,028 

 

86,664 

Premium finance fees

28,294 

 

28,275 

 

26,902 

 

21,492 

 

17,814 

 

15,221 

 

14,768 

 

13,426 

Amortization of excess of book value

                             

  of subsidiary interest over cost

 

 

 

 

3,389 

 

3,390 

 

3,019 

 

Net realized investment gains(losses)

22,781 

 

24,293 

 

76,418 

 

(82,505)

 

(10,738)

 

29,380 

 

(16,325)

 

7,026 

 


    Earnings before other items and

                             

      federal income taxes

394,601 

 

355,356 

 

241,655 

 

47,945 

 

117,125 

 

177,516 

 

100,149 

 

122,183 

Other income:

                             

    Other income

10 

 

118 

 

 

9,500 

 

 

 

 

    Withdrawing companies' settlements

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


    Earnings before other items

                             

      and federal income taxes

394,611 

 

355,474 

 

241,655 

 

57,445 

 

117,125 

 

177,516 

 

100,149 

 

122,183 

Federal income taxes

123,745 

 

108,072 

 

67,199 

 

19,804 

 

23,630 

 

41,411 

 

15,966 

 

26,522 

 


    Earnings before cumulative effect of

                             

      change in accounting principle and

                             

      minority interest

270,866 

 

247,402 

 

174,456 

 

37,641 

 

93,495 

 

136,105 

 

84,183 

 

95,661 

Changes in accounting principle

 

 

 

11,237 

 

 

 

 

Minority interest in net losses of

                             

  subsidiary(1)

 

 

 

555 

 

863 

 

320 

 

1,059 

 

 


Net earnings for insurance companies

270,866 

 

247,402 

 

174,456 

 

49,433 

 

94,358 

 

136,425 

 

85,242 

 

95,661 

Net (losses) earnings for non-insurance

                             

  companies

(26,954)

 

(32,971)

 

(13,513)

 

(2,678)

 

(4,105)

 

(4,345)

 

3,434 

 

2,604 

 


        NET COMBINED EARNINGS

$   243,912 

 

$   214,431 

 

$   160,943 

 

$     46,755 

 

$     90,253 

 

$   132,080 

 

$   88,676 

 

$   98,265 

 


                               

Statutory Financial Ratios (Unaudited)

                             

    Losses and loss expenses to

                             

      premiums earned

60.8%

 

62.8%

 

73.4%

 

75.1%

 

74.5%

 

71.7%

 

72.0%

 

71.6%

Underwriting expenses to net

                             

  premiums written

26.5   

 

24.9   

 

22.9   

 

23.6   

 

24.2   

 

25.1   

 

26.5   

 

26.5   

 


    Combined ratio

87.3%

 

87.7%

 

96.3%

 

98.7%

 

98.7%

 

96.8%

 

98.5%

 

98.1%

 


    Underwriting profit

12.7%

 

12.3%

 

3.7%

 

1.3%

 

1.3%

 

3.2%

 

1.5%

 

1.9%

 


                               


 

(1)

Due to the internal reorganization in 2003, minority interest is not included in our insurance operations, but instead is included in net earnings for non-insurance companies.

<PAGE>  90

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

COMBINED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS OF INSURANCE OPERATIONS AND RECONCILIATION

TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

Years Ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars, Unaudited)

 
 
 

1997

 

1996

 

1995

 

1994

 

1993

 

1992

 

1991

 


                           

Underwriting:

                         

    Direct premiums written

$ 768,649 

 

$ 731,823 

 

$ 626,666 

 

$ 625,023 

 

$ 601,289 

 

$525,495 

 

$ 429,780 

    Assumed premiums

76,531 

 

93,703 

 

92,249 

 

93,785 

 

66,417 

 

83,268 

 

33,581 

    Ceded premiums

(103,679)

 

(113,956)

 

(115,494)

 

(129,611)

 

(104,290)

 

(99,916)

 

(152,362)

 


    Net premiums written

741,501 

 

711,570 

 

603,421 

 

589,197 

 

563,416 

 

508,847 

 

310,999 

    Increase (decrease) in unearned

                         

      premiums

11,004 

 

42,854 

 

10,831 

 

17,144 

 

14,856 

 

98,353 

 

30,193 

 


        Earned premiums

730,497 

 

668,716 

 

592,590 

 

572,053 

 

548,560 

 

410,494 

 

280,806 

 


                           

Expenses:

                         

    Losses and loss expenses

521,775 

 

474,173 

 

367,258 

 

369,764 

 

373,243 

 

271,848 

 

173,901 

    Underwriting expenses

185,146 

 

194,873 

 

171,892 

 

162,446 

 

147,290 

 

138,669 

 

85,655 

    (Increase) decrease in deferred

                         

      acquisition costs

(2,296)

 

(15,809)

 

(5,723)

 

(5,420)

 

1,796 

 

(21,462)

 

(6,708)

 


        Total expenses

704,625 

 

653,237 

 

533,427 

 

526,790 

 

522,329 

 

389,055 

 

252,848 

 


Underwriting income

25,872 

 

15,479 

 

59,163 

 

45,263 

 

26,231 

 

21,439 

 

27,958 

Net investment income

81,396 

 

76,867 

 

71,007 

 

63,119 

 

52,868 

 

39,685 

 

32,661 

Premium finance fees

7,056 

 

9,666 

 

19,246 

 

18,315 

 

16,486 

 

13,734 

 

11,165 

Amortization of excess of book value

                         

  of subsidiary interest over cost

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net realized investment gains(losses)

30,102 

 

(7,752)

 

720 

 

32,025 

 

13,040 

 

12,368 

 

7,529 

 


    Earnings before other items and

                         

      federal income taxes

144,426 

 

94,260 

 

150,136 

 

158,722 

 

108,625 

 

87,226 

 

79,313 

Other income:

                         

    Other income

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Withdrawing companies' settlements

 

 

 

 

 

43,168 

 

 


    Earnings before other items

                         

      and federal income taxes

144,426 

 

94,260 

 

150,136 

 

158,722 

 

108,625 

 

130,394 

 

79,313 

Federal income taxes

37,708 

 

19,717 

 

39,686 

 

44,830 

 

28,788 

 

38,414 

 

24,099 

 


    Earnings before cumulative effect of

                         

      change in accounting principle and

                         

      minority interest

106,718 

 

74,543 

 

110,450 

 

113,892 

 

79,837 

 

91,980 

 

55,214 

Changes in accounting principle

 

 

 

 

 

 

Minority interest in net losses of

                         

  subsidiary(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Net earnings for insurance companies

106,718 

 

74,543 

 

110,450 

 

113,892 

 

79,837 

 

91,980 

 

55,214 

Net (losses) earnings for non-insurance

                         

  companies

(5,314)

 

(468)

 

(249)

 

8,691 

 

(4,521)

 

(7,675)

 

(2,800)

 


        NET COMBINED EARNINGS

$ 101,404 

 

$   74,075 

 

$ 110,201 

 

$ 122,583 

 

$   75,316 

 

$  84,305 

 

$   52,414 

 


                           

Statutory Financial Ratios (Unaudited)

                         

    Losses and loss expenses to

                         

      premiums earned

71.4%

 

70.9%

 

62.0%

 

64.6%

 

68.0%

 

66.2%

 

61.9%

Underwriting expenses to net

                         

  premiums written

25.1   

 

27.1   

 

29.0   

 

27.1   

 

25.7   

 

28.1   

 

30.0   

 


    Combined ratio

96.5%

 

98.0%

 

91.0%

 

91.7%

 

93.7%

 

94.3%

 

91.9%

 


    Underwriting profit

3.5%

 

2.0%

 

9.0%

 

8.3%

 

6.3%

 

5.7%

 

8.1%

 


<PAGE>  91

ITEM 9.

CHANGES IN AND DISAGREEMENTS WITH ACCOUNTANTS ON ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE

   

      None.

 

ITEM 9A. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES

 
 

(a)

Evaluation of disclosure controls and procedures

 

      Under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, we evaluated the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rule 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Exchange Act) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based upon that evaluation, the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures are effective to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports that the Company files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is recorded, processed, summarized and reported, within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission's rules and forms.

 
 

(b)

Management's report on internal controls over financial reporting

 

      Management's report on internal controls over financial reporting and our independent registered public accountant's attestation report on management's assessment of our internal controls is included at the beginning of Item 8 of this report.

 
 

(c)

Changes in internal controls

 

      There have been no changes in our internal controls over financial reporting that have occurred during our last fiscal quarter that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to affect materially, our internal controls over financial reporting.

 

ITEM 9B. OTHER INFORMATION

 

      None.

<PAGE>  92

PART III

 

ITEM 10. DIRECTORS AND EXECUTIVE OFFICERS OF THE REGISTRANT

 

      The information called for by this Item and not provided herein will be contained in the Company's Proxy Statement, which the Company intends to file within 120 days after the end of the Company's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005, and such information is incorporated herein by reference.

 

      The Company has adopted a Code of Ethics and posted it on its website (http://www.commerceinsurance.com).

 

      Our executive officers are:

 
 

Name

   

Age

   

Primary Position with Company

   
 


 
         
 

Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.

 

75

 

President, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman of the Board and Director

 
             
 

Gerald Fels

 

63

 

Executive Vice President and Director

 
             
 

Arthur J. Remillard, III

 

50

 

Senior Vice President-Policyholder Benefits, Assistant Clerk and Director

 
             
 

Randall V. Becker

 

45

 

Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Director

 
             
 

David H. Cochrane

 

52

 

Senior Vice President-Underwriting of Commerce and Citation

 
             
 

Peter J. Dignan

 

54

 

Senior Vice President-Marketing and Premium Accounting of Commerce and Citation

 
             
 

James A. Ermilio

 

43

 

Senior Vice President and General Counsel

 
             
 

Debra A. Mann

 

46

 

Senior Vice President-Management Information Systems of Commerce

 
             
 

Cathleen M. Moynihan

 

50

 

Vice President-Human Resources

 
             

      Arthur J. Remillard, Jr. has been the President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of the Company since 1976. Mr. Remillard, Jr. has been Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Commerce since 1972 and President of Commerce from 1972 to November 2001. Mr. Remillard, Jr. is also a member of the Governing Committee, Actuarial Committee, Governing Committee Review Panel, Budget Committee and Personnel Committee of the Commonwealth Automobile Reinsurers (CAR). Mr. Remillard, Jr. is also Chairman of the Governing Committee and a member of the Budget Committee, Executive Committee, Nominating Committee and Personnel Committee of the Automobile Insurers Bureau of Massachusetts (AIB). Mr. Remillard, Jr. has announced his intention to retire effective July 28, 2006.

 

      Gerald Fels, a Certified Public Accountant, was appointed President and Chief Operating Officer of Commerce Insurance in November 2001, and Executive Vice President of Commerce Group in November 1989. From 1981 to November 1989, Mr. Fels was Senior Vice President of Commerce Group. Mr. Fels was the Treasurer of Commerce Group from 1976 to 1994 and of Commerce Insurance from 1975 to 1994. Mr. Fels was Chief Financial Officer of Commerce Group since 1976 and of Commerce Insurance since 1975 until February 2006. Mr. Fels became the Chief Executive Officer and President of American Commerce and Commerce West effective November 2003. Additionally, Mr. Fels is a director of American Nuclear Insurers. Mr. Fels has been appointed President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board effective upon Mr. Remillard, Jr.'s retirement.

<PAGE>  93

      Arthur J. Remillard, III was appointed Senior Vice President of Policyholder Benefits in 1988 and has been Assistant Clerk of Commerce Group since 1982. In August 2001, Mr. Remillard, III became responsible for the claim operations of American Commerce. From 1981 to 1988, Mr. Remillard, III had been Vice President-Mortgage Operations. In addition, Mr. Remillard, III was elected Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Insurance Fraud Bureau of the AIB in 2002 and he has served on that Board since 1991. Mr. Remillard, III has also served on the CAR Claims Advisory Committee since 1990 and the AIB Claims Committee since 1991.

 

      Randall V. Becker, a Certified Public Accountant, was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Commerce Group in February 2006 and has been Treasurer and Chief Accounting Officer of Commerce Group since 1994. From 1990 to 1994, Mr. Becker was Assistant Treasurer and Comptroller of Commerce Group. From 1986 to 1990, Mr. Becker was the Director of Internal Audit for Commerce Group.

 

      David H. Cochrane has been the Senior Vice President of Underwriting for Commerce Insurance and Citation since 1988. For approximately four years prior to that, Mr. Cochrane was the Vice President of Financial Services of CAR. Mr. Cochrane has also served on the CAR Market Review Committee since 1988 and became Chairman of this committee in January 2005. Mr. Cochrane serves on the CAR ERP Subscription Methodology Committee and was appointed to the CAR Actuarial Committee in January 2006.

 

      Peter J. Dignan was appointed the Senior Vice President of Marketing and Premium Accounting for Commerce Insurance and Citation in 1997. From 1989 to 1997, Mr. Dignan was Vice President of Premium Accounting for Commerce Insurance and Citation. From 1987 to 1989, Mr. Dignan was Assistant Vice President of Premium Accounting for Commerce and Citation.

 

      James A. Ermilio was appointed as Senior Vice President for Commerce Group in May 2001. Mr. Ermilio was also appointed General Counsel of Commerce Group in February 2000 and was a Vice President of Commerce Group from November 1998 to May 2001. Mr. Ermilio is also General Counsel and Secretary of American Commerce and Secretary of ACIC Holding and Commerce West. Mr. Ermilio had been the Associate General Counsel of Commerce Group since September 1998. Mr. Ermilio was Counsel for Glaxo Wellcome, Inc. (currently known as GlaxoSmithKline, Inc.) from 1993 to September 1998. Prior to 1993, Mr. Ermilio was an Associate with the law firm currently known as Bingham McCutchen. Mr. Ermilio is a member of the Massachusetts and District of Columbia Bars.

 

      Debra A. Mann was appointed Senior Vice President of Management Information Systems for Commerce Insurance in February 2006. From 2002 until February 2006, Ms. Mann was Assistant Vice President of Management Information Systems at Commerce Insurance. From 1995 to 2002, Ms. Mann was Information Systems and Services Manager at Commerce Insurance. Ms. Mann has been employed in various positions at Commerce Insurance since 1984.

 

      Cathleen M. Moynihan joined Commerce Group as Vice President of Human Resources in June 2005. Prior to joining Commerce, Ms. Moynihan was employed by EquiServe, Inc. as the Chief Human Resource Officer from October 2000 to June 2005. Ms. Moynihan had previously held executive level human resource positions at CGU Insurance (now known as One Beacon), Baystate Health Systems and the St. Paul Companies.

 

      The only family relationship among the executive officers is that Arthur J. Remillard, III is the son of Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.

 

ITEM 11. EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION

 

      The information called for by this Item will be contained in the Company's Proxy Statement, which the Company intends to file within 120 days after the end of the Company's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 and such information is incorporated herein by reference.

 

ITEM 12.

SECURITY OWNERSHIP OF CERTAIN BENEFICIAL OWNERS AND MANAGEMENT AND RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS

 

      The information called for by this Item and not provided herein will be contained in the Company's Proxy Statement, which the Company intends to file within 120 days after the end of the Company's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 and such information is incorporated herein by reference.

<PAGE>  94

      A summary of the total number of shares of our common stock to be issued upon exercise of outstanding stock options, the weighted-average exercise price of these outstanding stock options and the number of shares of our common stock remaining available for future issuance under equity compensation plans at December 31, 2005 follows. This information is presented for equity compensation plans that have and have not been approved by our stockholders.

 
         

Securities Remaining

 

Securities to be Issued

 

Weighted Average

 

Available for Future

 

Upon Exercise of

 

Exercise Price of

 

Issuance Under Equity

Plan Category

Outstanding Options

 

Outstanding Options

 

Compensation Plans


                       

Equity compensation plans approved

                     

  by security holders(1)

 

11,288

     

$30.80

     

2,557,664

 
                       

Equity compensation plans not

                     

  approved by security holders(2)

 

2,404,175

     

$53.25

     

N/A

 
 


                       

        Total

 

2,415,463

     

$53.15

     

N/A

 
 


                       


 

(1)

During 2002, our stockholders approved the Incentive Compensation Plan, which provides for the award of incentive stock options, non-qualified stock options, book value awards, stock appreciation rights, restricted stock and performance stock units. At the discretion of the Compensation Committee our directors, officers and other senior management employees, including our subsidiaries, are eligible to participate in this plan.

   

(2)

On January 29, 1999, we granted stock options (the Initial Options) to insurance agents (the Agents) of American Commerce to purchase 1,872,380 shares of common stock. The exercise price of the Initial Options is $36.32 per share. The Initial Options expire 10 years after the grant date. Each Initial Option vested and became exercisable on January 29, 2004, based on the average annual volume of other-than-Massachusetts private passenger automobile and homeowners direct written premiums (Qualifying Business) that the Agent placed with American Commerce during the five-year period ended December 31, 2003 (the Five-Year Average). The holders of the Initial Options also have the right to require us to purchase the Initial Options at a purchase price per share equal to the difference between $40.00 less the price of $36.32, after the Initial Option is vested, if the Five Year Average is equal to or greater than a specified goal.

   
 

We granted additional options (the Growth Options) to Agents who increase the volume of Qualifying Business during the 12-month period ending on June 30 in each year. Pursuant to these agreements, on July 31 in each year, we will grant one Growth Option covering 25,000 shares of common stock for each $1,000,000 increment of additional Qualifying Business. The exercise price of the Growth Options will be equal to 125% of the average of the daily averages of the high and low sale price per share of the common stock for the month of June in that year. The Growth Options expire ten years after the grant date. Each Growth Option vests and becomes exercisable five years after the grant date if, and only if, the Qualifying Business that the Agent places with American Commerce during the five-year period ending on the fifth anniversary of the grant date is not less than the threshold of Qualifying Business that triggered the grant of that Growth Option. We may terminate our obligation to grant future Growth Options under the agreement by giving the Agent written notice at least 90 days prior to the effective date of such termination. Through December 31, 2005, we have granted Growth Options covering 3,025,000 shares of common stock. On February 10, 2005, 700,000 of the Growth Options were forfeited by AAA Arizona.

   
 

Options cannot be exercised using cash. Options can only be exercised using a net share purchase, such that the dollar value that the option is in the money is divided by the fair market value of the stock at the date of exercise to arrive at the number of shares received by the option holder. During 2005, 217,955 Initial Options were exercised resulting in the issuance of 99,987 shares.

 

ITEM 13. CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS

 

      The information called for by this Item will be contained in the Company's Proxy Statement, which the Company intends to file within 120 days after the end of the Company's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 and such information is incorporated herein by reference.

<PAGE>  95

ITEM 14. PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTANT FEES AND SERVICES

 

      The information called for by this Item will be contained in the Company's Proxy Statement, which the Company intends to file within 120 days after the end of the Company's fiscal year ended December 31, 2005 and such information is incorporated herein by reference.

 

PART IV

 

ITEM 15. EXHIBITS AND FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES

 

A.

(1)

The financial statements and notes to financial statements are filed as part of this report in Part II, Item 8.

     
 

(2)

The financial statement schedules are listed in the Index to Consolidated

   

Financial Statement Schedules.

     
 

(3)

The exhibits are listed in the Index to Exhibits.

<PAGE>  96

SIGNATURES

 

      Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.

 

Dated: March 15, 2006

 
 

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

   
 

By:

/s/ Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.

   


 

(Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.)

 

(President, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman

 

of the Board and Director)

   

      Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, this report has been signed by the following persons, dated March 15, 2006, on behalf of the registrant and in the capacities indicated.

 
 

Signature

   

Title

 


           

/s/ Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.

 

President, Chief Executive Officer, Chairman


 

of the Board and Director

(Arthur J. Remillard, Jr.)

   
     

/s/ Gerald Fels

 

Executive Vice President and Director


   

(Gerald Fels)

   
     

/s/ Arthur J. Remillard, III

 

Senior Vice President-Policyholder Benefits,


 

Assistant Clerk and Director

(Arthur J. Remillard, III)

   
     

/s/ Randall V. Becker

 

Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer, Senior Vice


 

President, Chief Accounting Officer and Director

(Randall V. Becker)

   
     

/s/ John W. Spillane

 

Clerk and Director


   

(John W. Spillane)

   
     

/s/ Joseph A. Borski, Jr.

 

Director


   

(Joseph A. Borski, Jr.)

   
     

/s/ Eric G. Butler

 

Director


   

(Eric G. Butler)

   
     

/s/ Henry J. Camosse

 

Director


   

(Henry J. Camosse)

   
     

/s/ David R. Grenon

 

Director


   

(David R. Grenon)

   
     

/s/ Robert W. Harris

 

Director


   

(Robert W. Harris)

   
     

/s/ John J. Kunkel

 

Director


   

(John J. Kunkel)

   
     

/s/ Raymond J. Lauring

 

Director


   

(Raymond J. Lauring)

   
     

/s/ Normand R. Marois

 

Director


   

(Normand R. Marois)

   

<PAGE>  97

 

Signature

   

Title

 


           

/s/ Suryakant M. Patel

 

Director


   

(Suryakant M. Patel)

   
     

/s/ Regan P. Remillard

 

Director


   

(Regan P. Remillard)

   
     

/s/ Gurbachan Singh

 

Director


   

(Gurbachan Singh)

   

<PAGE>  98

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

 

INDEX TO FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES*

 

Schedules

Page

     

II

Condensed Financial Information of the Registrant as of and for the

 
 

years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

100

     

III

Supplementary Insurance Information for the years ended

 
 

December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

105

     

IV

Reinsurance for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

106

     

V

Valuation and Qualifying Accounts for the years ended

 
 

December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

107

     

VI

Supplemental Information Concerning Property-Casualty Insurance

 
 

Operations for the years ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

108

     


 

*

Financial statement schedules other than those listed are omitted because they are not required, not applicable or the required information has been included elsewhere.

<PAGE>  99

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE II

CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

(Parent Company Only)

BALANCE SHEETS

December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
 

2005

 

2004

 


       

ASSETS

Investments:

     

    Investment in Commerce Holdings, Inc.

$1,572,702 

 

$1,395,117 

    Investment in Bay Finance Company, Inc.

11,395 

 

11,180 

    Investment in the Clark-Prout Insurance Agency, Inc.

703 

 

671 

 


            Total investments

1,584,800 

 

1,406,968 

       

Cash and cash equivalents

88 

 

318 

Property and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation

1,028 

 

1,076 

Current income taxes

16,958 

 

23,868 

Deferred income taxes

12,697 

 

11,991 

Receivable from affiliates

66,790 

 

30,967 

Other assets

2,244 

 

2,518 

 


            Total assets

$1,684,605 

 

$1,477,706 

 


       

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

       

Liabilities:

     

    Accounts payable and accrued expenses

$     79,942 

 

$     62,238 

    Bonds payable ($300,000 face less discount) (Note E)

298,388 

 

298,186 

    Other liabilities

1,206 

 

1,126 

 


            Total liabilities

379,536 

 

361,550 

 


       

Stockholders' equity:

     

    Capital stock:

     

        Common stock

20,458 

 

20,364 

    Paid-in capital

148,130 

 

134,943 

    Net accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income, net of income taxes

     

      (benefit) of $(3,649) and $8,833

(6,810)

 

16,403 

    Retained earnings

1,363,507 

 

1,169,009 

 


            Total stockholders' equity before treasury stock

1,525,285 

 

1,340,719 

    Treasury stock, 7,262,571 and 7,405,996 shares

(220,216)

 

(224,563)

 


            Total stockholders' equity

1,305,069 

 

1,116,156 

 


            Total liabilities and stockholders' equity

$1,684,605 

 

$1,477,706 

 


       

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

<PAGE>  100

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE II

(continued)

CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

(Parent Company Only)

STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS

Years ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


           

Revenues:

         

    Dividends received from subsidiaries (Note A)

$  68,040 

 

$  23,625 

 

$  66,150 

    Rent income

510 

 

516 

 

510 

    Investment income

 

47 

 

34 

 


        Total revenues

68,551 

 

24,188 

 

66,694 

 


           

Expenses:

         

    Depreciation

286 

 

267 

 

273 

    Interest expense and amortization of bond fees

18,293 

 

18,313 

 

1,120 

    Administrative expenses

22,972 

 

31,553 

 

20,752 

 


        Total expenses

41,551 

 

50,133 

 

22,145 

 


           

Earnings (losses) before income tax benefits and equity in

         

  undistributed earnings of subsidiaries

27,000 

 

(25,945)

 

44,549 

Income tax benefits

(15,867)

 

(18,691)

 

(8,758)

 


           

Earnings (losses) before equity in undistributed earnings of subsidiaries

42,867 

 

(7,254)

 

53,307 

           

Equity in undistributed earnings of subsidiaries

201,045 

 

221,685 

 

107,636 

 


      Net earnings

$243,912 

 

$214,431 

 

$160,943 

 


           

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

<PAGE>  101

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE II

(continued)

CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

(Parent Company Only)

STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS

Years ended December 31,

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


           

Cash flows from operating activities:

         

    Net earnings

$ 243,912 

 

$ 214,431 

 

$ 160,943 

    Adjustments to reconcile net earnings to net cash

         

      (used in) provided by operating activities:

         

        Equity in undistributed earnings of subsidiaries

(201,045)

 

(221,685)

 

(107,636)

        Depreciation and amortization

766 

 

745 

 

285 

        Other assets, other liabilities and accrued expenses

39,175 

 

16,738 

 

20,211 

        Balances with affiliates

(35,823)

 

9,022 

 

(324,119)

 


Net cash provided (used in) by operating activities

46,985 

 

19,251 

 

(250,316)

 


           

Cash flows from investing activities:

         

    Purchase of property and equipment for company use

(283)

 

(191)

 

(326)

    Other

45 

 

57 

 

90 

 


Net cash used in investing activities

(238)

 

(134)

 

(236)

 


           

Cash flows from financing activities:

         

    Dividends paid to stockholders

(49,414)

 

(43,032)

 

(40,641)

    Purchase of capital stock

 

 

(8,058)

    Proceeds from bond issuance

 

 

297,972 

    Bond issue costs

 

(454)

 

(2,317)

    Capital stock issued

2,437 

 

22,606 

 

5,586 

 


Net cash (used in) provided by financing activities

(46,977)

 

(20,880)

 

252,542 

 


           

(Decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents

(230)

 

(1,763)

 

1,990 

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year

318 

 

2,081 

 

91 

 


Cash and cash equivalents at end of year

$        88 

 

$        318 

 

$     2,081 

 


           

The accompanying notes are an integral part of these condensed financial statements.

<PAGE>  102

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE II

(continued)

CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

(Parent Company Only)

NOTES TO CONDENSED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Thousands of Dollars)

 

      The accompanying condensed financial statements should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes thereto in this annual report.

 

      These condensed financial statements are presented on a "parent company only" basis. The equity of each of the Company's subsidiaries is reflected on each "investment in" line of the balance sheet. The combined net earnings of the Company's subsidiaries is reflected net of dividends received by the Company from those subsidiaries on the "equity in net earnings of subsidiaries over (under) amounts distributed" lines in the statements of earnings. Since the condensed financial statements are presented on a "parent company only" basis, intercompany balances that are eliminated in the consolidated financial statements are reflected in those financial statements.

 

Note A--Dividends

 

      Cash dividends paid to The Commerce Group, Inc. (parent only) follow:

 
 

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


           

Consolidated insurance subsidiaries

$68,040

 

$23,625

 

$66,150

           

      See Note I to the consolidated financial statements in the annual report for a description of dividend restrictions applicable to the Company's subsidiaries.

 

Note B--Federal Income Tax Allocation

 

      As a member of a consolidated group for tax purposes, the Company and its subsidiaries (Affiliated Group) are jointly and severally liable for federal income taxes of the Affiliated Group. The Company and its subsidiaries have entered into an agreement establishing an allocation of tax liability and for compensation of the respective members of the Affiliated Group for use of their tax losses and credits.

 

      The method of allocation calls for current taxes to be allocated among all affiliated companies based on a written tax-sharing agreement. Under this agreement, allocation is made primarily on a separate return basis with current payment for losses and other tax items utilized in the consolidated return. However, to the extent that a payer member of the group has future net operating losses, which it cannot absorb in the year incurred, other members within the group will refund payments to the payer.

<PAGE>  103

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE II

(continued)

CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC.

(Parent Company Only)

NOTES TO CONDENSED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS

(Thousands of Dollars)

 

Note C--Consolidated Financial Statements

 

      In preparing the consolidated financial statements of the Company and its subsidiaries, the following amounts have been eliminated:

 
 

Years Ended December 31,

   
 


   

Balance Sheet

2005

 

2004

   
 


   
           

Investment in subsidiaries

$1,584,800

 

$1,406,968

   

Receivable from affiliates

66,790

 

30,967

   
           
 

Years Ended December 31,

 


           

Statement of Earnings

2005

 

2004

 

2003

 


           

Dividends from subsidiaries

$     68,040

 

$     23,625

 

$  66,150

Rent income

510

 

516

 

510

           

Note D--Reclassification of Prior Year Balances

 

      Certain prior year balances have been reclassified to conform to the 2005 presentations.

 

Note E--Bonds Payable

 

      On December 9, 2003, we issued $300,000 face value of senior unsecured and unsubordinated debt (the Senior Notes) which matures December 9, 2013. The Senior Notes were issued at 99.3% to yield 6.04% and bear a coupon interest rate of 5.95%, payable semi-annually on June 9 and December 9. Proceeds from the issuance were $297,972. Costs related to the issuance of the Senior Notes have been deferred and recorded in other assets on the balance sheet. The deferred costs and the original issue discount will be amortized into interest expense over the life of the Senior Notes. The fair market value of the Senior Notes at December 31, 2005 was estimated at $303,900.

<PAGE>  104

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE III

SUPPLEMENTARY INSURANCE INFORMATION

Years Ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

(Thousands of Dollars)

 






Segment



Deferred
Policy
Acquisition
Costs

Future
Policy
Benefits,
Claims and
Loss
Expenses





Unearned
Premiums


Other
Policy
Claims and
Benefits
Payable




Earned
Premium
Revenue




Net
Investment
Income(1)


Benefits,
Claims,
Losses and
Settlement
Expenses


Amortization
of Deferred
Policy
Acquisition
Costs




Other
Operating
Expenses




Net
Premiums
Written


                     

2005:

                   

    Massachusetts property and casualty

                   

      insurance

$157,985

$865,962

$860,594

 

$1,498,808

$108,974

$   890,012

$402,932

$          -

$1,531,439

    Other states property and casualty

                   

      insurance

16,430

123,234

72,566

 

211,116

13,495

147,649

49,586

-

204,752

    Real estate and commercial lending

-

-

-

None

-

739

-

-

-

-

    Corporate and other

-

-

-

 

-

3

12,525

10,779

18,293

-

 


 


        Total

$174,415

$989,196

$933,160

 

$1,709,924

$123,211

$1,050,186

$463,297

$18,293

$1,736,191

 


 


                     

2004:

                   

    Massachusetts property and casualty

                   

      insurance

$145,706

$873,037

$824,277

 

$1,416,689

$103,000

$   881,888

$368,768

$          -

$1,490,403

    Other states property and casualty

                   

      insurance

17,939

117,223

78,289

None

222,144

11,955

147,801

56,341

-

222,140

    Real estate and commercial lending

-

-

-

 

-

705

-

-

-

-

    Corporate and other

-

-

-

 

-

51

15,151

14,123

18,313

-

 


 


        Total

$163,645

$990,260

$902,566

 

$1,638,833

$115,711

$1,044,840

$439,232

$18,313

$1,712,543

 


 


                     

2003:

                   

    Massachusetts property and casualty

                   

      insurance

$136,780

$824,401

$736,054

 

$1,242,502

$  79,113

$   898,810

$285,056

$          -

$1,339,802

    Other states property and casualty

                   

      insurance

16,825

132,952

74,408

None

203,126

12,300

161,817

57,211

-

215,697

    Real estate and commercial lending

-

-

-

 

-

762

-

-

-

-

    Corporate and other

-

-

-

 

-

8

9,520

7,983

1,120

-

 


 


        Total

$153,605

$957,353

$810,462

 

$1,445,628

$  92,183

$1,070,147

$350,250

$  1,120

$1,555,499

 


 


                     


 

(1)

The allocation of net investment income is based upon the specific identification of activity within the various segments.

<PAGE>  105

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE IV

REINSURANCE

Years Ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

(Thousands of Dollars)

 




Insurance Premiums Earned



Gross

Amount


Ceded to

Other
Companies


Assumed

From Other
Companies



Net

Amount

Percentage
of Amount
Assumed
to Net


                   

2005:

                 

    Property and casualty insurance

$1,849,827

 

$265,885

 

$125,982

 

$1,709,924

 

7.4%

 


                   

2004:

                 

    Property and casualty insurance

$1,753,262

 

$235,808

 

$121,379

 

$1,638,833

 

7.4%

 


                   

2003:

                 

    Property and casualty insurance

$1,545,730

 

$204,399

 

$104,297

 

$1,445,628

 

7.2%

 


<PAGE>  106

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE V

VALUATION AND QUALIFYING ACCOUNTS

Years Ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

(Thousands of Dollars)

 
     

Net addition

       
 

Balance

 

(reduction)

     

Balance

 

beginning

 

recorded to

     

at end

 

of year

 

expenses

 

Deductions(1)

 

of year

 


               

2005:

                     

    Allowance for losses on mortgage loans and

                     

      collateral notes receivable

$

372

 

$

(317)

 

$

 

$

55

 


                       

    Allowance for doubtful premium receivables

$

2,254

 

$

2,280 

 

$

(2,280)

 

$

2,254

 


                       

2004:

                     

    Allowance for losses on mortgage loans and

                     

      collateral notes receivable

$

379

 

$

(7)

 

$

 

$

372

 


                       

    Allowance for doubtful premium receivables

$

2,254

 

$

2,129 

 

$

(2,129)

 

$

2,254

 


                       

2003:

                     

    Allowance for losses on mortgage loans and

                     

      collateral notes receivable

$

418

 

$

(39)

 

$

 

$

379

 


                       

    Allowance for doubtful premium receivables

$

1,661

 

$

2,922 

 

$

(2,329)

 

$

2,254

 


                       

    Deferred tax asset valuation allowance

$

3,936

 

$

(3,936)

 

$

 

$

-

 


                       


 

(1)

Deductions represent net write-offs of amounts determined to be uncollectible.

<PAGE>  107

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

SCHEDULE VI

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION CONCERNING

PROPERTY-CASUALTY INSURANCE OPERATIONS

Years Ended December 31, 2005, 2004 and 2003

(Thousands of Dollars)

 






Affiliation With Registrant

Claims and claim
adjustment expenses
incurred related to


 



Paid claims

and claim
adjustment
expenses

Current
Year

 

Prior
Years

 
 


           

2005:

         

    Consolidated property-casualty entities

$1,111,583

 

$(61,397)

 

$1,045,613


           

2004:

         

    Consolidated property-casualty entities

$1,101,871

 

$(57,031)

 

$1,007,057


           

2003:

         

    Consolidated property-casualty entities

$1,095,371

 

$(25,224)

 

$   956,152


<PAGE>  108

THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

INDEX TO EXHIBITS (A)

 

Exhibit

       

Number

   

Title

 


   


 
     

3.1

 

Articles of Organization, as amended (B)

     

3.2

 

By-Laws (B)

     

4.1

 

Stock Certificate (B)

     

4.2

 

Form of Indenture between the Registrant and Wachovia Bank (I)

     

4.3

 

Form of Officers' Certificate (includes form of Notes) (I)

     

10.1*

 

1994 Management Incentive Plan as amended (C)

     

10.2*

 

Form of Non-Qualified Stock Option Agreement (D)

     

10.3*

 

Form of Incentive Stock Option Agreement (D)

     

10.4*

 

Form of Non-Qualified Stock Option Agreement (D)

     

10.5*

 

Form of Stock Option Agreement (D)

     

10.6*

 

Form of Book Value Award Agreement (E)

     

10.7

 

Reinsurance Agreement with Employers Reinsurance Corporation (F)

     

10.8*

 

2002 Amended & Restated Incentive Compensation Plan (G)

     

10.9

 

ACIC Agent Growth Option Agreement (G)

     

10.10

 

Initial ACIC Agent Option Agreement (H)

     

10.11

 

Form of AAA Marketing Agreement (J)

     

10.12

 

Form of AAA Service Agreement (J)

     

10.13

 

Massachusetts Insurance Processing Service Agreement (K)

     

10.14

 

Letter Agreement Regarding Growth Options (K)

     

10.31

 

Multiple Line Quota Share Reinsurance Agreement (L)

     

10.32

 

Form of Director Indemnification Agreement filed herewith (N)

     

10.33

 

Combined Property and Liability Quota Share Reinsurance Agreement (M)

     

10.34*

 

2004 Book Value Award Agreement (M)

     

10.36*

 

Form of 2005 Incentive Award Agreement (O)

     

10.37

 

Addendum No. 1 to Combined Property and Liability Quota Share Reinsurance Agreement
(Exhibit 10.33) (P)

     

10.38

 

Property and Catastrophe (1st through 3rd) Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract (P)

     

21

 

Subsidiaries of the Registrant(L)

<PAGE>  109

23

 

Consent of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP filed herewith

     

31

 

Statements under Section 302 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 filed herewith

     

32

 

Statements under Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 filed herewith

     


 

(A)

Exhibits other than those listed are omitted because they are not required or are not applicable. Copies of exhibits are available without charge by writing to the Assistant to the President at 211 Main Street, Webster, MA 01570.

   

(B)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Registration Statement on Form S-18 (No. 33-12533-B).

   

(C)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 1997.

   

(D)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 1999.

   

(E)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2002.

   

(F)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2002.

   

(G)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2002.

   

(H)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2003.

   

(I)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form S-3/A (File No. 333-109255), filed on November 3, 2003.

   

(J)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2002, filed on September 29, 2003.

   

(K)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2002, filed on November 25, 2003.

   

(L)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2003.

   

(M)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2004.

   

(N)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004.

   

(O)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2005.

   

(P)

Incorporated herein by reference to the Registrant's Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2005.

   

*

Denotes management contract or compensation plan or arrangement.

<PAGE>  110