Fair Value Measurements

For assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring and nonrecurring basis, a three-level hierarchy of measurements based upon observable and unobservable inputs is used to arrive at fair value. Observable inputs are developed based on market data obtained from independent sources, while unobservable inputs reflect our assumptions about valuation based on the best information available in the circumstances. Depending on the inputs, we classify each fair value measurement as follows:


•	Level 1—based upon quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets,


•	Level 2—based upon quoted prices for similar instruments, prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active, or model-derived valuations, all of whose significant inputs are observable, and


•	Level 3—based upon one or more significant unobservable inputs.

The following section describes key inputs and assumptions in our valuation methodologies:

Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash Equivalents—Cash equivalents are highly liquid investments with an original maturity of 90 days or less which may include U.S. government and federal agency securities, commercial paper, and other highly liquid investments. The carrying amounts of cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash approximate fair value because of the short-term maturity and highly liquid nature of these instruments.

Marketable Securities—Our marketable securities portfolios are classified as available-for-sale and may include investments in U.S. government and federal agency securities, commercial paper and other investments with an original maturity greater than 90 days. We use quoted prices from active markets to determine fair value.

Derivative Assets and Liabilities—We measure the fair value of derivatives assuming that the unit of account is an individual derivative transaction and that each derivative could be sold or transferred on a stand-alone basis. We classify within Level 2 our derivatives that are traded over-the-counter and valued using internal models based on observable market inputs.

Guarantees—We provide certain guarantees of payments and residual values, to which losses are generally capped, to specific counterparties. The fair value of these guarantees includes a contingent component and a non-contingent component that are based upon internally developed models using unobservable inputs. We classify these liabilities within Level 3. For more information regarding guarantees, see Note 13, Commitments and Contingencies.

Impaired Finance Receivables and Impaired Assets Under Operating Leases—Fair values of the underlying collateral are determined by current and forecasted sales prices, aging of and demand for used trucks, and the mix of sales through various market channels. For more information regarding impaired finance receivables, see Note 4, Allowance for Doubtful Accounts, and for more information regarding impaired assets under operating leases, see Note 2, Restructuring and Impairments.

Impaired Property, Plant and Equipment—We measure the fair value by discounting future cash flows expected to be received from the operation of, or disposition of, the asset or asset group that has been determined to be impaired. For more information regarding the impairment of property, plant and equipment, see Note 2, Restructuring and Impairments.

The following table presents the financial instruments measured at fair value on a recurring basis:



	As of October 31, 2018								As of October 31, 2017
(in millions)	Level 1		Level 2		Level 3		Total		Level 1		Level 2		Level 3		Total
Assets
Marketable securities:
U.S. government and federal agency securities	$	101	$	—	$	—	$	101	$	370	$	—	$	—	$	370
Derivative financial instruments:
Commodity forward contracts^(A)	—		2		—		2		—		3		—		3
Foreign currency contracts^(A)	—		—		—		—		—		3		—		3
Interest rate caps^(B)	—		2		—		2		—		1		—		1
Total assets	$	101	$	4	$	—	$	105	$	370	$	7	$	—	$	377
Liabilities
Derivative financial instruments:
Commodity forward contracts^(C)	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	—	$	1	$	—	$	1
Foreign currency contracts^(C)	—		—		—		—		—		1		—		1
Guarantees	—		—		24		24		—		—		21		21
Total liabilities	$	—	$	—	$	24	$	24	$	—	$	2	$	21	$	23

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(A)	The asset value of commodity forward contracts and foreign currency contracts is included in Other current assets in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets.


(B)	The asset value of interest rate caps is included in Other noncurrent assets in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets.


(C)	The liability value of commodity forward contracts and foreign currency contracts is included in Other current liabilities in the accompanying Consolidated Balance Sheets.

The following table presents the changes for those financial instruments classified within Level 3 of the valuation hierarchy:



(in millions)	October 31, 2018			October 31, 2017
Guarantees, at beginning of period	$	(21	)	$	(23	)
Transfers out of Level 3	—			—
Issuances	(7		)	(2		)
Settlements	4			4
Guarantees, at end of period	$	(24	)	$	(21	)
Change in unrealized gains on assets (liabilities) still held	$	—		$	—

The following table presents the financial instruments measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis:



(in millions)	October 31, 2018			October 31, 2017
Level 2 financial instruments
Impaired finance receivables ^(A)	$	20		$	16
Specific loss reserve	(9		)	(7		)
Fair value	$	11		$	9

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(A)

Certain impaired finance receivables are measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis. An impairment charge is recorded for the amount by which the carrying value of the receivables exceeds the fair value of the underlying collateral, net of remarketing costs. Fair values of the underlying collateral are determined by reference to dealer vehicle value publications adjusted for certain market factors.

In addition to the methods and assumptions we use for the financial instruments recorded at fair value as discussed above, we use the following methods and assumptions to estimate the fair value for our other financial instruments that are not marked to market on a recurring basis. The carrying amounts of Cash and cash equivalents, Restricted cash, and Accounts payable approximate fair values because of the short-term maturity and highly liquid nature of these instruments. Finance receivables generally consist of retail and wholesale accounts and notes. The carrying amounts of Trade and other receivables and retail and wholesale accounts approximate fair values as a result of the short-term nature of the receivables. The carrying amounts of wholesale notes approximate fair values as a result of the short-term nature of the wholesale notes and their variable interest rate terms. Due to the nature of the aforementioned financial instruments, they have been excluded from the fair value amounts presented in the table below.

The fair values of our retail notes are estimated by discounting expected cash flows at current market rates. The fair values of our retail notes are classified as Level 3 financial instruments.

The fair values of our debt instruments classified as Level 1 were determined using quoted market prices. The 6.75% Tax Exempt Bonds, due 2040, are traded, but the trading market is illiquid, and as a result, the Loan Agreement underlying the Tax Exempt Bonds is classified as Level 2. Trading in our 6.625% Senior Notes is limited to qualified institutional buyers; therefore the notes are classified as Level 2. The fair values of our Level 3 debt instruments are generally determined using internally developed valuation techniques such as discounted cash flow modeling. Inputs such as discount rates and credit spreads reflect our estimates of assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the instrument and may be unobservable.

The following tables present the carrying values and estimated fair values of financial instruments:



	As of October 31, 2018
	Estimated Fair Value								Carrying Value
(in millions)	Level 1		Level 2		Level 3		Total
Assets
Retail notes	$	—	$	—	$	180	$	180	$	183
Liabilities
Debt:
Manufacturing operations
Senior Secured Term Loan Credit Agreement, due 2025	—		—		1,597		1,597		1,570
6.625% Senior Notes, due 2026	—		1,122		—		1,122		1,083
4.75% Senior Subordinated Convertible Notes, due 2019^(A)	412		—		—		412		405
Loan Agreement related to 6.75% Tax Exempt Bonds, due 2040	—		235		—		235		220
Financed lease obligations	—		—		122		122		122
Other	—		—		25		25		26
Financial Services operations
Asset-backed debt issued by consolidated SPEs, due serially through 2023	—		—		949		949		948
Senior secured NFC Term Loan, due 2025	—		—		400		400		394
Bank credit facilities, due dates from 2019 through 2024	—		—		511		511		519
Commercial paper, program matures in 2022	75		—		—		75		75
Borrowings secured by operating and finance leases, due serially through 2024	—		—		104		104		105



	As of October 31, 2017
	Estimated Fair Value								Carrying Value
(in millions)	Level 1		Level 2		Level 3		Total
Assets
Retail notes	$	—	$	—	$	153	$	153	$	161
Liabilities
Debt:
Manufacturing operations
Senior Secured Term Loan Credit Facility, due 2020	—		—		1,019		1,019		1,003
8.25% Senior Notes, due 2022	1,450		—		—		1,450		1,423
4.50% Senior Subordinated Convertible Notes, due 2018^(A)	208		—		—		208		194
4.75% Senior Subordinated Convertible Notes, due 2019^(A)	446		—		—		446		394
Loan Agreement related to 6.50% Tax Exempt Bonds, due 2040	—		243		—		243		220
Financed lease obligations	—		—		130		130		130
Other	—		—		23		23		39
Financial Services operations
Asset-backed debt issued by consolidated SPEs, due serially through 2023	—		—		851		851		849
Bank credit facilities, due dates from 2019 through 2024	—		—		592		592		616
Commercial paper, program matures in 2022	92		—		—		92		92
Borrowings secured by operating and finance leases, due serially through 2024	—		—		94		94		94

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(A)	The carrying value represents the consolidated financial statement amount of the debt which excludes the allocation of the conversion feature to equity, while the estimated fair value is derived from quoted prices in active markets which include the equity feature.