EX-99 2 dex99.htm NEWS RELEASE DATED AUGUST 18, 2010 News release dated August 18, 2010

Exhibit 99

 

LOGO  

NEWS

RELEASE

 

The Progressive Corporation

6300 Wilson Mills Road

Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143

http://www.progressive.com

 

 

Company Contact:

Clark Khayat

(440) 395-2291

PROGRESSIVE REPORTS JULY RESULTS

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — August 18, 2010 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for July 2010:

 

(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)   

July

2010

  

July

2009

   Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 1,421.1    $ 1,365.8    4

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,375.6    $ 1,325.0    4

Net income

   $ 113.2    $ 114.9    (1 )% 

Per share

   $ .17    $ .17    0

Total pretax net realized gains (losses) on securities

   $ 20.8    $ 25.8    (19 )% 

Combined ratio

     91.9      91.0    .9 pts.   

Average diluted equivalent shares

     662.5      673.5    (2 )% 
(in thousands)   

July

2010

  

July

2009

   Change  

Policies in Force:

        

Agency – Auto

     4,467.3      4,338.2    3

Direct – Auto

     3,526.1      3,070.6    15
                

Total Personal Auto

     7,993.4      7,408.8    8

Total Special Lines

     3,650.8      3,496.5    4
                

Total Personal Lines

     11,644.2      10,905.3    7
                

Total Commercial Auto

     519.6      529.9    (2 )% 
                

Progressive offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. Our Personal Lines business writes insurance for personal autos and recreational vehicles. Our Commercial Auto business writes primary liability, physical damage, and other auto-related insurance for autos and trucks owned by small businesses.

See the “Income Statements” and “Supplemental Information” for further month and year-to-date information and the “Monthly Commentary” at the end of this release for additional discussion.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT

July 2010

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      Current
Month
   

Comments on Monthly Results1

Net premiums written

   $ 1,421.1    
          

Revenues:

    

Net premiums earned

   $ 1,375.6    

Investment income

     42.2    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

    

Other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses:

    

Total OTTI losses

     0    

Non-credit losses, net of credit losses recognized on previously recorded non-credit OTTI losses

     0    
          

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     0    

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     20.8    

Includes a $5.8 million realized gain, which reflects the recognition of the previously deferred gain on the forecasted transaction related to the portion of the Debentures that was extinguished.

          

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     20.8    

Service revenues

     1.8    

Net gain on extinguishment of debt

     6.4    

Represents the gain on our debt extinguishment, net of associated costs; see the “investment expenses (income)” comment below.

          

Total revenues

     1,446.8    
          

Expenses:

    

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     961.9    

Policy acquisition costs

     130.5    

Other underwriting expenses

     172.1    

Investment expenses (income)

     (1.3  

Includes $2.0 million related to a consent solicitation fee and other costs incurred in June that were reclassified to “net gain on extinguishment of debt” in July when the tender offer expired.

Service expenses

     2.1    

Interest expense

     11.0    
          

Total expenses

     1,276.3    
          

Income before income taxes

     170.5    

Provision for income taxes

     57.3    
          

Net income

   $ 113.2    
          

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

    

Basic:

    

Average shares outstanding

     657.2    
          

Per share

   $ .17    
          

Diluted:

    

Average shares outstanding

     657.2    

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     5.3    
          

Total equivalent shares

     662.5    
          

Per share

   $ .17    
          

 

1

See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release for additional discussion. For a description of our reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to our 2009 audited consolidated financial statements included in our 2009 Shareholders’ Report, which can be found at www.progressive.com/annualreport.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENTS

July 2010 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

      Year-to-Date        
     2010     2009      % Change  

Net premiums written

   $ 8,906.5     $ 8,417.3      6  
                  

Revenues:

      

Net premiums earned

   $ 8,466.9     $ 8,173.0      4  

Investment income

     302.6       293.3      3  

Net realized gains (losses) on securities:

      

Other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) losses:

      

Total OTTI losses

     (17.2     (53.8 )     (68

Non-credit losses, net of credit losses recognized on previously recorded non-credit OTTI losses

     5.5       23.8      (77
                  

Net impairment losses recognized in earnings

     (11.7     (30.0 )     (61

Net realized gains (losses) on securities

     23.8       (1.7 )     NM   
                  

Total net realized gains (losses) on securities

     12.1       (31.7 )     NM   

Service revenues

     11.0       9.4      17  

Net gain on extinguishment of debt

     6.4       0      NM   
                  

Total revenues

     8,799.0       8,444.0      4  
                  

Expenses:

      

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

     5,928.5       5,728.1      3  

Policy acquisition costs

     802.4       797.9      1  

Other underwriting expenses

     1,044.8       918.0      14  

Investment expenses

     6.9       6.7      3  

Service expenses

     12.8       11.1      15  

Interest expense

     81.3       80.2      1  
                  

Total expenses

     7,876.7       7,542.0      4  
                  

Income before income taxes

     922.3       902.0      2  

Provision for income taxes

     301.6       304.5      (1
                  

Net income

   $ 620.7     $ 597.5      4  
                  

COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE

      

Basic:

      

Average shares outstanding

     660.4       668.7      (1
                  

Per share

   $ .94     $ .89      5  
                  

Diluted:

      

Average shares outstanding

     660.4       668.7      (1

Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation

     5.1       4.6      11  
                  

Total equivalent shares

     665.5       673.3      (1
                  

Per share

   $ .93     $ .89      5  
                  

NM = Not Meaningful

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

INCOME STATEMENT – OTHER INFORMATION

July 2010

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

The following table sets forth the comprehensive income for the period:

 

      Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
     2010     2009  

Net income

   $ 113.2     $ 620.7     $ 597.5  
                        

After-tax changes in:

      

Net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     136.8       264.2       386.1  

Net non-credit related OTTI losses

     0       (3.6     (15.5
                        

Total net unrealized gains (losses) on securities

     136.8       260.6       370.6  

Net unrealized gains on forecasted transactions

     (4.1     (5.7     (1.4

Foreign currency translation adjustment

     .5       (.3     0  
                        

Comprehensive income

   $ 246.4     $ 875.3     $ 966.7  
                        

Per share

   $ .37     $ 1.32     $ 1.44  
                        

The following table sets forth the investment results for the period:

 

      Current
Month
    Year-to-Date  
     2010     2009  

Fully taxable equivalent total return:

      

Fixed-income securities

   1.3    5.1    6.7 

Common stocks

   7.0    .7    12.6 

Total portfolio

   1.7    4.9    6.5 

Pretax recurring investment book yield

   3.4    3.6    3.8 

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

July 2010

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Current Month

 
                       Commercial
Auto

Business
              
     Personal Lines Business       Other
Businesses1
     Companywide
Total
 
     Agency     Direct     Total         

Net Premiums Written

   $ 734.0     $ 554.4     $ 1,288.4     $ 132.5     $ 0.2       $ 1,421.1  

% Growth in NPW

         11          (6 )%      NM        

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 707.4     $ 524.0     $ 1,231.4     $ 142.9     $ 1.3       $ 1,375.6  

% Growth in NPE

         12          (7 )%      NM        

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

     72.8       69.5       71.4       57.9       NM         69.9  

Expense ratio

     21.9       22.4       22.1       21.3       NM         22.0  
                                                 

Combined ratio

     94.7       91.9       93.5       79.2       NM         91.9  
                                                 

Actuarial Adjustments2

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

              $ 17.8  

Current accident year

                5.3  
                   

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ 11.8     $ 8.5     $ 20.3     $ 2.8     $ 0       $ 23.1  
                   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

              $ 17.8  

All other development

                38.0  
                   

Total development

              $ 55.8  
                   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

                69.9  
                   

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

                74.0  
                   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

                69.9  

Expense ratio

                21.6  
                   

Combined ratio

                91.5  
                   

 

1

The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $1.3 million for the month. Combined ratios and % growth are not meaningful (NM) due to the low level of premiums earned by, and the variability of loss costs in, such businesses.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

July 2010 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)

(unaudited)

 

Year-to-Date

 
                       Commercial
Auto
Business
              
     Personal Lines Business       Other
Businesses1 
     Companywide
Total
 
     Agency     Direct     Total         

Net Premiums Written

   $ 4,611.5     $ 3,372.9     $ 7,984.4     $ 919.2     $ 2.9        $ 8,906.5  

% Growth in NPW

         13          (5 )%      NM        

Net Premiums Earned

   $ 4,398.2     $ 3,175.7     $ 7,573.9     $ 883.4     $ 9.6        $ 8,466.9  

% Growth in NPE

         12          (9 )%      NM        

GAAP Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

     70.0       71.4       70.6       64.9       NM         70.0  

Expense ratio

     21.5       22.4       21.9       22.3       NM         21.8  
                                                 

Combined ratio

     91.5       93.8       92.5       87.2       NM         91.8  
                                                 

Actuarial Adjustments2  

             

Reserve Decrease/(Increase)

             

Prior accident years

              $ 90.5  

Current accident year

                41.7  
                   

Calendar year actuarial adjustment

   $ 56.6     $ 39.6     $ 96.2     $ 36.0     $       $ 132.2  
                   

Prior Accident Years Development

             

Favorable/(Unfavorable)

             

Actuarial adjustment

              $ 90.5  

All other development

                127.2  
                   

Total development

              $ 217.7  
                   

Calendar year loss/LAE ratio

                70.0  
                   

Accident year loss/LAE ratio

                72.6  
                   

Statutory Ratios

             

Loss/LAE ratio

                70.1  

Expense ratio

                21.5  
                   

Combined ratio

                91.6  
                   

Statutory Surplus

              $ 5,630.1  
                   

NM = Not Meaningful

 

1

On a year-to-date basis, the other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $9.2 million.

2

Represents adjustments solely based on our corporate actuarial reviews.

 

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES

BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions – except per share amounts)

(unaudited)

 

     July 2010  

CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:

  

Investments – Available-for-sale, at fair value:

  

Fixed maturities1  (amortized cost: $11,596.8)

   $ 11,866.6  

Equity securities:

  

Nonredeemable preferred stocks1  (cost: $617.5)

     1,189.8  

Common equities (cost: $1,004.0)

     1,226.5  

Short-term investments (amortized cost: $1,565.9)

     1,565.9  
        

Total investments2, 3

     15,848.8  

Net premiums receivable

     2,805.6  

Deferred acquisition costs

     446.0  

Other assets3, 4

     2,403.3  
        

Total assets

   $ 21,503.7  
        

Unearned premiums

   $ 4,618.2  

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves4  

     6,927.0  

Other liabilities

     1,494.8  

Debt

     1,957.5  

Shareholders’ equity

     6,506.2  
        

Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity

   $ 21,503.7  
        

Common shares outstanding

     665.2  

Shares repurchased – July

     2.7  

Average cost per share

   $ 19.49  

Book value per share

   $ 9.78  

Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity

     18.3 

Net unrealized pretax gains (losses) on investments

   $ 1,062.7  

Increase (decrease) from June 2010

   $ 210.4  

Increase (decrease) from December 2009

   $ 400.9  

Debt-to-total capital ratio

     23.1 

Fixed-income portfolio duration

     2.0 years   

Weighted average credit quality

     AA   

Year-to-date Gainshare factor

     1.58  

 

1

As of July 31, 2010, we held certain hybrid securities and recognized a change in fair value of $1.9 million as a realized gain during the period we held these securities.

2

Includes $5.5 billion of short-term investments and U.S. Treasury securities.

3

Total investments exclude $19.3 million of net unsettled security transactions, which are included in “other assets” as of July 31, 2010.

4

Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $672.9 million.

 

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Monthly Commentary

 

   

In July, we reduced Personal Lines net premiums written and earned by approximately 1%, primarily in the Agency channel, resulting from the recognition of additional ceded premiums on our motorcycle policies to a state reinsurance facility. This adjustment reflects our estimate of an underpayment of prior years’ premiums related to the excess of loss coverage provided by the facility.

 

   

On July 8, 2010, our tender offer to purchase up to $350 million of our $1 billion 6.70% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Junior Subordinated Debentures due 2067 expired. As a result, we retired an aggregate principal amount of $222.9 million of the Debentures. A net gain of $8.4 million on the debt extinguishment was recorded in July, bringing the total net gain to $6.4 million after the reclassification of the offering costs incurred during June. A complete description of our tender offer and associated consent solicitation can be found in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended June 30, 2010.

Upcoming Events

We are currently scheduled to release August results on Thursday, September 16, 2010, before the market opens.

About Progressive

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies makes it easy to understand, buy, and use auto insurance. Progressive offers choices so consumers can reach us whenever, wherever, and however it’s most convenient for them—online at http://www.progressive.com, by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE, or in-person with a local agent.

Progressive offers insurance for personal and commercial autos and trucks, motorcycles, boats, recreational vehicles, and homes. We’re the fourth largest auto insurer in the country, the largest seller of motorcycle insurance, and a leader in commercial auto insurance. Progressive also offers car insurance online in Australia at http://www.progressivedirect.com.au.

Founded in 1937, Progressive continues its long history of offering shopping tools and services that save customers time and money, like Name Your Price, the Snapshot Discount, and a concierge level of claims service.

The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, trade publicly at NYSE:PGR.

Safe Harbor Statement Under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those reported herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions, and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the financial condition of, and other issues relating to the strength of and liquidity available to, issuers of securities held in our investment portfolios and other companies with which we have ongoing business relationships, including counterparties to certain financial transactions; the accuracy and adequacy of our pricing and loss reserving methodologies; the competitiveness of our pricing and the effectiveness of our initiatives to retain more customers; initiatives by competitors and the effectiveness of our response; our ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of our brand strategy and advertising campaigns relative to those of competitors; legislative and regulatory developments, including, but not limited to, health care reform and tax law changes; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against us; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail, and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; our ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of our facilities, systems (including information technology systems), and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time in our releases and publications, and in our periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Also, our regular reserve reviews may result in adjustments of varying magnitude as additional information regarding claims activity becomes known. Reported results, therefore, may be volatile in certain accounting periods.

 

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