EX-99 2 l14935aexv99.htm EX-99 PRESS RELEASE Exhibit 99
 

Exhibit 99

     
(PROGRESSIVE LOGO)
  NEWS
RELEASE
     
The Progressive Corporation   Company Contact:
6300 Wilson Mills Road   Thomas A. King
Mayfield Village, Ohio 44143   (440)395-2260
http://www.progressive.com    

The Company is scheduled to hold a one-hour conference call to address questions on Tuesday, August 9, 2005, at 9:00 a.m. eastern time, subsequent to the posting of the Company’s Shareholders Report online and the filing of its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q with the SEC. Registration for the teleconference or webcast is scheduled to be available on the Company’s Web site at http://investors.progressive.com/events.asp on or after July 21, 2005.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

MAYFIELD VILLAGE, OHIO — July 14, 2005 — The Progressive Corporation today reported the following results for June and the second quarter 2005:

                                                 
    Month     Quarter  
(millions, except per share amounts and ratios)   2005     2004     Change     2005     2004   Change  
Net premiums written
  $ 1,092.8     $ 991.5       10 %   $ 3,594.1     $ 3,361.6       7 %
Net premiums earned
    1,069.6       1,005.4       6 %     3,453.8       3,234.0       7 %
Net income
    120.6       120.2       %     394.3       386.3       2 %
Per share
    .61       .55       11 %     1.97       1.76       12 %
Pre-tax net realized gains (losses)
    (.7 )     (3.1 )     (77 )%     (3.8 )     (3.4 )     12 %
 
                                               
Combined ratio
    87.3       86.0     (1.3) pts.     86.1       85.4     (.7) pts.
Diluted equivalent shares
    199.4       219.7       (9 )%     200.0       219.8       (9 )%

See the “Income Statements” for further month and year-to-date information.

     The Company offers insurance to personal and commercial auto drivers throughout the United States. The Company’s Personal Lines business units write insurance for private passenger automobiles and recreation vehicles. The Company’s Commercial Auto business unit writes primary liability, physical damage and other auto-related insurance for automobiles and trucks owned by small businesses. See “Supplemental Information” for month and year-to-date results.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
INCOME STATEMENT
June 2005

(millions – except per share amounts)
(unaudited)

                 
    Current        
    Month     Comments on Monthly Results1  
Direct premiums written
  $ 1,116.4          
 
             
 
               
Net premiums written
  $ 1,092.8          
 
             
 
               
Revenues:
               
Net premiums earned
  $ 1,069.6          
Investment income
    47.9          
Net realized gains (losses) on securities
    (.7 )        
Service revenues
    3.1          
 
             
Total revenues
    1,119.9          
 
             
Expenses:
               
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    716.5          
Policy acquisition costs
    113.1          
Other underwriting expenses
    104.2          
Investment expenses
    1.0          
Service expenses
    1.9          
Interest expense
    6.9          
 
             
Total expenses
    943.6          
 
             
 
               
Income before income taxes
    176.3          
Provision for income taxes
    55.7          
 
             
Net income
  $ 120.6          
 
             
 
               
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
               
Basic:
               
Average shares outstanding
    196.5          
 
             
Per share
  $ .61          
 
             
Diluted:
               
Average shares outstanding
    196.5          
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation
    2.9          
 
             
Total equivalent shares
    199.4          
 
             
Per share
  $ .61          
 
             
 
1   See the Monthly Commentary at the end of this release for additional discussion. For a description of the Company’s reporting and accounting policies, see Note 1 to the Company’s 2004 audited consolidated financial statements included in the Company’s 2004 Shareholders Report, which can be found at progressive.com/annualreport.

The following table sets forth the investment results for the month:

         
Fully taxable equivalent total return:
       
Fixed-income securities
    .5 %
Common stocks
    .5 %
Total portfolio
    .5 %
 
       
Pretax recurring investment book yield
    4.3 %

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
INCOME STATEMENTS
June 2005 Year-to-Date

(millions – except per share amounts)
(unaudited)

                         
    Year-to-Date     %  
    2005     2004     Change  
Direct premiums written
  $ 7,356.6     $ 6,808.6       8  
 
                   
Net premiums written
  $ 7,198.9     $ 6,638.9       8  
 
                   
 
                       
Revenues:
                       
Net premiums earned
  $ 6,803.8     $ 6,327.5       8  
Investment income
    250.2       239.6       4  
Net realized gains (losses) on securities
    6.4       56.1       (89 )
Service revenues
    21.5       24.5       (12 )
 
                   
Total revenues
    7,081.9       6,647.7       7  
 
                   
Expenses:
                       
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
    4,433.2       4,052.8       9  
Policy acquisition costs
    722.3       682.3       6  
Other underwriting expenses
    665.6       600.4       11  
Investment expenses
    5.9       6.2       (5 )
Service expenses
    12.0       12.1       (1 )
Interest expense
    41.5       40.2       3  
 
                   
Total expenses
    5,880.5       5,394.0       9  
 
                   
 
                       
Income before income taxes
    1,201.4       1,253.7       (4 )
Provision for income taxes
    394.4       407.4       (3 )
 
                   
Net income
  $ 807.0     $ 846.3       (5 )
 
                   
 
                       
COMPUTATION OF EARNINGS PER SHARE
                       
Basic:
                       
Average shares outstanding
    198.1       216.4       (8 )
 
                   
Per share
  $ 4.07     $ 3.91       4  
 
                   
Diluted:
                       
Average shares outstanding
    198.1       216.4       (8 )
Net effect of dilutive stock-based compensation
    2.9       3.5       (17 )
 
                   
Total equivalent shares
    201.0       219.9       (9 )
 
                   
Per share
  $ 4.02     $ 3.85       4  
 
                   

The following table sets forth the investment results for the year-to-date period:

                 
    2005     2004  
Fully taxable equivalent total return:
               
Fixed-income securities
    2.2 %     .8 %
Common stocks
    .4 %     3.2 %
Total portfolio
    1.9 %     1.2 %
 
               
Pretax recurring investment book yield
    3.9 %     3.9 %

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
June 2005

($ in millions)
(unaudited)

Current Month

                                                 
                            Commercial              
    Personal Lines     Auto     Other     Companywide  
    Agency     Direct     Total     Business     Businesses1     Total  
Net Premiums Written
  $ 627.9     $ 313.6     $ 941.5     $ 148.9     $ 2.4     $ 1,092.8  
% Growth in NPW
    6 %     15 %     8 %     23 %   NM       10 %
Net Premiums Earned
  $ 621.9     $ 316.4     $ 938.3     $ 129.3     $ 2.0     $ 1,069.6  
% Growth in NPE
    3 %     12 %     6 %     11 %   NM       6 %
 
                                               
GAAP Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
    67.8       67.7       67.8       61.8     NM       67.0  
Expense ratio
    20.3       20.1       20.2       20.9     NM       20.3  
     
Combined ratio
    88.1       87.8       88.0       82.7     NM       87.3  
     
 
                                               
Actuarial Adjustments2
                                               
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
                                               
Prior accident years
                                          $ 14.9  
Current accident year
                                            7.5  
 
                                             
Calendar year actuarial adjustment
  $ 12.2     $ 4.2     $ 16.4     $ 5.8     $ .2     $ 22.4  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Prior Accident Years Development
                                               
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
                                               
Actuarial adjustment
                                          $ 14.9  
All other development
                                            23.0  
 
                                             
Total development
                                          $ 37.9  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio
                                            67.0  
 
                                             
Accident year loss/LAE ratio
                                            70.5  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Statutory Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
                                            67.0  
Expense ratio
                                            19.7  
 
                                             
Combined ratio
                                            86.7  
 
                                             

 
NM = Not Meaningful

1   Amounts primarily include professional liability insurance for community banks and the Company’s run-off businesses. The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $.7 million for the month.
 
2 Represents adjustments solely based on the Company’s corporate actuarial review.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
June 2005 Year-to-Date

($ in millions)
(unaudited)

Year-to-Date

                                                 
                            Commercial              
    Personal Lines     Auto     Other     Companywide  
    Agency     Direct     Total     Business     Businesses1     Total  
Net Premiums Written
  $ 4,148.1     $ 2,119.0     $ 6,267.1     $ 920.3     $ 11.5     $ 7,198.9  
% Growth in NPW
    5 %     14 %     7 %     16 %   NM       8 %
Net Premiums Earned
  $ 3,991.3     $ 1,991.7     $ 5,983.0     $ 807.2     $ 13.6     $ 6,803.8  
% Growth in NPE
    5 %     12 %     7 %     13 %   NM       8 %
 
                                               
GAAP Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
    65.5       66.6       65.8       60.5     NM       65.2  
Expense ratio
    20.7       20.0       20.5       20.2     NM       20.4  
     
Combined ratio
    86.2       86.6       86.3       80.7     NM       85.6  
     
 
                                               
Actuarial Adjustments2
                                               
Reserve Decrease/(Increase)
                                               
Prior accident years
                                          $ 69.0  
Current accident year
                                            11.0  
 
                                             
Calendar year actuarial adjustment
  $ 45.9     $ 18.8     $ 64.7     $ 13.5     $ 1.8     $ 80.0  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Prior Accident Years Development
                                               
Favorable/(Unfavorable)
                                               
Actuarial adjustment
                                          $ 69.0  
All other development
                                            133.5  
 
                                             
Total development
                                          $ 202.5  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Calendar year loss/LAE ratio
                                            65.2  
 
                                             
Accident year loss/LAE ratio
                                            68.2  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Statutory Ratios
                                               
Loss/LAE ratio
                                            65.2  
Expense ratio
                                            19.4  
 
                                             
Combined ratio
                                            84.6  
 
                                             
 
                                               
Statutory surplus
                                          $ 5,449.7  
 
                                             
                         
    June     June        
Policies in Force   2005     2004     Change  
(in thousands)
                       
Agency – Auto
    4,492       4,187       7 %
Direct – Auto
    2,271       1,996       14 %
Other Personal Lines3
    2,612       2,252       16 %
 
                   
Total Personal Lines
    9,375       8,435       11 %
 
                   
Commercial Auto Business
    455       404       13 %
 
                   

 
NM = Not Meaningful

1   The other businesses generated an underwriting profit of $8.4 million.
 
2   Represents adjustments solely based on the Company’s corporate actuarial review.
 
3 Includes insurance for motorcycles, recreation vehicles, mobile homes, watercraft, snowmobiles and similar items.

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THE PROGRESSIVE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
BALANCE SHEET AND OTHER INFORMATION

(millions– except per share amounts)
(unaudited)

         
    June  
    2005  
CONDENSED GAAP BALANCE SHEET:1
       
Investments — Available-for-sale, at market:
       
Fixed maturities (amortized cost: $8,566.6)
  $ 8,638.0  
Equity securities:
       
Preferred stocks (cost: $1,146.7)
    1,153.5  
Common equities (cost: $1,402.2)
    1,936.5  
Short-term investments (amortized cost: $2,266.0)
    2,266.7  
 
     
Total investments2
    13,994.7  
Net premiums receivable
    2,522.4  
Deferred acquisition costs
    468.7  
Other assets
    1,473.4  
 
     
Total assets
  $ 18,459.2  
 
     
 
       
Unearned premiums
  $ 4,503.8  
Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves
    5,490.5  
Other liabilities2
    1,589.8  
Debt
    1,284.6  
Shareholders’ equity
    5,590.5  
 
     
Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
  $ 18,459.2  
 
     
 
       
Common Shares outstanding
    197.7  
Shares repurchased – June
    .7  
Average cost per share
  $ 98.72  
Book value per share
  $ 28.28  
Trailing 12-month return on average shareholders’ equity
    29.6 %
Net unrealized pre-tax gains on investments
  $ 613.2  
Increase (decrease) from May 2005
  $ 10.9  
Increase (decrease) from December 2004
  $ (56.2 )
Debt to total capital ratio
    18.7 %
Fixed-income portfolio duration
  2.4 years  
Weighted average credit quality
  AA  
 
1   Pursuant to SFAS 113, “Accounting and Reporting for Reinsurance of Short-Duration and Long-Duration Contracts,” loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are stated gross of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses of $338.0 million.
 
2 Amounts include net unsettled security acquisitions of $111.0 million.

- 6 -


 

Monthly Commentary

    As discussed last month, certain months in 2005 may not be directly comparable to the corresponding 2004 months due to the Company’s use of a fiscal calendar. For June, the written premium growth reflects the fact that the Memorial Day holiday fell in fiscal May 2005, as compared to fiscal June 2004. Net premiums earned and policies in force may be a more representative measure this month.
 
    Based on activity to date, the Company believes that the losses incurred as a result of Hurricane Dennis will not have a material effect on July’s results.

The Progressive Group of Insurance Companies, in business since 1937, ranks third in the nation for auto insurance based on premiums written and provides drivers with competitive rates and 24/7, in-person and online service. The companies that offer insurance directly (by phone at 1-800-PROGRESSIVE and online at progressivedirect.com) market their products and services under the Progressive DirectSM brand, while the companies that offer insurance through more than 30,000 independent insurance agencies market their products and services under the DriveSM Insurance from Progressive brand. The Common Shares of The Progressive Corporation, the Mayfield Village, Ohio-based holding company, are publicly traded at NYSE:PGR. More information can be found at progressive.com, including a guide to interpreting the monthly reporting package.

Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Statements in this release that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ materially from those discussed herein. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; inflation and changes in economic conditions (including changes in interest rates and financial markets); the accuracy and adequacy of the Company’s pricing and loss reserving methodologies; pricing competition and other initiatives by competitors; the Company’s ability to obtain regulatory approval for requested rate changes and the timing thereof; the effectiveness of the Company’s advertising campaigns; legislative and regulatory developments; disputes relating to intellectual property rights; the outcome of litigation pending or that may be filed against the Company; weather conditions (including the severity and frequency of storms, hurricanes, snowfalls, hail and winter conditions); changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; the Company’s ability to maintain the uninterrupted operation of its facilities, systems (including information technology systems) and business functions; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and other matters described from time to time by the Company in releases and publications, and in periodic reports and other documents filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, investors should be aware that generally accepted accounting principles prescribe when a company may reserve for particular risks, including litigation exposures. Accordingly, results for a given reporting period could be significantly affected if and when a reserve is established for one or more contingencies. Reported results, therefore, may appear to be volatile in certain accounting periods.

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