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Note 19 - Uncertainties
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Notes to Financial Statements  
Uncertainties [Text Block]

19.         Uncertainties

 

 

Despite the widespread availability of vaccines, COVID-19 (including its variant strains) continues to impact U.S. states where the Company conducts business. The COVID-19 pandemic has negatively impacted worldwide economic activity and created significant volatility and disruptions of financial markets. In response, the U.S. government and its agencies have taken a number of significant measures to provide fiscal and monetary stimulus. Such actions have included an unscheduled cut to the federal funds rate, the introduction of new programs to preserve market liquidity, extended unemployment and sick leave benefits, mortgage loan forbearance actions, low-interest loans for working capital access and payroll assistance, and other relief measures for both workers and businesses. Many such actions have lapsed or otherwise been reduced as time has passed since the onset of the pandemic. The Company and its subsidiaries have remained fully operational throughout the pandemic and did not have any reductions in workforce during 2022.

 

The COVID-19 pandemic caused the Company to modify its business practices (including employee travel, employee work locations and cancellation of physical participation in meetings, events and conferences). The COVID-19 pandemic and any of its variants could continue to affect the Company in a number of ways including, but not limited to, the impact on employees becoming ill, quarantined, or otherwise unable to work or travel due to illness or governmental restriction, potential decreases in net premiums written in the future, and future fluctuations in the Company's investment portfolio due to the pandemic and the economic disruption it is causing. Because of the inherent uncertainty regarding the duration and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic (including any of its variants) and its effects on the economy, as well as uncertainty regarding the effects of government measures already taken, and which may be taken or continued in the future, to combat the spread of the virus and any of its variants, and/or provide additional economic stimulus, the Company is currently unable to predict the ultimate impact of the pandemic on the Company’s title insurance operations.

 

The demand for the Company’s title insurance services is dependent primarily on the volume of residential and commercial real estate transactions. The volume of these transactions historically has been influenced by such factors as mortgage interest rates, inventory, affordability, availability of financing and the overall state of the economy. The Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate a total of seven times throughout 2022, resulting in a range from 4.25% to 4.50% as of December 31, 2022. It is expected that the Federal Reserve may continue to increase the federal funds rate during 2023 to, among other things, control inflation. Should the Federal Reserve continue to raise rates in the future, this will likely result in further increases in market interest rates. Typically, when interest rates are increasing or when the economy is experiencing a downturn, real estate activity declines. As a result, the title insurance industry tends to experience decreased revenues and earnings, and potentially increased title claims experience.

 

A shortage in the supply of homes for sale, increasing home prices, rising mortgage interest rates, inflation and disrupted labor markets created some volatility in the residential real estate market in 2021 and 2022, which has continued into 2023. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties associated with the war in Ukraine have created additional volatility in the global economy beginning in 2022. At this time, the Company is unable to predict the ultimate impact of such disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties.

 

The Company continues to evaluate the impact of these uncertainties on its operational and financial performance, specifically the impact on S&L, HC Realty, and NCTIC and Omega’s operations. Since the third quarter of 2021, the Company did not receive its contractual payments on the S&L Note largely as a result of the impacts that the COVID-19 pandemic had to S&L’s operations and its customers. Management used these facts in its analysis of the impairment of the S&L Note during the year ended December 31, 2022.

 

As of December 31, 2022, the Company has not experienced any adverse impacts to the payment of HC Realty’s common stock and Series B Stock dividends.

 

Reinsurance Earned Premium Contingency

 

The Company entered into a catastrophe reinsurance treaty as disclosed in Note 10.  During the contract period, the counterparty to the treaty was ordered into liquidation by the State of Domicile.  While there is uncertainty related to the ultimate amount of premium earned from this treaty, the Company is in discussion with the liquidation trustee regarding a commutation agreement which will provide clarity to the ultimate amount of reinsurance premiums earned.  The Company anticipates receiving the trustee approval and execution of the commutation agreement after the filing of the accompanying financial statements; therefore, the Company has recorded a reserve related to this contingency as of December 31, 2022.  If the Company does not ultimately receive the commutation agreement from the liquidation trustee, there could be a material impact on the earned premium, net income and liquidity position of the Company as of December 31, 2022