-----BEGIN PRIVACY-ENHANCED MESSAGE----- Proc-Type: 2001,MIC-CLEAR Originator-Name: webmaster@www.sec.gov Originator-Key-Asymmetric: MFgwCgYEVQgBAQICAf8DSgAwRwJAW2sNKK9AVtBzYZmr6aGjlWyK3XmZv3dTINen TWSM7vrzLADbmYQaionwg5sDW3P6oaM5D3tdezXMm7z1T+B+twIDAQAB MIC-Info: RSA-MD5,RSA, J3ZyA11MFLuZ6m21Eyj9Xkzz3m7gsgeG6/Vripkdhy9+HtQsKWnbh5lWwf1BuHgP N6Paky2+RUnsBlwY68R02g== 0000893220-07-000438.txt : 20070222 0000893220-07-000438.hdr.sgml : 20070222 20070222112612 ACCESSION NUMBER: 0000893220-07-000438 CONFORMED SUBMISSION TYPE: 8-K PUBLIC DOCUMENT COUNT: 3 CONFORMED PERIOD OF REPORT: 20070222 ITEM INFORMATION: Results of Operations and Financial Condition ITEM INFORMATION: Regulation FD Disclosure ITEM INFORMATION: Financial Statements and Exhibits FILED AS OF DATE: 20070222 DATE AS OF CHANGE: 20070222 FILER: COMPANY DATA: COMPANY CONFORMED NAME: TOLL BROTHERS INC CENTRAL INDEX KEY: 0000794170 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION: OPERATIVE BUILDERS [1531] IRS NUMBER: 232416878 STATE OF INCORPORATION: DE FISCAL YEAR END: 1031 FILING VALUES: FORM TYPE: 8-K SEC ACT: 1934 Act SEC FILE NUMBER: 001-09186 FILM NUMBER: 07640924 BUSINESS ADDRESS: STREET 1: 250 GIBRALTAR ROAD CITY: HORSHAM STATE: PA ZIP: 19044 BUSINESS PHONE: 2159388000 MAIL ADDRESS: STREET 1: 250 GIBRALTAR ROAD CITY: HORSHAM STATE: PA ZIP: 19044 8-K 1 w30827e8vk.htm FORM 8-K e8vk
Table of Contents

 
 
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, DC 20549
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(D) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported): February 22, 2007
Toll Brothers, Inc.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)
         
Delaware   001-09186   23-2416878
 
(State or Other Jurisdiction   (Commission   (IRS Employer
of Incorporation)   File Number)   Identification No.)
         
250 Gibraltar Road, Horsham, PA       19044
 
(Address of Principal Executive Offices)       (Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (215) 938-8000
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
          Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions (see General Instruction A.2. below):
     o Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
     o Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
     o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
     o Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
 
 

 


TABLE OF CONTENTS

ITEM 2.02. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION
ITEM 7.01. REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE
ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS
SIGNATURES
Press release of Toll Brothers, Inc.
Financial Guidance


Table of Contents

ITEM 2.02. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION.
     On February 22, 2007, Toll Brothers, Inc. issued a press release which contained Toll Brothers, Inc.’s results of operations for its three-month period ended January 31, 2007, a copy of which release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 to this report.
     The information hereunder shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into a filing under the Securities Act of 1933, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
ITEM 7.01. REGULATION FD DISCLOSURE
     On February 22, 2007, Toll Brothers, Inc. will host a conference call for investors to discuss the results of operations for its three-month period ended January 31, 2007, and to discuss the expected results of operations for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2007.
     A summary of the guidance to be given for its expected results of operations for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2007 is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.2 to this report.
     The information hereunder shall not be deemed to be “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Exchange Act or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be incorporated by reference into a filing under the Securities Act of 1933, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
ITEM 9.01. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND EXHIBITS
(c). Exhibits.
     The following Exhibits are furnished as part of this Current Report on Form 8-K:
     
Exhibit    
No.   Item
 
   
99.1*
  Press release of Toll Brothers, Inc. dated February 22, 2007 announcing its financial results for the three-month period ended
January 31, 2007.
 
   
99.2*
  Outline of guidance to be given by Toll Brothers, Inc. on its conference call of February 22, 2007 related to the expected
results of operations for the fiscal year ending October 31, 2007.
 
*   Filed electronically herewith.

2


Table of Contents

SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
         
  TOLL BROTHERS, INC.
 
 
Dated: February 22, 2007  By:   Joseph R. Sicree    
  Joseph R. Sicree   
  Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer   
 

3

EX-99.1 2 w30827exv99w1.htm PRESS RELEASE OF TOLL BROTHERS, INC. exv99w1
 

EXHIBIT 99.1
     
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE   CONTACT: Frederick N. Cooper (215) 938-8312
February 22, 2007   fcooper@tollbrothersinc.com
    Joseph R. Sicree (215) 938-8045
    jsicree@tollbrothersinc.com
TOLL BROTHERS REPORTS 1ST QTR 2007 EARNINGS RESULTS
Horsham, PA, February 22, 2007 — Toll Brothers, Inc. (NYSE:TOL) (www.tollbrothers.com), the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes, today reported results for net income, revenues, backlog and contracts for its first quarter ended January 31, 2007.
FY 2007’s first-quarter net income was $54.3 million, or $0.33 per share diluted, compared to FY 2006’s first-quarter record of $163.9 million, or $0.98 per share diluted. In FY 2007, first-quarter net income was reduced by pre-tax write-downs of $96.9 million ($59.0 million, or $0.36 per share diluted, after tax), plus a pre-tax $9.0 million ($0.03 per share diluted, after tax) goodwill impairment charge related to the Company’s 1999 acquisition of the Silverman Companies in metro Detroit. In FY 2006, first-quarter pre-tax write-downs totaled $1.1 million, or less than $0.01 per share diluted, after tax. FY 2007 first-quarter earnings per share, including write-downs, declined 66% versus FY 2006’s first quarter. Excluding write-downs and the impairment charge, FY 2007’s first-quarter earnings per share were $0.72 diluted, down 27% versus the same period in FY 2006.
FY 2007’s first-quarter total revenues were $1.09 billion, a decline of 19% compared to the first-quarter record of $1.34 billion in revenues in FY 2006. FY 2007’s first-quarter-end backlog was $4.15 billion, a decline of 30% compared to the first-quarter record of $5.95 billion in FY 2006.
FY 2007’s first-quarter net signed contracts were $748.7 million, a decline of 34% compared to FY 2006’s first-quarter total of $1.14 billion. The Company signed 1,463 contracts (before cancellations) in FY 2007’s first quarter, a 14% decline from the 1,695 signed in FY 2006’s first quarter. Net of cancellations, first-quarter contracts totaled 1,027 units, down 33% from 1,544 units in the first quarter of FY 2006. First-quarter FY 2007 cancellations totaled 436 units versus 585 units in fourth-quarter FY 2006; FY 2007’s first-quarter cancellation rate of 29.8% was lower than the 36.9% cancellation rate in fourth-quarter 2006. However, it was still well above the Company’s historical average of about 7%.
In response to current market conditions, the Company continues to reevaluate and, in some cases, renegotiate its optioned land positions. As a result of its ongoing review, the Company ended FY 2007’s first quarter with approximately 67,500 lots under control compared to approximately 73,800 and 83,200 at FYE 2006 and FYE 2005, respectively. The Company’s FY 2007 first-quarter-end total was down 26% from its high of approximately 91,200 lots at FY 2006’s second-quarter-end.
*more*

 


 

Projecting revenues and earnings results remains very difficult in the current environment. Based on its current backlog, the impact of lessened first-quarter contracts and the continuing higher-than-normal rate of cancellations, the Company expects to deliver between 6,000 and 7,000 homes in FY 2007, compared to its previous guidance of 6,300 to 7,300 homes, and to produce total home building revenues of between $4.20 billion and $4.96 billion. It projects net income of between $240 million and $305 million, or $1.46 to $1.85 per share diluted, assuming 164.8 million shares outstanding in FY 2007. This projection assumes future write-downs of $60 million in the final three quarters of FY 2007, although the final number could be significantly higher or lower. Prior to its conference call this afternoon at 12:00 Noon (EST), the Company will file a Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission outlining its guidance assumptions in greater detail.
Robert I. Toll, chairman and chief executive officer, stated: “There are too many soft markets at this stage of the selling season to call a general upturn in the new home market. Demand varies greatly from week to week in individual markets.
“The metro New York City high-rise market offers a glimpse of what one might expect when consumer confidence rebounds. An article in Monday’s New York Times described multiple bids on properties that have been on the market for less than a week. The New York City market is somewhat unique in that it did not markedly decline to the degree most other markets have in the past twelve to eighteen months. It did experience some softness in the second half of 2006 due to consumer concern about the direction of home prices, but this concern appears to have dramatically reversed itself in January of 2007. We believe that pent-up demand is building in many markets as potential buyers bide their time until they are confident prices have firmed.
“Our financial strength was recognized this quarter by all three of the credit rating agencies that monitor our industry as Fitch, Moody’s and Standard and Poors’ each reaffirmed its investment grade credit ratings for Toll Brothers. We ended our first quarter with $1.1 billion unused and available under our bank revolving credit facility, nearly $450 million in cash and a net debt to capital ratio of 33.4%.
“In the current challenging environment, we believe our access to reliable capital and our strong balance sheet give us an important competitive advantage. Based on our experience during past cycles, we have learned that unexpected opportunities may arise in difficult times for those who are well-prepared. We believe that our solid financial base, our broad geographic presence, our diversified product lines and our national brand name all position us well for such opportunities now and in the future.”
*more*

 


 

Toll Brothers’ financial highlights for the first quarter ended January 31, 2007 (unaudited):
  FY 2007’s first-quarter net income was $54.3 million, or $0.33 per share diluted, compared to FY 2006’s first-quarter record of $163.9 million, or $0.98 per share diluted. In FY 2007, first-quarter net income included pre-tax write-downs and a goodwill impairment charge totaling $105.9 million, or $0.39 per share diluted, after tax. Approximately $13.9 million of the land-related write-downs were attributable to optioned lots and approximately $83.0 million to operating communities and owned land, while approximately $9 million was attributable to a goodwill impairment charge related to the Company’s 1999 purchase of the Silverman Companies in metro Detroit. In FY 2006, first-quarter pre-tax write-downs totaled $1.1 million. FY 2007 first-quarter earnings per share, including write-downs, declined 66% versus FY 2006; excluding write-downs and the impairment charge, earnings per share were $0.72 diluted, down 27% versus FY 2006.
 
  FY 2007’s first-quarter revenues of $1.09 billion decreased 19% from FY 2006’s first-quarter revenues of $1.34 billion, the first-quarter record.
 
  In the Company’s fiscal 2007 first-quarter, unconsolidated entities in which the Company had an interest, had revenues of $20.6 million compared to $52.1 million in the same period of FY 2006. The Company’s share of the profits from the delivery of these homes is included in ‘Equity Earnings from Unconsolidated Entities’ on the Company’s Income Statement.
 
  The Company’s FY 2007 first-quarter contracts (net of cancellations) of $748.7 million declined by 34% versus FY 2006’s first-quarter contracts of $1.14 billion, the first-quarter record. In addition, in FY 2007’s first quarter, unconsolidated entities in which the Company had an interest signed contracts of $29.2 million.
 
  First-quarter FY 2007 cancellations totaled 436 versus 585 in fourth quarter FY 2006 and FY 2007’s first-quarter cancellation rate of 29.8% was lower than the 36.9% cancellation rate in FY 2006’s fourth quarter.
 
  In FY 2007, first-quarter-end backlog of $4.15 billion declined 30% versus FY 2006’s first-quarter-end backlog of $5.95 billion, the first-quarter record. In addition, at January 31, 2007, unconsolidated entities in which the Company had an interest had a backlog of $26.7 million.
 
  The Company ended its FY 2007 first quarter with a net debt to capital ratio of 33.4%. Net debt to capital is defined and calculated as total debt minus mortgage warehouse loans minus cash divided by total debt minus mortgage warehouse loans minus cash plus stockholders’ equity.
*more*

 


 

  In FY 2007, based on its FY 2007 first quarter backlog, the state of current demand and cancellations, the Company projects to deliver between 6,000 and 7,000 homes at an average price of between $670,000 and $680,000. The Company also projects revenues of between $180 million and $195 million in FY 2007 from buildings accounted for under the percentage of completion method.
 
  Prior to its 12:00 Noon (EST) conference call today, February 22, 2007, to discuss its first-quarter results, the Company will file a Form 8-K with the Securities and Exchange Commission containing detailed guidance for expected results of operations for FY 2007, which will be discussed on the call.
Toll Brothers will be broadcasting live via the Investor Relations section of its website, www.tollbrothers.com, a conference call hosted by chairman and chief executive officer Robert I. Toll at 12:00 p.m. (EST) today, February 22, 2007, to discuss these results and its outlook for the remainder of FY 2007. To access the call, enter the Toll Brothers website, then click on the Investor Relations page, and select “Conference Calls”. Participants are encouraged to log on at least fifteen minutes prior to the start of the presentation to register and download any necessary software. The call can be heard live with an on-line replay which will follow and continue through May 8, 2007.
Toll Brothers, Inc. is the nation’s leading builder of luxury homes. The Company began business in 1967 and became a public company in 1986. Its common stock is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “TOL”. The Company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult and second-home home buyers and operates in 21 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Virginia and West Virginia.
Toll Brothers builds luxury single-family detached and attached home communities, master planned luxury residential resort-style golf communities and urban low-, mid- and high-rise communities, principally on land it develops and improves. The Company operates its own architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, land development and land sale, golf course development and management, home security and landscape subsidiaries. The Company also operates its own lumber distribution, and house component assembly and manufacturing operations.
Toll Brothers, a FORTUNE 500 Company, is the only publicly traded national home building company to have won all three of the industry’s highest honors: America’s Best Builder from the National Association of Home Builders, the National Housing Quality Award, and Builder of the Year. Toll Brothers proudly supports the communities in which it builds; among other philanthropic pursuits, the Company sponsors the Toll Brothers — Metropolitan Opera International Radio Network, bringing opera to neighborhoods throughout the world. For more information, visit tollbrothers.com.
Certain information included herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, verbal or written statements and presentations is forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to, information related to anticipated operating results, financial resources, changes in revenues, changes in profitability, changes in margins, changes in accounting treatment, interest expense, land-related write-downs, effects of home buyer cancellations, growth and expansion, anticipated income to be realized from our investments in unconsolidated entities, the ability to acquire land, the ability to gain approvals and to open new communities, the ability to sell homes and properties, the ability to deliver homes from backlog, the ability to secure materials and subcontractors, the ability to produce the liquidity and capital necessary to expand and take advantage of opportunities in the future, industry trends, and stock market valuations. Such forward-looking information involves important risks and uncertainties that could significantly affect actual results and cause them to differ materially from expectations expressed herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, statements and presentations. These risks and uncertainties include local, regional and national economic conditions, the demand for homes, domestic and international political events, uncertainties created by terrorist attacks, the effects of governmental regulation, the competitive environment in which the Company operates, fluctuations in interest rates, changes in home prices, the availability and cost of land for future growth, the availability of capital, uncertainties and fluctuations in capital and securities markets, changes in tax laws and their interpretation, legal proceedings, the availability of adequate insurance at reasonable cost, the ability of customers to finance the purchase of homes, the availability and cost of labor and materials, and weather conditions.
*more*

 


 

TOLL BROTHERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(Amounts in thousands)
                 
    January 31,     October 31,  
    2007     2006  
    (Unaudited)          
ASSETS
               
 
Cash and cash equivalents
  $ 449,249     $ 632,524  
Inventory
    6,182,279       6,095,702  
Property, construction and office equipment, net
    94,299       99,089  
Receivables, prepaid expenses and other assets
    144,019       160,446  
Contracts receivable
    166,887       170,111  
Mortgage loans receivable
    78,345       130,326  
Customer deposits held in escrow
    51,008       49,676  
Investments in and advances to unconsolidated entities
    251,035       245,667  
 
           
 
  $ 7,417,121     $ 7,583,541  
 
           
 
               
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
 
Liabilities:
               
Loans payable
  $ 710,870     $ 736,934  
Senior notes
    1,141,452       1,141,167  
Senior subordinated notes
    350,000       350,000  
Mortgage company warehouse loan
    65,887       119,705  
Customer deposits
    344,674       360,147  
Accounts payable
    253,353       292,171  
Accrued expenses
    759,186       825,288  
Income taxes payable
    286,128       334,500  
 
           
Total liabilities
    3,911,550       4,159,912  
 
           
 
               
Minority interest
    7,763       7,703  
 
               
Stockholders’ equity:
               
Preferred stock
           
Common stock
    1,563       1,563  
Additional paid-in capital
    225,359       220,783  
Retained earnings
    3,317,590       3,263,274  
Treasury stock
    (46,704 )     (69,694 )
 
           
Total stockholders’ equity
    3,497,808       3,415,926  
 
           
 
  $ 7,417,121     $ 7,583,541  
 
           
*more*

 


 

TOLL BROTHERS, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(Amounts in thousands, except per share data)
(Unaudited)
                 
    Three months ended  
    January 31,  
    2007     2006  
Revenues:
               
Traditional home sales
  $ 1,054,136     $ 1,278,709  
Percentage of completion
    33,085       57,569  
Land sales
    3,390       4,678  
 
           
 
    1,090,611       1,340,956  
 
           
 
               
Costs of revenues:
               
Traditional home sales
    846,403       884,091  
Percentage of completion
    25,897       47,346  
Land sales
    1,037       3,836  
Interest
    22,643       28,754  
 
           
 
    895,980       964,027  
 
           
 
               
Selling, general and administrative
    134,210       139,178  
Goodwill impairment
    8,973        
 
           
Income from operations
    51,448       237,751  
Other:
               
Equity earnings from unconsolidated entities
    6,792       16,569  
Interest and other
    28,960       11,327  
 
           
Income before income taxes
    87,200       265,647  
Income taxes
    32,884       101,797  
 
           
Net income
    54,316     $ 163,850  
 
           
 
               
Earnings per share:
               
Basic
  $ 0.35     $ 1.06  
 
           
Diluted
  $ 0.33     $ 0.98  
 
           
 
               
Weighted average number of shares:
               
Basic
    154,212       155,076  
Diluted
    164,048       167,027  
 
               
Additional information:
               
Interest incurred
  $ 34,150     $ 32,431  
 
           
Depreciation and amortization
  $ 8,366     $ 7,113  
 
           
Interest expense by source of revenue
               
Traditional home sales
  $ 21,737     $ 26,830  
Percentage of completion
    905       1,417  
Land sales
    1       507  
 
           
 
  $ 22,643     $ 28,754  
 
           
*more*

 


 

                                 
    UNITS     $ (MILL)  
    1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.  
HOME BUILDING REVENUES   2007     2006     2007     2006  
TRADITIONAL PRODUCT
                               
North
    287       417     $ 191.6     $ 271.6  
Mid-Atlantic
    512       589       329.1       393.6  
South
    403       470       233.1       253.7  
West
    357       403       300.3       359.8  
 
                       
Total
    1,559       1,879     $ 1,054.1     $ 1,278.7  
 
                       
PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION:
                               
North
                  $ 19.5     $ 39.7  
South
                    13.5       17.9  
 
                       
Total
              $ 33.0     $ 57.6  
 
                       
TOTAL
                               
North
    287       417     $ 211.1     $ 311.3  
Mid-Atlantic
    512       589       329.1       393.6  
South
    403       470       246.6       271.6  
West
    357       403       300.3       359.8  
 
                       
Total consolidated
    1,559       1,879       1,087.1       1,336.3  
Unconsolidated entities
    27       99       20.6       52.1  
 
                       
 
    1,586       1,978     $ 1,107.7     $ 1,388.4  
 
                       
 
                               
CONTRACTS
                               
TRADITIONAL PRODUCT
                               
North
    217       265     $ 136.3     $ 177.4  
Mid-Atlantic
    328       456       206.8       313.5  
South
    212       331       118.4       203.5  
West
    121       343       128.9       315.1  
 
                       
Total
    878       1,395     $ 590.4     $ 1,009.5  
 
                       
NON TRADITIONAL PRODUCT – LONG TERM
                               
North
    123       111     $ 140.0     $ 102.0  
Mid-Atlantic
    1       13       0.4       5.3  
West
    1       5       0.4       4.0  
 
                       
Total
    125       129     $ 140.8     $ 111.3  
 
                       
PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION
                               
North
    24       20     $ 15.3     $ 14.4  
South
                    2.2       4.7  
 
                       
Total
    24       20     $ 17.5     $ 19.1  
 
                       
TOTAL
                               
North
    364       396     $ 291.6     $ 293.8  
Mid-Atlantic
    329       469       207.2       318.8  
South
    212       331       120.6       208.2  
West
    122       348       129.3       319.1  
 
                       
Total consolidated
    1,027       1,544       748.7       1,139.9  
Unconsolidated entities
    45       28       29.2       16.8  
 
                       
 
    1,072       1,572     $ 777.9     $ 1,156.7  
 
                       
*more*

 


 

                                 
    UNITS     $ (MILL)  
    1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.     1st Qtr.  
BACKLOG   2007     2006     2007     2006  
TRADITIONAL PRODUCT
                               
North
    1,114       1,643     $ 737.4     $ 1,126.6  
Mid-Atlantic
    1,363       2,197       918.9       1,486.4  
South
    1,400       2,179       781.7       1,186.7  
West
    1,243       2,087       1,146.7       1,774.8  
 
                       
Total
    5,120       8,106     $ 3,584.7     $ 5,574.5  
 
                       
NON TRADITIONAL PRODUCT – LONG TERM
                               
North
    379       127     $ 383.9     $ 117.6  
Mid-Atlantic
    59       43       24.0       18.3  
West
    27       12       18.6       9.5  
 
                       
Total
    465       182     $ 426.5     $ 145.4  
 
                       
PERCENTAGE OF COMPLETION
                               
North
    288       275     $ 189.4     $ 181.6  
South
    76       72       116.2       102.7  
Less revenue recognized on units remaining in backlog
                    (166.9 )     (57.6 )
 
                       
Total
    364       347     $ 138.7     $ 226.7  
 
                       
TOTAL
                               
North
    1,781       2,045     $ 1,310.7     $ 1,425.8  
Mid-Atlantic
    1,422       2,240       942.9       1,504.7  
South
    1,476       2,251       897.9       1,289.4  
West
    1,270       2,099       1,165.3       1,784.3  
Less revenue recognized on units remaining in backlog
                    (166.9 )     (57.6 )
 
                       
Total consolidated
    5,949       8,635       4,149.9       5,946.6  
Unconsolidated entities
    43       32       26.7       20.8  
 
                       
 
    5,992       8,667     $ 4,176.6     $ 5,967.4  
 
                       
Toll Brothers operates in four geographic segments:
     
North:
  Connecticut, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Ohio (2006 only) and Rhode Island
 
   
Mid-Atlantic:
  Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia
 
   
South:
  Florida, North Carolina, South Carolina and Texas
 
   
West:
  Arizona, California, Colorado and Nevada
###

 

EX-99.2 3 w30827exv99w2.htm FINANCIAL GUIDANCE exv99w2
 

Exhibit 99.2
FINANCIAL GUIDANCE
In our first quarter 2007 Earnings Conference Call to be held at 12:00 Noon (EST) on February 22, 2007, we will provide the following guidance regarding our expected results of operations for our fiscal year ending October 31, 2007. These forecasts are subject to many risks, uncertainties and assumptions and may vary significantly from the actual results, as further noted below. Information with respect to quarterly data is subject to even greater fluctuation and risk. We undertake no obligation to publicly update the information provided due to changes in economic conditions, future events or otherwise. However, any further disclosures made on related subjects in our subsequent filings, releases or presentations should be consulted. We suggest that you listen to the conference call in its entirety. The conference call in its entirety can be heard via the Investor Relations portion of our website, www.tollbrothers.com, until May 8, 2007.
For ease of reference, we have included the actual results for fiscal 2006 and the first quarter of fiscal 2007. The columns designated as “Low” and “High” represents the low and high ends of the ranges for unit deliveries of homes, average delivered price of homes, land sales revenues, percentage of completion revenues, cost of revenue by line as a percentage of the applicable revenue and selling, general and administrative expenses (“SG&A”) as a percentage of total revenues expected for fiscal 2007. We expect that the actual results of operations will be somewhere in between the low end and the high end of the ranges provided.
Unit deliveries of homes, average delivered price of homes, land sales and percentage of completion revenues in fiscal 2007 are expected to be:
Revenues
     Traditional home sales
          Unit deliveries
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    1,879       1,559                  
Quarter ending April 30
    2,063               1,450       1,750  
Quarter ending July 31
    2,157               1,450       1,750  
Quarter ending October 31
    2,502               1,550       1,950  
Year
    8,601               6,000       7,000  
          Average delivered price
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 680,526     $ 676,162                  
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 678,855             $ 670,000     $ 680,000  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 690,267             $ 665,000     $ 675,000  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 710,263             $ 670,000     $ 680,000  
Year
  $ 691,218             $ 670,000     $ 680,000  
     Percentage of completion revenues (in thousands)
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 57,569     $ 33,085                  
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 39,955             $ 70,000     $ 75,000  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 41,163             $ 40,000     $ 45,000  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 31,424             $ 35,000     $ 40,000  
Year
  $ 170,111             $ 180,000     $ 195,000  

1


 

Land sales (in thousands)
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 4,678     $ 3,390                  
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 2,100             $ 1,250     $ 1,250  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 1,145             $ 1,250     $ 1,250  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 250             $ 1,250     $ 1,250  
Year
  $ 8,173             $ 7,000     $ 7,000  
Cost of revenues for home sales, land sales and percentage of completion revenues as a percentage of the applicable revenues and interest as a percentage of total revenues in fiscal 2007 are expected to be:
Cost of revenues
          Traditional home sales
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    69.14 %     80.29 %                
Quarter ending April 30
    69.73 %             76.50 %     75.75 %
Quarter ending July 31
    70.66 %             78.25 %     77.50 %
Quarter ending October 31
    75.99 %             79.00 %     78.25 %
Year
    71.71 %             78.55 %     77.90 %
          Percentage of completion
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    82.24 %     78.27 %                
Quarter ending April 30
    78.03 %             75.00 %     75.00 %
Quarter ending July 31
    77.73 %             75.00 %     75.00 %
Quarter ending October 31
    69.21 %             75.00 %     75.00 %
Year
    77.75 %             75.00 %     75.00 %
          Land sales
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    82.01 %     30.59 %                
Quarter ending April 30
    100.14 %             80.00 %     80.00 %
Quarter ending July 31
    78.86 %             80.00 %     80.00 %
Quarter ending October 31
    62.05 %             80.00 %     80.00 %
Year
    85.62 %             60.00 %     60.00 %
          Interest
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    2.14 %     2.08 %                
Quarter ending April 30
    2.07 %             2.10 %     2.10 %
Quarter ending July 31
    1.95 %             2.10 %     2.10 %
Quarter ending October 31
    1.85 %             2.10 %     2.10 %
Year
    1.99 %             2.10 %     2.10 %
Included in Cost of revenues — traditional home sales is actual inventory write-downs of $96.9 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2007 and estimated inventory write-downs of $20 million in each of the second, third and fourth quarters of fiscal 2007 although we currently do not know of any required write-downs other then those taken in the first quarter of fiscal 2007.

2


 

Selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of total revenues in fiscal 2007 are expected to be:
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
    10.38 %     12.31 %                
Quarter ending April 30
    9.85 %             11.80 %     11.30 %
Quarter ending July 31
    9.67 %             11.80 %     11.40 %
Quarter ending October 31
    7.96 %             10.90 %     10.50 %
Year
    9.36 %             11.70 %     11.30 %
Income from unconsolidated entities for fiscal 2007 is expected to be approximately (in thousands):
                         
    2006   2007   2007
    Actual   Actual   Estimated
    (in thousands)
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 16,569     $ 6,792          
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 12,824             $ 6,000  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 7,269             $ 5,000  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 11,699             $ 5,000  
Year
  $ 48,361             $ 22,800  
Interest and other income for fiscal 2007 is expected to be approximately (in thousands):
                         
    2006   2007   2007
    Actual   Actual   Estimated
    (in thousands)
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 11,327     $ 28,960          
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 10,966             $ 10,000  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 9,699             $ 5,000  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 20,672             $ 5,000  
Year
  $ 52,664             $ 49,000  
Our effective income tax rate for fiscal 2007 is expected to be approximately:
                         
    2006   2007   2007
    Actual   Actual   Estimated
Quarter ended January 31
    38.32 %     37.71 %        
Quarter ending April 30
    38.53 %             39.00 %
Quarter ending July 31
    38.78 %             39.00 %
Quarter ending October 31
    40.31 %             39.00 %
Year
    39.00 %             38.80 %
Our net income for fiscal 2007 is expected to be approximately (in thousands):
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
    (in thousands)
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 163,850     $ 54,316                  
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 174,937             $ 71,400     $ 93,900  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 174,632             $ 55,000     $ 74,200  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 173,794             $ 59,400     $ 83,200  
Year
  $ 687,213             $ 240,000     $ 305,000  

3


 

Diluted earnings per share for fiscal 2007 is expected to be approximately:
                                 
    2006   2007   2007 Estimated
    Actual   Actual   Low   High
Quarter ended January 31
  $ 0.98     $ 0.33                  
Quarter ending April 30
  $ 1.06             $ 0.43     $ 0.57  
Quarter ending July 31
  $ 1.07             $ 0.33     $ 0.45  
Quarter ending October 31
  $ 1.07             $ 0.36     $ 0.50  
Year
  $ 4.17             $ 1.46     $ 1.85  
We estimate that the share count for determining diluted earnings per share for fiscal 2007 will be approximately (in thousands):
                         
    2006   2007   2007
    Actual   Actual   Estimated
    (in thousands)
Quarter ended January 31
    167,027       164,048          
Quarter ending April 30
    165,727               165,000  
Quarter ending July 31
    163,514               165,000  
Quarter ending October 31
    163,139               165,000  
Year
    164,852               164,750  
In-the-money stock options are included in shares outstanding using the “treasury stock method” for calculating common stock equivalents. Because of the uncertainty of what our stock price will average during each quarter of fiscal 2007, for computing earnings per share we have assumed a constant price of $34 for the second, third and fourth quarters of fiscal 2007 which will give us a level number of diluted shares outstanding during the last nine months of fiscal 2007. We have assumed that we will repurchase shares to offset any options that will be exercised and any stock that will be issued under our Cash Bonus Program and Employee Stock Purchase Plan.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENT
Certain information included herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, verbal or written statements and presentations is forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including, but not limited to, information related to anticipated operating results, financial resources, changes in revenues, changes in profitability, changes in margins, changes in accounting treatment, interest expense, land-related write-downs, effects of home buyer cancellations, growth and expansion, anticipated income to be realized from our investments in unconsolidated entities, the ability to acquire land, the ability to gain approvals and to open new communities, the ability to sell homes and properties, the ability to deliver homes from backlog, the ability to secure materials and subcontractors, the ability to produce the liquidity and capital necessary to expand and take advantage of opportunities in the future, industry trends, and stock market valuations. Such forward-looking information involves important risks and uncertainties that could significantly affect actual results and cause them to differ materially from expectations expressed herein and in other Company reports, SEC filings, statements and presentations. These risks and uncertainties include local, regional and national economic conditions, the demand for homes, domestic and international political events, uncertainties created by terrorist attacks, the effects of governmental regulation, the competitive environment in which the Company operates, fluctuations in interest rates, changes in home prices, the availability and cost of land for future growth, the availability of capital, uncertainties and fluctuations in capital and securities markets, changes in tax laws and their interpretation, legal proceedings, the availability of adequate insurance at reasonable cost, the ability of customers to finance the purchase of homes, the availability and cost of labor and materials, and weather conditions.

4

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