EX-99.C.I 5 c58209cexv99wcwi.htm EX-99.C.I exv99wcwi
Exhibit (c)(i)
         
 
  (EMMIS LOGO)    
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
  Follow-Up Materials    
 
       
April 19, 2010

 


 

         
 
  Disclaimer   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
Moelis & Company prepared this presentation based on publicly available information. Moelis has not and does not intend to verify independently any of such information, all of which Moelis assumes is accurate and complete in all material respects. If this presentation contains projections, forecasts or other forward-looking statements, Moelis assumes that they were prepared based on the best available estimates of the future events underlying such statements. This presentation speaks only as of its date and Moelis assumes no duty to update it or to advise any person that its conclusions or advice has changed.
This presentation is solely for your information purposes. Consider it along with all other facts, advice and your own insights before making your own independent decisions. Do not provide a copy of this presentation to any person without Moelis’ prior consent. No other person should rely on it for any purpose.
This presentation is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an indication of interest to purchase any security, option, commodity, future, loan or currency. It is not a commitment to underwrite any security, to loan any funds or to make any investment. Moelis does not offer tax, accounting or legal advice.
Moelis & Company provides mergers and acquisitions, restructuring and other advisory services to clients and its affiliates manage private investment partnerships. Its personnel may make statements or provide advice that is contrary to information contained in this material. Our proprietary interests may conflict with your interests. Moelis may from time to time have positions in or effect transactions in securities described in this presentation. Moelis & Company may have advised, may seek to advise and may in the future advise or invest in companies mentioned in this presentation.

[1]


 

         
Table of Contents
       
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
             
 
  I.   Proposed Deal    
 
           
 
  II.   Alternative Structure 1    
 
           
 
  III.   Alternative Structure 2    
 
           
 
  IV.   Alternative Structure 3    

[2]


 

         
 
  Proposed Deal    
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

 


 

         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions
  Description
General
   
 
   
  FY 2011 EBITDA — Pro Forma
  $45.7mm — Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
  Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0% 
 
  Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 2, 3, or 4 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
  Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes — PIK
 
  New HoldCo Notes — PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
  Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0% 
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
  Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes — PIK
 
  New HoldCo Notes — PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
  Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $73.1mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
 
  - Price per share of $2.50, which represents a 38.1% premium as of 4/16/10
 
  New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 18.0%, with a redemption premium of 105.0%
 
  Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 51.0% / 49.0%
 

[ 4 ]


 

         
 
  Sources & Uses and Pro Forma Capital Structure   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
($ in MM)
     
BASE CASE
 
   
Sources
New HoldCo Notes — PIK
  $98.3
 
   
 
Total Sources
  $98.3
 
   
Uses
Exchange Convertible Preferred at a 70.0% Liquidation Preference
  $98.3
 
   
 
Total Uses
  $98.3
                                     
Pro Forma Capitalization
 
  Standalone
    Adjustments
                 
 
  Current
      + / -       Pro Forma
  Rate
             
Cash
    $21.5         $0.0         $21.5          
 
                                   
$20mm Revolver
    $4.5         $0.0         $4.5       L + 400  
Term Loan B
    339.6         0.0         339.6       L + 400  
New HoldCo Notes — PIK
    0.0         98.3         98.3     12.0% PIK
             
Total Debt
    $344.1         $98.3         $442.4          
 
                                   
6.25% Convertible Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0       6.25%  
             
Total Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0          
 
                                   
Total Net Debt
    $322.6         $98.3         $420.9          
                                 
         
GOING PRIVATE CASE
 
       
Sources
New HoldCo Notes — PIK
    $98.3  
New PIK Preferred
    73.1  
 
Total Sources
    $171.5  
 
       
Uses
Exchange Convertible Preferred at a 70.0% Liquidation Preference
    $98.3  
Purchase EMMS Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden)
    73.1  
 
Total Uses
    $171.5  
                                     
Pro Forma Capitalization
 
  Standalone
    Adjustments
                 
 
  Current
      + / -       Pro Forma
  Rate
             
Cash
    $21.5         $0.0         $21.5          
 
                                   
$20mm Revolver
    $4.5         $0.0         $4.5       L + 400  
Term Loan B
    339.6         0.0         339.6       L + 400  
New HoldCo Notes — PIK
    0.0         98.3         98.3     12.0% PIK
             
Total Debt
    $344.1         $98.3         $442.4          
 
                                   
6.25% Convertible Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0       6.25%  
New PIK Preferred
    $0.0         $73.1         $73.1     18.0% PIK
             
Total Preferred
    $140.5         ($67.3 )       $73.1          
 
                                   
Total Net Debt
    $322.6         $98.3         $420.9          
                                 


[ 5 ]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Base Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       34.4       26.7  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     2.6 x     5.2 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3 x     1.4 x     1.5 x     2.0 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.3       1.8  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     5.4 x     0.3 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       8.1       3.3  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 6 ]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Going Private Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $$50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    47.8       49.7       52.8       48.3  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    86.3       101.8       120.2       141.8  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    503.7       515.4       528.7       314.0  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     2.6 x     5.2 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0 x     1.0 x     1.0 x     1.1 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    0.8       0.8       0.8       1.0  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     5.4 x     0.3 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    11.0       10.7       10.5       5.9  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 7 ]


 

         
 
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2012   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
     

BASE CASE

                 
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
         
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $6.1  
Exit Year
    2012       2012  
Exit EBITDA
  $48.0     $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $383.9     $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )     (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $200.3     $200.3  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $26.5     $18.0  
IRR
    71.5%     71.5%

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                 
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $73.1  
Exit Year
    2012       2012  
Exit EBITDA
  $48.0     $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $383.9     $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )     (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (106.9 )     (106.9 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $93.4     $93.4  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $47.6     $147.6  
IRR
    129.8%     42.1%


(EBITDA EXIT MULTIPLE GRAPH)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(EBITDA GROWTH % GRAPH)
EBITDA Growth %
(TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS GRAPH)
Total Sale Proceeds

(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(GRAPHIC)

[ 8 ]


 

         
 
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2013   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
     

BASE CASE

                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $6.1  
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
Exit EBITDA
  $50.4     $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $403.1     $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )     (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $224.5     $224.5  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $29.7     $20.2  
IRR
    48.8%     48.8%

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $73.1  
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
Exit EBITDA
  $50.4     $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $403.1     $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )     (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (126.2 )     (126.2 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $98.3     $98.3  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $50.1     $168.3  
IRR
    77.2%     32.0%


(GRAPHIC)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(GRAPHIC)
EBITDA Growth %
(GRAPHIC)
Total Sale Proceeds

(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(GRAPHIC)

[ 9 ]


 

         
 
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2014   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
     

BASE CASE

                 
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $6.1  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
  $52.9     $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $423.2     $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $251.0     $251.0  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $33.2     $22.6  
IRR
    38.6%     38.6%

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                 
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $73.1  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
  $52.9     $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0 x     8.0 x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $423.2     $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    (148.9 )     (148.9 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $102.1     $102.1  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $52.1     $191.8  
IRR
    55.0%     27.3%


(EBITDA EXIT MULTIPLE GRAPH)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(EBITDA EXIT MULTIPLE GRAPH)
EBITDA Growth %
(EBITDA EXIT MULTIPLE GRAPH)
Total Sale Proceeds

(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(GRAPHIC)

[ 10 ]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2012   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       (20.6% )     4.0%       23.8%       40.8%       56.0%  
      7.0x       15.6%       33.6%       49.5%       63.9%       77.1%  
      8.0x       42.8%       57.8%       71.5%       84.2%       96.0%  
      9.0x       65.7%       78.8%       90.9%       102.4%       113.2%  
      10.0x       85.7%       97.5%       108.6%       119.1%       129.1%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       33.0%       49.0%       63.4%       76.6%       88.9%  
      2.5%       38.0%       53.5%       67.5%       80.4%       92.5%  
      5.0%       42.8%       57.8%       71.5%       84.2%       96.0%  
      7.5%       47.5%       62.1%       75.4%       87.8%       99.4%  
      10.0%       52.0%       66.2%       79.2%       91.4%       102.8%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA     NA     NA       25.9%       82.2%  
      7.0x     NA       (8.8% )     60.2%       107.3%       145.6%  
      8.0x       34.6%       88.3%       129.8%       164.8%       195.7%  
      9.0x       112.7%       150.2%       182.7%       211.9%       238.5%  
      10.0x       169.0%       199.5%       227.2%       252.7%       276.5%  
                                                   
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       25.7%       33.6%  
      7.0x       18.0%       22.1%       30.2%       37.9%       45.2%  
      8.0x       26.8%       34.6%       42.1%       49.1%       55.8%  
      9.0x       38.9%       46.1%       52.9%       59.5%       65.8%  
      10.0x       50.0%       56.7%       63.1%       69.3%       75.3%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA GROWTH
      0.0%       (12.5% )     58.1%       105.8%       144.3%       177.5%  
      2.5%       13.5%       73.8%       118.1%       154.8%       186.8%  
      5.0%       34.6%       88.3%       129.8%       164.8%       195.7%  
      7.5%       52.7%       101.7%       140.9%       174.5%       204.5%  
      10.0%       69.0%       114.2%       151.5%       183.9%       212.9%  
                                                   
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       21.8%       29.9%       37.6%       44.9%       51.8%  
      2.5%       24.3%       32.3%       39.9%       47.0%       53.8%  
      5.0%       26.8%       34.6%       42.1%       49.1%       55.8%  
      7.5%       29.2%       36.9%       44.2%       51.2%       57.8%  
      10.0%       31.6%       39.1%       46.3%       53.2%       59.8%  


[ 11 ]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2013   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       (2.9% )     11.0%       22.0%       31.4%       39.5%  
      7.0x       18.3%       28.2%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%  
      8.0x       33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
      9.0x       46.4%       53.1%       59.2%       64.9%       70.3%  
      10.0x       57.1%       62.9%       68.4%       73.5%       78.4%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       22.1%       31.4%       39.6%       46.9%       53.5%  
      2.5%       28.1%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%       57.5%  
      5.0%       33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
      7.5%       39.2%       46.5%       53.2%       59.3%       65.0%  
      10.0%       44.2%       51.1%       57.4%       63.3%       68.7%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
                      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA   NA   NA     16.8%       49.3%  
      7.0x     NA     (0.8% )     39.4%       64.4%       83.5%  
      8.0x       27.9%       56.4%       77.2%       93.9%       108.2%  
      9.0x       70.3%       88.3%       103.3%       116.5%       128.2%  
      10.0x       98.2%       112.0%       124.1%       135.1%       145.1%  
                                                   
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       22.4%       26.8%  
      7.0x       18.0%       20.7%       25.2%       29.5%       33.4%  
      8.0x       23.7%       28.0%       32.0%       35.9%       39.5%  
      9.0x       30.6%       34.5%       38.2%       41.7%       45.0%  
      10.0x       36.9%       40.5%       43.9%       47.1%       50.2%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%     NA     17.0%       49.4%       71.8%       89.5%  
      2.5%       (1.1% )     39.2%       64.3%       83.4%       99.2%  
      5.0%       27.9%       56.4%       77.2%       93.9%       108.2%  
      7.5%       48.0%       70.7%       88.6%       103.6%       116.7%  
      10.0%       64.1%       83.3%       99.1%       112.7%       124.8%  
                                                   
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       18.0%       22.4%       26.8%       30.9%       34.8%  
      2.5%       20.7%       25.2%       29.4%       33.4%       37.1%  
      5.0%       23.7%       28.0%       32.0%       35.9%       39.5%  
      7.5%       26.6%       30.7%       34.6%       38.3%       41.8%  
      10.0%       29.4%       33.4%       37.1%       40.7%       44.0%  


[ 12 ]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2014   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       5.3%       13.9%       20.8%       26.8%       32.0%  
      7.0x       19.0%       25.2%       30.6%       35.4%       39.7%  
      8.0x       29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      9.0x       37.4%       41.5%       45.3%       48.9%       52.2%  
      10.0x       44.3%       47.9%       51.3%       54.4%       57.4%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       16.8%       23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%  
      2.5%       23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%       42.4%  
      5.0%       29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      7.5%       34.6%       39.0%       43.0%       46.7%       50.1%  
      10.0%       39.6%       43.5%       47.2%       50.6%       53.8%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA   NA   NA     11.1%       34.4%  
      7.0x     NA     1.2%       29.1%       45.8%       58.1%  
      8.0x       23.2%       41.8%       55.0%       65.5%       74.4%  
      9.0x       51.7%       62.8%       72.1%       80.0%       87.0%  
      10.0x       69.7%       77.9%       85.2%       91.6%       97.5%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       20.7%       23.5%  
      7.0x       18.0%       19.8%       22.7%       25.4%       27.9%  
      8.0x       22.0%       24.7%       27.3%       29.7%       32.0%  
      9.0x       26.6%       29.0%       31.4%       33.6%       35.7%  
      10.0x       30.7%       33.0%       35.1%       37.1%       39.1%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%     NA     (16.3% )     22.1%       41.0%       54.5%  
      2.5%       (16.4% )     22.1%       41.0%       54.5%       65.1%  
      5.0%       23.2%       41.8%       55.0%       65.5%       74.4%  
      7.5%       43.2%       56.1%       66.4%       75.1%       82.7%  
      10.0%       57.7%       67.8%       76.3%       83.7%       90.3%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
              $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       18.0%       18.9%       21.8%       24.6%       27.1%  
      2.5%       18.9%       21.8%       24.6%       27.1%       29.6%  
      5.0%       22.0%       24.7%       27.3%       29.7%       32.0%  
      7.5%       24.9%       27.5%       29.9%       32.2%       34.4%  
      10.0%       27.9%       30.2%       32.5%       34.7%       36.7%  


[ 13 ]


 

       
Alternative Structure 1
     
 
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)

 


 

         
 
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions
  Description
General
   
 
   
FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0%
 
Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 2 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL's to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $73.1mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
 
  - Price per share of $2.50, which represents a 38.1% premium as of 4/16/10
 
New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 75.0% / 25.0%
 
[ 15 ]


 

       
 
Summary Statistics — Base Case
    (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $12.9       $3.2       $1.2  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       26.1       18.0       17.8  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       60.3       30.2       4.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       3.7x       15.9x       43.5x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       3.3       14.0       38.6  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3x       1.8x       2.8x       3.0x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.6       2.5       2.6  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       1.3x       0.6x       0.1x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       3.8       3.3       3.0  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2012 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 16 ]

 


 

       
 
Summary Statistics — Going Private Case
    (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%     5.0%     5.0%
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $12.9       $3.2       $1.2  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    38.3       29.9       24.4       27.4  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       60.3       30.2       4.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
Preferred Equity
    76.8       80.6       87.1       96.7  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    494.2       264.2       255.5       255.9  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       3.7x       15.9x       43.5x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       3.3       14.0       38.6  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2x       1.6x       2.1x       1.9x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.4       1.8       1.7  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       1.3x       0.6x       0.1x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    10.8       5.5       5.1       4.8  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2012 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 17 ]

 


 

         
 
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2012   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                 
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $6.1  
Exit Year
    2012       2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0       $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9       $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )     (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
           
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $200.3       $200.3  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $26.5       $18.0  
IRR
    71.5%       71.5%  

GOING PRIVATE CASE
                 
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $73.1  
Exit Year
    2012       2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0       $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9       $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )     (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (80.6 )     (80.6 )
 
           
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $119.6       $119.6  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $89.7       $110.5  
IRR
    215.4%       22.9%  


(LINE GRAPH)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(LINE GRAPH)
EBITDA Growth %
(LINE GRAPH)
Total Sale Proceeds


(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(LEGEND)

[ 18 ]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2012   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                           
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0x   (20.6%)   4.0%   23.8%   40.8%   56.0%
    7.0x   15.6%   33.6%   49.5%   63.9%   77.1%
    8.0x   42.8%   57.8%   71.5%   84.2%   96.0%
    9.0x   65.7%   78.8%   90.9%   102.4%   113.2%
    10.0x   85.7%   97.5%   108.6%   119.1%   129.1%
                           
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0%   33.0%   49.0%   63.4%   76.6%   88.9%
    2.5%   38.0%   53.5%   67.5%   80.4%   92.5%
    5.0%   42.8%   57.8%   71.5%   84.2%   96.0%
    7.5%   47.5%   62.1%   75.4%   87.8%   99.4%
    10.0%   52.0%   66.2%   79.2%   91.4%   102.8%

GOING PRIVATE CASE
                           
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0x   NA   NA   40.3%   112.6%   165.9%
    7.0x   (7.3%)   84.6%   144.1%   191.7%   232.5%
    8.0x   120.2%   172.0%   215.4%   253.5%   287.9%
    9.0x   197.3%   237.5%   273.4%   306.1%   336.3%
    10.0x   258.2%   292.2%   323.4%   352.5%   379.9%
                           
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0x   5.0%   5.0%   8.8%   13.5%   18.0%
    7.0x   6.7%   11.5%   16.1%   20.5%   24.8%
    8.0x   14.1%   18.6%   22.9%   27.1%   31.2%
    9.0x   21.1%   25.3%   29.4%   33.4%   37.3%
    10.0x   27.7%   31.7%   35.6%   39.4%   43.1%
                           
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0%   82.0%   142.1%   190.0%   231.1%   267.6%
    2.5%   102.0%   157.5%   203.0%   242.5%   277.9%
    5.0%   120.2%   172.0%   215.4%   253.5%   287.9%
    7.5%   137.0%   185.8%   227.4%   264.2%   297.7%
    10.0%   152.7%   198.9%   238.9%   274.6%   307.3%
                           
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
          $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0%   11.3%   15.9%   20.3%   24.6%   28.8%
    2.5%   12.7%   17.3%   21.7%   25.9%   30.0%
    5.0%   14.1%   18.6%   22.9%   27.1%   31.2%
    7.5%   15.5%   19.9%   24.2%   28.4%   32.4%
    10.0%   16.8%   21.2%   25.5%   29.6%   33.6%


[ 19 ]


 

         
 
  Alternative Structure 2   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)


 

         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions
  Description
General
   
 
   
  FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
  Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0% 
 
  Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 3 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
  Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
  New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
  Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
  Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
  New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
  Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $73.1mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
 
  - Price per share of $2.50, which represents a 38.1% premium as of 4/16/10
 
  New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2 with a step-up in PIK to 8.0% in Year 3
 
  Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 70.0% / 30.0%
 

[ 21 ]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Base Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $11.6       $1.7  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       26.4       18.2  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       40.4       7.3  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     4.4 x     31.6 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       3.8       28.1  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3 x     1.4 x     1.9 x     2.9 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.7       2.6  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     0.8 x     0.1 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       3.5       3.1  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2013 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 22 ]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Base Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $11.6       $1.7  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    38.3       38.0       32.8       27.8  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       40.4       7.3  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
Preferred Equity
    76.8       80.6       87.1       96.7  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    494.2       494.2       265.7       258.7  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     4.4 x     31.6 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       3.8       28.1  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2 x     1.3 x     1.5 x     1.9 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.1       1.4       1.7  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     0.8 x     0.1 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    10.8       10.3       5.3       4.9  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2013 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 23 ]


 

         
 `
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2013   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
       
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $6.1  
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4       $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1       $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )     (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
       
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $224.5       $224.5  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $29.7       $20.2  
IRR
    48.8%       48.8%  

GOING PRIVATE CASE
                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
       
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $73.1  
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4       $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1       $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )     (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (87.1 )     (87.1 )
 
       
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $137.4       $137.4  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $96.2       $128.3  
IRR
    120.1%       20.6%  


(EBITDA EXIT MULTIPLE GRAPH)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(EBITDA GROWTH GRAPH)
EBITDA Growth %
(TOTAL SALES PROCEEDS GRAPH)
Total Sale Proceeds


 
(1)   Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(FOOTER)

[24]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2013   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE

                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    6.0x       (2.9% )     11.0%       22.0%       31.4%       39.5%  
    7.0x       18.3%       28.2%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%  
    8.0x       33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
    9.0x       46.4%       53.1%       59.2%       64.9%       70.3%  
      10.0x       57.1%       62.9%       68.4%       73.5%       78.4%  
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN  
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
   EBITDA
GROWTH
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    0.0%       22.1%       31.4%       39.6%       46.9%       53.5%  
    2.5%       28.1%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%       57.5%  
    5.0%       33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
    7.5%       39.2%       46.5%       53.2%       59.3%       65.0%  
 
    10.0%       44.2%       51.1%       57.4%       63.3%       68.7%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE

                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    6.0x     NA     (22.6% )     41.7%       73.5%       96.6%  
    7.0x       25.9%       63.5%       89.0%       109.0%       125.8%  
    8.0x       80.7%       102.3%       120.1%       135.4%       148.9%  
    9.0x       114.1%       130.2%       144.3%       156.9%       168.4%  
 
    10.0x       139.4%       152.5%       164.4%       175.3%       185.4%  
                                                 
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    6.0x       6.0%       6.7%       10.3%       13.6%       16.8%  
    7.0x       9.0%       12.4%       15.7%       18.7%       21.6%  
    8.0x       14.5%       17.7%       20.6%       23.4%       26.1%  
    9.0x       19.6%       22.4%       25.2%       27.8%       30.3%  
 
    10.0x       24.2%       26.9%       29.4%       31.9%       34.2%  
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
   EBITDA
GROWTH
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    0.0%       41.8%       73.6%       96.7%       115.4%       131.3%  
    2.5%       63.4%       88.9%       108.9%       125.7%       140.3%  
    5.0%       80.7%       102.3%       120.1%       135.4%       148.9%  
    7.5%       95.6%       114.5%       130.5%       144.5%       157.2%  
 
    10.0%       108.8%       125.6%       140.2%       153.2%       165.1%  
                                                 
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
          TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
   EBITDA GROWTH
            $165       $195       $225       $255       $285  
    0.0%       10.3%       13.6%       16.8%       19.8%       22.6%  
    2.5%       12.4%       15.7%       18.7%       21.6%       24.4%  
    5.0%       14.5%       17.7%       20.6%       23.4%       26.1%  
    7.5%       16.6%       19.6%       22.5%       25.2%       27.8%  
 
    10.0%       18.7%       21.6%       24.4%       27.0%       29.6%  


[25]


 

         
 
  Alternative Structure 3    
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

 


 

         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions   Description
General
   
FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0%
 
Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 4 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
Base Case
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
Going Private Case
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $73.1mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
- Price per share of $2.50, which represents a 38.1% premium as of 4/16/10
 
New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2 with a step-up in PIK to 8.0% in Year 3 and a step-up in PIK to 11.0% in Year 4
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 65.0% / 35.0%
 

[27]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Base Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       34.4       26.7  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     2.6 x     5.2 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3 x     1.4 x     1.5 x     2.0 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.3       1.8  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     5.4 x     0.3 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       8.1       3.3  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 28 ]


 

         
 
  Summary Statistics — Going Private Case   (EMMIS COMMUNICATIONS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),  
($ in MM)   2011E     2012E     2013E     2014E  
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    38.3       38.0       40.9       36.2  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    76.8       80.6       87.1       96.7  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    494.2       494.2       495.7       268.9  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0 x     2.3 x     2.6 x     5.2 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2 x     1.3 x     1.2 x     1.5 x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.1       1.1       1.3  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7 x     6.0 x     5.4 x     0.3 x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    10.8       10.3       9.8       5.1  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.
[ 29 ]


 

         
 
  Illustrative Returns — Stick Sale in 2014   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                 
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $6.1  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
    $52.9       $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $423.2       $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
           
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $251.0       $251.0  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $33.2       $22.6  
IRR
    38.6%       38.6%  

GOING PRIVATE CASE
                 
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $73.1  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
    $52.9       $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x       8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $423.2       $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    (96.7 )     (96.7 )
 
           
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $154.3       $154.3  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $100.3       $150.7  
IRR
    82.6%       19.8%  


(LINE GRAPH)
EBITDA Exit Multiple
(LINE GRAPH)
EBITDA Growth %
(LINE GRAPH)
Total Sale Proceeds


(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.
(LEGEND)

[ 30 ]


 

         
 
  Sensitivities — Stick Sale in 2014   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       5.3%       13.9%       20.8%       26.8%       32.0%  
      7.0x       19.0%       25.2%       30.6%       35.4%       39.7%  
      8.0x       29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      9.0x       37.4%       41.5%       45.3%       48.9%       52.2%  
      10.0x       44.3%       47.9%       51.3%       54.4%       57.4%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       16.8%       23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%  
      2.5%       23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%       42.4%  
      5.0%       29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      7.5%       34.6%       39.0%       43.0%       46.7%       50.1%  
      10.0%       39.6%       43.5%       47.2%       50.6%       53.8%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA       6.5%       36.7%       54.6%       67.7%  
      7.0x       30.4%       50.3%       64.4%       75.7%       85.1%  
      8.0x       60.9%       72.8%       82.6%       91.1%       98.6%  
      9.0x       80.1%       88.9%       96.6%       103.5%       109.7%  
      10.0x       94.6%       101.7%       108.1%       114.0%       119.4%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       7.2%       8.9%       11.6%       14.2%       16.6%  
      7.0x       10.9%       13.5%       15.9%       18.2%       20.4%  
      8.0x       15.3%       17.6%       19.8%       21.9%       23.9%  
      9.0x       19.2%       21.3%       23.3%       25.2%       27.1%  
      10.0x       22.8%       24.7%       26.6%       28.3%       30.0%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA GROWTH
      0.0%       21.5%       44.7%       60.3%       72.3%       82.2%  
      2.5%       44.7%       60.3%       72.3%       82.2%       90.7%  
      5.0%       60.9%       72.8%       82.6%       91.1%       98.6%  
      7.5%       73.8%       83.5%       91.8%       99.2%       105.9%  
      10.0%       84.8%       93.0%       100.2%       106.8%       112.8%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN  
              TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS  
 
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0%       10.0%       12.7%       15.2%       17.5%       19.7%  
      2.5%       12.7%       15.2%       17.5%       19.7%       21.8%  
      5.0%       15.3%       17.6%       19.8%       21.9%       23.9%  
      7.5%       17.8%       20.0%       22.1%       24.0%       25.9%  
      10.0%       20.3%       22.4%       24.3%       26.2%       28.0%  


[ 31 ]


 

         
 
  (EMMIS LOGO)    
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
       
 
  Follow-Up Materials    
April 19, 2010

 


 

 
         
 
  Disclaimer   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
Moelis & Company prepared this presentation based on publicly available information. Moelis has not and does not intend to verify independently any of such information, all of which Moelis assumes is accurate and complete in all material respects. If this presentation contains projections, forecasts or other forward-looking statements, Moelis assumes that they were prepared based on the best available estimates of the future events underlying such statements. This presentation speaks only as of its date and Moelis assumes no duty to update it or to advise any person that its conclusions or advice has changed.
This presentation is solely for your information purposes. Consider it along with all other facts, advice and your own insights before making your own independent decisions. Do not provide a copy of this presentation to any person without Moelis’ prior consent. No other person should rely on it for any purpose.
This presentation is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an indication of interest to purchase any security, option, commodity, future, loan or currency. It is not a commitment to underwrite any security, to loan any funds or to make any investment. Moelis does not offer tax, accounting or legal advice.
Moelis & Company provides mergers and acquisitions, restructuring and other advisory services to clients and its affiliates manage private investment partnerships. Its personnel may make statements or provide advice that is contrary to information contained in this material. Our proprietary interests may conflict with your interests. Moelis may from time to time have positions in or effect transactions in securities described in this presentation. Moelis & Company may have advised, may seek to advise and may in the future advise or invest in companies mentioned in this presentation.

[ 1 ]


 

 
Table of Contents
     
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
  I.   Proposed Deal
 
  II.   Alternative Structure 1
 
  III.   Alternative Structure 2
 
  IV.   Alternative Structure 3

[ 2 ]


 

Proposed Deal
     
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

 


 

 
         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions
  Description
General
   
 
   
FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0% 
 
Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 2,3, or 4 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0% 
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $100.0mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
 
  - Price per share of $3.42, which represents a 88.9% premium as of 4/16/10
 
New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 18.0%, with a redemption premium of 105.0%
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 51.0% / 49.0%
 

[ 4 ]


 

 
         
 
  Sources & Uses and Pro Forma Capital Structure   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

($ in MM)
BASE CASE
GOING PRIVATE CASE


Sources
         
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
    $98.3  
 
       
 
Total Sources
    $98.3  
Sources
         
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
    $98.3  
New PIK Preferred
    100.0  
 
Total Sources
    $198.3  


Uses
         
 
Exchange Convertible Preferred at a 70.0% Liquidation Preferemce
    $98.3  
 
       
 
Total Uses
    $98.3  
Uses
         
 
Exchange Convertible Preferred at a 70.0% Liquidation Preferemce
    $98.3  
Purchase EMMS Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden)
    100.0  
 
Total Uses
    $198.3  


Pro Forma Capitalization
                                     
 
                                   
                     
    Standalone     Adjustments          
    Current     + / -     Pro Forma   Rate
             
Cash
    $21.5         $0.0         $21.5          
 
                                   
$20mm Revolver
    $4.5         $0.0         $4.5       L + 400
Term Loan B
    339.6         0.0         339.6       L + 400
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
    0.0         98.3         98.3       12.0% PIK
             
Total Debt
    $344.1         $98.3         $442.4          
 
                                   
6.25% Convertible Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0       6.25%
             
Total Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0          
 
                                   
Total Net Debt
    $322.6         $98.3         $420.9          
Pro Forma Capitalization
                                     
 
                                   
                     
    Standalone     Adjustments          
    Current     + / -     Pro Forma   Rate
             
Cash
    $21.5         $0.0         $21.5          
                                     
$20mm Revolver
    $4.5         $0.0         $4.5       L + 400
Term Loan B
    339.6         0.0         339.6       L + 400
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
    0.0         98.3         98.3       12.0% PIK
             
Total Debt
    $344.1         $98.3         $442.4          
 
                                   
6.25% Convertible Preferred
    $140.5         ($140.5 )       $0.0       6.25%
New PIK Preferred
    $0.0         $100.0         $100.0     18.0% PIK
             
Total Preferred
    $140.5         ($40.5 )       $100.0          
 
                                   
Total Net Debt
    $322.6         $98.3         $420.9          


[ 5 ]


 

 
         
 
  Summary Statistics – Base Case   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
   

BASE CASE (1)

                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
                               
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
 
                               
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
  $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       34.4       26.7  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       2.3x       2.6x       5.2x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3x       1.4x       1.5x       2.0x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.3       1.8  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       6.0x       5.4x       0.3x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       8.1       3.3  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.

[ 6 ]


 

 
         
 
  Summary Statistics — Going Private Case   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
   

GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)

                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
                               
 
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    52.6       55.4       59.5       56.2  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    118.0       139.2       164.3       193.9  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    535.4       552.8       572.9       366.1  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       2.3x       2.6x       5.2x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    0.9x       0.9x       0.8x       0.9x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    0.8       0.8       0.7       0.8  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       6.0x       5.4x       0.3x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    11.7       11.5       11.4       6.9  
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.

[ 7 ]


 

 
         
 
  Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2012   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
   


BASE CASE

                   
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $6.1  
Exit Year
    2012         2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0         $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9         $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )       (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0         0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $200.3         $200.3  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $26.5         $18.0  
IRR
    71.5%         71.5%  

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                   
2 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $100.0  
Exit Year
    2012         2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0         $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9         $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )       (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (146.2 )       (146.2 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $54.1         $54.1  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $27.6         $165.7  
IRR
    74.9%         28.7%  


(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.

[ 8 ]


 

 
         
 
  Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2013   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
   


BASE CASE

                   
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $6.1  
Exit Year
    2013         2013  
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4         $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1         $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )       (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0         0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $224.5         $224.5  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $29.7         $20.2  
IRR
    48.8%       48.8%

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                   
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan       Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $100.0  
Exit Year
    2013         2013  
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4         $50.4  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1         $403.1  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6 )       (403.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (172.5 )       (172.5 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $52.0         $52.0  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $26.5         $189.8  
IRR
    43.2%       23.8%


(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.

[ 9 ]


 

 
         
 
  Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2014   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
     
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
   


BASE CASE
                   
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $6.1  
Exit Year
    2014         2014  
Exit EBITDA
    $52.9         $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $423.2         $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )       (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0         0.0  
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $251.0         $251.0  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $33.2         $22.6  
IRR
    38.6%       38.6%

GOING PRIVATE CASE

                   
4 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden
Entry Year
    2010         2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0         $100.0  
Exit Year
    2014         2014  
Exit EBITDA
    $52.9         $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x         8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $423.2         $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0         225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )       (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    (203.6 )       (203.6 )
 
         
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $47.4         $47.4  
 
                 
Equity at Exit
    $24.2         $217.1  
IRR
    28.0%       21.4%


(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.

[ 10 ]


 

 
     
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2012
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
   
 
 
  (MOELIS LOGO)
BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       (20.6% )     4.0%       23.8%       40.8%       56.0%  
      7.0x       15.6%       33.6%       49.5%       63.9%       77.1%  
      8.0x       42.8%       57.8%       71.5%       84.2%       96.0%  
      9.0x       65.7%       78.8%       90.9%       102.4%       113.2%  
      10.0x       85.7%       97.5%       108.6%       119.1%       129.1%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %     33.0%       49.0%       63.4%       76.6%       88.9%  
      2.5 %     38.0%       53.5%       67.5%       80.4%       92.5%  
      5.0 %     42.8%       57.8%       71.5%       84.2%       96.0%  
      7.5 %     47.5%       62.1%       75.4%       87.8%       99.4%  
      10.0 %      52.0%       66.2%       79.2%       91.4%       102.8%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA   NA   NA   NA     4.8%  
      7.0x     NA   NA     (41.3% )     44.2%       95.3%  
      8.0x     NA     15.1%       74.9%       118.9%       155.5%  
      9.0x       51.8%       100.9%       140.2%       174.0%       204.0%  
      10.0x       124.0%       159.8%       191.3%       219.7%       245.7%  
                                                   
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       22.0%  
      7.0x       18.0%       18.0%       19.3%       25.4%       31.3%  
      8.0x       18.0%       22.8%       28.7%       34.4%       39.9%  
      9.0x       26.2%       32.0%       37.6%       42.9%       48.1%  
      10.0x       35.2%       40.6%       45.9%       50.9%       55.8%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %   NA     (47.2% )     41.9%       93.6%       134.1%  
      2.5 %   NA     (10.5% )     59.2%       106.6%       145.0%  
      5.0 %   NA     15.1%       74.9%       118.9%       155.5%  
      7.5 %     (66.5% )     35.9%       89.2%       130.5%       165.5%  
      10.0 %      (20.3% )     53.9%       102.6%       141.6%       175.2%  
                                                   
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %     18.0%       19.0%       25.2%       31.0%       36.7%  
      2.5 %     18.0%       20.9%       27.0%       32.8%       38.3%  
      5.0 %     18.0%       22.8%       28.7%       34.4%       39.9%  
      7.5 %     18.4%       24.6%       30.5%       36.1%       41.5%  
      10.0 %      20.3%       26.4%       32.2%       37.8%       43.1%  


[ 11 ]


 

 
     
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2013
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
   
 
 
  (MOELIS LOGO)
BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       (2.9% )     11.0%       22.0%       31.4%       39.5%  
      7.0x       18.3%       28.2%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%  
      8.0x       33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
      9.0x       46.4%       53.1%       59.2%       64.9%       70.3%  
      10.0x       57.1%       62.9%       68.4%       73.5%       78.4%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %     22.1%       31.4%       39.6%       46.9%       53.5%  
      2.5 %     28.1%       36.7%       44.3%       51.2%       57.5%  
      5.0 %     33.8%       41.7%       48.8%       55.3%       61.3%  
      7.5 %     39.2%       46.5%       53.2%       59.3%       65.0%  
      10.0 %      44.2%       51.1%       57.4%       63.3%       68.7%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA   NA   NA   NA     (10.8% )
      7.0x     NA   NA     (55.2% )     22.2%       52.7%  
      8.0x     NA     6.4%       43.2%       67.2%       85.7%  
      9.0x       32.4%       59.5%       79.5%       95.9%       110.0%  
      10.0x       72.9%       90.4%       105.2%       118.1%       129.6%  
                                                   
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       19.5%  
      7.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.2%       21.7%       25.0%  
      8.0x       18.0%       20.4%       23.8%       27.0%       30.0%  
      9.0x       22.6%       25.9%       29.0%       31.9%       34.7%  
      10.0x       27.9%       30.9%       33.7%       36.5%       39.1%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %   NA   NA     (10.6% )     34.8%       61.1%  
      2.5 %   NA     (57.0% )     21.9%       52.5%       74.1%  
      5.0 %   NA     6.4%       43.2%       67.2%       85.7%  
      7.5 %     (14.6% )     33.1%       59.9%       79.9%       96.3%  
      10.0 %      21.6%       52.3%       74.0%       91.3%       106.0%  
                                                   
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %     18.0%       18.0%       19.5%       22.9%       26.1%  
      2.5 %     18.0%       18.2%       21.6%       24.9%       28.1%  
      5.0 %     18.0%       20.4%       23.8%       27.0%       30.0%  
      7.5 %     19.3%       22.7%       25.9%       29.0%       32.0%  
      10.0 %      21.6%       24.9%       28.0%       31.0%       33.9%  


[ 12 ]


 

 
         
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2014
      (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
BASE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       5.3%       13.9%       20.8%       26.8%       32.0%  
      7.0x       19.0%       25.2%       30.6%       35.4%       39.7%  
      8.0x       29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      9.0x       37.4%       41.5%       45.3%       48.9%       52.2%  
      10.0x       44.3%       47.9%       51.3%       54.4%       57.4%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %      16.8%       23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%  
      2.5 %      23.3%       28.9%       33.9%       38.4%       42.4%  
      5.0 %      29.2%       34.1%       38.6%       42.6%       46.3%  
      7.5 %      34.6%       39.0%       43.0%       46.7%       50.1%  
      10.0 %      39.6%       43.5%       47.2%       50.6%       53.8%  


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x     NA   NA   NA   NA     (36.1% )
      7.0x     NA   NA   NA     9.2%       33.3%  
      8.0x     NA     (1.3% )     28.0%       45.0%       57.5%  
      9.0x       21.9%       40.9%       54.3%       65.0%       73.9%  
      10.0x       51.0%       62.3%       71.6%       79.6%       86.6%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
   EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
      6.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       18.2%  
      7.0x       18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       19.8%       22.0%  
      8.0x       18.0%       19.2%       21.4%       23.4%       25.4%  
      9.0x       20.8%       22.9%       24.9%       26.7%       28.6%  
      10.0x       24.3%       26.2%       28.1%       29.8%       31.5%  
                                                   
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %    NA   NA   NA     (3.5% )     27.0%  
      2.5 %    NA   NA     (3.6% )     27.0%       44.3%  
      5.0 %    NA     (1.3% )     28.0%       45.0%       57.5%  
      7.5 %      2.7%       29.9%       46.3%       58.5%       68.4%  
      10.0 %      32.7%       48.3%       60.1%       69.7%       78.0%  
                                                   
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN
            TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
              $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
      0.0 %      18.0%       18.0%       18.0%       19.1%       21.3%  
      2.5 %      18.0%       18.0%       19.1%       21.3%       23.3%  
      5.0 %      18.0%       19.2%       21.4%       23.4%       25.4%  
      7.5 %      19.4%       21.6%       23.6%       25.6%       27.4%  
      10.0 %      21.9%       23.9%       25.8%       27.7%       29.5%  


[ 13 ]


 

       
Alternative Structure 1
     
 
(MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)

 


 

         
 
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions   Description
General
   
 
   
FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0%
 
Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 2 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
 
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $100.0mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
 
  - Price per share of $3.42, which represents a 88.9% premium as of 4/16/10
 
New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 75.0% / 25.0%
 
[ 15 ]

 


 

       
 
Summary Statistics – Base Case
    (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $12.9       $3.2       $1.2  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       26.1       18.0       17.8  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       60.3       30.2       4.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       3.7x       15.9x       43.5x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       3.3       14.0       38.6  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3x       1.8x       2.8x       3.0x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.6       2.5       2.6  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       1.3x       0.6x       0.1x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       3.8       3.3       3.0  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2012 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 16 ]

 


 

       
 
Summary Statistics – Going Private Case
    (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%     5.0%     5.0%
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $12.9       $3.2       $1.2  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    39.6       31.3       26.8       30.9  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       60.3       30.2       4.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       183.6       168.4       159.2  
Preferred Equity
    105.0       110.3       119.1       132.2  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    522.4       293.8       287.4       291.4  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       3.7x       15.9x       43.5x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       3.3       14.0       38.6  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2x       1.5x       1.9x       1.7x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.3       1.7       1.5  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       1.3x       0.6x       0.1x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    11.4       6.1       5.7       5.5  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2012 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 17 ]

 


 

       
 
Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2012
    (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY LOGO)
BASE CASE
                         
2 - YEAR RETURN
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010               2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0               $6.1  
Exit Year
    2012               2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0               $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x               8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9               $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0               225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )             (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0               0.0  
                 
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $200.3               $200.3  
 
                       
Equity at Exit
    $26.5               $18.0  
IRR
    71.5%               71.5%  
GOING PRIVATE CASE
                         
2 - YEAR RETURN
Smulyan     Alden  
     
Entry Year
    2010               2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0               $100.0  
Exit Year
    2012               2012  
Exit EBITDA
    $48.0               $48.0  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x               8.0x  
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $383.9               $383.9  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0               225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (408.6 )             (408.6 )
Less: Preferred
    (110.3 )             (110.3 )
                 
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $90.0               $90.0  
 
                       
Equity at Exit
    $67.5               $132.8  
IRR
    173.6%               15.2%  


     
(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.   [ 18 ]

 


 

     
 
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2012
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
   
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
BASE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     (20.6% )     4.0%     23.8%     40.8%     56.0%
    7.0 x     15.6%     33.6%     49.5%     63.9%     77.1%
    8.0 x     42.8%     57.8%     71.5%     84.2%     96.0%
    9.0 x     65.7%     78.8%     90.9%     102.4%     113.2%
    10.0 x     85.7%     97.5%     108.6%     119.1%     129.1%
                                                 
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      33.0%     49.0%     63.4%     76.6%     88.9%
    2.5 %      38.0%     53.5%     67.5%     80.4%     92.5%
    5.0 %      42.8%     57.8%     71.5%     84.2%     96.0%
    7.5 %      47.5%     62.1%     75.4%     87.8%     99.4%
    10.0 %      52.0%     66.2%     79.2%     91.4%     102.8%


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x   NA   NA   NA     43.4%     114.6%
    7.0 x   NA     (2.7% )     87.0%     145.9%     193.2%
    8.0 x     54.5%     122.2%     173.6%     216.8%     254.8%
    9.0 x     152.5%     198.8%     238.8%     274.5%     307.1%
    10.0 x     222.0%     259.4%     293.3%     324.5%     353.5%
                                                 
SMULYAN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      (7.8% )     84.4%     143.9%     191.5%     232.4%
    2.5 %      27.2%     104.2%     159.2%     204.4%     243.8%
    5.0 %      54.5%     122.2%     173.6%     216.8%     254.8%
    7.5 %      77.6%     138.8%     187.3%     228.7%     265.4%
    10.0 %      98.1%     154.4%     200.4%     240.2%     275.8%


                                                 
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     5.0%     5.0%     5.0%     7.9%     11.4%
    7.0 x     5.0%     6.3%     9.9%     13.3%     16.7%
    8.0 x     8.4%     11.8%     15.2%     18.5%     21.7%
    9.0 x     13.8%     17.1%     20.3%     23.5%     26.5%
    10.0 x     18.9%     22.1%     25.2%     28.2%     31.2%
                                                 
ALDEN 2 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      6.2%     9.8%     13.2%     16.5%     19.8%
    2.5 %      7.3%     10.8%     14.2%     17.5%     20.7%
    5.0 %      8.4%     11.8%     15.2%     18.5%     21.7%
    7.5 %      9.4%     12.9%     16.2%     19.5%     22.6%
    10.0 %      10.5%     13.9%     17.2%     20.4%     23.6%


[ 19 ]          


 

Alternative Structure 2
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

 


 

         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions   Description
General
   
 
   
FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
   5.0% 
 
Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 3 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
Base Case
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0% 
 
Going Private Case
   
Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $100.0mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
  - Price per share of $3.42, which represents a 88.9% premium as of 4/16/10 
 
New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2 with a step-up in PIK to 8.0% in Year 3
 
Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 70.0% / 30.0% 
 
[ 21 ]          

 


 

     
Summary Statistics – Base Case
  (EMMIS LOGO)          
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
  $45.7     $48.0     $50.4     $52.9  
 
                               
% growth
    -       5.0%     5.0%     5.0%
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
 
                               
Cash Interest Expense
  $22.8     $20.9     $11.6     $1.7  
 
                               
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       26.4       18.2  
 
                               
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
 
                               
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       40.4       7.3  
 
                               
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
 
                               
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
 
                               
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
 
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       2.3x       4.4x       31.6x  
 
                               
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       3.8       28.1  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3x       1.4x       1.9x       2.9x  
 
                               
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.7       2.6  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       6.0x       0.8x       0.1x  
 
                               
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       3.5       3.1  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2013 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.    
    [ 22 ]          

 


 

     
 
          Summary Statistics – Going Private Case
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
 
                               
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
 
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $11.6       $1.7  
 
                               
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    39.6       39.4       35.2       31.3  
 
                               
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
 
                               
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       40.4       7.3  
 
                               
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       178.6       162.0  
 
                               
Preferred Equity
    105.0       110.3       119.1       132.2  
 
                               
Total Debt plus Preferred
    522.4       523.8       297.7       294.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
 
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       2.3x       4.4x       31.6x  
 
                               
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       3.8       28.1  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2x       1.2x       1.4x       1.7x  
 
                               
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.1       1.3       1.5  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       6.0x       0.8x       0.1x  
 
                               
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    11.4       10.9       5.9       5.6  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2013 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 23 ]          

 


 

     
 
          Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2013
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
BASE CASE
                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan           Alden  
       
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
 
               
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $6.1  
 
               
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
 
               
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4       $50.4  
 
               
Exit Multiple
    8.0x     8.0x
 
               
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1       $403.1  
 
               
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
 
               
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6)     (403.6)
 
               
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
           
 
               
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $224.5       $224.5  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $29.7       $20.2  
 
               
IRR
    48.8%     48.8%
GOING PRIVATE CASE
                 
3 - YEAR RETURN  
Smulyan     Alden  
       
Entry Year
    2010       2010  
Entry Equity
    $9.0       $100.0  
 
               
Exit Year
    2013       2013  
 
               
Exit EBITDA
    $50.4       $50.4  
 
               
Exit Multiple
    8.0x     8.0x
 
               
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $403.1       $403.1  
 
               
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
 
               
Less: Debt (1)
    (403.6)     (403.6)
 
               
Less: Preferred
    (119.1)     (119.1)
 
           
 
               
Firm Equity Value at Exit
    $105.4       $105.4  
 
               
Equity at Exit
    $73.8       $150.7  
 
               
IRR
    101.5%     14.6%


     
(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.   [ 24 ]          

 


 

     
 
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2013
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
   
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
BASE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     (2.9% )     11.0%     22.0%     31.4%     39.5%
    7.0 x     18.3%     28.2%     36.7%     44.3%     51.2%
    8.0 x     33.8%     41.7%     48.8%     55.3%     61.3%
    9.0 x     46.4%     53.1%     59.2%     64.9%     70.3%
    10.0 x     57.1%     62.9%     68.4%     73.5%     78.4%
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      22.1%     31.4%     39.6%     46.9%     53.5%
    2.5 %      28.1%     36.7%     44.3%     51.2%     57.5%
    5.0 %      33.8%     41.7%     48.8%     55.3%     61.3%
    7.5 %      39.2%     46.5%     53.2%     59.3%     65.0%
    10.0 %      44.2%     51.1%     57.4%     63.3%     68.7%


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x   NA   NA     (28.8% )     40.0%     72.4%
    7.0 x   NA     23.7%     62.3%     88.1%     108.3%
    8.0 x     50.7%     79.7%     101.5%     119.4%     134.8%
    9.0 x     94.3%     113.4%     129.5%     143.7%     156.4%
    10.0 x     124.0%     138.8%     152.0%     163.9%     174.8%
                                                 
SMULYAN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      (28.3% )     40.1%     72.4%     95.8%     114.6%
    2.5 %      23.4%     62.1%     87.9%     108.1%     125.0%
    5.0 %      50.7%     79.7%     101.5%     119.4%     134.8%
    7.5 %      71.0%     94.7%     113.7%     129.8%     144.0%
    10.0 %      87.8%     108.0%     124.9%     139.6%     152.7%


                                                 
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     6.0%     6.0%     6.4%     9.0%     11.6%
    7.0 x     6.0%     8.1%     10.7%     13.1%     15.5%
    8.0 x     9.8%     12.3%     14.6%     16.9%     19.1%
    9.0 x     13.8%     16.1%     18.4%     20.5%     22.6%
    10.0 x     17.6%     19.8%     21.9%     23.9%     25.9%
                                                 
ALDEN 3 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      6.4%     9.1%     11.6%     14.0%     16.3%
    2.5 %      8.1%     10.7%     13.1%     15.5%     17.7%
    5.0 %      9.8%     12.3%     14.6%     16.9%     19.1%
    7.5 %      11.4%     13.9%     16.2%     18.4%     20.6%
    10.0 %      13.1%     15.4%     17.7%     19.9%     22.0%


[ 25 ]          


 

Alternative Structure 3
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)

 


 

         
 
  Assumptions Summary   (EMMIS LOGO)
 
       
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
     
Assumptions   Description
General
   
 
   
   FY 2011 EBITDA - Pro Forma
  $45.7mm - Add back interactive losses and 7% outperformance
 
   Y-o-Y EBITDA Growth
  5.0% 
 
   Stick Sales
  3 sticks sold in year 4 at a total gross proceeds of $225.0mm or $75.0mm each; Sufficient tax basis and NOL’s to shelter gains
 
 
   
Base Case
   
 
   
   Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
   New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
   Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Based on current ownership percentages, which as of 4/16/10 are estimated at 13.2% / 9.0%
 
 
   
Going Private Case
   
 
   
   Convertible Preferred
  Balance of $140.5mm taken-out at a liquidation preference of 70.0%, funded by new HoldCo Notes - PIK
 
   New HoldCo Notes - PIK
  PIK of 12.0%
 
   Equity (Excl. Smulyan & Alden) Take-out
  - Common equity (excl. Smulyan & Alden) purchased for $100.0mm, funded by new PIK Preferred issued to Alden
  - Price per share of $3.42, which represents a 88.9% premium as of 4/16/10
 
   New PIK Preferred
  PIK of 5.0% in Year 1 & 2 with a step-up in PIK to 8.0% in Year 3 and a step-up in PIK to 11.0% in Year 4
 
   Smulyan / Alden PF Ownership
  Penny warrants issued with PIK preferred to Alden: PF ownership equals 65.0% / 35.0%
 
[ 27 ]

 


 

Summary Statistics – Base Case
     
 
  (COMPANY LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
BASE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
    $45.7       $48.0       $50.4       $52.9  
% growth
    -       5.0%       5.0%       5.0%  
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
    $22.8       $20.9       $19.6       $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    34.6       34.1       34.4       26.7  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x       2.3x       2.6x       5.2x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.3x       1.4x       1.5x       2.0x  
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.1       1.2       1.3       1.8  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x       6.0x       5.4x       0.3x  
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    9.1       8.6       8.1       3.3  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 28 ]

 


 

Summary Statistics – Going Private Case
     
 
  (COMPANY LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
GOING PRIVATE CASE (1)
                                 
    Projected Fiscal Year Ending February 28 (29),
($ in MM)   2011E   2012E   2013E   2014E
 
 
                               
EBITDA
  $45.7     $48.0     $50.4     $52.9  
 
% growth
    -       5.0%     5.0%     5.0%
 
                               
Other Financial Data
                               
Cash Interest Expense
  $22.8     $20.9     $19.6     $10.1  
Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividends
    39.6       39.4       43.2       39.8  
Capital Expenditures
    6.0       6.0       6.0       6.0  
Bank Debt
    307.2       290.3       270.4       17.5  
Total Debt
    417.4       413.6       408.6       172.2  
Preferred Equity
    105.0       110.3       119.1       132.2  
Total Debt plus Preferred
    522.4       523.8       527.6       304.4  
 
                               
Credit Statistics
                               
EBITDA / Cash Interest Expense
    2.0x     2.3x     2.6x     5.2x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Cash Interest Expense
    1.7       2.0       2.3       4.7  
 
                               
EBITDA / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.2x     1.2x     1.2x     1.3x
(EBITDA-Cap Ex) / Total Interest Expense + Preferred Dividend
    1.0       1.1       1.0       1.2  
 
                               
Bank Debt / EBITDA
    6.7x     6.0x     5.4x     0.3x
Total Debt + Preferred/ EBITDA
    11.4       10.9       10.5       5.8  
     
(1) Assume stick sales in 2014 for $225.0mm, proceeds used to pay down Term Loan B.   [ 29 ]

 


 

Illustrative Returns – Stick Sale in 2014
     
 
  (COMPANY LOGO)
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
BASE CASE
                 
4 - YEAR RETURN
Smulyan   Alden
Entry Year
  2010     2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $6.1  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
  $52.9     $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x     8.0x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
    $423.2     $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    0.0       0.0  
 
             
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $251.0     $251.0  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $33.2     $22.6  
IRR
    38.6%     38.6%
 
               
 
GOING PRIVATE CASE
                 
4 - YEAR RETURN
Smulyan   Alden
Entry Year
  2010     2010  
Entry Equity
  $9.0     $100.0  
Exit Year
    2014       2014  
Exit EBITDA
  $52.9     $52.9  
Exit Multiple
    8.0x     8.0x
Firm Ent. Value at Exit
  $423.2     $423.2  
Plus: Stick Proceeds
    225.0       225.0  
Less: Debt (1)
    (397.2 )     (397.2 )
Less: Preferred
    (132.2 )     (132.2 )
 
             
Firm Equity Value at Exit
  $118.8     $118.8  
 
               
Equity at Exit
  $77.2     $173.8  
IRR
    71.1%     14.8%
 
               


     
(1) Assumes debt Term Loan B debt pay down from FCF; no cash taxes.   [ 30 ]

 


 

     
 
Sensitivities – Stick Sale in 2014
  (EMMIS LOGO)
 
   
 
  (MOELIS & COMPANY)
 
BASE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     5.3%     13.9%     20.8%     26.8%     32.0%
    7.0 x     19.0%     25.2%     30.6%     35.4%     39.7%
    8.0 x     29.2%     34.1%     38.6%     42.6%     46.3%
    9.0 x     37.4%     41.5%     45.3%     48.9%     52.2%
    10.0 x     44.3%     47.9%     51.3%     54.4%     57.4%
                                                 
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      16.8%     23.3%     28.9%     33.9%     38.4%
    2.5 %      23.3%     28.9%     33.9%     38.4%     42.4%
    5.0 %      29.2%     34.1%     38.6%     42.6%     46.3%
    7.5 %      34.6%     39.0%     43.0%     46.7%     50.1%
    10.0 %      39.6%     43.5%     47.2%     50.6%     53.8%


GOING PRIVATE CASE
                                                 
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x   NA   NA     (1.6% )     33.2%     52.1%
    7.0 x     (24.2% )     26.3%     47.6%     62.4%     74.0%
    8.0 x     42.7%     58.8%     71.1%     81.2%     89.8%
    9.0 x     67.9%     78.6%     87.6%     95.4%     102.4%
    10.0 x     85.2%     93.4%     100.6%     107.1%     113.1%
                                                 
SMULYAN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %    NA     16.3%     41.8%     58.1%     70.5%
    2.5 %      16.3%     41.8%     58.1%     70.5%     80.7%
    5.0 %      42.7%     58.8%     71.1%     81.2%     89.8%
    7.5 %      60.1%     72.1%     82.1%     90.6%     98.1%
    10.0 %      73.7%     83.4%     91.7%     99.1%     105.8%


                                                 
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
    EBITDA
EXIT MULT.
    6.0 x     7.2%     7.2%     8.1%     10.2%     12.1%
    7.0 x     7.5%     9.6%     11.6%     13.5%     15.3%
    8.0 x     11.1%     13.0%     14.8%     16.5%     18.2%
    9.0 x     14.3%     16.1%     17.8%     19.4%     20.9%
    10.0 x     17.3%     18.9%     20.5%     22.0%     23.4%
                                                 
ALDEN 4 - YEAR RETURN
      TOTAL SALE PROCEEDS
            $165   $195   $225   $255   $285
  EBITDA
GROWTH
    0.0 %      7.2%     9.0%     11.0%     12.9%     14.7%
    2.5 %      9.0%     11.0%     12.9%     14.7%     16.5%
    5.0 %      11.1%     13.0%     14.8%     16.5%     18.2%
    7.5 %      13.2%     15.0%     16.7%     18.4%     19.9%
    10.0 %      15.2%     17.0%     18.6%     20.2%     21.7%


[ 31 ]